Silver stepping lower?

Silver has been making lower lows and lower highs. This indicates price is trending down. Price has moved back to the moving average. In other words: it has reversed to the mean. From here there is a high probability prices will continue moving lower with the trend. If price moves up past the recent high, then the trade is invalidated. I have entered at market with a stop above the recent swing high and a take profit target at the lows of December 2018.

This is my entry in the Samurai Trading log:
Date Pair Direction Trade Trend Level Signal Entry
2019-05-07 XAGUSD Short With trend Down Dynamic Resistance Indicision Market