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In about an hour, UK Retail Sales data will be releasedIn about an hour, UK Retail Sales data will be released. We’ve analyzed every report since 2022 to build this insight-packed dashboard showing how GBPUSD typically reacts within 4 hours after the print: 📊 Historical Breakdown (32 events total): 🔹 Bullish trend: 46.9% → 15 events 🔸 Bearish trend: 53.1% → 17 events 📉 Average bearish move: -30.35 pips 📈 Average bullish move: +22.13 pips No crystal ball — just statistics and probabilities.
by ClashChartsTeam
NIFTY 50 – At the Doorstep of ATH RESISTANCE📈 NIFTY 50 – At the Doorstep of ATH Resistance | Make of Break Levels 🧠 Educational Analysis NIFTY 50 is once again testing its All-Time High (ATH) zone around 26,279. This level has acted as a major ceiling in the past, triggering a large correction previously. Currently, price has retraced back into this crucial level after forming a higher structural swing, showing significant buying strength. However, no major breakout can be confirmed until NIFTY closes decisively above 26,280. This chart serves as a clear example of how markets behave around psychological levels and previous ATH zones. 🔍 Technical Highlights 26,279 – All-Time High (ATH) & will act as Strong resistance zone where sellers previously pushed price down sharply. Big Rally can begin only above ATH, as marked on the chart. Dotted Path Downside Demonstrates possible retracement path if NIFTY fails to break ATH. 📘 Educational Purpose This chart is shared only for educational analysis, to illustrate: How ATH zones act as major decision points How markets create two-sided scenarios (breakout vs. rejection) How higher-timeframe structures influence trend continuation Learners can use this as a real-world study of structure, ATH behavior, and confirmation setups. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is not financial advice. All observations are shared purely for technical education and learning purposes. Always do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by QD_StockTech
Nifty sell trade logic !Nifty sell side trade reason behind it: *Nifty open gap down, so my todays plan was sell. but when to sell -- After market open it goes up like rocket. -- i want structure shift in smller time frame. -- In 1 min time frame i got it near 09:39 and i need to slight pullback in FVA and -ve poi there. -- Bearish rejection candle give us chance to trade with good R:R, stop loss must required. bz market mere bolne se nahi chalta. so i need to put sl. -- As u know target would be swing low. --And we got target luckillly...
NSE:NIFTYShort
by romitkumar
Daily Macro, Market Mood Swings, & the Stories Behind the NoiseThe Stale Jobs Report Nobody Asked For The much-delayed US September jobs report finally arrived yesterday —only to reveal that its insights are about as fresh as leftovers forgotten in the office fridge. Not only are the numbers too “stale” to be useful, but even if we pretend they’re not, the report still refuses to shed meaningful light on where the labor market actually stands. In short: lots of data, very little enlightenment, and definitely no peace treaty for the Federal Reserve’s ongoing internal policy debate. Shutdown Fog and the Market Mood Swing Adding to the confusion, the BLS has now said the November NFP print won’t drop until after the December FOMC meeting. Combine that with a government-shutdown haze apparently scheduled to lift sometime in 2026, and markets did what markets do best—panic elegantly. US equities went from hopeful green to tragic red faster than you can say “data dependency.” Fed Officials: United in Caution, Divided in Direction With just weeks until the Fed’s final meeting of the year, policymakers are broadcasting a delightful mix of caution, hesitation, and the occasional rate-cut cheerleading. Goolsbee, Hammack, and Cook are all expressing varying shades of “let’s not rush this,” while Waller is enthusiastically waving the December-cut flag. The collective mood reinforces Powell’s recent reminder that a December cut is “not a foregone conclusion,” and judging by the chatter, the “no” camp seems to be gaining momentum. The Dollar Puts on Its Superhero Cape Meanwhile, the US Dollar is out here having a fantastic week. Fuelled by fading expectations of a December Fed rate cut—and boosted by a surprisingly strong September NFP reading showing 119K new jobs—the Greenback marched to six-month highs. The DXY even broke past the 100 mark, flexing its muscles despite falling Treasury yields A Data-Packed Day Ahead If all that wasn’t enough, today’s global data calendar is busier than a central banker at a press conference. We’ve got PMI prints from the Eurozone, UK, and US; UK retail sales; ECB President Lagarde holding court; and a parade of Fed speakers including Williams, Barr, Jefferson, and Logan. Throw in the U-Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, and you’ve got a full economic buffet—with plenty of opportunities for markets to overreact yet again.
NSE:NIFTY
by rajkaz
Market Pulse — Nifty: structurally strong, tactically cautiousOn 20 November 2025, Indian markets once again displayed resilience despite mixed global cues. The intraday structure across the 5-minute and 1-hour charts remained decisively bullish. The market respected the short-term trade line that began on 19 November, repeatedly defended the 25,850–25,913 support band on lower timeframes, and closed near recent highs. Nvidia’s quarterly beat provided relief to global risk sentiment and temporarily eased concerns surrounding the AI sector. However, the larger structural risk remains the wave of unprofitable AI startups that depend on continuous funding. Domestically the market tone remains constructive; globally the environment remains fragile and highly sensitive to events. Market Context — What Moved Price Today • Global markets reacted positively to stronger-than-expected results from a major AI-chip manufacturer, easing fears of a broader technology-led shock. • Indian markets absorbed early weakness and showed buying at previously tested short-term supports around 25,850–25,913. Multiple sessions without a clean breakdown below this area have turned it into a reliable demand zone. • Volatility remained driven by events. Options positioning and volume spikes revealed aggressive institutional adjustments around major index levels, especially between 26,100–26,300 on the call side and 25,800–26,000 on the put side. Technical Read — Structure, Levels and What to Watch High-Level Bias: Daily and Weekly • The trend remains bullish. Daily and weekly charts show higher highs and higher lows, with the index trading above important moving averages after recently breaking out of a multi-month consolidation. • Weekly support sits around 25,400–25,600. A break below this region would indicate participation from broader sellers. Intraday Structure: 1-Hour and 15-Minute • The upward-sloping trade line from the 19 November low continues to guide short-term momentum. Sustaining above 26,100–26,120 keeps the bias positive. • Immediate resistance lies at 26,200–26,300. A strong hourly close above 26,300 increases the likelihood of a move to record highs. • Immediate support rests at 26,050–26,100, followed by 25,850–25,913, a zone that has been protected for several sessions. • A daily close below 25,700–25,650 would weaken the overall structure and open the possibility of a deeper retracement towards 25,350–25,400. 5-Minute Micro Structure • The market has been building a sequence of higher lows since 19 November. A clear 5-minute breakdown below the trade line or below 25,913 may trigger a quick intraday fade. • Upward impulses have been supported by strong volume. Watch for volume divergence near resistance, which would suggest waning momentum. Options and Positioning • Options interest remains concentrated between 26,200–26,300 on calls and 25,900–26,000 on puts. This creates a zone where market-makers hedge aggressively, increasing intraday volatility. • With expiry approaching, option decay accelerates. Significant moves can cause rapid repricing of options. • Conservative strategies or defined-risk spreads are preferable to naked options during such conditions. Macro and Fundamental Overlay • Domestic fundamentals remain supportive. Recent data shows easing inflation, firm consumption trends, and steady policy direction. This backdrop has encouraged domestic investors to buy dips even when global markets show weakness. • Foreign investor flows have been inconsistent, but domestic institutions and mutual funds have consistently provided depth and absorbed selling pressure. This dynamic keeps India relatively stable, though not immune to global risk-off phases. • A major sector rotation risk remains in global technology. The rapid flow of capital into AI-linked assets has left valuations stretched. As large global companies report results, any slowdown in momentum can trigger broader de-risking. Risk Map — What Could Destabilize the Rally 1. A slowdown in funding for unprofitable AI startups, leading to leveraged unwinding and reduced demand for hardware. 2. Weak US data or unexpected central bank shifts that affect global risk appetite. 3. Negative developments in India-US trade discussions or unfavourable geopolitical moves. 4. Domestic macro surprises or policy issues that disrupt the current liquidity environment. Practical Trading Framework Short-Term Intraday (5-Minute / 15-Minute) • Long trades are favourable if price sustains above 26,100 with stops below 26,050. Upside targets lie around 26,300 and 26,400. • Short trades become valid if price breaks below 25,913 on a 5-minute close, with targets near 25,850 and 25,700. Position sizing should remain controlled. Swing Outlook (1 Day to 2 Weeks) • Dips into 25,850–25,700 remain opportunities for staggered long entries, with stops below 25,600. • Exposure to highly valued AI and tech names should be moderated. Prefer sectors reinforced by domestic fundamentals such as financials, cyclicals and consumption-linked names. Options and Hedging • Portfolio hedges using put options near major supports can help if volatility suddenly rises. • Defined-risk bullish call spreads offer upside exposure without excessive premium outlay. Psychology and Positioning • The extended AI rally created concentration risks in global portfolios. When sentiment shifts, exits tend to be correlated across the same sector. • Diversification and disciplined sector exposure limit this risk. • Indian investors have taken a measured approach, using volatility as opportunity rather than reacting with fear. Levels and News to Monitor • Daily close above 26,300 indicates bullish continuation. • Daily close below 25,650 signals broad structural weakness. • Intraday: 26,100–26,150 as support; 26,200–26,300 as resistance. • Flows: monitor daily FII/DII activity and mutual fund allocations. • Domestic macro releases: inflation, consumption indicators, policy commentary. • Global cues: US technology earnings, commentary from major AI-related firms, US bond yields, and developments in India-US trade discussions. Conclusion Indian markets remain structurally strong. Buyers continue to defend support zones, short-term trade lines remain intact, and price action reflects confidence rather than complacency. The global landscape, however, remains sensitive due to stretched AI valuations and key technology earnings. The prudent stance is to maintain a positive bias while managing risk carefully. Buying into well-defined support zones, trimming exposure to overheated segments, and hedging when necessary remain sensible strategies. Any deep correction driven by global factors would likely offer strong long-term opportunities in fundamentally sound, domestically aligned sectors.
NSE:NIFTY
by DrAayushGoyal
TATACONSUMas per technical view next short term resistance : 1190,1200 & +10.... DISCLAIMER it's just my technical view. I'M NOT A SEBI REGISTERED ANALYST. Before taking trade or Invest consult your financial advisor. ✅Here we provide TECHNICAL Levels and Charts.💯 ✅This channel is for educational and self analysis purposes only! Note : DIGITAL TRADING FLOOR - Growing Online trading Community. We are providing market updates, recommendations and technical views are educational purposes only and it's taken from multiple sources that are not generated by our own. So before taking trading and investment kindly ensure your financial advisor.
NSE:TATACONSUMLong
by Digital_Trading_Floor
Daily Macro, Market Mood Swings, & the Stories Behind the NoiseNvidia: The Market’s Emergency Generator Nvidia didn’t just beat expectations—it blew past them like a power surge through an already overloaded grid. The post-market 5% jump wasn’t enough to revisit October highs, but it was enough to jolt the entire AI complex back to life. More importantly, it single-handedly revived hopes of a December melt-up. When the biggest weight in the S&P 500 delivers, the whole market exhales. Fed: The Decider-In-Chief Whether this relief rally becomes a full Santa run now rests squarely with the Federal Reserve. Markets want a clean 25bp cut; futures, however, are quickly losing faith. The October minutes leaned hawkish, with officials openly mulling rates on hold through end-2025. Inflation is sticky, data is messy, and the FOMC is split between “trust the lagging indicators” and “avoid repeating the 1970s.” Cozy. Dollar Dynamics & Data Fog The dollar index climbed above 100.1—its highest in nearly two weeks—as traders dialed back December rate-cut expectations. Markets now assign only ~34% odds to a 25bps cut. The confusion deepened when the BLS confirmed the October jobs report won’t be published, since household data can’t be retro-collected. The missing report will be folded into November’s release, adding one more blindfold to the Fed’s labor-market assessment. Global Moves: Yen Wobbles, JGBs Rebel, Europe Steadies The dollar strengthened against the yen, pushing the Japanese currency to a 10-month low and prompting Finance Minister Katayama to announce that Tokyo is monitoring markets with “a high sense of urgency”—which is bureaucratic for “this is not fine.” Meanwhile, Japanese bond yields broke every rule in the stimulus textbook, with the 40-year hitting a record and the 30-year touching 3.334%. In India, benchmark equities reversed early losses as foreign inflows and a bounce in IT helped restore calm. Across Europe, the Eurozone headline CPI held steady at 2.1%, while UK CPI eased to 3.6%, matching expectations and giving central bankers one less thing to stress about. Ahead Today: The Data Lineup A busy U.S. docket awaits: • September non-farm payrolls & unemployment • October industrial production • Initial jobless claims • Existing home sales
SP:SPX
by rajkaz
This One GBP Option Has 4 Red Flags — All Pointing UpA new GBP put option at 1.27 on the March futures contract entered the CME market quietly — and the price reacted almost immediately, starting to move in that direction. 👉 That’s Signal #1: Price is respecting the flow. But it gets more interesting: Signal #2: The position was built very rapidly — over a tight time window. Fast accumulation like this often signals "big money" action. Signal #3: The size is just over $1 million — not "epic", but definitely material for GBP options. Worth watching. Now check the CME heatmap for this option series — and you’ll see: This level of volume inflow hasn’t occurred in over a month. 👉 That’s Signal #4: Unusual option activity. Fresh positioning. Aka institutional footprint. 📌 Bottom line: We’re not jumping in — we’re watching for acceptable R/R short setup. But when four signals align like this, you don’t ignore them.
Short
by ClashChartsTeam
Domestic Resilience VS Global CautionNifty holds 25,850; AI / Nvidia risk remains the primary external overhang. The Nifty 50 showed notable strength on 19 November 2024. The session opened with mild selling pressure but quickly stabilised at the 25,850 zone, a level that has been protected for three consecutive sessions. Neither the 5-minute nor the 15-minute timeframe has produced a clean candle close below this region, indicating the presence of steady demand at this support. During the day, the index encountered supply at 25,925–25,935, a zone that rejected price action in the previous session. This time, however, that supply was absorbed. Recovery from the same levels that failed earlier is a sign of improving intraday strength. Despite broadly weaker global markets and declines across major Asian peers, Indian indices held firm, signalling that domestic valuations, which were previously a concern, have become more balanced and attractive to buyers. From a broader perspective, the Indian market has not posted a new all-time high since late September 2024, yet it has successfully navigated several global shocks without experiencing a structural breakdown. Even when the market dipped towards the 22,000 range earlier in the year, the selling never evolved into capitulation. Each decline created opportunities for long-term investors, and the index continues to trade in the upper band of its long-term range. This persistence underscores the “New India” and “Invest in India” narrative where structural reforms, domestic consumption, and macro stability contribute meaningfully to market resilience. For now, the domestic backdrop remains constructive. Inflation has moderated compared to earlier spikes, tax rationalisation and consumption-linked GST cuts have supported household spending, and a stable policy environment has allowed investment and capex cycles to continue without interruption. Institutional flows reflect this dynamic: foreign investors have remained selective, but domestic institutions and mutual funds have consistently provided depth during periods of global volatility, preventing one-sided declines. Two external variables, however, remain crucial. The first is global sentiment surrounding the artificial intelligence cycle. Nvidia’s quarterly results, due this week, have become a global event risk because AI-linked stocks dominate US index weightage and investor positioning. While market leaders such as Nvidia and Microsoft continue to generate strong earnings, valuation concentration and rapid capital allocation into AI themes have left the broader market sensitive to any disappointment. A weaker-than-expected print could trigger de-risking across global equities, including India, even if domestic fundamentals remain intact. Conversely, a strong set of results could stabilise sentiment and support risk appetite. The second factor is the ongoing India–US trade negotiations. Recent commentary from both sides has been constructive, and the possibility of a mutually beneficial deal remains on the table. Such an agreement would act as a structural uplift for multiple Indian sectors, especially manufacturing and export-oriented industries. However, until there is clarity, this remains a binary trigger capable of influencing short-term direction. Technically, Nifty continues to maintain a constructive structure. The 25,850–25,900 band remains first support, and a daily close below 25,700 would be required to signal weakening momentum. On the upside, the 26,100–26,300 zone represents major overhead supply. A sustained close above this region would indicate a shift toward the next leg of the long-term uptrend. On the lower timeframes, supply absorption at 25,925–25,935 and the sequence of higher lows across hourly and four-hour charts indicate that buyers remain in control unless external shocks intervene. Given current conditions, it is reasonable to expect that the market will hold above 25,850 as long as no adverse global triggers emerge. If global cues stabilise and if progress on the India–US trade front accelerates, the index has room to resume its upward trajectory, potentially targeting the 29,000 region over the next several months. Conversely, any negative surprise from global technology earnings or policy developments may introduce volatility, but even such phases are likely to provide opportunities in a structurally strong domestic market. Overall, India remains fundamentally well-positioned. The market has handled volatility with resilience, buyers have defended critical supports, and structural drivers continue to anchor long-term confidence. The near-term requires caution due to global event risk, but the medium- to long-term outlook remains favourable for disciplined investors.
NSE:NIFTY
by DrAayushGoyal
Daily Macro, Market Mood Swings, & the Stories Behind the NoiseThe Background Buzz What’s the market mood? Think of a machine that’s been running too long, too hot, too fast — now humming with that faint, hollow “something’s-off” vibration. The AI complex, once the unstoppable locomotive of 2025, suddenly sounds like someone poured sand into the gearbox. Not a crash, not a panic — just a market cruising at high altitude on borrowed oxygen, slowly realizing the air’s getting thin. Four Red Days & A Rising VIX Four straight down days in the S&P, a VIX inching toward 25, and a vibe shift that feels more psychological than mechanical. Nearly half of institutional investors now say the biggest tail risk is an AI bubble — not inflation, not yields, not geopolitics. When AI beats everything else on the anxiety leaderboard, you know the mood’s changed. Global Markets Join the Gloom Add in global weakness — Japan and Korea dropping over 3%, Europe sliding 1%, CCC yields punching above 10%, and the Nasdaq looking bruised — and you get a market that isn’t dumping AI… just interrogating it like a detective who skipped lunch. Nvidia, the Market’s Mood Ring Which brings us to Nvidia — part deity, part executioner. Tomorrow’s earnings aren’t just important; they’re the emotional thermostat of the entire AI universe. One guidance blip from Nvidia and global sentiment swings like a ceiling fan with a loose screw. Layoffs Add to the Chill Meanwhile, the labor tape isn’t helping. U.S. companies are trimming about 2,500 jobs a week, and October’s mass layoffs hit 39,000. It’s the kind of data that makes markets squint and ask, “Is this still a soft landing or did someone remove the padding?” Rate Cut Whispers Fresh data showed continued unemployment claims hitting a two-month high at 1.9 million for the week ending Oct 18.and gold and silver immediately tried to shake off their three-day slump. Markets now price nearly a 50% chance of a Fed cut on Dec 9–10, up from 46% earlier in the day — proof that even basis points can cause mood swings. India Feels the Ripple India’s benchmark equities finally slipped after a six-day rally, caught in the global selloff as traders turn cautious ahead of key U.S. data. The rupee, meanwhile, logged a second straight gain — helped by optimism around a potential U.S. trade deal. Gold Shines, Crypto Sulks Gold and silver climbed as rate-cut hopes firmed and risk assets took more damage. Cryptos, unfortunately, were the designated punching bag of the day. ⸻ 10. The Day Ahead US: Industrial production, housing starts, trade data, FOMC minutes UK: CPI Eurozone: CPI
SP:SPX
by rajkaz
Psychology of Indian Traders – Short Real-Life Cases!Hello Traders! India has one of the fastest-growing trading communities in the world. But despite access to charts, tools, YouTube, and education, most retail traders still repeat the same emotional mistakes. Here are a few short real-life cases that show how psychology shapes the journey of Indian traders more than any strategy or indicator. 1. The Salary Trader, “I Just Want to Recover My Losses” A 28-year-old IT employee from Bengaluru started trading BankNifty options after watching influencers brag about profits. He made ₹6,000 on his first day, and believed trading was easy income. Then he lost ₹45,000 in two weeks. Instead of stopping, he kept trading bigger lots to recover. Within 3 months, he wiped out his entire savings. His mistake wasn’t strategy. It was thinking recovery is more important than discipline. 2. The Overconfident Trader, “Market Mere Hisab Se Chalega” A 33-year-old trader from Gujarat had one big lucky win in 2021 during the bull market. He made ₹3.5 lakh in one week and believed he was naturally talented. He increased his position size, stopped using stop loss, and ignored risk. The next correction wiped out not just his profit, but his entire capital. His mistake was thinking “luck = skill.” 3. The FOMO Trader, “Sab Log Le Rahe Hain, Main Kyun Chhodo?” A young trader from Mumbai bought every trending coin, SHIB, PEPE, FLOKI, without checking charts or fundamentals. He only entered after seeing pumps on Twitter. He never bought dips, only tops. Today, he holds a portfolio down 70%, waiting for “next bull run” to save him. FOMO always makes you late. 4. The Quiet Winner, “Main Kam Karta Hun, Par Sahi Karta Hun” A disciplined trader from Pune took only 2–3 trades a week. He risked just 1% per trade, journaled every entry, and treated trading as a skill. In 18 months, he grew his account slowly but consistently, without blowing up once. He is not rich yet, but he is stable, confident, and improving every month. Consistency beats speed, every time. Rahul’s Tip: Most Indian traders don’t need more indicators, they need more patience, more control, and more clarity. Before learning complex setups, learn yourself. Your psychology decides your wealth more than your strategy ever will. Conclusion: These real-life cases show one truth, the Indian market doesn’t destroy traders. Their habits do. If you want to be different, think differently. Trade slow, trade smart, and build discipline before expecting profits. If this post felt relatable, like it, share your story in comments, and follow for more real-world trading psychology lessons!
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDEducation
by TraderRahulPal
10
Bears are strong 26000 Nifty levels - Stay away (Big Traders IN)Sir/Mam, I see that this month November started with level 25700 (approx.) I suggest small trader not to trade in Options as there are big traders shorting the call and put in every interval. Only 5 Trading days left for the monthly expiry, please wait for levels to touch 25700/26100 then go for Trade safely (buy CE and PE 25700/26100) we are in the middle of the market, movements are not happening because of cautious mindset of the traders, panic in market is real to happen soon whether its downside or upside to see buyer's mindset (means retail trader) as the big traders will book profit at some interval before expiry so wait for that day. Markets movement happens only for the ONE below reason - 1. Big investors do heavy buying or selling all other reasons such as news, global chaos or any other related to market are just a thread of the BIG investors to cover their reason of interring and exiting from market in order to book profit. Now you see the price value of each strike price of levels are moderate/low with no big movements. Just keep in mind price value increases only when they buy - who (BIG T) because they are still keep selling (shorting the CE and PE) I just shared my idea/thoughts, trading in option contracts are so interesting when we book profit:) Hope you have just observed the market today. Wait for the levels PATIENCE
NSE:NIFTY
by Nitin1012
BEL 1 Day Time Frame 🔍 Current Context The last quoted price for BEL was around ₹424.55 on the NSE. The recent day-range (low to high) is approx ₹424.20 to ₹429.40. 52-week high ₹436.00 and low ~ ₹240.25. 🎯 Key Technical Levels (1-Day Chart) Here are approximate support/resistance levels for the day, based on the recent range and price action: Major Resistance: around ₹430 to ₹433 — price has approached this zone recently, so it’s an upper hurdle. Immediate Resistance: near ₹429 to ₹430 given recent high of ~₹429.40. Current Price Floor / Near Support: around ₹424 to ₹422 — the region where price is trading now. Strong Support: around ₹417 to ₹420 — this would act as next key floor if the current support fails. Lower Support / Risk Zone: ~ ₹410 to ₹412 — if price breaks down further, this zone could become relevant.
NSE:BELLong
by Knowledgehub
Marico: Post-Results Rally Tests Resistance ZoneTechnical Analysis Marico Limited showcases an impressive wealth creation journey spanning two decades. The stock has delivered a super bullish rally from less than ₹12 to reaching ₹720 by 2024 - representing an extraordinary 60x growth over 20 years. Since 2024, the ₹720-₹760 zone has acted as formidable resistance, tested multiple times without a decisive breakout. On November 14, 2025, the company announced its Q2 FY26 results. Responding to positive sales numbers showing 31% revenue growth, the stock shot up 2% and is now trading at ₹739. Currently positioned near the upper end of the resistance zone, the stock is attempting another breakout. A decisive break above ₹760 with strong volume confirmation would signal the next major rally phase. Entry Strategy: Wait for confirmed breakout above ₹760 with volume before initiating fresh positions. Targets: Target 1: ₹780 Target 2: ₹800 Target 3: ₹820 Risk Assessment: No significant bullish expectations below the ₹720-₹760 resistance zone. 💰Q2 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q1 FY26 & Q2 FY25) Total Income: ₹3,482 Cr (↑ +7% QoQ from ₹3,259 Cr; ↑ +31% YoY from ₹2,664 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹2,922 Cr (↑ +12% QoQ from ₹2,604 Cr; ↑ +36% YoY from ₹2,142 Cr) Operating Profit: ₹560 Cr (↓ -15% QoQ from ₹655 Cr; ↑ +7% YoY from ₹522 Cr) Profit Before Tax: ₹550 Cr (↓ -16% QoQ from ₹656 Cr; ↓ -0.4% YoY from ₹552 Cr) Profit After Tax: ₹432 Cr (↓ -16% QoQ from ₹513 Cr; ↓ -0.2% YoY from ₹433 Cr) Diluted EPS: ₹3.24 (↓ -17% QoQ from ₹3.89; ↓ -0.9% YoY from ₹3.27) Fundamental Highlights Marico delivered stellar Q2 FY26 performance with consolidated revenue soaring 31% YoY to ₹3,482 crore - the highest growth in 17 quarters. The company achieved underlying volume growth of 7% in India business and robust 20% constant currency growth in international markets, despite margin pressures from input cost inflation. India business revenue jumped 35% YoY to ₹2,667 crore, aided by strategic price hikes in core portfolios. Digital-first premium personal care portfolio (Beardo, Just Herbs, Plix) crossed ₹1,000 crore annualized run rate, while foods portfolio grew 12% crossing ₹1,100 crore ARR with Saffola Oats retaining number one position. Despite input cost pressures causing 810 bps gross margin contraction, the company increased brand investments with A&P spend rising 19% to ₹345 crore. EBITDA grew 7% to ₹560 crore with margins at 16.1%. Over 95% of portfolio gained or sustained market share while 75% strengthened penetration. International business recorded 20% CCG with Bangladesh up 22%, MENA 27%, and newer countries/exports surging 53%. Rural demand outpaced urban 2x, with CEO Saugata Gupta confirming company is "on track for full-year aspirations" targeting revenue growth in thirties and 18%+ EBITDA margins in H2. Avendus retained Buy rating with ₹832 target (raised from ₹810), while Motilal Oswal maintained Buy at ₹825 target. The stock gained 15% YTD outperforming Nifty FMCG's 10%. GST rate rationalization expected to benefit nearly 30% of portfolio, with strategic focus on digital acceleration (20% sales target by FY27) and sustainability initiatives. Conclusion Marico's impressive 20-year journey from sub-₹12 to ₹720, backed by stellar Q2 FY26 showing highest revenue growth in 17 quarters at 31%, validates the FMCG leadership thesis despite flat PAT. Post-results 2% rally to ₹739 tests critical ₹720-₹760 resistance zone. Digital-first portfolio crossing ₹1,000 crore ARR, foods at ₹1,100 crore ARR, and 20% international CCG demonstrate diversified growth engines. Rural outpacing urban 2x and 95% portfolio gaining market share provide strong momentum. Breakout above ₹760 could trigger rally toward ₹820 levels with analyst targets at ₹825-₹832 supporting upside potential. Disclaimer: aliceblueonline.com
NSE:MARICO
by Alice Blue
Muthoot Finance: Record 10% Surge After Stellar Q2🔍Technical Analysis Muthoot Finance Limited showcases one of the most impressive wealth creation stories spanning over a decade. The stock has delivered a super bullish rally from less than ₹100 to reaching ₹3,400 by November 13, 2025 - representing an extraordinary 34x growth in just over 10 years. On the evening of November 13, 2025, the company announced its Q2 FY26 results which exceeded market expectations significantly. The market's immediate response was spectacular - the very next day on November 14, the stock shot up 10% and closed at ₹3,725, hitting an all-time high of ₹3,755 during intraday trading. This powerful breakout from ₹3,400 to ₹3,725 demonstrates strong institutional and retail buying interest, fueled by robust fundamentals and exceptional financial performance. The stock has now entered uncharted territory with strong momentum. Entry Strategy: Current levels offer opportunity with strong momentum. Consider accumulation on minor dips. Targets: Target 1: ₹3,800 Target 2: ₹3,900 Target 3: ₹4,000 Risk Assessment: No expectations below ₹3,400 level, which now acts as strong support post-breakout. 💰Q2 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q1 FY26 & Q2 FY25) Total Income: ₹7,283 Cr (↑ +13% QoQ from ₹6,450 Cr; ↑ +48% YoY from ₹4,929 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹2,571 Cr (↑ +9% QoQ from ₹2,355 Cr; ↑ +42% YoY from ₹1,807 Cr) Operating Profit: ₹3,232 Cr (↑ +22% QoQ from ₹2,654 Cr; ↑ +80% YoY from ₹1,798 Cr) Profit Before Tax: ₹3,244 Cr (↑ +22% QoQ from ₹2,654 Cr; ↑ +80% YoY from ₹1,802 Cr) Profit After Tax: ₹2,412 Cr (↑ +22% QoQ from ₹1,974 Cr; ↑ +83% YoY from ₹1,321 Cr) Diluted EPS: ₹60.29 (↑ +20% QoQ from ₹50.22; ↑ +90% YoY from ₹31.67) 🧠Fundamental Highlights Muthoot Finance delivered spectacular Q2 FY26 performance with standalone PAT surging 87% YoY to ₹2,345 crore and total income jumping 56.5% to ₹6,461 crore, driven by robust gold loan demand amid soaring gold prices. The company achieved highest-ever loan AUM of ₹1,47,673 crore (up 42% YoY) and gold loan AUM of ₹1,24,918 crore (up 45% YoY). Net interest income (NII) rose impressive 58.5% YoY to ₹3,992 crore, driven by continued momentum in core gold loan segment and steady borrower activity. Net interest margin expanded significantly to 12.66% from 11.5% in Q2 FY25, indicating superior interest income growth and efficient capital deployment. Gold loan AUM increased by ₹11,723 crore during Q2 FY26, registering 10% quarterly growth. Gold prices rallying over 40% in 2025 boosted customer confidence and loan demand. The board approved incremental fundraising up to ₹35,000 crore through NCDs and ₹500 crore equity infusion in subsidiary Muthoot Money Limited. Asset quality showed remarkable improvement with Stage III loan assets declining to 2.25% from 4.3% YoY, while Stage II assets improved from ₹1,203 crore to ₹534 crore. Management upgraded AUM guidance to 30-35% growth, signaling high confidence in sustaining momentum through FY26. Multiple brokerages turned bullish post-results: Nuvama raised target to ₹4,000 (from ₹2,993) maintaining Buy rating, Motilal Oswal increased target to ₹3,800 with Neutral rating, while Bernstein maintained Outperform at ₹3,400 citing 25% AUM CAGR potential over FY25-27E with 36% EPS CAGR and 24%+ ROE. Conclusion Muthoot Finance's remarkable decade-long journey from sub-₹100 to ₹3,755 all-time high, backed by exceptional Q2 FY26 showing 83% PAT growth and 48% revenue surge, validates the gold loan leadership thesis. Post-results 10% surge to ₹3,725 demonstrates strong market confidence. Highest-ever AUM at ₹1,47,673 crore, NIM expansion to 12.66%, and asset quality improvement with 2.25% Stage III loans showcase operational excellence. Management's upgraded 30-35% AUM guidance and brokerage targets at ₹3,800-₹4,000 support bullish outlook. Gold price tailwinds and digital transformation initiatives provide sustained growth visibility toward ₹4,000 target. Disclaimer: aliceblueonline.com
NSE:MUTHOOTFIN
by Alice Blue
Tata Steel: Resistance Test Awaits Q2 CatalystTechnical Analysis Tata Steel Limited has demonstrated a strong bullish rally spanning three decades, establishing itself as a blue-chip steel sector leader. Over the past year, the stock has been facing persistent resistance in the ₹184-₹187 zone, tested multiple times without a decisive breakout. Currently trading at ₹181, the stock is positioned just below this critical resistance zone. Interestingly, while quarterly revenue shows a slight drop both QoQ and YoY, EPS has demonstrated positive growth - indicating improved profitability and operational efficiency despite revenue headwinds. The Q2 FY26 results scheduled for announcement day after tomorrow (November 12, 2025) serve as a crucial catalyst. Positive results could provide the fundamental support needed to break through the stubborn ₹184-₹187 resistance zone and trigger the next leg of the rally. Entry Strategy: Wait for Q2 results and breakout confirmation above ₹187 before initiating positions. 🎯Targets: Target 1: ₹190 Target 2: ₹195 Target 3: ₹200 Risk Assessment: If resistance is not taken out post Q2 results, no more expectations on this stock. 💰Q1 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q4 FY25 & Q1 FY25) Total Income: ₹53,178 Cr (↓ -5% QoQ from ₹56,218 Cr; ↓ -3% YoY from ₹54,771 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹45,751 Cr (↓ -8% QoQ from ₹49,659 Cr; ↓ -5% YoY from ₹48,077 Cr) Operating Profit: ₹7,428 Cr (↑ +13% QoQ from ₹6,559 Cr; ↑ +11% YoY from ₹6,694 Cr) Profit Before Tax: ₹3,067 Cr (↑ +39% QoQ from ₹2,200 Cr; ↑ +29% YoY from ₹2,377 Cr) Profit After Tax: ₹2,007 Cr (↑ +67% QoQ from ₹1,201 Cr; ↑ +118% YoY from ₹919 Cr) Diluted EPS: ₹1.66 (↑ +60% QoQ from ₹1.04; ↑ +116% YoY from ₹0.77) 🧠Fundamental Highlights Tata Steel delivered exceptional Q1 FY26 performance with PAT surging 118% YoY to ₹2,007 crore despite 3% revenue decline, showcasing remarkable operational efficiency. The company reported strong Q2 FY26 operational data with crude steel production reaching 5.67 million tons (up 8% QoQ and 7% YoY). Q2 FY26 domestic deliveries grew robustly by 20% QoQ and 7% YoY to 5.56 million tons, driven by normalized operations post G Blast Furnace relining at Jamshedpur. Branded Products & Retail vertical achieved best-ever quarterly volumes of approximately 1.9 million tons, demonstrating strong retail demand. Market cap stands at ₹2,23,766 crore with the stock delivering impressive returns: up 5.8% in one month, 20% in three months, 30% in six months, and 34% YTD. The company reported 7.3% YoY increase in operating profit for Q1 FY26 with EBITDA of ₹74,560 crore. European operations showed turnaround with Netherlands reporting 1.67 million tons production and 1.54 million tons deliveries. UK operations targeting Q4 FY26 breakeven with Electric Arc Furnace project construction underway at Port Talbot, representing £1.25 billion decarbonization initiative. JP Morgan maintains overweight rating with ₹180 price target (17% upside potential), while other brokerages project revenue/EBITDA growth CAGR of 8%/26% over FY25-27E. Steel prices anticipated to have bottomed out with China's stimulus measures expected to benefit the sector. Conclusion Tata Steel's three-decade bull run approaching critical ₹184-₹187 resistance zone, backed by exceptional Q1 FY26 showing 118% PAT surge and 116% EPS growth despite revenue decline. Strong Q2 operational data with 8% production growth and 20% delivery increase provide positive momentum ahead of November 12 results announcement. UK breakeven target by Q4 FY26 and European turnaround add to growth visibility. Stock trading at attractive 7.2x FY26E EV/EBITDA with analyst targets of ₹180 suggest 17% upside potential upon resistance breakout. Disclaimer: aliceblueonline.com
NSE:TATASTEEL
by Alice Blue