USDCAD – Bearish Trade Setup (1H Timeframe)

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Trade Details

Entry: 1.38469

Stop Loss: 1.38845

Target: 1.37977

🔹 Technical Reasons for Bearish Bias

Trendline Breakdown

Price recently broke below the rising trendline, indicating that the bullish momentum has weakened.

The failed retest of the broken trendline confirms bearish pressure.

Moving Averages Confirmation

The short-term moving averages (yellow lines) have crossed to the downside, aligning with bearish sentiment.

Price is trading below these moving averages, signaling sellers are in control.

Lower High Formation

After the sharp drop, the latest pullback failed to make a new higher high.

This indicates a shift from bullish structure to a bearish lower-high pattern.

Weak Recovery Attempt

The rebound after the drop is shallow and lacks strong bullish candles.

This suggests the market is unable to regain bullish momentum.

🔹 Risk Management

The Stop Loss is placed above the recent swing high (1.38845), protecting against sudden spikes.

The Target is set at 1.37977, aligning with recent support levels and offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.

🔹 Trade Outlook

This setup anticipates continuation of the bearish trend after the trendline break. Unless price reclaims and sustains above 1.3885, sellers remain favored in the short term. A successful breakdown could open the way for deeper downside in USDCAD.

✅ Summary:
Bearish structure confirmed by trendline break, bearish moving average alignment, and weak recovery → Entered short at 1.38469, targeting 1.37977 with stop at 1.38845.
Trade closed: target reached

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