🔍Technical Analysis
UltraTech Cement presents one of the most spectacular long-term growth stories in Indian equity markets. Having observed this stock for two decades, the journey from ₹250 levels to ₹12,000 represents a phenomenal 48x growth over 20 years - a testament to consistent value creation.
The ₹12,000 level acted as formidable resistance from July 2024 to July 2025, creating a year-long consolidation phase. This resistance was finally breached in July 2025, coinciding with confirmation of positive YoY quarterly results that provided the fundamental catalyst needed for the breakout.
Currently trading at ₹12,700, the stock has successfully broken above the psychological ₹12,000 barrier. This breakout, supported by strong fundamental performance, opens up the path for the next leg of the bull rally.
Entry Strategy: Enter on any dips toward ₹12,200-₹12,300 range, ensuring the ₹12,000 level holds as new support.
🎯Targets:
Target 1: ₹13,000
Target 2: ₹13,500
Target 3: ₹14,000
🚫Stop Losses:
Critical Support: ₹12,000 (previous resistance, now key support)
If the market doesn't sustain above ₹12,000 level, no more expectations on this stock.
💰Q1 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q4 FY25 & Q1 FY25)
UltraTech Cement delivered exceptional Q1 FY26 performance with consolidated net profit surging 49% YoY to ₹2,221 crore, driven by strong volume growth of 9.7% YoY to 36.83 million tonnes. Income rose 13% with EBITDA per MT increasing ₹337.
Market cap stands at ₹3,75,630 crore (up 11.1% in 1 year) with stable promoter holding at 59.2%. The company increased grey cement capacity by 3.5 MTPA in Q1 FY26, bringing total capacity to 192.26 MTPA.
UltraTech has allocated ₹10,000 crore capex for FY26 to bolster capacity and energy efficiency initiatives. Company achieved over 1 GW renewable power installations milestone and expects 7-8% sustainable volume growth.
UltraTech is on track to become world's top cement seller outside China with operational footprint of 34 integrated units, 30 grinding units, and 9 bulk terminals across India. In FY25 alone, the company added 42.6 MTPA capacity, accounting for 55% of the entire sector's expansion.
Strategic positioning includes targeting 209.3 MTPA output by FY27 and maintaining strong operational metrics with focus on sustainability through renewable energy integration.
✅Conclusion
UltraTech's remarkable 20-year bull run from ₹250 to ₹12,700, combined with 49% YoY PAT growth and successful ₹12,000 resistance breakout, validates the long-term growth thesis. The 192.26 MTPA capacity milestone, ₹10,000 crore FY26 capex, and 1 GW renewable energy achievement position the company as industry leader. Technical breakout toward ₹14,000 appears feasible provided ₹12,000 support holds. Strong fundamentals justify premium valuation in cement sector leadership.
UltraTech Cement presents one of the most spectacular long-term growth stories in Indian equity markets. Having observed this stock for two decades, the journey from ₹250 levels to ₹12,000 represents a phenomenal 48x growth over 20 years - a testament to consistent value creation.
The ₹12,000 level acted as formidable resistance from July 2024 to July 2025, creating a year-long consolidation phase. This resistance was finally breached in July 2025, coinciding with confirmation of positive YoY quarterly results that provided the fundamental catalyst needed for the breakout.
Currently trading at ₹12,700, the stock has successfully broken above the psychological ₹12,000 barrier. This breakout, supported by strong fundamental performance, opens up the path for the next leg of the bull rally.
Entry Strategy: Enter on any dips toward ₹12,200-₹12,300 range, ensuring the ₹12,000 level holds as new support.
🎯Targets:
Target 1: ₹13,000
Target 2: ₹13,500
Target 3: ₹14,000
🚫Stop Losses:
Critical Support: ₹12,000 (previous resistance, now key support)
If the market doesn't sustain above ₹12,000 level, no more expectations on this stock.
💰Q1 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q4 FY25 & Q1 FY25)
- Total Income: ₹21,275 Cr (↓ -8% QoQ from ₹23,063 Cr; ↑ +13% YoY from ₹18,819 Cr)
- Total Expenses: ₹16,869 Cr (↓ -9% QoQ from ₹18,456 Cr; ↑ +7% YoY from ₹15,801 Cr)
- Operating Profit: ₹4,406 Cr (↓ -4% QoQ from ₹4,608 Cr; ↑ +46% YoY from ₹3,017 Cr)
- Profit Before Tax: ₹3,008 Cr (↓ -3% QoQ from ₹3,101 Cr; ↑ +62% YoY from ₹1,857 Cr)
- Profit After Tax: ₹2,221 Cr (↓ -10% QoQ from ₹2,475 Cr; ↑ +49% YoY from ₹1,493 Cr)
- Diluted EPS: ₹75.54 (↓ -10% QoQ from ₹84.23; ↑ +46% YoY from ₹51.78)
UltraTech Cement delivered exceptional Q1 FY26 performance with consolidated net profit surging 49% YoY to ₹2,221 crore, driven by strong volume growth of 9.7% YoY to 36.83 million tonnes. Income rose 13% with EBITDA per MT increasing ₹337.
Market cap stands at ₹3,75,630 crore (up 11.1% in 1 year) with stable promoter holding at 59.2%. The company increased grey cement capacity by 3.5 MTPA in Q1 FY26, bringing total capacity to 192.26 MTPA.
UltraTech has allocated ₹10,000 crore capex for FY26 to bolster capacity and energy efficiency initiatives. Company achieved over 1 GW renewable power installations milestone and expects 7-8% sustainable volume growth.
UltraTech is on track to become world's top cement seller outside China with operational footprint of 34 integrated units, 30 grinding units, and 9 bulk terminals across India. In FY25 alone, the company added 42.6 MTPA capacity, accounting for 55% of the entire sector's expansion.
Strategic positioning includes targeting 209.3 MTPA output by FY27 and maintaining strong operational metrics with focus on sustainability through renewable energy integration.
✅Conclusion
UltraTech's remarkable 20-year bull run from ₹250 to ₹12,700, combined with 49% YoY PAT growth and successful ₹12,000 resistance breakout, validates the long-term growth thesis. The 192.26 MTPA capacity milestone, ₹10,000 crore FY26 capex, and 1 GW renewable energy achievement position the company as industry leader. Technical breakout toward ₹14,000 appears feasible provided ₹12,000 support holds. Strong fundamentals justify premium valuation in cement sector leadership.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.