Beautiful Wolfe wave trade with good Risk to Reward ratio may give a good start for the NEW YEAR 2017 for my trading mates. Wishing you all to be prosperous.
MACD giving a positive divergence and Gold is also looking oversold in terms of the distance from the 200DMA. Good chance that we get a solid rally. Good mean reversion at play here.
USOIL looking out to break the strong resistance of 51.65 level. Once if the price break the 51.65 level the further uptrend may come upto 61.15 level.
It's a short term recommendation.
Trade:
Buy above = 51.70
Target 1 = 56.60
Target 2 = 61.05
Stop Loss = 45.00
Total Reward Points = 9.35
Risk Points = 6.7
Metal stocks have shown long term weakness with respect to BSE500, with support at 6000 levels. Another interesting point to note is that the index has short upward cycles but downward trends tend to drag out for 2 to 3 times the timelines of the upward trends, notable exception being the trend between 2005 and 2008.
Both the MACD and the relative strength...
After the successful retest, no harm in getting bullish Natural Gas.
Seasonal tendencies are Favourable during this time.
BUT one thing that is concerning me is Commercials getting Bearish.
But that can happen and its OK.
Still my advice is to keep a strict stop loss and TRAIL it.
Its been observed that gold have breakout from the symmetrical pattern. One can look for buying opportunity to buy above 1138 for the target of 1150-1154.
Gap UP on Monday, Distribution and the kind of price action of last 2 Days, I am staying away from this market for the time being. i will be interested in going long only between 55-60 Level.
Gold - XAUUSD is Possibily forming an Ending Diagonal in a Wave c of a-b-c correction which will also potentially complete Wave B or 2 of larger Wave Count completing the correction of over all rally from 1150 to 1375. Gold has corrected in a 3 wave decline and is not around 61.8 fib retracement levels. MACD is giving Divergence on smaller timeframes 240/60 giving...
Not much to add to Last Weeks Analysis, except that i have also added Open Interest to the chart.
You can well see that Open Interest is at Record High for Last 7 Years.
In fact it is at all time record high for last 25 Years.
So be Careful. With Bearish COT Commercials and record high OI,
My Bearish call has a solid backing and reasoning
