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Beyond Technical Analysis

DLF: Resistance Turned Support Awaits Q2 Catalyst🔍 Technical Analysis DLF has demonstrated an impressive bullish rally over the past decade, transforming from below ₹100 to reaching an all-time high of ₹968 by April 2024 - representing an exceptional 9.7x growth in 10 years. Post the peak, the stock entered a corrective phase, falling to ₹600 levels while forming lower lows and lower highs. The last lower high at ₹720 was decisively taken out with super positive Q4 results, propelling the stock to ₹887. However, negative Q1 FY26 results triggered another fall, bringing the stock back to test the ₹720 level - which acted as resistance earlier. Currently trading at ₹740, this critical level transformation from resistance to support will determine the next directional move. With Q2 results announcement scheduled this month, this presents a crucial catalyst. Positive results could validate the support and trigger the next rally. Entry Strategy: Enter only post Q2 results if positive and ₹720 support holds with bullish confirmations. Targets: Target 1: ₹800 Target 2: ₹880 Target 3: ₹960 (All-Time High) Stop Losses: Critical Support: ₹720 (previous resistance, now key support) If ₹720 level doesn't sustain or results disappoint expectations, no more expectations on this stock. 💰 FY25 Financial Highlights (vs FY24 & FY23) Total Income: ₹7,994 Cr (↑ +24% YoY from ₹6,427 Cr; ↑ +40% from FY23 ₹5,695 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹5,885 Cr (↑ +37% YoY from ₹4,303 Cr; ↑ +48% from FY23 ₹3,969 Cr) Financing Profit: ₹2,109 Cr (↓ -1% YoY from ₹2,124 Cr; ↑ +22% from FY23 ₹1,726 Cr) Profit Before Tax: ₹2,261 Cr (↑ +5% YoY from ₹2,151 Cr; ↑ +51% from FY23 ₹1,502 Cr) Profit After Tax: ₹4,367 Cr (↑ +60% YoY from ₹2,724 Cr; ↑ +115% from FY23 ₹2,034 Cr) Diluted EPS: ₹17.64 (↑ +60% YoY from ₹11.02; ↑ +115% from FY23 ₹8.22) 🧠 Fundamental Highlights DLF delivered exceptional FY25 performance with PAT surging 60% to ₹4,367 crore and EPS growth of 60% to ₹17.64, demonstrating strong operational leverage. The company achieved record sales bookings of ₹21,223 crore in FY25, up 44% YoY. Q1 FY26 results showed 18% profit growth to ₹763 crore with revenue doubling to ₹2,717 crore. Market cap stands at ₹1,83,470 crore with promoter holding at 74.1%. The company has set ambitious target to cross annual rental income of ₹10,000 crore in medium-term from commercial properties. DLF plans ₹17,000 crore residential projects launch in FY26 and targets ₹20,000-22,000 crore in sales driven by strong demand in luxury segment. The company has 280 million square feet of development potential across residential and commercial segments. Q4 FY25 posted robust 39% profit rise with 46% revenue growth, driven by record sales from luxury projects and steady rental performance. Analysts project rental income to grow at 11% annually over FY25-FY28, with JM Financial maintaining "Buy" rating at ₹1,000 target. Listed developers including DLF are set for strong Q2 earnings with resilient pre-sales and margin growth. The company is on track to meet or beat FY26 pre-sales guidance despite seasonal monsoon weakness, backed by strong launch pipeline. ✅ Conclusion DLF's remarkable 10-year journey from sub-₹100 to ₹968 all-time high, backed by exceptional FY25 fundamentals showing 60% PAT growth and record ₹21,223 crore bookings, validates the long-term growth thesis. The critical ₹720 resistance-to-support transformation awaits Q2 results catalyst for direction. Ambitious ₹10,000 crore rental income target, ₹17,000 crore FY26 project pipeline, and 280 million sq ft development potential provide strong visibility. Technical setup favors ₹960 retest if Q2 results are positive and ₹720 support holds.
NSE:DLFLong
by Rupesh_Chidharala
1
Part 12 Trading Master Class With Experts Common Option Trading Strategies Options can be combined in different ways to create strategies with defined risk and reward profiles. Some popular strategies include: Covered Call – Holding a stock and selling a call option on it (income strategy). Protective Put – Holding a stock and buying a put to protect downside risk. Straddle – Buying both call and put at the same strike to profit from big moves. Strangle – Similar to a straddle, but strikes are different. Iron Condor – Selling both a call and a put spread to profit from a sideways market.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Sensex Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 15th October Based on the charts and the market's performance on Tuesday, October 14, the Sensex experienced a sharp pullback from its high, confirming strong selling pressure and a Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside. Detailed Market Structure Breakdown 4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend) Structure: The Sensex has confirmed a strong short-term corrective phase. The price failed to sustain the move above the 82,300 resistance and broke below the lower trendline of its short-term ascending channel. The strong red candle confirms bears are back in control, pushing the price toward the major support area. Key Levels: Major Supply (Resistance): 82,200 - 82,400. This area is the critical overhead supply zone (Order Block) and the high of the recent swing. Major Demand (Support): 81,600 - 81,800. This area is the key FVG (Fair Value Gap) and the new must-hold zone for the current uptrend. Breaking this level would signal a deeper correction. Outlook: The short-term bias is sideways-to-bearish. The market is expected to test the 81,600 - 81,800 support zone. 1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View) Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside. The price is now trading within a descending channel, having broken the immediate swing low. The current price is right on the 9-period EMA, suggesting a temporary bounce is possible before further selling. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: 82,200 (Upper trendline of the descending channel). Immediate Support: 81,800 (Lower boundary of the current corrective channel). 15-Minute Chart (Intraday View) Structure: The 15M chart confirms the sharp selling pressure. The market broke down from the 82,300 level and is now forming a descending channel. The late-day selling (marked by the red candles) indicates bears were dominant. Key Levels: Intraday Supply: 82,200. Intraday Demand: 81,800. Outlook: Bearish. A "Sell on Rise" strategy is recommended near 82,000 - 82,200. 📈 Trade Plan (Wednesday, 15th October) Market Outlook: The Sensex is undergoing a sharp short-term correction. The primary strategy will be to sell into strength or on a breakdown of immediate support. Tech Mahindra and Persistent Systems Q2 results are due today, which may provide sector-specific volatility. Bearish Scenario (Primary Plan) Justification: The breakdown of the channel and the strong rejection from the highs favor continuation of the correction. Entry: Short entry on a successful retest and rejection of the 82,200 level (upper channel resistance/FVG). Alternatively, short a decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 81,800. Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss above 82,400 (above the immediate swing high/supply zone). Targets: T1: 81,600 (Major FVG support). T2: 81,200 (Next major support). Bullish Scenario (Counter-Trend/Reversal Plan) Justification: Only valid if Q2 results provide a strong positive surprise, leading to a move that negates the current selling pressure. Trigger: A sustained move and close above the resistance at 82,400. Entry: Long entry on a confirmed 15-minute close above 82,400. Stop Loss (SL): Below 82,100. Targets: T1: 82,600 (Upper resistance). T2: 82,900 (Extension target). Key Levels for Observation: Immediate Decision Point: 81,800 - 82,200 zone. Bearish Confirmation: A break and sustained move below 81,800. Bullish Confirmation: A move back above 82,400. Line in the Sand: 81,800. Below this level, the short-term bullish bias is nullified.
BSE:SENSEXShort
by BhardwajVipin
Banknifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 15th OctoberBased on the charts and the market's performance on Tuesday, October 14, the Bank Nifty experienced a sharp reversal from its highs and a breakdown from its short-term ascending channel. The momentum has shifted to a short-term corrective bias. Detailed Market Structure Breakdown 4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend) Structure: The Bank Nifty is still in a bullish uptrend, but the price has broken below the lower trendline of its steep short-term ascending channel. The last 4H candle is a strong bearish candle that confirms the Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside, signaling a likely deeper pullback. Key Levels: Major Supply (Resistance): 56,600 - 56,800. This area is the immediate overhead supply zone, aligning with the rejection high. Major Demand (Support): 55,400 - 55,600. This area is the key FVG (Fair Value Gap) and the most significant horizontal support for the current uptrend. Outlook: The trend has shifted to sideways-to-bearish. The market is expected to consolidate or correct towards the 55,400 - 55,600 zone. 1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View) Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear breakdown from the steep ascending channel. The price is now trading within a newly formed descending channel, making lower highs and lower lows. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: The upper trendline of the descending channel, near 56,300. Immediate Support: 56,000 (The psychological level and the bottom of the current corrective channel). 15-Minute Chart (Intraday View) Structure: The 15M chart confirms the intraday bearish momentum. The price broke out of a small consolidation range to the downside and closed near its low, indicating strong bearish control. Key Levels: Intraday Supply: 56,300. Intraday Demand: 56,000. Outlook: Bearish. A "Sell on Rise" strategy is recommended near 56,300. 📈 Trade Plan (Wednesday, 15th October) Market Outlook: The Bank Nifty is undergoing a sharp short-term correction. The primary strategy will be to sell into strength or on a breakdown of immediate support. Tech Mahindra and Persistent Systems Q2 results are due today, which may provide sector-specific volatility. Bearish Scenario (Primary Plan) Justification: The breakdown of the steep channel and the rejection from the highs favor a continuation of the correction. Entry: Short entry on a successful retest and rejection of the 56,300 level (upper channel resistance). Alternatively, short a decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 56,000. Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss above 56,600 (above the immediate swing high/supply zone). Targets: T1: 55,800 (Minor support/FVG). T2: 55,400 (Major FVG support). Bullish Scenario (Counter-Trend/Reversal Plan) Justification: Only valid if Q2 results provide a strong positive surprise, leading to a break of the current channel. Trigger: A sustained move and close above the major resistance at 56,600. Entry: Long entry on a confirmed 15-minute close above 56,600. Stop Loss (SL): Below 56,400. Targets: T1: 57,000 (Psychological target). T2: 57,300 (Extension target). Key Levels for Observation: Immediate Decision Point: 56,000 - 56,300 zone. Bearish Confirmation: A break and sustained move below 56,000. Bullish Confirmation: A move back above 56,600. Line in the Sand: 55,800. Below this level, the short-term bullish bias is severely challenged.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by BhardwajVipin
Nifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 15th OctoberBased on the charts and the market's performance on Tuesday, October 14, the Nifty experienced a sharp reversal from its high and a breakdown from a short-term consolidation, indicating a shift to a short-term corrective bias. Detailed Market Structure Breakdown 4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend) Structure: The Nifty is now in a corrective phase within its broader bullish trend. The sharp red candle on the 4H chart indicates that the 25,250 - 25,350 supply zone has held firm. Key Levels: Major Supply (Resistance): 25,180 - 25,250. This area is now the critical overhead hurdle, coinciding with the previous high and a fresh Order Block (OB). Major Demand (Support): 25,000 - 25,050. This area includes the psychological 25,000 mark and a prior FVG (Fair Value Gap), serving as the must-hold zone to prevent a deeper correction. Outlook: The trend has shifted to sideways-to-bearish. The market is expected to test the 25,000 support zone. 1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View) Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside. The price sold off sharply after failing to sustain the move above 25,250, breaking the immediate swing low and closing below the lower trendline of the ascending channel. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: 25,180 (Prior support, now resistance). Immediate Support: 25,050 (The lower boundary of the consolidation range). 15-Minute Chart (Intraday View) Structure: The 15M chart confirms the sharp selling pressure. The market broke out of a small consolidation range to the downside, confirming intraday bearish control. The index is currently moving within a small descending channel. Key Levels: Intraday Supply: 25,180. Intraday Demand: 25,000. Outlook: Bearish. A "Sell on Rise" strategy is recommended near 25,180. 📈 Trade Plan (Wednesday, 15th October) Market Outlook: The Nifty is undergoing a sharp short-term correction. The primary strategy will be to sell into strength or on a breakdown of immediate support. Tech Mahindra and Persistent Systems Q2 results are due today, which will heavily influence the market. Bearish Scenario (Primary Plan) Justification: The market has confirmed a short-term reversal, and the structure is now corrective. Continuation toward the primary support is favored. Entry: Short entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 25,050. Alternatively, short a retest and rejection of the 25,180 level. Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss above 25,250 (above the immediate swing high/supply zone). Targets: T1: 25,000 (Psychological support). T2: 24,900 (Major FVG support). Bullish Scenario (Counter-Trend/Reversal Plan) Justification: Only valid if Q2 results are exceptionally strong, leading to a strong move that negates the current selling pressure. Trigger: A sustained move and close above the resistance at 25,250. Entry: Long entry on a confirmed 15-minute close above 25,250. Stop Loss (SL): Below 25,180. Targets: T1: 25,350 (Upper resistance). T2: 25,450 (Previous high). Key Levels for Observation: Immediate Decision Point: 25,050 - 25,180 zone. Bearish Confirmation: A break and sustained move below 25,050. Bullish Confirmation: A move back above 25,250. Line in the Sand: 25,000. Below this level, the short-term bullish bias is nullified.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by BhardwajVipin
5
Part 2 Support and Resistance Why Traders Use Options Options are versatile instruments. Traders use them for: Speculation – Betting on price movement to earn profits. Hedging – Protecting existing investments from adverse price moves. Income Generation – Selling options (writing) to earn the premium. For example: A trader may buy a call option expecting prices to rise. A portfolio manager may buy put options to protect their stocks from falling prices. An experienced investor may sell covered calls to earn regular income.
Education
by SkyTradingZone
ACE Price Action with probable 18R trade set up- Current Price: Around ₹1,081 as of October 2025. - Market Capitalization: Approximately ₹12,870 Crores. - 52-week Range: The stock traded between ₹917 and ₹1,600 in the past year. - PE Ratio: Roughly 31, indicating moderate to high valuation relative to earnings. - EPS: Around ₹34.4 (TTM). - Price-to-Book Ratio: About 8, suggesting a premium valuation relative to its book value. - Dividend Yield: Low, approximately 0.19%. - Revenue and Profit: Latest annual revenue near ₹3,245 Crores and net profit around ₹423 Crores. - Price Trend: The stock has faced some downside pressure recently with a 19% decline over the last year but historical performance showing strong growth over 3-5 years. - Volatility: The stock is moderately volatile, about 3.2 times more than the Nifty index. - Sector: ACE operates in the heavy machinery and industrial equipment sector, showing good profitability and efficiency metrics with consistent earnings growth. Overall, ACE trades at a premium valuation reflecting growth expectations but recent price corrections indicate some caution in the market. The company shows good fundamentals with strong earnings growth potential balanced against sector cyclicality and market volatility.
NSE:ACELong
by KamalKJoshi
VIMTALABS: Probable pyramid entries - Current Price: Around ₹715 as of early October 2025, with daily price fluctuations between approximately ₹700 and ₹723. - 52-week Range: The stock has traded from a low near ₹270 to a high around ₹903, showing strong growth over the past year. - Market Capitalization: About ₹3,180 Crores. - Valuation: PE ratio stands near 45, indicating a moderately high valuation relative to earnings. - Earnings: EPS is about ₹15.9. - Moving Averages: The 50-day average price is roughly ₹719, and the 200-day average is near ₹545, indicating medium-term momentum in an uptrend. - Dividend Yield: Very low at around 0.14%, consistent with growth-oriented companies. - Volume: Recent trading volumes average about 60 lakh shares daily, indicating good liquidity. - Price Trend: The stock has experienced some volatility but sustained gains overall, with occasional pullbacks and rebounds, reflecting investor confidence in the company’s niche testing and laboratory services sector. - The stock price structure indicates a bullish phase supported by improving fundamentals and positive market sentiment. Overall, Vimta Labs shows strong upward price momentum with a solid growth profile, trading at a premium that reflects optimism about its expanding testing services business.
NSE:VIMTALABSLong
by KamalKJoshi
Why Longs Blew Up in the Great $19B Liquidation?Hello Traders! Recently, crypto markets witnessed one of the biggest shakeouts in history, a $19 billion liquidation that wiped out long traders across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoins in just a few hours. Everyone called it a “crash,” but what really happened was a classic case of leverage, greed, and poor risk management colliding. Let’s break down the truth behind it. 1. Excessive Leverage Builds the Trap During bullish phases, traders pile into long positions with 25x, 50x, or even 100x leverage. The higher the leverage, the smaller the move needed to wipe you out. Even a 1–2% drop in price can liquidate millions worth of positions instantly. When too many traders are leveraged in the same direction, the market becomes top-heavy and unstable. 2. Liquidity Hunt – The Smart Money Move Big players know where the retail stop losses and liquidation points sit, usually below obvious support levels. They push price just far enough to trigger those liquidations. Once the forced selling begins, it cascades, creating a chain reaction that accelerates the fall. It’s not manipulation; it’s how liquidity flows work in leveraged markets. 3. The Domino Effect of Liquidations When one big position gets liquidated, it triggers auto-sell orders. Those sells push prices lower, causing more positions to get liquidated. In minutes, you see billions vanish as exchanges auto-close overleveraged longs. That’s exactly what created the $19B wipeout, a domino collapse fueled by forced exits. 4. How to Avoid Becoming the Next Victim Use leverage only if you can handle losing that position completely. Keep your stop loss and margin buffer wide enough to survive small swings. Never risk more than 1–2% of your account on a single trade. And most importantly, don’t chase FOMO entries near resistance levels. Rahul’s Tip: Leverage isn’t evil, greed is . The same tool that builds accounts can destroy them if used recklessly. In crypto, survival is the real skill, because only survivors get the next bull run. Conclusion: The Great $19B liquidation was not random, it was the market teaching a painful lesson about leverage and discipline. If you want to last long in this game, learn to respect risk before chasing reward. If this post helped you understand what really happened, like it, share your view in comments, and follow for more realistic market breakdowns!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by TraderRahulPal
2
HDFCAMC Pyramid Price ActionHDFC Asset Management Company Ltd (HDFCAMC) is currently trading around ₹5,669. The stock has recently advanced nearly 2.7% in a single day, with session lows near ₹5,550 and highs close to ₹5,684. Its 52-week range sits between ₹3,525 and ₹5,926, putting the current price near the upper end of its yearly band. The company’s market capitalization is approximately ₹1,21,300 Crores. Average daily volume is around 12,000 shares, indicating reasonable liquidity for a large-cap stock. The stock holds a trailing P/E ratio of about 47, based on an EPS of ₹121, which is above the broader market average but within the range for premium asset management firms. The dividend yield is around 1.6%. Both 50-day and 200-day averages are close to ₹5,662 and ₹4,717, respectively, illustrating solid medium-term momentum. Price trends show steady upward bias in 2025, with periodic pullbacks being well-supported and followed by new highs, reflecting investor confidence in HDFC AMC’s market potential, earnings consistency, and recent management initiatives such as a bonus share issue.HDFC Asset Management Company Ltd (HDFCAMC) is currently trading near ₹5,669, showing a strong recent uptrend with prices moving between ₹5,550 and ₹5,684 during the latest session. The 52-week range stands at approximately ₹3,525 to ₹5,926, placing the stock close to its yearly highs. The company’s market cap is about ₹1,21,000 Crores. Its P/E ratio is around 47 (EPS of ₹121), which reflects a premium over broader market averages but is typical for the asset management sector. Recent daily volumes show consistent interest, and the 50-day and 200-day averages are ₹5,662 and ₹4,717, respectively, confirming a steady upward trend. The dividend yield is close to 1.6%. Overall price momentum in 2025 remains positive, supported by strong institutional confidence, a track record of earnings growth, and optimism around management initiatives like bonus share announcements.
NSE:HDFCAMCLong
by KamalKJoshi
ARVINDFASN Price ActionArvind Fashions Ltd (ARVINDFASN) price analysis without references: - Current Price: Around ₹518, with recent trading between ₹497 and ₹520 in mid-October 2025. - Yearly Range: Approximately ₹320 low to ₹640 high. - Market Capitalization: About ₹6,900 Crores. - Price Movements: The stock has shown moderate volatility in recent weeks, oscillating mostly in the ₹500 to ₹540 range. - Valuation: The P/E is negative due to recent losses, but on recovery trend; a dividend yield near 0.3%. - Volume: Daily traded volumes average 2-4 lakh shares. - Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is near ₹531, and the 200-day moving average is about ₹470, indicating medium-term support. - Business: Engaged in branded apparel retail with a portfolio of international brands; showing revenue roughly ₹4,700 Crores annually. - Recent Price Direction: After a slow decline in September 2025, the stock has seen a small upward correction in early October backed by steady market interest. Overall, Arvind Fashions is trading close to mid-range levels for the year, with potential for recovery but still reflecting some challenges in profitability pressure from the fashion retail sector. The stock price reflects cautious investor sentiment with room for further upside if turnaround efforts gain traction.
NSE:ARVINDFASNLong
by KamalKJoshi
Fortis Healthcare’s share price analysisFortis Healthcare’s share price is currently around ₹667, reflecting strong momentum and significant outperformance over the past year, with a return of about 49%. The stock recently touched a 52-week high of ₹744.5 and a low of ₹406, indicating a broad trading range and robust investor interest Analyst sentiment remains bullish, with most forecasts targeting a price range of ₹736 to ₹850 over the next 12 months, suggesting a potential upside of around 10–20% from current levels . Some projections are even more optimistic, with year-end 2025 targets as high as ₹933 if market conditions remain favorable . Technical indicators currently point to a bullish trend, supporting the positive outlook . Fundamentally, Fortis Healthcare has reported strong financial results, including an 84% year-on-year jump in net profit for Q3 FY2024-25 and a 40% quarterly profit increase, underscoring operational momentum . The company trades at a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of about 65, which is above the sector average, indicating that the stock is priced at a premium due to its growth prospects . The price-to-book (PB) ratio is 3.49, and the dividend yield is modest at 0.24% . In summary, Fortis Healthcare is in a bullish phase, supported by strong earnings growth and positive analyst outlooks. While the stock is trading at a premium valuation, its growth trajectory and sector leadership continue to attract investor interest, with further upside likely if current trends persist
NSE:FORTISLong
by KamalKJoshi
TATAINVEST Price ActionTata Investment Corporation Ltd (TATAINVEST) currently trades near ₹9,300, with recent fluctuation between ₹9,150 and ₹9,450. The stock has ranged from a 52-week low of about ₹5,145 up to ₹11,847 at its high in 2025. Market capitalization is around ₹47,400 Crores, and it remains actively traded with substantial daily volumes. Valuation is elevated, with a PE ratio near 144 and price-to-book around 1.3. Dividend yield stands at about 0.29%. The book value per share is close to ₹7,266, and earnings per share for the trailing twelve months is approximately ₹65. Revenue for the fiscal year is around ₹308 Crores, with profit roughly ₹327 Crores. Return ratios, like ROE, are conservative at near 1.3%. The stock's trend in recent months showed a rapid surge from around ₹7,300 to above ₹10,000, followed by some correction as markets consolidated. TATAINVEST generally trades at a premium due to the value of its portfolio and strong investor confidence in its underlying Tata Group holdings.
NSE:TATAINVESTLong
by KamalKJoshi
Sensex Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 14th OctoberBased on the charts and the market's performance on Monday, October 13, the Sensex experienced a sharp pullback from its high, ending its recent winning streak. The current structure is corrective within a larger bullish trend. Detailed Market Structure Breakdown 4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend) Structure: The Sensex is still in a bullish recovery phase but has decisively broken below the lower trendline of its very steep short-term ascending channel. The last 4H candle is a bearish candle that breached immediate support levels, confirming the shift to a short-term correction. Key Levels: Major Supply (Resistance): 82,300 - 82,500. This area is the critical overhead hurdle (Order Block), which the market was unable to break. Major Demand (Support): 81,600 - 81,800. This area is the key immediate support, aligning with the major FVG (Fair Value Gap) and the start of the final bullish leg. Outlook: The short-term bias is sideways-to-bullish. The market is expected to seek support near the 81,600 level. 1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View) Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside, breaking the lower trendline of the steep ascending channel. The price is now moving within a descending corrective channel. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: 82,150 (Prior consolidation support, now resistance). Immediate Support: 81,800 (The psychological level and the first major support of the current corrective channel). 15-Minute Chart (Intraday View) Structure: The 15M chart confirms the sharp, selling pressure. The market is trading within a descending channel after being rejected from the 82,300 high. The close near the lows indicates bears were in control at the end of the session. Key Levels: Intraday Supply: 82,100 (Recent swing high/upper channel boundary). Intraday Demand: 81,600. Outlook: Bullish. A "Buy on Dips" strategy is recommended near 82,100. 📈 Trade Plan (Tuesday, 14th October) Bullish Scenario (Primary Plan) Justification: Only valid if strong buying emerges to defend the major support and reclaim the entire breakdown structure. Trigger: A sustained move and close above the resistance at 82,300. Entry: Long entry on a confirmed 15-minute close above 82,300. Stop Loss (SL): Below 82,100. Targets: T1: 82,500 (Major supply zone). T2: 82,800 (Extension target). Bearish Scenario (Counter-Trend/Reversal Plan) Justification: The breakdown of the steep channel and the heavy rejection from 82,300 favor continuation toward the next major support. Entry: Short entry on a successful retest and rejection of the 82,000 - 82,100 zone (upper channel resistance). Alternatively, short a decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 81,600. Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss above 82,300 (above the immediate swing high). Targets: T1: 81,600 (Major FVG support). T2: 81,400 (Extension target). Key Levels for Observation: Immediate Decision Point: 81,800 - 82,100 zone. Bearish Confirmation: A break and sustained move below 81,600. Bullish Confirmation: A move back above 82,300. Line in the Sand: 81,600. Below this level, the short-term bullish bias is nullified.
BSE:SENSEXLong
by BhardwajVipin
Banknifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 14th OctoberBased on the charts and the market's performance on Monday, October 13, the Bank Nifty is in a strong consolidation phase, holding onto its recent massive gains despite volatile global cues. Detailed Market Structure Breakdown 4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend) Structure: The Bank Nifty is still in a strong bullish uptrend, having broken out of its prior correction. The price spent the entire Monday consolidating just below the major supply zone of 56,700 - 57,000. The overall bullish channel remains intact, with the price making higher lows within the channel. Key Levels: Major Supply (Resistance): 56,700 - 57,000. This area is the critical hurdle. A decisive breakout here would target the all-time high zone (57,300 - 57,600). Major Demand (Support): 55,800 - 56,000. This area, which includes the lower trendline of the ascending channel and the psychological 56,000 mark, is the must-hold zone for the continuation of the rally. Outlook: The short-term bias is sideways-to-bullish. The consolidation near the high suggests accumulation is occurring before the next major move. 1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View) Structure: The 1H chart shows the market is consolidating in a tight, narrow range right beneath the major supply. The bullish channel's lower trendline is providing dynamic support, while the 56,700 supply is capping the upside. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: 56,700. Immediate Support: 56,400 (Lower boundary of the current consolidation/ascending channel). 15-Minute Chart (Intraday View) Structure: The 15M chart shows the index trading in a very tight ascending channel since Friday's close. The price action is contained between 56,000 and 56,600, forming a textbook continuation pattern (flag) right below the supply zone. Key Levels: Intraday Supply: 56,700. Intraday Demand: 56,400. Outlook: Neutral, waiting for a breakout from the tight range. 📈 Trade Plan (Tuesday, 14th October) Market Outlook: Bank Nifty is consolidating near its two-week highs. The move will be highly directional upon breaking out of the 56,400 - 56,700 range. The primary strategy remains Buy on Dips to the channel support. Bullish Scenario (Primary Plan) Justification: The strong underlying trend, combined with consolidation below resistance, favors a bullish breakout. Entry: Long entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close above 56,700. Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss below 56,500 (below the immediate support). Targets: T1: 57,000 (Psychological resistance). T2: 57,250 (Next major target). T3: 57,600 (All-time high zone). Bearish Scenario (Breakdown/Correction Plan) Justification: A breakdown of the consolidation suggests a deeper correction towards the previous breakout zone. Trigger: A decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 56,400. Entry: Short entry below 56,400. Stop Loss (SL): Above 56,650. Targets: T1: 56,000 (Psychological support). T2: 55,800 (Major FVG support). Key Levels for Observation: Immediate Decision Point: The 56,400 - 56,700 consolidation zone. Bullish Confirmation: A break and sustained move above 56,700. Bearish Warning: A move below 56,400 would suggest consolidation is failing. Line in the Sand: 56,000. Below this level, the short-term bullish bias is nullified.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by BhardwajVipin
Part 6 Learn Institutional Trading Key Terminology in Option Trading Before diving deeper, let’s understand some crucial terms used in options: Underlying Asset: The financial instrument (like a stock, index, or commodity) on which the option is based. Strike Price (Exercise Price): The price at which the underlying asset can be bought (for a call) or sold (for a put). Expiration Date: The date when the option contract ends. After this date, the option becomes worthless if not exercised. Option Premium: The price paid by the buyer to the seller for acquiring the option. Intrinsic Value: The amount by which an option is in profit if exercised immediately. Time Value: The extra value in the option premium due to time left before expiration. In-the-Money (ITM): When the option already has intrinsic value (profitable if exercised now). Out-of-the-Money (OTM): When the option has no intrinsic value. At-the-Money (ATM): When the strike price equals the current market price of the underlying. Example: If a stock is trading at ₹1000 and you buy a call option with a strike price of ₹950, your option is in the money. If you buy a call with a strike price of ₹1050, it’s out of the money.
NSE:HDFCBANKEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Nifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 14th OctoberBased on the charts and the market's performance on Monday, October 13, the Nifty is currently undergoing a minor pullback/consolidation after failing to break the overhead resistance, but the overall structure remains bullish. Detailed Market Structure Breakdown 4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend) Structure: The Nifty is firmly in a bullish recovery phase, trading within a clear ascending channel. The price faced rejection near the 25,300 - 25,400 supply zone (previous high) and has retreated. However, the last 4H candle shows buying interest at the immediate support level, forming a temporary consolidation. Key Levels: Major Supply (Resistance): 25,300 - 25,400. This area is the major hurdle. A breakout here is needed to challenge the September high of 25,448. Major Demand (Support): 25,000 - 25,050. This area, which includes the lower boundary of the ascending channel and a prior FVG (Fair Value Gap), is the must-hold zone for the short-term uptrend. Outlook: The trend is sideways-to-bullish. Dips are expected to be bought as long as the market holds the 25,000 psychological support. 1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View) Structure: The 1H chart shows the market is consolidating after a strong initial upward move. The price has violated the steep, inner ascending trendline but is holding the horizontal demand zone. The structure appears corrective in the very short term (since the high on Friday). Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: 25,300 (The recent swing high). Immediate Support: 25,150 (The area where the price consolidated on Monday, and a current Order Block/Demand Zone). 15-Minute Chart (Intraday View) Structure: The 15M chart shows the index trading in a tight range since Friday's close, forming a small consolidation pattern right above 25,150. The close was slightly positive, suggesting limited bearish follow-through. Key Levels: Intraday Supply: 25,280. Intraday Demand: 25,150. Outlook: Neutral, awaiting a breakout from the Monday's range. 📈 Trade Plan (Tuesday, 14th October) Market Outlook: Nifty is consolidating near its highs, suggesting a pause before the next directional move. The strategy is to buy the bounce from a key support or short the failure at resistance. Bullish Scenario (Primary Plan) Justification: The overall bullish structure remains intact, supported by the 25,150 demand zone. Entry: Long entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close above 25,280. Alternatively, look for a dip entry near 25,150 (the immediate consolidation support). Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss below 25,050 (below the ascending channel and FVG support). Targets: T1: 25,400 (Major supply zone). T2: 25,500 (Next major psychological target). Bearish Scenario (Counter-Trend/Correction Plan) Justification: A failure to sustain the consolidation could lead to a healthy correction toward the primary ascending channel support. Trigger: A decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 25,150. Entry: Short entry below 25,150. Stop Loss (SL): Above 25,280. Targets: T1: 25,050 (Lower channel trendline/FVG support). T2: 24,900 (Major swing low/support base). Key Levels for Observation: Immediate Decision Point: The 25,150 - 25,280 consolidation zone. Bullish Confirmation: A break and sustained move above 25,280. Bearish Warning: A move below 25,050 suggests the short-term uptrend is broken. Line in the Sand: 25,000. Below this level, the short-term bullish bias is nullified.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by BhardwajVipin
MCX 1 Day Time Frame Opening Price: ₹8,700.00 Day’s High: ₹8,988.00 Day’s Low: ₹8,700.00 Previous Close: ₹8,688.50 Volume: 610,010 shares traded VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price): ₹8,893.80 Technical Indicators: According to TradingView, the 1-day technical analysis for MCX indicates a strong buy signal, with the majority of indicators, including moving averages and oscillators, supporting this trend. However, the oscillator readings are currently neutral, suggesting a balanced market momentum.
NSE:MCXLong
by Knowledgehub
Technical Indicators 1. Introduction to Technical Indicators Technical indicators are mathematical calculations based on historical price, volume, or open interest data. They are primarily used in technical analysis, a method of evaluating securities by analyzing market statistics rather than intrinsic value. Indicators help traders: Identify trends and reversals. Determine momentum and market strength. Recognize overbought or oversold conditions. Generate buy or sell signals. There are three main categories of technical indicators: Trend Indicators – Identify the direction and strength of a trend. Momentum Indicators – Measure the speed and force of price movements. Volume Indicators – Analyze trading activity to confirm price movements. Some indicators are leading, giving early signals of potential price movement, while others are lagging, confirming trends after they have started. 2. Trend Indicators Trend indicators help traders identify whether an asset is moving upward, downward, or sideways. Recognizing trends early allows traders to align their strategies with the market direction. 2.1 Moving Averages (MA) Moving averages smooth out price data to reveal trends over a specific period. There are two main types: Simple Moving Average (SMA): Calculated by averaging the closing prices over a specified period. Example: A 50-day SMA sums the last 50 closing prices and divides by 50. Exponential Moving Average (EMA): Places more weight on recent prices, making it more responsive to price changes. Applications: Trend identification: Prices above the MA indicate an uptrend; below indicate a downtrend. Crossovers: A short-term MA crossing above a long-term MA generates a bullish signal, and vice versa. Limitations: Lagging indicator, less effective in sideways markets. 2.2 Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) MACD measures the difference between two EMAs (usually 12-day and 26-day). Components: MACD Line: Difference between the fast and slow EMA. Signal Line: 9-day EMA of the MACD line. Histogram: Difference between MACD line and Signal line. Interpretation: Crossovers: MACD crossing above Signal line = buy signal; below = sell signal. Divergence: Price making new highs while MACD fails indicates trend weakness. Strengths: Effective for spotting trend reversals and momentum shifts. Weaknesses: Lagging indicator; may give false signals in choppy markets. 2.3 Average Directional Index (ADX) ADX measures the strength of a trend regardless of its direction. Values above 25 indicate a strong trend. Values below 20 suggest a weak trend or sideways market. Applications: Confirming trend strength before entering a trade. Pairing with other indicators for trend-following strategies. Limitations: Does not indicate trend direction, only strength. 3. Momentum Indicators Momentum indicators assess the speed of price movements, helping traders identify potential reversals or continuation patterns. 3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI) RSI measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions. Values above 70 = overbought (possible reversal or pullback). Values below 30 = oversold (possible rebound). Applications: Divergence between RSI and price signals potential trend reversals. Combining RSI with trend indicators enhances trade accuracy. Limitations: Can remain overbought or oversold for extended periods in strong trends. 3.2 Stochastic Oscillator The stochastic oscillator compares a security’s closing price to its price range over a specific period. %K Line: Current close relative to the high-low range. %D Line: 3-period moving average of %K. Interpretation: Values above 80 = overbought; below 20 = oversold. Crossovers of %K and %D lines indicate potential buy/sell signals. Strengths: Effective in volatile markets for timing entries and exits. Weaknesses: Less effective during strong trends; prone to false signals. 3.3 Rate of Change (ROC) ROC measures the percentage change in price over a given period. Positive ROC indicates upward momentum. Negative ROC signals downward momentum. Applications: Identifying early trend reversals. Confirming breakouts or breakdowns. Limitations: Sensitive to price spikes; may give false signals in choppy markets. 4. Volume Indicators Volume analysis confirms price trends, as strong moves are typically accompanied by high volume. 4.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV) OBV measures cumulative buying and selling pressure by adding volume on up days and subtracting volume on down days. Applications: Divergence between OBV and price can signal reversals. Confirming trend strength. Limitations: Lagging indicator; requires combination with price analysis. 4.2 Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) CMF measures the volume-weighted average of accumulation and distribution over a specified period. Positive CMF = buying pressure. Negative CMF = selling pressure. Applications: Identifying accumulation or distribution phases. Supporting trade entries in trend-following strategies. Weaknesses: Less effective during low-volume periods. 5. Volatility Indicators Volatility indicators help traders gauge market risk and potential price swings. 5.1 Bollinger Bands Bollinger Bands consist of a moving average (middle band) and upper/lower bands based on standard deviation. Price near upper band = overbought. Price near lower band = oversold. Applications: Trading range-bound markets using band bounces. Breakouts indicated when price moves outside bands. Limitations: Band breakouts don’t always result in sustained trends. 5.2 Average True Range (ATR) ATR measures market volatility by calculating the average of true price ranges over a period. Applications: Setting stop-loss levels. Identifying breakout potential. Limitations: Does not indicate trend direction, only volatility. 6. Combining Indicators for Strategy Using a single indicator often results in false signals. Effective traders combine indicators from different categories: Trend + Momentum: Example: Use SMA to identify trend direction and RSI to detect overbought/oversold conditions. Trend + Volume: Example: Confirm trend strength with ADX and OBV before entering a trade. Momentum + Volatility: Example: Use MACD for momentum and ATR to set stop-loss levels. Rule of Thumb: Avoid indicators that provide the same information. Mix leading and lagging indicators for better confirmation. 7. Indicator-Based Trading Strategies 7.1 Trend-Following Strategy Use moving averages or ADX to identify trends. Enter trades in the direction of the trend. Use momentum indicators like MACD or RSI for entry timing. 7.2 Reversal Strategy Use RSI, Stochastic, or Bollinger Bands to detect overbought/oversold conditions. Look for divergence between price and indicator for potential reversals. 7.3 Breakout Strategy Use Bollinger Bands or price channels to identify consolidation. Volume indicators like OBV or CMF confirm breakout strength. 8. Common Mistakes in Using Indicators Overloading charts: Too many indicators can confuse signals. Ignoring market context: Indicators must be interpreted in conjunction with price action. Blind reliance: No indicator guarantees success; risk management is crucial. Neglecting timeframes: Indicators behave differently on daily, weekly, or intraday charts. 9. Advanced Indicator Techniques Divergence Trading: Identifying differences between price and indicators like MACD or RSI to spot potential reversals. Multiple Timeframe Analysis: Confirm signals from multiple timeframes to reduce false entries. Weighted Indicators: Adjust indicator sensitivity to reduce lag or noise. Algorithmic Integration: Using indicators as inputs in automated trading systems. 10. Choosing the Right Indicators Factors to consider: Trading style: Day traders vs. swing traders vs. long-term investors. Market conditions: Trending vs. ranging markets. Timeframe: Short-term indicators are more sensitive; long-term indicators reduce noise. Simplicity: Choose a few reliable indicators rather than overwhelming charts. 11. Conclusion Mastering technical indicators requires practice, observation, and discipline. While indicators provide valuable insights into market behavior, they are most effective when combined with strong risk management and a clear trading plan. Successful traders: Use indicators to enhance decision-making, not replace it. Test strategies thoroughly before applying them in live markets. Adapt indicator settings to suit different market conditions. By understanding the nuances of trend, momentum, volume, and volatility indicators, traders can create robust strategies that increase probability and confidence in their trades. This Technical Indicators Masterclass equips traders with the knowledge to analyze markets effectively and navigate complex price movements with precision.
TVC:US10YEducation
by TechnicalExpress