How to Develop the ‘Next Trade is New Trade’ Mindset?Hello Traders!
One of the most powerful shifts in trading psychology is learning to treat each trade as a completely independent event . Past losses or wins shouldn’t influence your next decision. But for most traders, emotions from the last trade cloud judgment. That’s why today, we’ll dive deep into the “Next Trade is New Trade” mindset — and how to build it into your trading system.
Why This Mindset Matters
Break Free from Emotional Baggage: A bad trade can lead to revenge trading, while a good trade may bring overconfidence. This mindset helps you start fresh.
Consistency Over Drama: Great traders don’t ride emotional highs and lows. They focus on the next high-probability setup — nothing more, nothing less.
Reset Your Psychology: Like an athlete resetting between plays, traders must reset mentally between trades to stay sharp.
How to Practice the “New Trade” Approach
Use a Checklist Before Every Entry: Let your setup criteria speak — not your emotions. If your edge is present, take the trade. If not, skip it.
Don’t Chase Losses or Celebrate Wins Too Long: Journal your trade, learn from it, and move on. Don’t carry emotional residue forward.
Keep Trade Sizes Consistent: Avoid increasing risk to “make back” losses or doubling down on confidence.
Close the Tab, Clear the Mind: After closing a trade, take a 2-5 minute break. It’s a mental reset button before the next opportunity.
Rahul’s Tip
Your last trade is history. Whether it was a loss or win, it doesn’t define your next one. Focus on the process — not the outcome.
Conclusion
Developing the “Next Trade is a New Trade” mindset isn’t just a concept — it’s a skill that separates emotional traders from consistently profitable ones. Practice detachment, follow your system, and let each trade be judged only on its own merit.
Do you let your last trade influence your next? Be honest — and drop your thoughts in the comments! Let’s grow together.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Swing Trading -Stock Options StrategySwing Trading Strategy – Stock Options:-
Tools Used: 9 SMA, RSI, Market Structure
Stock Universe: 25 Pre-Selected High Beta, Highly Liquid F&O Stocks
🔒 No further filtering or stock selection is required. Trade only within this universe.
✅ Strategy Overview
This is a swing trading strategy focused on buying stock options, using a systematic multi-timeframe confirmation approach involving:
• 9-period Simple Moving Average (9 SMA)
• Relative Strength Index (RSI)
• Market Structure
📌 Rules of Engagement
1. 📅 Monthly Timeframe – Primary Trend Filter
• The monthly candle must close above the 9 SMA.
• The RSI must be greater than 50 on the monthly chart.
2. 📆 Weekly and Daily Timeframes – Trend Confirmation
• Both weekly and daily candles must close above the 9 SMA.
• The RSI must be above 50 on both the weekly and daily charts.
3. 🕒 Entry Trigger – 15-Minute Chart (Execution Timeframe)
Once higher timeframes align:
• Switch to the 15-minute chart.
• Wait for a pullback to the 9 SMA, and enter near this level.
4. 🛡️ Stop Loss – Initial Risk Management
• Set the stop loss just below the low of the daily candle that first closed above the 9 SMA.
5. 🏁 Exit & Re-Entry Criteria
• Exit the position if the daily candle closes below the 9 SMA.
• Re-enter only when the full setup aligns again across all timeframes.
🔁 Profit Trailing Strategy
🔒 Step 1: Lock-In at Cost
• After three consecutive bullish daily candles, trail your SL to breakeven (your entry price).
📉 Step 2: Dynamic Trailing
• For every 5 bullish daily candles,
➤ Trail your SL to the lowest low of the 1st candle in that group.
• Continue this until a daily close below the 9 SMA, at which point exit completely.
⏰ Option Expiry Guidelines
• Enter trades only after 2 days of expiry (e.g., from Friday onwards for weekly expiry on Thursday).
• Exit trades before the last 2 days of expiry to avoid theta decay.
• Choose liquid strike prices in 0.5 or 1-point intervals.
▸ Example: If the stock is at ₹439, pick ₹400 ITM or ₹450 for better liquidity.
⚠️ Additional Notes
• Strictly trade within the 25 pre-identified high beta, liquid F&O stocks.
• This strategy performs best in trending markets.
• Avoid overtrading or deviating from the setup rules.
• Maintain a trading journal to track entries, exits, and stop loss adjustments.
•
📊 High Beta, Liquid F&O Stocks (Current List)
Adani Enterprises Adani Power Axis Bank IndusInd Bank Bajaj Finance Kotak Mahindra Bank HDFC Bank Tata Motors Larsen & Toubro JSW Steel Reliance Industries IndiGo Tech Mahindra Titan Sun Pharma Cipla Bajaj Finserv BPCL Mahindra & Mahindra Aurobindo Pharma Dr Reddy’s Laboratories Shriram Finance Lupin Container Corporation (Concor) Siemens
VIMP - Same process will be followed for Downtrend/PE buying. Montly candle must give its closing below 9 SMA with RSI 50 crossing below.
NF news and gold buying pressurePlan XAU day: 03 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold prices (XAU/USD) are struggling to build on a modest intraday rebound from the $3,340 area, holding relatively steady near the upper boundary of the weekly range during the first half of the European session. Market participants appear cautious, opting to await the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for further clarity on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) potential rate-cut trajectory. This data is expected to play a pivotal role in shaping near-term demand for the US Dollar (USD) and could provide significant directional impetus for the non-yielding yellow metal.
personal opinion:!!!
Weak DXY is still the driving force for gold price to increase and recover around 3400, along with NF news not very positive for USD
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3395 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Non farm payroll Analysis EURUSD 1HAs market have made equal lows during aisan session , we can expect that it will be bearsih during london session making low and can take support from 1 h order block that i have marked we can see bullish run during non farm payroll timing ....for further updates keep following me.
GOOD EVENING INSTUTIONAL TRADER date-02-07-2025
iNSTUTIONAL previous you can large liquidity pool
and after apike small leg = manupulation
SL= BREAK EVEN
TP = THIS IS NOT EXACT TP SOME POINT HAVE SOME DOUBT LET SEE
PREVIOUS MANULATION LEG HAVE SETUP BUT TUESDAY DONT HAVE INTERNET
LET'S SEE WHAT HAPPEN IN FUTURE
I WILL UPDATE YOU
INSTITUTIONAL - DIRECT INTER ARE INSANE💀💀💀👀
I Dont have = social media
I dont have - any course and paid signal
YOU HAVE ANY QUESTION PLEASE WRITE COMMENT BELOW
Gold price recovered break 3340, price increasedPlan XAU day: 02 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold Demand in China Expected to Rise Further
"Gold prices (XAU/USD) fluctuated between modest gains and slight losses during the first half of the European session on Wednesday, remaining below the one-week high reached the previous day. The US Dollar has regained some positive momentum, appearing to break a seven-day losing streak that had brought it to its lowest level since February 2022. This renewed strength in the greenback is acting as a headwind for the precious metal. Additionally, a broadly positive risk sentiment in the market is seen as another factor limiting the upside potential for the safe-haven asset.
personal opinion:!!!
Gold price continues to recover after breaking the 3340 price zone, buying power maintained before ADP-NF news today
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3366 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Jio Financial ---- Deep AnalysisJIOFIN -- High Probability Reversal Setup Based on ICT & SMC Concepts
Timeframe - Daily
Projection -- High Probability Reversal Setup expected.
Price Action Overview --
Stock is currently Respecting an internal bullish structure without breaking higher lows.
And stock is currently moving towards High probability POI zone along with --
Order block + FVG is 330-340 levels
Liquidity zone just below the Order block
Liquidity & POI Zone ----
Immediate Liquidity is resting above the levels of 290-300
Imbalance ---
Downside VOlume imbalance between 250-260 levels
below that there is breaker block support zone
RSI ----
Rsi divergence observed at bottom, which shows a bullish move
Rsi showing potential exhaustion or say confluence for reversal after POI is tapped.
Final projection for next 2-3-4 months view -----
Main Target (High Probability) -- Price likely to sweep buy-side liquidity above 300-310
tapping into orderblock + FVG zone 330-340 levels
Expecting strong rejection and sell-off towards Volume imbalance(255) and Breaker block(235)
If main Target Does not go well --- If rejection occures earlier around 300-310 then a partial distribution may trigger
earlier dump into volume imbalance without reaching to Orderblock.
This setup is just reflecting classic Buy-side liquidity grab >>>>> Sell off into imbalance.
Your views or comments are really welcomed. Also just give comments for any confusion or clarification.
#Nifty #Sensex #Jio #Reliance
Paras Defence Price ActionParas Defence and Space Technologies is currently trading near ₹1,630, having delivered a substantial rally over the past year and outperformed many of its peers in the defence sector. The stock has risen more than 100% from its 52-week low and is trading close to its all-time high, reflecting strong investor confidence and robust momentum. Year-to-date, the stock is up over 60%, though it has shown some short-term volatility with a recent pullback of about 9% in just two days, suggesting a phase of consolidation or correction after its sharp rally.
Fundamentally, the company has demonstrated impressive growth, with recent quarterly results showing revenue up nearly 36% year-on-year and net profit more than doubling. Its return on equity is healthy, and the business remains largely debt-free, which supports its financial stability. The company is also preparing for its first-ever stock split, with a record date set for July 4, 2025. This move is expected to enhance liquidity and attract more retail investors.
Despite these positives, Paras Defence is trading at a high price-to-earnings ratio, indicating that the stock is priced for strong future growth and leaving little room for disappointment. Analyst sentiment is generally positive for the long term, but there is near-term caution due to the recent run-up in price and some signs of weakening momentum. Technical analysts point to key support levels around ₹1,500–₹1,570, with a need for the stock to reclaim ₹1,630 for renewed bullishness.
Overall, Paras Defence is benefiting from strong sector tailwinds, government investment in defence, and its own technological capabilities. While the long-term outlook remains promising, investors should be mindful of the elevated valuation and the potential for further short-term corrections as the stock digests its recent gains.
Gold Short-Term Analysis – Bearish Structure Firmly Intact.Gold remains locked in a well-defined bearish structure, with a clear downward channel established by multiple touchpoints. Price has retraced sharply, but the rally has stalled precisely at the HVZ resistance zone between 3,355–3,390, which coincides with the upper boundary of the channel. This HVZ acts as a supply zone, where aggressive selling pressure has consistently emerged. There is no sustainable bullish reversal as long as price remains below 3,390, and any intraday spikes into the HVZ are opportunities for bears to reload positions.
The recent steep rally is a corrective move within the broader bearish trend formation, not a structural shift. This corrective phase has already lost momentum, evident in the failure to close convincingly above the HVZ. The bearish thesis remains valid as long as price trades below 3,390 no exceptions.
The downside roadmap is clear:
A decisive rejection from the HVZ zone sends price back to the break line at 3,250, which is a critical price area.
Breaching 3,250 opens a clean path for continuation down to the primary bearish target at 3,205–3,203, aligning with the measured move from the channel width and historical support levels.
Key Points:
The channel structure is intact; the recent upward leg is corrective, not impulsive.
Resistance aligns with previous failed rallies, reinforcing the HVZ’s strength as a sell zone.
No macro catalyst supports a sustainable breakout above HVZ; upside liquidity grabs will get sold into.
Only a confirmed close above 3,390 with follow-through invalidates the bearish structure nothing else.
Conclusion:
The trend is bearish. Price below 3,390 is an active short bias with targets at 3,250 and 3,205. Upside is capped by strong supply; intraday rallies into HVZ provide the best risk-reward short setups. Bullish scenarios are irrelevant unless the HVZ is convincingly broken with high volume.
NIFTY Analysis – 02 july 2025 ,morning update at 9 amMarket Condition:
Pattern: Bottleneck (Last candle of pattern on 1D chart)
Key Observation: Nifty closed near 23.6% false level
Flat to sideways expected near 25560, may test 25580
Scenarios
Above 25580: Possible up move to 25650 if bottleneck pattern forms
Below 25500 (with volume): May fall to 25446
Strategy:
Use BOD (buy on dip or SOR (Sell on Rise) strategy
Prefer scalping till clear pattern emerges
📊 Levels Mentioned
➤ Support Levels:
25446
25375
25312
➤ Resistance Levels:
25582
25650
25700
Strengths of my Post
Good use of pattern analysis (Bottleneck pattern)
Accurate false level strategy application
Clearly explained scenarios for upside and downside
Provided precautionary note before market open
PepsiCo (PEP): A Potential Shift from Downtrend
Following a prolonged corrective phase that commenced in March 2025, PepsiCo's price action is exhibiting noteworthy signs of a potential bullish reversal. A significant breakout from a multi-week consolidation range on the daily timeframe suggests a possible shift from distribution to accumulation. This hypothesis is supported by strengthening momentum indicators and the reclamation of a key moving average, warranting a closer look at key technical levels.
Detailed Technical Analysis:
1. Price Action: Breakout from Consolidation
After establishing a clear downtrend, PEP entered a period of consolidation, forming a well-defined trading range with a base near the $127 level. Today's session saw a decisive breakout above the upper boundary of this range. Such a move often indicates an exhaustion of selling pressure and an influx of demand. For this bullish thesis to gain further conviction, continued closes above this breakout zone would be constructive. The quality of this breakout would be further substantiated by an accompanying surge in trading volume, which signals significant market participation.
2. Momentum Analysis: RSI Indicating Renewed Buying Interest
Daily RSI: The RSI on the daily chart has surged to 62. A move above the 60 level typically suggests that bullish momentum is accelerating and is now in a strong position.
Weekly RSI: On the weekly timeframe, the RSI has advanced above 42. While still below the key 50 midline, this upward trajectory from oversold territory indicates a notable waning of long-term bearish momentum and may be an early sign of a strengthening trend.
3. Trend Analysis: Reclamation of the 50 EMA
The stock has successfully achieved a close above its 50-Day EMA. This moving average is a widely watched indicator for the medium-term trend. For much of the recent downtrend, the 50 EMA acted as dynamic resistance. By reclaiming this level, it suggests a potential shift where it may now serve as dynamic support during any subsequent pullbacks.
Potential Forward Outlook & Key Levels to Monitor:
Primary Area of Resistance: The $143 zone stands out as the first significant technical hurdle. This level could coincide with prior price structure and may attract initial profit-taking from short-term traders.
Secondary Area of Resistance: Should the momentum carry the price decisively through the primary resistance, the next major level of interest appears to be around $158 . This area represents a more significant structural resistance from the preceding downtrend.
Area for Risk Management: The zone below $127 is a critical area to monitor. This level represents the floor of the recent consolidation base. A sustained break below this level would potentially invalidate the bullish breakout hypothesis and suggest a continuation of the prior downtrend.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. It is an interpretation of historical price data and technical indicators. Market dynamics can change, and past performance is not indicative of future results. All trading and investment activities involve substantial risk. Always conduct your own thorough due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Gold (XAUUSD) - Daily ICT Based Analysis🗓️ Date Range: IPDA Range (June 9 – July 4, 2025)
This chart is built using ICT methodology focusing on market structure, liquidity, PD arrays, and smart money price delivery.
🧠 Narrative Breakdown:
✅ IPDA Range is defined from June 9 to July 4 (20 trading days), providing the valid high and low to map premium/discount.
✅ A Market Structure Shift (MSS) confirms the intent to shift bearish after internal liquidity was swept.
✅ Price ran the Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) and rejected from the Daily Rejection Block (RB.D) and CISD + IPDA S.D., indicating institutional selling interest.
✅ The recent rally into the premium zone failed to close above BSL, showing weakness and potential continuation to the downside.
🎯 Key Points:
BSL Swept above internal range.
RB.D + CISD + IPDA S.D.: Price rejected from these confluences.
Current Bias: Bearish until 3,203.47 and 3,189.82 are met (internal sell-side liquidity).
Extended Target: 2,993.69 — external liquidity resting below the May low.
DOL marked inside the range suggests smart money is engineering price toward sell-side targets.
⚒️ Tools Used:
IPDA Range (20D)
MSS / BoS
Rejection Block (RB.D)
CISD + IFVG
PD Arrays (BSL, IDM, DOL)
📌 Summary:
This is a classic Sell Model within a defined IPDA range. Liquidity was swept, price rejected from premium, and now seeks inefficiencies + sell-side liquidity.
🧠 Wait for price action confirmations on lower timeframes (1H/15M) near PD arrays to engage.
Policy instability, DXY falls sharply, gold recoversPlan XAU day: 01 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold Demand in China Expected to Rise Further
"In the first quarter of the year, China recorded a net export of 36 tons of gold to Hong Kong, reflecting a growing domestic demand for gold despite elevated prices. The uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariff policy has likely been a significant contributing factor. As a result, gold has seen increased appeal among Chinese investors as both an investment asset and a safe-haven store of value. In contrast, demand for gold jewellery likely remained subdued due to persistently high prices."
"China aims to expand its exploitable gold reserves by 5 to 10 percent by 2027, potentially in response to rising domestic demand, according to a statement from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released early last week. The country also plans to boost gold production by more than 5 percent over the next two years. While China is already the world’s largest gold producer, it continues to rely on imports to satisfy internal demand.
personal opinion:!!!
Trump administration's policy instability caused the dollar to lose value and gold to fall sharply. Gold is on the way to recovery, returning to the price range of 3366.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3366 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Sudarshan Price ActionSudarshan Chemical Industries is currently trading around ₹1,256, having gained nearly 5% in the past week and over 6% in the last month. The stock has delivered a strong 10% return over six months and nearly 40% over the past year, reflecting robust momentum. Its 52-week high is ₹1,315, while the low stands at ₹796, placing the current price close to its yearly peak.
Valuation-wise, Sudarshan Chemical trades at a high price-to-earnings ratio above 80 and a price-to-book ratio above 8, signaling that the stock is richly valued compared to sector norms. Despite the premium valuation, the company has attracted positive sentiment, with most analysts maintaining a buy or hold stance, though the average target price is slightly below current levels, suggesting limited near-term upside.
Financially, the company has shown steady revenue growth and improved profitability in recent quarters, with net profit margins expanding from previous periods. However, promoter holding has decreased recently, and the company’s sales growth over the past year has been modest. The stock’s low beta indicates relatively lower volatility compared to the broader market.
In summary, Sudarshan Chemical Industries is exhibiting strong price momentum and positive investor sentiment but is trading at expensive valuations. While its recent financial performance has improved, the high valuation and reduced promoter holding may warrant caution for new investors.
Rounding Bottom Breakout – HUGE 8:1 R/R Setup!NSE: BLUESTARCO | Timeframe: Daily
🔥 Key Observation:
BlueStar is painting a textbook Rounding Bottom reversal pattern – a bullish signal indicating exhaustion of sellers and accumulation by smart money. Current price (1624.50) is coiling near the make-or-break resistance at 1656. A breakout here could ignite a massive rally!
🎯 Trade Plan: Precision Execution
⏱️ TRIGGER:
BUY ONLY ON CONFIRMED BREAKOUT ABOVE 1656
Must see: Strong green candle + Volume > 20% above average
NO BREAKOUT = NO TRADE. Period.
🧯 STOP LOSS (SL):
1521 (swing low below pattern – technical invalidation)
Risk: Just 8.1% from 1656 entry.
🎯 TARGETS:
TP1: 1744 (minor resistance – book 50% here)
TP2: 2100 (measured move target – 27%+ from breakout)
Reward/Risk: 8.4x (Rare asymmetry!)
📊 Why This Works:
Rounding Bottom: Classic reversal pattern after a downtrend – signals long-term trend shift.
Volume Confirmation: Breakout with rising volume = institutional participation.
SL Placement: Below the pattern’s trough (1521) invalidates the setup.
Target Rationale: 2100 aligns with the historical liquidity zone.
🚨 Critical Risk Controls
❗ NO BREAKOUT = NO TRADE.
❗ If breakout lacks volume, REJECT the trade.
❗ Partial exit at 1744: Trail SL to 1650 (breakeven) for remainder.
💡 Trader Psychology Edge
FOMO KILLS: Chasing before 1656 risks getting trapped in fakeouts.
Patience = Profit: Wait for the market’s confirmation – this is where pros separate from amateurs.
Trade Like a Sniper: One clean shot at 1656+volume, or walk away.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research. Charts are for educational purposes.
EQUITASBNK Price ActionEquitas Small Finance Bank is currently trading around ₹69, showing a strong gain of over 5% on July 1, 2025, and outperforming its sector in the short term. The stock has been volatile, with a day range between ₹67.50 and ₹71.00. Its 52-week high is ₹97.21, while the 52-week low stands at ₹52.52, placing the current price closer to the lower end of this range. The all-time high for the stock is ₹116.50.
Market capitalization is approximately ₹7,950 crore, and trading volumes remain robust, with recent daily volumes exceeding 6.5 million shares. This liquidity ensures ease of entry and exit for investors. Over the past year, the stock has declined about 30%, reflecting broader challenges in the sector and some company-specific headwinds.
Financially, Equitas Small Finance Bank has reported revenue of about ₹6,312 crore and a net profit of ₹147 crore. However, the company’s interest coverage ratio is low, indicating some pressure on its ability to service debt from operating profits. The stock is generally considered to have average financial strength but is recognized for its high growth trend, albeit currently priced at high valuations. The trailing twelve-month EPS has declined sharply year-on-year, and the stock is trading at a high price-to-earnings multiple relative to sector norms.
In summary, Equitas Small Finance Bank is showing short-term momentum and strong trading activity but remains well below its yearly highs. The company faces profitability and valuation challenges, and while growth prospects are present, investors should be mindful of the recent volatility and underlying financial pressures.
How to Trade ATH Stocks: Harness Explosive Trends with ADX !(BEL Case Study)
NSE:BEL (Daily) - Bull Flag at All-Time Highs
📈 Key Observations
ATH Breakout Confirmed:
Price smashed through ₹340.50 previos ATH, hitting a historic high of ₹393.50.
Consolidation in a tight bull flag (₹378.50–393.50) after a 28.97% surge – classic bullish continuation setup.
ADX: Your Trend Compass 🧭
ADX at 43.95 signals a powerful, directional trend (Readings >25 = strong trend; >40 = explosive momentum).
Ignore oscillator noise: Trends trump RSI/MACD in parabolic moves.
Pattern > Oscillators:
Bull Flag Priority: The pattern’s integrity (lower volume consolidation) outweighs short-term RSI(79)/MACD wobbles.
🚀 Trade Strategy: Trend-First Framework
✅ Entry & Targets
Trigger: Daily close above ₹393.50 (flag resistance).
Add: Retest of ₹393.50 as support.
Targets:
Short-term: ₹420 (5% above ATH)
Measured Move: ₹482 (ATH + pole height: 393.50 + 88.20)
⚔️ Stop-Loss
Conservative: ₹378.50 (flag low breach).
Aggressive: ₹385 (tight stop, honors consolidation structure).
📊 Position Sizing
Risk ≤1% capital per trade.
Reward/Risk Ratio: 4:1 (₹482 target vs. ₹378.50 stop).
💡 Why ADX Trumps RSI/MACD at ATHs
RSI/MACD are lagging in strong trends:
RSI overbought ≠ reversal – it’s fuel for momentum stocks.
MACD crosses often "whipsaw" in high-ADX environments (BEL’s ADX >40 invalidates bearish MACD signals).
ADX is proactive:
"Trends persist until ADX rolls below 30" – Focus on price, not oscillator fears.
🌐 Sector & Fundamental Tailwinds
Defense Sector Strength: India’s capex boost; BEL’s order book increasing.
Institutional Conviction: FIIs increasing stake.
🛡️ Risk Management Checklist
✅ Trade only on confirmed close above ATH.
✅ Use ADX >40 as a momentum green light.
✅ Trail stops at 20-DMA (₹365) once +10% profit.
Chart Markup:
Blue line: Bull flag Resistance at ₹393.50.
Red Line: Bull Flag Support ₹378.50
ADX(14) subchart with 40+ threshold highlighted.
💎 Final Thought: ATH breakouts are trend accelerators, not tops. BEL’s bull flag + ADX >40 frames a high-probability continuation play. Stick with the trend until ADX says otherwise.
Boost this idea if you’re tracking BEL’s breakout!
Follow for high-probability ATH trade setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer
"This is NOT financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Past performance ≠ future results. Always conduct independent research and consult a SEBI-registered advisor. The author holds no position in BEL at time of publication."
NIFTY Analysis – 01 july 2025 ,morning update at 9 am 1. Technical Pattern Identification:
You correctly mention that Nifty is in the last candle of a Bottleneck pattern on the daily chart. Bottleneck patterns often indicate volatility compression and possible breakout or sideways movement.
✅ 2. False Level (Advanced Concept):
identifying that Nifty is closed near the 23.6% false level, which is usually a retracement zone.
This suggests a sideways to cautious bullish tone early in the day — good observation!
✅ 3. Pre-market Range Prediction:
Opening near 25550 and testing 25580 makes logical sense with the range.
Upside possible till 25650 if sustained above 25580 – this reflects momentum breakout above resistance.
On the downside, breaking 25480 with volume signals a likely fall to 25446 and 25375 – these are support zones.
✅ 4. Trading Strategy Advised:
Advising to wait for pattern formation and use BOD (Buy on Dip) or SOR (Sell on Rise) strategies is a smart risk-managed approach, especially for scalping in a tight range market.
📊 Support & Resistance Levels Given:
Support: 25446, 25375, 25312
Resistance: 25582, 25650, 25700
These levels are well spaced and offer a clear intraday roadmap.
Institutional Option Trading Institutional Option Trading
Institutional option trading involves using options as part of sophisticated strategies to hedge risk, enhance returns, or speculate.
Objectives of Institutional Option Trading
Hedging: Protecting large portfolios against market downturns.
Income Generation: Selling options to collect premiums.
Speculation: Taking directional bets with options.
Arbitrage: Exploiting price inefficiencies across markets.
Common Institutional Option Strategies
Covered Call Writing: Selling call options against stock holdings to generate income.
Protective Puts: Buying puts to insure portfolios against downside risk.
Spreads (Vertical, Horizontal, Diagonal): Limiting risk while aiming for a defined profit range.
Straddles and Strangles: Betting on volatility, regardless of market direction.
Iron Condors: Selling out-of-the-money calls and puts to profit from low volatility.
Ambuja Cements - Levels to watchAs market mood is choppy and result season is approaching soon
Its important to note the upcoming important levels for Ambuja Cements
Recently the stock gave a good rally but is now approaching towards its first strong resistance level of 590
Post that it has 2 more strong upside resistance at 610 and 635
Downside right now the nearest and strongest support levels are at 530 - 515 - 485
Take confirmation bias from lower Tf before entering any trade & play accordingly