CNX SMALL CAP- BULL BULL BULL EVERYWHERENIfty Smallcap- Timeline analysis
1. Quarterly- Cup and handle breakout was done on July 2023 for which the target of 21900 is still pending. So Bullish in Quarterly
2. Monthly- 17844 and 18459 acted as a good support due to which Oct month candle didnt go beyond that. Retracement to the August month low is over. With the support of 18600 small cap index will move further up. So bullish in monthly
3. Weekly- Formed a double bottom structure with the target of 21700. If the weekly candle closes above 18459 tomorrow, then the upmove is possilbe until 19222 initially. Because everytime good upmove is seen once it touches 18459. Breaking the strong resitance of 19222 will take it to the target of 21700 - 21900. So bullish on weekly
4. Daily - Daily candle closed strongly above the support of 18459 which ensures the upmove until 19222 initially and then to 21700-21900 after it breaks the strong resistance of 19640. So bullish on Daily.
5. Hourly- The high to low and lower high to lower low is negated since the candle closed above 18459. Now low to high and higher low is formed which ensured bullish in hourly too.
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SmallMidCap CrackdownImpact that you see in smallmidcap indices
1. SmallCap 100 index has been travelling 1 way route since Feb '23. ~92%.
2. SmallCap 100 index reached 161.8% fib level.
3. SEBI has expressed worry over the substantial 92% increase in small-cap fund inflows during the first 10 months of this fiscal year, compared to the entire previous fiscal year. This surge has prompted SEBI to demand enhanced disclosures and investor protection policies from mutual funds.
4. Recently read a post where how many days it would take smallcap funds to create liquidity to settle on redemption(firesale)
If symmetrical triangle breaks down in this week closure, 11.95% height of the triangle could lead to 61.8% fib level of ~13646.35. If breakdown & Mkt is still bullish then 38.2% fib level support is at 14737.50. It's good upto this.
CNX Small Cap 100 Top or Breakout Retest?CNXSmallcap. If current week low doesn't go below 12386 and close above 12650-12680, then this week could be considered as retest. Historically there were 4 occurrences in Weekly timeframe where such fall went below previous week, index dragged down. Current week low, close and next week is crucial
1. Dec 31, '07 - Jan 07, '08
2. Jan 08, '18 - Jan 15, '18
3. Oct 11, '21 - Oct 18, '21 (1st Top)
4. Jan 10, '22 - Jan 17, '22 (Double Top after 3 months)
5. Sep 4, '23 - Sep 11, '23 (Current end of the week low, close is crucial)