why risk management is important in tradingWithout appropriate risk management, events like this can lead to: Loss of all your trading capital or more. Losses that are too large given your overall financial position. Having to close positions in your account at the wrong time because you don't have enough liquid funds available to cover margin.
Key Takeaways:
#Trading can be exciting and even profitable if you are able to stay focused, do due diligence, and keep emotions at bay.
#Still, the best traders need to incorporate risk management practices to prevent losses from getting out of control.
#Having a strategic and objective approach to cutting losses through stop orders, profit taking, and protective puts is a smart way to stay in the game.
Riskreward
Trade like a casino Operator (Risk Management) Trading Like a Casino
Introduction:
If you want to become a successful trader, it's essential to adopt a mindset similar to that of a casino. In this tutorial, we will explore how casinos operate and extract valuable principles that we can apply to our own trading. Two key components of a casino's success are having an edge and implementing effective risk management. By understanding and replicating these principles, we can increase our profitability in the long run.
How does a Casino operate?
- Casinos operate with an edge, meaning they have an advantage in every transaction.
- Understanding the concept of probability is crucial. Games like roulette demonstrate that the outcomes are not evenly split between options.
- Casinos calculate their edge by analyzing the probabilities of each outcome, which allows them to ensure profitability.
- Risk management is also a vital aspect of a casino's operation. They set maximum limits on bets to protect their downside.
Trade like a Casino
- As traders, we want to replicate the casino's success by incorporating the same principles into our trading.
- Our goal is to have an edge in every trade we take and implement effective risk management to protect our capital.
- By aligning these two components, we can create a profitable trading system.
Applying the principles to trading
- Trading is a probability game. Each trade has a probability of going up or down.
- To gain an edge, we need to identify the probability of our trades and establish our trading style.
- Having a high probability trade doesn't guarantee success, but it improves our chances.
- Risk management is crucial to protect our capital. We should only risk a small percentage of our account on each trade (e.g., 2%).
- Balancing our edge and risk management will help us become successful traders.
Backtesting and refining strategies
- Once we have identified our edge and established risk management, we need to test our strategies.
- Backtesting involves analyzing historical data to see if our strategies have been consistently profitable.
- By testing and refining our strategies, we can ensure they work in real market conditions.
- Continuous evaluation and improvement are necessary for long-term success.
Conclusion:
Trading like a casino involves having an edge and implementing risk management. By understanding and applying these principles, we can increase our profitability as traders. Remember to assess the probability of each trade, establish risk management rules, and test your strategies. Just like a casino, our goal is to create a consistently profitable system that ensures long-term success in trading.
Mastering Risk-to-Reward Ratio: A Crucial Element in TradingTrading in financial markets involves risks, and managing them effectively is essential for success. One crucial aspect of trading is mastering the risk-to-reward ratio. By understanding this concept, traders can enhance their profitability, minimize losses, and achieve consistency in their trading results. In this article, we will explore the significance of the risk-to-reward ratio, strategies to achieve it, factors to consider, case studies, common mistakes to avoid, and tips for developing a risk management plan.
📊 Understanding Risk-to-Reward Ratio 📊
Definition and Calculation:
The risk-to-reward ratio is the ratio of the potential loss to the potential profit in a trade. It is calculated by dividing the distance between the entry price and stop-loss level by the distance between the entry price and take-profit level. For example, a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3 means risking $100 to potentially make $300.
📊 Importance of Risk Management 📊
Risk management is crucial in trading, and the risk-to-reward ratio is a vital component of a trader's risk management strategy. By defining this ratio before entering a trade, traders can evaluate the viability of the trade and align it with their overall trading strategy.
📊 Benefits of Mastering Risk-to-Reward Ratio 📊
1. Maximizing Profit Potential
By selecting trades with higher potential rewards relative to the risk taken, traders can maximize their profit potential. This approach allows for consistent profitability even if some trades result in losses.
2. Minimizing Losses
A favourable risk-to-reward ratio helps traders limit potential losses by setting appropriate stop-loss levels and adhering to them. This disciplined approach protects trading capital and enables traders to withstand market volatility.
3. Enhancing Consistency
Mastering the risk-to-reward ratio plays a vital role in achieving consistent trading results. By sticking to trades with a favourable ratio, traders can reduce the impact of emotional decision-making and foster consistency.
📊 Strategies for Achieving a Favourable Risk-to-Reward Ratio 📊
1. Setting Realistic Targets
Identify potential price levels where the risk-to-reward ratio is favourable and focus on trades with higher probability of success. Ensure that the potential reward justifies the risk taken.
2. Proper Position Sizing
Determine the appropriate position size based on risk tolerance and the risk-to-reward ratio of the trade. Allocating a reasonable portion of trading capital to each trade helps manage risk exposure.
3. Implementing Stop-Loss Orders
Place stop-loss orders at predetermined levels to limit potential losses if the trade moves against expectations. Adhering to the predetermined stop-loss level minimizes emotional decision-making.
4. Utilizing Trailing Stops
Trailing stops allow traders to protect profits while still allowing for potential upside. Adjust the stop-loss level as the trade moves in your favour to capture larger gains while protecting against reversals.
📊 Factors to Consider in Risk-to-Reward Ratio 📊
1. Market Volatility
Consider current market volatility levels and adjust risk-to-reward expectations accordingly. Higher volatility may require wider profit targets and adjusted stop-loss levels.
2. Timeframes and Trading Styles
Different timeframes and trading styles impact the risk-to-reward ratio. Day traders may target smaller profit targets relative to their stop-loss levels, while swing traders may have larger profit targets and wider stop-loss levels.
📊 Case Studies on Risk-to-Reward Ratio 📊
Example 1: Swing Trading
Consider a swing trading example where a trader identifies a stock with a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3. The trade has a stop-loss level set at 5% below the entry price and a profit target set at 15% above the entry price.
Example 2: Day Trading
In day trading, where trades are held for a short duration, a trader may aim for a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:1 or higher. By targeting favourable ratios, day traders can achieve profitability even if a significant number of trades result in losses.
📊 Common Mistakes to Avoid 📊
1. Ignoring Risk Management
Proper risk management is crucial for long-term success. Always consider the risk-to-reward ratio before entering a trade and prioritize risk management techniques.
2. Chasing High Rewards
Avoid chasing trades with unrealistic risk-to-reward ratios. Focus on identifying trades with a balanced risk-to-reward profile rather than solely pursuing high rewards.
3. Failing to Adapt
Adapt risk parameters based on changing market conditions. Regularly evaluate the risk-to-reward ratio and make necessary adjustments to align with the prevailing market environment.
📊 Developing a Risk Management Plan 📊
1. Assessing Risk Tolerance
Understand personal risk tolerance and align it with the risk-to-reward ratio of potential trades. Avoid taking excessive risks that make you uncomfortable and may lead to emotional decision-making.
2. Setting Risk Limits
Establish predefined limits for the maximum amount you are willing to risk per trade or per day. Setting risk limits protects your capital and maintains control over your trading activities.
📈 Conclusion 📈
Mastering the risk-to-reward ratio is crucial for successful trading. By understanding the concept, implementing effective risk management strategies, and consistently evaluating trades based on their risk-to-reward profiles, traders can improve their profitability and achieve consistent trading results. Remember to prioritize risk management, set realistic targets, and adapt to changing market conditions.
Your love and support keep me motivated to write consistently. Please like this Article if you find it helpful and leave your comments with any observations. Thank you for your support, likes, follows, and comments – they keep me motivated to write consistently.
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Emotions should not affect our trade management systemTrader should identify emotions that are affecting our trading management decisions, and find genuine solution to over come from the same to become a better trader.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Stock Market Risks: A Brief Guide to Get ThroughThe stock market can be an exciting and potentially lucrative place to invest, but it also carries significant risks, particularly in the futures and options segment. While the potential for high returns is a major draw, it is essential to understand the risks and take appropriate measures to manage them effectively.
Risks in Futures and Options Segment
Futures and options are derivative products that allow investors to buy or sell a particular asset at a specific price on a future date. This segment can be risky due to the potential for high leverage, meaning that a small investment can lead to significant losses or gains. Moreover, futures and options are often complex instruments that require a solid understanding of the underlying asset.
Risk Aspects in Investment
Investment in the stock market also carries inherent risks, such as market volatility, company-specific risk, and currency risk, among others. These risks can impact the overall performance of your portfolio in the long run.
Risk Aspects in Day Trading
In day trading, an instrument is bought and sold on the same day so as to make a quick profit. While day trading can be profitable, it also carries significant risks due to the high volatility and leverage involved. Day traders need to have a deep understanding of the market and should use technical analysis to make informed decisions.
Step-by-Step Guide for Surviving the Stock Market
1. Educate Yourself: The first step to surviving the stock market is to educate yourself about the risks involved, market trends, and investment strategies. You can attend seminars, read books, and consult with experienced investors or brokers.
2. Set Realistic Goals: Setting realistic financial goals based on your investment horizon, risk appetite, and financial situation is crucial. This not only helps in avoiding impulsive trading but also in staying focussed.
3. Diversify Your Investments: Diversifying your portfolio across different sectors, geographies, and asset classes can help mitigate risks and balance your returns.
4. Have a Disciplined Approach: Avoid chasing quick returns or taking unnecessary risks. Have a disciplined approach to investing, and stick to your investment plan.
5. Manage Your Risks: Use risk management tools such as stop-loss orders and limit orders to minimize losses. Moreover, one should always try to invest only that much money which one can afford to lose. Other than that there is always need to maintain a cash buffer for emergencies.
In conclusion, the stock market carries significant risks, especially in the futures and options segment. However, with a disciplined approach, a sound investment strategy, and effective risk management, new and struggling traders and investors can survive and thrive in the stock market.
Thanks for reading.
Trading is a waste of time Trading is a waste of time - until you do this!
Welcome back for another exciting video, an educational video, and an eye-opening video for a lot of traders, and I have given it a very, very interesting title that is Trading a Waste of Time.
Let's find out in this short video. Recently reading a book called The Best Loser Wins.
It's written by Tom Hoggard , he goes by the name of Trader Tom on YouTube .And I urge you to check him out. There are some things that I have learned from his book and I'd like to share it with you.
The particular data is of 2019 and these brokers are all located in European Union and, by law they are required to post the failure rates , how many clients are losing money in their market in their accounts.
Out of a hundred clients, 89 clients were in a loss. And the situation is same for almost each and every broking houses.
So eventually the brokers are making money, but the clients are not.
Whenever as a beginner or even a seasoned trader, we are looking at these data and we believe that we are not in this statistical data. We are in the winning percentage in the remaining 10%, but it's not like that for the markets. We are just a statistic. Right? And even if you look at the top 10 broking forms in the world, the majority of people are in a loss.
So that really makes us ask this question. Is trading really a waste of time? Are we just wasting our time in trading? And a lot of people, it's a very fine detail and a lot of people might agree with me that, in the initial stages it's really hard to be consistent in making money, right?
And I'll discuss the reason with you because this particular reason is not discussed.
The social media of Twitter, YouTube, it has all created an image where if you're not doubling your money every month, then you are a loser in the market.
But in fact, trading is a very tough profession and it's really hard to make money and initial days protecting your money is one of the biggest tasks in surviving in the market.
Protecting yourself from ruin is one of the biggest achievements in trading.
So whenever we are starting our journey as a trader, where is our focus? What are the questions we are looking for? What are the things we are usually focused on? , we are on the internet looking for strategies, how to do scalping, how to do seing trading, how to use the indicators, the MACD and RSI, and how we can use different types of breakout indicators, right?
These are the focal points of. I remember when I started trading, these are the things I was looking for. A hundred percent strategy, no loss strategy. These are the things that I was looking for initially, but these are usually the wrong answers.
You know, in an area where 90% people are in a loss, then you need to ask yourself that.
Because it has never been easier to trade because you go back 10 to 15 years, it was not easy to trade. You had to call your broker. And now we have an online trading system where we can just buy and sell stocks at an instant, right?
That leads to high liquidity. And high liquidity usually means you can enter and. Very fast and you don't have to pay much for it. And you have all the tools available, especially a tool like Trading View, where you get each and every trading charts, indicators without paying a single penny.
So it has never ever been easier to trade. So why are we all still losing money? We are only creating brokerage for our broking firm.
This takes us to another and final topic is that in the year 2019, one Forex brokerage firm did an analysis of over 25,000 traders.
And over a span of 15 months or 16 months.
So that is a long period of time and over five crore trades were analyzed.
So it was a very big data to analyze and that would give us a clear picture.
So in that analysis it was recorded that out of hundred. , the traders were profitable in 60 of them and they lost money in 40 of them.
So this is a very good data, right? Your win, your hit ratio is very high in the total amount of trades.
So eventually the data is in your favor, but there's a small catch . When the traders are winning, they're winning 40 points.
And when they lose, they lose around 75 points. This is a recipe for disaster. This particular thing created a lot of problems for me in the initial trades during my initial career.
And this might be creating a lot of problems for people who are trading for the past one or two years in this high VIX environment because, you know, on paper, on week to week basis, you are winning And, and suddenly there's one particular day when you lose it all and that is the day when it drags your capital back to square one.
So this is the biggest reason why it's very difficult for people to manage their trades.
Cause it all comes down to how much you win when you win, and how much you lose when you lose.
This brings us to the concept of risk . right in this modern area, uh, where option selling and creating spreads and selling naked options has been a very famous thing to do for the past couple of years. That is what happens whenever you're selling options, you have a probability of one 68%.
That is a one standard deviation, right?
So out of hundred trades you are going to win in 68% of them. But what you do and how you come out of the remaining 30 trades when the situation is not going to go in your favor, that is all going to matter.
And that is the crux of thing that makes your journey as a successful trader.
Our position in the market is very, very small for the market to know that we even exist or not.
If you look at the data, if you just reverse the win and the loss points, even if you're winning only 50% of the times, then also your position is going to be in a net profit.
So that's it for the guys.
That makes this particular question really interesting. Is trading a waste of time?
You're wasting of time, or are you smart enough to realize this thing that the other traders are doing and are in a loss?
And what are you doing to improve this position and to improve your survival In this market.
So that's it for you guys. I hope I have provided some value in this video, and if you found the video helpful, don't forget to follow me @piyushrawtani Trading View. And if you have any queries, feel free to post it in the comments section.
Thank you very much and good night.
Rules to keep in mind while trading to became successful traderMost traders and investors treat trading as a hobby, because, they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Anyone who wants to become a profitable stock trader need only spend a few minutes online to find such phrases as plan your trade, trade your plan and keep your losses to a minimum.
For new traders, these things can seem more like a distraction than actionable advice. If you're new to trading, you probably just want to know how to hurry up and make money.
Each of the rules below is important, but when they work together the effects are strong. Keeping them in mind can greatly increase your odds of succeeding in the markets.
Key Takeaways
Treat trading like a business, not a hobby or a job. Learn everything about the business. Set realistic expectations for your business.
Rule 1: Trade based on Rule, when in doubt, stay out, Always Use a Trading Plan
Rule 2: Treat Trading Like a Business, not as a hobby
Rule 3: Proper position sizing is the key
Rule 4: Use Stop loss never trade based on hope, Protect Your Trading Capital
Rule 5: Constantly Analyze your mistakes and try to learn from it, become a student of the markets
Rule 6: Think about the risk potential before your reward potential, Risk only what you can afford to lose
Rule 7: Develop a methodology based on Facts, The objective is not to buy low and sell high, but to buy high and to sell higher
Rule 8: Trend is our real friend so Don't fight the trend
Rule 9: Never, under any circumstance add to a losing position
Conclusion
Understanding the importance of each of these trading rules, and how they work together, can help a trader establish a viable trading business. Trading is hard work, and traders who have the discipline and patience to follow these rules can increase their odds of success in a very competitive areas.
This post is just for educational and motivational purpose,
See you all next week. 🙂
RK
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
IRON FLY STRATEGY FOR NIFTY 10 MAR EXPIRYIron Fly is a non directional strategy that works very well in a sideways market. I was of the view that the market would be sideways for the reasons mentioned in the video. This worked very well for the weekly expiry and it is used very often in confusing markets such as this.
This was one of my first attempts at vocally explaining strategies so I may not have been as clear in the details.
Let me know if you have any questions about this strategy in the comments. Please LIKE if you would want to see more content like this. :)
TRADING CHECKLIST BEFORE TAKING ANY TRADEThe trading checklist is simply summarized trading plan. It is a plan where you can check the things you require to open a new trade. It is like an entrance exam, which you should pass in order to be ready for trading. The trade checklist is a personal thing, your list works for you, but not necessarily for another trader. This happens because everyone has their own strategy that he likes and trust. The above list works well for me, create your list and follow it religiously to boost your results. The best part of having this list is that it is not complicated or difficult to remember. The list is very easy and after using it a few times, good trading habits begin to form. I have found that if you create a checklist, it will assist in having the discipline to stick to your plan.
NIFTY Analysis [Potential Zones] & Risk Management RulesNSE:NIFTY has dropped more than 10% since 03-June-19 and the sharp fall will definitely provide long term investors and institutions a buying opportunity. The chart shows the zones which the the market could potentially react from.
Technical analysis or market timing is not the only key methods to successfully trade or invest, its a combination of pre-defined set of rules of risk management principles for losing trades and the ability to have the patience with your winning trades.
RMS rules for Intraday traders:
1) Risk 1% of the account size on each trade, not more not less.
2) Find maximum 3 trading opportunities each day. Make sure you find those high probability trades and place 3 trades on each trading day.
3) Risk/Reward at 2:1.
4) ALWAYS PLACE A STOP LOSS. Placing a stop loss separates a novice from a professional.
5) Do not forget rule no.4
The Power of Hard StopsThere is general perception among the traders that if you place a stop loss order, it 'll be taken out sooner than later.
Even I published similar idea in one of my posts (I ll tag below later).
So "Stops get taken" is the general concept. Is it valid or not? Let us check with a simple logic and a few assumptions.
I am using a simple assumption that stops get taken but not always. Let us take generally accepted 50% rule.
It means if you place a hard stop in the market in 100 trades, it will be taken away in 50 trades.
My second assumption is that the trader knows his edge in the market. Which means he knows when to take a high probability trade AND knows money management (takes number of shares as per his risk on capital) and risk management (dun take more than 2% risk on his capital in a single trade).
The third assumption is that the trader takes 1:2 risk to reward ratio in each and every trade he takes.
So, with all these assumptions a trader enters in a market and takes 100 traders (may be in a month or more whenever his edge calls for a trade).
As per our 50% assumption he loses in 50 trades, i.e, 50*1=50 pts. For the remaining 50 trades he made 50*2=100 pts.
So Net he made 100-50=50 points.
So according to this hypothesis a trader would never be in a losing position even if he places hard stops in the market.
I think those traders who use hard stops for EOD position lose more frequently than those who go for 1:2 target, coz the target in the latter is highly likely to be achieved. Opening a position in the morning and holding it till EOD can make a jackpot on some days while take big stops on most days especially when market is not trending.
Well it all depends upon the trader's style.
For me personally, the 1:2 profits are good for those who want to trade for a living. Stops are my insurance in a trade, or THE ONLY THING IN TRADING THAT IS IN MY CONTROL.
I hope it makes sense to most traders and might change the perception about stops for some of them.
Trade Safe, Stay Healthy
Keep liking
Regards
Share Trading: Is it a Better Business ?? For Whom ???Put 10k in the market, buy stocks worth 50k or more on leverage and sell at 1k profit which is 10% profit on the investment capital..That's amazing!! Isn't it?
The bad part is, the anomalies to this hypothesis adversely impacts more than 90% of time. And the so called 'better business' turns out to be a losing affair for more than 90% of our trading community.
Let's first discuss about our losing 90% trading community:
A beginner takes his first trade on hunch and wins.. beginners luck..builds confidence..takes second trade and wins..no fear..may be he wins a couple of more and the beginner increases the trade size..over confidence and greed..he starts losing and bursts his account in aggressive attempts to win back profits at first and regain the losses lately.
What went wrong with this beginner?
Greed prevailed rationality
Lack of strategy or Edge in the markets
Revenge attitude
What about the remaining less than 10% of the trading community?
The most successful ones start with a predefined strategy..primary reliance on trade management..patterns and techniques come next..backtesting the strategy..paper trading..followed by real trading..flexible approach as far as the edge in the market is concerned..no fear..no greed..just exact plan execution.
So what makes these 10% better over the others?
The answer is..some important traits.
Let's briefly discuss some of these important traits.
Trade management
Pros are always ready to miss a trade not qualifying the pre defined risk to reward ratio. Normally 1:1 RRR is good, 1:2 is better and anything higher than that is the best. Not only RRR but trade management also involves trade sizing which is a subset of RRR. Suppose I want to take max. risk Rs. 1000 on a trade. On a particular set up, my stop comes out to be 2 points on a 200 Rs. stock. In this case my trade size would be 500 shares..just an example.
Edge in the market
OR the strategy which tells where, when and why to buy or sell. It could be a candlestick pattern or a combination of patterns. It could be an indicator buy or sell signal. The key here is to have patience for the signal. If there are multiple confirmations confluencing at the signal, it would be a high probability setup. Our Edge in the market and trade management then go hand in hand to make our day.
No fear no greed
According to best practitioners it's good to take some profits off the table at first predefined target. B'coz no matter how high probability the set up is, there are always some chances that it could turn out to be a loser. Remaining position can be trailed for substantial bonus gains. If a trade does not go in favor at first instance, just get out at predefined stop without extending losses. Suppressing greed would definitely improve win to loss ratio.
Greed kills but fear is a psychological breakdown. Fear bores over-protection in the trader. The trader may miss several best setups due to fear of failure. A beautiful trade missed is as painful as a losing trade. It has been observed that simple breathing exercises have significant impact on our cognitive functionality, which helps in overcoming fear of taking calculated risks.
So who can teach the trader the cannons of best trading practices?
No one but the trader himself. Of course a good mentor can make things less difficult but it all comes with practice and experience. However, the fact is that, most of us would not learn unless we lose some or most of our hard earned money.
Although I deliberately missed some concepts due to time and space constraints yet I hope the brief discussion highlighted important points concerned to share trading.
Do hit Like and comment.
Trade safe, be healthy.
Regards
Bravetotrade
Trading - Risk ManagementHi ,
All the post are on trading /technical analysis. So thought of putting something on risk management .
What is Risk Management ? Now don't look blank, if your in markets you have to know about it.
Does every trade has risk and Is quantum of profit assured ? Yes every trade comes with risk and no assurance of profit.
How much risk can you take ?
Lets begin by example , Let say you have capital of 1 lakh.
Than the Basic risk you can take is 7 % of capital , why 7 ? I just divided 1 lakh with 13 (fib number) , we get 7.69 (approx 8) which is also fib number. So lets round it to lower side 7 so 7 % of capital .
So your risk profile is 7 thousand on capital of 1 lakh, if you decide to take 2 trade it becomes 3.5 thousand per trade ,
3 trades is 2300 per trade.
What risk reward ratio trade you can take ?
Risk : Reward has be 1:2 minimum , 1:3 and above is better , 1:1 risk reward can ruin you out of market
(Refer : Google it : Nauzer Balsara :Risk to ruin)
What position size you can take ?
So once you know your risk is 7 thousand on capital of one lakh and let say you decide to enter a trade with stop loss of 10 Rs than the position size you can take is 7000/10 = 700 shares ,i.e you cannot enter into trade where lot size is 5000.
How muck risk can you take per day , per month ?
Your risk per day and per month remains same , if you suffer loss of 7 thousand on capital of 1 lakh in between the month than you have to wait for next month for taking a fresh trade (Remember markets are forever but your capital is limited)
Rather than taking 7% risk you can choose it on lower side also like 6,5,4 as per your choice,
Above points should act like a reference.