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Nifty 50 Analysis (One Week Outlook)

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NSE:NIFTY   Nifty 50 Index
πŸ“ˆ Nifty 50 Analysis (One Week Outlook) πŸ“ˆ

πŸ” Observations:

Chinese Economy Woes: The real estate sector in China is under stress, with it constituting 25% of the country's economy. This raises concerns.
US Dollar Strength: There are indications of potential rate hikes which could bolster the USD. If this happens, we might see a capital flight from the Indian market.

πŸ“Š Nifty's Current Status:

Nifty closed at a pivotal level of 19,310.15 on the last trading day.
This level coincides with its 50-day moving average. A downward breach might indicate a short-term fall.

πŸ“‰ Resistance and Potential Drop:

Nifty has descended from a Fibonacci level of 0.25. If it breaks below the 50-day moving average, it might fall towards the 0.382 Fibonacci level, translating to 18,270.
The projected moving average is 18,314, suggesting a potential fall of 7.69%.
Historical trends, from Dec 2022 to 27th March 2023, indicate possibilities of a drop as steep as 10.25%.

🌎 Global Factors:

Global cues, especially the state of the Chinese economy, will play a pivotal role in influencing the Nifty.
Notable events to watch: The Global Symposium and listings like Jio and some other IPOs.
πŸ’‘ Short-term Prediction:

If Nifty breaches its 50-day moving average, the next target could be set at 18,270.
❌ Stop Loss: We're not setting a stop loss as we are trend following closely.

βœ… Conclusion: Keep a keen eye on global events and the state of the Chinese economy. The next week will be crucial for traders and investors alike. Stay vigilant and trade smartly!

πŸ“… Publish Date: 21st August 2023, 6:57 a.m. IST
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