ACCACC looks good for short-mid term swing trade at the current levels of 1850 as we have seen multiple times support at this level
{Not a recommendation, just for an education purpose}
Beyond Technical Analysis
TCSTCS cmp - 3481.90
Buying & accumulating TCS at current levels will be considered as a good level. Nifty consolidating around the 25,000, a potential breakout above this level could be led by strength in the IT sector — with TCS likely to be a key contributor to that momentum.
{Not a recommendation, just for an educational purpose}
TEXRAIL: Breakout FocusTEXRAIL has recently exhibited a notable technical development on the daily chart. On Friday, 16 May , the stock completed a breakout from an inverted head and shoulders pattern, a formation often associated with potential trend reversals. The breakout occurred with a decisive close above the neckline, which had previously acted as a key level of resistance and had been tested multiple times, reinforcing its technical significance.
Following the breakout, the price action has respected the neckline as a new support level, with multiple successful retests and rebounds observed. As of today’s session, TEXRAIL has once again rebounded from a brief consolidation phase, accompanied by a substantial increase in trading volume—approximately 18M shares , significantly above its recent average. This surge in volume may indicate renewed interest and participation from market participants.
Momentum indicators are also aligning with the bullish structure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently approaching the 70 level , suggesting strong upward momentum, though it is nearing overbought territory. Additionally, the MACD histogram is showing signs of potential short-term consolidation or profit-taking, particularly as the price approaches a previously identified supply zone.
Looking ahead, the chart outlines three potential resistance levels that may act as intermediate targets or areas of interest for traders monitoring the trend. These levels are derived from historical price action and volume profile analysis.
📊 Please refer to the accompanying chart for a visual breakdown of the pattern, volume dynamics, and resistance zones.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this analysis is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Your Trading Beliefs Were Programmed by Your Past–Rewire to Win!Hello Traders!
Ever wondered why you hesitate when it's time to take a trade, or why you cut winners too early and let losers run? It's not the chart — it's your subconscious programming . Most of our trading behaviors are rooted in past beliefs , experiences, and fears that have nothing to do with the market. If you want to level up, it’s time to rewire your mindset .
How Your Past Programs Your Trading Decisions
Fear of Loss Comes from Past Mistakes: A few bad trades early in your journey can make you overly cautious or hesitant to pull the trigger.
Greed is Reinforced by Random Wins: If you got lucky once without following rules, your brain links success with shortcuts.
Self-Doubt is Learned from Past Failures: Losing streaks can make you feel like you're "not cut out" for trading — even if it’s just part of the learning curve.
Overconfidence Comes from Unconscious Bias: If you had a few back-to-back wins, your mind assumes you’re always right — which leads to overtrading.
Rewire Your Mind for Trading Success
Acknowledge Your Programming: Write down patterns you repeat (like fear at breakout or regret after booking early) — awareness is the first step.
Replace Old Beliefs with New Ones: Example: Instead of “I always mess up,” try “I follow my system and improve with each trade.”
Create a Trading Affirmation Routine: Start your day with a mental reset — “I am disciplined, focused, and I trust my setup.”
Track Emotional Triggers in a Journal: Log your trades along with emotions — it helps break subconscious habits.
Rahul’s Tip
Your subconscious doesn’t care about candlesticks — it reacts to fear, identity, and habits. Rewire your trading beliefs the same way you train a muscle: repetition, awareness, and intent.
Conclusion
The market is not your enemy — your programming might be. Every trader who succeeds rewires their belief system with discipline, patience, and constant reflection. If you keep sabotaging your success, it’s not about strategy — it’s time to upgrade your mental operating system.
What trading belief did you have to unlearn to improve your performance? Share it in the comments below!
Apollo Micro Systems buy set upApollo Micro Systems is currently showing an interesting technical setup for traders. Here's a detailed price action analysis:
**Current Price and Trend**
The stock is currently trading at ₹98.41, with a recent upward movement of 4.31%. The price action suggests a promising technical setup with several key observations:
**Technical Highlights**
- **Trend Indication**: The price is showing an uptrend, characterized by higher highs and higher lows
- **Breakout Potential**: The stock is testing a 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and appears ready for a potential breakout
**Key Trading Levels**
- **Buy Trigger**: Above ₹105 (confirmed breakout level)
- **Stop Loss**: Day's low below the breakout candle
- **Potential Target**: ₹170, offering a potential upside of 62.4%
**Volume Perspective**
- Recent sessions show above-average volume (45% above average)
- Indicates growing buyer interest and active participation
**Technical Indicators**
| Indicator | Signal | Analysis |
|-----------|--------|----------|
| PSAR | Bullish | Bullish crossover and sustaining |
| MACD | Strong Bullish | Bullish crossover with trending momentum |
| Donchian Band | Bullish | New high created and above middle band |
**Trading Strategy**
- First position can be added during accumulation phase near ₹98.41
- Second tranche can be added once stock clears ₹105 with conviction
**Risk Management**
- Favorable risk-reward ratio
- Adherence to stop-loss is crucial for disciplined trading
**52-Week Performance**
- 52-Week High: ₹147.55
- 52-Week Low: ₹87.99
**Outlook**: The stock shows potential for an upward move with strong volume support and a clear breakout trigger. Traders should watch for sustained buying momentum and confirmation above ₹105.
FORCEMOT Price action **Force Motors (FORCEMOT) Price Analysis – April 21, 2025**
**Current Price:** ₹9,229
**Trend:** Strong uptrend, up 40% in the past three months.
**Support:** ₹8,700–₹8,900
**Resistance:** ₹9,270 (previously ₹10,272, the 52-week high).
**Outlook:** Bullish above ₹9,000. A breakout above ₹9,270 could potentially retest the 52-week high.
**Summary:** The momentum is strong, and the trend remains positive unless the price falls below ₹8,700.
BDL | Long | Swing Setup | Wave AnalysisBDL is either in Wave C of abc
or Wave 3 of 1-5 as shown in chart
both cases suggest a bullish up-move towards target one in case of wave C and towards target 2 in case of wave 3.
SL would be 1090- 1130 zone. If looks weak in this zone we will exit.
Increasing volume suggests a good momentum long setup.
Just my 0.02$
STLTECH- Swing Buy - Trend Reversal Strenght PatternSTLTECH
showing strenght in reverse
TRADE= SWING
STOP = 69.8 - 9%
TP = 83, 88, 104 - 9%, 15%, 35%
HOLDING = 5 days to 1 month
CarTrade - Potential VCP Pattern. Above 1860 FireworksCarTrade- is forming a potential VCP Pattern.
One can enter some above 1700/1860 for targets of 2000/2233.
Note : This is a probability game, and the co. is run professionally without promoters.
So always average up in the stock instead of doing lumpsum investment.
Disclaimer : Educational content. Please do your own research.
Lets Learn something about VCP Pattern
📊 Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) – Overview
The VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern) is a bullish technical setup popularized by Mark Minervini. It typically forms before a strong breakout and is used to identify growth stocks preparing for a big move.
The key idea is that volatility and price range shrink (contract) over time, forming a series of tight pullbacks with higher lows. This shows that sellers are getting exhausted while strong hands accumulate quietly.
🔍 Key Features of VCP:
Multiple Contractions: Price makes 2–4 contractions with narrowing ranges.
Higher Lows: Support keeps rising, showing accumulation.
Dry-up in Volume: Volume decreases during contractions, increases on breakout.
Tight Final Contraction: Right before breakout, price gets very tight, sometimes just a few % wide.
🎯 Entry Point:
Ideal Entry: Breakout above the final contraction's resistance zone on high volume.
This is typically a pivot point, where supply dries up and demand takes over.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Just below the last contraction’s low or recent support.
Typically, 3%–5% below the breakout point, depending on stock volatility.
🚀 Potential Spike / Upside:
Stocks breaking out of a proper VCP can show quick moves of 20%–50%+ in a few weeks.
If part of a strong sector or market trend, the upside can be even higher.
NOTE : If you liked my Analysis, do boost this post to make it reach to more Traders.
My old analysis on CarTrade:
CG Power – Strong Breakout with Volume ConfirmationCG Power – Strong Breakout with Volume Confirmation
CMP ₹694.10 | Time Frame: 5-min | Date: June 17, 2025
📊 Chart Summary:
The stock broke above recent resistance near ₹684 with a strong bullish candle on high volume.
Clean structure with higher highs and higher lows on the intraday chart.
Sustaining above ₹690, which now acts as a strong support and breakout base.
🔍 Technical Levels:
Immediate Resistance: ₹705
Next Target Zone: ₹718–₹725
Support Zone: ₹683–₹686
Volume Analysis: Volume spiked significantly on the breakout candle, confirming strength
🎯 Trade Setup:
✅ Buy Zone: ₹690–₹694
→ Target 1: ₹705
→ Target 2: ₹720
→ Stoploss: ₹683 (below breakout base)
⚠️ Avoid Shorts unless ₹680 breaks with heavy volume
🧠 Bias: Bullish with Momentum
📈 Breakout Strength Score: 85%
🔍 Watch price action near ₹705 – a clean close above it could trigger next leg up.
CG Power showing classic breakout behaviour – high volume, strong structure, holding above breakout zone. Looks good for ₹720+ levels.
#CGPower #BreakoutAlert #NSEStocks #IntradayTrading #SwingTrade #TradingViewIdea
Apollo Micro – Fresh Momentum Emerging After Strong BaseApollo Micro – Fresh Momentum Emerging After Strong Base
CMP ₹201.03 | Time Frame: 5-min | Date: June 17, 2025
📊 Chart Summary:
Stock has shown a clean recovery from intraday lows near ₹193 with bullish engulfing patterns.
Strong spike in volume near the bottom followed by sustained price action above ₹200 indicates accumulation and breakout potential.
Price now sustaining above the psychological level of ₹200, suggesting potential for short-term upmove.
🔍 Technical Levels:
Immediate Resistance: ₹205
Next Target Zone: ₹212–₹215
Support Zone: ₹194–₹197
Volume Trend: Above average on upticks, supportive of bullish sentiment
🎯 Trade Setup:
✅ Buy Zone: ₹199–₹201
→ Target 1: ₹205
→ Target 2: ₹212
→ Stoploss: ₹194 (below last swing low)
❌ Avoid Fresh Shorts unless it breaks below ₹192 with volume
🧠 Bias: Bullish Intraday to Short-Term
📈 Momentum Score: 72%
⚠️ Watch price action above ₹202 with volume spike
Apollo Micro has shown strength after a reversal from lows — maintaining ₹200 could propel it to ₹212+.
#ApolloMicro #ShortTermTrade #BreakoutSetup #PriceAction #NSEStocks #TradingViewIdea
DIVISLAB: Flag & Pole Breakout Setup Targets New ATHsNSE: DIVISLAB | Pharmaceuticals | Large Cap | Updated: June 17, 2025
📊 Technical Structure
Pole Formation: Rally from 4,955 → 6,862 (1,907 points) on high volume
Flag Consolidation: Tight range between 6,490 (support) and 6,800 (resistance)
Key Breakout Trigger: Daily close above 6,862 (ATH)
Pattern Target: 8,769 (6,862 + 1,907 pole length)
Critical Support: 6,300 (confirmed swing low)
🎯 Price Targets & Roadmap
Immediate Target: 7,200 (2024 swing high)
Strong Resistance Zone: 7,600-7,750 (analysts ceiling)
Pattern Target: 8,769 (100% pole extension)
Confirmation Required for 8,769:
• Breakout volume >650K (20% above 20D avg)
• Pharma sector PE >42 (currently 39.2)
⚡ Trade Strategy
Scenario 1: ATH Breakout (Preferred)
Entry: Daily close above 6,862 (6,880-6,900 zone)
Targets:
• 7,200 (book 30% profits)
• 7,600 (book 50% profits)
• 8,769 (full exit)
Stop Loss: 6,700
Scenario 2: Flag Breakdown
Entry: 6,300-6,160 (50-DMA confluence)
Target: 6,800 flag retest → 7,200
Stop Loss: 6,050
Risk Management Essentials: Max 2% capital per trade
⚖️ Fundamental Drivers
Strengths:
• 15.4% ROE (vs sector 12.1%)
• 17% EPS growth (FY26E)
• FII holdings ↑2.1% YoY to 18.01%
Risks:
• High PE 79.2 (sector 39.2)
• Overbought risk above 7,600
⚠️ Critical Risks
Valuation Risk: Profit-booking likely near 7,600
Sector Risk: Pharma index seasonality (+4.91% avg June)
📉 Real-Time Levels
Current Price: ₹6,538 (-2.24% today)
Support: 6,490 (flag base) → 6,300 (swing flip)
Resistance: 6,800 (flag top) → 6,862 (ATH)
Volume Alert: Breakout requires >650K shares
✅ Conclusion
DIVISLAB offers a high-reward setup with defined risk parameters. The flag breakout above 6862 is the preferred play, backed by sector leadership and earnings growth. Always hedge with stops—overvaluation remains a concern.
📜 Disclaimer
This analysis represents my personal market view and not investment advice. Trading carries significant risk of capital loss. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Always:
Conduct your own due diligence
Consider your risk tolerance
Consult a SEBI-certified advisor
Verify real-time data before acting
Never risk more than you can afford to lose.
VOLTAS – Fresh Momentum Seen After Breakout from RangeVOLTAS – Fresh Momentum Seen After Breakout from Range
CMP ₹1294.20 | Time Frame: 5-min | Date: June 17, 2025
📊 Chart Summary:
Voltas has broken out above its recent resistance zone near ₹1280 on rising volume.
Price action shows strong higher highs & higher lows, confirming bullish momentum.
A healthy intraday consolidation around ₹1290–₹1295 suggests strength and buyer interest.
🔍 Technical Levels:
Immediate Resistance: ₹1305–₹1312
Support Zone: ₹1278–₹1285 (previous resistance → new support)
Volume Surge: Confirms buying participation on breakout
🎯 Trade Setup:
✅ Buy on Dips Around: ₹1288–1292
→ Target 1: ₹1305
→ Target 2: ₹1320
→ Stoploss: ₹1275
❌ Avoid Shorts Unless: Price falls below ₹1270 with volume
🧠 Bias: Bullish Continuation
📈 Momentum Score: 75%
⚠️ Look for follow-through candles and volume > 5-min avg
🔧 Voltas looks primed for short-term swing towards ₹1320+ if ₹1305 is crossed with strength.
#VOLTAS #BreakoutTrade #SwingSetup #VolumeBreakout #NSEIndia #TradingViewIdea
INDUS TOWERS LTD – Healthy Consolidation After a Strong RallyINDUS TOWERS LTD – Healthy Consolidation After a Strong Rally
CMP ₹392.50 | Time Frame: 5-min | Date: June 17, 2025
🔍 What the Chart Says:
Stock rallied strongly from ₹376 to ₹393 in just two sessions.
Now in a sideways zone between ₹390–₹394 after the breakout – a bullish flag formation.
Volumes spiked during the upmove, indicating strong institutional buying.
Recent candles show lower wicks → buyers defending dips.
Price hovering just below breakout resistance at ₹395.
🔧 Technical Setup:
Resistance: ₹394.50–₹395 (crucial breakout zone)
Support: ₹387 (short-term trend protector)
Structure: Bullish flag | Strong uptrend | Low-volume consolidation
🎯 Trade Plan:
📌 Buy Above: ₹395 with volume confirmation
→ Target: ₹400 / ₹404
→ Stoploss: ₹387
🛑 Avoid Longs Below: ₹387
→ Could slide to ₹382–₹380
🧠 Bias: Bullish | 📊 Confidence: 75%
🚀 Watch for breakout + surge in volume = Strong confirmation
🧭 Keep in Watchlist!
#INDUSTOWERS #BreakoutStock #PriceAction #BullishSetup #NSEIndia #TradingViewIdeas
INVENTURUS – Fresh Volume Breakout With Momentum Build-upINVENTURUS – Fresh Volume Breakout With Momentum Build-up
CMP ₹1855.70 | Time Frame: 5-min | Date: June 17, 2025
🔍 Chart Observations:
After a quiet range-bound move on June 14–16, the stock gave a sharp vertical breakout around 9:45 AM on June 17 from ~₹1,755 to ₹1,800.
This was followed by gradual higher highs and higher lows, forming a classic intraday bullish staircase pattern.
Strong volume expansion in the last 60–75 minutes, especially on bullish candles, suggests accumulation by smart money.
The final push to ~₹1,880 was accompanied by the highest volume bar of the day, followed by a minor profit-booking candle — which is healthy.
📈 Momentum Setup & Trade View:
✅ Trend confirmation via:
Volume consistently rising above 20-period average (blue line)
Structure of rising demand zone with no significant bearish engulfing candle
Price is currently consolidating near ₹1855–1860 after a peak at ₹1880 — which is a bullish continuation zone.
📌 Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: ₹1,880 / ₹1,900 (breakout level)
Support: ₹1,825 (VWAP/structure base) / ₹1,800
Volume Threshold: Above 45K on bullish candles supports momentum extension.
🔮 Bullish Probability (Next 3–4 Days):
🔸 Moderately High (~80%) – Strong price and volume setup. Likely to test ₹1,880+ again and could move toward ₹1,930–1,950 on follow-through buying.
NAVIN FLUORINE | Bullish Momentum Building–Breakout Above ₹4560Stock: NAVIN FLUORINE INT. LTD. (NSE)
Timeframe: 5-min | Observation Window: Last 3 trading sessions
Status: Consolidation post strong rally
🔍 Technical Analysis:
NAVIN FLUORINE witnessed a strong up-move from ₹4,380 to ₹4,580 on June 12 with volume confirmation. Since then, the stock has been in a tight range between ₹4,500 – ₹4,560, indicating healthy consolidation after a breakout.
This setup often precedes the next leg of the trend.
📈 What I'm Watching:
✅ Support Zone: ₹4,470 – ₹4,500
✅ Resistance/Breakout Level: ₹4,560
✅ Target Zones post breakout: ₹4,600 → ₹4,650 → ₹4,720
✅ RSI holding firm (estimated above 50)
✅ Strong demand visible on dips
🛠 Trading Plan:
Bullish Entry: On breakout above ₹4,560 with volume
Stop Loss: Below ₹4,470
Swing Target: ₹4,650–₹4,720 (Short-Term)
⚠️ A breakdown below ₹4,470 may shift the bias short-term bearish, with downside toward ₹4,400–₹4,380.
💬 Your Thoughts?
Will NAVIN FLUORINE give a breakout or fakeout?
Let me know your views 👇
🔔 Follow for more swing trade ideas & volume-based setups.
MAZDOCK – Strong Breakout With Follow-Up BuyingMAZDOCK – Strong Breakout With Follow-Up Buying
CMP ₹3305.90 | Time Frame: 5-min | Date: June 17, 2025
🔍 Chart Observations:
MAZDOCK delivered a clean vertical rally starting around 10:00 AM, showing a sharp breakout from ~₹3,120 all the way to ~₹3,350.
This move was supported by rising volumes, particularly green candles with strong body closes, indicating institutional buying interest.
After the intraday high, the stock retraced modestly but stabilized around ₹3,280 and formed a higher base.
Currently trading in a tight consolidation zone near ₹3,305, suggesting potential re-accumulation before next leg.
📈 Momentum Setup & Trade View:
✅ Bullish momentum is intact with:
Volume well above 20-period average
No major profit-booking candles observed yet
Healthy price-volume structure
A minor dip to ₹3,280–3,290 can offer a low-risk re-entry zone.
Watch for a breakout above ₹3,320 with volume >80K for fresh upside.
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance: ₹3,320 / ₹3,355 (recent high)
Support: ₹3,280 / ₹3,250
Volume Benchmark: Sustained activity above 75K+ strengthens continuation.
✅ Bullish Probability (Next 3–4 Days):
🔸 High (~85%) – One of the strongest volume breakouts of the day with a classic consolidation-retest setup.
I work hard to bring stock and it's analysis to you ---- your feedback is appreciated and will encourage me to work better
DEVYANI – Breakout Retest Completed | Short-Term Rally BrewingDEVYANI – Breakout Retest Completed | Short-Term Rally Brewing
🟢 CMP: ₹170.15
📆 Date: 17 June 2025
📊 Timeframe: 2–4 Days Swing Trade
🔍 Technical Analysis
✅ DEVYANI broke above the key level of ₹169.20 with conviction
✅ Post breakout, the stock consolidated in a tight range – a classic bullish continuation setup
✅ Price structure is forming higher lows, suggesting accumulation
✅ Strong wick rejection seen near ₹165 on June 17, confirming buyers stepping in at dips
✅ Volume noticeably rising in the last hour of trade, with price heading higher
✅ Final candle of the session closed just below the intraday high, hinting potential upside continuation
🎯 Trade Plan
🔹 Parameter 🔹 Value
Buy Zone ₹169 – ₹171
Stop Loss ₹166.40 (below swing low)
Target 1 ₹174
Target 2 ₹177.50
Target 3 ₹181
Risk–Reward ~1:2.4
🔥 Conviction Score: 80%
💡 Clean structure + minor breakout + volume rise = Short-term bullish bias
⚠️ What to Watch For
Volumes should continue above 45K per 5-min candle
Immediate resistance: ₹172
Closing above ₹171.20 can fast-track the momentum move
#DEVYANI #BreakoutSetup #VolumeConfirmation #SwingTrade #NSEStocks #BullishBias #MomentumMove #SmartMoneyFlow
ABCAPITAL – Volume-backed Breakout with Momentum SetupABCAPITAL – Volume-backed Breakout with Momentum Setup | Short-Term Swing
🟢 CMP: ₹255.10
📆 Date: 17 June 2025
📊 Timeframe: 3–5 Days Positional Trade
🔍 Technical Analysis
✅ Strong rally from ₹243 to ₹255 with minimal retracement – signs of accumulation
✅ Sustained higher highs & higher lows forming a bullish structure
✅ Breakout from a minor consolidation seen around ₹250
✅ Price comfortably trading above key short-term EMAs (9 & 21)
✅ Volume spike on recent candles confirms breakout legitimacy
✅ RSI in the 60–65 zone, indicating momentum without overbought signs
🎯 Trade Plan
🔹 Parameter 🔹 Value
Buy Zone ₹252 – ₹256
Stop Loss ₹247.50 (below last swing)
Target 1 ₹262
Target 2 ₹268
Target 3 ₹274
Risk–Reward ~1:2.2
🔥 Conviction Score: 85%
💡 Backed by breakout structure + strong volume + short-term bullish sentiment
🧠 Watch for:
Price sustaining above ₹252 with healthy intraday volume
Caution if closes below ₹248 or market turns risk-off
#ABCAPITAL #BreakoutStock #MomentumTrade #VolumeAnalysis #SwingSetup #StockMarketIndia #NSEIndia #ShortTermTrading
KPRMILL – Breakout in Progress | High Conviction TradeKPRMILL – Breakout in Progress | High Conviction Trade
🟢 CMP: ₹1105.60
📆 Date: 17 June 2025
⏳ Timeframe: Positional (3–5 days)
🔍 Technical Setup
✅ Breakout above ₹1080 resistance after multi-week consolidation
✅ Strong bullish candle with above-average volume
✅ Holding well above 9 EMA & 21 EMA
✅ RSI rising, currently in bullish zone (60–70)
✅ Clean chart structure with minimal overhead resistance
🎯 Trade Plan
Buy Zone: ₹1090–₹1110
Stop Loss: ₹1065 (below breakout zone)
Target 1: ₹1145
Target 2: ₹1185
Target 3 (Stretch): ₹1230
Risk–Reward: Favorable (1:2.5+)
📌 Conviction Level: 🔥 High (90%)
📊 Backed by breakout, volume thrust & clean technicals
🚨 Caution: Avoid trade if price dips below ₹1065 with volume.
Watch early morning action (9:15–10:00) on 18 June to confirm strength.
💬 #KPRMILL #BreakoutTrade #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketIndia #VolumeBreakout #NSEStocks #PriceAction
MGL – Momentum Breakout with Strong Volumes | Short-Term Swing SMGL – Momentum Breakout with Strong Volumes | Short-Term Swing Setup
🟢 CMP: ₹1433.50
📆 Date: 17 June 2025
📊 Timeframe: Positional Swing (3–5 Days)
🔍 Technical Analysis
✅ Breakout confirmed above ₹1390 zone with strong volume surge
✅ Series of higher highs and higher lows – clean uptrend structure
✅ Holding firm above short-term 9 EMA & 21 EMA
✅ RSI trending around 65 – bullish momentum, not overbought
✅ Volume spike confirms institutional interest
✅ No major resistance till ₹1465+
🎯 Trade Plan
🔹 Parameter 🔹 Value
Buy Zone ₹1425 – ₹1435
Stop Loss ₹1398
Target 1 ₹1465
Target 2 ₹1495
Target 3 ₹1535 (stretch target)
Risk–Reward ~1:2.5
🔥 Conviction Score: 90%
📈 Price + Volume + Trend + RSI = Perfect breakout cocktail
🧠 Watch out for:
A quick follow-through candle above ₹1435 with volume = momentum confirmation
Avoid if price slips below ₹1398 with strong red candle
📎 Hashtags
#MGL #SwingTrading #BreakoutStock #VolumeSpike #TechnicalSetup #MomentumStocks #NSEIndia #PositionalTrading #StockMarketIndia
TCS Ltd. – Riding the Wave from a Strong Support Base📊Technical Overview
TCS has consistently traded above ₹3,000 since 2021, with this level serving repeatedly as a robust support zone.
The stock reached an all-time high of ₹4,592 in August 2024.
Given strong year-on-year financial performance and support at ₹3,000, TCS currently trades at ₹3,500.
As long as the ₹2,900–₹3,050 support zone holds, the stock has potential to rise to:
🎯Target 1: ₹3,800
🎯Target 2: ₹4,200
🎯Target 3: ₹4,600(All-time high)
A breakdown below the zone would negate the bullish thesis.
💰FY24 Key Financial Highlights (vs FY23 & FY22)
Total Income: ₹255,324 Cr (vs ₹240,893 Cr; ₹225,458 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹187,917 Cr (vs ₹176,597 Cr; ₹166,199 Cr)
Financing Profit: ₹67,407 Cr (vs ₹64,296 Cr; ₹59,259 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹65,331 Cr (vs ₹61,997 Cr; ₹56,907 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹48,797 Cr (vs ₹46,099 Cr; ₹42,303 Cr)
Diluted Normalized EPS: ₹134.20 (vs ₹126.88; ₹115.19)
All parameters show strong YoY growth, emphasizing TCS’s consistent scale-up and profitability.
🧠Fundamental Insights
TCS crossed $30 bn in annual revenue, with a strong order book of $42.7 bn, including a record Q4 TCV of $13.2 bn
FY24 revenue rose 4.1% YoY (CC +3.4%), with net income up 7.8% YoY. Q4 margins were strong with operating at 24.6% and net at 19.3%
TCS declared a ₹30 final dividend and a combined FY25 dividend of ₹96/share (₹66 special + ₹30 final), rewarding shareholders with ~4.5% yield
Quarterly profit slipped 1.7% YoY to ₹12,224 Cr due to global headwinds, but revenue still rose 5.3%, backed by strong deal wins worth $12.2 bn (Q4) and $39.4 bn (full year) .
Continued investment in AI, digital innovation, and a strong cash flow (over $5.3 bn free cash flow in FY24) support long-term growth outlook .
🧭Conclusion
TCS remains fundamentally strong with robust growth in revenues, profits, and cash generation. Technically, it is maintaining a firm base above ₹3,000, setting the stage for a potential upside toward ₹3,800 → ₹4,200 → ₹4,600. The key is to watch for sustained support at ₹3,000–₹3,050.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
Aditya Birla Capital Ltd – Powering Up for a Breakout Above ₹250📈Technical Analysis
Crucial Resistance Zone: Since 2017 listing at ₹250–255, this level has repeatedly acted as major resistance throughout 2024–25.
Recent Pullback: After reaching ₹248 recently, stock remains locked under this key zone.
Breakout Prerequisite: For a genuine bullish move, the ₹250–255 resistance must be cleared with strong volume and retested successfully as support, confirmed by bullish candlestick patterns.
No Breakout = No Rally: Unless the zone flips to support, further gains are unlikely and a correction may occur.
💰Q4 FY24 Key Financial Highlights (vs Q3 FY24 & Q4 FY23)
Total Income: ₹12,214 Cr (vs ₹9,381 Cr; ₹10,780 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹8,419 Cr (vs ₹5,876 Cr; ₹7,182 Cr)
Total Operating Profits: ₹3,795 Cr (vs ₹3,505 Cr; ₹3,598 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹1,361 Cr (vs ₹1,030 Cr; ₹1,606 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹886 Cr (vs ₹724 Cr; ₹1,288 Cr)
Diluted Normalized EPS: ₹3.32 (vs ₹2.72; ₹4.79)
📌Q4 FY24 delivered healthy sequential growth, though YoY profit dipped — a result of higher expenses and one-off gains in the base quarter.
🔍Fundamental Insights
Revenue Growth: Consolidated income rose ~13–14% YoY to ₹12,214 Cr
Profit Adjusted: FY24 PAT (excluding one-offs) increased ~6% YoY to ₹865–886 Cr .
Lending Portfolio: Combined NBFC + HFC loans grew ~27% YoY to ₹1.57 L Cr
AUM & Premiums Up: Total AUM ₹5.11 L Cr (+17% YoY) and life/health premiums ₹25,579 Cr (+22% YoY)
Distribution Expansion: 1,623+ branches; digital platforms (ABCD, Udyog Plus) gaining traction
Fundraising Plans: Board approved NCD issuance up to ₹1.65 L Cr → expands financial flexibility
📌Conclusion
Aditya Birla Capital shows solid sequential performance, strong loan book and AUM growth, and expanding distribution reach. Technically, everything hinges on the ₹250–255 zone:
✅Breakout & Retest with volume → bullish scenario
⚠️Failure to hold → likely consolidation or pullback
Watching closely!
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
