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Beyond Technical Analysis

M&M Update Price Trading Inside a Contracting WedgeMahindra and Mahindra is currently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of a contracting wedge pattern on the one hour timeframe. Each time price approaches the upper trendline, it is being rejected. Each touch on the lower trendline is showing signs of support and buyers stepping in. This compression shows that the market is preparing for a larger directional move. A clean breakout above the upper trendline with increasing volume can trigger a short term upward move. Failure to break out may push the price back towards the lower support zone.
NSE:M&MLong
by siripireddyvenu
CENTURYPLY Big Structure Breakout After MonthsThe stock was trading inside a large symmetrical triangle Multiple touchpoints on both trendlines , structure is valid Price was getting squeezed between A falling resistance line from the left A rising demand line from the bottom This compression created stored energy in the chart Now, CenturyPly has broken above the falling trendline with strong bullish candles and volume backing the move. This is the first clean breakout after months of consolidation.
NSE:CENTURYPLYLong
by siripireddyvenu
Oracle and the Quiet Warning Nobody Looked AtMost of us watch the stock first and everything else later. But with Oracle, the first warning didn’t come from the chart at all — it came from the credit market. A quick explanation for anyone new to this: A Credit Default Swap (CDS) is just insurance on a company’s debt. If people feel the company is getting riskier, the cost of that insurance goes up. That’s it. Nothing fancy. Over the last year, Oracle’s CDS cost has been climbing way faster than you’d expect for a big, steady name. It wasn’t front-page news, but it was unusual enough to pay attention to. And then today’s 11% drop happened. It honestly reminded me of that moment in The Big Short when Burry kept pointing at the CDS market while everyone else stared at the stock prices. He wasn’t predicting a disaster — he just noticed that the credit market was reacting long before the stock market cared. Oracle isn’t a “Big Short” situation, obviously. But the pattern is familiar: credit markets usually move first, stocks catch up later . That’s really all there is to it. No drama — just a quiet signal finally showing up on the chart. Disclaimer: Educational only. Not investment advice. DYOR
NYSE:ORCL
by WaveXplorer
4
Nifty 12th Dec OutlookThe last 3 sessions have been strangely quiet. Price barely moved, volume stayed flat, and Nifty just kept hovering inside the same range. At first glance it looks like typical consolidation…but with everything happening around us, the silence feels a bit more intentional. Here’s what I’m noticing: 1. Fed cut was priced in, but the market is still digesting the tone The 25 bps cut wasn’t a surprise. What traders really care about is the Fed’s tone, and that usually takes a day or two to reflect in EM flows like ours. So the muted move here makes sense. 2. Sensex expiry completely distorted intraday behaviour No one commits serious money on expiry days unless they have to. That explains some of the weird intraday swings and the lack of strong follow-through. 3. The US trade delegation being in India (Dec 10–12) is a bigger factor than people think Institutions hate uncertainty. If the tone from these meetings affects tariffs, regulations, or market access, it directly impacts exporters and several index-heavy sectors. So, yes — some funds simply stepped aside until they know what’s happening. 4. Mexico’s unexpected tariff hike (up to 50%) adds another layer This came out of the blue and hits Indian auto exporters right where it hurts. But… even with that news, Nifty didn’t react violently. That tells me the market is waiting for more clarity, not panicking. Technical Picture (Daily + 1H): Nothing Broken, Nothing Proven Price held the 25,700 support beautifully (Fib 0.618) Price rejected the 25,940–26,050 zone again (Fib 0.382) Daily RSI bounced from the 50 line, which is normally a bullish behaviour Volume has been eerily identical for 3 days straight This is not bullish strength. This is not bearish weakness. It’s textbook neutrality until the macro dust settles. About the Divergences On the Nifty 1H chart, we had a hidden bearish divergence earlier — but that only signals momentum fatigue, not an immediate fall. But on GIFT Nifty, we got something more meaningful: ✔ Hidden bullish divergence ✔ Price made a higher low ✔ RSI made a lower low ✔ And then price pushed up strongly This usually leads to trend continuation, and the futures chart looks clean and confident right now. Not the behaviour of a market preparing for a big dump. So why is the volume dead? When multiple moving parts converge — Fed tone, international trade talks, new tariff shocks — institutions don’t gamble. They stay flat. They hedge. They wait. And the charts show exactly that. Tomorrow’s Map If GIFT Nifty stays firm: → we likely open slightly green → Nifty may try to break the 25,940–26,050 zone → A clean close above 26,050 opens 26,120–26,180 If nothing major hits the news: → we stay stuck between 25,700 and 25,940 → the range continues If negative news comes from trade talks or auto exporters: → only then we revisit 25,700 → and breakdown needs VOLUME, which has been missing Without volume, bears have no teeth. My Final Take The market isn’t weak — it’s cautious. It isn’t bullish — it’s waiting. GIFT Nifty looks strong right now, and unless a fresh headline drops overnight, Nifty will likely test the higher end of the range again. But the real move — the one with conviction — probably comes after Dec 12, once everyone knows where the trade talks and sector implications stand. Until then, this is not a market to be overly aggressive in either direction.
NSE:NIFTY
by abhijit2294
The Day I Trusted My Setup - And Finally Found Peace in TradingHello Traders! Every trader remembers the day they finally stopped fighting the market and started trusting their setup. Not because the setup became perfect, but because the trader stopped panicking, stopped doubting, and stopped reacting emotionally to every candle. This post is about that mindset shift. The shift that quietly turns chaos into clarity. 1. The Problem Was Never the Strategy Most traders have decent setups, but terrible self-control. They enter early, exit early, or avoid taking the trade completely. They blame indicators, brokers, markets, everything except their own fear. The truth is simple: Your setup doesn’t fail. Your belief in the setup fails first. 2. The Market Became Peaceful the Day My Mind Did I stopped questioning every candle. I stopped comparing my trades to others on social media. I stopped jumping from one strategy to another. When the mind becomes quiet, the market stops feeling like a threat. 3. One Setup, Repeated Consistently, Is More Powerful Than 10 Indicators When you trust your setup, you stop looking for confirmation everywhere else. Your eyes automatically see the same pattern repeat again and again. You develop confidence, not from winning, but from understanding. A trader doesn’t need more tools. A trader needs one tool they fully trust. 4. Peace Comes From Acceptance, Not Prediction You stop trying to predict the market. You stop expecting every trade to win. You start accepting that your job is execution, not perfection. Peace is not when trades stop losing Peace is when losses stop scaring you. 5. Trusting the Setup Automatically Improves Discipline You follow your entry rules without hesitation. You respect your stop loss without fighting it. You let profits run because you no longer fear giving them back. Discipline is the natural outcome of trust. Rahul’s Tip: Your setup doesn’t need to be extraordinary, it just needs to match your personality. Once you stop jumping strategies and commit to one approach fully, trading becomes quieter, calmer, and finally peaceful. Conclusion: The day you trust your setup is the day trading stops feeling like a battle. You stop chasing the market and start flowing with it. With clarity, discipline, and trust, profitability becomes a byproduct, not a target. If this post reflects your trading journey, like it, share your experience, and follow for more psychology-based insights!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
16
VOLTAS – Support Touch Inside Rising Channel | Bounce SetupDescription VOLTAS has been moving inside a rising channel for several months — creating higher highs and higher lows. Both the top and bottom trendline's are respected multiple times (marked by circles), proving this channel is valid and strong. Recently: The stock fell from the top of the channel Came down and touched the bottom support line again (blue circles at lows) That support has always given a bounce previously → so buyers may step in again here Also, a small falling channel has formed inside this bigger up-channel. Price is now breaking out of that smaller falling channel, which hints at a possible bounce start.
NSE:VOLTASLong
by siripireddyvenu
2
NZDUSD Short | 15m | Structural Breakdown After ExhaustionNZDUSD showed a clear loss of momentum after an extended upside leg. Price consolidated near the highs with diminishing impulsiveness, forming a distribution-style structure. The break back below the micro-range support confirmed weakness. The short entry is based on: • Rejection from the intraday premium zone • Breakdown of the short-term support level • Shift in orderflow as buyers failed to sustain higher pricing Stop placed above the rejection block. Primary target aligned with the liquidity pool near 0.5773. This trade reflects a disciplined response to intraday exhaustion and a confirmed structure shift.
Short
by YCGH_Capital
3
KINGFA – Low-Risk Swing Setup from Channel SupportKINGFA is moving in a well-defined rising channel — making higher highs and higher lows consistently. Your chart clearly shows: 🔺 Red arrows → Price gets rejected from upper trendline 🟢 Green arrows → Price takes support from lower trendline This confirms the channel structure is valid and respected for more than a year. Now price has once again: ✔ Touched the bottom support line ✔ Buyers are reacting from the same zone ✔ Risk is very limited below this support Because of this, it becomes a Low-Risk Swing Opportunity
NSE:KINGFALong
by siripireddyvenu
1
silver update after bulbs rally mcx or cme spotthere are some probability on chart which will briefly discuss. Silver spot--- yesterday crossed or sweep all liquidity abv 59.40$ or made high 61$ almost ------ still as per gold silver ratio silver looking hot only abv 60-59.80$ up side tgt 62$ intact .or if sustain abv 63.55$ or close abv + weekly close than will see 67-72$ soon. Or if mkt take 63$ hurdle or revert than again down side expect 58$ near in mcx 193000 laxman rekha for silver if sustain abv or close than expect tgt 199-205000+++ no if and but---or if mkt fail to close or hold abv 193000 than down side door open through profit booking till 187-185000++++
TVC:SILVER
by kailashcfa33
“Nifty Zone-to-Zone Reactions | Excellent Supply–Demand PlaybookNifty is respecting the marked supply and demand zones with excellent precision. Price is currently trading inside a mid-range demand zone, and each move has been reacting cleanly from zone to zone, providing high-probability intraday opportunities. 🔍 Key Observations Price rejected strongly from the 25,960–25,980 supply zone, confirming seller control at the top. A clean reaction was seen earlier from the 25,740–25,760 demand zone, establishing it as a strong intraday support. The market is now consolidating between 25,840–25,900, forming a decision area for the next directional move. 📈 Bullish Setup (If demand holds) A bounce from 25,840–25,860 demand zone can push price back toward ▸ 25,900 resistance ▸ 25,960 supply zone Break + Retest above 25,900 will open the upside. 📉 Bearish Setup (If zone breaks) Breakdown below 25,840 zone may trigger a fall toward ▸ 25,780 support ▸ 25,740 demand zone 🧭 Trade Plan Buy only at demand, sell only at supply. Avoid entries in the middle — let the chart come to the edges of the zones. This structure is ideal for zone-to-zone scalping & intraday trades.
NSE:NIFTY
by TakeProfit_King