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Sensex Market Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 28th August🔎 Sensex Market Structure 4H Chart Trend Bias: Bearish channel is intact, price closing below EMA. Supply Zone: 81,600 – 81,800 (FVG & strong rejection area). Demand Zone: 80,600 (immediate) and 79,800 (major HTF support). Outlook: Sellers are in control; bulls need a strong reclaim above 81,200 to change bias. 1H Chart Current Price: 80,820 Trend: Series of lower highs & lower lows → bearish structure confirmed. Supply Zone: 81,200 – 81,400 (if price retraces, high probability rejection). Demand Zone: 80,600 → if broken, 79,800 becomes the key magnet. Observation: Price is consolidating near demand, but still respecting the bearish channel. 15M Chart BOS (Break of Structure): Bearish BOS visible below 81,000. Short-Term Demand: 80,700 – 80,800, currently holding price. Short-Term Supply: 81,100 – 81,200 (aligned with HTF supply). Outlook: Any rally into 81,100 – 81,200 should face selling pressure. 📌 Trading Plan for 28th August 🔻 Short Bias (Primary Plan) Entry: On rejection from 81,100 – 81,200 zone Target 1: 80,600 Target 2: 79,800 (if momentum strong) Stoploss: Above 81,400 🔺 Long Bias (Counter-trade, aggressive) Entry: If price shows strong reversal signals from 80,600 demand Target: 81,000 – 81,200 Stoploss: Below 80,450 ✅ Summary Bias: Bearish unless 81,200 is reclaimed. Safe Trade: Sell the rallies into 81,100 – 81,200 supply. Counter Trade: Only scalp longs near 80,600 with strict risk management.
BSE:SENSEXShort
by BhardwajVipin
Banknifty Market Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 28th August 🔎 Market Structure Analysis (BankNifty) 📍 Higher Timeframe (4H Chart) Clear downtrend: Price broke structure (BOS) at 55,200 and failed to hold above 55,600–55,800 (OB + VI zone). Trading well below 20 EMA, showing strong bearish momentum. Currently sitting at 54,400–54,500 demand zone (last support before deeper fall). Bias: Bearish as long as price stays under 55,000–55,200. 📍 Mid Timeframe (1H Chart) Price respecting a down-channel with lower highs and lower lows. FVG left around 54,900–55,200, which could act as a supply zone if retested. Immediate support: 54,300–54,400. Break below 54,300 opens room towards 53,800–54,000. Bias: Sell rallies into 54,800–55,000; monitor 54,300 breakdown for continuation. 📍 Intraday View (15m Chart) Order blocks and BOS visible around 54,750–54,800. Multiple rejection wicks confirming supply around 54,700–54,900. Currently consolidating at 54,400 with liquidity resting below. Bias: Intraday short opportunities below 54,400; scalp long only if strong rejection from 54,300–54,400. 🎯 Trading Plan for 28th August 🔻 Short Plan (Primary Bias) Entry Zone: 54,700–54,900 (Supply + FVG). Stop Loss: Above 55,050. Targets: T1 = 54,400 (already tested, but scalpable) T2 = 54,000 T3 = 53,800 🔺 Long Plan (Countertrend) Entry Zone: 54,300–54,400 (Demand Zone). Stop Loss: Below 54,150. Targets: T1 = 54,700 T2 = 54,900–55,000 (supply/FVG fill) ✅ Key Notes Main structure = bearish; shorts are higher probability. Longs = only if 54,300–54,400 holds with strong rejection on 15m + confirmation candle. Break of 54,300 = free fall towards 53,800–54,000. Volatility expected due to overlapping FVG + OB zones, so execution must be crisp.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by BhardwajVipin
Nifty Market Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 28th August🔎 Market Structure Analysis 1. Higher Timeframe (4H) Price has broken down below 25,000 with a Market Structure Shift (MSS). A Fair Value Gap (FVG) exists between 24,900 – 25,000, acting as supply. Strong rejection near 25,100–25,200 supply zone; price is now following a descending channel. Current structure is bearish, with LTF supports being tested. Key Levels (4H): Resistance / Supply: 24,900 – 25,000 / 25,100 – 25,200 Immediate Support: 24,680 – 24,700 Major Support: 24,350 – 24,400 2. Medium Timeframe (1H) Price is clearly respecting a downtrend channel. The 1H chart shows Lower Highs & Lower Lows (BOS after MSS). The FVG around 24,750 – 24,800 could act as a reaction zone if price retests. If 24,680 breaks, next liquidity draw is 24,400. 3. Lower Timeframe (15M) BOS confirmed to the downside with rejection from 24,800 FVG. Liquidity sweep around 24,700 and a quick rejection shows sellers still in control. If buyers defend 24,680, a scalp pullback towards 24,800 is possible. If not, momentum could push straight to 24,500–24,400. 🎯 Trading Plan for 28th August 🔻 Bearish Bias (Primary Plan) Sell on Pullbacks Entry: 24,770 – 24,800 (FVG / OB zone retest) SL: Above 24,880 Targets: TP1: 24,680 TP2: 24,550 TP3: 24,400 🔺 Bullish Scenario (Countertrend Scalps Only) If price holds 24,680 with strong rejection, a bounce to 24,800 – 24,850 is possible. Entry: 24,700 – 24,720 SL: Below 24,640 Targets: 24,800 – 24,850 ⚖️ Bias & Risk Management Bias: Bearish (sell the rallies). Invalidation: If price closes above 24,900 (reclaims FVG), bearish bias is invalid. Risk Control: Stick to 1:2 or higher RR setups, avoid trading both directions simultaneously.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by BhardwajVipin
Part 2 Support ans ResistanceAdvantages of Options High leverage (small money → big exposure). Flexibility (profit in up, down, or sideways markets). Risk defined for buyers (can lose only premium). Useful for hedging portfolios. Risks of Options Time decay: Value decreases as expiry approaches. High leverage can cause big losses (especially for sellers). Complexity: Needs knowledge of Greeks, volatility, etc. Emotions: Options move fast → fear & greed affect traders. Options Greeks (Advanced but Important) The “Greeks” help measure how option prices move with market factors: Delta → Change in option price vs stock price. Gamma → Rate of change of Delta. Theta → Time decay (how much premium falls daily). Vega → Impact of volatility on premium. Rho → Impact of interest rates. 👉 Example: If an option has Theta = -10, it means the premium will lose ₹10 per day (if all else same).
TVC:GOLDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
3
Option Trading Introduction to Options Trading Imagine you want to buy a house. You like one particular property, but you don’t want to commit right away. Instead, you tell the seller: "Here’s ₹1 lakh. Keep this house reserved for me for the next 6 months. If I decide to buy, I’ll pay you the agreed price. If not, you can keep this ₹1 lakh." That ₹1 lakh you gave is called a premium. The deal you made is an option — a contract that gives you the right but not the obligation to buy the house. This is the core idea of options trading: you pay a small premium to get the right to buy or sell something (like stocks, indexes, commodities, etc.) at a fixed price in the future. What is an Option? An option is a contract between two parties: Buyer of option (the one who pays the premium). Seller of option (the one who receives the premium). The buyer has the right (but not obligation) to buy or sell at a certain price. The seller has the obligation to fulfill the deal if the buyer exercises the option. Key Terms: Underlying Asset → The thing on which the option is based (stocks like Reliance, Infosys, indexes like Nifty, commodities, etc.). Strike Price → The pre-decided price at which the buyer can buy or sell. Premium → The cost of buying the option. Expiry → The last date till which the option is valid. Lot Size → Options are traded in fixed quantities, not single shares. Example: Nifty options lot = 50 shares.
NSE:AXISBANKEducation
by SkyTradingZone
1
Introduction to Stock Markets1. What is a Stock Market? At its core, a stock market is a marketplace where buyers and sellers trade shares of publicly listed companies. A share represents a unit of ownership in a company, meaning that if you own a share, you essentially own a part of that company. Stock markets serve multiple functions: Raising Capital: Companies issue shares to raise funds for expansion, research, or debt repayment. Liquidity: They allow investors to buy and sell shares easily. Price Discovery: They determine the market value of companies based on supply and demand. Investment Opportunities: They provide avenues for individuals and institutions to grow their wealth. Two primary types of stock markets exist: Primary Market: Where companies issue new shares through an Initial Public Offering (IPO) to raise capital. Secondary Market: Where existing shares are traded among investors. Examples include the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), NASDAQ, and India’s National Stock Exchange (NSE) and Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). 2. History and Evolution of Stock Markets The concept of stock markets dates back to the 17th century. The first organized stock exchange, the Amsterdam Stock Exchange, was established in 1602 for trading shares of the Dutch East India Company. Over time, stock markets spread globally, evolving into sophisticated institutions with advanced trading systems, regulations, and digital platforms. Key milestones in stock market history include: 1792: The Buttonwood Agreement in New York, which marked the start of the NYSE. 1971: NASDAQ introduced electronic trading, revolutionizing speed and accessibility. 1990s: Introduction of online trading platforms, making markets accessible to retail investors. 3. Importance of Stock Markets Stock markets are critical for both individual investors and the overall economy. 3.1 Economic Growth Companies raise capital through stock issuance to expand operations, hire employees, and innovate. Capital formation fuels industrial growth, increasing productivity and GDP. 3.2 Wealth Creation Long-term investment in equities historically outperforms other asset classes like bonds or savings accounts. Compound growth in stock investments allows individuals to accumulate substantial wealth over time. 3.3 Price Transparency Stock markets provide real-time pricing based on supply and demand, reflecting the true value of companies. Transparent markets reduce information asymmetry and promote investor confidence. 3.4 Corporate Governance Listed companies must comply with regulatory norms and disclose financial information, ensuring accountability. Shareholders gain a voice in company decisions through voting rights. 4. Types of Stocks Stocks are not uniform. They vary based on ownership, risk, and returns. Common types include: 4.1 Common Stocks Represent ownership in a company with voting rights. Returns come in the form of dividends and capital appreciation. 4.2 Preferred Stocks Offer fixed dividends but limited voting rights. Generally less volatile than common stocks. 4.3 Growth vs. Value Stocks Growth Stocks: Companies expected to grow faster than the market average. Returns are mostly capital gains. Value Stocks: Companies trading below their intrinsic value, often providing steady dividends. 4.4 Blue-Chip Stocks Large, financially stable companies with strong performance histories. Example: Reliance Industries, Apple, Microsoft. 5. How the Stock Market Works The stock market operates on the principles of supply and demand. Prices rise when demand exceeds supply and fall when supply exceeds demand. 5.1 Market Participants Retail Investors: Individuals trading for personal wealth creation. Institutional Investors: Banks, mutual funds, hedge funds trading in large volumes. Traders: Short-term participants aiming to profit from price movements. Market Makers: Entities that ensure liquidity by buying and selling securities. 5.2 Stock Exchanges A stock exchange is a regulated platform where stocks are bought and sold. Examples include NYSE, NASDAQ, NSE, and BSE. Exchanges maintain transparency, liquidity, and security of transactions. 5.3 Trading Process Placing an Order: Investors place buy/sell orders through brokers. Matching Orders: Exchanges match buy and sell orders based on price and time priority. Settlement: Transfer of ownership and funds between buyer and seller, usually within 2–3 days. 6. Factors Affecting Stock Prices Stock prices fluctuate constantly. Factors include: Company Performance: Revenue, profits, and management quality influence investor sentiment. Economic Indicators: GDP growth, inflation, and unemployment rates impact markets. Market Sentiment: Investor psychology, fear, and greed can cause volatility. Global Events: Wars, pandemics, and geopolitical tensions affect prices. Interest Rates: Higher rates can reduce investment in equities. 7. Stock Market Indices A stock market index measures the performance of a group of stocks. Examples: Nifty 50 (India): Represents 50 large companies listed on NSE. Sensex (India): Comprises 30 leading BSE-listed companies. S&P 500 (USA): Tracks 500 major US companies. Indices provide a snapshot of market trends and investor sentiment. 8. Investment Strategies Investors use various strategies to achieve their financial goals. 8.1 Long-Term Investing Focused on wealth creation over years. Often involves buying and holding blue-chip or growth stocks. 8.2 Trading Short-term buying and selling to profit from price fluctuations. Types include day trading, swing trading, and momentum trading. 8.3 Value Investing Buying undervalued stocks based on fundamental analysis. Popularized by Warren Buffett. 8.4 Growth Investing Focused on companies with high growth potential. Prioritizes capital gains over dividends. 9. Risks in the Stock Market Investing in stocks involves risk. Common risks include: Market Risk: Overall market movements affect stock prices. Company Risk: Poor management or declining performance can lead to losses. Liquidity Risk: Difficulty in selling stocks without affecting price. Interest Rate Risk: Rising rates may reduce stock prices. Inflation Risk: High inflation can erode real returns. Risk management strategies, such as diversification and stop-loss orders, are crucial. 10. Regulatory Framework Stock markets are heavily regulated to protect investors and maintain stability. Key regulatory bodies include: SEBI (India): Securities and Exchange Board of India. SEC (USA): Securities and Exchange Commission. FCA (UK): Financial Conduct Authority. These organizations enforce rules on listing, trading, disclosures, insider trading, and investor protection. Conclusion The stock market is a powerful tool for wealth creation, economic growth, and corporate financing. Understanding its structure, functions, and risks is essential for any investor. While markets can be volatile and unpredictable, disciplined investing, research, and risk management can make the stock market a reliable avenue for achieving financial goals. Investing in stocks is not just about money—it’s about knowledge, patience, and strategic decision-making. By embracing these principles, anyone can navigate the stock market successfully, turning it into a lifelong tool for financial empowerment.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TechnicalExpress
2
What Smart Money is Doing When You’re Panicking?Hello Traders! If you’ve been in the market long enough, you’ve seen this happen: the market suddenly drops, red candles everywhere, and social media explodes with fear. Retail investors start selling in panic, desperate to protect whatever is left. But here’s the truth, when retail is panicking, smart money is calmly preparing to profit . Let’s understand exactly how. 1. Smart Money Buys When Retail Sells Retail investors often believe that falling prices mean danger. For smart money, falling prices mean discounts . When everyone rushes to exit, prices get pushed far below their true value. That’s the exact moment institutions step in quietly to accumulate quality stocks. Example: During COVID-19 crash, while retail was rushing to sell at 8,000 Nifty levels, institutions were loading up. Two years later, Nifty doubled. Retail sold in fear, smart money doubled their wealth. The lesson? When you sell in panic, someone else is buying, and that “someone” is usually smarter than you. 2. They Focus on Value, Not Headlines Retail reacts to news, WhatsApp forwards, and TV anchors shouting “Market crash!” Smart money reacts to fundamentals . They don’t care if Nifty fell 300 points today, they’re looking at earnings, cash flow, debt levels, and long-term trends. For them, a temporary correction doesn’t change the long-term story of a strong company. They wait for such moments because panic-driven prices give them a margin of safety. So while retail sells HDFC Bank in fear of a 5% fall, smart money sees it as an opportunity to accumulate a fundamentally strong business. 3. They Manage Risk, Not Emotions The biggest difference between smart and retail money is not knowledge, it’s discipline. Retail enters big positions without planning, and when price falls, emotions take over. That’s why they panic-sell. Smart money, on the other hand, sizes their positions correctly, uses hedges, and accepts that volatility is normal. They don’t panic when markets fall because they already prepared for it. For them, volatility is a feature, not a bug. Rahul’s Tip: Whenever you feel the urge to panic-sell, pause and ask yourself: “Who is on the other side of my trade?” If you are selling in fear, someone with deeper research and bigger pockets is buying with confidence. Don’t make it easy for them. Train yourself to think like the smart money, calm, patient, and disciplined. Conclusion: Markets will always move in cycles of fear and greed. Most retail investors buy when everything looks safe and sell when fear is highest. Smart money does the exact opposite, and that’s why they consistently outperform. If you want to change your results, you need to change your behavior. Don’t let panic dictate your decisions. Think like the institutions: focus on fundamentals, manage risk, and stay calm when others lose control. If this post helped you see the difference between smart and retail money, like it, drop your thoughts in the comments, and follow for more real-world trading psychology insights!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
4
Part 1 Candlestick PatternPractical Examples Example 1: Bullish Trade Buy 1 call of Stock A at ₹100 strike, premium ₹5. Stock rises to ₹120. Profit = (120 – 100) – 5 = ₹15 per share. Example 2: Bearish Trade Buy 1 put of Stock B at ₹150 strike, premium ₹8. Stock falls to ₹130. Profit = (150 – 130) – 8 = ₹12 per share. Example 3: Covered Call Own Stock C at ₹200. Sell call at ₹220, premium ₹5. Stock rises to ₹230. Profit = (220 – 200) + 5 = ₹25 (missed extra ₹10). Protection against small drops due to premium received. Advantages of Options Limited risk for buyers Leverage potential Flexibility in strategy Hedging capabilities Profit from multiple market directions
BSE:SENSEXEducation
by SkyTradingZone
6
Trading Master Class With ExpertsRisk and Reward in Options Options provide defined risk for buyers and potential risk for sellers: Buyers: Maximum loss = premium paid, profit = theoretically unlimited for calls, limited for puts. Sellers (writers): Maximum profit = premium received, risk = potentially unlimited for uncovered calls, high for puts. Example: Selling a call without owning the stock (naked call) can lead to unlimited losses if the stock skyrockets. Buying a put limits risk but can still profit from sharp downward moves. Hedging with Options Options are a powerful tool for hedging investments: Protective Put: Buying a put on a stock you own protects against a decline. Collar Strategy: Buy a put and sell a call to limit both upside and downside risk. Portfolio Insurance: Large investors use index options to protect portfolios during market volatility.
NSE:SBINEducation
by SkyTradingZone
4
Part 3 Learn Institutional Trading Why Trade Options? Options are popular for several reasons: Leverage: You can control a large number of shares with a relatively small investment (premium). Hedging: Protect your portfolio against downside risk using options as insurance. Income Generation: Selling options can provide regular income (premium received). Flexibility: Options allow you to profit from upward, downward, or sideways movements. Risk Management: Losses can be limited to the premium paid. Types of Options Strategies Options strategies can be simple or complex, depending on the trader’s goal: Basic Strategies Long Call: Buy a call expecting the stock to rise. Long Put: Buy a put expecting the stock to fall. Covered Call: Hold the stock and sell a call to earn premium. Protective Put: Buy a put to protect against downside risk on a stock you own.
NSE:TATAMOTORSEducation
by SkyTradingZone
2
Part 2 Ride The Big MovesDisadvantages of Options Complexity for beginners Time decay risk (premium can vanish) Unlimited risk for sellers of uncovered options Requires active monitoring for effective trading Tips for Successful Options Trading Understand the underlying asset thoroughly. Start with basic strategies like long calls, puts, and covered calls. Use proper risk management and position sizing. Keep track of Greeks to understand sensitivity. Avoid over-leveraging. Monitor market volatility; high volatility can inflate premiums. Use demo accounts or paper trading for practice.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by SkyTradingZone
6
Nifty: The Unfilled Gap ScenarioNifty 1H Price Action Analysis (Week of 25th Aug) ⏰ Hey Traders! Let's break down the Nifty's juicy setup for the week. The market left us a gift: The Nifty's powerful gap-up has left a major unfilled gap (24673 - 24852), a 179-point void that's calling price back! 📞🔻 Gaps are like market magnets 🧲—they have a strong tendency to get filled. Price has already tapped twice (18th & 22nd Aug) at the gap's roof (24850), treating it like a trampoline. But how long can the bounce last? 📍 The Key Levels & The Story: The Floor (24850): This is our line in the sand. A solid break and close below this on the 1H chart could open the trapdoor 🚪, sending Nifty on a quick ride down to grab those gap points. It's the trade with the wind at its back. The Ceiling (25150): This is the recent high and descending trendline resistance. A break above is exciting, but we're smart traders—we don't chase! 🏃💨 We've all been fakeout victims. ✅ The Bullish "No Fakeout" Plan: To avoid getting trapped, we wait for a "Break-and-Retest"! If price punches above 25150, we don't buy the breakout. We wait patiently for price to come back and kiss the 25150 level and hold it as new support. That is our green light 🚦 and the high-probability long entry for a continued upmove! The Bottom Line: Bears are eyeing the gap. Bulls need to prove their strength with a clean break and hold above 25150. Neutral until one side wins! Bank Nifty Hint: Unlike Nifty, Bank Nifty has already filled its similar gap, suggesting Nifty might be next in line to complete the move. Trading Plan: Short Signal: Break & close below 24850. 🎯 Target: The Gap Zone. Long Signal: Break ABOVE 25150, then wait for a pullback that finds support at 25150. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is strictly an intraday idea for educational purposes. Trading is incredibly risky and you can lose your capital. This is not advice. Found this helpful? Please give it a Boost! 🔥 What stocks should we dive into next? Let me know below! 👇😊
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Alert_Trader
Grasim: 25-Year Growth Story Reaches New HeightsTechnical Analysis Grasim Ltd presents one of the most remarkable long-term growth stories in Indian markets. Having tracked this stock since 1999 when it traded below ₹20, the journey has been extraordinary. From those humble levels, the stock demonstrated a steady bullish rally reaching ₹2,880 by July 2024, representing a phenomenal 144x growth over 25 years. Post the July 2024 peak, the stock corrected to below ₹2,300 levels. However, following massive FY2025 results, the stock regained momentum and created a new all-time high at ₹2,896. This establishes the ₹2,800-₹2,900 zone as a strong resistance area that has been tested multiple times. Currently trading at ₹2,811, the stock is consolidating near the resistance zone. A decisive breakout above this supply zone with confirmation through bullish candlestick patterns would signal the next leg of the rally. Entry Strategy: Wait for breakout above ₹2,900 zone with volume confirmation and bullish patterns. Targets: Target 1: ₹3,000 Target 2: ₹3,100 Target 3: ₹3,200 Stop Losses: Minor Support: ₹2,600-₹2,700 (minor demand zone) Major Support: ₹2,200-₹2,300 (strong demand zone) If ₹2,200-₹2,300 zone is taken down, no more expectations on this stock. Q1 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q4 FY25 & Q1 FY25) Total Income: ₹40,118 Cr (↓ -9% QoQ from ₹44,267 Cr; ↑ +16% YoY from ₹34,610 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹31,296 Cr (↓ -12% QoQ from ₹35,517 Cr; ↑ +12% YoY from ₹27,927 Cr) Operating Profit: ₹8,822 Cr (↑ +1% QoQ from ₹8,750 Cr; ↑ +32% YoY from ₹6,682 Cr) Profit Before Tax: ₹3,834 Cr (↓ -4% QoQ from ₹3,996 Cr; ↑ +42% YoY from ₹2,691 Cr) Profit After Tax: ₹2,767 Cr (↓ -7% QoQ from ₹2,973 Cr; ↑ +34% YoY from ₹2,066 Cr) Diluted EPS: ₹20.85 (↓ -5% QoQ from ₹21.98; ↑ +28% YoY from ₹16.33) Fundamental Highlights Grasim Industries delivered robust Q1 FY26 performance with consolidated revenue rising 16% YoY to ₹40,118 crore, EBITDA growing 36%, and PAT climbing 32%. The company crossed the significant ₹1.5 lakh crore TTM milestone with standalone revenue surging 34% YoY to all-time high of ₹9,223 crore. Market cap stands at ₹1,91,225 crore (up 2.37% in 1 year) with promoter holding at 43.1%. Stock reached all-time high of ₹2,896.55 before current consolidation, demonstrating strong momentum. Key growth drivers include diversified business portfolio spanning Cellulosic Fibre, Chemicals, Cement, and new ventures. Birla Opus paints brand targets ₹10,000 crore gross revenue within 3 years, positioning to become the second-biggest player in the ₹80,000 crore decorative paints market. Cellulosic Staple Fibre revenue grew 7% YoY with domestic volumes higher by 2% YoY, while Chemicals EBITDA surged 36% YoY. The strong performance across segments validates the diversification strategy. Strong subsidiary performance from UltraTech Cement and Aditya Birla Capital continues to drive consolidated growth, with management expressing confidence in sustained momentum across all business verticals. Conclusion Grasim's remarkable 25-year journey from sub-₹20 levels to ₹2,896 all-time high, backed by strong Q1 FY26 fundamentals showing 32% PAT growth and ₹1.5 lakh crore TTM milestone, validates the long-term growth thesis. The ₹10,000 crore Birla Opus paints target and diversified portfolio provide multiple growth engines. Breakout above ₹2,900 resistance could trigger the next rally toward ₹3,200 levels. Key support zones at ₹2,600-₹2,700 and ₹2,200-₹2,300 provide risk management levels. Disclaimer: lnkd.in
NSE:GRASIM
by ALICEBLUE
Ramco Cements: Higher Highs Journey Reaches New PeakTechnical Analysis Ramco Cements has demonstrated an exceptional long-term uptrend since 2006, continuously making higher highs and higher lows. The stock showcased remarkable growth from ₹50-60 levels to ₹1,100 by July 2021, representing an extraordinary 18-20x growth over 15 years. Post the 2021 peak, the stock corrected to ₹600 levels but maintained its structural uptrend by forming higher lows. Following this pattern, it steadily climbed back to ₹1,100 levels, respecting the higher low formation. The breakthrough moment came with expectations of positive Q1 FY26 results. The stock decisively broke its previous all-time high and surged to ₹1,200. Despite achieving positive outcomes in the results, some profit booking has occurred, bringing the stock to current levels of ₹1,050. Entry Strategy: Enter on any dips with focus on continuation of the higher highs pattern. Targets: Target 1: ₹1,200 Target 2: ₹1,300 Target 3: ₹1,400 Stop Losses: Major Support: ₹800 (higher low support zone) If ₹800 level is taken down, no more expectations on this stock as it would break the higher low pattern. Q1 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q4 FY25 & Q1 FY25) Total Income: ₹2,074 Cr (↓ -13% QoQ from ₹2,397 Cr; ↓ -1% YoY from ₹2,094 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹1,676 Cr (↓ -19% QoQ from ₹2,078 Cr; ↓ -5% YoY from ₹1,773 Cr) Operating Profit: ₹398 Cr (↑ +25% QoQ from ₹319 Cr; ↑ +24% YoY from ₹320 Cr) Profit Before Tax: ₹115 Cr (↑ +150% QoQ from ₹46 Cr; ↑ +140% YoY from ₹48 Cr) Profit After Tax: ₹85 Cr (↑ +227% QoQ from ₹26 Cr; ↑ +130% YoY from ₹37 Cr) Diluted EPS: ₹3.60 (↑ +210% QoQ from ₹1.16; ↑ +129% YoY from ₹1.57) Fundamental Highlights Ramco Cements delivered remarkable Q1 FY26 turnaround with consolidated PAT surging 227% QoQ and 130% YoY to ₹85 crore, driven by significant cost optimization and operational efficiency improvements. The company achieved this despite marginal revenue decline. Market cap stands at ₹25,673 crore (up 34.2% in 1 year) with stable promoter holding at 42.6%. Stock demonstrated impressive 52.33% increase over the past year against Sensex's 2.15%, showcasing strong outperformance. The company recently unveiled 'Hard Worker' construction chemicals brand with FY25 division revenue of ₹210 crore, targeting ambitious ₹2,000 crore in 4-5 years. This strategic diversification opens new growth avenues beyond traditional cement business. Stock reached all-time high of ₹1,206.60 before current consolidation, with technical analysis showing strong institutional buying support. The breakout was accompanied by above-average volumes, adding conviction to the upward move. Despite recent profit booking post-results, the stock maintains strong uptrend structure with 52-week high at ₹1,206.60 and current trading around ₹1,063, indicating healthy correction within the bull trend. Conclusion Ramco Cements' exceptional 227% QoQ PAT recovery and 18-year higher highs pattern reaching new ₹1,200 peak validates the long-term uptrend thesis. The construction chemicals diversification targeting ₹2,000 crore revenue and strong institutional support provide additional growth catalysts. Current consolidation near ₹1,063 offers attractive entry for targeting ₹1,400 levels. Critical support at ₹800 must hold to maintain higher low pattern integrity. Disclaimer: lnkd.in
NSE:RAMCOCEM
by ALICEBLUE
Trade Management Systems: Comparing Two Methods 📌 Method 1 – Normal SL & TP Entry → Open trade at ENTRY. Stop Loss (SL) → Fixed (below ENTRY for buy / above ENTRY for sell). Take Profits (TP1 & TP2) → Both active. When TP1 is hit → Book partial position. SL stays the same → risk remains on the rest of the trade. ✅ Advantage: More potential profit if market extends to TP2. ❌ Risk: If price reverses after TP1, the remaining position can still hit SL → reducing overall profit. 📌 Method 2 – Breakeven Stop (SL = ENTRY after TP1) Entry → Open trade at ENTRY. SL initially fixed. When TP1 is hit → Book 50% profit, then move SL to ENTRY (breakeven). Remaining position: If TP2 is hit → book extra profit. If price falls back → exit at ENTRY (no loss). ✅ Advantage: Trade becomes risk-free after TP1. ❌ Risk: Sometimes market hits TP1 then pulls back, causing breakeven exit → missing bigger gains compared to Method 1. 📌 Enhanced System (Your Version with Fixed Risk) Initial SL → Always set at 2R. TP1 → When reached, book 50% profit (+1R on half). Then move SL to ENTRY (breakeven) for the remaining 50%. 📊 Possible Outcomes: Scenario Result Price hits SL (before TP1) –2R loss Price hits TP1, then reverses to ENTRY +0.5R profit Price hits TP1, then TP2 +2R total profit ⚖️ Summary Method 1 (Normal SL & TP) → More profit potential, but carries more risk on the remaining position. Method 2 (SL = ENTRY after TP1) → Safer, risk-free after TP1, but sometimes cuts off bigger gains. Your Enhanced Version → A defensive system: Losers are limited (–2R). Small winners (+0.5R) happen often. Big winners (+2R) balance out losses. 💡 With consistent discipline, even a 40–45% win rate can make this system profitable.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Aj1t4
Grasim: 25-Year Growth Story Reaches New Heights🔍 Technical Analysis Grasim Ltd presents one of the most remarkable long-term growth stories in Indian markets. Having tracked this stock since 1999 when it traded below ₹20, the journey has been extraordinary. From those humble levels, the stock demonstrated a steady bullish rally reaching ₹2,880 by July 2024, representing a phenomenal 144x growth over 25 years. Post the July 2024 peak, the stock corrected to below ₹2,300 levels. However, following massive FY2025 results, the stock regained momentum and created a new all-time high at ₹2,896. This establishes the ₹2,800-₹2,900 zone as a strong resistance area that has been tested multiple times. Currently trading at ₹2,811, the stock is consolidating near the resistance zone. A decisive breakout above this supply zone with confirmation through bullish candlestick patterns would signal the next leg of the rally. Entry Strategy: Wait for breakout above ₹2,900 zone with volume confirmation and bullish patterns. 🎯 Targets: Target 1: ₹3,000 Target 2: ₹3,100 Target 3: ₹3,200 🚫 Stop Losses: Minor Support: ₹2,600-₹2,700 (minor demand zone) Major Support: ₹2,200-₹2,300 (strong demand zone) If ₹2,200-₹2,300 zone is taken down, no more expectations on this stock. 💰 Q1 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q4 FY25 & Q1 FY25) Total Income: ₹40,118 Cr (↓ -9% QoQ from ₹44,267 Cr; ↑ +16% YoY from ₹34,610 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹31,296 Cr (↓ -12% QoQ from ₹35,517 Cr; ↑ +12% YoY from ₹27,927 Cr) Operating Profit: ₹8,822 Cr (↑ +1% QoQ from ₹8,750 Cr; ↑ +32% YoY from ₹6,682 Cr) Profit Before Tax: ₹3,834 Cr (↓ -4% QoQ from ₹3,996 Cr; ↑ +42% YoY from ₹2,691 Cr) Profit After Tax: ₹2,767 Cr (↓ -7% QoQ from ₹2,973 Cr; ↑ +34% YoY from ₹2,066 Cr) Diluted EPS: ₹20.85 (↓ -5% QoQ from ₹21.98; ↑ +28% YoY from ₹16.33) 🧠 Fundamental Highlights Grasim Industries delivered robust Q1 FY26 performance with consolidated revenue rising 16% YoY to ₹40,118 crore, EBITDA growing 36%, and PAT climbing 32%. The company crossed the significant ₹1.5 lakh crore TTM milestone with standalone revenue surging 34% YoY to all-time high of ₹9,223 crore. Market cap stands at ₹1,91,225 crore (up 2.37% in 1 year) with promoter holding at 43.1%. Stock reached all-time high of ₹2,896.55 before current consolidation, demonstrating strong momentum. Key growth drivers include diversified business portfolio spanning Cellulosic Fibre, Chemicals, Cement, and new ventures. Birla Opus paints brand targets ₹10,000 crore gross revenue within 3 years, positioning to become the second-biggest player in the ₹80,000 crore decorative paints market. Cellulosic Staple Fibre revenue grew 7% YoY with domestic volumes higher by 2% YoY, while Chemicals EBITDA surged 36% YoY. The strong performance across segments validates the diversification strategy. Strong subsidiary performance from UltraTech Cement and Aditya Birla Capital continues to drive consolidated growth, with management expressing confidence in sustained momentum across all business verticals. ✅ Conclusion Grasim's remarkable 25-year journey from sub-₹20 levels to ₹2,896 all-time high, backed by strong Q1 FY26 fundamentals showing 32% PAT growth and ₹1.5 lakh crore TTM milestone, validates the long-term growth thesis. The ₹10,000 crore Birla Opus paints target and diversified portfolio provide multiple growth engines. Breakout above ₹2,900 resistance could trigger the next rally toward ₹3,200 levels. Key support zones at ₹2,600-₹2,700 and ₹2,200-₹2,300 provide risk management levels.
NSE:GRASIMLong
by Rupesh_Chidharala