SPY Weekly Options Outlook — June 1, 2025

📉 SPY Weekly Options Outlook — June 1, 2025

🚨 AI Model Consensus: Moderately Bearish into June 6 Expiry

🧠 AI Model Breakdown
🔹 Grok (xAI)

Bias: Moderately Bearish

Technical: Price below 10-EMA, RSI cooling, MACD divergence.

Trade: Buy $589P @ $4.72 → PT +50%, SL if SPY > $591

🔹 Claude (Anthropic)

Bias: Moderately Bearish

Technical: Short-term cooling, daily trend still intact.

Trade: Buy $573P @ $0.94 → PT 100%, SL 50%, exit by Wed

🔹 Gemini (Google)

Bias: Neutral

Technical: M5 bearish, daily bullish = mixed.

Trade: No trade today due to inconclusive bias

🔹 Llama (Meta)

Bias: Slightly Bullish

Technical: M5 bullish EMAs, daily MACD bearish

Trade: Buy $590C @ $5.20 → PT +20%, SL −50%

🔹 DeepSeek

Bias: Moderately Bearish

Technical: Breakdown below support, MACD/RSI bearish

Trade: Buy $588P @ $4.27 → PT near $585, SL at $590.50

✅ Consensus Takeaways
4 of 5 models favor bearish or moderately bearish direction

Max Pain at $585 = common gravitational level

Momentum showing weakness, especially intraday

Only Llama sees upside bias; Gemini stays out due to signal conflict

🎯 Recommended Trade Setup
💡 Strategy: Bearish Naked Weekly Put

🔘 Ticker: SPY

📉 Direction: PUT

🎯 Strike: $588

💵 Entry: $4.32 (ask)

🎯 Profit Target: $6.00 (+39%)

🛑 Stop Loss: $2.16 (−50%)

📏 Size: 1 contract

📅 Expiry: 2025-06-06

⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open

📈 Confidence: 70%

⚠️ Key Risks to Monitor
⚖️ Daily uptrend still intact — bounce possible at support

📉 Low VIX = limited volatility expansion (slower premium growth)

🔺 Watch for quick reversals or news spikes above $590 that can hit stop-loss

⌛ Theta ramps midweek — trade must move early

📊 TRADE DETAILS (JSON)
json
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{
"instrument": "SPY",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 588.0,
"expiry": "2025-06-06",
"confidence": 0.70,
"profit_target": 6.00,
"stop_loss": 2.16,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 4.32,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-06-02 09:30:00 UTC-04:00"
}