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PERSISTENT –Strong Base Breakout in Progress | BTST to ShortTermPERSISTENT – Strong Base Breakout in Progress | BTST to Short-Term Swing CMP: ₹6106.50 Trade Type: BTST / Short-Term Positional (3–4 Days) Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (90–95%) 🧠 Technical Setup & Reasoning: ✅ Base Breakout Above ₹6050: Persistent has broken out of a multi-session base near ₹6040–₹6055 with strong bullish intent. ✅ Rounding Bottom Formation: Classic bullish reversal structure now confirming a neckline breakout. ✅ Volume Spike: Clear surge in volume on breakout candles — suggests institutional accumulation and strong hands entry. ✅ MACD: Bullish crossover confirmed and gaining momentum — indicates start of new price leg. ✅ RSI: Trending at ~65 and rising — still below overbought zone but confirming bullish energy. ✅ Sector Backing: IT sector showing recovery signs this week — Persistent being a high-beta IT name tends to outperform in such phases. 📊 Trade Levels 🎯 Target 1: ₹6245 🎯 Target 2: ₹6335 🚀 Stretch Target: ₹6450 (if market continues to hold strength) 🛑 Stop-Loss: ₹5985 (on closing basis) 📌 Why This Is High Conviction Textbook breakout from rounded base with high volume Strong bullish confirmation across RSI, MACD, price structure Market breadth improving in midcap IT — supports follow-through Persistent often gives multi-day follow-through after clean breakouts 📌 Strategy: Hold or add on dips near ₹6075–₹6100 Trail SL to ₹6050 after ₹6245 is crossed Partial profit booking suggested above ₹6330 💬 Persistent looks ready for a momentum leg. Ideal BTST or 3–4 day swing setup backed by structure and volume. 🧠 #PersistentSystems #BreakoutTrade #BTST #RoundedBase #ITstocks #SwingTrading #VolumeConfirmed
NSE:PERSISTENTLong
by webadvise99
NIPPON AMC – Steady Breakout with Accumulation | BTST to 3-Day ICMP: ₹761.15 Trade Type: BTST / Short-Term Positional (3–4 Days) Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐½ (85–90%) 🧠 Technical Setup & Reasoning: ✅ Breakout from Ascending Channel: Price has broken out above the ₹755–758 zone, which acted as the upper boundary of a rising channel. ✅ Volume Expansion: Accumulation visible with steady volume on breakout candles — not a spike-based move, but healthy build-up. ✅ MACD: Bullish crossover in progress on the 1-hour and daily chart — indicating start of a short-term rally. ✅ RSI: RSI is climbing above 60 — sign of strength, yet not in overbought territory, allowing more room for upside. ✅ Sector Strength: Financial services and AMCs are seeing renewed interest with broader Nifty 500 inflows. 📊 Trade Levels 🎯 Target 1: ₹773 🎯 Target 2: ₹785 🚀 Stretch Target: ₹795+ 🛑 Stop-Loss: ₹747 (closing basis) 📌 Why This Trade Has High Conviction Fresh breakout from structured base Consistent institutional-style volume on green candles Technical indicators aligning for trend continuation Positive sentiment in financial/AMC space post mid-cap flows 📌 Strategy: Holding above ₹758–759 confirms strength Trail SL to cost after crossing ₹770 Consider booking partial profit near ₹785 if market weakens 💬 Nippon AMC is quietly building momentum. A patient 3–4 day hold may reward well if it sustains above ₹760. 🧠 #NipponAMC #BreakoutTrade #BTST #SwingSetup #AssetManagement #Financials #VolumeAnalysis
NSE:NAM_INDIALong
by webadvise99
LODHA – Breakout in Progress | High Conviction BTST/3-4 Day TradLODHA – Breakout in Progress | High Conviction BTST/3-4 Day Trade CMP: ₹1476.50 Trade Type: BTST / Short-Term Positional Time Frame: 3 to 4 Days Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (90%+) 🧠 Technical Setup & Reasoning: ✅ Base Formation Near ₹1440–1450: Strong price base built over multiple sessions — now acting as a launchpad. ✅ Breakout Attempt from Bullish Flag: Clean breakout above mini-flag range at ₹1468–1472; signals trend resumption. ✅ Volume Action: Higher-than-average volumes during breakout = institutional interest likely. ✅ MACD & RSI: MACD bullish crossover with histogram widening RSI rising above 60 – indicating strength, but still with room to rise ✅ Higher Timeframe Structure: Weekly chart shows strong trendline breakout in progress, indicating potential for further upside. 📊 Levels to Watch: 🎯 Target 1: ₹1505 🎯 Target 2: ₹1535 🚀 Stretch Target: ₹1565 (if broader market supports) 🛑 Stop-Loss: ₹1452 (on closing basis) 📌 Why High Conviction? Strong technical structure on multiple time frames Clean price-volume breakout confirmation Strong real estate sector tailwind History of sharp moves post-breakout in LODHA 📌 Strategy: Entry above ₹1475 is valid Trail SL to cost once ₹1505 is reached Add on dips near ₹1465 if retested with volume support 💬 LODHA shaping up as a high-potential breakout play for the short term. Keep it on your radar. 🧠 #LODHA #BTST #BreakoutTrade #VolumeConfirmed #TechnicalAnalysis #RealEstateSector
NSE:LODHALong
by webadvise99
Ajanta Pharma BTST/Short-Term Buy SetupAjanta Pharma BTST/Short-Term Buy Setup CMP: ₹2587 Time Horizon: 3–4 Days Trade Type: BTST / Positional Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (90%+) 🧠 Technical Setup & Reasoning: ✅ Price Breakout Zone: Stock has broken out of a mini-consolidation above ₹2575–2580 zone with good price action. ✅ Bullish Candle Formation: Strong green candle near day’s high with decent closing suggests follow-through. ✅ Volume Confirmation: Breakout accompanied by rising volume → confirms participation. ✅ MACD Crossover: MACD turning up from the zero line – a fresh bullish cycle. ✅ RSI Strength: RSI near 60 with room to move higher – not yet overbought. ✅ Higher Highs: Stock is forming a sequence of higher highs, indicating trend continuation. 📊 Targets & Levels 🎯 Target 1: ₹2625 🎯 Target 2: ₹2665 🚀 Stretch Target: ₹2700+ (if momentum holds) 🛑 Stop-Loss: ₹2555 (on closing basis) 📌 Why This Is High Conviction: Clean breakout from structure Multiple indicator alignment (MACD + RSI + Volume) Sector strength + relatively low volatility stock Strong institutional activity seen in recent sessions 📌 Strategy: Buy on dips near ₹2580–2585 or continue holding if already entered at ₹2585–2587. Trail SL once ₹2625 is crossed.
NSE:AJANTPHARMLong
by webadvise99
Gold price returns to 3363 price zone, gold selling pointPlan XAU day: 20 June 2025 Related Information:!!! Gold price (XAU/USD) is seen consolidating its intraday losses to over a one-week low and is trading just below the $3,350 level during the first half of the European session. Earlier this week, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) trimmed its outlook for rate cuts in 2026 and 2027, which is seen as a tailwind for the US Dollar (USD) and is weighing on demand for the non-yielding yellow metal. In addition, a generally positive tone in European equity markets is another factor putting pressure on Gold prices. However, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East may cap market optimism amid ongoing trade-related uncertainties and help limit losses for the safe-haven XAU/USD, which remains on track for weekly losses personal opinion:!!! Gold price in sell zone, trend line 3362 Important price zone to consider : !!! SELL point: 3362 zone Sustainable trading to beat the market
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JJainy
2
Know all about Greeks - I have Simplified for Option Writers!Hello Traders! If you're into option writing, understanding Option Greeks is non-negotiable. But don’t worry — you don’t need to be a math genius. You just need to know how each Greek affects your premium, risk, and time decay . So, let’s simplify the Greeks in a way that every option seller can use — practically. Key Option Greeks Every Writer Must Know Theta – The Time Decay King: This is your best friend. Theta tells you how much premium the option loses each day. As an option seller, you profit when time erodes the premium. The closer to expiry, the faster Theta works for you. Delta – Directional Risk Manager: Delta shows how sensitive the option is to price movement. For sellers, a low delta means less directional risk. Always monitor Delta when selling near-the-money options. Vega – Volatility Impact: Vega tells you how much the option price will change with volatility. High Vega means more premium — but also more risk. Avoid writing options when IV is very low, and be cautious when IV is about to rise (like before events). Gamma – The Risk Multiplier: Gamma increases your Delta exposure rapidly when the price nears the strike. For option writers, high Gamma = high risk, especially near expiry. Always track Gamma if you're selling options close to the money. Rahul’s Tip You don’t need to memorize formulas — just feel how each Greek impacts your trade. That’s how professional option writers stay ahead of retail noise. Conclusion Mastering the Option Greeks helps you sell smarter, avoid traps, and adjust your trades with confidence. Use Theta to earn , Delta to hedge , Vega to time entries , and Gamma to manage risk near expiry . Keep it simple, and you’ll stay profitable over time. Do you track Greeks while writing options? Which one helps you the most? Drop your thoughts below!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
Silver at Warzone – Breakout or Bloodbath? (XAG/USD D1 Analysis)Silver is trading at one of the most critical inflection zones in recent years. The chart shows a clear double top formation near the $33 mark (TOP1 & TOP2), but don’t be fooled — this setup could flip either way, with massive implications. 🔻 Bearish Outlook – Double Top Breakdown in Play Price rejected twice at the same zone (~$32.5–33), forming a textbook double top. If price breaks below $28.80 (neckline zone), it confirms the pattern. Breakdown could lead to a violent drop with targets: 📉 $28.00 (psych level) 🎯 $22.73 (structural support) 🎯 $20.76 (macro base) This setup aligns with a potential DXY bounce, tightening by the Fed, or global demand slowdown. 🟢 Bullish Flip – Breakout Above $33 Could Be Legendary If Silver breaks $33+ with strong volume, the double top is invalidated. This flips the narrative into a high timeframe breakout of a multi-year wedge. Next targets open wide: 🚀 $36.00 (intermediate breakout zone) 🚀 $40–50 (parabolic rally territory) Macro catalysts: Dovish Fed, USD weakness, or global geopolitical tensions. ⚠️ Final Take: This is a binary setup. Break below $28.80 = confirmed crash. Break above $33 = breakout rally. No middle ground. Watch price and ride the move. 📌 Trade the confirmation, not the prediction. #Silver #XAGUSD #Commodities #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout #TradingView #Metals #DoubleTop #Wedge #VolatilityAhead
OANDA:XAGUSD
by sparkrlight
Silver faked the break — bearish unfolding beginsSilver has delivered a classic bull trap, where price briefly breached the highs, lured breakout buyers, then reversed aggressively. The failure to hold above the breakout zone indicates institutional distribution. Now, momentum has flipped bearish with immediate downside targets in focus. 📊 key levels breakdown zone/level description 35.14 immediate target — former breakout support 33.18 (blue line) structural level — high-volume node 31.80–32.20 deep down target — major April accumulation zone 📉 current price action insights Daily structure is breaking down. Clear rejection candle post breakout = strong bearish intent. Price fell back into the old value area — suggests no bullish acceptance above. 🔻 bearish scenario pathway ✅ first leg: push to 35.14 — likely short-term. 🔜 if 35.14 fails: expect a quick slide toward 33.18 (prior liquidity pool). 📉 final target: the April-May accumulation zone around 32.00, where stronger hands may step in. 🧭 market psychology at play breakout buyers are trapped — stop-loss hunting now in play. Institutions engineered the breakout to build shorts at premium. Unless reclaimed fast, price may continue hunting liquidity below. ⚠️ invalidation for bears A daily close back above $36.00 with strong follow-through could invalidate this bearish scenario. ✅ summary Silver has faked the breakout and is now shifting structurally bearish. All signs point toward a sell-on-rise setup with immediate and deep targets well defined. Only a strong reclaim of $36 would neutralize this bias — until then, downside looks active and attractive.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by sparkrlight
Gold Day Trade analysis - 20-6-2025Gold has decisively broken below the HVZ , confirming a structural shift in momentum. The bias is confidently bearish as the price now trades under key value, rejecting any bullish reclaim attempts. A temporary support exists near 3350, but it lacks strength unless backed by volume and momentum reversal. Unless gold reclaims the HVZ range, the current structure favors continued downside. The day trade target is set at 3322, which aligns with the next demand zone from prior price action. Any pullbacks toward 3360–3365 can be seen as opportunities to build shorts with invalidation above 3370. As of now, all signs point to further weakness ahead.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by sparkrlight
2
Max Drawdown Control Techniques in Option Writing!Hello Traders! Option writing can generate consistent income, but only if risk is managed well. The biggest threat? Max drawdown . Even one bad expiry or a trending move against your position can wipe out weeks of profit. That’s why today’s post is all about drawdown control techniques — so you stay profitable, consistent, and emotionally stable. Top Techniques to Control Drawdowns in Option Writing Position Sizing is Your First Shield: Never write options with your full capital. Risk only 1–2% of your capital per trade. Smaller lots = smaller damage. Avoid High IV Events: Skip writing options during major events like RBI, Fed meetings, elections, etc. Volatility can crush your position in seconds. Use Hedged Strategies: Use spreads (e.g., Iron Condor, Credit Spreads) instead of naked writing. It limits the max loss while capping profits moderately. Track Max Loss in Advance: Before taking a position, use payoff diagrams to see your worst-case loss — and stay below it. Never write blind. Follow OI + Price Structure: Combine Open Interest shifts with price action to avoid writing near breakout zones or momentum candles. Adjust & Roll Smartly: Don’t freeze when market moves fast. Learn to adjust strikes or roll positions to next expiry to limit the damage. Have a Weekly Stop Limit: Define a max weekly drawdown (e.g., 3%) — if hit, stop trading for the week. It keeps your head cool. Rahul’s Tip Drawdown is the real game in option writing. Not profit – but protecting capital is your edge. You don’t win by earning more — you win by losing less. Conclusion Option writing rewards discipline, not aggression. If you want to make a career out of it, controlling drawdowns is the #1 priority . Focus on risk-adjusted returns , not just premium collected. Write smart, hedge well, and walk away when the odds are not in your favor. Have you ever faced a big drawdown in option selling? What did you learn from it? Share your thoughts below!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
short term downtrend! sell gold 3379Plan XAU day: 19 June 2025 Related Information:!!! Gold prices show minimal gains as the Asian session begins, following the Fed’s decision to maintain rates while indicating they are still considering two rate cuts. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump’s comments on Iran triggered a pullback toward a weekly low of $3,362 before settling at around current levels. XAU/USD is trading at $3,375, up 0.19%. On Wednesday, the Fed kept rates unchanged as expected and updated its economic projections for the United States (US). The median forecasts suggest that Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will be lower than in March’s projections, while the unemployment rate is expected to rise slightly. Inflation is likely to end around the 3% level, and the Federal Funds Rate forecast indicates policymakers are anticipating 50 basis points of easing personal opinion:!!! Gold price confirms downtrend in Asian session, price zone 3379 following downtrend line Important price zone to consider : !!! SELL point: 3379 zone Sustainable trading to beat the market
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JJainy
2
How I Got a Dabba Trading Call–And What You Should Learn From itHello Traders! Recently, I received a call offering high returns, zero taxes, and full flexibility — all through a so-called “private terminal.” It was none other than Dabba Trading — the illegal underbelly of India’s trading ecosystem. Today, let’s expose how this system operates, why it's illegal, and how to protect yourself from falling into this trap. What is Dabba Trading? Dabba Trading is Off-Exchange Trading: You place orders on a fake/private terminal instead of NSE/BSE. No SEBI Oversight: These trades are not reported to any regulatory authority. No STT, GST, Stamp Duty, or Taxes: It sounds attractive but is completely illegal. Operates in Cash Mode: Most of the time, payments and settlements are done in cash or through grey channels. How Dabba Operators Trap Traders High Return Promises: They assure guaranteed profits and low brokerage. Lack of Transparency: You can't verify trades or positions with an official broker. Fake Profit Statements: Charts and trade books can be manipulated to show profits. Sudden Disappearances: If caught or exposed, operators can vanish overnight — with your capital. Risks of Getting Involved No Legal Protection: If you lose money, you can’t complain to SEBI or file a legal case. Tax Authorities Crack Down: You may face penalties or scrutiny from IT/ED departments. Criminal Charges: Participating knowingly can make you complicit in illegal trading. Reputation Risk: Your name, PAN, and bank accounts can come under scanner. Why It’s Never Worth It Short-Term Temptation, Long-Term Damage: Even one trade in dabba can cost you years of progress. Skill Never Grows: It’s all manipulation — no real trading psychology or discipline builds here. You’re Feeding a Scam Ecosystem: Operators use your funds for illegal arbitrage and syndicates. Rahul’s Tip Whenever someone offers a shortcut in trading, ask: “If it’s that profitable and safe, why are they calling me instead of trading themselves?” Trust only regulated platforms. Real trading is tough — but it’s safe and scalable. Conclusion Dabba Trading is not smart — it’s risky, illegal, and dangerous for your career and capital. Let’s trade the right way. Learn, evolve, and grow under proper guidance — not in the shadows. Have you come across such offers? Share your experience so others can learn and stay safe.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
2
BUY 3375 , sideway H1, gold price accumulatesPlan XAU day: 18 June 2025 Related Information:!!! Heading into the key central bank event risk, the disappointing US macro data released on Tuesday pointed to a softening economy and reaffirmed bets that the Fed will lower borrowing costs in September. This keeps a lid on the overnight US Dollar rally to the weekly peak. The US Census Bureau reported that Retail Sales declined by 0.9% in May, compared to a 0.7% contraction expected and a 0.1% dip in April. Moreover, US Industrial Production fell short of estimates and contracted by 0.2% in May, following a revised 0.1% increase the previous month personal opinion:!!! sideways fluctuation in the price range of 3370 - 3395, gold price waiting for the result of keeping interest rates unchanged and continuing to accumulate around 3400 Important price zone to consider : !!! Buy point: 3375 , 3338 Sustainable trading to beat the market
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JJainy
1
TEXRAIL: Breakout FocusTEXRAIL has recently exhibited a notable technical development on the daily chart. On Friday, 16 May , the stock completed a breakout from an inverted head and shoulders pattern, a formation often associated with potential trend reversals. The breakout occurred with a decisive close above the neckline, which had previously acted as a key level of resistance and had been tested multiple times, reinforcing its technical significance. Following the breakout, the price action has respected the neckline as a new support level, with multiple successful retests and rebounds observed. As of today’s session, TEXRAIL has once again rebounded from a brief consolidation phase, accompanied by a substantial increase in trading volume—approximately 18M shares , significantly above its recent average. This surge in volume may indicate renewed interest and participation from market participants. Momentum indicators are also aligning with the bullish structure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently approaching the 70 level , suggesting strong upward momentum, though it is nearing overbought territory. Additionally, the MACD histogram is showing signs of potential short-term consolidation or profit-taking, particularly as the price approaches a previously identified supply zone. Looking ahead, the chart outlines three potential resistance levels that may act as intermediate targets or areas of interest for traders monitoring the trend. These levels are derived from historical price action and volume profile analysis. 📊 Please refer to the accompanying chart for a visual breakdown of the pattern, volume dynamics, and resistance zones. Disclaimer: The information provided in this analysis is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:TEXRAILLong
by NiftyNotion
4