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Btcusdanalysis

Simple reasons for and against a Bitcoin push in near futureThere are so many people coming out with so many idaes about why Bitcoin should reach for New ATH's in March and, to some degree, it is possible though I am not to sure it would be a good idea now. Something will happen in March though, I am sure ogf that, just not to sure what. For me, I like to keep things fairly simple. It has worked for me for many years. So, Lets be simple about this and Look at some basic things First of All, The Dreaded Hack yesterday that took the market into shock - Many ALTS Bled and are Still in shock. Bitcoin took it in its stride and fell by -4.7% - It was Less than many a normal days pull back ! And today, we are Green. This shows MASSIVE under laying strength. The Support Structure of Bitcoin is Huge. So, the the chart. Reasons for a Push higher. The Strength PA has, as just mentioned, is an obvious example of a simple reason to expect a push higher.The Daily MACD is Way down low, pretty well oversold and just ranging there, waiting.... But one thing I want to point out is the trend line that PA is running up. This is the trend line, with origins back 2017, that catapulted PA to the final 2021 ATH. It is strong support, that eventualy broke as the bear market cracked its whip, in 2022. But not before it support PA on two more occasions. So, Can it do it again ? PA does not need to react till we begin getting close to that Apex of the triangle we are now in, Which is in JUNE, But with the daily MACD Low and MACRO acceptance of Bitcoin and Trumps push to welcome Crypto, things may advance Quicker. PA certainly has the ability to move higher in the near future The down side of that is simply, PA would run out of "steam" Which brings me to why we may not see a push till JUNE and even then, that may just be the initial stage of the final push to cycle ATH. ( which I have said many times previously, is likely to be in Q4, maybe Early Q4 ) Look at this WEEKLY MACD chart See where that projected line comes down to the Neutral zone...The date of intersection..JUNE The last time weekly MACD was up here, as you can see, It fell in a very controlled manner and the angle of descent is the same as this projected line. That happened while BTC PA Ranged across for 6 months So, there it is, Nice and simple. JUNE is the best time, or just before, for PA t make a move but it may try some Dances in the time till then It can continue Ranging across in the Price range of 109K to 91K till then, Still making people money and keeping the world happy. We can dive Deeper into all kinds of data, onchain etc, get all techie and confound people with new words...but end of the day, Bitcoin will still do the same thing as it always does. MACD trading is a Latent method, as MACD shows you data after the event.....but it shows Trends.VERY WELL My money is on the trend Range we are currently in, ending in around End of May to June. This will lead to a series of New ATH's over 109K, all the way up to Cycle ATH in Q4 What happens than, That is going to be interesting to see.......but thats another story Stay safe
by Orriginal
BTC#14: Bitcoin Is Resurgent? Bulls Are Back or Just a Scam?💎 💎 💎 As analyzed in the previous article, BTC tested the trendline and then turned down. However, the price did not fall too much and we saw a recovery. Let's plan BINANCE:BTCUSDT the next trade 💎 💎 💎 1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:** 📊 The US dollar index DXY is up more than 0.50% on the day and is currently at 108.40; US regulators are piloting tokenization, using stablecoins as collateral. 🔹The Texas Bitcoin Reserve Act has been submitted to the Senate Finance Committee for consideration; 🔹US Senator from Florida proposes Bitcoin investment bill. 🔹 New bill in Montana, USA allows investment of up to $50 million in Bitcoin; 🚀 Standard Chartered Bank: Bitcoin expected to break record high as US Treasury market environment is favorable for digital assets. 📌 Overall policy implications for Bitcoin have restored optimism to the market. 2️⃣ **Technical analysis:** 🔹 **D Frame**: A green pinbar appeared at the end of the week, bringing positive signals to the market. The current price line is also supportive as the price breaks above the candle wick top. 🔹 **H4 frame**: Although the downtrend has not been broken, the 96K area is still acting as an important support zone. 2 pinbars are a clear sign that we will see a recovery for BINANCE:BTCUSD 🔹 **H1 frame**: The temporary downtrend price structure has been broken. However, the resistance zone of 98k - 100k is also very close. 3️⃣ **Trading plan:* ⛔ The current SW zone has been maintained for quite a long time. We will need to wait for clarity on the price line because the downtrend price structure in the H4 frame has not been broken yet ✅ Currently, looking at the positive price reaction for this area, the market is leaning more towards the bulls. However, establishing a BUY position at this time is riskier. We can wait for the price structure as on the H1 chart to choose a position. 💪 **Good luck trading!**
by TonyL0ng
Bitcoin Weekly Analysis & Market Maker StrategyBitcoin Weekly Analysis & Market Maker Strategy Bitcoin has officially entered the declining phase of the W-cycle. As of now, this downtrend has been in play for seven weeks. However, even within a downtrend, the market does not move in a straight line—there are always liquidity grabs and retracement rallies before the next leg down. These temporary upside corrections are where market makers execute their moves. Key Price Levels to Watch Current retracement zones within this descending structure are projected at $100K, $105K, and $102K, with additional lower adjustment levels expected in the future. This means that Bitcoin is not ready for a sustained uptrend yet. Structurally, BTC needs time to consolidate, accumulate liquidity, and shake out weak hands before the next bullish leg of the W-cycle. This process is estimated to take 2-3 months before BTC resumes its macro uptrend. For now, BTC’s operational range is expected to be between FWB:88K - $99K, forming a base before continuation. Lower zones to monitor for potential deeper corrections include $85K and the $70K range. Market Maker Playbook: Strategic Execution 1️⃣ For Leverage Traders: Shorting the Retracement Peaks This is not the time to long BTC. Instead, focus on: ✅ Short-selling BTC at liquidity zones where price spikes into new highs on lower time frames (H4, D1). ✅ Combining BTC shorts with bearish Altcoins that are following similar corrective structures. ✅ Being highly tactical—market makers trap retail traders in these fakeouts before the next move. 2️⃣ For Spot Traders: Rotational Plays in Altcoins For those trading spot: ✅ Use BTC’s D1 corrective phase to accumulate select Altcoins for short-term swing trades. ✅ Target 30%-50% gains, keep risk tight, and exit before liquidity dries up. ✅ Monitor BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance Index)—once BTC.D tops out and starts declining, rotate into strong Altcoins that are structurally preparing for the 2025 Altcoin supercycle. 3️⃣ Adapting Like a Market Maker The game is about liquidity, not direction. Let the market come to your zones instead of chasing trades. Position with precision. Execute with conviction. And most importantly—think ahead of the herd. 🔥 Bottom Line: This is a trader’s market, not a holder’s market (yet). Stay sharp, position smartly, and capitalize on market inefficiencies like a true market maker.
Short
by rainbow_sniper
BTC#12: Gathering signs from the price line 💎 💎 💎 Is plan #11 helping you make a profit?💎 💎 💎 🔥 As we analyzed the possibilities of BINANCE:BTCUSDT in the previous article, BTC temporarily entered the SW process. And here is the next plan for BINANCE:BTCUSD 🔥 1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:** 📊 The Trump administration has taken the first step in loosening cryptocurrency regulations. The US SEC plans to reduce the cryptocurrency enforcement team "eliminate excessive regulations" on digital assets. 🚀US senators from the state of Ohio have proposed a bill to establish a Bitcoin reserve fund and accept it as a form of payment. 📌The US sovereign wealth fund plan is expected to be implemented within 90 days 2️⃣ **Technical analysis:** 🔹 **D frame**: Looking at D frame, we can see that the downtrend is not over yet. If today's price surpasses yesterday's candle wick, we will see a more optimistic market situation. 🔹 **H4 frame**: The bearish price structure is not over yet. Currently, if the support zone of 96~97K is still waiting for evaluation 🔹 **H1 frame**: You can see that the price is close to the trendline. However, we are in a bearish price structure -> Don't rush to decide on this area. 3️⃣ **Trading plan:** ⛔As you can see on the chart, the downtrend has not been broken yet. We still need to wait for confirmation of the 96~97K area by the price structure. Be patient to wait for a better buying position and less risk ✅ Currently, finding a SELL position is in accordance with the price structure, but this price zone is not suitable for establishing a position. You can wait for the price to touch the larger trendline zone and consider the price reaction in that area to establish a position 💪 **Wish you successful trading!**
by TonyL0ng
BTCUSDT TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋 SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ crypto Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for crypto currency BTC USDT. Crypto traders last time post signals 🚀 hit sucksfully My target 🎯. Now post new analysis setup for crypto BTC USDT still holding it up 💪 trend 📉📈 now if close below and close above technical analysis BTC USDT close below 👇 97k next support strong 🪨💪 level of 89k. Don't close this level pullback up closed above 102k Next target 109. Wait for closing any said it take entry Key Resistance level 102k + 106k + 109k Key Support level 97k - 91k 89k Mr SMC Trading point Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
by SMC-Trading-Point
BTCUSD - HEADED LOWER?Symbol - BTCUSD BTCUSD is currently encountering substantial resistance, with the price being significantly repelled from the 105-107K zone, establishing a strong resistance area. However, this resistance does not yet negate the broader bullish outlook in the market. A complex market structure is unfolding, characterized by both a descending channel and a symmetrical triangle pattern. The interpretation of these formations will depend largely on how market participants perceive them. A potential reaction to the support of the symmetrical triangle could result in a brief rebound; however, considering the prevailing resistance levels, it is anticipated that this rebound will be shallow, with the price likely attempting to move lower. Looking at the descending channel, the price is currently supported by a key level at 1,01,600 which is crucial in preventing further declines. This level will play a decisive role in determining the near-term price action. The primary uncertainty lies in whether this support will hold or be breached. On a fundamental level, the situation remains uncertain and largely dependent on developments in the United States, particularly regarding how political figures, including former President Trump, address cryptocurrencies. This could manifest in various ways: as a bubble, a strategy to influence elections, or simply as rhetorical posturing. Alternatively, it could reflect a genuine, coherent policy direction. Resistance levels: 1,03,500 - 1,05,800 Support levels: 1,01,600 - 99,600 The 1,01,600 level remains the focal point. In the short term, a potential breakdown below this level followed by price consolidation could lead to a decline to the 100-97K range. However, given the presence of the symmetrical triangle, a false breakdown of 101.6K could trigger a brief upward bounce before a subsequent decline towards the 100K level.
OANDA:BTCUSDShort
by akshit_official
1
BTC W and D1 are still in a downward correction phase (82k)BTC W and D1 are still in a downward correction phase before starting a new W cycle. Bitcoin is experiencing short-term upward movements on D1 and H4, followed by a gradual move toward the $77,000–$82,000 range within the next 1–2 weeks. This correction is essential for shifting from USDT to accumulating BTC and Altcoins. If you believe Bitcoin will continue its upward move directly from the $97,000 mark, it might indicate a strategic misunderstanding. Current Strategy: 1. Wait for the next correction phase: Allow BTC to consolidate, and then start buying again as it begins its new W cycle. (Projected entry: around 4–5 weeks from now). 2. Focus on Altcoins with strong upward structures on W and M: Buy Altcoins that are in strong uptrends, capitalize on short-term gains during this phase, and exit after the W correction completes to accumulate again. 3. Short-term trades on H4 and D1: Target quick rotations in Altcoins to maximize fast, short-term profits while waiting for broader market alignment. Adapting these strategies will help align with the market’s current behavior and ensure optimal returns.
Short
by rainbow_sniper
3
BTCUSD TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIANBuddy'S dear friend 👋 SMC Trading Signals Update 🗺🗾 Cryptocurrency Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on BTC USD Trading Signals BTC USD still holding it down trand 107k 3 Time rejected oderbolk ) 105k) rejected again Short Trade now 3H Time Frame 🖼️ target point 99k) Key resistance level 107k) 109k) Kye support level 102k) 101k ) 99k) Mr SMC Trading point Support💫 My hard analysis Setup like and following me 🤝 that star ✨ game 🎮
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
Bitcoin Dominance 1D Setup - Bitcoin D is currently trading at 58.26% - Bitcoin D is going to be the biggest indicator to track when Alts will bounce - Bitcoin D has changed its market structure and can soon shift its bias to bearish once we see a weekly close below 56.18% - 90% of altcoins are struggling to make a comeback and stay strong for long as BTC D and Bitcoin is outperforming ETH since quite long - One thing to notice for all Trader/Investors is going to be ETH/BTC pair, ETH/BTC on a weekly TF has already bottomed out and it has recently reacted strong and at the same time TRUMP's inaugural is tomorrow where we can see that Trump has added ETH worth 5Million $ - Ethereum is going to be the biggest indicator clubbed with ETH/BTC USDT D once these start outperforming and USDT D underperforming ETH will print 50-60% and maybe purge a new high and that will lead to an altcoins rally
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by VKtradesimbalance
Bitcoin 1D Commentary and Bull Run Technical Analysis - Bitcoin is currently trading at 99,779$ - Bitcoin kept behaving choppy and the Price Behaviour was very sluggish in January - We saw BTC printing a candle 4000$, which helped BTC cross 100,000$ after a long time. - Coming back to the current Price Action of BTC we are currently trading at a crucial zone and if we flip a weekly candle close above 102,686$ then the Market structure will change to Bullish - However, if we do not close above 102,000$ then we can see BTC revisiting 85,000-90,000$ - Trump's inaugural is due next week and will bring in a lot of volatility. - I am leaning more on the Bullish side, however, if we don't see supporting Macros then we might have a rough time chopping out and getting distributed the whole month.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by VKtradesimbalance
BTC#2 : Summary of things to watch out for in the current uptren🔥 The previous plan helped you make a profit. Leave a comment and share the joy. 🔥 Today I will continue to bring everyone a perspective on BTC and the next trading plan. 1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:** 📊 🔴US CPI rose slightly more than expected in December as energy costs rose, suggesting inflation is still rising ▫️ In addition, a recovery in Bitcoin was supported by the release of December PPI on Tuesday, which showed weaker-than-expected inflation data. 2️⃣ **Technical analysis:** 🔹 **D Frame**: Yesterday's candle close shows strong market confidence in BTC rising. However, the price has reacted when touching the trendline. This is the area we need to pay attention to 🔹 **H4 frame**: The bearish price structure was broken when the price crossed 968xx and went straight to the trendline, which caused the bullish momentum to slow down somewhat. It is likely that we will need a slight correction to gain momentum to break the resistance area above 🔹 **H1 frame**: Looking at the price structure, you can see more clearly. The bullish wave has not shown any signs of ending, but the important resistance area requires us to be more patient if we want to find profits. 3️⃣ **Trading plan:** ✅ If you want to have a BUY position at the moment, my advice is that we can patiently wait for the price to test the support area of ​​958xx as I marked on the chart. Don't be hasty, when the R:R ratio of the important resistance area is always low. The bullish price structure also needs confirmation by a higher bottom than the previous bottom. FOMO at this time is not a wise choice ⛔ The resistance zone will always make you want to stop the ship. However, wait for the bearish price structure in the small time frame M5. M15 to make sure your judgment is correct. If you have a good position, you should not expect high profits when the bearish price structure is temporarily broken, closing part of the profit when the price touches support and leaving SL positive will be a wise choice. 💪 **Wish you successful trading!** 🚀
by TonyL0ng
Bitcoin following 2013-2017 ATH Fractal UPDATE Welcome to the latest update I have been posting this idea for a long time now and it is still playing out and I am so pleased to see some respected Crypto people now saying the same. To recap Bitcoin Fractal anchored at the 2021 Nov ATH - some people do not like to use that ATH as a real one as there are many reason why they consider it a False one...But I use it as most BTC ATH are in End of year months and it was very simply THE ATH of that cycle. It was the highest point. And as you can see, Current PA has followed it (all be it with a certain tolerance of error) The 2022 period was hard for BTC as we know and so the PA was driven lower but Still survived. We can also see how it took some time for confidence to return fully but.. Here we are now, since Q3 2023, following it again Spot on. And if we are going to continue to do this, we need that -30% Pull back as seen on the Fractel. And we do need it. Weekly MACD is currently turning Bearish and if we want to get to a new ATH in 2025, that MACD needs to be coming off Neutral at best. Should PA Avoid that pullback, and Range for 6 months again, it will begin to fall under the fractel. I am not sure if that is OK or not but given that we have been Above it since Jan 2023, It is not something that would give me confidence. So, for me, I am cautious, waiting / hoping for a Drop that would be swiftly bought back up BUY THE DIP But then, there will come a day where we no longer follow that Fractel because, as Fantastic as it would be to follow to the top and Get a $1.3 Million BTC, I do not think it is something we should expect just yet But then, This IS Bitcoin Anything can happen Be safe
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
3
**Scenario for BTC**1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:** 📊 Nonfarm data last weekend was good for the USD and impacted the interest rate cut policy. It is likely that we will have to wait until June for the next interest rate cut. 📉 Current market sentiment is affected by this information, plus the recent sharp increase in BTC price has made many people doubt the momentum to continue to increase to a higher price range. Therefore, the increase has temporarily slowed down. 2️⃣ **Technical analysis:** 🔹 **Week frame:** Last week closed not very optimistically when the price reacted badly at the resistance zone of 101k~104k. 🔹 **Frame D:** The price structure is also not good when there are 2 peaks with the latter peak lower than the previous peak. The price is approaching the support zone but there is no clear reaction, it is likely to adjust to a lower support zone. 🔹 **H4 frame:** Based on the Zigzag line, we can see the classic head-and-shoulders pattern. At this time, we should not catch the bottom when the price has created a lower peak, showing that the market sentiment is no longer interested in the possibility of BTC's price increase. 3️⃣ **Trading plan:** ✅ If you have a **SELL** order in a good position, congratulations! 🎉 You can absolutely wait for a better profit when BTC is likely to break the current support zone to reach the next support zone of 85~86xxx. ⛔ **Absolutely do not BUY** at the present time, when the price structure shows a short-term downtrend. 💪 **Wish you successful trading!** 🚀
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by TonyL0ng
Bitcoin near Cycle Top ? Or is it really different this time ?I am a man that likes to look at Both sides of a Story, even more so when it involves trading with with large or small amounts of money And I am even more carious with Bitcoin this Cycle. The Adoption of Corporations that can Buy and amass large amounts of Bitcoin is Highly likely to change how Bitcoin works. So many "Experts" deny this. And the proof that this is or not happening, is simply by looking at the Price Action, past and present. That is what I do almost everyday since 2015 and charting it here on TV for the last 6 years. And I have found THIS last night. And I have to show you and explain this. ** The Figures in the Logarithmic chart below are approximate and yet near enough to accurately reflect the idea I am about to present. This chart is Bitcoin PA since The LOW of November 2009 From that Low to cycle ATH is A and the same principle is applied to the following Cycle Low to ATH. The Data shown is the % difference between a cycle Low to Cycle High as compared to the previous cycle. For example. Cycle B was 95.8% smaller than Cycle A As we can easily see, as BTC increases in price, it becomes harder to make PA move higher. More money is required and so that "ATH point" Arc becomes Flatter each cycle. As a result, the Negative % difference is reduced each time. And we are near that ball park now in 2025 at - 73.2% The average of the previous 3 cycles is - 84.7 % - the first was an exceptional year and so if we remove that, we have an average of - 79,1 % But I am looking at the simple fact that we went from - 80.1 % to - 78.2 % in 2 cycles, that are in a channel that PA has been in ever since 2014 ATH. ( I have explained this channel in other posts ) That is a - 2.1 % change and so if we apply that to the previous -78.2 %, we may expect a final figure of - 76.1 % This still Gives PA some room to move before a final ATH - POSSIBLY Some are Expecting a 200K figure for this cycle ATH. If that happens, it would destroy this pattern and be a -40% difference to the previous cycle. What is VERY important to understand here is that, if we do make it over 120K, it does begin to make things Different. And the higher we go, the Bigger that difference to the Pattern we all now accept as the default 4 year cycle. So, in conclusion, there is a very real possibility that we have reached cycle Top, or very near, in 3 years. We did this in 2021 with a March ATH but we all now know, we went to November 2021 before the final ATH was reached, sticking to the 4 cycle and Keeping that % Different model explained above. If that happens again, we will not see another ATH till later in 2025 and even then, it will not be a lot greater than the last, repeating what happened in 2021. BUT - we do not know the impact of Corporate usage yet. Should this drive us over and beyond the 120K Mark,Things Will be different and then, referring to the past could be prone to error. THAT would be True Price discovery. This is all numerical FACT as can be seen on the chart My personnel opinion is that we do have more to come this cycle but maybe not till later in the year. It depends on market sentiment and that is likely to be Cool if the USA FED refuses to lower interest rates further this year, The First FED meeting of the year is 28 29 Jan We may be near a "Classic" cycle Top, and we may well be on the edge of creating a New Cycle pattern We may not. Only Time will tell and YOU need to make plans for Either reality Trade Safe, be cautious and LOVE LIFE
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
1
One reason why I am Still VERY bullish on Bitcoin This chart is very simple and it explains itself very well The upper trend line is formed by going through January candles only ( I have used a Line Chart here for Visibility but rtust me, that line goes through January Candles ) And, as you can see, when PA is above this trend line, it is en-route to ATH It also helps us see where we are in realtion to previous Januaries. And, If I am honest, we are Lower than we should be,. If we look in the channel, the Jan before PA crossed the trend line,going to the 2017 ATH, PA was 114% above the lower Trendline. The January before crossing the trendline en-route to 2021 ATH, PA was 214% above the Lower trendline - It has to be said, this cycle was blown out of proportion by excessive Leverage etc and, for me, this led to a premature ATH in March. The Real ATH are Late in the year, Nov or December. This January, 2025, PA is only 87% above that Lower trendline. But despite the Low level, we do seem to be entering a Much more friendly Crypto Finacial world now and I do expect PA to pick up. If we were to remain under the rising line of resistance, coming off the initial Wave higher in 2023, we hit the upper trendline around 2nd Half of summer. 2025 and at a price around 256K usdt The ATH will be above this line and we will have to wait to see how much higher it goes. This is the GREEN YEAR in Bitcoin Cycles. Lets go Please Note, I do expect the first quarter to be possibly not so friendly. We have to wait an see but by this time next year, I am hoping we will have had the ATH Time will tell
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BTC - At Support once againAfter touching earlier predicted first target of 102 price has fallen more than expected and holding at previous proven support levels. In my view BTC is once again at support and some fresh buying or accumulation is visible. For whatever reason price could dance for big players to buy more at support levels. Its popular idea to buy back whatever was partially booked at 102 levels. we cannot avoid this and we might see partial selling above 102K again and buying below 97K. Higher the price move up most will keep booking profits and more the price move low more buying is the trend now. Jan is the month we are waiting for banana spike to take price to 125 or above. Hope it happens once new president takes charge in office. As days near to this even I expect more bullish move in BTC. I do not see WW3 in Jan 2025.
Long
by venkatfx
$BTC Forms Triple Bottom Pattern - Key Levels to Watch!#Bitcoin has formed a triple bottom pattern. To validate this pattern, BTC needs to hold the $91,500 level. A potential scenario is a bounce from the oversold RSI area, which could lead to a retest of $101,750 or even a breakout toward the $115,000 region. However, if BTC loses the $91,500 level, the next major support is at $90,000. A breakdown below that could see BTC dipping to $85,000, $80,000, or even $75,000. Let's see how the price action unfolds! long - 93000$ short - 90000$
BINANCE:BTCUSD.P
by crypto_vulture_signals
BTCUSD TRADING POINT UPDATE READ >THE CAPTAINBuddy'S dear friend 👋 BTC USD Trading Signals 🗺️🗾 Update crypto trader BTC list week already take a break support level 91k back up trand list week post signals 🚀 analysis Done ✅ for target 🎯 point ☝️ now post again for New analysis technical patterns looks again buying zone right now 108k target 🎯💯 Analysis target we'll see 108k Resistance level 108k Support ✨ 99k Mr SMC Trading point Support 💫 My hard analysis Setup like And Following 🤝 me that star ✨ game 🎮
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point