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Gold 27/08: Smart Money Targets 3405 or Sweeps 3355?Gold SMC Daily Plan – 27/08 Market Context (SMC View): Price is consolidating around 3378, holding the liquidity trendline with multiple BOS and ChoCH, indicating strong smart money activity. Key resistance: 3393–3406 (supply & liquidity pool). Key support: 3352–3358 (demand zone) with an Order Block (OB) near 3325. A possible liquidity sweep could happen above 3405 or below 3355 before confirming the next trend move. 📊 Key Liquidity Zones & Entries ✅ Sell Zone: 3402–3406 SL: 3410 TP: 3390 → 3380 → 3360 ✅ Buy Zone 1: 3352–3358 SL: 3345 TP: 3360 → 3375 → 3385 → 3395 ✅ Buy Zone 2 (intraday pullback): 3376–3380 SL: 3370 TP: 3385 → 3395 → 3405 SMC Scenarios for 27/08 Scenario 1 – Liquidity Grab at Resistance: If price sweeps 3402–3406, look for fake breakout signals. Short from this zone with the TP levels mentioned above. Scenario 2 – Buy on Dip (Demand Zone): If price retraces deeper to 3352–3358, wait for bullish confirmation to go long. If price respects the trend and holds 3376–3380, consider intraday buy opportunities. SMC Notes: Focus on buying dips unless a liquidity grab occurs first at 3402–3406. Keep an eye on price action near the trendline & OB at 3325 for potential high-probability reversal setups.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold Holds Trendline All Eyes on 3400 & GDP DataGold continues to move higher , on H4 we can see that price respecting the rising trendline support that has been guiding the move since last week’s breakout. Yesterday, bulls made an attempt to push through the 3400 level, but failed to sustain above it, confirming this zone as the immediate resistance for now. On the downside, supports remain unchanged first at the previous week high (3378), followed by the weekly pivot (3353). For today, the key focus will be on the GDP data release, which could trigger volatility and provide the needed catalyst for gold to either break above 3400–3410 resistance or slide back towards its support zones. Until then, price action suggests a slow but steady bullish bias, with sellers only likely to gain momentum if the trendline breaks decisively.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
1
XAU/USD – Bulls Eye $3,400 as Technicals and Ichimoku Support HoHello friends, on the H1 chart, gold has rebounded sharply from the $3,360 support and is now testing the $3,380–$3,385 resistance zone. The FVG areas at $3,375 and $3,380 are creating short-term barriers, but a clean break above them could reinforce the uptrend. The Ichimoku cloud remains supportive, with Senkou Span A staying above Span B, confirming that buyers still hold control. Trading volumes also remain healthy, indicating strong buying interest. As long as the price stays above $3,360–$3,375, this zone should act as a solid base for further gains. From the news side, traders await the US PCE index, a key inflation gauge. A stronger-than-expected reading could weigh on the dollar and boost gold further. Meanwhile, ongoing geopolitical tensions continue to fuel safe-haven demand. If gold breaks $3,385, the next target is $3,400, and possibly higher levels. On the flip side, any pullbacks to $3,375–$3,360 would likely be healthy corrections to strengthen the bullish structure. Do you believe gold is ready to break $3,385 and head toward $3,400?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
3
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 27, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 27, 2025: Gold prices remain in the rising price channel, trading opportunities for investors. Basic news: CB Consumer Confidence Report (August) is 97.4, higher than the forecast of 96.4 but lower than last month's 98.7. News that President Trump decided to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook still has a strong impact on the US Dollar, creating upward momentum for gold. Technical analysis: Gold prices continue to fluctuate in the rising price channel, however, after approaching the 3395 area, gold prices are currently adjusting. MA lines, liquidity zones combined with Fib frames and price channels are still supporting the upward momentum for gold prices. We continue to wait for transactions in these support areas. There is a high possibility that spot gold prices will approach the 3410 - 3420 area and continue to be held. Important price zones today: 3358 - 3363 and 3347 - 3352. Today's trading trend: BUY. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3358 - 3360 SL 3355 TP 3363 - 3373 - 3393 - 3410. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3347 - 3349 SL 3344 TP 3352 - 3362 - 3382 - 3400. Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3418 - 3420 SL 3423 TP 3415 - 3405 - 3395 - 3380 (small volume). Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
OANDA:XAUUSD
by pigout
XAU/USD H4 – Short-Term Cool-Off, Gap Fill in FocusHello everyone, After the Jackson Hole symposium, Fed Chair Jerome Powell highlighted potential rate cuts but stressed a cautious approach due to rising employment risks. This stance boosted September rate cut expectations in the interest rate derivatives market. Early this week, the USD rebounded slightly and gold paused around 3,355–3,360 as profit-taking followed last week’s spike – a typical “good news priced in, then back to balance” reaction. This week, U.S. economic data such as New Home Sales, Durable Goods, Consumer Confidence, preliminary GDP, Personal Income/Spending, and especially Core PCE will act as key catalysts, potentially amplifying short-term gold volatility. Last week’s rally was absorbed near the 3,372–3,378 supply/FVG zone (long wicks, lower closes), while a bullish FVG 3,355–3,345 formed below – often attracting price back to equilibrium before the next directional move. With price still below the cloud edge and candles weakening after the spike, the short-term bias is bearish. I favor a retracement toward 3,355 → 3,345, possibly extending to 3,340–3,338 to fully fill the gap. What’s your take on this scenario? Share your thoughts below.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmmaChartist
3
Gold Plan 27/08 – Captain Vincent (IN)XAU/USD – Trump strengthens control over the FED, Gold consolidates near Storm Breaker 1. News Wave 🌍 Trump: “We will soon have majority control at the FED. Miran may be moved to another position with a longer term.” Trump: “I already have a candidate in mind to replace FED Governor L. Cook.” US Senate: Preparing hearings next week for Trump’s nominee – S. Miran . 👉 Message: Trump is consolidating power within the FED. Market fears FED losing independence → USD volatility rises, Gold benefits from safe-haven flows . 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ Gold is approaching Storm Breaker 🌊 (3400 – 3402) , overlapping with resistance 3392 – 3406 → profit-taking likely . On H1, multiple FVGs remain unfilled around 3355 & 3330 → Price may correct to retest these supports before choosing direction. Intraday bias: Range-bound → Sell at resistance, short Buy at supports. 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙 Resistance (Kháng cự): 3406 – 3400 – 3392 (Storm Breaker 🌊) Support (Hỗ trợ): 3372 (Minor Shield 🛡️) 3355 (Quick Boarding 🚤 – Buy Scalp Zone) 3344 (Intermediate Shield 🛡️) 3330 (Golden Harbor 🏝️ – Main Buy Zone) 4. Trade Scenarios 📌 🔻 SELL at Storm Breaker 🌊 (Priority) Entry: 3400 – 3402 SL: 3408 TP: 3395 → 3393 → 3389 → 3386 → 33xx 🚤 BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding Entry: 3353 – 3355 SL: 3345 TP: 3358 → 3361 → 3363 → 33xx 🏝️ BUY at Golden Harbor (Strong Support) Entry: 3330 – 3332 SL: 3325 TP: 3335 → 3338 → 3341 → 33xx 5. Captain’s Note ⚓ "Gold today faces Storm Breaker 🌊 above, but multiple shields of support remain below. Smart traders will scalp quickly at Quick Boarding 🚤, or patiently wait for Golden Harbor 🏝️ to anchor safely."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
USOIL Bearish Reversal & Selling OpportunityUSOIL (WTI Crude Oil) – Bearish Setup Analysis The chart shows a clear bearish structure with multiple confirmations: Trendline Rejection & Break: Price rejected from the upper rejection line and later broke the rising trendline, confirming bearish momentum. FVG (Fair Value Gap) Selling Zone: Price retested the imbalance zone (63.53–63.94), creating a strong selling opportunity. EMA Confluence: Both the 70 EMA and 200 EMA are above the price, acting as dynamic resistance, supporting bearish bias. Market Structure Shift (MSS): Breakdown of higher lows signals shift to bearish structure. Target: Downside continuation expected towards 61.65, the next liquidity and support zone. Stop Loss: Above 63.94 (selling zone invalidation). 📉 Strategy: Look for sell entries around 63.53–63.94 zone, with target at 61.65 and stop loss above 63.94.
TVC:USOILShort
by MR_JOHN144
Weekly High Turns Support: Can Gold Push Higher?We have seen a good momentum / continuation since Friday’s sharp rally and is now holding firm above the previous week’s high at 3378, turning it into immediate support. The weekly pivot at 3353 adds another solid support layer below, while the rising trendline support is keeping the bullish structure intact. As long as these levels hold, buyers seem in control, and the price action suggests that bulls are not ready to give up recent gains. On the upside, the next hurdle is around the 3400–3410 zone, which could act as near-term resistance. For sellers, any breakdown below the pivot (3353) would be a high-probability setup for downside pressure, while a break below the trendline would be a lower-probability but still valid bearish signal. Until then, the path of least resistance remains tilted to the upside with steady bullish momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
1
Gold – Rejection from Trendline ResistanceHello everyone, Gold faced rejection from the ascending trendline resistance and formed a bearish setup. A short position has been taken with stop above the recent swing high and target near 3339 support zone. Key Points: Trendline Resistance: Price failed to sustain above the trendline. Risk Management: Stop placed above 3391 to protect against false breakouts. Target Zone: First support lies near 3339 where price may react. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TraderRahulPal
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 26, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 26, 2025: Gold surged after Trump's move, initial short-term bullish technical conditions in the trend of accumulation status. Basic news: Gold surged after Trump's move, US President Donald Trump decided to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook due to allegations that she falsified mortgage documents. This news affected the US Dollar index to fall sharply at the beginning of today's Asian trading session, while spot gold prices increased by nearly 35 USD. Technical analysis: Gold prices returned to the support area of ​​3345 - 3350 after increasing sharply as previously predicted. The rising price channel on the H1 frame has been formed, currently the MA lines and liquidity zones are still supporting the increase in gold prices. In addition, the Fib frames are still effective trading areas. Gold prices may approach the area of ​​3410 - 3420 this week. Important price zones today: 3353 - 3358 and 3340 - 3345. Today's trading trend: BUY. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3353 - 3355 SL 3350 TP 3358 - 3368 - 3388 - 3410. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3340 - 3342 SL 3338 TP 3345 - 3355 - 3375 - 3400. Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3420 - 3422 SL 3425 TP 3417 - 3410 - 3400 - 3390 (small volume). Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
OANDA:XAUUSD
by pigout
Gold Faces Resistance at 3.380–3.385, Correction LikelyLooking at the H2 XAU/USD chart, gold is struggling around 3.380–3.385 USD, where the supply FVG aligns with the upper Kumo edge. Recent candles indicate sellers are dominating: short bodies, long wicks, and lack of volume suggest buyers lack momentum. With a series of lower highs and a flat Ichimoku cloud ahead, a pullback appears likely. Immediate support is near 3.355 USD, with a further decline possible toward 3.345 USD.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmmaChartist
Trade Management Systems: Comparing Two Methods 📌 Method 1 – Normal SL & TP Entry → Open trade at ENTRY. Stop Loss (SL) → Fixed (below ENTRY for buy / above ENTRY for sell). Take Profits (TP1 & TP2) → Both active. When TP1 is hit → Book partial position. SL stays the same → risk remains on the rest of the trade. ✅ Advantage: More potential profit if market extends to TP2. ❌ Risk: If price reverses after TP1, the remaining position can still hit SL → reducing overall profit. 📌 Method 2 – Breakeven Stop (SL = ENTRY after TP1) Entry → Open trade at ENTRY. SL initially fixed. When TP1 is hit → Book 50% profit, then move SL to ENTRY (breakeven). Remaining position: If TP2 is hit → book extra profit. If price falls back → exit at ENTRY (no loss). ✅ Advantage: Trade becomes risk-free after TP1. ❌ Risk: Sometimes market hits TP1 then pulls back, causing breakeven exit → missing bigger gains compared to Method 1. 📌 Enhanced System (Your Version with Fixed Risk) Initial SL → Always set at 2R. TP1 → When reached, book 50% profit (+1R on half). Then move SL to ENTRY (breakeven) for the remaining 50%. 📊 Possible Outcomes: Scenario Result Price hits SL (before TP1) –2R loss Price hits TP1, then reverses to ENTRY +0.5R profit Price hits TP1, then TP2 +2R total profit ⚖️ Summary Method 1 (Normal SL & TP) → More profit potential, but carries more risk on the remaining position. Method 2 (SL = ENTRY after TP1) → Safer, risk-free after TP1, but sometimes cuts off bigger gains. Your Enhanced Version → A defensive system: Losers are limited (–2R). Small winners (+0.5R) happen often. Big winners (+2R) balance out losses. 💡 With consistent discipline, even a 40–45% win rate can make this system profitable.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Aj1t4
Gold Plan 26/08 – Captain VincentXAU/USD – Trump’s surprise move sparks a Gold rally. What’s the next scenario? 1. News Wave 🌍 Trump unexpectedly dismissed FED Governor L. Cook , citing “irresponsible recent financial decisions.” 👉 A political–monetary shock that pushed Gold up by more than 30 points from the 3,350 – 3,352 zone, as investors feared internal instability at the FED could weaken the USD. Safe-haven demand has been activated, but Gold is unlikely to “fly in a straight line.” The market often requires a pullback to fill liquidity gaps before a clear trend develops. 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ Price bounced sharply from Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3350 – 3342) – a key support area. Currently, Gold is testing Storm Breaker 🌊 (Resistance 3384 – 3400) , a liquidity cluster → potential for profit-taking sell orders. On H1, multiple FVGs formed around 3363 and 3355 → price may retrace to “fill the gap” before continuing. 👉 Intraday bias: Prioritise Sell at resistance, but watch for short Buy Scalp setups at Quick Boarding 🚤 (3342 – 3340) . 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙 Storm Breaker 🌊 (Main Resistance): 3384 – 3400 Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp): 3342 – 3340 | SL 3333 | TP: 3345 → 3347 → 3350 → 33xx Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone): 3350 – 3342 FVG Zones: Around 3363 & 3355 (short-term price magnets) 4. Trade Scenarios 📌 🔻 SELL at Storm Breaker 🌊 (Priority) Entry: 3400 – 3402 SL: 3408 TP: 3395 → 3390 → 33xx 🔺 BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤 Entry: 3342 – 3340 SL: 3333 TP: 3345 → 3347 → 3350 → 33xx 5. Captain’s Note ⚓ "Trump’s news wave pushed Gold like an unexpected headwind. But Storm Breaker 🌊 ahead may unleash rough seas. The wise will anchor at Golden Harbor 🏝️ , while the bold may ride Quick Boarding 🚤 for fast scalps. And remember: today’s golden sea depends on the sharks at the helm."
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
GOLD sell setup Gold (XAUUSD) – Short Trade Idea 🔑 Key Observations: Strong Rejection Zone: Price faced rejection at the previous high (highlighted in purple supply zone). Multiple attempts to break above failed, confirming seller presence. Volume Confirmation: The sharp bullish push from the bottom was met with equally strong selling pressure at the top. Volume spikes indicate distribution at higher levels. Market Structure: Clear lower high formation after rejection. Entry aligns with a retracement into the supply zone. 📊 Trade Setup: Entry: Short near supply zone (around 3374–3379). Stop-Loss: Above recent swing high (3380 area). Target: 3356 level (previous demand zone). Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:5 (high probability setup). ⚠️ Risk Management: Always use a stop-loss to protect capital. Consider trailing stop-loss once trade moves in favor, to lock in profits. If price breaks and closes above supply, setup becomes invalid.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Aj1t4
1
Gold SMC Playbook 25/08 – Liquidity Hunt at 3400 & 3325Market Context (SMC Perspective) Price is consolidating near 3367 after a strong impulsive move upward and is currently reacting around a minor resistance area. Clear ChoCH and BOS patterns indicate bullish intent on the H1 timeframe; however, liquidity pools still lie below 3343 and 3325 (buy-side liquidity). Imbalance zones spotted: 3343–3341 and a deeper order block zone around 3325–3323. Key Levels Resistance (Supply): 3372 – 3382 – 3389 Support (Demand): 3350 – 3342 – 3325 SMC Bias: Mixed – Opportunities to Play Both Long & Short Around Liquidity 🔴 SELL Scenario (Short-Term Liquidity Grab) Entry: 3400 – 3403 (above local liquidity sweep) Stop Loss: 3408 Targets: TP1: 3390 (partial) TP2: 3380 TP3: 3370 TP4: 3360 (opens 3350 liquidity zone) Rationale: Expecting a sweep above 3400 into supply, followed by mitigation and a sell-off. 🟢 BUY Scenario (Bullish Continuation from Demand OB) Entry 1 (Scalp Buy): 3343 – 3341 (reactive zone), SL 3337 Entry 2 (Main OB): 3325 – 3323 (strong OB), SL 3319 Targets: TP1: 3330 TP2: 3340 TP3: 3350 TP4: 3370 (opens 3390 liquidity) Rationale: Price may retrace below 3340 to fill imbalance and mitigate the 3325 OB before the next bullish leg. Execution Plan (SMC Flow): Wait for a liquidity sweep at highs or lows (above 3400 or below 3325) with proper confirmation. Look for ChoCH and BOS signals on LTF (M5–M15) around OB zones for entry confirmation. Trail stop loss after TP1 is hit; take partial profits and hold the remaining position toward the final liquidity target.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 25, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 25, 2025: The market revolved around the FED and Trump, gold rose at the end of last week and was limited by the 0.236% Fib level. Fundamental news: Mr. Powell's unexpectedly dovish remarks reinforced the market's hopes for a rate cut in September. As a result, the US Dollar Index fell sharply on Friday, reversing the upward trend of the first 4 trading days of the week. Moreover, the strong increase on Friday also pushed the gold price to skyrocket nearly 36 USD during the week. Technical analysis: After a strong increase when it had compressed enough force in the bullish pattern and broke the downtrend channel on the H1 frame, the gold price at the beginning of this week's trading session is having a correction phase. The uptrend of gold is still maintained. The liquidity zones combined with FIB support and MA lines will now be our trading area. The gold price is very likely to return to the old ATH zone of 3500 this week. Important price zones today: 3345 - 3350 and 3330 - 3335. Today's trading trend: BUY. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3345 - 3347 SL 3342 TP 3350 - 3360 - 3370 - 3390. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3330 - 3332 SL 3327 TP 3335 - 3345 - 3355 - 3390. Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading week.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
OANDA:XAUUSD
by andgay
Gold preparing for correction under FED & geopolitic - Vincent🟡 Gold Plan 25/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓ 1. Market Context 🌍 Russia – Ukraine: Trump puts pressure on Putin to negotiate within 2 weeks. This looks positive for peace, but also carries escalation risks → Gold keeps its safe-haven role . FED – Powell at Jackson Hole: Hawkish tone reduced expectations of a September rate cut from 3 to 2. USD strengthened → short-term downside pressure on Gold . 👉 Mix of political support vs FED pressure → Sideways market, Gold may need a pullback to absorb liquidity before showing clear direction. 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ H4 candle closed bearish → Buying momentum weakens , sellers may return. Recent FVG created after sharp bounce → Likely pullback for liquidity grab . Bias of the day: Prioritise Sell, but short Buy Scalp setups possible at support. 3. Key Levels – Captain Vincent’s Map 🪙 Resistance: Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3398 – 3400) 3376 (intermediate resistance – watch reaction) Support: Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp 3340 – 3342) SL: 3333 TP: 3345 → 3349 → 3353 → 3357 → 33xx Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3328 – 3326) SL: 3318 TP: 3332 → 3336 → 3339 → 33xx Higher Low – 3323 Anchor point of the trend → If broken, need to reassess all Buy setups. 4. Trade Scenarios 📌 🔻 Sell at Storm Breaker 🌊 Entry: 3398 – 3400 SL: 3408 TP: 3395 → 3390 → 3387 → 3384 → 33xx 🚤 Buy Scalp at Quick Boarding Entry: 3340 – 3342 SL: 3333 TP: 3345 → 3349 → 3353 → 3357 → 33xx 🏝️ Buy at Golden Harbor (3328 – 3326) SL: 3318 TP: 3332 → 3336 → 3339 → 33xx 5. Captain’s Note ⚓ "Today, the golden sea is full of undercurrents: FED winds blow against, politics push along. Those who pick Storm Breaker 🌊 may ride the wave safely; those who patiently wait at Golden Harbor 🏝️ will find peace. Quick Boarding 🚤 is for sailors seeking fast scalps in narrow waters."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Gold Surges After Fed Remarks: Next Target at $3,370Hello everyone, following Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium yesterday, the gold market experienced a sharp rally. Powell hinted at potential rate cuts, weakening the USD and opening a strong opportunity for gold. Currently, gold is trading around $3,345, and if it breaks through the Fair Value Gap between $3,340 – $3,350, the bullish trend will be confirmed, with the next target at $3,370. Rising trading volumes in recent candles indicate buyers are in control. Meanwhile, Ichimoku cloud signals still confirm an upward momentum as gold prices remain above the cloud, reflecting sustained bullish strength. With both Fed policy signals and strong technical indicators, gold is likely to extend its rally in the near term. If the price holds above $3,350, reaching $3,370 is just a matter of time. What’s your view on the current gold trend? Share your thoughts below.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmmaChartist
4
Natural gas analysis Monthly Time frameNatural gas markets are influenced by a complex interplay of supply, demand, weather, geopolitical events, and technical factors. Below is a concise analysis based on recent trends and data as of August 24, 2025, covering key aspects of the natural gas market Price Trends and Market Dynamics Spot and Futures Prices: The Henry Hub spot price recently fell from $2.92/MMBtu to $2.81/MMBtu, and the September 2025 NYMEX futures contract dropped from $2.828/MMBtu to $2.752/MMBtu. The 12-month futures strip (September 2025–August 2026) averaged $3.501/MMBtu, reflecting a bearish near-term outlook but expectations of tighter balances later. Supply and DemandSupply: U.S. natural gas production has risen, with a 3% increase in marketed production in 2025, particularly from the Permian (2 Bcf/d), Haynesville, and Appalachia (0.9 Bcf/d each). However, production is expected to stabilize in 2026 as associated gas from oil declines. Storage: U.S. storage inventories are projected to reach 3,927 Bcf by October 31, 2025, 174 Bcf above the five-year average, due to higher-than-average injections (20% above the five-year average). This surplus is pressuring prices downward. Demand: Cool weather forecasts for August 2025, potentially the coolest in 50 years, have reduced demand, contributing to bearish price sentiment. However, LNG exports are rebounding, with Freeport LNG operations resuming, providing some support. LNG Exports: Maintenance at U.S. LNG terminals earlier in 2025 reduced exports, but recovery and new contracts (e.g., ConocoPhillips’ 4 Mt/y from Port Arthur LNG Phase 2) signal growing export potential. Technical AnalysisBearish Signals: Technical indicators suggest a "strong sell" for Natural Gas Futures across multiple timeframes (daily, weekly, monthly), driven by a head-and-shoulders pattern with prices breaking below the $3.050 neckline, targeting $2.220–$2.000. Indicators: RSI, MACD, and stochastic oscillators indicate oversold conditions, but negative momentum persists below key resistance levels like $3.100–$3.320. Pivot points and moving averages reinforce bearish trends, with potential support at $2.200. Geopolitical and Structural FactorsEurope: The 2022–2023 Russian supply shock shifted Europe to rely on LNG, increasing price volatility. Market reforms have boosted trading volumes (7,300 bcm in 2024, 15x demand), but derivatives trading by physical players dominates, limiting speculative impacts. Weather Impact: Cooling in the Midwest and Northeast (highs of 60s–80s°F) contrasts with hotter conditions elsewhere (80s–100s°F), driving regional demand differences. Weather models (ECMWF, GFS) forecast continued impacts on heating and cooling degree days, affecting prices. Energy Transition: Natural gas is increasingly vital for electricity generation as coal phases out, linking gas and power markets and amplifying price sensitivity to weather and demand. Forecast and OutlookShort-Term (1–6 Weeks): Bearish due to high storage, weak demand from cool weather, and technical indicators. Prices may test support at $2.220–$2.080, Long-Term: Growing U.S. electricity demand (31% over 15 years) and constrained global supply (e.g., limited OPEC spare capacity) suggest bullish prospects for natural gas as a reliable fuel. Trading ConsiderationsRisks: High volatility, weather-driven demand shifts, and geopolitical uncertainties (e.g., Russia-Ukraine tensions) pose risks. Strategies: Traders may consider short positions targeting $2.80, but oversold conditions suggest caution for potential reversals. Long-term investors might accumulate near support zones ($2.220–$2.080) for 2026 upside. Data Tools: Monitor EIA storage reports, weather forecasts (NatGasWeather.com), and technical indicators (RSI, MACD) for real-time insights. Note: Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research.
FPMARKETS:XNGUSD
by renderwithme
Gold: Strong Upside Potential Above $3,350Hello traders, Looking at the current market setup, gold is hovering near the key resistance zone between $3,340 and $3,350. This area acts as a decisive barrier, and a clear breakout could trigger strong bullish momentum. Recent price candles with higher trading volumes signal that buyers are becoming more aggressive, suggesting that gold may soon overcome $3,350 and move towards $3,370 or beyond. On the macro side, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut continue to weigh on the US dollar, providing additional support for gold as a safe-haven asset. If the Fed’s meeting minutes or Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole confirm a dovish stance, it could further fuel the rally. What’s your view on this move? Do you believe gold can break above $3,350 and extend its rally? Share your opinion—I’d love to hear your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmmaChartist
2
XAU/USD: Bearish Bias Ahead of Fed SpeechesHello everyone, Today the market awaits speeches from Collins, Powell, Hammack, and even the U.S. President. With such anticipation, risk appetite remains cautious and the USD is seeing mild support. In this context, I lean towards a bearish scenario for gold on the daily chart: price is stuck below the dense resistance cluster around 3340–3355 (supply FVG + Ichimoku cloud/volume area), where repeated attempts to push higher have failed. The sideways–to–downward structure, marked by lower highs since early this month, combined with the latest candle closing under the red FVG zone, signals fading buying momentum. Unless we hear clear dovish tones from the Fed, the 3340–3355 supply zone is likely to continue capping price. My preferred scenario is a pullback to 3315–3305, with an extension to 3295–3285 if USD strength persists. This outlook will be invalidated if we see a daily close above 3350, in which case a move back toward 3370 becomes possible.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmmaChartist
Gold Plan 22/08 – Captain Vincent ( IN )Background On the H1 timeframe , Gold continues to move sideways within the 3328 – 3350 range, sweeping liquidity again and again, making it difficult for retail traders to spot a clear trend. Currently, Gold has absorbed almost all liquidity from the Nonfarm FVG . Therefore, the next price action will largely depend on smart money moves and upcoming news catalysts . Even though the overall trend is still unclear, we can still build trading setups around these key levels . 🪙 Key Levels 🔹 Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3368 – 3370) SL: 3376 TP: 3365 → 3360 → 3355 → 3350 → 33xx 🔹 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3313 – 3315) SL: 3305 TP: 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 33xx 📌 Trading Outlook On higher timeframes, sellers still hold the advantage . However, Gold may need to test resistance zones again to confirm. If price reaches Storm Breaker 🌊 → Watch for reaction and prepare to Sell. If price drops to Golden Harbor 🏝️ → Strong support remains for short-term Buy opportunities. ⚓ Captain Vincent’s Note "When the sharks sweep the waves, retail traders panic. But those holding the key level map will always know where the safe harbor lies."
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Gold ....Powell Speech to Break the Range?Gold held steady after yesterday’s pullback, but the 3350 zone continues to act as a strong resistance. Despite multiple bullish attempts, price has failed to break through this ceiling, keeping the upside capped. On the lower side, immediate support stands at the previous weekly low (3330), followed by the recent swing low near 3310. These levels are key for buyers to defend. For now, price action has compressed further into a tight range, and there hasn’t been any major development since the last session. With Powell speech lined up today, the market is likely to stay cautious and range-bound until then. Once the event is out, we could see a clearer short-term direction, either a breakout above 3350 opening room for recovery, or a breakdown below 3310 tilting bias back in favor of sellers.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle