TIME CYCLE AND FIBONACCI SPIRAL" GOD MUST BE A MATHEMATICIAN " If we look at the construction of universe and movements of the planets & other celestial objects movements, flowering & fruiting cycles in trees etc. everything has a pattern and they are cyclical in nature. That very same assumption is applied and works well in stock market, commodities and forex as well.
Identifying the time zones of a stocks is a pure trial and error method where one needs to find the high and low making cycle of a particular stock manually. Here NLC INDIA LTD has been taken as an example and a Price and Time analysis has been done on monthly chart using Time Zones & Fibonacci Spiral for future support and hypothetical path identification.
The lows of the trend labelled as W, X,Y in rectangular spots. Point "X" has been formed 79 Months after the point "W". But magically Point "Y" has been formed after 79 months after Point "X"
The highs of the trend are labelled as A & B in circular spot. Point "B" has been formed 79 Months after Point "A". Looking at the cycle of 79 Months in the Lows and Highs Formation we can make an assumption that the next high ( Point "C" ) would be after 79 Months from Point "B" ie. Dec 2023.
Fibonacci Spiral is a natural pattern that can be seen everywhere in nature including flowers, pinecones, hurricanes and even huge spiral galaxies in space. This is rarely used but useful pattern in charts for finding expected supports and resistance. In this chart we can see that after the formation of low at Point "Y", with the help of Fibonacci Spiral we have a continuous expected support. Till now after 2.5 Years the monthly closing of a single candle has never been below the Fibonacci Spiral(try to adjust the X axis of the chart incase you don't see a perfect fit) .So the fact if Fibonacci Spiral used wisely can be a useful pattern for finding support and resistance levels cannot be denied.
Currently NLC INDIA LTD is at resistance of the trendline drawn from the previous 2 highs ie. Point "A" & "B". Hopefully it will breakout because stock increases at a increasing near its high, which hasn't happened yet with this stock. Till now NLC_INDIA is far away from its expected high according to the time cycle and Trend based fibonacci retracement level. The gann level of 1.33 is at 136.55 by Trend based fibonacci retracement and the expected time is Dec 2023 time cycle. Thus this is how a hypothetical conclusion can be drawn that NLC INDIA LTD will attain a price level of 136.55 by DEC 2023.
Recently a study was done on NIFTY, predicting perfectly the low making day and the target date for NIFTY proving that time cycles works very well with indices and stocks.Link has been given below.
STUDY & ANALYSIS
ADARSH KUMAR DEY
Fibonaccianalysis
What is Fibonacci extension?Hey everyone! 👋
Last time we explained some of the basics to know when it comes to understanding the Fibonacci retracement tool. If you haven’t read that post, be sure to check it out here:
In this post, we are going to look at the Fibonacci extension along with a few exhibits that may help you solidify your understanding of this unique trading tool.
Please remember this is an educational post to help everyone better understand investing and trading tools. In no way are we trying to promote a particular style of trading!
Table of Contents:
1. What are Fibonacci extension levels?
2. What is the significance of extension levels?
3. How to find extension levels?
4. Difference between the Fibonacci retracement and Fibonacci extension
Without further ado, let’s jump in!
What are Fibonacci extension levels?
A Fibonacci extension is a tool that can be used to find price targets or estimate how far a price may move after the retracement/pullback is over.
Extension levels are also possible areas of interest where the price may stall or reverse.
It can be used to find projected areas of support or resistance when the price is moving into an area where other methods of finding support or resistance are not applicable or evident.
Fibonacci extension levels can be calculated to give the trader ideas on profit targets.
Significance of Fibonacci extension levels
Different traders use this tool differently but the most common usage is as follows:
Fibonacci extensions can be used for any timeframe and in any market- stocks, commodities, cryptocurrencies, etc.
Fibonacci extension levels indicate a price area that will be significant for the stock after the pullback/correction is over.
Extension levels can be drawn on different price waves over time. When levels from these different waves converge at one price, that could be a very important area.
For example , A stock may be in an uptrend. After a move up, it retraces to the 61.8% level. Then, it starts to go up again. In this case, the extension tool can be used to find the optimal targets after the price moves above the swing high level (100% level).
How to find Fibonacci extension levels?
In order to find the Fibonacci extension levels, you have to find the recent significant swing high and swing low and then plot the Fibonacci extension accordingly.
For uptrend: First, select the swing low and then the swing high. Then go to the Fibonacci settings and select reverse.
For downtrend: First, select the swing high and then the swing low. Then go to the Fibonacci settings and select reverse.
Exhibit: Fibonacci extension in an uptrend
Exhibit: Fibonacci extension in a downtrend
Difference Between Fibonacci Retracements and Fibonacci Extensions
Fibonacci retracements provide levels for a pullback whereas Fibonacci extensions provide levels in the direction of the existing trend.
For instance, a stock goes from 50 to 100 and then falls back to 75. The move from 100 to 75 is a retracement. If the price starts rallying again and goes to 150, that is an extension because the price moved past the previous swing high which is 100 in this case.
Conclusion:
Adding Fibonacci analysis with other common methods of technical analysis can be useful for adding confluence to a trade.
Thanks for reading! Hope this was helpful!
See you all next week. 🙂
– Team TradingView
Feel free to check us out on Twitter and Instagram for more awesome content! 💘
What is Fibonacci retracement?If you have been in the market for some time, you may have heard of “Fibonacci retracements” . Today we are going to share an informative write-up along with a few exhibits that may help you solidify your understanding of this concept.
Table of Contents:
1. What are Fibonacci levels?
2. What is the significance of retracement levels?
3. How to find retracement levels?
4. How to use the retracement levels?
Without further ado, let’s jump in!
What are Fibonacci Retracement levels?
The retracement levels are horizontal lines that indicate areas where the price could stall or reverse.
These horizontal levels can act as potential support or resistance levels.
They are based on Fibonacci numbers. Each level is associated with a percentage which means how much of a prior move the price has retraced.
The retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%.
While 50% is not a pure Fibonacci ratio, it is still used as a support and resistance. This is because people regard it as an important level.
The price won’t always bounce from these levels. They should be looked at as areas of interest. Hence, the Fibonacci retracement should be used as a confirmation tool.
Significance of Fibonacci Retracement levels
Different traders use this tool differently but the most common usage is as follows:
Place entry orders
Determine stop-loss levels
Set price targets
For example, A stock may be in an uptrend. After a move up, it retraces to the 61.8% level. Then, it starts to go up again. Since the bounce occurred at a retracement level during an uptrend, long positions can be initiated with an optimal stop loss.
Finding Fibonacci Retracement levels
In order to find the retracement levels, you have to identify the recent significant swing high and swing low and then plot the Fibonacci accordingly.
For uptrend: First, select the swing low and then the swing high.
For downtrend: First, select the swing high and then the swing low.
Exhibit: Fibonacci retracement in an uptrend
Exhibit: Fibonacci retracement in a downtrend
How to use the retracement levels?
If the price is approaching a Fibonacci level, you should look out for the following things at the point of interaction or in the vicinity of the level.
Reversal candlestick patterns
Rising volumes
Moving average
RSI divergence
Previous support/resistance level
Conclusion:
Adding Fibonacci analysis with other common methods of technical analysis can be useful for adding confluence to a trade.
Thanks for reading! Hope this was helpful!
See you all next week. 🙂
– Team TradingView
Feel free to check us out on Twitter and Instagram for more awesome content! 💘
Trade using Pitchfork and PitchFanPitchFORK + PitchFAn is very acuurate When it comes to find the point of reversal.
In this chart one can easily find the point of reversal just by looking at important levels of pitchfork.
If pitch fork is drawn accurately it will definitely help you in your intraday/positional trading.
Draw pitchfor at daily time frame and then use it in your trading either on hourly/30min/15min/5min it will give you amazing results.
good luck guys....