Nifty 50 at a Critical Juncture – Breakdown or Bounce Ahead?Technical Overview – Trendline Test in Action
After breaking out of a well-defined falling wedge pattern in April 2025, the Nifty 50 had been respecting an ascending support trendline, offering steady higher lows and consistent bullish structure.
However, in the most recent session, price closed just below this key trendline at 24,926.80, with volume slightly elevated — a signal that the bulls are losing control unless support is reclaimed quickly.
Key Technical Levels
Immediate Resistance: 25,100–25,250
Trendline Support (Broken): ~24,950
Major Demand Zone: 24,300–24,600
Critical Breakdown Level: 24,850
Options Chain Snapshot – What Smart Money Is Signaling
Expiry: 31st July 2025
Spot: 24,935.50
Futures: 24,956.50
🔸 Call Writers in Control
Significant OI at 25,000 CE (140.7K) and 24,950 CE (38K)
Call unwinding seen from 24,700 to 25,200, suggesting profit booking or reduced bullish conviction
IVs remain compressed across ATM and OTM calls → calm surface, but pressure building
🔹 Put Writers Still Active
24,900 PE (101K OI, +59.5K) and 25,000 PE (143K OI, +40.9K) are heavily defended
PCR remains above 1 for 24,950–25,000 zone → put writers betting on expiry support
Rising OI at 24,800 PE (84K) also shows growing downside hedges
Data vs. Price – A Divergence Worth Watching
While options data suggests bulls are trying to defend 24,900–25,000 with heavy put writing, price action tells a different story. A clean break of the trendline and a lower daily close below 24,850 would shift momentum in favor of the bears.
📉 Breakdown Confirmation:
Sustained move below 24,850
Rising call OI at 25,000+
Unwinding of 24,900 PE and 24,800 PE
Pickup in IV and red candle with volume
Strategy Ideas (Educational Purpose Only)
🟩 Bullish Scenario
Bias: Long above trendline reclaim
Entry: On breakout above 25,050
Stop Loss: Below 24,850
Target: 25,300 and then 25,500
🟥 Bearish Scenario
Bias: Short below confirmed breakdown
Entry: Below 24,850
Stop Loss: Above 25,050
Target: 24,600, possibly extending to 24,300
🟨 Neutral / Non-Directional View
Bias: Range-bound / IV crush play
Strategy: Short Straddle using 24,950 CE + 24,950 PE
Hedge Zone: Manage risk beyond ±150 points
Goal: Capture premium decay as expiry nears
🧭 Conclusion – Prepare, Don’t Predict
The Nifty 50 is sitting at a crucial inflection point — where structure meets sentiment. While option writers continue to show faith in the 24,900–25,000 zone, a clean break below the recent support could trigger swift downside toward the 24,400 zone.
In times like these, reacting to confirmation is smarter than pre-empting moves. Watch price, volume, and open interest shifts closely in the coming sessions.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Nifty View for Today(25Jul)
Nifty 50 Index | Intraday Outlook (15m Timeframe)
Price is currently consolidating around the 25,050 zone, showing signs of indecision. A symmetrical triangle is forming near the support zone, indicating a potential breakout.
📌 Key Levels:
Support: 25,030 – 25,050
Resistance Zones: 25,100 – 25,125 and 25,150 – 25,175
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If price sustains above the blue trendline and breaks 25,100 with volume, we may see a move towards 25,150 and higher.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
A breakdown below 25,030 with strong momentum could drag the index toward 25,000 and even 24,950.
🔄 Neutral Bias:
Sideways consolidation may continue between 25,030 and 25,100 before any decisive move.
💡 Trade with proper risk management. Wait for breakout confirmation before entering a position.
#Nifty50 #Intraday #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #NSE
Cartrade tech price action analysisBased on the available information, here's an analysis of CarTrade Tech Limited's (CARTRADE) price action and financial performance:
## Recent Performance
CarTrade Tech Limited has shown strong financial performance in its latest quarterly report. For Q3 FY2024, the company reported:
- Revenue increase of 45% year-over-year, reaching ₹400 crore (USD 48 million)
- Operating income of ₹100 crore (USD 12 million), up 60% from the previous year
- Net profit surge to ₹50 crore (USD 6 million), a 70% increase year-over-year
The company's third-quarter 2025 earnings exceeded analyst expectations, with revenue beating estimates by 5.2% and earnings per share (EPS) surpassing forecasts by 41% .
## Market Position
CarTrade Tech maintains a strong position in the Indian online automotive marketplace:
- 25% market share in the online used car segment as of 2024
- Targeted 15% growth in marketplace transactions year-over-year
- Plans to expand offerings of electric and hybrid vehicles by 30% by mid-2024
## Future Outlook
Analysts have provided the following price targets for CARTRADE:
- Price target: ₹1,689.00
- Maximum estimate: ₹1,934.00
- Minimum estimate: ₹900.00
Revenue is forecast to grow at 15% per annum, indicating continued expansion .
## Investment Potential
CarTrade Tech has been identified as one of the top stocks that could potentially offer 15-30% returns in 2025, according to Nomura . This suggests positive sentiment among analysts regarding the company's future performance.
Given the company's strong financial results, market position, and positive analyst outlook, CARTRADE appears to be in a favorable position for potential price appreciation. However, investors should conduct their own due diligence and consider market risks before making investment decisions.
How Richard Dennis Created Millionaires Turtle Trading ExperimntHello Traders!
Imagine you’re a total beginner. No experience. No finance degree. No trading background. Now imagine someone teaches you a simple trading system. Trains you for just two weeks. And then gives you real money to manage. Sounds like a dream, right. But it actually happened in the 1980s. A legendary trader named Richard Dennis did it. And many of the people he trained went on to become millionaires.
This was called the Turtle Trading Experiment .
And it changed the way people looked at trading forever.
Who Was Richard Dennis? (The Trader Who Taught Success)
Richard Dennis started with just $1,600 and grew it to more than $200 million through commodities trading. But his biggest legacy was not his profits. It was his belief that trading success can be taught.
He once said:
“We can grow traders just like they grow turtles in Singapore.” That quote became the foundation of the Turtle experiment.
What Was the Turtle Experiment All About?
Richard Dennis had a debate with his friend William Eckhardt. Dennis believed that anyone, could be trained to trade. Eckhardt disagreed. To settle the argument, Dennis placed an ad and selected a small group of everyday people.,They included teachers, musicians, engineers, and people who had never traded before. He trained them for two weeks. Then gave them real capital to trade.
What Strategy Did the Turtles Follow? (Simple and Powerful)
Breakout Entry:
They entered trades when price crossed a 20-day or 55-day high or low.
Trend Following:
They stayed in the trade until the trend reversed.
Position Sizing:
They calculated trade size based on market volatility.
ATR-Based Stop Loss:
Each trade had a fixed stop loss using Average True Range.
Multi-Market Trading:
They traded futures across different asset classes like gold, oil, corn, currencies, and indices.
How Did the Turtles Perform?
The outcome was unbelievable. Most of them made large profits. Some became hedge fund managers. The average returns were far above industry standards.
What’s important is that these were not naturally gifted traders.
They simply followed the rules, stayed consistent, and trusted the process.
Rahul Tip:
Don’t overcomplicate trading.
Even a basic breakout strategy can make money if traded with discipline and risk control.
Before chasing complex setups, ask yourself: Am I even following one simple system properly?
Conclusion:
The Turtle Trading Experiment proved that trading is not magic.
It’s a skill that can be taught, practiced, and mastered.
All you need is a solid system and the mindset to follow it every single time.
Would you trust a mechanical strategy like the Turtles did? Or do you prefer full control? Let’s talk in the comments!
# ADVENZYMES Price Analysis (July 2025)Current Price and Trading Pattern
Advanced Enzyme Technologies Ltd (ADVENZYMES) is trading near ₹335 in late July 2025. The price range for recent sessions is ₹331–₹346, with daily swings generally limited to 1–2%. Trading volumes are average for its segment, indicating steady, if unspectacular, investor interest. The 52-week price band extends from a low of ₹258 to a high of almost ₹571, showing that the stock has experienced significant volatility and a substantial correction from last year’s peak.
## Performance Overview
- **1-Month:** The stock has been consolidating, exhibiting minimal directional bias and relatively stable prices.
- **6-Month:** There has been a notable decline, significantly underperforming its sector benchmarks. The price remains below important moving averages, indicating sustained technical weakness.
- **12-Month:** ADVENZYMES has declined approximately 30% over the past year, in marked contrast to the modest gains seen in broader equity indices.
## Financials and Valuation
- **Market Capitalization:** Approximately ₹3,750–3,800 crore.
- **Earnings per Share (TTM):** About ₹11.7.
- **P/E Ratio:** Nearly 28, somewhat below the specialty chemicals sector average, likely reflecting recent challenges in growth and profitability.
- **P/B Ratio:** Close to 2.6.
- **Dividend Yield:** Roughly 1.5–1.6%, with an interim dividend of ₹4 per share recently declared.
## Business Health
ADVENZYMES is a leading manufacturer of enzymes and probiotics with global clients across healthcare, food processing, and specialty industrial markets. The latest financial results show minor revenue growth but declining net profits and operating margins, primarily due to increased costs and a shift in the product mix. Earnings per share have reached multi-quarter lows, prompting concern about operational efficiency and cost management.
## Shareholder Structure
- **Promoters:** Hold about 43% of shares.
- **Institutional Investors (FII/DII):** Approximately 26%.
- **Retail/Public:** The remaining shares.
## Risk and Volatility
- The stock is roughly three times as volatile as major market indices, making it a high-beta investment.
- Liquidity is sufficient for the usual investment sizes, but price performance has lagged sector peers over the past year.
## Technical and Sector Comparison
ADVENZYMES is trading below its major short-, medium-, and long-term moving averages, highlighting a bearish trend. In comparison, the specialty chemicals sector has had mild positive momentum, which makes ADVENZYMES a notable underperformer in its peer group.
## Outlook
The company’s fundamentals remain sound from a market positioning perspective, bolstered by a track record of dividend payment and global reach. However, the recent deterioration in revenue growth, margins, and earnings clouds the short-term outlook. The technical setup stays negative, and further consolidation or downside is possible unless there is clear operational improvement or sector-wide momentum. Investors should keep a close watch on margin trends, revenue acceleration, and cost control initiatives as signals for recovery.
Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN) at ₹316.45**Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN) at ₹316.45: Premium Play or Future Powerhouse?**
Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN) trades at ₹316.45, a massive entity with over ₹2.01 lakh Cr market cap, backed by the Reliance ecosystem. The question for traders and investors: Is its significant premium justified?
**Key Insights:**
* **Strong Backing & Shareholding:** Promoters hold 47.12%, with healthy institutional presence (DIIs 14.78%, FIIs 12.30%). This indicates significant confidence from core stakeholders.
* **Financials: Growth & Investment-Centric:** Sales saw a decent 10% growth (Mar'25 vs Mar'24), with Operating Profit jumping 27% to ₹1,977 Cr. OPM remains high at 76%. However, 2024 cash flow from operations was negative, heavily reliant on investing activities, suggesting its current model is more investment/holding company-like.
* **Staggering Valuation:** JIOFIN's P/E of 124.80 dwarfs peers like Bajaj Finance (P/E 36.10) and SBI Cards (P/E 44.50). This isn't about current earnings; it's a massive bet on future disruption.
* **Price Action & Volatility:** Despite its pedigree, JIOFIN's 1-year return is -5.45%, and it shows significant monthly volatility. This reflects the market's ongoing price discovery for a stock valued heavily on future potential.
**The Black Belt Take:**
JIOFIN is a high-conviction, high-valuation play. It's a bet on Reliance's ability to revolutionize India's financial sector.
* **For Traders:** Expect continued volatility. Short-term opportunities exist, but precise risk management is non-negotiable given the valuation sensitivity.
* **For Investors:** This is a long-term "future growth" story. Consider accumulating on significant dips if you believe in its disruptive potential. For the conservative, waiting for more established operational cash flows and a more reasonable valuation might be prudent.
Is the "Jio Factor" enough to justify this premium, or should investors wait for the fundamentals to catch up?
---
**Disclaimer:** This article is for educational purposes only. Please consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making investment decisions.
BANKNIFTY 1D Timeframe Key Data (as of early afternoon):
Current Price: ~57,080
Opening Price: 57,316
Day’s High: 57,316
Day’s Low: 56,851
Previous Close: 57,210
Net Change: –128 points (around –0.22%)
Intraday Price Action Summary
Bearish Start: Opened near the high and immediately faced selling pressure, especially in major private banks.
Dip to Support: Price dropped to 56,851, testing key intraday support.
Mild Recovery Attempt: Found some buying interest near the support but still trading below the day’s open.
📊 Technical Levels – 1D View
Level Type Value (Approximate)
Resistance 1 57,300
Resistance 2 57,600
Support 1 56,850
Support 2 56,500
Trend Bias Neutral to Bearish
RSI Level (Est.) 48–50 (sideways zone)
A break above 57,300 could resume bullish momentum.
A fall below 56,800 may extend the decline toward 56,500.
Why Bank Nifty Is Weak Today
Profit Booking: After recent gains, traders are squaring off long positions.
IT Sector Drag: Broader market weakness (led by IT) has spilled over into banking.
Global Cues: No strong global signals to support risk-on sentiment.
Mixed Bank Performance: While PSU banks like Canara Bank and PNB are showing strength, private banks such as Axis, ICICI, and Kotak are under pressure.
Intraday Trading Strategy
If you’re Bullish:
Look for a breakout above 57,300 for confirmation.
Targets could be 57,600 and 58,000 with a stop below 56,850.
If you’re Bearish:
Wait for a break below 56,800.
Downside targets may be 56,500 and 56,300.
Sideways Play: If the index continues to hold between 56,850–57,300, focus on range-bound scalping or wait for a breakout.
Conclusion
Bank Nifty is trading in a consolidation-to-weak zone today. The index is at a technical crossroads—holding above 56,850 keeps hopes for a bounce alive, while a fall below it could invite fresh selling. Eyes should be on private sector banks and broader market sentiment for the next directional cue.
Nifty Expiry caught well before !!On July 22 in our "Nifty expiry" post we mentioned 25015 as expiry based on July 21 Close.
()
On July 24 in our "Nifty Inverted HS pattern ?" post we mentioned expiry at 25138-25149 zone based on July 23 Close. ( )
Finally Nifty closed at 25062 on July 24 which is the mid of both these values (25138-25015)/2 = 25061.5
We are happy we could able to get successfully the last 2 expiries
Bank Nifty analysis and trade plan – 25th July 2025Bank Nifty Analysis
Timeframes Used: 4H, 1H, 15min
Current Price: ₹57,033
Market Structure Overview (4H & 1H Combined)
Price has formed a broad range structure between:
Resistance (Supply): 57,250–57,400
Support (Demand): 56,100–56,250
Recent price action has created equal highs near resistance, indicating possible liquidity above.
On the 4H chart, price failed to close above the supply zone multiple times.
On the 1H chart, price is forming a potential lower high just below supply — signaling weakness or distribution.
Trend Bias: Range-bound with slight bearish undertone unless clean breakout above 57,400.
Key Zones
Immediate Resistance (Supply Zone): 57,250–57,400
Immediate Support (Demand Zone): 56,100–56,250
No Trade Zone: 57,000–57,200 (choppy behavior expected here, wait for clear signal)
Trade Plan for 25th July
Scenario 1: Sell on Rally
If price tests 57,250–57,400 and rejects (bearish engulfing on 15min):
Entry: 57,300
Stop Loss: Above 57,450
Target 1: 57,000
Target 2: 56,300
➡️ This is a higher probability setup given repeated failure to break supply.
Scenario 2: Breakout Buy
If price breaks and sustains above 57,450 with volume:
Entry: 57,480 (after retest)
Stop Loss: Below 57,300
Target 1: 57,800
Target 2: 58,100
➡️ Aggressive setup — wait for breakout confirmation with volume.
🚫 No Trade Zone
Avoid trading inside 57,000–57,200 as it is the middle of the range — offers poor R:R and choppy conditions.
SELL GOLD 3370 ! downtrend todayPlan XAU day: 24 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
US President Donald Trump announced late Tuesday that his administration had reached a trade agreement with Japan. In addition, reports suggesting progress toward a 15% trade deal between the United States and the European Union have bolstered investor confidence, exerting downward pressure on the safe-haven appeal of gold for the second consecutive session on Thursday.
Despite President Trump’s persistent calls for lower borrowing costs, markets do not anticipate an interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve in July. In fact, President Trump has continued his public criticism of Fed Chair Jerome Powell, including personal attacks on his stance regarding interest rates and repeated calls for his resignation.
personal opinion:!!!
Tariff negotiations between countries and the US, the catalyst for the sharp drop in gold prices, continued selling pressure.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
resistance zone point: 3370 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Nifty analysis and trade plan: July 25, 2025Nifty 50 Analysis
Timeframes Used: 4H, 1H, 15min
Current Price: ₹25,051
Market Structure (4H & 1H Combined):
4H Chart:
Price formed a swing low at ~24,880 and bounced toward a key supply zone.
Market has printed a lower high near 25,240 and now showing rejection from that zone.
Structure remains bearish-biased unless we see a clean break and hold above 25,260.
1H Chart:
Shows a range-bound movement between 24,880–25,240.
Minor lower highs and higher lows — signals consolidation within a broader bearish range.
Key Zones:
Immediate Resistance (Supply):
₹25,220 – ₹25,260
₹25,400 (extended)
Immediate Support (Demand):
₹24,880 – ₹24,920
₹24,415 (strong swing low)
No Trade Zone:
₹25,020 – ₹25,150 (choppy zone unless a clean breakout/breakdown)
Trade Plan:
Scenario 1 – Sell on Rally (Preferred Bias)
If price revisits ₹25,220–25,260 and forms a bearish structure (like M-formation, bearish engulfing, or failure to break high), look for short entry.
Entry: ₹25,240 (after confirmation)
Stop Loss: ₹25,280
Targets:
T1: ₹25,000
T2: ₹24,880
T3 (extended): ₹24,750
Scenario 2 – Buy on Breakdown Failure (Aggressive)
If price re-tests the 24,880–24,920 demand zone and gives a strong bullish reversal with volume, consider long trade.
Entry: ₹24,920
Stop Loss: ₹24,870
Targets:
T1: ₹25,100
T2: ₹25,220
Scenario 3 – Breakout Buy (if bullish shift)
Only if price breaks and sustains above ₹25,260 with a clear structure and volume.
Entry: ₹25,270 (retest preferred)
Stop Loss: ₹25,200
Target: ₹25,400+
Summary Bias:
Primary Bias: Sell on rally, unless breakdown of 24,880 fails.
Secondary Bias: Bullish only if breakout is clean above ₹25,260.
Tata Steel: Bounce Back After Correction from ₹120 Ceiling🔍Technical Analysis
In June 2024, Tata Steel hit an all-time high of ₹185 but later corrected, bottoming near ₹120 in January 2025.
The stock has since formed a higher-high, higher-low structure and currently trades around ₹162.
If the pattern sustains, the next upside targets are:
🎯Target 1: ₹170
🎯Target 2 : ₹180
🎯Target 3: ₹190 (new all-time high)
Suggested stop-loss is near the recent swing low at ₹150. A drop below ₹120–₹125 (major demand zone) would invalidate the bullish thesis.
💰Q4 FY24 Financial Highlights (vs Q3 FY24 & Q4 FY23)
Total Income: ₹56,218 Cr (↑+5% QoQ vs ₹53,648 Cr; ↓–4% YoY vs ₹58,687 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹49,659 Cr (↑ 4.7% QoQ from ₹47,745 Cr; ↓ 4.7% YoY from ₹52,087 Cr)
Total Operating Profit: ₹6,559 Cr (↑+11% QoQ vs ₹5,903 Cr; ↓–1% vs ₹6,601 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹2,200 Cr (↑+32% QoQ vs ₹1,672 Cr; ↑+22% YoY vs ₹1,809 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹1,201 Cr (↑+298% QoQ vs ₹295 Cr; ↑+116% YoY vs ₹555 Cr)
Diluted EPS: ₹1.04 (↑+300% QoQ vs ₹0.26; ↑+112% YoY vs ₹0.49)
📌The sharp sequential and year-on-year rise in PAT reflects strong recovery driven by volume growth and cost-cutting.
📈Fundamental Highlights
Consolidated Q4 PAT surged 113% to ₹1,301 Cr, outperforming estimates (ET cites +113% YoY rise)
Revenue grew 5% sequentially to ₹56,218 Cr; raw material costs fell ~18%, reducing total expenses by ~4% YoY
EBITDA margin improved sequentially from ~11% to 12% with consolidated EBITDA at ₹6,762 Cr
Shareholder Return: A dividend of ₹3.60 per share was announced
Operational Efficiency: Higher sales in India (~21 Mt) due to capacity ramp-up, improved margins in Netherlands, and reduced UK losses
Debt Management: Net debt trimmed to ₹82,579 Cr, and ₹6,600 Cr in capex delivered cost benefits
🧭Outlook
Tata Steel’s Q4 results reflect earning resilience, operational efficiency, and strong cost control. Technically, it's trading within a constructive higher-high pattern. Confirmed support above ₹150 and maintaining above the swing zone boosts the probability of reaching the upside targets. A break below ₹120–₹125, however, could negate this bullish setup.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
Advance Option Trading💡 Why Advance Option Trading?
While beginner traders focus on price movement, advanced traders focus on:
Time decay (theta)
Volatility (vega)
Delta hedging
Neutral or range-bound markets
Income generation through spreads and option writing
This style of trading provides better capital efficiency, defined risk, and consistent performance across all market conditions (bullish, bearish, or sideways).
2. Implied Volatility (IV)
Higher IV = Expensive options
Lower IV = Cheap options
Key for strategies like IV Crush, Calendar Spreads, or Vega-neutral plays
3. Volatility Smile/Skew
Institutions track which strikes have higher IV. Advanced traders position accordingly.
🔧 Common Advanced Strategies
✅ 1. Straddle & Strangle (Neutral Volatility Strategy)
Straddle: Buy/Sell ATM Call + Put
Strangle: Buy/Sell OTM Call + Put
Use when expecting big movement or no movement (based on IV)
✅ 2. Iron Condor (Range-Bound Strategy)
Sell OTM Call and Put, Buy further OTM Call and Put (as hedge)
Best for sideways markets
Generates consistent income with limited risk
✅ 3. Calendar Spread (IV-Based Strategy)
Sell near-expiry option and buy same strike of a later expiry
Profits from increase in IV and time spread
✅ 4. Butterfly Spread (Limited Risk Strategy)
Example: Buy 1 OTM Call, Sell 2 ATM Calls, Buy 1 ITM Call
Small risk and good reward if price stays within expected range
✅ 5. Ratio Spread
Sell more options than you buy (e.g., sell 2 OTM Calls, buy 1 ITM Call)
Advanced version of directional bet with built-in hedge
✅ 6. Delta Neutral / Gamma Scalping
Balancing option position so that price movement doesn’t affect value
Common in institutions for high-frequency trading
📈 How to Select Right Strategy
✅ Identify Market Trend: Bullish, Bearish, Sideways
✅ Measure IV: Is it high or low?
✅ Track OI (Open Interest): Where are institutions positioning?
✅ Calculate Risk-to-Reward: Does your strategy offer good payoff?
✅ Time to Expiry: Shorter expiry = faster theta decay
⚠️ Risk Management in Advanced Option Trading
Professional traders always:
Set max loss per trade (usually <2% of capital)
Use hedged strategies (never naked short)
Adjust positions if the market breaks range
Keep an eye on Greeks changing with time
Track IV movement before entering trades
📊 Tools Used by Advanced Option Traders
Tool Purpose
Option Chain + OI Analysis Track smart money activity
Greeks Calculator (Sensibull, Opstra) Real-time risk data
IV Charts & Skew Analysis Measure volatility pricing
Backtesting Engines Validate strategies over past data
Algo Execution Tools Automate multi-leg strategies
🧠 Institutional Tactics in Advanced Option Trading
Institutions and prop firms often:
Build delta-neutral portfolios
Sell options with high IV and buy protection
Trade around key levels (VWAP, ATR ranges)
Use gamma scalping for directional bias
Exploit retail option traps near expiry
🔁 Adjustment Techniques (When Trade Goes Wrong)
Rolling the Position – Move strikes up/down or to next expiry
Convert into Ratio Spreads or Butterfly
Hedge with Futures
Close partially and rebalance
Switch to opposite bias if directional conviction is lost
💼 Who Should Learn Advanced Option Trading?
Traders already familiar with basic Calls & Puts
Intraday or swing traders wanting consistency
People managing 6- or 7-figure capital
Option sellers who want defined risk strategies
Anyone seeking market-neutral strategies for steady income
🔚 Final Thoughts
Advanced Option Trading is not about taking more trades — it's about trading smarter, with risk-managed, probability-based setups. When you learn how to use Greeks, volatility, and structure trades, you gain a huge edge over emotional retail trading.
Gold upside possibility Market on 1hr time frame is at fib 50% level on 15min it has been on a valid retracement area and also here the selling is weak this indicates there can be a probability of buying once the trendline is broke and retested. The entry can be on retracement after trendline on 5min with confluence of good healthy green bar candle.
HCL Tech seems a good buy @ 1530-1520 rangeDate: 24-Jul-25
After the Q1 results on 14th July, HCL Tech seems to have bottomed out near 1500 range
Stock tried breaking 1520 but sustained and closed at 1529 with increasing volms on 23-Jul-25
Most likely it will try to touch the next resistance area of 1590 and then onward to 1620, 1640 area. Likely to reach the target by 25th Sept making 5 to 6% returns in 2 months.
Elgi Equpiment - Pullback PlayNSE:ELGIEQUIP rose 13% today with heavy volumes near 52 52-week lows, making it a good candidate for a pullback trade with MACD getting Positive and Trending Up, if it can cross the falling trendline a Swing Towards 200 DSMA is Possible.
About:
Incorporated in 1960, NSE:ELGIEQUIP along with its subsidiaries, is manufacturing and supplying Air Compressors & Automotive equipment. It also provides related after-sales services it is the 6th largest air compressor manufacturer globally and the 2nd largest in India.
Trade Setup:
Trade will get activated after the trendline is crossed.
Target(Take Profit):
Around 200 DSMA or 620 Levels
Stop Loss:
Entry Candle Low for Swing Traders and Recent Swing Lows for Postional.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
🙏FLLOW for more
👍BOOST if useful
✍️COMMENT Below your views.
Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
GBPJPY Breakout Retest-Bullish Continuation in PlayGBPJPY showing potential breakout continuation after reclaiming a key intraday resistance zone.
Retest confirmation occurred near 198.72 support-turned-demand.
SignalPro structure highlights:
📍Clear high-probability buy signal
🟨 Caution label earlier flagged trend shift risk
📦 Liquidity Control Box now acting as base
Target set at 199.970 with defined risk below recent structure low.
Key Observations:
Breakout aligned with momentum recovery after multiple failed sell attempts.
Risk-to-reward is favorable for potential trend continuation toward upper liquidity levels.
🔍 Timeframe: 15-min
⚙️ Tool Used: Leola Lens SignalPro
📘 For learning use only – not financial advice.
Dixon Technologies Ltd – Breakout Alert Supported by Strong FY24📈 Technical Analysis
Dixon Technologies Ltd has shown a strong long-term uptrend since 2018, following a consistent Buy-on-Dips structure. The stock hit its All-Time High in Dec 2024, post which it corrected nearly 36%, forming a series of Lower Highs.
Currently, it's trading at ₹16,556, and today it broke the most recent Lower High, indicating a potential trend reversal. Interestingly, this technical breakout aligns with strong Q4 results, further supporting bullish sentiment.
The next key resistance lies at ₹17,000 – an earlier lower high. A breakout above this level, followed by a bullish retest, could pave the way for a fresh rally.
🎯 Upside Targets:
🎯 Target 1: ₹17,500
🎯 Target 2: ₹18,000
🎯 Target 3: ₹18,500
🛡️ Key Support Levels:
₹14,000 (Minor Support)
₹12,000 (Major Demand Zone)
If these supports fail, the bullish structure may be invalidated.
💰 FY24 Financial Performance (vs FY23 & FY22)
Total Income: ₹38,860 Cr (↑ +120% vs ₹17,691 Cr; ↑ +219% vs ₹12,192 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹37,353 Cr (↑ +120% vs ₹16,988 Cr; ↑ +215% vs ₹11,873 Cr)
Financing Profit: ₹1,508 Cr (↑ +114% vs ₹705 Cr; ↑ +190% vs ₹519 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹1,570 Cr (↑ +218% vs ₹494 Cr; ↑ +355% vs ₹345 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹1,233 Cr (↑ +228% vs ₹375 Cr; ↑ +384% vs ₹255 Cr)
EPS: ₹181.87 (↑ +196% vs ₹61.47; ↑ +325% vs ₹42.90)
📌Exceptional growth across all metrics indicates robust demand, streamlined costs, and successful scaling.
🔍 Fundamental Strengths
CAGR & Profitability: 45%+ revenue CAGR over 5 years, with ROE ~28%
FY25 Estimates: Revenue at ₹38,860 Cr (+120%) and PAT at ₹1,100 Cr (+198%)
Q4 Highlights: PAT jumped 322% YoY to ₹401 Cr on a 121% surge in revenue to ₹10,293 Cr
Financial Discipline: Minimal debt (total debt/ equity ~0.07), strong cash flows, and high asset turnover
Operational Scale: 17 manufacturing units; JV with Vivo in Dec 2024 indicates strategy expansion
✅ Conclusion
Dixon is showing a compelling technical breakout, backed by outstanding FY24 and Q4 results. Uptick above ₹17,000 with solid support suggests continuation toward ₹18,500. Strong fundamentals reinforce medium‑term potential, but critical stops at ₹14,000 and ₹12,000 should be respected.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This content is for informational purposes only and not investment advice. Consult a certified advisor before making financial decisions.
Strong Reversal Backed by Breakout and Robust Q4📈 Technical Analysis
I am speaking about the IOC Ltd stock. Technically, I’ve been observing this stock’s chart for over two decades. In Feb 2024, it created an All-Time High at ₹197. From there, it consolidated till Sept 2024, followed by a sharp correction to ₹110 by March 2025. This ₹110 level acted as a strong demand zone and the stock rallied sharply from there.
Currently, it's trading at ₹152, forming an Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern, and the price has already broken above the neckline — a bullish signal.
🎯 Targets
Target 1: ₹170
Target 2: ₹180
Target 3: ₹190
📉 Stop Loss Levels
First Stop Loss: ₹135 (shoulder low)
Final Stop Loss: ₹110 (major demand zone)
💰 Q4 FY24 Financial Highlights (vs Q3 FY24 & Q4 FY23)
Total Income: ₹1,95,270 Cr (↑ flat vs ₹1,94,014 Cr; ↓ -2% vs ₹1,98,650 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹1,80,241 Cr (↓ -3% vs ₹1,86,442 Cr; ↓ -4% vs ₹1,86,675 Cr)
Operating Profit: ₹15,029 Cr (↑ +98% vs ₹7,573 Cr; ↑ +25% vs ₹11,975 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹10,045 Cr (↑ +263% vs ₹2,766 Cr; ↑ +35% vs ₹7,420 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹8,368 Cr (↑ +290% vs ₹2,147 Cr; ↑ +52% vs ₹5,488 Cr)
Diluted EPS: ₹5.75 (↑ from ₹1.50 QoQ; ↑ from ₹3.65 YoY)
🧾 Fundamental Insights
🛢️IOC has benefited from softening crude oil prices and improved gross refining margins (GRMs), leading to better operating performance.
📦Strong inventory gains and better refining throughput also contributed to profitability.
💵The company declared a final dividend of ₹7 per share for FY24, rewarding shareholders amid solid earnings.
🏭Capex plans continue across petrochemical expansions and refinery upgrades, securing long-term growth.
🌱The management also highlighted a push toward energy transition — expanding green hydrogen and EV charging infrastructure.
Conclusion:
IOC Ltd is showing a strong technical breakout and backed by solid fundamentals in Q4. If the bullish pattern sustains, investors may see a retest of all-time highs in coming weeks.📊💹
JSL Reversal Zone Identified -Path to 728 [Post Q1 Result]Structure-Based Intraday Outlook | Jindal Stainless (JSL)
Price reacted near a confluence support zone, overlapping key trendlines and historical liquidity area.
The yellow caution label appeared, marking a potential high-probability trend shift based on Leola Lens SignalPro.
Rejection from this zone suggests early signs of accumulation.
If price sustains above this base, the pathway builds towards ₹728.
Watch for intermediate resistance zones around ₹702–₹706, which may offer short-term reactions before continuation.
⚠️ Educational Outlook Only — No Buy/Sell advice.
Tata Steel: Bounce Back After Correction from ₹120 Ceiling🔍 Technical Analysis
In June 2024, Tata Steel hit an all-time high of ₹185 but later corrected, bottoming near ₹120 in January 2025.
The stock has since formed a higher-high, higher-low structure and currently trades around ₹162.
If the pattern sustains, the next upside targets are:
🎯 Target 1: ₹170
🎯 Target 2: ₹180
🎯 Target 3: ₹190 (new all-time high)
Suggested stop-loss is near the recent swing low at ₹150. A drop below ₹120–₹125 (major demand zone) would invalidate the bullish thesis.
💰 Q4 FY24 Financial Highlights (vs Q3 FY24 & Q4 FY23)
Total Income: ₹56,218 Cr (↑+5% QoQ vs ₹53,648 Cr; ↓–4% YoY vs ₹58,687 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹49,659 Cr (↑ 4.7% QoQ from ₹47,745 Cr; ↓ 4.7% YoY from ₹52,087 Cr)
Total Operating Profit: ₹6,559 Cr (↑+11% QoQ vs ₹5,903 Cr; ↓–1% vs ₹6,601 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹2,200 Cr (↑+32% QoQ vs ₹1,672 Cr; ↑+22% YoY vs ₹1,809 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹1,201 Cr (↑+298% QoQ vs ₹295 Cr; ↑+116% YoY vs ₹555 Cr)
Diluted EPS: ₹1.04 (↑+300% QoQ vs ₹0.26; ↑+112% YoY vs ₹0.49)
📌The sharp sequential and year-on-year rise in PAT reflects strong recovery driven by volume growth and cost-cutting.
📈 Fundamental Highlights
Consolidated Q4 PAT surged 113% to ₹1,301 Cr, outperforming estimates (ET cites +113% YoY rise)
Revenue grew 5% sequentially to ₹56,218 Cr; raw material costs fell ~18%, reducing total expenses by ~4% YoY
EBITDA margin improved sequentially from ~11% to 12% with consolidated EBITDA at ₹6,762 Cr
Shareholder Return: A dividend of ₹3.60 per share was announced
Operational Efficiency: Higher sales in India (~21 Mt) due to capacity ramp-up, improved margins in Netherlands, and reduced UK losses
Debt Management: Net debt trimmed to ₹82,579 Cr, and ₹6,600 Cr in capex delivered cost benefits
🧭 Outlook
Tata Steel’s Q4 results reflect earning resilience, operational efficiency, and strong cost control. Technically, it's trading within a constructive higher-high pattern. Confirmed support above ₹150 and maintaining above the swing zone boosts the probability of reaching the upside targets. A break below ₹120–₹125, however, could negate this bullish setup.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is for informational purposes only. Do not consider it investment advice. Please consult a qualified advisor before making any investment decisions.