Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Trend based on FractalFor the same fractal previously my analysis went wrong, because this wasn't a perfect match. But the current chart shows perfect matching of fractal from the month of May- July matching with mid Nov -present.
I my previous post I also mentioned that BTC is bullish so their is a possibility of failure of analysis and that actually happened.
In the current condition also such possibility exits but to lighter side.
Since BTC has crossed it's ATH so their is a lot possibility that most big,smart investors had sold their coins. which decreases the chances of increase in price. Also in previous bull run of 2014 to 2018 around ATH of 2014 BTC had a huge correction.
So considering all the above factors I believe opening short positions are safer than long positions. Also booking some profits and waiting for good buy around support levels is better.
Btcusdlong
The Falling Wedge Proves Itself Again | Bitcoin In my previous analysis I talked about The falling channel Bitcoin was in. However when I took another look at it, it looked more like a falling wedge. This does not make any difference in the outcome of the price but this shows that TA can be subjective. But that is not what I wanted to talk about.
Falling wedges and channels are my favorite bullish trade setups for any asset and it shows again. The setup is as follows:
1: We spot a falling wedge or channel preferibly on the daily timeframe or higher.
2: The price start going sideways at the bottom of the channel or wedge. This is where you want to buy. Look for a bullish divergence on the rsi on the hourly or maybe even the 15 min chart for an even better setup.
3: Set a stop-loss in case the price breaks support.
4: ?
5: profit
On this chart we can see 2 horizontal white lines above the current price. These are the price targets for this setup.
Time for short term BTC / XBT (Bitcoin) reversal to 200 MA(4hr)We already have trended down significantly for a couple of days now.
Price getting reverted to 200 MA on '4hr' time frame is likely before going down again to test 200 'weekly' MA.
Long entry on Bitmex (XBTUSD) : 3270-3380
Target 1 : 3700-3800
Target 2 :4100-4200
Target 3 optional : 200 MA on 4 hr timeframe