After falling 25% Nifty50 stock is giving good entry to go long Hello Everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your trading and your life as well. Today i have brought Bajaj-Auto stock which has fallen 25% from all time high and now trading at importance support zone, There is higher probability for reversal from these levels. It is giving good entry for short term to long term traders and investors.
Bajaj Auto, the flagship company of Bajaj Group, is a two-wheeler and three-wheeler manufacturing company that exports to 79 countries across several countries in Latin America, Southeast Asia, and many more. Its headquarter is in Pune, India.
It has acquired 48% of the KTM Brand which manufactures sports and super sports two-wheelers, which was 14% in 2007 when the company first acquired KTM.
Market Leadership:-
The company is the 2nd-largest player in the domestic motorcycle segment in terms of volume. It is the largest 3W producer in the world and the largest exporter of 2W and 3W from India.
Manufacturing Capacity:-
The company has five manufacturing plants, of which two are in Chakan and one each in Waluj, Akurdi, and Pantnagar, with a total installed capacity of 7.1 million units per annum.
Expansion:-
In FY24, the company set up a new plant in Brazil with an initial capacity of 20k units/ month that commenced commercial production on Jun 24. It will incur capex of Rs. 600 Cr -Rs. 700 Cr in FY25-FY26, largely towards maintenance activities.
Vehicle Financing:-
Its wholly-owned captive financing company Bajaj Auto Credit Ltd. commenced business in Maharashtra and Goa on 1st Jan 24 and expanded to Kerala, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Rajasthan, and Gujarat. It plans to cover all the balance states by FY25. On Apr 24, the board approved additional investment in BACL of Rs. 2250 Cr, in addition to the existing Rs. 600 Cr approved earlier, to fund its expansion plans.
Market Cap
₹ 2,72,363 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 9,753
High / Low
₹ 12,774 / 5,285
Stock P/E
36.9
Book Value
₹ 1,109
Dividend Yield
0.80 %
ROCE
33.5 %
ROE
26.5 %
Face Value
₹ 10.0
Industry PE
64.6
Debt
₹ 5,245 Cr.
EPS
₹ 263
Promoter holding
55.0 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 3,891
Pledged percentage
0.01 %
EVEBITDA
25.8
Change in Prom Hold
-0.01 %
Profit Var 5Yrs
10.7 %
Sales growth 5Years
8.13 %
Return over 5years
25.2 %
Debt to equity
0.17
Net profit
₹ 7,371 Cr.
ROE 5Yr
21.8 %
Profit growth
7.74 %
Earnings yield
3.64 %
PEG Ratio
3.46
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
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Auto
MOTHERSON: Interesting SetupLike always the chart should tell you everything you need to know about Motherson.
Now for the readers, here are some pointers:
- The price broke a structure in June to rally about 20%
- Currently, it is at a very crucial point. The previous strong support is now acting as a strong resistance.
- The 100 rupee mark is also a strong psychological resistance for companies like Motherson
- The price is now consolidating at the resistance zone which is a good sign.
- The bodies have gotten smaller showing indecision.
- The long upper wicks show the presence of sellers.
- A strong high-volume break and sustenance above the zone will be crucial.
- We then have an ATH zone sitting right at the top.
We will keep updating the comments for every unfolding price action. You may follow us for regular updates.
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Will Motherson Wiring (MSUMI) ride with other auto ancillaries?After NiftyAuto n its stocks saw nice momentum, now with good results in Auto proxy Ancillaries sector, stocks are also performing: Balkrishna Ind, Amara raja, Exide, Uno Minda, JBM Auto, Lumax, Rico auto showing good demand.
Now come to MSUMI analysis, why it can give returns?
FA:
-First of all decent growing QoQ, YoY and overall FY24 growth results for the company.
-ROE: 42.4% (highest among top leaders and ROCE: 48%
-Debt to equity : 0.15 (low)
TA:
-DTL BO Anticipation (Down Trend Line Breakout), tested trend line(TL) 6 times.
-HLs
-VCP in action
-Green vol > Red Vol (only concern can be big supply on 17/may but it can taken as final flushing of supplier from TL resistance, if now tested can break easily)
-Shakeouts are there (kicking out weak players)
-Tight closes with low vol
Overall loving the setup if possible will take cheat entry (Cheat : early entry from small base before BO in anticipation of BO)
TATAMOTORS BreakoutTata Motors Limited is an automobile company engaged in manufacturing motor vehicles.
TTM EPS: 31.98
TTM PE: 19.61
P/B: 0.73
Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr.): 208,392
Dividend Yield: 0.32
Sector PE: 52.69
Book Value Per Share: 863.26
Some Positives:
Strong Momentum: Price above short, medium and long term moving averages
Strong Annual EPS Growth
Good quarterly growth in the recent results
Efficient in managing Assets to generate Profits - ROA improving since last 2 year
Growth in Quarterly Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin (YoY)
Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years
FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding
Recent Results : Growth in Operating Profit with increase in operating margins (YoY)
Some Negatives:
Companies with High Debt
MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter
The decline in Net Profit with falling Profit Margin (QoQ)
Declining Net Cash Flow: Companies not able to generate net cash
My Opinion: Tata motors can see an upside move. Invested for the long term.
NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION PURPOSE. Thanks
TVSMOTOR, 1D forms Bearish EngulfingNSE:TVSMOTOR TVS Motor Company is an Indian multinational motorcycle manufacturer headquartered in Chennai. It is the third-largest motorcycle company in India in terms of revenue. The company has annual sales of three million units and an annual production capacity of over four million vehicles.
TVSMotor formed Bearish engulfing candlestick pattern after an uptrend on daily timeframe and gave closing below that candlestick pattern.
Entry : 1454.4
Target : 1386
SL : 1502
RR : 1.44
Bajaj Auto - Ascending Channel An ascending channel is the price action contained between upward sloping parallel lines. Higher highs and higher lows characterize this price pattern. Technical analysts construct an ascending channel by drawing a lower trend line that connects the swing lows, and an upper channel line that joins the swing highs.
Ascending Channels: How to Trade This Technical Pattern
Ascending channels are a common technical pattern that can be used to trade stocks, currencies, and other financial instruments. This pattern is characterized by two parallel lines, with the upper line representing resistance and the lower line representing support.
Traders can use ascending channels in a number of ways. One popular strategy is to buy a stock when it reaches the lower trend line and sell when it nears the upper trend line. This strategy can be used to ride the uptrend in a stock's price.
Another way to trade ascending channels is to look for breakouts. When a stock's price breaks above the upper trend line, this is a sign that the uptrend is accelerating. Traders can buy a stock at this point and ride the breakout to even higher prices.
Conversely, when a stock's price breaks below the lower trend line, this is a sign that the uptrend is losing momentum. Traders can short a stock at this point and profit from the decline in price.
There are a few things to keep in mind when trading ascending channels. First, it is important to use other technical indicators to confirm the pattern. For example, traders could look for an increase in volume or a breakout on higher time frame charts.
Second, it is important to manage risk. When trading ascending channels, traders should use a stop-loss order to protect their profits. This order will sell a stock if the price falls below a certain level, preventing further losses.
Finally, it is important to be patient when trading ascending channels. This pattern can take time to develop, so traders should not expect to get rich quick.
Bajaj Auto Limited is an Indian multinational automotive manufacturing company based in Pune. It manufactures motorcycles, scooters and auto rickshaws. Bajaj Auto is a part of the Bajaj Group. It was founded by Jamnalal Bajaj in Rajasthan in the 1940s
Motherson looks strong in this RallyNSE:MOTHERSON looks very strong on charts. The rally is sustainable in my opinion as the auto sector is in tailwinds and is doing well at the moment. The share formed a double bottom around 60 and has since rallied back up. Previous high could be a good target and therefore, levels of 120 can be expected in the coming months. If the stock breaks above 120, then it would end its long term correction and one can expect further rally.
BAJAJ-AUTOBAJAJ-AUTO:- Ascending triangle pattern has formed, wait for breakout, till then keep an eye on the stock
Hello traders,
As always, simple and neat charts so everyone can understand and not make it too complicated.
rest details mentioned in the chart.
will be posting more such ideas like this. Until that, like share and follow :)
check my other ideas to get to know about all the successful trades based on price action.
Thanks,
Ajay.
keep learning and keep earning.
TALBROS AUTO READY FOR HIGHER UPSIDE TALBROS AUTO READY FOR HIGHER UPSIDE :
52 weeks of sideways looks ready to be broken for the better !! tight PA on the right side signals chances of a BO are higher with the volume to coming to a standstill ( so to say )
CMP - 551
Resistance - 570
Target - 630
SL - 535
MAHINDRA CIE AUTO 15y BREAKOUTMahindra auto breaks 15 year trend line.
and closed strongly in monthly candle.
for stop loss and target comment below.
Good short opportunity in Tata Motors
Tata Motors has formed a parallel rising channel in which the stock has fallen from the top resistance. In addition to this, the stock today (16/09/2022) broke its 200D EMA and is ready for another 6/7% fall according to the setup & support of the rising channel.
One can short at:
CMP - ₹425
Target - ₹ 410 / 400 / 390
SL - ₹ 445( closing basis )
NSE:TATAMOTORS
Hero moto — large trendHero motor is forming dark cloud cover in the short term (intraday) and has lot of downside in the weekly time frame.
Hero at CMP of 2650 has a lot of downside, given the steel excise-duty (news driven) rally after it's poor quarterly results.
Both their topline and bottom line were hit.
People are not buying hero motor bike; 24% decline in sales.
Net profits (bottom line) was hit by 30%.
Bearish outlook at the current market price, until next results. Results this poor have shown to plummet giants like Target and Amazon by unforeseen amounts.
While steel prices will give them more margin to work with; until sales improve in the next quarter, hero motor price action will explore 2300 levels. Not bullish on this stock until 2300 spot price.
Safe strategy: Sell up to two calls (CE) at spot price 2750 / 2700 / 2650 today, and hold for the rest of the month and eat premium.