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AUD (Australian Dollar)

Risk for AUD/NZD: What's Priced in? Standard Chartered economists see upside risk for AUD/NZD at current levels, especially if the RBA delivers a hawkish hold at its February meeting. They note that the RBA-RBNZ rate differential, currently at 50bps, could widen further, supporting AUD/NZD above 1.11. A decision to keep rates unchanged could surprise markets, pushing AUD/USD even higher. If the RBA signals fewer or smaller cuts ahead—a "hawkish cut"—AUD/NZD could move beyond 1.122. Meanwhile, RSI suggests buyers are gaining momentum, with room to climb before reaching overbought levels.
by BlackBull_Markets
AUDCHF - EXPECTING RESISTANCE BREAKOUTSymbol - AUDCHF The AUDCHF pair is currently trading near a resistance zone between 0.5712 - 0.5725. The technical outlook remains positive, supported by the ongoing uptrend and the weakening of US dollar. After breaking through resistance, the price may retest the previously breached level, consolidate above it, and establish an interim low, signaling potential for further momentum. From a technical perspective, attention is now focused on the resistance zone at 0.5712 – 0.5725 A breakout above this resistance zone could trigger further bullish momentum, with the price potentially reaching the trendline resistance at 0.5780 After that, I am expecting the trend to continue, potentially pushing the pair towards 0.5830 and beyond. Resistance levels: 0.5727 (buy trigger), 0.5780 Support levels: 0.5675 Prior to breaking through the resistance, the currency pair may test the support level at 0.5675 However, a decisive move above 0.5727 could act as the catalyst for further upward movement, with the trend potentially continuing toward 0.5780 - 0.5830 and beyond.
Long
by akshit_official
AUD/JPY Bearish Outlook: Potential Breakdown Toward 83.516?1. Chart Pattern: Descending Wedge/Channel The chart shows a clear downward sloping channel, indicating a bearish trend. Price has been making lower highs and lower lows, suggesting selling pressure. 2. Key Levels Resistance: The upper boundary of the descending channel acts as resistance. Support: The lower boundary of the descending channel serves as support. Major Target: The projected price movement (indicated by the arrow) suggests a drop toward 83.516, which appears to be a strong support level. 3. Moving Average (EMA 200) The 200 EMA (94.639) is being tested. If price breaks below the 200 EMA, it could signal further downside. 4. Recent Price Action The price is currently at 95.848, having dropped -1.43% in the latest session. If it fails to hold this zone, a breakdown could accelerate selling pressure. 5. Bearish Breakdown Scenario A break below 95.000 could trigger further selling. If price follows the projected path, a move to 83.516 is possible. Conclusion Bearish bias in the medium term. Watching for a breakdown below 94.639 (200 EMA) for confirmation. If the lower channel support holds, a bounce could occur. Traders should look for confirmation signals before entering a position.
by MrStellanSight
EUR/AUD 4-Hour Chart AnalysisKey Observations: 1. Support Zone: - The price is currently retesting a key support zone around 1.6540–1.6565, which previously acted as a demand zone. 2. Trendline Break: - The uptrend has been invalidated with the break of the ascending trendline, suggesting a potential shift in momentum to neutral or bearish. 3. Key Levels: - Resistance Above: Potential resistance can be seen near 1.6650–1.6700, in case of a bullish retracement. - Support Below: - 1.6359 (first support level). - 1.6199 (major support). - 1.6018 (long-term support zone). 4. Possible Price Movements: - A bullish rebound from the current support zone or a bearish continuation if the price breaks below it. --- Trading Scenarios: 1. Bullish Rebound: - If the price holds above the 1.6540–1.6565 zone, it may attempt a recovery toward the previous highs. - Entry: Above 1.6570 - Targets: 1.6650, 1.6700. - Stop-Loss: Below 1.6530. 2. Bearish Breakdown: - A decisive break below 1.6540 may open further downside toward the lower support levels. - Entry: Below 1.6530. - Targets: 1.6359, 1.6199, 1.6018. - Stop-Loss: Above 1.6570. --- - Wait for clear confirmation (e.g., a strong candle close) before entering a trade to avoid false breakouts. - Use proper risk management with clearly defined stop-loss and take-profit levels. --- **Disclaimer**: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Trade responsibly.
Short
by PhD_Swingtrader
AUDCAD 1-Hour Chart AnalysisOn this chart, AUD/CAD is displaying signs of potential support in the green zone. A downtrend line is evident, but the price has tested this trendline multiple times. Key Levels: Support Zone: Around 0.90800, which could serve as a foundation for a reversal if buyers step in here. Resistance Levels (Targets): Target 1: 0.91790 Target 2: 0.92025 Target 3: 0.92380 Target 4: 0.92700 Stop-Loss: 0.90680, just below the support zone to manage risk in case of a bearish continuation. Potential Scenario: Bullish Reversal: If price action breaks above the descending trendline, there is a possibility of a bullish move towards the first target at 0.91790. The break above would signal a reversal from the downtrend, potentially aiming for higher targets. Bearish Continuation: If the price fails to hold above the support at 0.90800, it may continue downward, hitting the stop-loss level at 0.90680. This could provide a shorting opportunity. This setup could be ideal for a trend reversal trade, focusing on breaking resistance levels and progressively moving toward the higher targets. Be sure to monitor for confirmation before entering, as this could avoid potential false breakouts. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should always conduct your own research and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly.
Long
by PhD_Swingtrader
AUDJPY-Awaiting Retest for Bullish Continuation AUDJPY 4H Analysis 📊 Current level: 100.500 – we’ve observed an upside breakout here on the AUDJPY 4-hour chart, and we’re now watching for a potential retest of this level to confirm support for a continuation move. Technical View: 📈 Breakout occurred around the 100.500 mark, suggesting strong bullish momentum. 🔍 Watching for a pullback to the 100.500 level to confirm it as new support. 📐 RSI hints at slight overbought conditions, supporting a possible retracement before further gains. Fundamental Outlook: 🇦🇺 Australia's latest economic data boosts AUD’s strength, signaling underlying support for this trend. 🇯🇵 Japan’s BOJ dovish policies continue to put pressure on JPY, adding momentum to AUDJPY's upside. 🌐 With risk appetite favoring growth, AUDJPY might sustain its bullish trend if fundamentals remain aligned. Let’s stay tuned and keep an eye on the 100.500 level! #AUDJPY #ForexAnalysis #BreakoutTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #4HChart #ForexTrader #CurrencyMarket #PriceAction #TradeSetup #ForexSignal
Long
by forexorbit
DOUBLE TOP PATTERN SHOWING ON EURAUD IN DALY TIMEFRAME EURAUD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:5 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A.DOUBLE TOP PATTERN SHOWING ON EURAUD its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
Long
by tradergyan01
EURAUD TARGET REACHEDIf you look at some previous posts, you will see EurAud was one of the trades I was in. And it paid off. Final target was reached on Wednesday just before the CPI news release on Nzd and overall this position made me +6% of profit. It was the right thing to close most of the position at high and then at marked area as if Nzd news would turn positive, the whole trend could reverse. All of 3 positions together had a potential hitting +9%, however, my risk is lower than 1% / trade usually. If you got into this with me, well done. T
Long
by Tilen_FX