AbhishekHSinghCMT
Short

Nifty - Mercury, Markets and Mayhem - Below 10800 -10400 -10000

NSE:NIFTY   Nifty 50 Index
Happier Time Post Mercury Retrograde Period - Happy New Year 2019

Mercury retrogrades for the final time in the year 2018 which has started on 17th Nov to 6th Dec 2018 - Next 3 weeks so we need to be little cautious as more chances of larger price swings and volatile sessions on account of frequent to and fro move in decisions related to communications, media, travel and technology.

Mercury Retrograde Possible Results

Volatile sessions
Larger Price Swings
Travel Plans changed / dropped
Media / Technology glitches - common occurrence.
Avoid any and all kind of heated arguments.


Frequent change of decisions in related fields suggested above. State Elections - Can also get painted because of retrograde period.

So, don't make your decisions in hurry. Think twice , thrice & several times before coming up with final decision.


Retrograde = Backward Movement



Indian Markets Token to Lovely Venus (Oct 2018) - Have you forgotten

USDINR moves from 72.50 to 74.50

Global Markets Token to Lovely Venus

Crude Oil Falling from 75$ to 60$ & more on downside
Bitcoin Falling hard
Global Equities taking a hit

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Trading Strategy

Risky Traders
Selling Close to 10800 - preferably below 10800 -no selling trades above 10800 if sustains

Safe Traders
Selling below 10600 -10550 levels - later should hold below 10600 for lower targets of 10400 -10200 -10000 & 9300-9500 zone.

Alternate Strategy
Bullish Above 10925 -if holds above 10900 later - No Buying Trades if fails to hold " Demand & Destiny Zone - 10900-10925
Trade active: 12:38 Hrs 19th Nov 2018

Last Price@10711

Opened gap up making highs close to 10730's & struggling to move upside - suggesting a weak move ahead.

So any move holding below day high can be an opportunity to sell for lower targets intraday wise

Stop Loss - Day High

Target 1 - 10660

Target 2 - 10635
Trade active: 13:41 Hrs 19th Nov 2018

Last Price@10721

We are looking for reversal here in 10720's -10730's - keenly watching -if market pukes then go join them for downside move holding below day high which is above 10730's

Target mentioned above.
Trade active: 14:03 Hrs 19th Nov 2018

Last Price@10729

At current levels -it can take your stops above 10730 which cannot be denied and it might move down later so be careful with your stops.
Trade active: 09:24 Hrs 20th Nov 2018

Last Price@10733

Good Morning!

Risky Traders are in close to 10800 levels as suggested selling - Downside Target is 10450-10460 (Revised Target Zone) -

Below 10400 - as suggested in the title -only below 10400 later targets to be looked downside
Trade active: 13:06 Hrs 22nd Nov 2018

Last Price@ 10585

Risky Traders - What a selling from top 10775 -close to 10800 levels - almost 200 points

All green markets turned red - hmmmmmm "Mercury"
Trade active: 13:48 Hrs 22nd Nov 2018

Last Price@10565

10550 is good support as suggested over the video - Look for a short term bounce to 10590-10600 and fall later
Trade active: 14:45 Hrs 22nd Nov 2018

Last Price@10552

Just Small Dip below 10550 from resistance zone 10590-10600 just now

No short trades -if it keeps above 10550 levels.
Trade active: 14:55 Hrs 22nd Nov 2018

Last Price@10530

Decisive break of 10550 levels confirmed that It's heading down for 10450-10475 zone

Do cover up your position at day end close to 10450-10475 zone as tomorrow is an off for markets -don't carry unnecessary positions.

If 10450 is holded downside then it can be bounce back sharp upside to 10650-10700 levels next week

So only below 10450 - our next downside zone opens

Next support zone - 10450 - 10475

Take Care & Enjoy your weekend.
Comment: 15:03 Hrs 22nd Nov 2018

Last Price@10545

Last Comment for this week. Remember - Always see what market is trying to tell you. Even though 10550 is broken down & made lows close to 10530 - we are waiting for 10450-10475 target "but" it cannot or should not close above 10550 because 10550 is very important level for the market -its like fulcrum as "Fulcrum is Almighty / God"
Trade closed manually: Day Low- 10513

Bye - Take Care - Enjoy Holidays
Best Regards,
Abhishek H. Singh, CMT
India Regional Manager
http://in.tradingview.com
| LinkedIn
India Markets-BSE, NSE chat room- https://in.tradingview.com/chat/#b4sFOMIVqPkq8gfQ
Hi, nice trade. Kindly tell me why the trade is closed, especially when the market closed below the level of 10,550 you mentioned as an important level? Has the downside been capped?
Reply
AbhishekHSinghCMT SathyamurthyRamanujam
@SathyamurthyRamanujam, Post Holidays. Sometimes It behaves very erratic so closed. Yes if it trades below 10550 - Index shall remain weak but moving above 10550 again can prolong the expected fall -in that case it might push upside first in next week and fall later.
Reply
Hi

Your analysis are always good.

What time frame 10.4k can be expected? This expiry?
Reply
AbhishekHSinghCMT SathyamurthyRamanujam
@SathyamurthyRamanujam, Soon may be today if 10550 breaks -it bounced exactly from 10550-10560 zone
Reply
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