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BTC Technical Outlook – Cycle High WatchBitcoin is potentially entering the final push of the current cycle, with price action forming a Head & Shoulders (H&S) structure near the newly formed ATH. While this pattern is not confirmed yet, it does raise caution for a possible local top. 📈 Upside Scenario: Our immediate focus remains on the $111,000 zone, which aligns with a potential liquidity grab area. A push into this region followed by strong rejection would strengthen the bearish case. 📉 Risk Zone to Monitor: If rejection occurs near $111K, attention will shift to the neckline area, which will be crucial in confirming the H&S breakdown. ⚠️ Key Takeaway: Bullish continuation remains valid until rejection is confirmed $111K = key upside target & decision zone Neckline break would confirm trend exhaustion _Wait for confirmation. Trade the reaction, not the prediction._
by tradewith_ritik
Solana Technical Reversal: MA Compression Resolves to the UpsideSolana is trading around 126 levels and there is a support which is being respected around 125 levels. For last few weeks, no considerate candle is there. Only doji are being formed which shows the sideways moment in the charts. If the market cycle changes, turning bullish, an entry can be made above 127 levels expecting a 10-11% movement in the crypto. Major trend is bearish, Minor trend sideways. The major support is around 100-110 level zone and there is not much of fall to capture as it has fallen 50% since Sept 2025. On the hourly charts, there is a liquidity grab, taking out the bullish positions created on previous occassions. A moving averages gate is also being created on the hourly charts as all the four EMAs (20, 50, 100 & 200) are moving in small range. Now as per my view the market is trading in a range and it is also respecting a falling resistance line. A good R:R trade is there on the bullish side. As per the plan, bullish position can be created in the assest once it crosses 127 levels. Stop Loss :- 122.5 Target :- 144 R:R = 1:4 Multiple confluence there to enter the trade on the bullish side. Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the trade.
by TheMamboMomentum
Weekly Analysis of BTC with Buy/Sell scenarios...We analyzed three weeks back that BTC would be in range for some time before taking any further move, And BTC is following same analysis and trapped within a small range since then. BTC prediction of last week also worked perfectly well and market kept in consolidation mode itself. BTC is still in consolidation zone and may spend some more days. It may develop ABC pattern or reversal at identified daily FVG level, if price has to change its delivery and take turn from here. This zone is kind of make or break. If price is not able to sustain and breakdown, then it may witness ~65-70K levels as well. We hope for reversal from this level as price is developing the pattern at higher time frame. 1. Price has taken liquidity or 82K and almost touched 80K. 2. It has inversed 1Day FVG and now price is consolidating in the range between EMAs. 3. We may expect price retracement till 1D iFVG and then reversal. 4. Before to that we may see sweep of 92900 (1D CISD) level and then a retracement short trade till 1D FVG 5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF. 6. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (5m/15m) at FVG zone. 7. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF All these combinations are signaling a high probability and ~8R trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
DELTAIN:BTCUSD.P
by HareeyMarketMantraah
Zoom Out: Bitcoin’s 14-Year Structural Expansion Explained!Hey Everyone, let's analyse long term structural view on Bitcoin as it is once again sitting inside the same structural expansion channel it has respected for more than 14 years. Zooming out removes the noise, what looks random on lower timeframes reveals a very consistent long-term pattern. Most traders focus on headlines. Long-term moves are built on structure. Bitcoin has never moved randomly on higher timeframes. Every major cycle since 2011 has expanded inside a rising macro channel driven by demand, time, and liquidity. Each cycle looks different on the surface, but the internal structure remains the same, higher lows forming on macro support, followed by exponential expansion phases. Current price is still respecting the long-term rising structure, with buyers consistently stepping in near the lower boundary of the channel. The upper zone shown is not a prediction. It represents the historical expansion boundary where previous cycles matured and volatility peaked. As long as the macro structure remains intact, the probability continues to favor structural continuation rather than random collapse. Key takeaway: Markets don’t repeat perfectly, but they rhyme . And Bitcoin has been speaking the same structural language for over a decade. Conclusion: This is not about catching tops or bottoms. It’s about understanding where you are in the cycle , and acting accordingly. If this structural perspective helped you, like, comment, and follow for more long term market studies. Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects a long term structural view. It is not financial advice. Always manage risk and do your own research before making trading or investment decisions.
TICKMILL:BTCUSDLong
by TraderRahulPal
3
"ETH/USDT Forecast""ETH/USDT Forecast" The market shows evidence of strong participation earlier, where price moved with speed and consistency, reflecting clear intent. That phase established direction and control without prolonged hesitation. As price progressed, momentum began to ease. Movement slowed, reactions became more frequent, and volatility compressed. This change indicates a shift from active pressure to evaluation, where participants reduced aggression and allowed price to stabilize. The subsequent recovery unfolded in a measured and uneven manner. Advances were short, overlapping, and lacked continuation, suggesting limited commitment behind higher prices. Opposing flow remained active, preventing expansion. Currently, price behavior is defined by balance and compression. Activity reflects positioning rather than resolution. Until behavior shifts from overlap to decisive movement, the market remains in a waiting state, with continuation favored once imbalance returns.
Short
by XAU_EMPIRE
ETH UNDER PRESSURE - BREAKDOWN Ethereum slipped below the $3,000 support, following heavy selling in spot ETH ETFs. Net outflows hit $224.7M in a single day, the largest exit in weeks, extending total ETF selling to $286.5M over the past three days. Notably, BlackRock and Grayscale led the withdrawals, with zero inflows recorded across funds. This breakdown triggered a liquidation cascade, wiping out nearly $168M in ETH long positions and driving price down toward the $2,895 zone. 📉 Technical View: ETH remains under bearish pressure, forming a bearish flag while a confirmed death cross keeps downside risk elevated. Unless price reclaims resistance near $3,170, the structure points toward a potential move to the $2,620 support zone. ⚠️ Market Takeaway: Momentum favors the downside for now. Bulls need a strong reclaim of key resistance to shift sentiment — otherwise, volatility remains skewed against longs.
Short
by tradewith_ritik
MARAL Execution Example — WIFUSDT.P 1H (Short 0.01234 → 0.01196)MARAL Execution Example—Discretionary SHORT (Entry 0.01234 → Exit 0.01196) in Binance This post is not about prediction. It’s about execution quality — how MARAL guides a trader before entry, during the hold phase, and into the exit decision using context + risk controls. Trade Snapshot Position: SHORT (manual) Entry: 0.01234 Exit: 0.01196 Move captured: ~0.00038 (≈ 3.1%) 1) Pre-Entry: Why MARAL allowed the trade Entry Checklist (Permission Layer) MARAL’s checklist was green across core pillars: HTF Alignment: OK Structure: OK (Bear Structure) Momentum: OK Volatility (ATR + ADX): OK Liquidity Confidence: WARN Score: 93 / 65 → ENTER SHORT Important: “Liquidity = WARN” is not a “no-trade.” It means nearby liquidity pools exist, so the trade may include wick risk / stop-sweep behavior, and execution must be disciplined (no FOMO entries, no oversized risk). 2) Signal vs Framework: What the Master Engine confirmed MARAL didn’t just show “short.” It confirmed the internal quality of the short context: Last Signal: SHORT Direction: Bearish H1 / H4 / Daily Bias: Bearish alignment Structure: Bear Structure Short Score: 93 (A++) Trend Probability: 93% Reversal Probability: 7% This is the key difference: MARAL doesn’t “tell” you to trade — it grades the environment so your entry is not emotional. 3) Execution Board: What happened AFTER entry (the real value) Post-entry, the Execution Board shifted into execution guidance: Execution State (Holding Logic) Trade Status: VALID Market Phase: CONTINUATION TP Probability: HIGH Obstacle Ahead: NO Exit Pressure: LOW Momentum Health: STRONG Score Trend: Stable / Improving Active Window: ON Action: HOLD Trade Age: FRESH This is execution intelligence: VALID + CONTINUATION = trend conditions still supportive Obstacle Ahead: NO = fewer immediate barriers in path Exit Pressure: LOW = no urgent reason to panic-exit Action: HOLD = stay in trade as long as structure remains intact 4) Risk State: Why “OVEREXTENDED” matters even in a VALID trade MARAL showed: Risk State: OVEREXTENDED This does not mean reversal. It means: “The move is mature / extended relative to volatility. Continuation can happen, but holding requires risk-managed behavior.” Execution behavior under OVEREXTENDED: Don’t add to position (no stacking late) Protect profits (tighten or trail logically) Expect wicks/pullbacks even if trend remains bearish Prefer partials / controlled exits near objectives 5) My exit decision (0.01196): Execution > greed Even though MARAL was still VALID / HOLD, I chose to exit at 0.01196 to: Lock a clean capture (~3.1%) Respect OVEREXTENDED risk Avoid giving back profit during possible liquidity reaction / mean-reversion This is exactly what MARAL is designed for: Stay in when the environment is valid — but exit like a risk manager, not like a gambler. 6) What would invalidate the HOLD (how MARAL helps you stay objective) For me, a HOLD becomes questionable if MARAL starts flipping these: Trade Status: VALID → RISKY/WEAK Exit Pressure: LOW → RISING Obstacle Ahead: NO → YES Momentum Health: STRONG → WEAK Score Trend: IMPROVING → DETERIORATING Active Window: ON → OFF That’s the execution framework in action: no emotions, only conditions. Due to TradingView attachment limitations, the full chart is shared via the link below.
by MARAL_Execution_Workflow
XAU/USD Outlook TodayThe latest data paints a pretty clear picture of where XAU/USD stands today, and the market tone is cautious but still bullish overall. ## 🟡 XAU/USD Outlook Today ### 1. **Price Action & Market Mood** Gold is trading around the **$4,300** zone, with traders showing hesitation ahead of key U.S. economic data releases. This pause is driven mainly by expectations around inflation and jobs numbers, which could shift Federal Reserve rate‑cut expectations. - Gold recently eased slightly as traders took profits and reduced exposure ahead of U.S. jobs data. - The metal is still holding above the **50‑day moving average at $4,127**, keeping the broader uptrend intact. ### 2. **Key Levels to Watch** - **Resistance:** - **$4,353–$4,381** remains a strong ceiling where recent rallies have stalled. - **Support:** - **$4,127** (50‑day MA) is the key line that keeps the “buy‑the‑dip” bias alive. ### 3. **Macro Drivers Today** Markets are waiting for: - **U.S. CPI data**, expected around **3.1% headline** and **3.0% core**. This is the biggest catalyst for gold today. - A softer CPI print could weaken the dollar and push gold higher; a hotter print could pressure gold. ### 4. **Short‑Term Forecast** Based on current sentiment and technicals: - **Bias:** Mildly bullish - **Expected range:** **$4,260 – $4,350** - **Breakout potential:** A close above **$4,353** could open the door to retesting the **$4,381** record area. If you want, I can also give you: - A **1‑hour intraday technical setup** - A **swing‑trade plan** - Or **automated chart levels** based on your trading style
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RealforexsignalsDworldforum
3
HFCL BY KRS CHARTS17th September 2025 / 9:21 AM Why HFCL? 1. First of all, its second time it's in my radar, previously we had more than 40% Return on this one and still long-term Target has been still loading 225 Rs. 2. 1M TF is making Higher High with current price level previously it breaks from flag pattern and gave upside move. 3. As we cand see in chart i have mentioned FVG range for 1M tf which was expected fall to be fill that FVG and it did. 4. Further, along with FVG filling 1W & 1D tfs is showing bullish divergence within range. 5. Volume is above avg with Morning Star Candle Breakout showing more bullish signs. SL & Target is mentioned ‼️ ** Attached Previous View on HFCL also go check it out**
NSE:HFCLLong
by KRSCharts
4
BTC Market Update – FOMC Range ModeBitcoin is stuck in FOMC limbo — no clean pump, no dump, just tight consolidation as markets wait for Powell’s cue. Volatility is coiling, and a big move is loading. Key Levels to Watch: Support Zone: $92K–94K (must hold for bullish continuation) Bullish Trigger: Break & hold above $94.6K 🎯 Next upside: $100K retest Bearish Trigger: Break below $87.7K 🎯 Downside risk: Low $80Ks before a rebound attempt Market View: This is a classic decision range — expect sharp expansion once direction is chosen. Stay alert around FOMC headlines; volatility can spike fast. Bias: ⚖️ Neutral → Breakout pending Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice. Trading in Forex, Gold, Crypto, and markets involves high risk. Do your own research and trade at your own risk.
by tradewith_ritik
The Most Important Bitcoin Level of This Cycle — Don’t Miss It.Bitcoin is once again testing its multi-year rising support trendline, the same zone that has triggered every major rally since 2020. Price has repeatedly formed higher lows, showing that long-term buyers are still defending this structure. What makes this zone special is the confluence: A macro rising support trendline that has held for nearly 4 years. A fresh institutional demand zone between 88k–92k. Volume spike indicating renewed accumulation. Rejection from macro rising resistance , resetting liquidity below. This type of setup usually appears before expansion moves. As long as BTC holds above this macro support, the market continues to favor upside targets: 1st Target: 106,770 (conservative) 2nd Target: 124,250 (mid-term) 3rd Target: 135,800+ (macro breakout zone) But here’s the key point: A clean breakdown below the structure would delay the bullish cycle, until then, dips into the demand zone remain high-probability accumulation opportunities for long-term traders. History rarely repeats perfectly… but it often rhymes, and BTC is back at the same place where big moves begin. Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Markets can change quickly always manage risk, do your own research, and trade according to your plan.
TICKMILL:BTCUSDLong
by TraderRahulPal
6
BTC: Liquidity Sweep SetupBTC: Liquidity Sweep Setup Bitcoin continues to operate inside a broad equilibrium zone after completing a prolonged downward phase earlier in the month. The decline lost momentum as price entered a high-participation area, where trading activity became increasingly balanced and rotational. Since then, the market has developed a wide consolidation band, signaling a temporary standoff between directional conviction and liquidity accumulation. Recent sessions show price repeatedly rotating through the center of this zone, forming alternating impulses that lack continuation. This pattern reflects a market focused on collecting orders rather than trending. Each short-lived push quickly transitions back into the range, indicating absorption on both sides and limited willingness from participants to sustain directional movement. The lower portion of the range has begun attracting more activity, suggesting interest from larger players seeking efficient fill zones before any expansion. Price behaviour here is characterized by controlled sweeps, shallow recoveries, and frequent re-tests of the mid-band — signs of liquidity harvesting rather than aggressive distribution. Forward behaviour on the chart implies that the market may first dip into the lower liquidity pocket to finalize order collection. Once this pocket is satisfied, conditions become favourable for a transition into an expansion phase targeting the upper boundary of the current equilibrium. This type of structure is common before major repricing, as it reflects the buildup of untriggered positions awaiting execution. Overall, Bitcoin is in a preparation phase where energy is being stored, volatility is compressing, and liquidity is reorganizing. The next significant development is likely to emerge once the market completes its sweep of inefficient areas inside the range and finds a stable base for expansion.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
ETH 1H Outlook: Key Support Retest With Potential Downside RiskKey observations: 1. Support Level Under Pressure ETH is retesting this support multiple times. The annotation suggests: “SUPPORT IF BREAKS THEN WE CAN SEE MORE DOWNWORD” — meaning a breakdown could trigger further selling. 2. Downside Targets If the current support fails, the next liquidity zones highlighted are: FVG (Fair Value Gap) around $2,950–$2,900 Extreme POI zone around $2,880–$2,850 Major support at $2,787 (marked as “next support”). 3. Upside Scenario If support holds, ETH could bounce toward: $3,078 $3,134 High resistance around $3,225 4. Market Structure Several CHoCH and BOS labels indicate mixed structure, showing recent weakness but with potential for rebound if buyers defend support strongly.
by KingProTrader
ETH Bullish Outlook: Tokenization Boom to $9K in 2026CRYPTO:ETHUSD Asset: ETH/USD Timeframe: Weekly Hey traders! 🚀 Ethereum's dipping into December around $3,100 after some post-ATH consolidation, but the setup screams reversal. Fundstrat's Tom Lee is calling for a monster rally to $9,000 by 2026, fueled by tokenization exploding across finance. That's nearly 190% upside—ETH's about to steal the spotlight from BTC! Key Analysis: Macro Tailwinds: ETH's riding BTC's coattails but with extra juice from spot ETF inflows and real-world asset tokenization. As Wall Street piles in, expect ETH to decouple upward—watch for Nasdaq sync and weakening USD to amplify the move. Technical Setup: Rock-solid support at $2,800, the recent higher low that's holding like a champ. Daily RSI oversold, bullish MACD crossover brewing, and on-chain metrics show whales accumulating. Smash $3,500 resistance, and we're blasting toward $4,500 next. Risks: Near-term volatility if broader risk assets falter, but ETF demand and layer-2 scaling keep the floor intact for the long haul. Trade Signal: Entry: Long ETH/USD at $3,000 (confirmation above $2,800 support). Target 1: $4,000 (short-term, ~30% gain). Target 2: $9,000 (Tom Lee tokenization target by mid-2026). Stop Loss: $2,700 (below key support to guard the downside). Risk/Reward: 1:4+ on the primary target. Position size: 1-2% of portfolio. Chart snapshot: Weekly candles forming a bullish pennant at $2,800, with Fibonacci retracement eyeing $9K extension. Overlay ETH ETF flows for that institutional vibe! (Pro tip: Compare with BTC dominance to spot ETH's breakout edge.) Idea by Signal Squad Published: December 8, 2025 What do you think, squad? ETH outpacing BTC in 2026, or more sideways grind? Drop your takes below—let's squad up! #ETH #CryptoSignals #SignalSquad
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by SignalSquad
BTC Bullish Outlook: Riding the Wave to $170K in 2026CRYPTO:BTCUSD Asset: BTC/USD Timeframe: Weekly Hey traders! 🚀 With Bitcoin kicking off December on a softer note around $85K, the market's digesting some Q4 turbulence, but we're eyeing a major reversal. Drawing from JPMorgan's fresh take, BTC could mirror gold's trajectory and surge to $170K within the next 6-12 months. That's an 84% upside from here—don't sleep on this! Key Analysis: Macro Tailwinds: BTC's negative correlation with the USD is flashing green as the dollar weakens. Pair that with its risk-on dance with stocks (watch Nasdaq for cues), and we're primed for a breakout. Technical Setup: We've got support holding firm at the $80K psychological level—classic round-number magnet for BTC. RSI is oversold on the daily, MACD showing divergence, and options data screams "range-bound now, explosive later." Break above $90K, and it's game on toward the next roundie at $100K. Risks: Short-term chop if stocks wobble further, but long-dated option builds suggest stability before the boom. Trade Signal: Entry: Long BTC/USD at $82,000 (confirmation above $80K support). Target 1: $100,000 (short-term, ~20% gain). Target 2: $170,000 (JPM moonshot by mid-2026). Stop Loss: $75,000 (below key support to protect downside). Risk/Reward: 1:3+ on the primary target. Position size: 1-2% of portfolio. Chart snapshot: Imagine a weekly candlestick with a bullish engulfing at $80K, Fibonacci extensions pointing to $170K, and gold overlay for that JPM vibe. (Pro tip: Overlay GLD on your BTC chart for visual confirmation!) Idea by Signal Squad Published: December 8, 2025 What do you think, squad? Bullish breakout or more consolidation? Drop your thoughts below—let's discuss! #BTC #CryptoSignals #SignalSquad
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SignalSquad
Weekly Analysis BTC with Sell and Buy scenarios..Here is the weekly analysis of BTC including various topics of ICT, Price action etc. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Join me on live stream for real time update. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
DELTAIN:BTCUSD.P
by HareeyMarketMantraah
Major Cycle in Crypto Market (Attention Hedge Funds)Cycle-1: Bitcoin’s First Major Boom–Bust Structure (2013–2015) (Screenshot-1 Breakdown) Understanding Bitcoin’s historical behaviour is essential for forecasting macro-cycles in the crypto market. This post is the first of a 4-part series, where each screenshot highlights a repeating structural pattern in BTC’s long-term market psychology. After all four cycles are explained, I will present the combined Buy, Sell or Hold conclusion for long-term investors and institutional desks. 🟦 Cycle-1 Overview (April 2013 – January 2015) In the first major structural cycle of Bitcoin, a very clear macro behaviour emerged — a pattern that continues to repeat across all future cycles. 🔵 Step 1 — ATH (A) Formed (April 2013) Bitcoin printed a strong All-Time High (A) in April 2013, marking the top of its first major momentum wave. 🟢 Step 2 — Breakout Above ATH (A) → New ATH (B) (Nov 2013) Once BTC broke above Point A, it entered an aggressive parabolic rally, setting a new ATH (B) in November 2013. This breakout phase triggered: FOMO-driven retail participation Sharp acceleration in volatility Rapid expansion in price multiples 🔴 Step 3 — Post-Breakout Collapse: -75% to -80% Drawdown After forming ATH (B), Bitcoin failed to sustain the parabolic breakout. A deep correction followed: –75% to –80% decline Capitulation phase Panic selling and liquidity contraction This phase marks the beginning of the macro mean-reversion cycle, a consistent signature in BTC’s long-term structure. 🟣 Step 4 — Price Returns to Previous ATH (A) The most important element of Cycle-1: After making a new ATH (B), Bitcoin retraced back to the previous ATH (A) Time taken: 15–17 months This behaviour is extremely rare in traditional markets but has repeated consistently in Bitcoin’s long-term structure. 📌 Why This Cycle Matters Cycle-1 establishes the foundation for a powerful historical pattern: BTC tends to fall back to its previous ATH after forming a new ATH. This phenomenon repeats due to: Leverage washouts Liquidity resets Miner capitulation Long-term holder profit-taking Macro monetary tightening phases This is Cycle-1. In the next screenshots, we will see how Cycle-2, Cycle-3, and Cycle-4 follow the same structural behaviour. ⏭️ Coming Next (Screenshot-2): “Post-2017 Cycle — New ATH → 83% Crash → Return to Previous ATH.” Cycle-2: 2017 Parabolic Expansion → 2018–2019 Reset (Screenshot-2 Breakdown) This is the second chart in the ongoing 4-part series highlighting Bitcoin’s macro boom-and-bust rhythm—a structural pattern that repeats regardless of market participants, liquidity cycles, or macroeconomic conditions. Cycle-2 again confirms that Bitcoin follows a highly predictable long-term retracement behaviour after every breakout to a new All-Time High. 🟦 Cycle-2 Overview (2017–2019) This cycle mirrors the exact structure of Cycle-1: Break previous ATH Establish new ATH Drop –75% to –80% Return to previous cycle’s ATH Time duration: 15–17 months Let’s break down the chart step-by-step. 🔵 Step 1 — BTC Breaks Previous ATH on May–June 2017 (Point E) In early 2017, Bitcoin broke the previous cycle’s ATH (from 2013–2014). This breakout point is marked as: Point E (May–June 2017) Acts as the new cycle support Represents the start of the parabolic expansion leg This breakout confirms institutional liquidity entry and the beginning of a classic crypto macro-cycle. 🟢 Step 2 — Massive Rally to New ATH (Point F) — Dec 2017 After the breakout at E, Bitcoin entered its most aggressive historical rally: BTC exploded into a full parabolic top New ATH formed at Point F (Dec 2017) Extreme retail inflow and speculative leverage ICO mania peak This is similar to the 2013 pattern—breakout → acceleration → parabolic top. 🔴 Step 3 — Reversal and Deep Crash: –75% to –82% Post-ATH, Bitcoin collapsed sharply: Total Drawdown: –75% to –82% Duration: 455 days (≈15 months) Angle of correction: Steep capitulation slope (as shown in your chart) ICO bubble burst + liquidity draining Dominance reset + long-term distribution The depth and duration match Cycle-1 almost exactly. 🟣 Step 4 — Price Re-tests Previous ATH Zone (Point G — Mar 2019) Just like Cycle-1, Bitcoin returned precisely to the previous breakout area: Cycle Support (E) → Retest at G Time Duration: ≈15–17 months Price forms a demand zone around the previous ATH Bottoming structure completes at G (March 2019) This confirms again: Bitcoin always re-tests its previous ATH after forming a new ATH — within a fixed time band of ~15–17 months. Cycle-2 perfectly aligns with the behavioural signature of Cycle-1. 📌 Why Cycle-2 Matters to Institutions This cycle reveals Bitcoin’s predictable macro liquidity reset pattern: Break previous ATH → Excess speculation → Parabolic top Systemic deleveraging → –80% correction Return to previous cycle’s ATH support Fresh long-term accumulation This behaviour is structurally identical across multiple halving cycles. Cycle-3: 2020 Breakout → 2021 Mania → 2022–2023 Reset (Screenshot-3 Analysis) This third chart demonstrates the strongest confirmation of Bitcoin’s repeating macro-cycle structure. Despite greater institutional involvement, derivatives expansion, and global liquidity changes, Bitcoin still respected the same 75–80% retracement and 15–17-month correction window. Cycle-3 proves the pattern is structural, not accidental. 🟦 Cycle-3 Overview (2020–2023) Like previous cycles: BTC breaks previous ATH Creates a new ATH Drops –75% to –80% Comes back to retest the previous ATH Same time duration: ~15–17 months Let’s decode the chart. 🔵 Step 1 — BTC Breaks Previous ATH in Nov–Dec 2020 (Point H) Bitcoin broke the 2017 ATH during late 2020: Breakout Point H (Nov 2020) This previous ATH (Point F = Point H) becomes the new major cycle support zone Triggered institutional FOMO: MicroStrategy, Tesla, hedge funds This breakout ignited the strongest bull run in Bitcoin’s history. 🟢 Step 2 — Bitcoin Forms a New ATH in Nov 2021 (Point I) Following the breakout at H: BTC surged to a macro ATH at Point I (Nov 2021) Fueled by: Unlimited liquidity (pandemic QE) Institutional buyers ETF expectations Retail mania & leverage This top perfectly mirrors the parabolic peaks from 2013 and 2017. 🔴 Step 3 — Deep Macro Crash: –75% to –80% After the November 2021 top: BTC entered a systemic deleveraging phase Complete 2022 crypto meltdown: Luna collapse Celsius, Voyager, BlockFi FTX implosion Price fell 77% from the ATH Duration: 485 days (~16 months) Exactly the same timing window as the previous two cycles. 🟣 Step 4 — Retest of Previous ATH Support (Point J — Mar 2023) Just like Cycle-1 (2013 → 2015) and Cycle-2 (2017 → 2019): Bitcoin again returned exactly to its previous ATH zone: Support Retest Point J (Mar 2023) Perfect touch of the 2020 breakout zone Massive demand entered the market Cycle bottom completed right on schedule This completes the third full repeat of BTC’s long-term structural cycle. 📌 Institutional Takeaway Cycle-3 confirms: Bitcoin’s macro behaviour is identical across 2013, 2017, and 2021 cycles — regardless of market maturity. Every time Bitcoin breaks its previous ATH: It creates a new parabolic peak Then crashes 75–80% Then returns to retest the previous ATH level All within a consistent 15–17 month window This makes Bitcoin the most predictable high-beta asset on the planet at a macro timescale. Cycle-4: Oct-2024 Breakout → Oct-2025 ATH → Mar-2027 Retest of Legacy Support After analyzing the previous three Bitcoin macro cycles (2013–2015, 2017–2019, 2021–2023), the new chart strongly suggests that Bitcoin is following the exact same structural behaviour for the 4th time. This idea explains why BTC may enter a 15–17 month decline starting from the Oct-2025 macro top, and why the next major demand zone sits around 30,000 USD in Mar-2027. 🟥 1. Break of Previous ATH (I = K) — Oct 2024 Bitcoin broke above its previous ATH zone in Oct 2024, exactly like in all earlier cycles: 2013 ATH break → 2013 bull run 2017 ATH break → 2020–2021 bull run 2021 ATH break → 2024 surge 2024 ATH break → current cycle This breakout (I = K level) becomes the new structural support for the cycle bottom later. 🟩 2. BTC Forms New Macro ATH (Point L) — Oct 2025 One year later, Bitcoin printed a new ATH around Oct 2025, marking the peak of Cycle-4. Previous cycles also peaked approx. 11–14 months after breaking the last ATH, which strengthens this model. 🔻 3. Post-ATH Crash Begins — Same Pattern, Same Angle, Same Duration All 3 previous cycles share: • 75%–80% decline • Duration: 15–17 months • Final target: previous ATH or the ATH-1 level Your chart highlights the same decline angle and same time window (Oct-2025 → Mar-2027). This is exactly what Bitcoin has done before: Cycle ATH → Bottom Duration Drop Retest Level 2013 → 2015 15 months –86% Previous ATH 2017 → 2019 17 months –84% Previous ATH 2021 → 2023 16 months –77% Previous ATH 2025 → 2027 (Prediction) 15–17 months –75% to –80% Previous ATH Nothing in the 2024–2025 structure breaks this long-term behaviour. 🟦 4. Current Price Near “N” = Retesting Breakout Support BTC is currently trading back near the Oct-2024 breakout level, marked as: N = Previous ATH Support Zone Historically, this level is not the final bottom. It is only the first macro support touch before the full 75–80% correction completes. Because the full 15–17 month window has not yet played out, a deeper decline remains statistically likely. 🟡 5. Final Prediction — BTC Bottom Around 30,000 USD (Mar-2027) Following cycle symmetry: Top: Oct-2025 Drop duration: 15–17 months Bottom: Mar-2027 (same month as previous major bottom in Mar-2023) Target zone: $30,000 ≈ last-to-last ATH (2020 level) This fits perfectly with all 4 historical cycles. This means BTC may revisit the deep demand zone before the next major bull cycle begins. 📌 Final Outlook (Important for Long-Term Investors) If Bitcoin truly repeats its macro cycle: The best long-term buying opportunity would occur in Mar 2027 Price reading: $28K–$32K After that, BTC begins Cycle-5 (likely targeting $180K–$250K) This idea is not short-term trading advice; it is a macro-cycle pattern that has consistently repeated for 12+ years. 🟡 BUY / SELL / HOLD — Clear Conclusion SELL / REDUCE RISK If you are a trader or short-term investor, Bitcoin is in the post-ATH declining phase, which historically produces 15–17 months of lower prices. HOLD (Long-Term Only) Long-term holders can remain calm but should expect deep volatility, not straight-up movement. BUY (Smart Accumulation Window) The next high-conviction buying zone will be: 🔥 $28K–$32K 🔥 Timeline: Mar 2027 That will be the start of the next Bitcoin mega cycle (Cycle-5). 📢 Final Message This research is not about fear or hype—it is about Bitcoin’s consistent repeating macro behaviour. Every single major crash and rally of the last decade followed the same timing, structure, and depth. Bitcoin is not random. Bitcoin is cyclical. And the cycle says: **The real bottom is not here yet. The real opportunity comes in 2027.**
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Adijohn
Weekly analysis BTC with high RnR scenariosBTC is now in consolidation zone and may spend some more days. It may also develop ABC pattern or reversal at daily level, if price has to change its delivery and take turn from here. This zone is kind of make or break. If price is not able to sustain and breakdown, then it may witness ~65-70K levels as well. We hope for reversal from this level as price is developing the pattern at higher time frame. 1. Price has taken liquidity or 82K and almost touched 80K. 2. It has inversed 1Day FVG and now price is consolidating in the range between EMAs. 3. We may expect price retracement till 1D iFVG and then reversal. 4. Before to that we may see sweep of 92900 (1D CISD) level and then a retracement short trade till 1D FVG 5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF. 6. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (5m/15m) at FVG zone. 7. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high RnR trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Join me on live stream for real time update. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by HareeyMarketMantraah
1
Weekly Gold analysis & 8R scenarioLast week gold closed positively with a strong candle showing positivity and approaching to a strong 4H FVG nested inside weekly quadrant level and making cluster. We may see both buying and selling scenarios. Gold has also broken 4H trend line and retested it. So we can see a possible move till FVG. We may also witness a breakout if price violates FVG and breaks all time high with strong volume support. 1. Price is creating higher highs in micro structure level and approaching towards 4hours FVG after breaking and retesting trend line at 4 Hours. 2. Trend line breakout is supported by strong volume. 3. Price is continuously running above EMAs confirming up move for now. 4. We may see a reversal scenario at 4 hour FVG level. 5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF. 6. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (1h/15m) at FVG zone. 7. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~8R trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Join me on live stream for real time update. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HareeyMarketMantraah
1