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Beyond Technical Analysis

Technical AnalysisTechnical analysis is a means of examining and predicting price movements in the financial markets, by using historical price charts and market statistics. It is based on the idea that if a trader can identify previous market patterns, they can form a fairly accurate prediction of future price trajectories. How to perform technical analysis Identifying the trend. This is the first step in technical analysis for traders because trading strategies can either follow the trend or go against the trend. ... Drawing support and resistance levels. ... Establishing entry and exit points. ... Position sizing and risk management.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
3
Trading MistakesIt is a high-stakes game where many are lured by the promise of quick riches but ultimately face harsh realities. One of the harsh realities of trading is the “Rule of 90,” which suggests that 90% of new traders lose 90% of their starting capital within 90 days of their first trade. The 5-3-1 strategy is especially helpful for new traders who may be overwhelmed by the dozens of currency pairs available and the 24-7 nature of the market. The numbers five, three, and one stand for: Five currency pairs to learn and trade. Three strategies to become an expert on and use with your trades.
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by SkyTradingZone
3
Basic to Advanced Trading Road MapRoadmap to being a successful trader Step 1: Decide on your trading pattern. ... Step 2: Select the most appropriate stock trading broker for You. ... Step 3: Choose the best stocks for your investment. ... Step 4: Determine your risk tolerance. ... Step 5: Learn to be patient. It is a high-stakes game where many are lured by the promise of quick riches but ultimately face harsh realities. One of the harsh realities of trading is the “Rule of 90,” which suggests that 90% of new traders lose 90% of their starting capital within 90 days of their first trade.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
3
Advanced Option TradingWhen options are better. Options can be a better choice when you want to limit risk to a certain amount. Options can allow you to earn a stock-like return while investing less money, so they can be a way to limit your risk within certain bounds. Options can be a useful strategy when you're an advanced investor. Yes, profits from intraday trading are considered business income and taxed according to your income tax slab. How is intraday trading taxed? Intraday trading profits are treated as short-term capital gains, added to taxable income, and taxed based on applicable slab rates.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
3
EURUSD - PRICE ACTION CONFIRMS TREND REVERSALSymbol - EURUSD The EURUSD currency pair has broken its previous trend, emerging from a consolidation phase and reaching new highs, which signals a definitive shift in market direction. The primary focus now shifts to the resistance zones, where significant market struggles are expected. The ongoing correction of the US dollar, largely driven by political and geopolitical factors, presents opportunities within the forex market. The EURUSD has been strengthening for the past month, suggesting promising prospects, particularly if the dollar's correction continues. This week, attention is on the Federal Reserve's rate decision and the inflation meeting, which could provide further support for the current market movement. From a technical perspective, the key support level to watch is at 1.0445. If the bulls are able to maintain this support, the price may move towards the 1.0600 - 1.0700 range in the short to medium term. Resistance levels: 1.0530, 1.0610 Support level: 1.0445 The price has already tested the 1.0445 level. A potential false breakdown could occur, aimed at capturing liquidity, after which the pair is likely to resume its upward momentum, driven by renewed interest from buyers in the euro.
Long
by akshit_official
Stock in deep correction: Va Tech Wabag Va Tech Wabag has been in correction since reaching 1906 levels in the second week of Dec 2024. The cancellation of a ₹2,700 crore order for a 300 million litres per day (MLD) mega seawater desalination plant in Saudi Arabia in the month of Dec 2024 caused the steep fall in share price. The order was cancelled due to some internal administrative procedures. This development has been perceived as negative in short to medium term for the stock and the price got beaten. The current order book of Va Tech Wabag is Rs 14,500 Cr. The cancellation caused a dent of 18% on its order book. The stock has corrected 41% from the peak value. Support levels: 1006, 772 One can enter near 1000 levels for good returns.
NSE:WABAGLong
by shanmurali
Nifty Financials In this Sector / Index i would like to share few observations i noticed and even it may give you some insights of a new topic which you may not be aware. Sectorial rotation of funds by FPI's. In recent report i observed highest amount removed is from this sector of Nifty financials and technically we do see a trendline support broken on monthly time frame. This is just a warn sign to be cautious for coming weeks untill there is change in fund flow structure along with Price action technically. Levels are Marked on chart We do Have a Event of Budget, stay cautious. This is just my observation and view based on my personal experience and not a Recommendation.
NSE:CNXFINANCE
by gttsudhakar
Ethereum 1D Technical Analysis (Bullish Bias X Bull Market)- Ethereum is currently trading at 3166$ - Ethereum has been underperforming Bitcoin for 2 quarters - Ethereum marks the short term bottom in my opinion and now we can soon see ETH purging above 4000$ - Ethereum is a long waited rally crypto and everybody is waiting for ETH TO OUTPERFORM it will only outperform once it flips the weekly candle above 3700$ - Ethereum is witnessing a huge backlash due to its underperformance one weekly close above 4500$ will help ETH print a new all time high - Ethereum should make a new all time high by the end of Q1
Long
by VKtradesimbalance
Nifty 1D Bear Market Technical Analysis (Distribution Phase)- Nifty is currently trading at 22,829. - Nifty has erased 13.11% from its all-time high of 26,274. - Ninety percent of social media outlets and broadcasters have stopped their perpetual bullish commentary on Nifty, which they claimed would never stop. The next ten years for India are expected to be very bullish, and Nifty could soon head towards 30,000 following this drop. - Now, let's focus on understanding what we can expect from this drop and where prices may head in the upcoming days. - Nifty is about to test the largest liquidity grab it made around 21,285. After that, we may quickly see Nifty rebalance the inefficiencies it creates during this impulsive downward move. - The level I will be considering for my personal investment is between 18,832 and 19,000. - The range of 18,000 to 20,000 is likely to be a very strong zone for long-term investments rather than short-term swings, as markets typically move in cycles of accumulation, manipulation, and distribution. - To fill the gaps, the market rebalances every imbalance, taking out liquidity between candles and heading toward new lows or highs. The market seeks liquidity from Fair Value Gaps; that's how it usually moves. - We have witnessed a bull market for 2 years now. In my opinion, we are soon going to experience a Distribution phase of 2 years filled with many manipulations and dead cat bounces. Stay cautious and don't miss discounted levels; an index correcting 30% is significant.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by VKtradesimbalance
George Soros's Top Trading Rules: Master Risk and Reward I hope you all are doing great in life and your trading journey as well! Today, I’ve brought an educational post on George Soros's Top Trading Rules . These timeless principles from one of the greatest traders in history will help you master risk management and improve your trading skills. Let’s dive in! It’s not whether you’re right or wrong that matters, but how much money you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong. Soros focuses on managing risk and reward, emphasizing that being right doesn’t matter unless your profits outweigh your losses. Markets are constantly in a state of uncertainty and flux, and money is made by discounting the obvious and betting on the unexpected. He highlights the importance of thinking ahead and capitalizing on unexpected market moves. The worse a situation becomes, the less it takes to turn it around, and the bigger the upside. This rule underlines his contrarian approach of buying when others are fearful and selling when others are greedy. Know when to cut your losses. Soros is a big believer in exiting a losing trade quickly to protect your capital. I’m only rich because I know when I’m wrong. I basically have survived by recognizing my mistakes. This reflects the importance of self-awareness and adaptability in trading. When you’re risking your own money, the first and foremost rule is survival. Protecting capital is always the top priority, ensuring long-term trading success. Recognize bubbles when you see them. Soros’s theory of reflexivity emphasizes how markets can deviate from fundamentals due to investor sentiment, creating opportunities to profit. A good trader thinks about probabilities, not certainties. He advises traders to focus on risk management and the odds of success rather than seeking perfect predictions. If investing is entertaining, if you're having fun, you're probably not making any money. Good investing is boring. Patience and discipline are crucial in trading and investing. Thank you for reading! Apply these timeless principles of George Soros in your trading journey and focus on mastering risk and reward. Share your thoughts or favorite trading rules in the comments below! Don’t forget to follow for more insightful posts. Happy Trading!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
Options Trading Strategies on Budget Day 2025A Comprehensive Guide on Nifty, Niftybank, and Sensex Options Introduction Trading options on Union Budget day can be an exhilarating yet challenging endeavour. The Indian stock market sees significant volatility on this day, influenced by the budget announcements made by the Finance Minister. This guide will provide insights into trading options on the three major indices in the Indian markets: Nifty, Nifty Bank, and Sensex. We will also analyse the past data of these indices on budget days and examine how India VIX have fluctuated during these days. Based on this data we will deploy 4 delta neutral strategies and see how these strategies have performed on the budget days for all the 3 indices. The basic idea of this study is to find out the optimal strategy that can be deployed on budget day. Also please note since Sensex is a new instrument for weekly options data for the strategies is only available for 2024 Understanding the Major Indices • Nifty: The Nifty 50 index, representing 50 of the largest companies listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE). • Niftybank: The Nifty Bank index, comprising the most liquid and large capitalized Indian banking stocks. • Sensex: The Sensex or BSE 30 index, representing 30 of the largest and most actively traded stocks on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). Historical Performance on Union Budget Days To make informed trading decisions, it is essential to analyse how these indices have performed on budget days over the past decade. The following tables provide detailed data on the indices' performance, including values for Open, High, Low, Close, and percentage changes from Open to Close and High to Low. Additionally, the tables include India VIX movement throughout the day. Analysing Implied Volatility and India VIX On Union Budget day, implied volatility and the India VIX are crucial indicators to watch. Typically, an IV crush occurs post the Finance Minister's speech, leading to a significant drop in volatility. This section will explore these trends based on historical data and provide insights into how traders can capitalize on these movements. PS: The IV considered here will be the ATM Straddle IV Options Trading Strategies Although multiple options strategies can be deployed on budget day we are going to consider deploying a Directional and a Non-Directional Straddle with protective hedges. We will compare the strategies to see which strategy has given the best back testing performance and we will compare the performance of these strategies for all indices Nifty, Bank Nifty and Sensex. Short Straddles using Wait & Trade A conventional short straddle involves selling an ATM call and an ATM put option. However instead of entering both the legs at once we are going to perform a wait and trade directional straddle. This means that we will enter the call leg or the put leg only when the premium falls below 5%. We will take the reference time of entry as 9:20 am and exit time for the strategy will be 3:25 pm. We will check the reference price of both the calls and put options at 9:20 am for the ATM Straddle strike price. Let us say the Nifty on budget day is trading at 22500 then we will check the premium of the 22500 CE and 22500 PE and note down these prices. Let us say both are trading close Rs 100 each then we will enter only when the price of those options goes below Rs 95 implying that there is some direction in the market. So we will enter only that leg and avoid executing the other leg. If the market takes a direction we are bound to profit from the leg that has been executed. If the market moves up first and then down then it is likely that both the legs will get executed. The stop loss on the individual legs will be 70% each. One can execute this simple strategy via an algo execution platform. Pros: This strategy profits from the decrease in implied volatility and can be profitable if the market remains sideways or directional. Cons: This strategy will tend to loose money in a V-shape or U-shape market since there is a possibility of both stop losses triggering. Iron Butterfly An Iron Butterfly strategy involves selling an ATM straddle and buying protective wings (an OTM call and an OTM put) to limit risk. The offset units will be purely selected on the basis of the breakeven points of the straddle to keep it simple. This strategy is limited risk limited reward strategy. We will execute this strategy on all indices at 9:20 am and exit at 3:25 pm on all budget days. Pros: On budget days the usual tendency of the market is to make some extreme movements but tend to close flat or closer to the open. If on the budget day the market tends to behave in this manner then the strategy turns out to be a high profitable strategy. Cons: On budget day if the market becomes extremely directional then this strategy will end in a limited loss Back tested Results The back tested performance of short straddles and Iron Butterfly on Nifty, Nifty Bank, and Sensex indices are summarized in the following tables. These tables will help traders understand the potential profitability and risks associated with each strategy. For some strategies there is lack of back tested data available, so it is denoted as NA in the column of the strategy name Note: All the strategies deployed as a part of this exercise are time based straddles. To optimize the performance of these strategies one can look at ATM straddle charts and can add some technical indicators such as super trend, vwap or moving averages to plan precision entries and exits for these strategies. The usage of these will definitely help increase the probability of the trade. Please find the link below for your reference with all the data Historical Data Indices.xlsx The software used for backtesting the strategies in StockMock. Conclusion Budget week brings volatility; traders should employ delta neutral strategies to benefit from price fluctuations and implied volatility changes Some of the key highlights of all budget days: 1. Budget week is highly volatile, with significant price movements expected. 2. Historical analysis shows an average 2-2.5% movement from high to low on budget days. 3. Implied volatility typically decreases around 11 AM on budget day. 4. Delta neutral strategies are recommended for traders lacking directional clarity. 5. Various strategies like straddles, strangles, and iron condors can be employed. 6. One should use algo platforms to automate executions since markets will tend to move very fast and in such situations, execution becomes extremely critical 7. Also do your own study by backtesting, forward testing and only then deploy your strategy in the live market Hope you found the above article useful in helping you to prepare yourself in advance for Budget Day. All the best!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by VishalSubandh
10
Nifty50The Nifty 50 Index could drop further if it breaches key support levels. Based on recent analyses: A drop below the immediate support level of 22,975 could open the door for further decline towards 22,800. If market sentiment continues to be bearish, the next support level could be around 22,600. More extended downside support levels are at 22,500 and 22,3433. Let's keep an eye on market indicators and global sentiment, as they can significantly influence these support levels. Do you think the market might find support at one of these levels?
NSE:NIFTYShort
by EquityGainer
NASDAQ 100 all Set to Crash to 18300!Nasdaq 100 CFD Daily Chart Live 27th Jan 2025 #NDQ #NDQ100 TVC:NDQ SHORT SIGNAL TRIGGERED🐻🚨 on the back of a BIG TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT from China's DeepSeek AI putting all of American AI to Shame, being vastly Superior and Cost Efficient, this leads to Popping of the AI Bubble in US Market Price headed for Downside of sub 20k📉 And then even Lower Levels open up🩸🔨 200 Day EMA (Black MA) in Chart is the 1st Easy Downside Target🎯 Downside Targets are marked as Yellow Horizontal Lines in Chart 2 Major Downside Targets as follows: T1= 19950 🎯 T2= 18300 🎯 and finally looking for Price to take down 5th August Low as well so approx. 17500 🎯
EIGHTCAP:NDQ100Short
by T_Harth
1
RUNEUSDT Thor's hammer almost Ready on a HighProbable QSD SetupAgain lets talk just the setup and what has just happened on the immediate left, QS1 in Blue, QSD1 Lift below QS1 bound to go beyond the HH of QS1 in blue. Same repeating for the bigger QS2 Fractal in white. We are at the QSD2 Bounce level (2.51). after giving a wick below the line, if we are holding this level. This is major buy SIGNAL till the QS2 HH (In white) and beyond The trade is as marked Trade Range 2.68->3.69->4.2->6.2->7.89->11.11 SL is as marked on the trade 1.91 Tight Relaxed 1.68 We might get similar waves structure or faster as marked in Green based on the replica of Previous lift @ QDS1 Safe trade is from Fib 0.5->1.619 of the Fib marked based on the expected first impulse of QSD2 Bounce ( Hence an early call ) But the extended targets are at fib 4.2 levels @11.11 $ What this Pick ! As its baby coin VTHOUSDT just showed us, something is cooking by moving from 0.2->1.2 almost 6X in a day. This trade might also execute like that, MIGHT ! BOOM !!
Long
by trancenaari
1
Warren Buffett’s 10 Golden Rules for Smart InvestingWhen it comes to investing, no name shines brighter than Warren Buffett. Known as the "Oracle of Omaha," Buffett has shared timeless principles that can help every investor achieve long-term success. Here's a breakdown of his golden rules to guide your trading and investment journey: 1. Never lose money. Buffett's most famous rule: "Rule No. 1: Never lose money. Rule No. 2: Never forget Rule No. 1." Protecting your capital is more important than chasing high returns. 2. Invest in what you understand. Focus on industries and businesses that you can analyze and comprehend. Investing in areas where you lack knowledge is a recipe for unnecessary risk. 3. Quality over quantity. Choose businesses with strong competitive advantages, consistent earnings, and exceptional management. Buffett calls these "wonderful businesses." 4. Patience pays. Buffett famously said, "The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient." Successful investing requires the discipline to wait for the right opportunities. 5. Price vs. Value. "Price is what you pay, value is what you get." Always look for companies trading below their intrinsic value to maximize returns. 6. Avoid unnecessary debt. Buffett avoids borrowing money for investments and prefers companies with low debt. High leverage can amplify risks and lead to losses. 7. Think long-term. Invest with the mindset of holding a stock indefinitely, provided the business remains strong and continues to grow. 8. Be contrarian. Buffett advises, "Be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy." Market downturns are opportunities to buy great companies at discounted prices. 9. Reinvest your earnings. Reinvest dividends and profits to harness the power of compounding, which is the key to exponential growth over time. 10. Commit to lifelong learning. Buffett spends hours reading every day to expand his knowledge. Continuous learning is essential to stay ahead in the market. By following these rules, you can build a strong foundation for long-term success in the stock market. Remember, investing isn’t about luck—it’s about strategy, discipline, and staying informed.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
2
EURUSD - 1H LONGFOREXCOM:EURUSD Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied... Keep trading Hustle hard Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading. Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!
Long
by Phinics