Cheat Sheet : Investment products at a Glance 🎯1) Cryptocurrencies: Highest Risk, Highest Return :-
There are 3 main types of Cryptocurrencies in the market now which are the most actively traded – Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin. Think of this as a new version of a stock, where the underlying thesis is the idea of decentralized ownership and value. For any other currencies in the market, for eg. USD , it is debt-based and backed by the respective monetary authorities. This also means that they are free to increase or decrease the supply to implement their policies on the market. For cryptocurrencies, they are limited in supply, hence the free market is completely at play here (demand and supply).
2) Stocks: High Risk, Highest Return:-
A stock (also called a share) is a part of ownership in a company. It represents a claim on the company’s assets and earnings and what that entitles you to do is to attend the Annual General Meetings (AGMs) and dividends payout if declared by the company. So essentially by buying into this company, you are betting that the management team and company fundamentals are able to get you more returns.
Total Returns = Capital Appreciation (price increases) + Dividend Payout (cash payouts)
3) Exchange Traded Funds (ETF): High Risk, High Return
Think of ETFs as an investment fund which is traded on a stock market. Essentially when you buy a stock of an ETF, you are buying into a basket of weighted shares. – diversification. Being actively traded also brings many benefits, namely, efficiency as well as liquidity compared to funds where often you would need to go through a long process to buy and sell the holdings. You can get a rather efficient price for your holdings at almost any time.
4) Unit Trust (Mutual Funds): High Risk, High Return
An instrument whereby you pay fund managers a fee of between 0.5% to 2% yearly to manage a pool of money (fund). Essentially their main goal is to outperform the benchmark return Where it is justified if they can outperform the market, they should indeed earn that fee because they know how to navigate and invest in the market better than you.
5) Bonds: Moderate Risk, Moderate Return
A bond is a type of debt instrument where an investor loans money to an entity. The entity can either be a corporate or more commonly government body. The purposes vary but it is mainly to raise funds for a defined period of time at a defined variable or fixed interest rate.
if you loan the amount for a longer period of time, the % interest increases towards the maturity date. As a bondholder, you reserve the right to the future payout at the maturity date. Something interesting about bonds is that they come in various types such as a Bond ETF (where it is a diversified basket of various bonds traded on the market) or a Bond Fund (where it is an actively managed basket of bonds with a purpose to beat the bond index)
6) Endowment: Low Risk, Low Return
An endowment policy is actually dressed up as a life insurance contract designed to pay a lump sum after a specific term (on its ‘maturity’) or on death. Usually, the structure is one which involves regular payments into this endowment fund held by your insurance company which then decides to invest and bring in some returns. Therefore it is a mix of some protection and forced savings plan (with a little better interest than a regular savings account normally)
7) Savings: No Risk, Negative Return
This is the most straightforward of all the different options. Actually, this is not an investment option but it is planted in the illustration above to show you how much you could be losing if you put your money in a normal savings account and not touch it. I think it is clear that the main goal is to have enough rainy day/opportunity funds of about 6 months of monthly expenses in this account. Next, by optimizing for an account which gives you the highest interest rates (although usually ranging from 1.5-2.0%). We actually did a useful comparison of which accounts make the most sense for you.
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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Trend based on FractalFor the same fractal previously my analysis went wrong, because this wasn't a perfect match. But the current chart shows perfect matching of fractal from the month of May- July matching with mid Nov -present.
I my previous post I also mentioned that BTC is bullish so their is a possibility of failure of analysis and that actually happened.
In the current condition also such possibility exits but to lighter side.
Since BTC has crossed it's ATH so their is a lot possibility that most big,smart investors had sold their coins. which decreases the chances of increase in price. Also in previous bull run of 2014 to 2018 around ATH of 2014 BTC had a huge correction.
So considering all the above factors I believe opening short positions are safer than long positions. Also booking some profits and waiting for good buy around support levels is better.
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After a significant drop in Bitcoin price , the price is in a correction wave.
What makes the chart interesting today is that:
. Bitcoin is likely to challenge the 18042 ~ 18227 resistance area.
. A break above 18227 could push the pair to the 19487 area .
. A resistance rejection , however could lead to another retest of the lower supports.
Will the Bitcoin see a rejection from the resistance area or an upside breakout?
No one knows it! We have to wait and see!
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Head and Shoulders - "Learn More Earn More" with usInverted Head and Shoulders Definition:
A head and shoulders pattern is also a trend reversal formation.
It is formed by a Valley (left shoulder), followed by a Lower Valley (head), and then another Higher Valley (right shoulder).
A “ Neckline ” is drawn by connecting the highest points of the two Peaks. Neckline resistance does not need to be strictly horizontal.
. This illustrates that the downward trend is coming to an end .
. When a Head and Shoulders formation is seen in an downtrend, it signifies a major reversal .
. The pattern is confirmed once the price breaches the neckline resistance .
In this example, we can easily see the head and shoulders pattern.
How to Trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern:
ENTRY:
we put an entry order below the neckline.
TARGET:
We can also calculate a target by measuring the high point of the head to the neckline.
This distance is approximately how far the price will move after it breaks the neckline.
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The Falling Wedge Proves Itself Again | Bitcoin In my previous analysis I talked about The falling channel Bitcoin was in. However when I took another look at it, it looked more like a falling wedge. This does not make any difference in the outcome of the price but this shows that TA can be subjective. But that is not what I wanted to talk about.
Falling wedges and channels are my favorite bullish trade setups for any asset and it shows again. The setup is as follows:
1: We spot a falling wedge or channel preferibly on the daily timeframe or higher.
2: The price start going sideways at the bottom of the channel or wedge. This is where you want to buy. Look for a bullish divergence on the rsi on the hourly or maybe even the 15 min chart for an even better setup.
3: Set a stop-loss in case the price breaks support.
4: ?
5: profit
On this chart we can see 2 horizontal white lines above the current price. These are the price targets for this setup.
What happens after BIG-BERAS? Bitcoin TutorialHere in this tutorial/analysis we'll look at accumulation which happens before a next Big leg-up. You can find notes on the chart itself, I'll just explain what happens in terms of Thrust and Momentum during these accumulation phases. White line is line of bears and it measures the momentum (Price difference divided by time taken) of the move while its slant-ness shows the Thrust of the whole move.
In current scenario you can see how bears are losing momentum after every move. To keep this theory validated we should not print any Lower low from here and go sideways for time being to weaken even more bears.
Remember this thesis will work on higher timeframe chart which has gone through a significant price decline over time. BASICALLY USEFUL IN SPOTTING REVERSALS.
You can check out the previous bottom which occurred in Jan-Feb 2019 by sliding left in the chart.
Ethereum Price Analysis: Ethereum Bulls ready to make SignificanWith the growing bitcoin dominance in the cryptoverse, altcoins are facing the fate of Bitcoin’s price action . In the year 2019 value of Bitcoin is more than tripled amid the positive outlook and some mainstream adoption of Cryptocurrency. With the announcement of Facebook’s Libra the market started climbing. The Bitcoin price surge to $13,000 and other altcoin’s value also surged in double-digit, but Bitcoin couldn’t hold the resistance and starting falling breaking all the support levels.
Bitcoin’s freefall pushed the whole market down, the queen of Cryptoverse, Ethereum also lose more than 39% against Bitcoin . After breaking the support level of 0.025 BTC, ETH marked a new historical low of 0.020138 BTC on July 16. Ethereum is struggling to retain its position and dominance in crypto space but the efforts not really falling on the right place.
However, traders are having different opinions when it comes to ETH / BTC price action, some traders are claiming the Eth/Btc price to surge all-time high breaking all the previous records, while other traders believe that ETH/BTC’s outlook is way far from bleak.
According to the technical analysis of Ethereum, Eth has verifiably pursued a generally unsurprising direction against Bitcoin. That is as indicated by Panama B in his recent tweet. On July 25, the analyst exhibited how the ETH/BTC market pursued the very same example during its past two cycles.
Another Trader Pato likewise contends that fractals present a bullish standpoint for ethereum price. Nevertheless, as per their analysis, each cycle has only two perceptible stages: conveyance and markup.
Looking at the previous and current pattern of Eth/Btc, from July 17 to 25, ETH was exchanging inside a horizontal channel, with resistance at ₿0.0216. As indicated by our examination, it is probably going to diminish in the short term before continuing its upward momentum.
A glance at the RSI demonstrates that there has been an exceptionally huge bullish divergence developing. This difference causes us to accept that the ETH cost will start an upturn towards the opposition line. Accordingly, while we expect short term decrease, the price of Ethereum is ought to start a bull run in long term.
Source: Thecoinrepublic.com
HOW TO EXIT ANY TRADE ? ( TATAGLOBAL BEVERAGES BREAKOUT )NSE:TATAGLOBAL
HOW TO EXIT THIS TRADE ?
THERE IS NO TARGET ON THIS TRADE ITS RATHER BASED ON TREND FOLLOWING SYSTEM .
WE HAVE TO CONTINOUSLY SHIFT OUR STOP FOLLOWING THE TREND .
FOR EVERY PRICE MOVEMENT SHIFT YOUR STOP UP UNTIL ITS BREACHED .
HOW TO FIND THE STOP ?
STOP = CMP - 2*(ATR)
FOR EXAMPLE ON THE CURRENT DAY :
CMP - 253.45
ATR - 8.3
STOP = (253.45) - 2*(8.3)
= 253.45 - 16.6
= 236.85
NOW , ON THE NEXT BAR FORMATION THE PRICE AND THE AVERAGE TRUE RANGE WILL CHANGE AND SO WILL YOUR STOP , AND THUS YOUR STOP WILL KEEP SHIFTING IN THE DIRECTION OF THE TREND , NARROWING DOWN YOUR RISK AND KEEPING YOUR PROFIT SAFE .
BTC move coming...BITFINEX:BTCUSD
Time frame: 4 hourly
Sentiment: Bearish
*This is not an advice to buy or sell bitcoin.
Bitcoin Price Action BULLISH +Altcoins Market Update -MOST READ!Good Day LOVE... And it is...
(Note: This is the analysis that I shared before Bitcoins breakout)
Hit LIKE and we start with some phrases coming out of the money people in this reality... And these people have lots of money; let's see what they have to say to newcomers like us (crypto-traders):
"Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria. The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy, and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell." - Sir John Templeton
"If you are not willing to own a stock for 10 years, do not even think about owning it for 10 minutes." - Warren Buffet
"Our favorite holding period is forever." - Warren Buffet (Good thing we agree with Mr. Buffet).
And one more...
"It's not whether you're right or wrong that's important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong." - George Soros
"Markets are constantly in a state of uncertainty and flux and money is made by discounting the obvious and betting on the unexpected." - George Soros
Market corrections, although they can be hard for many, specially beginners like us, are actually very healthy if you believe in the future of Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency... Why?
Because we have to get rid of speculators and weak hands so that our market can keep on growing. So it can be painful now, but trust that growth is on its way... Namaste.
NOW!... Let's to get started with this Bitcoin analysis.
Bitcoin ( BTCUSD ) is looking at a falling wedge , we have good chance to break up but certain conditions need to be met first; we need a strong breakout and to start a close above EMA10 (green line).
I say we have good chances because many bullish signals are starting to build up... So let's take a look at those.
BTCUSD Bullish Signals Showing Up on the chart
Decreasing momentum from the bears.
Bullish divergence showing up on the MACD.
Strong decrease in trading volume .
RSI as oversold as it can get. (I once mentioned that Bitcoin would reverse when the RSI hit oversold... Oversold can be 15, 20, 25... But for Bitcoin this is beyond... take a look at the RSI and notice that it is the lowest that it has gone. This doesn't mean that the bear market is over, but it is surely a signal that we are really, really close - this is what I meant by oversold ).
We have a 'falling wedge' pattern which is bullish . We might break this pattern "passively", sideways, before the move up...
Our main resistance is the wedge trendline as well as EMA10 which hasn't been touched in the past two weeks... I haven't personally seen Bitcoin this depressed since 2014.
But just as you have seen on TV, the quote goes as follow, and it is true...
"Buy on fear, sell on greed."
Chart & Price Action ( BTCUSD )
We find resistance on red rectangles, and yes, we find support on green.
If you are on the bull side, you want a break of the falling wedge followed by EMA10 in order to start a meaningful move up.
While if you are a bear, you would want a break of $3215 in order to continue this bear run.
We also need to consider the possibility of some sideways action in the next few days... Since these markets are highly manipulated (like all markets) then all the signals can easily break, yet we have some really strong bear action, a relief rally is on its way.
And what about the LONGS and SHORTS?
Even though LONGS are increasing massively, 34% in the past two weeks, we have SHORTS near All Time High it is very likely they are about to get squeezed. (76% up since October)
You know how our very simple strategy works... We get to buy low near the bottom, in order to sell high when the price goes up.
It is no good idea to SHORT an altcoin/asset when the price is near a very strong support. Since Bitcoin has deprecated massively, the wiser choice is to go LONG.
Continue reading below as this article goes on...
Time for short term BTC / XBT (Bitcoin) reversal to 200 MA(4hr)We already have trended down significantly for a couple of days now.
Price getting reverted to 200 MA on '4hr' time frame is likely before going down again to test 200 'weekly' MA.
Long entry on Bitmex (XBTUSD) : 3270-3380
Target 1 : 3700-3800
Target 2 :4100-4200
Target 3 optional : 200 MA on 4 hr timeframe