WTI: Liquidity War Inside HTF Bearish NarrativeWTI traded below the previous week’s low, but here’s the important detail:
it failed to close below it.
That changes everything.
Instead of acceptance lower, the market swept liquidity and reclaimed the range, which keeps the higher-timeframe bearish narrative intact while creating trapped sellers below the lows.
Current framework:
Previous week’s low swept but not accepted below
Liquidity resting beneath Wednesday’s low and NDOG
Friday’s high aligning with buy-side liquidity + Daily FVG
H4 FVG currently acting as support
Liquidity now engineered on both sides of price
My expectation:
Before the larger expansion begins, one side of liquidity needs to be fully attacked. While both scenarios remain possible, the bearish continuation currently has slightly higher probability because HTF narrative still favors downside delivery.
But the key detail is this:
The market already dipped below the previous week’s low and failed to stay there.
That failed acceptance often becomes the reason the opposite side gets raided first.
