SOLVUSDT - RETEST OF RESISTANCE IN A BEARISH TRENDSymbol - SOLVUSDT
CMP - 0.0430
SOLVUSDT is currently consolidating within a neutral range, which has emerged amid an ongoing downtrend. The cryptocurrency market has swiftly retreated following the news from Sunday. Bitcoin has re-entered the selling zone, falling below the 90K level. A continued decline in Bitcoin could exert downward pressure on the broader market.
SOLV is forming a range between 0.044 and 0.0292, with the price showing signs of strengthening toward the key liquidity and interest zones. Given the prevailing market conditions - including the downtrend, a weak market sentiment, the lack of a strong catalyst, and Bitcoin's decline - it is reasonable to assume that the coin has limited potential for further upward movement. The current price action may result in a false breakout of resistance, followed by a decline.
Resistance levels: 0.0436, 0.0439, 0.0494
Support levels: 0.0369, 0.0345
Considering the daily ATR from the session's open, it is expected that the volatility will be exhausted by the time resistance is reached, leaving little room for a breakout. There is a high probability of a price retracement from the 0.0436-0.0439 range, with the price likely to fall towards the key support zones below.
Cryptomarket
OPUSDT - BULLISH BIAS & POTENTIAL TREND REVERSALSymbol - OPUSDT
CMP - 1.175
OPUSDT is exhibiting positive momentum relative to Bitcoin's performance over the past two days. The asset is currently in a phase of consolidation, testing trend resistance.
The primary factor hindering the onset of an altcoin season is Bitcoin's dominant presence in the cryptocurrency market. A decline in BTC, potentially opening a channel to the 75K range, followed by further upward movement after an intermediate bottom forms within the 75K-80K zone, could reduce Bitcoin's dominance. This, in turn, would present an opportunity for the altcoin market, which has been struggling in recent times.
I find OPUSDT appealing as it has not mirrored Bitcoin's decline but instead remains in a consolidating phase, offering clear boundaries for strategic planning. The key resistance level to focus on is 1.212
Resistance Level: 1.212
Support Levels: 1.044, 0.983
A breakout above the 1.212 resistance level could initiate a rally and signal a potential trend reversal. This could occur after a correction to the 0.5 Fibonacci level or following the formation of a pre-breakout consolidation on the H1-H4 timeframes.
The setup would be invalidated if the price breaks below the 1.044-0.983 support range.
BITCOIN MAY DROP TO 74K - BEARISH STRUCTURE INTACTSymbol - BTCUSD
CMP - 84600
BTCUSD is undergoing a shift in market structure, transitioning into a bearish phase following the breakdown at 90K. A deeper correction is currently developing, which, in my view, represents a logical and technically sound progression for a healthy market. It is concerning when the market only experiences upward movement driven solely by buying pressure, such as in the case of large-scale injections of funds into high-yield investment programs (HYIPs).
A correction in Bitcoin’s price or even a trend reversal could inject vitality back into the market. From a fundamental perspective, traders have not seen the expected active support for cryptocurrencies from the US, which was previously suggested during Trump's election campaign. Additionally, issues such as crypto exchange hacks, fraudulent coins, and Bitcoin's dominance are exerting negative pressure on altcoins.
Bitcoin’s current downturn, with the possibility of a further drop to the 75K-73K range, could present an opportunity for fundamentally strong altcoins, assuming the declining Bitcoin dominance index also continues to trend downward. The simultaneous reallocation of funds from Bitcoin to altcoins, along with a rebound in Bitcoin from a strong support level, could rejuvenate the prospects for an altcoin season.
Resistance levels: 88150, 90700
Support levels: 75000, 73570, 66830
A modest retracement towards the 88100 to 90700 range is possible before the price begins its descent. While Bitcoin may attempt a deeper pullback, the current market imbalance, coupled with the absence of a clear driving force or supportive factors, suggests that the price may continue to fall in the medium term, potentially reaching the liquidity zone between 75K and 73K
Bitcoin Monthly Candle Close Colours from 2011 - maybe RED March
The Odds were higher to get a GREEN February Close but we ended up closing RED
Of the previous 3 RED February closes, Everyone was followed by a RED MARCH
Those same previous RED February Candles were all preceded by a GREEN JAN
We have just had a GREEN January and a RED February and so, Odds are that March will also be RED.
But as we saw in the JANUARY post of this chart, the odds were for a GREEN Feb this year....so do not take this as a certainty. For March to close RED, we do not need to see a massive drop. Just 0.01 USDT below this Feb Close is enough
Also on a BEARISH side, the candles colours since October 2024 follow the sequence from pre 2013 ATH to just after, entering a bear
From Oct 2013 till Feb, Green Green Red Green Red- followed by March and April RED also.
From Oct 2024 till Feb, Green Green Red Green Red
On the BULLISH side, and this has a higher % chance of repeating, Of those 3 previous occasions were we had Green Jan then a Red Feb and a Red March, Two of those Three were entering a Bull run. 2012 and 2020
It should be Noted that those years were the years BEFORE Cycle TOP - We are currently IN the year of expected cycle TOP
Currently March is 6 Green - 7 Red monthly closes.
March is Currently GREEN at time of writing ( 1st March )
Of the previous 7 RED March, 5 were followed by a Green April
Of the 6 Green closes, 3 were followed by a Green April
Of those 6 Green March closes, only 2 really led on to further multi month gains.
In conclusion,
We are statistically more likely to get a RED March and that would put us in a better position to continue to reach a cycle ATH later in the year as the weekly MACD is still falling Bearish from High.
This will have cooled off PA and allowed it to range, possibly in a Wyckoff distribution model
A Red March also Gives us a better buying opportunity and MAYBE, MAYBE some time for ALTS to recover some o their losses......Maybe......
But it really should be remembered that we could also be entering a bear. More info is needed before this is seen clearly but caution is certainly something I will continue to talk about.
Stay safe and remain Cautious
GREAT BUYING OPPORTUNITY IN BITCOIN. BREAKDOWN OF THE SETUPGREAT BUYING OPPORTUNITY IN BITCOIN. BREAKDOWN OF THE SETUP
In daily time frame btc has taken support from the important level of 61.8 fibonacci level. And it has taken support of 200dma also.
In 15 minutes time frame BTW Has formed head and shoulder pattern also which is showing the target of 91000. So this is a good buying opportunity in bitcoin
APL Apollo Tubes Ltd Stock Analysis**GlobalTradeHub Stock Analysis**
**APL Apollo Tubes Ltd (APLApollo)**
**Fundamental**: A leading player in the Indian steel pipe industry, APL Apollo has consistent growth driven by infrastructure demand.
**Technical**: Bullish trend with moving averages supporting upside. RSI is neutral, indicating room for further growth.
**Support Levels**: ₹1,000, ₹950
**Resistance Levels**: ₹1,150, ₹1,200
Let me know if you'd like to analyze another stock!
Bitcoin IN CME Gap after Fib circle encounter - what now ?
As mentioned in a previous post, PA got "hit" by the same Fib circle that rejected the 2021 Cycle ATH - the difference being that PA got THROUGH the Fib circle Before turning down and so now, we slide down the outside, in a position of strength to be able to move higher when wanted.
As can be seen on the Daily chart below
This has also brought PA into the CME Gap as expected
Currently, PA is recovering having filled only HALF the gap.
I fully expect PA to return and complete the fill at some point.
Also note the rising line of support that we are heading towards. If we carry on like this, we intersect with it on 3rd March, Next Wednesday at a price around 77400
We will have to wait and see what happens there but this is also where the 50 week SMA will be and so, as said previously, I am expecting PA to bounce strongly
But this is Bitcoin....We have to wait and see what happens and react accordingly.
A Drop Lower would take us out of the Mid 20% Drops we have been having this cycle as can be seen on main chart.
The Next line of rising support on this chart is around -40% and is around the 100 week SMA
I am not to sure we will go there..... But.................
Ethereum Technical Analysis - Weakly 🇺🇸 CRYPTOCAP:ETH Weekly Technical Analysis: #Ethereum broke previous support at $2250 on the 4-hour timeframe. We are in a bearish trend, 💔raising concerns. As the weekly closing is pending, I will update if there are changes after the weekly and monthly closings.
📈📉Chart for reference. posted on trading view as well link below
Bajaj Electricals Ltd (BAJAJELEC) Stock Analysis**GlobalTradeHub | Bajaj Electricals Ltd (BAJAJELEC) Stock Analysis**
**Fundamental Analysis:**
Bajaj Electricals, a leading player in consumer durables and lighting, benefits from strong brand value and expanding distribution. Growth in the home appliances sector and government infra projects support revenue. Key risks include rising input costs and competitive pressure from other brands.
**Technical Analysis:**
The stock is facing resistance near ₹1,250. A breakout could push it toward ₹1,350. Strong support is at ₹1,150; a breakdown may lead to ₹1,050. RSI around 58 suggests moderate bullish momentum.
**Key Levels:**
- **Resistance:** ₹1,250 / ₹1,350
- **Support:** ₹1,150 / ₹1,050
**Conclusion:**
Bajaj Electricals has strong fundamentals and brand presence. A breakout above ₹1,250 may trigger further upside, while dips to support zones could offer buying opportunities. ⚡📈
Bayer CropScience Ltd (BAYERCROP) Stock Analysis**GlobalTradeHub | Bayer CropScience Ltd (BAYERCROP) Stock Analysis**
**Fundamental Analysis:**
Bayer CropScience, a leader in agrochemicals and seeds, benefits from strong R&D, a wide product portfolio, and rising demand for high-yield solutions. Consistent revenue growth and a strong balance sheet support long-term stability. Risks include weather dependency, regulatory changes, and rising input costs.
**Technical Analysis:**
The stock is testing resistance near ₹5,250. A breakout could push it toward ₹5,500. Strong support is seen at ₹4,900, with further downside risk if breached. RSI near 60 indicates bullish momentum but not overbought yet.
**Key Levels:**
- **Resistance:** ₹5,250 / ₹5,500
- **Support:** ₹4,900 / ₹4,700
**Conclusion:**
Bayer CropScience remains a strong agrochemical player. A breakout above ₹5,250 may trigger further upside, while dips to support levels can be potential buying opportunities. 🌱📈
Aegis Logistics Ltd Stock Analysis**GlobalTradeHub | Aegis Logistics Ltd Stock Analysis**
**Fundamental Analysis:**
Aegis Logistics, a leader in India's oil, gas, and chemical logistics sector, benefits from strong demand for LPG and industrial gases. The company’s robust infrastructure and expansion plans support long-term growth. Key risks include global crude price volatility and regulatory changes.
**Technical Analysis:**
The stock is trading near ₹440 resistance. A breakout could push it toward ₹470. Strong support lies at ₹400, with further downside risk if breached. RSI around 62 suggests bullish momentum but approaching overbought levels.
**Key Levels:**
- **Resistance:** ₹440 / ₹470
- **Support:** ₹400 / ₹380
**Conclusion:**
Aegis Logistics has solid fundamentals. A breakout above ₹440 could fuel further gains, while dips to support zones may offer buying opportunities. 📊🚀
Shriram Finance Ltd Stock Analysis**GlobalTradeHub | Shriram Finance Ltd Stock Analysis**
**Fundamental Analysis:**
Shriram Finance, a leading NBFC in India, specializes in vehicle and MSME financing. Strong loan growth, improving asset quality, and steady NIMs support its fundamentals. However, risks include higher NPAs in the commercial vehicle segment and rising interest rates impacting borrowing costs.
**Technical Analysis:**
The stock is consolidating near ₹2,550 resistance. A breakout could push it toward ₹2,700. Strong support is at ₹2,400; a breakdown may lead to ₹2,250. RSI near 58 suggests moderate bullish momentum.
**Key Levels:**
- **Resistance:** ₹2,550 / ₹2,700
- **Support:** ₹2,400 / ₹2,250
**Conclusion:**
Shriram Finance remains a fundamentally strong NBFC. A breakout above ₹2,550 could drive further upside, while support levels offer potential buy zones. 📈🚀
Cholamandalam Investment & Finance (CHOLAFIN) Stock Analysis**GlobalTradeHub | Cholamandalam Investment & Finance (CHOLAFIN) Stock Analysis**
**Fundamental Analysis:**
Cholamandalam Investment & Finance, a key NBFC in India, has shown strong loan book growth, supported by rising demand for vehicle and SME loans. Solid asset quality and a well-diversified portfolio add to its strength. However, rising interest rates and economic slowdowns could pose risks.
**Technical Analysis:**
The stock is in an uptrend, currently testing resistance near ₹1,250. A breakout could push it toward ₹1,350. Strong support is at ₹1,150, and a breakdown below could trigger further downside. RSI is around 65, suggesting bullish momentum but approaching overbought levels.
**Key Levels:**
- **Resistance:** ₹1,250 / ₹1,350
- **Support:** ₹1,150 / ₹1,050
**Conclusion:**
Cholamandalam remains fundamentally strong. A breakout above ₹1,250 may signal further upside, while traders should monitor support levels for potential buying opportunities. 🚀📈
AngleOne Ltd Stock Analysis**GlobalTradeHub | AngleOne Ltd Stock Analysis**
**Fundamental Analysis:**
AngleOne Ltd, a leading brokerage firm in India, has shown strong revenue growth driven by increasing retail participation. The company benefits from a growing client base and rising trading volumes. However, competition from discount brokers and regulatory risks are key factors to watch.
**Technical Analysis:**
The stock is trading in an uptrend but facing resistance near ₹1,900. A breakout above this level could push it toward ₹2,050. Strong support is seen at ₹1,750, with further downside risk if breached. RSI is near 60, indicating bullish momentum but nearing overbought territory.
**Key Levels:**
- **Resistance:** ₹1,900 / ₹2,050
- **Support:** ₹1,750 / ₹1,650
**Conclusion:**
AngleOne Ltd remains a strong player in the brokerage space. A breakout above resistance could fuel further upside, while traders should watch support levels for potential dips.
Opportunities in India's IPO Market# Opportunities in India's IPO Market
India’s IPO market is booming, with companies across sectors raising capital through public listings. Investors can capitalize on early-stage growth, listing gains, and long-term wealth creation by strategically investing in IPOs.
## 1️⃣ Why Consider IPO Investments?**
✅ Early-Mover Advantage:** Get in at the ground level before institutional investors.
✅ Listing Gains: Strong demand often leads to high first-day premiums.
✅ Long-Term Growth: Quality IPOs with strong fundamentals deliver multi-bagger returns.
## 2️⃣ Key Sectors Driving IPO Growth
✅ Tech & Startups: New-age businesses like fintech, SaaS, and e-commerce attract investors.
✅ Manufacturing & Infrastructure: Government initiatives like PLI schemes boost IPO activity.
✅ Healthcare & Pharma: Growing demand post-pandemic fuels new public offerings.
## 3️⃣ How to Identify Profitable IPOs?
✅ Strong Fundamentals: Look for consistent revenue, profitability, and growth potential.
✅ Valuation Analysis: Compare IPO pricing with industry peers to avoid overvaluation.
✅ Anchor Investor Participation: High FII & DII involvement signals strong confidence.
### Conclusion
India’s IPO market offers exciting opportunities, but due diligence is key. Evaluating **business fundamentals, industry trends, and valuation helps investors maximize gains while managing risks. 🚀
Tax-Efficient Investment Strategies# Tax-Efficient Investment Strategies
Maximizing returns isn't just about picking the right assets—it’s also about minimizing tax liabilities through smart investment choices. A tax-efficient strategy helps investors retain more of their gains while complying with tax laws.
## 1️⃣ Choosing Tax-Efficient Investment Vehicles
✅ Equity Mutual Funds & ELSS: Investments in Equity-Linked Savings Schemes (ELSS) offer tax deductions under Section 80C** (up to ₹1.5 lakh).
✅ Index Funds & ETFs: Lower turnover results in **fewer taxable events**, reducing capital gains tax.
✅ ULIPs & PPF: Tax-free maturity benefits make them ideal for long-term wealth building.
## 2️⃣ Managing Capital Gains Tax
✅ **Long-Term vs. Short-Term Gains:**
🔹 **LTCG (>1 year on equities)**: Taxed at **10% above ₹1 lakh**.
🔹 **STCG (<1 year on equities)**: Taxed at **15%**.
✅ **Tax Harvesting:** Book profits within the **₹1 lakh LTCG exemption limit** annually to reset acquisition costs.
## **3️⃣ Maximizing Tax Deductions & Exemptions**
✅ **Invest in NPS:** Get an additional **₹50,000 deduction under Section 80CCD(1B)**.
✅ **Tax-Free Bonds:** Earn fixed-income returns with **zero tax on interest**.
✅ **Dividend Strategy:** Choose **growth options over dividend payouts** to avoid **dividend tax at slab rates**.
## **4️⃣ Strategic Asset Allocation for Tax Efficiency**
✅ **Debt vs. Equity:** Holding period impacts tax—debt funds need **3+ years for indexation benefits**.
✅ **Hybrid Funds:** Balanced advantage funds offer **lower tax rates than direct debt funds**.
### **Conclusion**
Smart tax planning enhances net returns. Using **tax-efficient funds, harvesting strategies, and exemptions**, investors can **optimize wealth accumulation** while staying compliant with tax laws.
Navigating Long-Short Equity and Debt Funds Under SEBI’s New SIF# **Navigating Long-Short Equity and Debt Funds Under SEBI’s New SIF Category**
SEBI's new **Specialised Investment Fund (SIF)** category, launching on **April 1, 2025**, offers sophisticated investors access to **long-short strategies in equity and debt markets**. These funds allow asset managers to hedge risks and enhance returns in varying market conditions.
## **1️⃣ Understanding Long-Short Funds**
✅ **Equity Long-Short Funds:** Take **long positions** in strong stocks and **short positions** in weak ones.
✅ **Debt Long-Short Funds:** Go **long on bonds** when rates fall and **short when rates rise** to manage interest rate risk.
✅ **Sectoral Long-Short:** Focuses on specific industries, taking bullish and bearish positions based on trends.
## **2️⃣ Potential Benefits**
✅ **Market-Neutral Strategies:** Generate returns in **both rising and falling markets**.
✅ **Risk Management:** Hedging reduces volatility and protects against major downturns.
✅ **Diversification:** Adds an alternative asset class to an investor’s portfolio for balanced growth.
## **3️⃣ Risks to Consider**
✅ **Leverage Exposure:** Short-selling and derivatives can **increase risk if not managed properly**.
✅ **Liquidity Concerns:** Complex strategies may involve assets with limited market depth.
✅ **Regulatory Compliance:** As a new category, investors should stay updated on **SEBI guidelines and taxation policies**.
### **Where Does It Fit in an Investor’s Portfolio?**
Long-short funds are ideal for **HNIs and institutional investors** seeking **non-traditional, hedge fund-like strategies**. They can be used for **hedging, tactical asset allocation, and market-neutral investing** to enhance portfolio resilience.
**Conclusion:** SEBI’s SIF category offers new avenues for sophisticated investors. Understanding its mechanics, benefits, and risks is key to leveraging these funds for **optimized risk-adjusted returns**. 🚀
Market Recovery Strategies Amidst Downturns# Market Recovery Strategies Amidst Downturns
Market downturns create uncertainty, but strategic planning helps traders navigate volatility and recover losses effectively.
## 1️⃣ Identifying Market Bottoms
✅ Technical Signs: RSI below 30 (oversold), MACD bullish divergence, and volume spikes signal reversals.
✅ Fundamental Triggers: Earnings growth, government policies, and institutional buying indicate recovery.
## 2️⃣ Key Recovery Strategies
✅ Sector Rotation: Shift focus to recovering or defensive sectors (tech, banking, FMCG).
✅ Portfolio Rebalancing: Move capital to strong stocks and blue chips.
✅ Dollar-Cost Averaging: Invest gradually to reduce volatility risk.
✅ Derivative Hedging: Use Put Options & Covered Calls for risk protection.
✅ Market Sentiment Tracking: Watch Put-Call Ratio (PCR) & VIX for trend signals.
# 3️⃣ Trading Psychology for Recovery
✅ Avoid Panic Selling: Assess market recovery potential before exiting.
✅ Stick to a Strategy: Maintain risk management and long-term goals.
✅ Learn & Adapt: Every downturn is an opportunity to refine trading skills.
Conclusion: Market downturns are temporary—using smart strategies, risk control, and disciplined trading ensures long-term success! 🚀📈
MACD divergence tradingMACD divergence trading helps identify trend reversals using Bullish and Bearish divergences. Bullish divergence occurs when the price makes lower lows, but MACD makes higher lows, signaling a potential uptrend. Bearish divergence happens when the price makes higher highs, but MACD makes lower highs, indicating weakness. Combining MACD divergence with support-resistance and volume analysis increases trade accuracy.
MACD tradingMACD Part 2 focuses on MACD Histogram and Divergence. The histogram shows the difference between the MACD line and Signal line, helping spot momentum shifts. Bullish divergence occurs when the price makes lower lows, but MACD rises, signaling a potential reversal. Bearish divergence happens when price makes higher highs, but MACD falls, indicating weakness. Using MACD with trend confirmation and support-resistance levels improves accuracy.
What is database trading ?Database trading is a strategy that uses historical market data, algorithms, and statistical models to find high-probability trade setups. Traders analyze past patterns, volume, and price movements to predict future trends. It helps in automated trading, backtesting, and improving accuracy. Key elements include data collection, pattern recognition, and risk management.