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Beyond Technical Analysis

Swing & Positional Trading Setup - 85% Win Rate✅ Set up for Positional and Swing Trades (High Beta Liquid Stocks for Cash and Options)- This trading guide outlines a simple and effective setup for both positional and swing trades, focused on high beta, highly liquid stocks. Follow the rules strictly for better consistency and profitability. 🔹 Positional Trade Setup • Open the Monthly Chart of the stock. • Add the RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator. • Uncheck all levels (30, 50, 70) and only keep one level at 60. • Edit the level from 70 to 60 and highlight it in green. Entry Criteria: • Stock must cross the 60 RSI level on the monthly chart. • Entry is only triggered if the price breaks the previous month's high and 60 levels are broken in RSI. Stop Loss: • Place the initial stop loss below the previous month's low. Trailing Stop Loss: • Trail the stop loss to the current month’s low, but only after the monthly candle closes. • Continue trailing the stop loss every month using this method until exit. Exit Rule: • Exit the positional trade only if the current month’s candle closes below the previous month’s low OR Exit also if the BigWick is formed below previous month low. ⚡ Note: The RSI 60+ setup is a powerful momentum strategy with high reward probability. 🔹 Swing Trade Setup • Monthly RSI must cross above the 60 level. • Switch to the Daily Chart of the stock. • Identify the current swing high on the daily chart. • Entry is triggered only when the stock breaks the swing high. • Place the stop loss below the previous week low at first. Trailing Stop Loss: • If the trade moves in your favor, trail the stop loss to cost from week low. Exit Rule: • Exit the swing trade only if RSI crosses below 60 with a daily candle close. 📌 High Liquid Stocks List (Suitable for both Cash and Options Segment) 🚗 Auto • Bajaj Auto • Bosch Ltd • Eicher Motors • Hero Motocorp • Maruti Suzuki • TVS Motors • Tata Motors 🏦 Banking & Financial Services • Bank of Baroda • Kotak Bank • Axis Bank • ICICI Bank • HDFC Bank • IndusInd Bank • Bajaj FinServ • Bajaj Finance • SBI 🧪 Chemicals • Aarti Industries • Atul Ltd • Navin Fluorine • UPL • Tata Chemicals 🍫 FMCG • Britannia • Godrej Consumer • Tata Consumer • DMart • Hindustan Unilever • Dabur 💊 Pharma & Healthcare • Apollo Hospitals • Alkem • Biocon • Divis Labs • Dr. Reddy’s • IPCA Labs • Laurus Labs • Lupin • Aurobindo Pharma • Sun Pharma • Cipla 💻 IT Sector • HCL Technologies • Infosys • LTIM • TCS • Tech Mahindra • Wipro ⛓️ Steel & Metals • APL Apollo • JSW Steel • Jindal Steel • Tata Steel • Hindalco • L&T 🛢️ Oil & Gas • Reliance Industries • Gujarat Gas • IGL • MGL • Tata Power 🏢 Realty • DLF • Godrej Properties • Lodha • Oberoi Realty • Phoenix Mills 🛋️ Durables & Others • Sona BLW (Sonacoms) • Amber Enterprises • Bata India • Crompton • Dixon Technologies • Titan • ACC Cement • Ambuja Cement • Ultratech Cement • Voltas • Polycab • Mazdock • Asian Paints • Berger Paints 📝 Conclusion This is the final and simplified setup designed for traders looking for clarity and consistency in trading. No complicated indicators or confusing rules—just clean chart action with momentum logic. Please don't trade Intraday and Index options - its a TRAP. Index and Options are hedging tools used by Sharks to secure their capital. Don't use as a tradable script. You will loose 100%. Focus on what you can achieve with their footprints. Faraz T Sr. Equity Research Analyst (Ind, US, UK)
NSE:INFYEducation
by SwingAcademy
4
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 14-Jul-2025📊 BANK NIFTY INTRADAY PLAN – 14 JULY 2025 (15-Min Chart Analysis) Educational breakdown for gap-up, flat, and gap-down opening scenarios. Refer to chart zones carefully before executing trades. 📍 Previous Close: 56,712.85 📌 Gap opening threshold: 200+ points ⏱️ Tip: Allow the first 15–30 minutes for price settlement before acting on levels. 📌 KEY LEVELS TO MONITOR Resistance Zone: 57,164 Last Intraday Resistance: 56,974 Opening Resistance Zone: 56,834 Opening Support/Resistance Zone: 56,688 – 56,640 Buyer's Support Zone: 56,427 – 56,330 Major Support (Breakdown Zone): 56,202 🚀 SCENARIO 1: GAP-UP OPENING (Above 56,834) 📈 Bias: Bullish with caution at upper resistance zones If Bank Nifty opens above 56,834 , expect a direct test of Last Intraday Resistance: 56,974 . Sustainable strength above 56,974 can lead towards 57,164 . This is the final resistance zone where booking profits is advisable. If prices hit 57,164 early in the day, avoid chasing. Wait for a pullback and observe whether 56,974 holds as support. On strong bullish momentum, avoid deep OTM call buying — stick with ATM/ITM options for safer theta exposure. 📊 SCENARIO 2: FLAT OPENING (Near 56,712 – 56,688) 🔄 Bias: Neutral-to-bearish depending on first hour structure If opening is near 56,712 – 56,688 , focus on whether 56,688–56,640 (Opening Support/Resistance Zone) holds. If price breaks and sustains below 56,640, expect a move toward Buyer’s Support Zone: 56,427 – 56,330 . Best setups would come if price consolidates above or below this opening zone for 30–45 minutes before directional confirmation. Wait for breakdown candle confirmation before taking PE trades. Avoid random entries in choppy structure. 📉 SCENARIO 3: GAP-DOWN OPENING (Below 56,502) ⚠️ Bias: Bearish with buy-on-dip potential at key support If opening is below 56,502 , Bank Nifty may directly drift towards Buyer’s Support Zone: 56,427 – 56,330 . Expect sharp reaction candles from this zone. This is where aggressive intraday buyers may step in. If even 56,330 breaks, a further slide towards 56,202 becomes likely — avoid catching falling knives below this level unless there’s a clear structure forming. For conservative traders, avoid counter-trading until price reclaims 56,688 after breakdown. 💡 OPTIONS TRADING – RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS Use ATM or ITM options in fast-moving markets; avoid deep OTM trades as theta eats premium quickly. If VIX is high, apply hedging strategies like vertical spreads to manage risk. Avoid initiating trades based on the first 5-minute candle alone; confirmation is key. Never risk more than 1–2% of total capital on any single trade. Watch Bank Nifty along with Nifty and broader sector indices like PSU Banks for confirmation. Avoid re-entry into the same trade direction after 2:45 PM to reduce event risk. 📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION Bullish Trigger: Above 56,834 → Target 57,164 Neutral Zone: 56,712 – 56,688 → Wait for structure clarity Bearish Trigger: Below 56,640 → Watch 56,427 – 56,330 for bounce Trade with discipline, respect levels, and follow confirmation logic before acting. Options buyers must avoid holding positions post 3 PM if trades are not in favor. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before trading.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
Bullish on BinanceBullish View on Binance Binance has recently experienced a liquidity sweep, which typically indicates a period of market consolidation and the removal of weaker hands. This event often sets the stage for a more stable and sustained upward movement. Here are a few reasons to maintain a bullish outlook on Binance: Strong Market Position: Binance remains one of the largest and most trusted cryptocurrency exchanges globally. Its extensive user base and high trading volumes provide a solid foundation for future growth. Innovative Offerings: Binance continues to innovate with new products and services, such as Binance Smart Chain (BSC), which has gained significant traction in the DeFi space. This innovation attracts more users and increases the platform's utility. Regulatory Compliance: Binance has been proactive in addressing regulatory concerns and enhancing its compliance measures. This approach not only mitigates risks but also builds trust among users and regulators. Strategic Partnerships: Binance's strategic partnerships and acquisitions expand its ecosystem and enhance its market presence. These collaborations often lead to new opportunities and increased adoption. Market Sentiment: Following the liquidity sweep, the market sentiment around Binance appears to be stabilizing. With the weaker hands out, the remaining investors are likely more committed, which can lead to a more gradual and sustained price increase. This perspective highlights the strengths and potential of Binance, suggesting that the platform is well-positioned for future growth despite recent market fluctuations. What are your thoughts on this outlook?
Long
by lifeisbeautifultrade
1
BTC AI Prediction Dashboard - 6h Price Path (12.07.25) BTCUSDT Forecast: Crypticorn AI Prediction Dashboard Projects 6h Price Path (Forward-Only) Forecast timestamp: ~11:55 UTC Timeframe: 15m Prediction horizon: 6 hours Model output: Central estimate (blue line): ~118,048 40% confidence band (light blue): 117,958 – 118,517 80% confidence band (dark blue): 117,476 – 119,229 Volume on signal bar: 53.47 Observations: Price currently near central estimate, within 40% band Continuation likely as long as price remains within 80% band Moves outside 80% = low-probability fade or potential breakout Model does not repaint. Forecast is fixed once published.
by karansgr
4
TRADER PSYCHOLOGY - Overtrading The Silent Killer of ConsistencyTRADER PSYCHOLOGY | EPISODE 1: Overtrading – The Silent Killer of Consistency In the dynamic world of forex trading, success doesn't come from doing more — it comes from doing right. Yet many traders, especially full-time traders in India, unknowingly fall into a common psychological trap that slowly erodes both their capital and confidence: Overtrading. Let’s break it down — what overtrading is, why it happens, and most importantly, how to stop it before it burns through your progress. 🧠 What Is Overtrading in Forex? Overtrading refers to excessive trading – opening too many positions without clear signals or justification based on your strategy. In most cases, it’s driven by emotion, not logic. It usually shows up in two forms: Trading out of boredom or the urge to “do something” Trying to recover from previous losses (a.k.a. revenge trading) Over time, this behavior becomes a habit — and like most bad habits in trading, it’s expensive. ⚠️ Signs You Might Be Overtrading If you answer "yes" to any of these, it’s time to check your discipline: Do you feel uncomfortable when you’re not in a trade? Do you enter trades even when your system says “no trade”? Do you keep switching charts hoping to “find a setup”? After a losing trade, do you jump right back in to recover? Have you lost more to fees/spread than actual price movement? 🧩 Why Indian Traders Often Fall Into Overtrading 🔹 The Action Bias Traders often feel they must "do something" to be productive. In reality, sitting out is a strategy — especially when markets are flat or unclear. 🔹 Pressure to Perform Daily Many traders in India try to generate consistent income from trading — and assume they must win every day. That pressure leads to forcing trades just to “hit targets.” 🔹 Overconfidence After a Winning Streak Success leads to confidence — but too much confidence without structure leads to impulsive trading. One good day shouldn’t convince you that you’ve mastered the market. 🔥 Consequences of Overtrading Overtrading doesn’t just hurt your account — it breaks your mindset. Capital Depletion: Small losses + transaction costs = big drawdown over time Mental Burnout: You feel drained, frustrated, and reactive Lack of System Trust: You abandon good strategies because you never followed them properly Emotional Instability: You start making decisions based on fear or revenge, not analysis ✅ How to Control Overtrading – Practical Steps 1. Limit the Number of Trades Per Day Set a clear rule — e.g., “Maximum 3 trades per day.” This forces you to choose the best setups and ignore mediocre ones. 2. Keep a Simple Trading Journal Write down: Why you took the trade Whether it matched your plan Your emotional state Reviewing this weekly will reveal patterns you never noticed in real time. 3. Block Out Non-Active Trading Hours For Indian traders, this might mean avoiding low-volume periods like mid-Asia session. Focus on London or US overlap hours — when liquidity and volatility are high. 4. Understand: Not Trading Is Still Trading Being flat (no position) is a strategic decision. Markets reward patience, not impatience. 🎯 Final Thoughts Overtrading is not a technical issue — it’s a mindset issue. When you feel the urge to “do something,” remind yourself: the best traders don’t trade all the time. They wait, they observe, and they only act when everything aligns. "The market doesn’t pay you for activity — it pays you for accuracy." If you want to grow consistently, you must master the art of waiting, filtering, and executing with purpose. 📌 Next in the Series: TRADER PSYCHOLOGY | EPISODE 2: FOMO – How Fear of Missing Out Destroys Good Decisions Follow this page to get notified when it drops!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
AFFLE India: Breakout Backed by Earnings📉Technical Overview Post-COVID Surge: From INR 400 pre-COVID, AFL India climbed steadily, forming higher highs and higher lows. Recent Breakout: Just two days ago, it exceeded its recent high and spiked to ₹2,080, now consolidating near ₹1,990. Next Move: If it clears ₹2,080 and sustains above that level, targets are: 🎯Target 1: ₹2,200 🎯Target 2: ₹2,300 🎯Target 3: ₹2,400 Support Zones: ✅ Recent higher-low stop loss near ₹1,800 ✅ If ₹1,800 fails, the next support lies between ₹1,330–₹1,400. A breakdown below this would invalidate the current bullish setup. 💰Q4 FY24 Financial Highlights (vs Q3 FY24 & Q4 FY23) Total Income: ₹602 Cr (→ vs ₹602 Cr; ↑+19% vs ₹506 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹468 Cr (↓–0.4% vs ₹470 Cr; ↑+9% vs ₹430 Cr) Operating Profit: ₹134 Cr (↑+2% vs ₹131 Cr; ↑+37% vs ₹98 Cr) Profit Before Tax: ₹124 Cr (→ vs ₹124 Cr; ↑+24% vs ₹100 Cr) Profit After Tax: ₹103 Cr (↑+3% vs ₹100 Cr; ↑+18% vs ₹87 Cr) Diluted EPS: ₹7.34 (↑+3% vs ₹7.13; ↑+18% vs ₹6.24) ✅ Strong YoY growth across key profitability metrics, especially operating and net profit—good sign of resilient operations. 🔍Fundamental Insights Steady Margin Expansion: Operating margin expanded sequentially and year-over-year, indicating improving operational efficiency. Healthy Balance Sheet: Company maintains a solid cash position with no significant debt—boosting financial flexibility. Dividend History: Announced interim/final dividend (check exchange filings) reflecting steady shareholder returns. Product & Market Position: Strong market presence in polyvinyl chloride (PVC) coatings and insulation materials, catering to growing infrastructure and auto sectors. 📝Conclusion AFL India has demonstrated a classic breakout from a bullish price structure, supported by solid Q4 earnings. The stock now needs to clear and hold above ₹2,080 to confirm upside momentum. If successful, it may rally toward ₹2,400, keeping an eye on strict stop-loss near ₹1,800 or the ₹1,330–₹1,400 zone if support falters. Disclaimer: lnkd.in
NSE:AFFLELong
by ALICEBLUE
Ramco Cement Break Out Strong Is This the Start of a New Rally?📉Technical View: Ramco Cement Limited has formed a beautiful ascending triangle pattern with a strong resistance zone at ₹1080–₹1130, tested since 2021. Today, it broke out and hit a new all-time high of ₹1152, now hovering around ₹1140. If the breakout holds, we may see: 🎯Target 1: ₹1200 🎯Target 2: ₹1240 🎯Target 3: ₹1300 If the stock falls back below ₹1030, the breakout becomes invalid. 💰Q4 FY24 Financial Highlights (vs Q3 FY24 & Q4 FY23) Total Income: ₹2397 Cr (↑+21% vs ₹1983 Cr; ↓–10% vs ₹2678 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹2078 Cr (↑+93% vs ₹1074 Cr; ↓–8% vs ₹2259 Cr) Operating Profits: ₹319 Cr (↑+14% vs ₹279 Cr; ↓–24% vs ₹419 Cr) Profit Before Tax: ₹46 Cr (↓–76% vs ₹191 Cr; ↓–74% vs ₹175 Cr) Profit After Tax: ₹26 Cr (↓–86% vs ₹182 Cr; ↓–80% vs ₹129 Cr) Diluted EPS: ₹1.16 (↓–85% vs ₹7.72; ↓–79% vs ₹5.46) 🧾Despite strong revenue growth and higher operating profits sequentially, sharp cost escalations impacted margins in Q4. 📈Fundamentals & Dividend Insights: ✅ Company continues with capacity expansion in East & South India. ✅ Focus on green energy & cost optimization to improve margin outlook. 💸 Dividend Declared (May 2025): ₹3.50 per share 📝Conclusion: The breakout on charts is significant and supported by top-line improvement. If sustained, the stock may offer strong upside potential, making Ramco Cement one to watch closely. Disclaimer: lnkd.in
NSE:RAMCOCEM
by ALICEBLUE
1
XAUUSD - 1H SHORT (GOLD)FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied... Keep trading Hustle hard Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading. Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Phinics
6
Gujarat Industries Power Bounces Back with Strength📈Technical Analysis Breakout & Correction: After breaking ₹190 resistances in Jan 2024, GIPCL surged to ₹270 by June but later corrected sharply. Strong Demand Base: ₹150 acted as a reliable bottom during the downturn, supporting a rebound into a higher-high, higher-low pattern. Buy Trigger Zone: A breakout above ₹230–₹240 (former resistance) with bullish candlestick confirmation could unlock upward momentum toward: 🎯Target 1: ₹250 🎯Target 2: ₹260 🎯Target 3: ₹270 Support Levels: 🔻Recent higher-low stop-loss around ₹190 🔻₹150 remains the critical demand zone—below this, bullish case weakens 💰Q4 FY24 Financial Highlights (vs Q3 FY24 & Q4 FY23) Total Income: ₹338 Cr (↑+5% vs ₹322 Cr; –9% vs ₹373 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹219 Cr (↑+18% vs ₹196 Cr; –14% vs ₹254 Cr) Operating Profits: ₹119 Cr (↑+34% vs ₹89 Cr; flat YoY) Profit Before Tax: ₹86 Cr (↑+62% vs ₹53 Cr; ↑1% YoY) Profit After Tax: ₹70 Cr (↑+79% vs ₹39 Cr; ↑6% YoY) Diluted EPS: ₹4.49 (↑+73% vs ₹2.59; ↑2% vs ₹4.38) 📌 Sequential growth across the board—profit nearly doubled QoQ and edged higher YoY—signals improved margins and operational discipline. 🔍Fundamental Highlights Dividend Yield ~1.9%: Company increased annual dividend to ₹4.09 per share (40.9%) for FY25 Consistent Dividend Growth: Yield rose steadily over the past decade, backed by a healthy ~29% payout ratio Latest Q4 Net Profit: Up 5.4% QoQ to ₹70 Cr, reflecting resilience in earnings . Strong Cash Flow & Balance Sheet: Installed capacity ~1,184 MW with healthy leverage metrics 🧭Conclusion Gujarat Industries Power is showing promising signs—technically rebounding from ₹150 with strategic breakout levels at ₹230–₹240, and fundamental strengths in earnings growth and dividends. If the ₹230–₹240 zone is breached and confirmed, the stock could rally to ₹270. Disclaimer: lnkd.in
NSE:GIPCL
by ALICEBLUE
#TIMETECHNOAsset: Time Technoplast Ltd (TIMETECHNO) Breakout Level: 452 Potential Target: 525 Stop Loss: 430 (~6%) Timeframe: Short to Medium term Risk to Reward ratio : 1:3 Rationale: Fundamentals - Fundamentally decent stock with the following attributes: * ROCE - 17.4% * ROE - 14.2% * Debt to Equity - 0.25 * Stock PE 25.7 / Industry PE - 26.6 || Stock PBV 3.45 / Industry PBV 2.97 - Company is slightly underpriced * EPS / Revenue - Increasing over last 6 months Technicals - * Consolidating after a high volume up move * Price is surfing the 10/20 DMA * 200 DMA is forming a slightly increasing structure * Multiple timeframe analysis - Not much to be gathered from monthly charts however weekly charts are showing consolidation as well * RS is increasing * ADR 3.1% Market analysis * Forecasted for ~31% further increase * Promoter holding at 51% and remains steady * FIIs/DIIs increasing holding / Not much MF activity * Retail reducing Cons * Momentum is slow and ADR is low This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involve significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. The author is not responsible for any financial losses or damages that may result from the use of this information.
NSE:TIMETECHNOLong
by mdmahanti
#MARKSANSAsset: Marksans Pharma Ltd (MARKSANS) Breakout Level: 266 Potential Target: 325 Stop Loss: 248 Timeframe: Short to Medium term Risk to Reward ratio : 1:3 Rationale: Fundamentals - Fundamentally decent stock with the following attributes: * ROCE - 20.1% * ROE - 16.8% * Debt to Equity - 0.13 * Stock PE 30.3 / Industry PE - 33.5 || Stock PBV 4.68 / Industry PBV 3.42 - Company is slightly overpriced * EPS / Revenue - Increasing over last 6 months Technicals - * Overall structure - Forming a VCP about to breach 200 DMA * Multiple timeframe analysis - Stock poised for up move as the daily / weekly / monthly charts * Increasing momentum / RS * ADR 3.4% Market analysis * Forecasted for ~27% further increase * Promoter holding at 43.87% and remains steady * FIIs/DIIs/Mutual Funds increasing holding * Retail reducing * Good results Cons * Pharma stocks are always a gamble but no earnings to be released in near future This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involve significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. The author is not responsible for any financial losses or damages that may result from the use of this information.
NSE:MARKSANSLong
by mdmahanti
Delta Neutral Strategy – How Pros Make Money Without Direction!Hello Traders! Most traders believe profits only come from predicting market direction. But professionals know a secret: you don’t always need to predict — you can neutralise! Today’s post is about the powerful Delta Neutral Strategy , a technique used by institutions and smart option writers to earn consistently even in sideways or uncertain markets. What is a Delta Neutral Strategy? It’s a position where the overall delta (directional exposure) of your trades is zero . That means, whether the market goes slightly up or down, your position stays unaffected — and you focus on time decay (theta) or volatility crush (vega) to generate profits. Why Pros Love Delta Neutral Trades No Need to Predict Direction: You’re not betting on bullish or bearish trends — you profit from time and volatility. Ideal for Range-Bound Markets: When markets are consolidating, delta neutral setups thrive. Lower Risk, Higher Consistency: With proper hedging, these setups offer smoother equity curves and capital protection. Scalable Strategy: Institutions run massive delta-neutral books — it’s a proven method for large funds. Popular Delta Neutral Setups Short Straddles & Strangles: Collect premium from both Call and Put options — best for low volatility or strong resistance/support zones. Iron Condor: A defined-risk variation that profits in a narrow range, great for weekly expiry strategies. Calendar Spreads: Benefit from time decay differences between near and far expiry options. Risk Management is Key! Delta neutral doesn’t mean zero risk. Use proper stop-loss, position sizing, and adjustment techniques to control loss during trending moves or volatility spikes. Rahul’s Tip “Neutral is powerful — when used right.” Mastering delta-neutral trading can unlock consistent profits without playing guessing games on direction. Just let the premiums work in your favour! Conclusion The Delta Neutral Strategy is not just for pros — even retail traders can learn it and build a consistent, low-stress income model. If you’re tired of predicting every move, maybe it’s time to shift to a strategy where direction doesn’t matter — risk management does . Have you tried delta-neutral trades before? Please share your experience below and let’s grow together!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
2
ACI - Bullish with Inverted head and Shoulder patternACI - Bullish with Inverted head and Shoulder pattern Fundamental Outlook Almost debt free D/E ratio is 0.02, High ICR PE of 36.59, IND PE is 30.44, Slightly expensive. PEG of 0.83, attractive and hence high PE ROE = 19.45% ROCE = 25.75% , ROCE 5yrs = 29.26% Sales growth = -31.72%, Sales Growth 5 yrs 18.65% Profit growth= -45.26%, Profit Growth 5 yrs = 43.87% Promoter holding at 53.44%, slightly reduced in last two qtrs FII holding increased from 10.65% to 10.93% in Mar 2025 Technical Outlook CMP : 652 On daily charts , EMA9 > EMA21 > EMA63, Sentiment is turning bullish Momentum needs to continue to take EMAs above EMA200 at 611 RSI = 70+ , Nearly Overbought Industry Outlook Speciality Chemicals Stock is having high Relative Strength and momentum amongst peers Disclosure 1 - Invested Disclosure 2 - Not SEBI Registered Disclosure 3 - This is Not investment advice. Treat it as educational
NSE:ACILong
by harishnarayan2579
1
AFFLE India: Breakout Backed by Earnings📉 Technical Overview Post-COVID Surge: From INR 400 pre-COVID, AFL India climbed steadily, forming higher highs and higher lows. Recent Breakout: Just two days ago, it exceeded its recent high and spiked to ₹2,080, now consolidating near ₹1,990. Next Move: If it clears ₹2,080 and sustains above that level, targets are: 🎯 Target 1: ₹2,200 🎯 Target 2: ₹2,300 🎯 Target 3: ₹2,400 Support Zones: ✅ Recent higher-low stop loss near ₹1,800 ✅ If ₹1,800 fails, the next support lies between ₹1,330–₹1,400. A breakdown below this would invalidate the current bullish setup. 💰 Q4 FY24 Financial Highlights (vs Q3 FY24 & Q4 FY23) Total Income: ₹602 Cr (→ vs ₹602 Cr; ↑+19% vs ₹506 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹468 Cr (↓–0.4% vs ₹470 Cr; ↑+9% vs ₹430 Cr) Operating Profit: ₹134 Cr (↑+2% vs ₹131 Cr; ↑+37% vs ₹98 Cr) Profit Before Tax: ₹124 Cr (→ vs ₹124 Cr; ↑+24% vs ₹100 Cr) Profit After Tax: ₹103 Cr (↑+3% vs ₹100 Cr; ↑+18% vs ₹87 Cr) Diluted EPS: ₹7.34 (↑+3% vs ₹7.13; ↑+18% vs ₹6.24) ✅ Strong YoY growth across key profitability metrics, especially operating and net profit—good sign of resilient operations. 🔍 Fundamental Insights Steady Margin Expansion: Operating margin expanded sequentially and year-over-year, indicating improving operational efficiency. Healthy Balance Sheet: Company maintains a solid cash position with no significant debt—boosting financial flexibility. Dividend History: Announced interim/final dividend (check exchange filings) reflecting steady shareholder returns. Product & Market Position: Strong market presence in polyvinyl chloride (PVC) coatings and insulation materials, catering to growing infrastructure and auto sectors. 📝 Conclusion AFL India has demonstrated a classic breakout from a bullish price structure, supported by solid Q4 earnings. The stock now needs to clear and hold above ₹2,080 to confirm upside momentum. If successful, it may rally toward ₹2,400, keeping an eye on strict stop-loss near ₹1,800 or the ₹1,330–₹1,400 zone if support falters. ⚠️ Disclaimer This report is for informational use only and not investment advice. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:AFFLELong
by Rupesh_Chidharala
Ramco Cement Break Out Strong Is This the Start of a New Rally ?📉 Technical View: Ramco Cement Limited has formed a beautiful ascending triangle pattern with a strong resistance zone at ₹1080–₹1130, tested since 2021. Today, it broke out and hit a new all-time high of ₹1152, now hovering around ₹1140. If the breakout holds, we may see: 🎯 Target 1: ₹1200 🎯 Target 2: ₹1240 🎯 Target 3: ₹1300 If the stock falls back below ₹1030, the breakout becomes invalid. 💰 Q4 FY24 Financial Highlights (vs Q3 FY24 & Q4 FY23) Total Income: ₹2397 Cr (↑+21% vs ₹1983 Cr; ↓–10% vs ₹2678 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹2078 Cr (↑+93% vs ₹1074 Cr; ↓–8% vs ₹2259 Cr) Operating Profits: ₹319 Cr (↑+14% vs ₹279 Cr; ↓–24% vs ₹419 Cr) Profit Before Tax: ₹46 Cr (↓–76% vs ₹191 Cr; ↓–74% vs ₹175 Cr) Profit After Tax: ₹26 Cr (↓–86% vs ₹182 Cr; ↓–80% vs ₹129 Cr) Diluted EPS: ₹1.16 (↓–85% vs ₹7.72; ↓–79% vs ₹5.46) 🧾Despite strong revenue growth and higher operating profits sequentially, sharp cost escalations impacted margins in Q4. 📈 Fundamentals & Dividend Insights: ✅ Company continues with capacity expansion in East & South India. ✅ Focus on green energy & cost optimization to improve margin outlook. 💸 Dividend Declared (May 2025): ₹3.50 per share 📝 Final Word: The breakout on charts is significant and supported by top-line improvement. If sustained, the stock may offer strong upside potential, making Ramco Cement one to watch closely.
NSE:RAMCOCEMLong
by Rupesh_Chidharala