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Consolidation

LINDEINDIA (Positional Study)LINDE INDIA LTD. Chart Structure: - Price approaching All-time High. - From Feb. to April '21 stock rallied about 100% and took a breather of around 20% - Stock is consolidating for the last 4 months, forming a weak Reverse Head & Shoulder type of pattern. Volume & Deliveries: - Last 18 sessions witnessed huge volume activity in the stock. - Total Traded Quantity from 27th July was 27.71 lac shares. - Total shares delivered were 14.48 lac shares - Stock has seen such deliveries before the last rally. Relative Strength: - Stock is already RS+ in the longer term. - It has started outperformance again in a shorter (55) term. - Spread breakout has happened a week ago. Financial Performance: - Co. saw Sales growth of 18% QoQ & 109% YoY - Co. saw Profit growth of -77% QoQ & 255% YoY - There was a negative profit growth(QoQ) in Net profit because of 14% tax benefit enjoyed by co. in last quarter & Exceptional income from sale of land, due to which the NP & EPS shot up unexpectedly. - While comparing PBT, we get a 3% growth Why stock might go further up? - Linde produces industrial gases required for the Manufacturing of Steel along with other industrial gases. - From April to June Steel Production in India has gone from 8300 MT to 9400 MT which is further expected to increase. - Manufacturing PMI data also saw an increase from June to July (almost 15% in value) - With the tailwind in the steel sector (which indicates an increase in steel production in coming Quarters) Linde might also benefit from the same.
NSE:LINDEINDIALong
by AmanSaraf
1
CONSOLIDATION-ACCUMULATION-BREAKOUT-PRICE-ACTION-VOLUME-PROFILEDisclaimer-: 1. FOR WHOM VOLUME PROFILE AND MY METHOD IS A LITTLE NEW OR BLURRY . I WILL SOON PUT UP AN EDUCATIONAL POST WITH DETAILS AND EXAMPLES. WE CAN HAVE A SERIES OF DISCUSSIONS THERE TOO. DO FOLLOW MY ACCOUNT TO GET NOTIFIED. 2. Do ask your questions in the comments if any. Volume Profile-: Using Volume Profile one can identify probable accumulation or distribution regions by comparing the historical Volume at Price and current Volume at Price. 2. If the current volume is low, its mostly a pause before the trend resumes 3. If the current volume is higher or equivalent to historical levels then either the trend will resume or it may reverse. If it resumes then we have more strength in trend due to more accumulation. So a breakout/breakdown will confirm in this case OBSERVATION-: Previously stock rallied rapidly after years of consolidation. Now we can see a significant consolidation happening where buying volume (blue) is greater than selling volume (yellow) 1. Moreover the current region volume has highest volume since the previous rally started. Definitely another round of accumulation is taking place. 2. So breakout above 815 will confirm and uptrend may resume. 3. Note the last breakout had low volume and RSI>80 suggesting it was a fail breakout. But now RSI <70 and volume has increased. So this time breakout might not fail ENTRY-: Above 840 confirmatory breakout STOP_LOSS Around the support of consolidation 604. TARGET-: Due to more accumulation the expected uptrend could be more than the previous rally. So 168% Fib-Ext Target. EXIT Since the target is above all time high. Its a provisional target level. So it doesn't make sense to exit at target rather hold on to it as much as possible and keep conservatively trailing stop-loss. Following can be used as exit signals or bearishness signals. 1. If there is bearish candlestick pattern in 1W timeframe, stop-loss can be trailed to a nearby support level .(Like Candle Low) 2. If there is RSI Divergence in 1W timeframe, better to exit at close of 1W since afterwards there can be long consolidation or reversal. 3. If the trailing stop-loss is hit, please exit **IF YOU LIKE MY ANALYSIS, KINDLY GIVE A THUMBS-UP AND SHARE IT IF POSSIBLE, HELPS A LOT :) **I WILL POST NECESSARY , SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THIS THREAD LIKE ADDITION TO POSITION, EXIT SIGNALS, BREAKOUT ETC. TO AVOID MISSING OUT ON UPDATES PLEASE REMEMBER TO FOLLOW THE POST AND MY ACCOUNT. **YOU CAN TURN ON NOTIFICATION TO BE UPDATED OF CHANGES **ANY COMMENT ON THE ANALYSIS WILL BE HIGHLY APPRECIATED. NSE:AARTIDRUGS
NSE:AARTIDRUGSLong
by VPA_TRADER
5
SRTRANSFIN ACCUMULATION 1D PRICE-ACTION-VOLUME-PROFILEDisclaimer -: 1. FOR WHOM VOLUME PROFILE AND MY METHOD IS A LITTLE NEW OR BLURRY . I WILL SOON PUT UP AN EDUCATIONAL POST WITH DETAILS AND EXAMPLES. WE CAN HAVE A SERIES OF DISCUSSIONS THERE TOO. DO FOLLOW MY ACCOUNT TO GET NOTIFIED. 2. Do ask your questions in the comments if any. NSE:SRTRANSFIN used to consolidate for a very very long time between 700 and 1300. After the rally since last year we can see currently its in a sideways region. This could be accumulation or distribution. We are not sure yet. But chances are high it is a small pause and a small accumulation region. Nonetheless confirmation is absolutely essential. 1500 and 1265 are important levels within which the sideways region is currently in. Breakout with high buying(green) volume will confirm accumulation and the opposite could signal possible distribution. Volume Profile -: ACCUMULATION REGION: Using Volume Profile one can identify probable accumulation or distribution regions by comparing the historical Volume at Price and current Volume at Price. 2. If the current volume is low, its mostly a pause before the trend resumes 3. If the current volume is higher or equivalent to historical levels then either the trend will resume or it may reverse. If it resumes then we have more strength in trend due to more accumulation. So a breakout/breakdown will confirm in this case IMPORTANT OBSERVATIONS 1. From 17Mar-20 to 30Oct-20 A Nice accumulation took place in the rectangular region with ample of volume. 2. Then rally happened with in between small pause where accumulation happened since in those small pause green volume was more than red volume (more buying than selling). 3. Now its in sideways but with very low volume compared to historical accumulation. So there is a high chance that its a brief pause and soon it will breakout and resume the trend. TARGET WITH LOGIC Mark the brief pause that happened between 22nd Nov and 23rd Dec (2020). The volume at that level is comparable to the volume at current level. Two things can happen 1. It breaks out with this amount of volume. In this case, it makes sense to assume a rally to be little more than the rally since 23rd Dec 2020 level since the accumulation volumes are almost same. So i used a Fib Extension from 23rd Dec 2020 and marked 168% as target level. 2. It continues in this region for a long time. Then afterwards if it breaks out we have to consider rally to be much longer because the accumulation now is much stronger. I will update target level with image if that happens Entry Wait for a breakout above 1537 level with high volume, 1D, closing at 320PM and then take position. I will update here before or during possible breakout. You may use breakout above 1537 + ATR(Average True Range) for additional confirmation. -> The best way to enter would be to partially after breakout and the add after (throwback + continuation). i will update when addition can be done. STOPLOSS Best to place stop-loss at or below 1276 for conservative approach. Then trail as per your strategy or best use MA in 1H or 1D timeframe with ATR Buffer. EXIT Since the target is above all time high. Its a provisional target level. So it doesn't make sense to exit at target rather hold on to it as much as possible and keep conservatively trailing stop-loss. Following can be used as exit signals or bearishness signals. 1. If there is bearish candlestick pattern in 1D timeframe, stop-loss can be trailed to a nearby support level .(Like Candle Low) 2. If there is RSI Divergence in 1D timeframe, better to exit at close of 1D since afterwards there can be long consolidation or reversal. 3. If the trailing stop-loss is hit, please exit Note-: This analysis is for NSE:SRTRANSFIN to be put in watchlist not immediately taken position in. **I WILL POST NECESSARY , SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THIS THREAD LIKE ADDITION TO POSITION, EXIT SIGNALS, BREAKOUT ETC. TO AVOID MISSING OUT ON UPDATES PLEASE REMEMBER TO LIKE AND FOLLOW THE POST AND MY ACCOUNT. **YOU CAN TURN ON NOTIFICATION TO BE UPDATED OF CHANGES **ANY COMMENT ON THE ANALYSIS WILL BE HIGHLY APPRECIATED. NSE:SRTRANSFIN
SLong
by VPA_TRADER
GALAXYSURF Looks good PositionallyGalaxy Surfactants. Chart Structure: - Near Darvas Box Breakout. - QTL b/o - Stock took an 11.26% breather after a 53.24% up move. - From March 2020, Stock moves around (avg.) 50% up after taking an avg. 14% breather. Relative Strength: - Stock outperforming index in 1w, 1m, 3m, 6m & 1Y. - Stock became RS+ on 31st March (as per new ARS) - Spread chart breakout happening today. Volume Activity: - Dry Volumes during the breather. - Accumulative positive volumes seen in small qty. - 7 Mutual Funds increased their holdings & 6 Mutual funds decreased their holdings in June. Resulting in Net increase of 5.78 lac shares in holdings of MFs. - In weekly TF, selling looks exhausted, and buying looks initiated. Financials: - Compounded sales growth of Co. (3 years) is 5% - Compounded Profit growth of Co. (3 years) is 24% - March results showed a sales jump of 16% but the decline of 7% in Net Profit. - Upcoming results are scheduled for Sept. 1st week. Good stock to study & keep an eye upon.
NSE:GALAXYSURFLong
by AmanSaraf
Blue Dart - Consolidation near highsA breakout trade can also be taken, however as the scrip is good fundamentally we would enter now. Disclaimer: All investments and trading in the stock market involve risk. Any decisions to place trades in the financial markets, including trading in stock or options or other financial instruments is a personal decision that should only be made after thorough research, including a personal risk and financial assessment and the engagement of professional assistance to the extent you believe necessary. The trading strategies or related information mentioned in this article is for informational / educational purposes only. We have assessed our risk and taking positions as per our risk appetite. Request readers to strictly manage risk before entering any financial position
NSE:BLUEDARTLong
by Market-Thalaivaa
Mentorship InstaView 06 Aug’21: Break without much of a Breakdow
Nifty View: Benchmark Nifty decides to take a breather in today’s session, which is reasonable considering we had one big breakout to new life highs this week. At a close of 16,267, the index has just marginally slipped from its weekly high - a sign of short term consolidation and to gain some momentum headroom. The index is in a strong UP trend across all time frames and a short term correction should not be discounted. The first level to watch for is at (16,150-16,200) and then the psychological level of 16K. As long as 16K holds, one should continue to stay bullish and look to add both pullback and breakout long positions. Thank you for following my work and please feel free to share your thoughts and suggestions.         Trade Well. Trade Wise. 
NSE:NIFTY1!
by Abhijit_Paul