The Dead Cat Bounce Trap — Why a 40% Fallen Stock Can Still FallA stock falls 40%.
Then suddenly...
It starts moving up.
+5%
+10%
+15%
The chart starts looking better.
Retail traders start thinking:
“The fall is over. Reversal has started.”
And this is where the trap can begin.
A sharp bounce after a major decline does not automatically mean the original downtrend is over.
Sometimes it is simply a relief rally inside a larger bearish structure.
Think about this simple sequence:
-50% → +18% → -30%
The stock falls heavily.
Then buyers step
Deadcatbounce
SENSEX Weekly Analysis [21 Sep - 25 Sep, 2026]Probable Price Structure and Scenario Analysis for the SENSEX BSE:SENSEX Index. It is a weekly analysis (21st to 25th of September, 2026).
🟢 Bullish Scenario
Presently, there is no bullish scenario. The main trend is bearish. All the upmoves should be viewed with suspicion. But there are signs of a trend reversal. There is a possibility of a "Dead Cat Bounce." If the price sustains above 74750, then a weak bullish target would be 75000. Next, if the price sustains above 75000, then a mild
Nifty’s Fake Comeback?Nifty had an impressive bull run this year, hitting an all-time high of 26,000 in September 2024. It was all sunshine and rainbows—until it wasn’t. The index has since dropped 10% and is now crawling its way back up. But let’s not get carried away just yet.
After reaching its ATH, Nifty dropped by 10%. Now, it’s trying to recover, but the road ahead looks uncertain. A critical pattern has emerged in the charts: a head-and-shoulders pattern. Currently, Nifty has climbed back to the neckline of t
ULong
NIFTY INDEX VIEW NIFTY WEEKLY CHART ANALYSIS
-SINCE 9TH 2017 OCT 9950 HAS BEEN A CRUCIAL SUPPORT FOR THE INDEX QUIET A FEW TIMES
-REMEMBER HIGHER THE TIME-FRAME STRONGER IS THE SUPPORT/RESISTANCE
-WE TOOK LOT OF TIME TO BREAK ABOVE 9950 INITALLY
-BUT SINCE OCT OF 2017 WE HAVEN'T GONE BELOW IT
-DUE TO THE PANDEMIC THE LEVEL WAS FINALLY BROKEN IT TRAPPED SOME SHORT PLAYERS
-BUT EVENTUALLY GAVE IN
FIBO-LEVELS
-CURRENTLY MARKET REVERSED FROM ITS 50% RETRACEMENT LEVELS ON THE INDEX
-ALMOST SAME LEVELS ARE VISIB
Pullback upto 700-708 is expected before resumption of downtrendAXIS BANK: After the trendline breakout in July the stock has given a good downward movement & has clearly taken a support around 61.80% Fibo Retracement. I expect this pullback to continue this week & the stock will try to fill the gap. Thus, a pullback upto 700 – 708 range can be expected. But in my view this might be a Dead Cat Bounce (DCB) & soon we might see the downtrend to continue with the stock seeing new lows in coming months. In long term we might see this downward rally to continue





