Bearish Continuation with Potential Reversal!

Updated
XAUUSD
4H Chart
Current Price: 2563.200

Descending Channel:
A bearish pattern where price moves between two downward-sloping parallel trendlines, with the upper trendline acting as resistance and the lower trendline as support. This indicates sellers are in control, pushing the price lower with each rally.

Bearish Continuation Pennant:
A chart pattern that forms after a sharp decline, followed by a small symmetrical triangle. It indicates a pause in the downtrend before the price continues lower, with sellers in control. A breakout to the downside confirms the continuation of the bearish trend.
snapshot

RSI Bullish Divergence:
RSI Bullish Divergence occurs when the price forms lower lows, but the Relative Strength Index (RSI) forms higher lows. This indicates a weakening downtrend and suggests that the bearish momentum is slowing, potentially signaling a reversal to the upside.
snapshot

Key Levels:
• Strong Pivot: 2578.125
• Ultimate Support: 2500.00
• Major Resistance: 2656.379

Outlook:
After analysing, we can see that the price has been rejected multiple times from Strong Pivot at 2578.125, and has formed a Bearish Continuation pattern. Since the RSI is below the 50 line, it is still considered bearish territory, so the price is most likely to drop to the Ultimate Support (psychological level). Then, we expect the RSI Bullish Divergence to show its effect and push the price back to the Strong Pivot (2578.125). After a breakout of this level, we expect the price to reach the Major Resistance at 2656.379.

Happy Trading
Note
During the Asian session, the price formed a gap and surged strongly, reaching 2597.31. It has now approached the confluence of the Descending and Ascending Channels, slightly surpassing 2597.31. This area aligns with a significant resistance zone.

Given these factors, we anticipate a potential decline from the resistance zone, with the price likely to fill the gap within the next few hours.
snapshot
Good luck with your trades! 🚀
Note
Why is Gold Rising?
Russia revised its nuclear policy, allowing potential use of atomic weapons, coinciding with Ukraine’s first use of US-made missiles on Russian soil. Meanwhile, investors are watching the Federal Reserve, with many still expecting a 25bps rate cut in December, though strong economic data has made this less certain. Goldman Sachs recommended investing in gold, citing these developments. As a result, gold prices have been climbing steadily since Monday.
Trade closed manually
Note
New analysis published due to reversal signals.
Bearish PennantChart PatternsTechnical IndicatorspotentialreversalzoneSupport and ResistanceTrend AnalysisXAUUSD

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