naraykln

SmallMidCap Crackdown

naraykln Updated   
NSE:CNXSMALLCAP   Nifty SmallCap 100 Index
Impact that you see in smallmidcap indices
1. SmallCap 100 index has been travelling 1 way route since Feb '23. ~92%.
2. SmallCap 100 index reached 161.8% fib level.
3. SEBI has expressed worry over the substantial 92% increase in small-cap fund inflows during the first 10 months of this fiscal year, compared to the entire previous fiscal year. This surge has prompted SEBI to demand enhanced disclosures and investor protection policies from mutual funds.
4. Recently read a post where how many days it would take smallcap funds to create liquidity to settle on redemption(firesale)

If symmetrical triangle breaks down in this week closure, 11.95% height of the triangle could lead to 61.8% fib level of ~13646.35. If breakdown & Mkt is still bullish then 38.2% fib level support is at 14737.50. It's good upto this.
Comment:
Nifty Small cap 100 looks like gonna break down from parallel channel. I don't feel like this would be similar to Oct 2023 revival. I suspect even a 5% drop in index could've impact of around 15-20% in individual good quality stocks. Last 5 weekly candles are red. Shooting star. Already 8% down slowly from ATH. Fib retracement levels are shown in chart

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