#Banknifty directions and levels for the June 27th.Yesterday, Bank Nifty continued the rally. Both structures have the same extension variation, so there are no changes in the market sentiment. Today, GiftNifty is indicating a slightly negative start. If it opens like this, let's look at what might happen in Bank Nifty.
>Structurally, it's a bullish market and both have an extension. According to the extension, if the market opens with a gap-down, it could retrace a maximum of 23 to 38%. After that, if it finds support there, the rally will continue with minor consolidation.
>However, the probability of a rally today is less compared to yesterday, as the sub-waves driving yesterday’s rally are now over. If the market finds support at either 23% or 38%, then it may close within the range.
>As per the wave structure, it could be in the 4th wave.
Alternatively, if the correction becomes aggressive, we should wait for confirmation. If the market declines sharply, it may consolidate around 38% or 50%. After that consolidation, if it breaks the previous low, we can expect the correction to continue. Otherwise, it may maintain the bullish sentiment.
(Note: If the market initially takes a pullback and breaks the previous high, then the rally may continue further.)
Banknifty-strategy
#Banknifty directions and levels for March 4thBanknifty also has the same sentiment. If the gap-up sustains, then we can expect a minor rally. Once it rejects the immediate resistance levels, then we can expect a minimum correction of 23 to 38%. Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, then we can expect a 23 to 38% correction initially, indicating that the 4th wave may continue further.
19 Feb ’24 — BankNifty is still not bullish, 47016 has to break.BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Even though the 4mts chart looks bullish as the moving averages have a positive slope, the reality is quite different. BankNifty has not managed to find the fire to go “BOOM BOOM”, it is totally lazy and lethargic at its current levels. Today we ended up gaining 150 points ~ 0.32% but a few of the major banks like HDFC Bank, Kotak, and AXIS were not that excited. ICICI on the other hand was totally on another orbit today. If you look at the chart below you can see the fear of heights (blue markers). The best way to get through is with a mega gap-up, which will force the weak hands to run for cover.
4mts chart
Make no mistake, BN has rallied 2094 points ~ 4.69% from the recent swing low. But visually that rally is not bullish yet, that is because the time factor is at play. BN is very near the top of the bearish channel. A break above 47016 and then 47465 will give it sufficient momentum to surge through. The biggest factor that is holding up is HDFC Bank which has fallen after its results. We guess the bulls are waiting for HDFCBK to regain its footing so that the index itself can break free. The only way Nifty can get past 22500 is with the help of BankNifty. We do not remember the last time where Nifty50 kept making new highs without the support of BN.
63mts chart
Algo Trading
Our BankNifty algo trades ended today with a gain of Rs3793.
26 Jul ’23 Post Mortem on BankNifty | Options premiums are LOWBanknifty on the other hand gave a trend reversal signal in just a day. For nifty we had atleast 3 days in succession. I took some short positions yesterday intraday and was all geared up to further attack by shorting more CALLS today.
The opening minutes looked encouraging, so did the period from 10.35 to 11.15 but 2 things went against it.
The options data showed lack of interest in creating CE credit spreads i.e shorting near ATM call option and buying a far away OTM option.
Banknifty started to rally and take the place of NiftyIT which reversed from its intraday high.
It was like 2 brothers who came prepared from evening to support their sister, when one brother got tired, the other one jumped in. In our case the BankNifty brother did more than just support - it rallied an impressive 252pts ~ 0.55% up till 14.30.
The short trade negation came in banknifty only after the 46000 got taken out. Let us see how the expiry day is getting played out tomorrow because as it stands the options premium in banknifty looks pretty low. The India VIX staying in the 10 range is also a discouragement for the bears that are still left.
...
Please comment with your thoughts, opinion or bias, I will respond with mine!
Trade for 14 JuneHello traders
Hope you have seen the last post for entry and exit.
Take a look again at yesterday post and look today's chart it has not crossed the 43950 level and on buy side it crosses 44050 level and go till 44120 level if you are smart and not greedy you have booked some points after 44050 level.
Again the levels are same which are marked on chart buying is above 44160 and buying more at 44050 level because now it is support.
On sell side if it breaks 44050 let it sustain below the level and take a small quantity. Mark in mind never trade against your rule, money and risk management, never trade in FOMO.
Thanks
PostMortem on BankNifty Today & Analysis of 27 Mar 2023There are few important aspects to the price action today. We stuck to a small range today - it would have been good for intraday straddlers & short iron-fly, iron-condor strategy deployers.
So we opened inline at 39484, many would argue that it was a gap up. But i wouldnt say that because of the price action from the previous session.
As soon as we hit the last session's swing low, we got a bounce of 270 pts, but this did not sustain and we fell back to the same low point.
We had a second bounce of 268pts between 11.30 to 12.45 & as expected this did not sustain as well. and fell back to the low point of the day again.
Now between 13.25 to 14.35 we had the 3rd bounce of 383 pts & again we could not breakthrough the 39742 level. And we fell back to the low point of the day.
The important aspect in today's price action is we had 4 tests of 39300 levels today (see cyan markers from chart). And none of them gave away.
I am not saying that its a bullish sign, but its an area of importance. Either the volume traded today might be too low to create any volatility to break this zone or we may need some external triggers to break down.
---
On NSE:BANKNIFTY minds i made 3 posts today
"$BANKNIFTY we need a break of support 38690 for strong bearish momentum" at 10.14
"$BANKNIFTY option prices are not providing clear direction" at 13.39
"$BANKNIFTY needs to take out 39742 to go bullish" at 14.39
---
15mts TF is looking at a sideways movement, i was hoping was a retest of 38690 levels today - but that did not happen. Instead the 39300 level came to rescue. I am seriously considering to mark a new SR zone at 39310.
to view all 10 charts in today's discussion visit viswaram. com
---
1hr TF is still bearish to me, agree its taking some time for the new leg to form. If there are no fundamental news triggers i am expecting the 38690 levels to be taken out this week itself. Keeping my fingers crossed
Banknifty Confirm Targets For Monday NiftyBank One Hour Chart Analysis with Option Chain Analysis
Support Zones
Frist Support Level For For Long Banknifty - 40355 - 40390
Second Support Level For Long Banknifty - 40040 - 40075
Third Support Level For Long Banknifty - 39690 - 39750
Resistance Zones
First Resistance Level For Short Banknifty - 40775 - 40800
Second Resistance Level For Short Banknifty - 41920 - 41950
Third Resistance Level For Short Banknifty - 41170 - 41200
Importent Signal for Banknifty Trading from Option Chain Data Analysis
Max Pain As per Option Chain Analysis – 40500
PCR ratio as per Option Chain Analysis – 0.59 ( Bearish )
Major Support as Per Banknifty Open Interest Analysis – 39700
Major Resistance as Per Banknifty Open Interest Analysis – 41200
Will Nifty Crash on MondayAs you know Nifty is taking support from this trend line again and again. If it goes directly above horizontal line then you can directly make a long position but if it comes down then wait for nifty to test trend line and when it tests and shows a good green candle on 15min time frame you can make a long position in Nifty.
BANK NIFTY yesterday high break strategyIf Banknifty opened the gap up and after that going down, then check on 15 min timeframe that if it breaks yesterday highs, then you can short here.
Risk reward should be 1:1 or 1:2
(Check previous days' data and do your own analysis and make some of your own rules.)
ONLY FOR INFORMATION AND EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE
Inside Candle Strategy using the 20MA (BANKNIFTY)This strategy does not work 100% of the time, but it does offer a good risk reward ratio.
If the pattern occurs in the first 15 min, wait for about an hour and observe the price action, and take a trade only after the breakout. Taking a trade too early may result in your SL getting triggered too soon. You want to try and make it harder for the market to trigger your stop loss, hence you should set it just above important levels and not exactly on them.
Yes Bank chart viewYES BANK
CMP 194.20
- The stock is trading between 20 day EMA and 50 day EMA just before result announcement
- in our previous post on Yes Bank when the stock was at similar levels we had suggested that below 190 the stock may fall up to 182 (low made was 181.50) and above 198 there is a strong possibility of stock rising up to 208 (high made thereafter 209.55)
Given the movement of yo-yo trade between 180-210 and current setup of trading between 20 day EMA and 50 day EMA there is a good possibility of Yes Bank continuing its consolidation and closing in the same range of 180-210 in Jan series
- One may consider the following strategy for YES BANK
Short strangle strategy
Sell Yes Bank Jan expiry 210 Call option around 4.5
&
Sell Yes Bank Jan expiry 180 Put option around 4.5
Lot size 1750
Total incoming 1750 *(4.5+4.5) = Rs 15750/-
Maximum profit if Yes Bank is closing anywhere between 180-210
Loss if stock is closing below 171 or above 219 on 31st January 2019
For more trading ideas from us, Do HIT the LIKE button and FOLLOW US
You can also ping us in private message for any stock specific queries.
Take care & safe trading...!!!