Back to 4H Frame – Fed & Inflation Shape Gold Path

Gold on the 4H timeframe is consolidating near premium supply after multiple liquidity sweeps. Recent U.S. inflation data kept the dollar resilient, while traders anticipate upcoming Fed commentary for clearer policy direction. Price rejected from the 3,795 supply pocket and is now retracing toward discount demand zones. Market structure suggests engineered sweeps below support before bullish continuation into Q4.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (4H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,692 – 3,694 (SL 3,685): Discount demand aligned with liquidity grab, ideal for continuation longs.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,795 – 3,797 (SL 3,804): Premium supply pocket where liquidity sweeps may trigger short-term rejections.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand Reaction
• Entry: 3,692 – 3,694
• Stop Loss: 3,685
• Take Profits:
 TP1: 3,715
 TP2: 3,740
 TP3: 3,760+
👉 Smart money may engineer a sweep below 3,694 before reversing higher. Watch for bullish rejection patterns at demand.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Supply Reaction
• Entry: 3,795 – 3,797
• Stop Loss: 3,804
• Take Profits:
 TP1: 3,780
 TP2: 3,765
 TP3: 3,750
👉 Short-term liquidity scalp opportunity against trend. Valid if price fails to break above breakout point.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Bias remains bullish medium-term, but intraday sweeps into demand zones are expected as Fed officials continue to push cautious monetary guidance. Liquidity hunts around 3,795 supply and 3,694 demand will likely define the week’s volatility before a decisive breakout.