Combining the 4 Hour and the 1 Hour chart to catch more profitable trades.
Usually, the 1 hour chart will give you a better entry and can mean the difference between catching a very profitable trade vs. missing the trade waiting for the 4 hour trendline.
Often in strong downward moves, especially on the 4 hour, price may not retrace back to the trendline until a few days.
It may be frustrating to see a trade you knew was going to drop on the 4 hour, to be left alone.
In these cases, you can switch down to the 1 hour timeframe, to catch the move quicker and get a better entry. Not just that, but you can take profits on the way down and re-short at the Blue trendline on the 1 hour.
It's important if you are doing this, to make sure you draw in resistance trendlines (see the white line), to see if you can detect a breakout. This may lead to a "BUY" signal on the 1 hour chart.
HOWEVER, we do not always take trades purely based on "BUY" or "SELL" signals - we must analyse market structure on multiple different timeframes to get a better picture of what the market is doing.
So here, on the 1 hour chart, we saw price reject the thick green line at $85 and an upward push with rising bull volume towards the blue trendline again.
OK, the volume isn't massive - but it's rising after rejecting support.
At this point, closing your short would be wise.
If for whatever reason you hadn't noticed this, you would close your short on the breakout on the 1 hour chart. This could happen if you are not looking at the chart for a couple of days, so if you are watching the chart regularly, you can avoid these potential losses.
So now that we have a breakout on the 1 hour chart, we first have to look at the 4 hour chart to see what is happening.
Now check the 4 Yellow circles on the chart. Look where price is - at the 4 hour Blue trendline. This is finally our opportunity to get an amazing low risk, high reward SHORT entry.
Check out the Yellow circle on the Volume indicator at the bottom of the 4 hour - Since the volume is UNDERNEATH the Blue trendline, and so is price. This confirms again how low risk high reward this SHORT entry is.
Even though the 1 hour Chart says BUY, this is only mid term, and we must remember that higher time frames play a big part in what happens.
So after we had shorted the 4 hour blue trendline, we could tell a potential BART pattern happening, with distribution at higher levels than previously.
After this, within 4-5 days, SOL had crashed from $95-$60 (around 30%). Not bad eh?
And how exactly do we predict where the bottom of this move is?
Well the best way, is to use the Fibonacci Expansion tool.
We first clicked at the top of the candle where we first got our "SELL" signal. As price retreated down, we saw a big clear wick signalling a local bottom around $81.87. From here, price eventually rose up to $95.20 where we shorted.
Now that we have 3 different levels, we can plot our Fibonnaci Expansion Tool to set our targets:
1) 0.786 ($78.25)
2) 1 ($73.64)
3) 1.272 ($67.77)
4) 1.414 ($64.71)
and finally, the likely end of the move full stop...
the great 1.618, in this case, $60.31 ON THE NOSE :)
Usually, the 1 hour chart will give you a better entry and can mean the difference between catching a very profitable trade vs. missing the trade waiting for the 4 hour trendline.
Often in strong downward moves, especially on the 4 hour, price may not retrace back to the trendline until a few days.
It may be frustrating to see a trade you knew was going to drop on the 4 hour, to be left alone.
In these cases, you can switch down to the 1 hour timeframe, to catch the move quicker and get a better entry. Not just that, but you can take profits on the way down and re-short at the Blue trendline on the 1 hour.
It's important if you are doing this, to make sure you draw in resistance trendlines (see the white line), to see if you can detect a breakout. This may lead to a "BUY" signal on the 1 hour chart.
HOWEVER, we do not always take trades purely based on "BUY" or "SELL" signals - we must analyse market structure on multiple different timeframes to get a better picture of what the market is doing.
So here, on the 1 hour chart, we saw price reject the thick green line at $85 and an upward push with rising bull volume towards the blue trendline again.
OK, the volume isn't massive - but it's rising after rejecting support.
At this point, closing your short would be wise.
If for whatever reason you hadn't noticed this, you would close your short on the breakout on the 1 hour chart. This could happen if you are not looking at the chart for a couple of days, so if you are watching the chart regularly, you can avoid these potential losses.
So now that we have a breakout on the 1 hour chart, we first have to look at the 4 hour chart to see what is happening.
Now check the 4 Yellow circles on the chart. Look where price is - at the 4 hour Blue trendline. This is finally our opportunity to get an amazing low risk, high reward SHORT entry.
Check out the Yellow circle on the Volume indicator at the bottom of the 4 hour - Since the volume is UNDERNEATH the Blue trendline, and so is price. This confirms again how low risk high reward this SHORT entry is.
Even though the 1 hour Chart says BUY, this is only mid term, and we must remember that higher time frames play a big part in what happens.
So after we had shorted the 4 hour blue trendline, we could tell a potential BART pattern happening, with distribution at higher levels than previously.
After this, within 4-5 days, SOL had crashed from $95-$60 (around 30%). Not bad eh?
And how exactly do we predict where the bottom of this move is?
Well the best way, is to use the Fibonacci Expansion tool.
We first clicked at the top of the candle where we first got our "SELL" signal. As price retreated down, we saw a big clear wick signalling a local bottom around $81.87. From here, price eventually rose up to $95.20 where we shorted.
Now that we have 3 different levels, we can plot our Fibonnaci Expansion Tool to set our targets:
1) 0.786 ($78.25)
2) 1 ($73.64)
3) 1.272 ($67.77)
4) 1.414 ($64.71)
and finally, the likely end of the move full stop...
the great 1.618, in this case, $60.31 ON THE NOSE :)
