Commodities
Gold 1H – Can Gold Hold Above 4247 as Powell Takes the Stage?XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold holds firm near ₹4,230, with traders cautiously awaiting U.S. Retail Sales data and Fed Chair Powell’s remarks later today.
After a series of softer inflation reports, market sentiment has tilted mildly dovish — yet the U.S. dollar remains steady as investors hesitate to price in early rate cuts.
The Fed’s tone today will be critical: a hawkish Powell could trigger short-term profit-taking on gold, while any dovish signals may reignite safe-haven bids.
Expect choppy intraday movement with liquidity sweeps around key zones before a confirmed directional move emerges.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• The structure remains bullish, confirmed by previous Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a Change of Character (ChoCH) earlier in the week.
• Price is now approaching a premium supply zone at 4247–4249, where potential short-term sell reactions could appear before retracement.
• Below, the discount demand zone at 4184–4186 aligns with prior BOS support and acts as a high-probability reaccumulation area.
• If price revisits the buy zone and forms bullish confirmation on M15, continuation toward new highs around 4260+ is favored.
🔴 Sell Setup: 4247 – 4249
SL: 4255 – 4257
TP targets: 4210 → 4195
🟢 Buy Setup: 4184 – 4186
SL: 4174
TP targets: 4210 → 4245 → 4260+
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for M15 BOS/ChoCH confirmation before executing either setup.
• Watch for volatility spikes around Powell’s speech and U.S. Retail Sales release — spreads may widen.
• Consider partial profits at intra-day liquidity points and trail stops once structure confirms.
✅ Summary
XAUUSD maintains its bullish structure but may face a liquidity sweep above 4247–4249 before a deeper retracement into 4184–4186.
Institutional activity could drive accumulation near the discount zone if macro data supports dovish sentiment.
The intraday bias remains “Buy the Dip”, with tactical sells possible at premium resistance for short-term scalps.
Gold 1H – Slight Correction or Bullish Reaccumulation Ahead?XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold extends its rebound near ₹4 250 as traders weigh the recent uptick in U.S. Treasury yields against growing expectations of a softer Federal Reserve stance.
After the latest mixed U.S. economic data, markets are leaning toward a mildly dovish outlook — rate-cut bets for early 2026 are gaining traction, while the dollar remains steady.
Today’s focus centers on U.S. housing-starts and jobless-claims data, which could steer short-term volatility.
A stronger-than-expected report may trigger temporary selling pressure on gold, while weaker figures could revive safe-haven demand and extend the rally toward ₹4 380 +.
Expect liquidity hunts before any clear directional move, as institutional players refine positions near the week’s range extremes.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Market structure remains bullish, with previous Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming continuation after the earlier accumulation phase.
• A short-term Change of Character (ChoCH) signals corrective movement — likely a liquidity sweep before the next bullish leg.
• Liquidity resting below ₹4 200 has already been taken, aligning with the discount zone around ₹4 196 – ₹4 198.
• A potential re-accumulation is forming; buyers may look for confirmation (M15 BOS/ChoCH) inside this demand zone.
• Upside liquidity targets cluster near ₹4 375 – ₹4 380, coinciding with a premium supply zone where sellers might re-enter.
🔴 Sell Setup
Entry: 4378 – 4376
Stop-Loss: 4386
Take-Profit Targets: 4325 → 4260
🟢 Buy Setup
Entry: 4196 – 4198
Stop-Loss: 4190
Take-Profit Targets: 4250 → 4370 → 4380 +
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for lower-timeframe BOS/ChoCH confirmation before execution.
• Be cautious around U.S. macro data releases — spreads and volatility can widen temporarily.
• Use partial take-profits at nearby liquidity zones and trail stops once market structure confirms continuation.
✅ Summary
Gold maintains its bullish bias above ₹4 200 after sweeping liquidity.
A short-term correction could retest ₹4 196 – ₹4 198 for fresh buy entries, while the broader trend remains upward.
Only a clean structural break below ₹4 190 would invalidate the bullish continuation scenario.
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XAU/USD (Gold) chart: Timeframe: 30 minutes...XAU/USD (Gold) chart:
Timeframe: 30 minutes
Price action: Price bounced strongly from an ascending trendline (blue line).
The green zone above represents resistance (previous swing highs).
There’s a red arrow showing an expected upward move to a target point.
🔍 Analysis
Current price: around $4,269
The target point line my marked is near $4,365–$4,375 region.
That corresponds to the previous resistance zone (green box).
🎯 Target summary
Entry zone: around $4,260–$4,270 (near the trendline bounce)
Target: $4,365 – $4,375
Upside potential: roughly +100 to +110 points (~2.5%)
Stop-loss suggestion: below the trendline, around $4,230 (to protect against breakdown)
Gold 1H – Bullish Rebound After Strong Correction🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold is attempting to rebound near $4,320 after a sharp correction earlier this week, as traders weigh the recent pullback in U.S. Treasury yields and renewed expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve tone.
Markets are now positioning ahead of key U.S. housing and manufacturing data, which could shape short-term sentiment for both the dollar and real yields.
• Softer economic numbers may reinforce the case for policy easing in early 2026, supporting gold’s safe-haven appeal.
• Conversely, stronger data could momentarily pressure XAUUSD, yet the broader uptrend remains intact amid central-bank accumulation and geopolitical tension.
Expect a liquidity-driven environment, with price potentially sweeping lower before reclaiming bullish momentum.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure: Overall bias remains bullish following consecutive Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a confirmed Change of Character (ChoCH) indicating corrective retracement.
• Discount Zone: The $4,270–$4,272 demand area sits within the discount zone of the recent range (swing low to 4454 high), ideal for re-accumulation.
• Liquidity Sweep: Recent wicks near $4,300 suggest liquidity has been collected, potentially setting up for another bullish push.
• Premium Zone: Upside liquidity clusters near $4,454–$4,452, aligning with a premium supply area where short-term selling may appear.
🔴 Sell Setup
• Entry: 4454 – 4452
• Stop-Loss: 4463
• Take-Profit Targets: 4400 → 4330
🟢 Buy Setup
• Entry: 4270 – 4272
• Stop-Loss: 4260
• Take-Profit Targets: 4340 → 4380 → 4450 +
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for M15 BOS/ChoCH confirmation before triggering entries.
• Avoid entries during high-volatility windows around U.S. data releases.
• Secure partial profits near intermediate liquidity zones, trail stops after BOS confirmation.
✅ Summary
Gold maintains a bullish re-accumulation structure following a healthy correction.
A retest into the discount zone around $4,270 offers potential long entries targeting the premium zone near $4,450+.
Only a decisive break below $4,260 would invalidate the intraday bullish scenario.
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GBPUSD - 15M (IDEA)FOREXCOM:GBPUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!
ETHUSD (Ethereum / U.S. Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe...ETHUSD (Ethereum / U.S. Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe, here’s what stands out technically:
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🧭 Chart Overview
The price has broken above a descending trendline, which is a bullish breakout signal.
The breakout is supported by Ichimoku confirmation — price is trading above the cloud, and the cloud ahead is turning bullish.
There’s a clear retest of the breakout zone (around $3,950–$3,970), where buyers stepped in again.
My marked a target point on the chart near the $4,225–$4,250 region.
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🔍 Technical Breakdown
Current price: ~$4,040
Support zone: $3,950–$3,970 (retest area / Kijun + trendline retest)
Immediate resistance: $4,100–$4,150
Target zone (as shown): $4,220–$4,250
That corresponds closely to the measured move from the prior consolidation or inverse head-and-shoulders structure on the left side.
---
🎯 Expected Target
✅ Primary target: $4,225–$4,250
(aligns with your marked “target point” and measured breakout projection)
⚠ Stop-loss suggestion (for risk control): Below $3,930
(to stay safe if it dips back into the cloud)
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Gold Retracement After 200-Point Fall — Watch for a Rejection!Price Action in Focus | Short Setup on Key Resistance Zone
Gold (XAUUSD) posted a sharp 200-point drop from the all-time high at 4380 on Friday. The current move looks like a technical retracement, not a reversal — a classic dead-cat bounce scenario? 🐈📉
📍 Key Resistance Zone: 4280 – 4300
Price is now testing this zone, which previously acted as a breakdown level. If sellers step in here, we could see another leg lower.
🔍 Short Bias Setup (Not Financial Advice):
🧭 Sell Zone: 4280 – 4300
❌ Invalidation (SL): Above 4321
🎯 Targets: 4241 and 4221
💬 Watching for bearish confirmation before executing — candle wicks, volume spike, or RSI divergence could seal the deal.
⚠️ This is a technical idea, not financial advice. Always manage risk and confirm with your own strategy.
🔔 Follow for live chart updates, breakdowns & strategy threads!
Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
USOIL Near Final Leg USOIL is forming a clear corrective pattern inside a falling channel. Price is currently in the final leg of wave (5) of (C), suggesting one more dip is likely before reversal.
The downside target lies near 5,000–5,200 , where support from the channel base aligns. Once this level holds, a strong bullish reversal is expected, marking the end of the correction and the start of a new upward trend.
Stay Tuned!
@Money_Dictators :)
Crude Oil (WTI) Technical Analysis - October 17, 2025Current Price and OverviewAs
WTI Crude Oil is trading at 56.88 USD, down 0.58 (-1.01%) on the day. The market remains firmly in a bearish trend, with prices continuing to decline amid broader impulse wave C within a multi-month downtrend that began in July. Recent trading saw a brief rebound after testing support near 56.35, providing some positive momentum and easing oversold conditions, but the overall short-term outlook stays bearish. A bearish gap has formed below the key psychological level of 60.00, accelerating the downside.The technical summary across major indicators points to a Strong Sell, with no buy signals from moving averages and MACD confirming downward pressure.
Support and Resistance LevelsKey
Support Levels: 56.35 (immediate, recently tested), 49.5. (next major, deeper target zone 27 - 15 ).
Key Resistance Levels: 57.60–60.50 (Gold Zone, recent breakdown),
65.00 (major overhead resistance,
Price Action and Scenarios
Bearish Scenario (Primary): Prices have broken key support at 57.35 and the down-channel trendline, confirming continuation of wave C. Expect further downside to 55.20, with potential extension to 49.83 if momentum builds. Short positions are favoured on rebounds to resistance
Bullish Scenario ( Still Not Confirmed)
This analysis is based on hourly and daily charts; always consider fundamental factors like OPEC decisions or US inventory reports for confirmation.
Disclaimer
High Risk Investment
Trading or investing in assets like crypto, equity, or commodities carries high risk and may not suit all investors.
Analysis on this channel uses recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources for informational and educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing or trading.
This channel, Render With Me, is not responsible for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from using or relying on this information.
USDCHF (U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc) 1-hour chart... USDCHF (U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc) 1-hour chart.
Here’s what I can read from my setup:
The price has been in a downtrend, shown by the descending trendline.
There’s a bullish breakout attempt from that trendline.
Two target points are marked above the current price — both inside and above the Ichimoku Cloud (suggesting possible bullish recovery targets).
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Current price: ≈ 0.7921
First target point: ≈ 0.7965 – 0.7970
Second (main) target point: ≈ 0.8010 – 0.8020
🎯 Targets:
1. TP1: 0.7965 → retest of lower cloud resistance
2. TP2: 0.8010 → full cloud breakout / upper structure resistance
⚔ Suggested Stop-Loss (for buy setup):
Below recent swing low → around 0.7900 – 0.7910
✅ Summary:
Direction Entry (approx) Target 1 Target 2 Stop Loss
BUY 0.7920 0.7965 0.8010 0.7900
XAUUSD (Gold/USD) chart (1-hour timeframe)... XAUUSD (Gold/USD) chart (1-hour timeframe), here’s a breakdown of what’s visible:
Price has broken below an ascending trendline and dropped into the Ichimoku Cloud.
My marked target point below, around the 4,100–4,120 zone.
Current price: ≈ 4,217 USD.
Cloud support seems to extend down to roughly 4,100–4,080, and the horizontal support line drawn near the bottom confirms that area as the next target/support level.
✅ Technical Summary (from chart):
Trend: Short-term bearish correction.
Immediate support/target: ≈ 4,100–4,080.
Resistance: Around 4,260–4,285 (top of cloud / broken trendline retest).
📉 Target:
> 🎯 4,100 – 4,080 zone
That’s my likely downside target if price continues following the bearish momentum and cloud support break setup.
GOLD / XAUUSD – DAILY PLAN (Oct 17, 2025)🧭 MARKET CONTEXT
Main timeframe: M30 / H1
Current structure remains bullish, forming clear HH – HL sequences.
After a strong rally, price is now in a retracement phase toward a nearby demand zone aligned with the ascending trendline.
No sign of structure break yet (no BOS below the previous HL).
📈 PRIMARY SCENARIO (BUY SETUP)
➤ Entry Zone 1:
BUY GOLD 4280 – 4278
Stop Loss: 4275
Target 1: 4335
Target 2: 4350 (new HH)
Reason: This is a Bullish Order Block (OB) and BOS retest zone, aligned with the rising trendline.
Expecting a strong bullish reaction (rejection candle or engulfing bar) before triggering the buy limit.
➤ Entry Zone 2 (CP Setup – Confirmation Point)
BUY 4247 – 4245
Stop Loss: 4239
Target: 4300 / 4330 / 4350
Reason: This is the final demand zone near the main trendline, confluence of prior BOS + SSS (Structure Shift Support).
If price breaks below 4280 without reaction, patiently wait for confirmation around CP zone.
⚠️ ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO (STRUCTURE FAILURE)
If price closes below 4235 on M30, the bullish structure is invalidated.
→ The buy plan is canceled — wait for a pullback sell setup from 4280–4300 resistance.
If the buy stop loss is hit at 4239, monitor 4200 zone as the next H4 demand area.
Introduction to MCX Commodity Trading1. What is Commodity Trading?
Commodity trading refers to the buying and selling of raw materials or primary products, typically classified into two broad categories:
Hard Commodities: Natural resources that are mined or extracted, such as gold, silver, crude oil, and copper.
Soft Commodities: Agricultural products or livestock, including sugar, cotton, wheat, and coffee.
Unlike equities, commodities are traded for their intrinsic value and are influenced by supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical factors, and global economic trends. Trading commodities allows investors not only to profit from price movements but also to hedge against inflation and currency fluctuations.
2. Overview of MCX (Multi Commodity Exchange)
The Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited (MCX) is the largest commodity derivatives exchange in India. Established in 2003, MCX provides a platform for trading commodity futures, ensuring transparency, liquidity, and regulatory oversight. Key features of MCX include:
Diverse Commodity Offerings: MCX trades in bullion, metals, energy, and agricultural commodities.
Futures Contracts: Investors primarily trade in futures contracts, which are standardized agreements to buy or sell a specific quantity of a commodity at a predetermined price on a future date.
Regulated Environment: MCX is regulated by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), ensuring market integrity and investor protection.
Efficient Settlement System: MCX employs secure clearing and settlement mechanisms, reducing counterparty risk.
By providing a robust marketplace, MCX has played a critical role in bringing Indian commodity trading in line with global standards.
3. Understanding Commodity Futures
Unlike spot trading, where commodities are bought or sold for immediate delivery, futures contracts allow traders to speculate on price movements without necessarily owning the physical commodity. Key components of a futures contract include:
Contract Size: Defines the quantity of the commodity covered.
Expiry Date: The date on which the contract is settled.
Lot Size: Standardized unit of trading to maintain market uniformity.
Margin Requirement: Traders must deposit a percentage of the contract value as margin, which ensures commitment and reduces default risk.
Example:
If a trader buys a gold futures contract at ₹50,000 per 10 grams for delivery in June, the trader is obligated to purchase 10 grams of gold at that price in June. However, most traders close their positions before expiry to avoid physical delivery.
4. Categories of Commodities on MCX
MCX offers trading in several categories:
4.1 Bullion
Gold and Silver are the most traded commodities.
Prices are influenced by global demand, currency fluctuations, inflation, and geopolitical tensions.
4.2 Base Metals
Commodities such as copper, aluminum, zinc, and nickel.
Prices are affected by industrial demand, mining output, and global economic conditions.
4.3 Energy
Includes crude oil, natural gas, and other petroleum products.
Heavily influenced by global supply-demand, OPEC policies, and geopolitical factors.
4.4 Agricultural Commodities
Examples: Cotton, cardamom, chana, and sugar.
Influenced by monsoon patterns, crop yields, government policies, and international trade.
5. Participants in MCX Commodity Trading
Understanding the key players helps in interpreting market movements:
Hedgers: Typically producers or consumers of commodities who aim to reduce the risk of price fluctuations.
Example: A gold jeweler hedging against rising gold prices.
Speculators: Traders who seek to profit from price changes without intending to take physical delivery.
Arbitrageurs: Exploit price differences between commodities on different exchanges or in spot versus futures markets.
Institutional Investors: Banks, mutual funds, and hedge funds often participate to diversify portfolios.
6. Advantages of Trading on MCX
Trading on MCX provides multiple benefits:
Transparency: Prices and volumes are publicly available, reducing market manipulation.
Liquidity: High trading volumes make entering and exiting positions easier.
Hedging Opportunities: Producers and consumers can lock in prices, mitigating risk.
Leverage: Traders can control large contract values with relatively small margin deposits.
Diversification: Exposure to commodities reduces portfolio dependency on equities and bonds.
Price Discovery: MCX plays a key role in determining fair market prices through supply-demand mechanisms.
7. Risks in Commodity Trading
Despite its opportunities, commodity trading involves significant risks:
Market Risk: Prices can fluctuate sharply due to global events, weather, or policy changes.
Leverage Risk: While margin trading amplifies profits, it also magnifies losses.
Liquidity Risk: Some commodities may have lower trading volumes, making it difficult to exit positions.
Regulatory Risk: Changes in government policies, taxes, or import/export duties can impact prices.
Operational Risk: Technical glitches, delays, or errors in trading platforms may affect execution.
A prudent trader combines technical, fundamental, and geopolitical analysis to navigate these risks.
8. How to Start Trading on MCX
Step 1: Open a Trading Account
Investors need to open a commodity trading account with a registered broker. Required documents include PAN card, Aadhaar, bank proof, and KYC verification.
Step 2: Choose Commodities
Select commodities based on market research, risk appetite, and trading strategies.
Step 3: Deposit Margin
A minimum margin, defined as a percentage of the contract value, must be deposited to initiate trades.
Step 4: Place Orders
Orders can be placed using online trading platforms, specifying the quantity, contract month, and price.
Step 5: Monitor Positions
Regularly track market movements, news, and global events that influence commodity prices.
Step 6: Close Positions
Traders can either settle at contract expiry or close positions early to book profits or limit losses.
9. Trading Strategies for MCX Commodities
Successful trading involves strategy and discipline. Common approaches include:
9.1 Technical Analysis
Uses historical price patterns, charts, and indicators like moving averages, RSI, and MACD.
Helps identify entry and exit points.
9.2 Fundamental Analysis
Examines supply-demand factors, geopolitical events, government policies, and global trends.
Particularly important for agricultural commodities and energy markets.
9.3 Hedging
Aims to minimize potential losses for businesses exposed to commodity price fluctuations.
Example: A farmer selling wheat futures to secure prices before harvest.
9.4 Arbitrage
Exploits price differences between spot and futures markets or across exchanges.
Requires quick execution and access to multiple trading venues.
10. Factors Influencing Commodity Prices
Commodity prices are driven by multiple interrelated factors:
Global Economic Conditions: Growth or slowdown impacts industrial metals, energy, and demand for commodities.
Currency Movements: Commodities priced in USD are sensitive to exchange rate fluctuations.
Geopolitical Events: Wars, sanctions, and political instability can create volatility.
Weather and Climate: Agricultural commodities are heavily dependent on rainfall, monsoons, and climate change.
Government Policies: Subsidies, import/export restrictions, and price controls affect domestic prices.
Market Speculation: Traders’ sentiment and speculative positions can influence short-term price movements.
11. Regulatory Framework
MCX operates under SEBI regulations and follows strict compliance norms:
Position Limits: Prevent market manipulation by limiting maximum allowable contracts.
Margin Requirements: Ensure traders have sufficient funds to cover potential losses.
Contract Specifications: Standardize trading to maintain uniformity.
Dispute Resolution: Provides mechanisms for grievances and market disputes.
This robust framework enhances investor confidence and promotes fair trading.
12. Technology in MCX Trading
Modern commodity trading relies heavily on technology:
Online Trading Platforms: Allow seamless access to live market data and order execution.
Algorithmic Trading: High-frequency and automated trading based on pre-set rules.
Risk Management Systems: Track margin requirements, position limits, and real-time exposure.
Mobile Applications: Provide flexibility to trade and monitor positions on the go.
Technology has made MCX accessible to both retail and institutional traders.
13. Conclusion
MCX commodity trading offers an exciting avenue for diversification, profit-making, and hedging against market uncertainties. By understanding the nuances of futures contracts, market dynamics, and trading strategies, investors can navigate the complex world of commodities effectively. While risks exist, informed decision-making, disciplined strategies, and continuous learning can make commodity trading a rewarding endeavor.
For beginners, it is recommended to start with smaller positions, focus on learning market patterns, and gradually expand exposure. For professionals, leveraging advanced analytical tools and global insights can enhance profitability. Ultimately, MCX trading embodies a blend of knowledge, strategy, and market acumen, opening doors to opportunities that extend beyond traditional investment avenues.
XAUUSD Builds Upward PressureGold continues to trade within a strong upward trajectory,showing consistent momentum and firm buyer engagement.The market structure indicates ongoing accumulation,with price maintaining stability after minor corrective movements.Buy-side activity remains dominant,reflecting confidence among institutional participants as the metal sustains its trend within an orderly channel.While short-term pullbacks may occur for liquidity rebalancing,the broader outlook remains decisively bullish as long as momentum persists and demand continues to support higher valuations.
Now the Buyer's trap on XAUUSD/Gold 16/10/25Last video, it was quite evident about the seller trap, and it gave a good 60USD run.
Now comes the example of a buyer's trap.
Technically, DXY is also set for a bullish run, hence prices are expected to pull back in GOLD/XAUUSD now.
The strategy for both sides of the trading plan is shared in the video.
Gold Bulls Unstoppable Another All-Time High! Gold continues its unstoppable march north, printing fresh all time highs almost daily. Despite a brief shakeout over the past couple of sessions, buyers stepped in aggressively, confirming strong demand on every dip.
From a technical perspective, the uptrend remains firmly intact. Price is comfortably holding above the 4,200 zone, which now acts as immediate support. The volume profile shows a significant cluster around 4,190–4,205, indicating strong buying interest in this area this is the level to watch for short term structure.
On the fundamental side, the macro backdrop continues to support gold: geopolitical tensions, central bank accumulation, and lingering inflation expectations all add fuel to the rally.
Bulls are clearly in control, and as long as gold sustains above 4,200, the path of remains up also watch two rising trendline carefully in case of breakdown we can expect pullback ., the move is getting a bit extended, so we have be cautious with fresh entries at these stretched levels.
XAUUSD | Gold Holds Firm as Buyers Dominate the MarketGold continues to demonstrate a strong and orderly bullish structure, with momentum sustained by a combination of market confidence and macroeconomic positioning. The metal’s consistent upward drive reflects ongoing demand for safety amid lingering inflationary concerns and uncertainty surrounding global economic recovery. Institutional accumulation remains visible, suggesting that investors are positioning ahead of potential policy adjustments and currency fluctuations.
The recent moderation phase appears to be a controlled pause rather than weakness, indicating that buyers are maintaining control while the market digests prior gains. Should current stability in yields persist and geopolitical tensions remain elevated, gold could extend its advance in the medium term, reaffirming its role as a key hedge within diversified portfolios.
Gold or Equities? A Crucial Turning Point Ahead#NIFTY/GOLD Ratio (Monthly Timeframe)
📊 What Is the NIFTY/GOLD Ratio?
NIFTY/GOLD ratio measures how the Indian equity market (#NIFTY) performs relative to #Gold over time.
Ratio ↑ = NIFTY outperforming Gold
Ratio ↓ = Gold outperforming NIFTY
📍 Current Market Structure
The ratio is now:
Approaching the long-term rising yellow trendline (dynamic support)
Converging with horizontal price structure zones (white dotted lines)
This confluence forms a major support zone — a potential bounce region .
📈 Trend Insight:
✅ Primary Trend: Long-term uptrend (favoring NIFTY)
⚠️ Short-Term: At a critical decision point
🧭 Scenarios:
✅ Bounce from support → NIFTY may begin outperforming Gold again
❌ Breakdown below support → Gold likely continues its outperformance
⏳ Neutral for now → Wait for confirmation (bullish reversal candle or momentum shift)
🏁 Conclusion:
This is a key macro-info tip for asset allocation and long-term investing.
Use this ratio to guide shifts between equity and gold exposure.
#NiftyVsGold | #GoldVsEquity | #AssetAllocation | #InvestSmart | #Nifty50 | #GoldInvestment | #TechnicalAnalysis | #MarketTrends | #WealthBuilding | #LongTermInvesting
Markets Brace for U.S. Retail Sales & Fed Volatility XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold prices hover near ₹4,190 after an early-week rally as traders brace for U.S. Retail Sales data and a new round of Federal Reserve speeches later today.
Recent gains were fueled by softer inflation readings, yet the dollar remains resilient amid hawkish undertones from Fed officials. Markets are now balancing between expectations of slower growth and persistent rate-cut caution.
A stronger-than-expected Retail Sales print could pressure gold temporarily, but any dovish signal from Fed speakers may quickly restore bullish momentum. Expect liquidity hunts on both sides before a confirmed direction forms.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure remains bullish after multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a recent Change of Character (ChoCH) confirmation.
• Price is approaching the Premium Zone (4211–4209) — a potential liquidity sweep area where short-term sellers may react.
• Below, the H1 FVG Buy Zone (4145–4149) offers a discount entry aligned with recent BOS support and previous mitigation points.
• Maintaining a bullish bias while awaiting clean reaction within the FVG zone is key for continuation toward new highs.
🔴 Sell Setup: 4211 – 4209
SL: 4218
TP targets: 4190 → 4175 → 4155
🟢 Buy Setup: 4145 – 4147
SL: 4138
TP targets: 4170 → 4190 → 4220+
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for M15 ChoCH/BOS confirmation before entry to avoid false breaks.
• Expect high volatility around Retail Sales and Fed remarks — spread widening is likely.
• Partial take-profits near intra-day liquidity points are recommended.
✅ Summary
XAUUSD remains bullish on structure but faces a potential liquidity grab around 4211–4209 before retracing into the H1 FVG buy zone (4145–4149).
Smart money may seek to accumulate long positions after a controlled pullback, especially if Fed commentary echoes a slower policy tightening path.
Intraday bias leans Buy the Dip, with caution around macro-driven volatility spikes.
USD/CHF (U.S. Dollar vs. Swiss Franc) on the 4-hour timeframe...USD/CHF (U.S. Dollar vs. Swiss Franc) on the 4-hour timeframe.
From my chart :
The price is moving in an ascending channel.
A green support zone has been marked near 0.8000 – 0.8020.
The upper trendline of the channel is marked as the “Target Point.”
That line aligns approximately with 0.8080 – 0.8090 on the chart.
📈 Potential target area: 0.8080 – 0.8090
⚠ Note:
This is a technical projection based on the channel breakout/continuation pattern visible on my chart.
Price can fluctuate due to news or macroeconomic factors.
Always manage risk with stop loss — in this chart, a stop might logically sit below the support zone (~0.8000).
AUD/USD on a 30-minute timeframe (based on the visible labels)..AUD/USD on a 30-minute timeframe (based on the visible labels). Let’s break it down carefully:
The pair AUD/USD is currently trading around 0.6518.
The chart shows a bullish breakout above a descending trendline.
The green zone marked looks like a demand/support zone.
A target line is already drawn near the top of the chart, labeled “Target Point”.
🔍 Based on the chart:
The “Target Point” appears to be at approximately 0.6600 – 0.6605 level.
🧭 Summary:
Type Level
Entry Zone Around 0.6500–0.6520
Target (TP) 0.6600 – 0.6605
Stop Loss (SL) Likely below the green zone, around 0.6480
💡 Interpretation:
This setup seems to be a breakout + retest trade idea where the expectation is that AUD/USD will move upward about 80–100 pips toward the 0.6600 target area.
SOL/USDT chart pattern..SOL/USDT
The current price is around 205.5 USDT.
There’s a clear ascending trendline (blue line).
A breakout setup is indicated, with a marked “Target Point” near the top of the chart.
That target level appears to be around 230 USDT — the horizontal green line my labeled “Target Point.”
✅ Summary:
Current price: ≈ 205.5
Target price: ≈ 230 USDT
Upside potential: about +12% from the current level.
⚠ Note: Watch for support around 200–202 USDT (the Ichimoku cloud zone). If SOL holds that level, continuation toward 230 looks likely. A breakdown below the trendline could invalidate the move.






















