USD Recovery Gains Momentum Ahead of Core PPI and Unemployment..

Sep 10

As the market gears up for the release of key economic indicators such as the USD Core PPI m/m, PPI m/m, and Unemployment Claims, the USD has shown signs of recovery. This rebound began yesterday and has continued into today’s London session, where the USD/JPY pair is trading around 143.50 as I write this article.

The pair’s recent movement follows a strong carry trade impact on the JPY, which caused the price to drop significantly from the 162 level to where we find it today. However, the USD/JPY has encountered a demand zone, showing signs of potential stabilization. Supporting this outlook is the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which indicates that retail traders are still predominantly short on the pair, while fund managers have begun adding to their long positions, signaling a possible shift in sentiment.

From a technical standpoint, this setup presents a favorable opportunity for a long position, aligning with forecasts we've been tracking over the last two weeks. The pair's current price action and its position near the demand zone suggest the potential for a reversal.

Today’s economic releases will be crucial in determining the next move for the USD/JPY. The data could provide further clarity on the USD’s recovery path and offer a better understanding of the broader market environment. For now, traders eyeing long positions will be watching the news closely, awaiting confirmation of the technical and fundamental cues aligning for the pair.

JPY Futures - Weekly Chart.



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