EUR/USD Near 1.10300 USD Support, Short-Term Upside PotentialThe H3 chart of EUR/USD shows the price approaching a crucial support level around 1.10300 USD, a zone that has held firm previously and may trigger an upward move if unbroken.
The 20 SMA is currently exerting downward pressure, but if the support holds, a short-term recovery is possible.
The price is also trading near the lower Bollinger Band, indicating the potential for a bounce from this support level.
Traders might consider buying near the 1.10300 USD support if clear reversal signals emerge.
Market sentiment for EUR/USD is still influenced by economic and political factors from both the Eurozone and the U.S.
[b]forex
USD/JPY Rises Strongly with EMA Support and BoJ PolicyThe USD/JPY pair is currently trading around 146.716, with an upward trend supported by the trendline.
The chart shows that the EMA 34 is supporting the price, while the EMA 89 provides a support zone around 146. The EMA 34 crossing above the EMA 89 signals a short-term uptrend.
The RSI is at 68.04, indicating that USD/JPY is nearing overbought territory. This could lead to a short-term correction as the price approaches the resistance zone.
If the price breaks through the 147.300 resistance level, the upward trend could continue strongly, with the next target possibly at 148.286 or higher.
As for news: The Bank of Japan (BoJ) continues to maintain its loose monetary policy, creating a significant interest rate differential between the USD and JPY, driving this currency pair higher.
SHIBUSDT Technical AnalysisWhen the SHIBUSDT 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue in a downward trend. As long as the crypto's 0.00001466 level cannot be passed upwards, it is evaluated that in price movements below the 0.00001254 level, it can break down the 0.00001081 level and retreat to the 0.00000906 level.
BTCUSDT Technical AnalysisWhen the BTCUSDT hourly chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue in a downward trend. As long as the crypto's level of 58449 cannot be passed upwards, it is evaluated that in price movements below the level of 57210, it can break the level of 55685 and retreat to the level of 53952.
GBPUSD: Falling wedge teases buyers ahead of UK/US dataThe GBPUSD currency pair is currently at its lowest point in over a week as traders wait for important data releases on Wednesday. This data includes the UK’s S&P Global/CIPS PMIs for August and the US Factory Orders and JOLTS Job Openings for July. The Pound Sterling has recently broken below a key support level comprising a one-month-old ascending trend line, which has now become resistant.
Bullish technical formation, bumpy road to south challenge GBPUSD bears
Despite the recent decline, the GBPUSD pair is holding up well due to a bullish pattern known as a falling wedge and several support levels. The MACD indicator also shows a decreasing bearish trend, which could help GBP/USD buyers. Additionally, the RSI indicator suggests there isn’t strong market support for the current downtrend.
Technical levels to watch
While the short-term falling wedge restricts the GBPUSD pair’s immediate moves between 1.3080 and 1.3120, the support-turned-resistance line from early August and a seven-week-long horizontal region act as additional trading filters around 1.3150 and 1.3050-35 respectively.
Apart from that, the 50-SMA and 200-SMA could challenge the momentum traders around 1.3170 and 1.2935 in that order.
In a case where the GBPUSD pair remains firmer past 1.3170, it will refresh the yearly high while aiming for the falling wedge confirmation’s theoretical target surrounding 1.3300.
Alternatively, a downside break of the 200-SMA support of 1.2935 will make the Cable pair vulnerable to slump toward mid-August swing low near 1.2800.
Looking forward…
In the short term, GBPUSD might continue to trend lower, but the bears are losing momentum. Any disappointment in US data could quickly bring buyers back into the market, especially given the bullish technical indicators.
USDJPY: Bears flex muscles within five-week-old triangleThe USDJPY currency pair has fallen for the first time in five days after hitting a resistance level on a one-month-old chart pattern. This drop reflects a shift to safer investments as traders await important economic data and deal with the return of full trading activity after a long weekend in the US and Canada.
Buyers losing ground
Along with the change in market sentiment, a few technical indicators suggest the USDJPY might keep falling. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is moving out of the overbought zone, and the MACD is showing less bullish momentum. However, sellers need to see the price drop below 144.20 to gain control.
Technical levels to watch
The important support level is 144.20. If the price falls below this, it might continue to drop. The 100-day simple moving average (SMA) at 146.10 is another key level that limits immediate losses. Additional support levels are 144.00 and the August low of around 143.40. If the price drops further, it could target the seven-month low of 141.70 and the psychological level of 140.00.
On the contrary, an upside break of the stated triangle’s top line, currently around 147.30, isn’t an open invitation to the USDJPY buyers as the 200-SMA hurdle of 148.80 acts as an extra upside filter. Also challenging the Yen pair buyers is mid-August swing high near 149.40 and the 150.00 round figure.
What next?
The USDJPY is likely to continue falling and might hit new lows for the year. However, the sellers need confirmation from upcoming US economic data and a break below the key support level of 144.20.
GBPJPY: 200-SMA again challenges buyers amid sluggish week-startGBPJPY reached a one-month high but then pulled back from the 200-day moving average (SMA) as traders get ready for important news this week, including PMIs and the US jobs report. The US and Canadian Labor Day holidays are allow the cross-currency pair to consolidate the previous weekly gains, especially amid the cautious mood in the market.
GBPJPY buyers slowly tighten their grip…
Although the 200-SMA has been restricting the GBPJPY pair’s upside momentum since mid-July, a higher low formation in the last fortnight signals that the buyers are gradually winning over. Also, the bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI conditions add strength to the upside bias.
Key technical levels to watch…
Given the 200-SMA’s repeated attempts to stall the GBPJPY upside, the buyers are advised to wait for a daily break past the key moving average, around 192.25, to take fresh long positions. Following that, the 50% and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the quote’s December 2023 to July 2024 upside, respectively near 193.30 and 196.75, will lure the bulls. It’s worth noting, however, that a seven-month-old previous support line, close to 199.00, quickly followed by the 200.00 psychological magnet, could test the upside momentum.
Meanwhile, a drop below the immediate rising support line at about 190.70 could lead to further declines. Next support levels are around 190.00 and 188.00, with potential further drops to 184.80 and 182.50 before reaching a new yearly low around 180.10.
Looking ahead…
With the US and Canadian holidays and upcoming key economic data, GBPJPY might stabilize in the short term. However, if the market reacts negatively to the data, the bullish trend could be challenged.
Gold: Buyers await triangle breakout, Fed inflationGold prices are currently stable within a triangle pattern that's been forming for a week. Traders are waiting for the US Core PCE Price Index data for August, which is the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation. Gold prices have been fluctuating around last week’s record high, and technical indicators like RSI and MACD suggest mixed signals.
Buyers are optimistic…
Even though gold doesn’t have strong upward momentum right now, last week’s rebound from a key support level, combined with weak US data and a dovish Fed outlook, keeps buyers hopeful. Uncertainty about the global economy and central banks cutting rates also supports this optimism.
Key technical levels to watch…
Gold’s movement is currently limited between $2,530 and $2,504. If it breaks above $2,530 and stays above the recent peak of $2,532, it could move towards $2,600. The triangle pattern suggests an intermediate target of around $2,590.
Meanwhile, a downside break of the stated triangle’s bottom line, close to $2,504, will need validation from the $2,500 psychological magnet and the previous resistance line stretched from mid-July, now support around $2,472, to convince Gold sellers. Even so, a two-month-old ascending trend line surrounding $2,427 will act as the final defense of the buyers.
What next?
Gold is on a positive path and could reach new highs, especially amid the dovish Fed outlook. Even if the upcoming US inflation data is strong, it might only cause a short-term dip, which could be a new buying opportunity.
USD/JPY: Bearish Pressure Below 147.000 USD ResistanceThe H4 chart of USD/JPY shows the pair trading under a descending trendline with consecutively lower highs.
The 34-day EMA currently sits at 145.707 USD, near the lower support level, serving as strong support if the price continues to decline.
The MACD indicator shows divergence between the MACD line and the signal line, indicating weakening bullish momentum, reinforcing the likelihood of a price correction.
Traders might consider selling if the price tests the resistance around 147.000 USD but fails to break through. A take-profit could be set near the 145.000 USD support with a stop-loss slightly above the previous high to minimize risk.
On the news front: U.S. economic data, especially the upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls report, will significantly impact USD/JPY. Positive data could strengthen the USD, supporting the pair's bullish trend.
XAUUSD Facing Resistance Pressure, Clear DowntrendThe 4-hour (H4) chart of XAUUSD shows a strong resistance at $2,500, where the price has repeatedly failed to break through, indicating dominant selling pressure.
The 34-day EMA at $2,506, close to the current resistance, reinforces the short-term downtrend if the price cannot surpass this level.
Current candlestick patterns also support the short-term bearish trend, especially as the price has tested and failed to break the $2,500 resistance multiple times.
Regarding news: International economic and political factors, particularly U.S. labor data this week, will be key influencers on gold prices. If employment data is positive, the USD may strengthen, putting further downward pressure on XAUUSD.
US NFP: Gold Faces USD PressureGold is fluctuating within an upward channel but shows signs of adjustment from the upper resistance area.
On the H4 chart, EMA 34 is above EMA 89, indicating a slight upward trend. However, the continuation of this trend depends on whether the price can bounce back from the support level.
Gold may test the support area at $2,480. If this level holds, the price could recover to the resistance level of $2,530. Otherwise, it may continue to decline to $2,500.
Regarding news: The US NFP report could significantly impact XAUUSD. If NFP is better than expected, the USD will strengthen, putting pressure on gold prices.
Bank-Nifty // 4 Hour //Support and Resistance with SkyTradingMod"Welcome to SkyTradingMod "
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Support Levels: Around 51,000 and 50,700.
Resistance Levels: Around 51,400 and 52,000.
# Normal Support and Resistance we mark on the Post.
The market is currently showing a bullish trend, but it might experience some consolidation before making a decisive move.
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XRPSDT Technical Chart ReviewWhen the XRPUSDT Daily chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue on the trend line. As long as the crypto's 0.4866 level is not broken down, it is evaluated that the price movements above the 0.5484 level can cross the 0.6368 level and target the 0.8378 level.
USDCHF Technical Chart ReviewWhen the USDCHF 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue in a downward trend. As long as the USDCHF level of 0.86222 cannot be passed upwards, it is evaluated that in price movements below the level of 0.84749, it can break the level of 0.83985 and retreat to the level of 0.82176.
USDJPY Technical Chart ReviewWhen the USDJPY daily chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue below the trend line. As long as the USDJPY level of 151.792 cannot be passed upwards, it is evaluated that in price movements below the level of 146.874, it can break down the level of 141.885 and retreat to the level of 135.632.
GBPUSD Technical Chart ReviewWhen the GBPUSD daily chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue in an upward trend. As long as the GBPUSD level of 1.2580 is not broken downwards, it is evaluated that in price movements above the level of 1.2889, it can cross the level of 1.3266 and target the level of 1.3978.
EURUSD Technical Chart ReviewWhen the EURUSD 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue in an upward trend. As long as the EURUSD level of 1.10054 is not broken downwards, it is evaluated that in price movements above the level of 1.10964, it can exceed the level of 1.12000 and target the level of 1.13720.
Gold price fluctuation analysisFundamental Analysis
Upbeat US growth reports and initial jobless claims have pushed back expectations of a deeper Federal Reserve rate cut in September, weighing on non-yielding gold. However, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the war between Russia and Ukraine could boost safe-haven demand, benefiting the yellow metal.
Investors will be closely watching US inflation data for further insight into the potential size of the Fed’s rate cut. The core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, is estimated to have risen 2.7% year-on-year in July, up from 2.6% in June. A weaker-than-expected PCE reading could prompt the Fed to start a rate-cutting cycle, acting as a bullish catalyst for XAU/USD.
Technical Analysis
Gold is pushing higher in the European session ahead of an all-time high. If the resistance at 2525 is broken before the US session starts, we will see a new ATH around 2450. In the event that gold is pushed below 2525 and the US enters, it could push gold deeper into the current support at 2503-2494 as a hurdle ahead before heading towards 2485 to end a volatile Friday for gold.
Resistance: 2530 - 2535 - 2543 - 2550 - 2558 - 2568
Support: 2513 - 2505 - 2500 - 2494 - 2485 - 2472
SELL zone 2541 - 2543 stoploss 2547
SELL zone 2548 - 2550 stoploss 2554
BUY zone 2509 - 2507 stoploss 2503
BUY zone 2485- 2483 stoploss 2480
EURUSD Awaits Rate Signals, Risk of Bullish ReversalInvestors are waiting for rate signals from the Fed as U.S. inflation remains high, while the ECB faces pressure to adjust rates due to the Eurozone's sluggish economy.
The short-term downtrend in EURUSD is prevailing, confirmed by the EMA 34 crossing below the EMA 89, indicating growing selling pressure.
The chart shows strong support around the 1.10630 level, where prices have bounced multiple times, creating a solid support zone.
The resistance zone is around 1.11450, which is a potential target area if prices rebound from the support level.
The RSI (14) is currently hovering around 36-38, suggesting the market is in an oversold state. This indicates a potential reversal or a short-term pullback.
If the price holds the support at 1.10630 and shows a rebound signal, there is a possibility that EURUSD will retest the resistance at 1.11450.
USDJPY Adjusts, Forms New Resistance, Awaiting Signals from BOJCurrently, USDJPY is adjusting after breaking out of a downward channel, creating a new resistance zone at 145.000 and showing signs of a potential reversal.
The EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines are currently above the price, acting as dynamic resistance levels and applying downward pressure.
The key support zone lies around 143.500. If the price drops to this level and strong buying pressure emerges, we can expect a potential rebound from here.
Traders should closely monitor price action at key support and resistance levels. Entering buy or sell positions should be based on clear price action or technical signals.
On the news front: The Japanese yen stabilized on Thursday after a strong rise earlier in the week, driven by bets that the Bank of Japan will further hike interest rates this year following a series of tightening signals from BOJ officials.
RELIANCE Levels // 15 MinReliance Industries has been following 87-period time cycles on the 15-minute chart quite effectively. Combining these time cycles with price action provides a powerful setup for understanding when to take trades. Let’s break it down:
Time Cycles: The 87-period time cycles on the 15-minute chart indicate that Reliance Industries tends to turn upward after every 87 periods, resulting in significant trending moves. This can be a valuable tool for intraday traders.
Price Action: By analyzing price patterns and candlestick techniques, traders can enhance their understanding of market dynamics. Remember that focusing solely on prices or indicators without considering time can lead to failed breakouts.
Application: While this technique works well on the 15-minute chart, you can also apply it to daily charts or higher time frames for more substantial moves.
RELIANCE Levels // 4 HOURHello Everyone 👋
Employee Stock Option Plans (ESOPs): Ahead of its anticipated initial public offering (IPO), Reliance Retail granted ESOPs worth ₹351 crore to 15 senior executives during the last financial year. The company issued 4.417 million shares at ₹796.5 per share to top-level employees, demonstrating its commitment to retaining and rewarding key leadership.
Reliance Retail, owned by Mukesh Ambani, is India’s largest retailer, serving 304 million registered customers and welcoming over 1.06 billion footfalls across its stores in the financial year 2023-24. Its diverse portfolio spans grocery, consumer electronics, fashion, lifestyle, and pharmaceuticals. Notable brands under Reliance Retail include Smart Bazaar, 7-Eleven, Fresh Signature, Freshpik, Netmeds (pharma), Tira (beauty), Reliance Digital, MyJio Store (electronics), and retail chains like Trends, Reliance Jewels, and Hamleys.