SPARC - Monthly chart BreakoutThis is for education purpose. Invest only after taking advice from your investment manager.
SPARC has broken multi monthly box trap net and in recent breakout in 2021 shows that it has potential to hit 292.
Please do let me know if there are any suggestions or questions. Will be happy to read comments
Economic Cycles
PDS Multinational educational viewPDSMFL consolidating in parallel range of 900 to 1050, the stock rallied strongly post last consolidation. I assume the stock to be positional pick for medium term, as i am a learner and posted this for educational purpose,please correct and guide me if i have missed anything , so everyone could learn.
A Red Candle will confirm the downtrend for NIFTYAfter one indecisive candle, there are two red candles has shown for NIFTY, one more RED candle comes today, than it will confirm downtrend for NIFTY for next couple of days.
Friday’s candle was also kind of indecisive.
$ is going up
Crude Oil is going up
Gold is going down.
[SHORT TERM] INDIABULLS HOUSING FINANCE 12%, 22%, 38% PROFITUptrend - Fib retracement.
Previous swing retracement level 0.618
Swing high -271
Low - 228
Retracement - 246
Target Achieved - 313 (2.618).
Current Swing retracement level 0.618
High - 313
Retracement - 267
Low - 246
CMP - 280 Entry Level
T1 - 313 - 12%
T2 - 341 - 22% (1.618)
T3 - 387 - 38% (2.618)
SL - 260 Previous swing close.
Note: Previous resistance at 2020 - 360 level.
current count super cycle-3-cycle-1,primary-5 super cycle degree-white
cycle impulse-yellow,
cycle correction-red,
primary impulse-blue
currently we are in super cycle degree wave 3 which is supposed to be most powerful impulse,hence as an individual one should always look to buy this stock be it for intraday,swing or positional trading as higher degree will always have bigger impact on price movement.
In coming days(this month end) if prices correct's and gives negative closing on monthly chart than we can assume that wave 1(cycle) of wave 3 (super cycle 3) has ended and wave 2(cycle) correction can take prices in the range of 89-70.Following wave 3-4-5 target's are as follow's
assuming wave 2(cycle)ending @70.
wave 3(cycle):70-280
wave 4(cycle):280-200
wave 5(cycle):200-460/480.longest among 1,3,5 as generally seen in commodities.
Mind well this are just ideal projection as per text-book guidelines.Actual levels may differ.Whole idea behind this post is to share insight on current wave count on long term price action.
Eth Wyckoff AccumulationEth has just played off a classic Wyckoff accumulation pattern. I had followed this ever since the secondary test, and the spring and LPS has played off since then. Sharing it to reach a wider audience. Thanks to uncomplication on YouTube for introducing me to Wyckoff patterns!
Andhra Sugar - Weekly Breakout. Looking good on WoW Basis#ANDHRSUGAR
Perfect candidate to ride the Soft Commodity and Sugar Rally and hence my conviction here. Numbers listed are weekly considerations
Entered at - 442
Stop Loss - 415
Target 1 – 486 ( Next coming days )
Target 2 – 592 ( 4 to 5 months )
Target 3 - 672 ( 8 to 10 months )
Some of you might not agree with the gap between SL and entry price but I am okay to let this play with my risk appetite for next coming days and next 4 to 5 months
On Daily chart is it now retesting its breakout level. If stock sustains levels of 415 on weekly closing, then its expected to move into predicted trajectory as reflected above
Volume spurt has also been noticed on WoW basis for last 4 weeks. Good sign of buyer interest in order to move towards predicted trajectory
Disclaimer -
- The view expressed here are my personal views. I am publishing this for my own records and what I see on charts.
- If you're referring to this, please consider this ONLY FOR educational & research purposes.
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same. DO NOT consider this as an investment suggestion.
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial advisor before investing.
TIA!
MARKEY CYCLES PSYCHOLOGY | EMOTIONS & COGNITIVE BIASES
All markets go through cycles of expansion and contraction.
📈When a market is in an expansion phase (an uptrend), there is a sentiment of optimism, belief, and greed. Typically, these are the main emotions that lead to a strong buying activity.
Sometimes, a strong sense of greed and belief overtakes the market in such a way that a financial bubble can form. In such a scenario, many investors become irrational, losing sight of the actual value and buying an asset only because they believe the market will continue to rise.
They get greedy and irrational by the impressive bullish movement, expecting to make huge profits. As the market gets heavily overbought, the local top is created. In general, this is considered to be the point of the highest risk.
In some cases, the market will start a sideways movement while smart money steadily sells the asset. This is also called the distribution stage. However, some markets don't present a clear distribution stage, and the downtrend starts sharply after the top is reached.
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📉 When the market starts reversing, the euphoric mood can quickly turn into complacency, as many traders refuse to admit that the uptrend came to an end. As prices continue to fall, the market sentiment quickly moves to the bearish side. It often includes feelings of anxiety, denial, and panic.
In this context, by the anxiety we mean the moment when bullish biased market participants start to question why the price is falling, which soon leads to the denial stage. The denial period is marked by a sense of unacceptance. Many investors keep holding their losing positions, either because "it's too late to sell" or because they want still believe that "the market will come back soon."
But as the prices drop even lower, the selling wave gets stronger. At this point, fear and panic often lead to what is called a market capitulation (when holders give up and sell their assets close to the local bottom).
Eventually, the downtrend stops as the volatility decreases and the market stabilizes. Typically, the market experiences sideways movements before feelings of hope and optimism start arising again. Such a sideways period is called the accumulation stage.
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Indus Towers - 5G Play, Long Term AccumulationAs per Dow Theory, Indus Towers has over the years formed a classic "Accumulation - Participation - Distribution" pattern which has since mid-2019 reset back into the Accumulation phase.
On the fundamental side, 5G Technology is expected to be one of the big plays in the coming years.
Indus Towers has also slowly but steadily been accumulating into forming a bullish pennant. It may take some positive news or event to push it towards a breakout, but sooner or later looks likely.
USDINR Historic Price StructureIn the latest structure it can be seen that there is a compression in the price range. The breakout in either direction may lead to a significant move. But the trading range between 70 and 72 may act as a support on the downside.