The Perfect Fibonacci Retracement Example

theTAguy Updated   
Here is a stock with good cash flows and EPS.

RVNL made its previous all time high in January '21. Then, it went for a healthy correction at the end of the month. Getting retraced from the golden level of Fibonacci, then it consolidated till the 3rd quarter of the year. It skyrocketed to the new high at 44.80 in mid October.

In this situation, I drew the Fibonacci Retracement from the previous low to the previous high (in an uptrend). The previous low was at 20.60 on 22 December 2020 and the previous high was at 35.55 on 11 January 2021. After that, price went for a correction to 26.55 on 28 January 2021, got retraced. After the retracement, it consolidated between 26 to 34 till 18 October 2021, here price broke out of consolidation and went for a new high at 44.80, which was our desired target.

Understanding Fibonacci Levels
The theory of getting the 61.8 number is pretty amazing. If we start from 0 and 1 and keep adding the prior number to get a sequence like:
0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233...
Now, in this sequence, if we divide any number by its next number, we will always get 0.618, and if we divide 0.618 by 2, we will get 0.382. The 0.5 level is not officially a Fibonacci level, but it is a major level.

So, we come up with a conclusion that 0.618 is the golden ratio, and the golden zone is between 0.5 to 0.618 (between the red lines). This zone is the main point where the price reverses back. Fun fact is, you can also find the work of golden ratio of Fibonacci in the nature too. Read more about it on Google.

What should be the target after getting retraced?
The target should be always between -0.382 to -0.618 levels (market with black box). And, for further more targets, one should learn Fibonacci Extension.
Remember, that targets does not get hit just after getting retraced. After the retracement, price always consolidates before shooting up or down, in the direction of the Fibonacci made or in the direction of the trend. In this scenario, we are in a bullish trend.
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