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Economic Cycles

CRYPTO WEEKLY OUTLOOK 10/11/25 - 17/11/25Wassup Lads! So crypto is clearly in a downtrend as of now targeting pending daily sell side liquidity but it's also in a monthly key level that is a fair value gap, so what I am expecting price to do now is take out the pending lows on the daily timeframe on BTCUSDT and inverse the daily fair value gap, this would also cause an SMT Divergence with ETHUSDT signalling a shift in orderflow. So right now it's headed lower. This is my plan, 1. Sell to the lows 2. Wait for an inversion of the daily bearish fair value gap on BTCUSDT, to confirm a reversal for buys. Remember to - 1. Manage Risk 2. Do your own research 3. Stay Disciplined
by Ksha3ya_99
FIL 4H Technical Analysis — Cycle & Key Levels Overview📊 Cycle Structure: HWC (Higher Wave Cycle): Bullish 🔽 MWC (Middle Wave Cycle): Range 🔁 LWC (Lower Wave Cycle): Bearish 🔼 📌 Market Context & Structure:🔽 FIL is moving within a box-like consolidation after a recent upward move. Volume shows slight weakening, suggesting potential for a controlled breakout. Key resistance is around 0.0245–0.0250, previously tested 3 times. A trendline on the 4H chart has had 4 touches; the 3rd touch aligns with this resistance, reinforcing its significance. 🎯 Trade Considerations: Long Opportunity: Breakout above 0.0250 could provide a solid long entry if confirmed with volume. Short / Pullback: If price fails at the trendline or resistance, short-term pullbacks are possible. Keep stops tight due to LWC bearish pressure. The current box could act as an accumulation zone; watching for a confirmed breakout is key. 📌 If you want a specific coin analyzed, drop a comment and I’ll do it for you. ⚠️ Without proper risk management, you're just a ticking time bomb. — PXA
Long
by parsa_xa
ADA 1H Technical Snapshot — Short Bias via Cycles, Long Opportun📊 Cycle Structure: HWC (Higher Wave Cycle): Bearish 🔽 MWC (Middle Wave Cycle): Range 🔁 LWC (Lower Wave Cycle): Bullish 🔼 📌 Overall View: The cycles suggest a short bias, but we take direction from BTC and BTC.D, which opens a potential short-term long opportunity. 📐 Market Context: BTC is in a strong support zone and BTC.D is currently bearish. ADA is at the third touch of its trendline and resistance at 0.6844 (which has seen 3 previous touches). This resistance may react, providing a good entry for a short-term long. 🎯 Trade Plan (Short-term Long): Long position is taken and will be held until price reacts to the resistance. Given BTC.D’s status, this is more favorable for altcoins. Stop-loss and risk management must be applied to control the position in case of a weak reaction or breakout. 📌 If you want a specific coin analyzed, drop a comment and I’ll do it for you. ⚠️ Without proper risk management, you're just a ticking time bomb. — PXA | Cycle & Structure-Based Trading
Long
by parsa_xa
AMBER ENTERPRISESTrend: The stock is maintaining a strong uptrend, respecting a well-defined ascending trendline that has been acting as dynamic support since early 2024. Higher highs and higher lows confirm bullish market structure. Support Zones: Primary demand zone near ₹7,400–₹7,600 aligns with the uptrend line. Secondary demand zone around ₹6,800–₹7,000, near an open gap, offering strong positional support. Resistance / Breakout Level: The price is currently testing the ₹8,150–₹8,200 resistance zone, which aligns with previous equal highs (Eq Highs). A confirmed breakout above this zone could trigger strong bullish momentum. Price Action Setup: The chart shows a tight consolidation just below resistance, indicating accumulation before breakout. If price closes decisively above ₹8,200 with volume, continuation toward ₹9,000–₹9,500 is likely. Outlook: As long as the price sustains above the uptrend line and ₹7,600 zone, the bias remains bullish. A clean breakout could mark the start of a new impulse wave
NSE:AMBERLong
by ChartistHub
How to draw Curve line with Fib Time Zone ToolThe Fibonacci Time Zone tool in TradingView is a technical analysis drawing feature that plots a series of vertical lines along the time (horizontal) axis of a price chart. These lines are spaced according to the Fibonacci sequence (starting with 0, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, etc.), where each subsequent number is the sum of the two preceding ones. Unlike price-focused Fibonacci tools (e.g., retracements or extensions), this tool ignores price levels entirely and focuses solely on time intervals to forecast potential market turning points. It is typically drawn by selecting two points on the chart—often a significant swing high or low as the starting point (time 0)—and then extending lines to the right at Fibonacci-based intervals. The first few lines (e.g., 1, 2, 3) often cluster closely and are less reliable, so traders commonly start analyzing from the 5th or 8th zone (13 or 21 periods ahead) for more spaced-out projections. Key Benefits of the Fibonacci Time Zone Tool in TradingView This tool adds a temporal dimension to technical analysis, complementing price-based indicators by helping traders anticipate when significant events might occur rather than just where in price. The Curved Line tool in TradingView allows users to draw smooth, freeform curves on a chart to connect price points, highlight trends, or mark custom patterns. Unlike straight lines (e.g., trendlines or channels), the Curved Line adapts to non-linear price movements, offering flexibility to trace organic patterns like arcs, parabolas, or irregular price paths. It’s accessible via the drawing tools menu and can be customized with colors, thickness, and styles (e.g., solid or dashed). Traders use it to visualize patterns that don’t fit rigid geometric shapes, such as rounded tops/bottoms or complex wave structures. Key Benefits of the Curved Line Tool in TradingView The Curved Line tool provides unique advantages for technical analysis by accommodating the non-linear nature of price action. Below are its primary benefits: Visualizing Non-Linear Price Patterns: Benefit: The tool excels at mapping curved price movements, such as rounded tops/bottoms, parabolic trends, or smooth reversals, which straight trendlines can’t capture accurately. For example, during a parabolic run in a stock or crypto chart, a curved line can trace the accelerating trend better than a straight line.
NSE:RELIANCE
by askbiswanath2025
Nifty - Elliot Wave Counts - Update (Neutral)In our last post we discussed that in short term 25700 is the target and if we cross that, then Leading diagonal gets invalidated and hence we look for much higher levels. Last post: Thankfully, we didn't get out in shakeouts and rode the entire move till +25600 Now, unfortunately we did not cross 25700 and hence the chance of Wave 1 or something else ending at 25670 became stronger. As of now, we are at a place where there is a lot of confusion. I see a 5th up pending in wider indices, but Nifty seems done. So, is there a possibility that other indices go up, while Nifty just does a pullback as part of the correction and not make a new swing high? A few charts for reference: Nifty Smallcap: Nifty 500: That's about the counts : From other technicals perspective the move looks very similar to Sep 2022 - March 2023 period. But where in that period are we? PA (point A)Oct 2022 - where one more high till Dec 2022 is left? or PB - Feb 2023 - where we just get a pullback and drift lower? (I have marked green arrows on RSI charts to show the reference) So, what do we do in such case? Ditch nifty, play stocks. Lot of stocks looking good - starting 5th up (Just browse through and you'll find many making similar structure as SmallCap index) (Hint - Defence, Realty, Autos, Metals, Pharma) All the best! I will share updates, if I get more clarity on Nifty - till then enjoy the stocks and trade light - remember we are playing seemingly the last leg. :)
NSE:NIFTY
by pankajarora232
6
9 SMS + Market Structure + HTF 🔥 A Simple Strategy That Works: 9 SMA + Market Structure: Over the last 18 years in the markets, I’ve noticed one common pattern among struggling traders—they jump from strategy to strategy, get caught up in countless indicators, and lose sight of the basics. The truth is, simplicity wins. And the most powerful tool you can master? 👉 Market Structure. ✅ Market Structure 101: Uptrend: Higher Highs (HH) + Higher Lows (HL) Downtrend: Lower Highs (LH) + Lower Lows (LL) Sideways: Ranging or consolidating zones Once you understand this, trading becomes more visual and logical. And to complement this understanding, I recommend one tool that works across all timeframes: 🔄 The 9 SMA Strategy (Simple Moving Average) This is not a magic trick—it’s a clean, effective way to stay in sync with the trend. When used with multiple timeframes (Monthly, Weekly, Daily), it becomes a strong confirmation tool. Let’s take Tata Motors as an example: 📈 Monthly Chart: Trading above the 9 SMA Near psychological level ₹1000 Had a rally 3–4 months ago, now consolidating Not a confirmed breakdown yet – monthly is still holding structure 📊 Weekly Chart: Just crossing above 9 SMA Indicates strength building back up 📉 Daily Chart: Also crossing 9 SMA Shows possible trend continuation ✅ Double confirmation from Daily + Weekly ➡️ This signals potential swing or positional trade setup 🎯 Key Takeaways: Follow the Market Structure Understand HH-HL or LH-LL formations before jumping into trades. Use the 9 SMA on multiple timeframes Let smaller timeframes guide the early signs of trend shifts Avoid complexity Stick to one simple method and master it. Risk Management Never invest all at once. If you have ₹1,00,000, break it into 4 or 5 parts. This reduces emotional pressure and helps you stay objective. 📌 Final Thoughts: Swing and positional trading doesn’t have to be overwhelming. Keep your tools simple, your analysis structured, and your emotions in check. I have also curated a list of 50 highly liquid F&O stocks based on beta, volatility, volume, and liquidity. If you'd like access to that list, just drop a comment or message, and I’ll be happy to share it with you. Keep it simple. Stay consistent. The market rewards discipline, not complexity.
NSE:BAJFINANCE
by ITCconceptsMarketStructure
6
Analysis of Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 15-Minute ChartHistorical Trend: The chart displays the Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) price movement on a 15-minute timeframe from June 22 to June 23, 2025. The price experienced a sharp decline from a peak around $3,369.447, followed by a potential reversal pattern. Key Levels: Stop Loss: Set at $3,369.447 (red line), indicating the upper limit to exit a short position if the price reverses upward. Entry: Positioned at $3,362.463 (gray line), marking the entry point for a potential short trade after the peak. Target 1: $3,353.009 (green line), the first profit-taking level. Target 2: $3,340.915 (green line), the second profit-taking level. Target 3: $3,323.157 (green line), the final target for the short trade. Recent Price Action: The price peaked near $3,369.447 and began a downward move, forming a potential shorting opportunity (labeled 1-5). The chart suggests a bearish pattern with the price breaking below a support level, followed by a retest (2) and continuation downward (3, 4). The current position (5) indicates the price is approaching Target 1. Projected Movement: The downward projection suggests the price could reach Target 1 at $3,353.009, with potential to hit Target 2 at $3,340.915 and Target 3 at $3,323.157 if the bearish momentum persists. A break above $3,369.447 would invalidate the short setup. Volume and Indicators: The chart includes Bollinger Bands (O3,362.860 H3,363.070 L3,361.747 C3,362.295) with a -0.615 (-0.02%) change, indicating low volatility. The pattern suggests a momentum shift, though specific volume data is not detailed. Outlook: The chart outlines a shorting strategy with clear entry and exit levels. The price is currently in a bearish phase, with potential targets at $3,353.009, $3,340.915, and $3,323.157. Monitor for a break above $3,369.447 to reassess the trade, as it would signal a bullish reversal.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NaviPips