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Moving Averages are really powerful. . . !Can you believe they are... Moving average(MA) is one of the oldest indicator. Lot of people (including me) would reject the idea that such a simple indicator can be of any use in modern day considering availability of advance computer tools. I came across free training videos of Oliver Velez who explained on how to use it. When I back tested his logic I was really surprised.. Since then I have kept 20SMA and 200SMA as default on my chart. Best part of this concept is, it works on any time frame.! MA can answer following key questions which helps anyone become good trader/investor.. Q1. Is the stock trending? and What is the direction of trend.? A1. If 20MA is flat stock is not trending. Direction of 20MA is direction of trend. Q2. How old is the trend. (if trend has just started I can board it and if it is too old I will not) A2. If 20MA is not too far from 200MA trend has just started. If 20MA is too far from 200MA be alert trend might be matured. Q3. Am I buying in value zone so that my SL is small.? A3. Buy when stock retraces near 20MA. Q4. Am I exiting at a value where I have got good amount of move. So that my profits are much higher than losses. A4. Exit when stock is far away from 20MA. I have marked all above on these chart for easy understanding. As we can see FAR and NEAR are relative terms. Hence it takes good amount of practice to grasp and trade this concept. Considering volatility lot of whipsaws can happen in intraday and daily time frame. So I started using it on weekly time frame and started getting good results with holding time of 3~10 weeks. However once you are confident in your stock selection criteria this is good way to ride a trend. We can compare trading using MA to flying kite. It is simple but not easy. One need to practice to master the skill. One need to get feel direction and gust of wind, Understand behavior of kite and finally time the action to fly kite. Hope this post will help you appreciate this oldest indicator...
Editors' picks
NSE:GESHIPEducation
by yndesai
24
Large Rectangle Breakout Seen in GAIL India Ltd.Hello Traders, i have brought another analysis on a pattern breakout which called (Rectangle Pattern). Well i have marked and written most of the things on chart, but still i am gonna to teach you here guy's about this pattern so if you see this next time, at least you guy's will be able to trade. So Let's start:- Q:- What is Rectangle Pattern and How to Use Rectangle Chart Patterns to Trade Breakouts? Rahul:- A rectangle is a chart pattern formed when the price is bounded by parallel support and resistance levels. A rectangle exhibits a period of consolidation or indecision between buyers and sellers as they take turns throwing punches but neither has dominated. The price will “test” the support and resistance levels several times before eventually breaking out. From there, the price could trend in the direction of the breakout, whether it is to the upside or downside. we can clearly see Above in GAIL chart that the pair was bounded by two key price levels which are parallel to one another. So, Traders, i hope you Guy's have learned today how to Trade Rectangle Pattern, but Mates We just have to wait until one of these levels breaks and go along for the ride! Remember, when you spot a rectangle: THINK OUTSIDE THE BOX! That's it. So now let's focus about company background. Incorporated in 1984, GAIL, a Government of India undertaking, is an integrated natural gas company in India. It owns over 11,500 km of natural gas pipelines, over 2300 km of LPG pipelines, six LPG gas-processing units and a petrochemicals facility. It also has a joint-venture interest in Petronet LNG Ltd, Ratnagiri Gas and Power Pvt Ltd, and in the CGD business in several cities. GAIL has wholly owned subsidiaries in Singapore and the US for expanding its presence outside India in the segments of LNG, petrochemical trading and shale gas assets. Market Cap ₹ 76,074 Cr. Current Price ₹ 116 High / Low ₹ 123 / 83.0 Stock P/E 18.4 Book Value ₹ 98.8 Dividend Yield 3.46 % ROCE 9.79 % ROE 8.69 % Face Value ₹ 10.0 Debt ₹ 17,816 Cr. EPS ₹ 6.32 PEG Ratio 5.93 Promoter holding 51.9 % Intrinsic Value ₹ 309 Pledged percentage 0.00 % EVEBITDA 10.8 PROS Stock is trading at 1.17 times its book value Stock is providing a good dividend yield of 3.46%. Company is expected to give good quarter Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 43.6% CONS Company has a low return on equity of 13.8% over last 3 years. Earnings include an other income of Rs.2,947 Cr. Important levels for GAIL India Ltd. Buy in between 112-117. Targets we can see 130/140+ Keep Stop loss at 108.5 Price is above 200 EMA We have seen Proper Breakout of Large Rectangle Pattern in weekly timeframe. with Good Volume Price is sustaining above breakout trendline and it has given pull back to retest the levels MACD and RSI has given bullish crossover (I have not placed RSI here as i want chart neat and clean but i have analysed already) Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades. Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's. Thankyou.
Editors' picks
NSE:GAILLong
by TraderRahulPal
41
7 Expert Risk Management Techniques for TradingRisk management refers to the techniques used to identify, evaluate, and mitigate the potential risks associated with trading and investing. Whether you are a day trader, swing trader, or scalper, effective risk management can help you minimize losses and protect your hard-earned money all while maximizing potential profits. Let's take a look at the top 7 risk management techniques for trading! 👌 Have a Trading Plan ⦿ Many traders jump into the market without a thorough understanding of how it works and what it takes to be successful. You should have a detailed trading plan in place before making any trades. A well-designed trading plan is an essential tool for effective risk management. ⦿ A trading plan acts as a roadmap, laying out a set of guidelines/rules that can help traders avoid impulsive decisions. It is crucial because it requires you to think deeply about your approach before you begin risking real money. Having a plan can help you stay calm under stress as your plan will have specific steps to take for anything the market throws at you. ⦿ It is essential to clearly define your trading goals and objectives. Are you aiming for short-term gains or long-term wealth generation? Are you focused on a specific asset class or trading strategy? Setting specific and measurable goals helps you stay focused and evaluate your progress. ⦿ Another important part is to describe the trading strategy you will employ to enter and exit trades. This includes the types of analysis you will employ (technical, fundamental, or a combination), indicators or patterns you will rely on, and any specific rules for trade execution. Determine your risk tolerance, set appropriate position sizing rules, and establish stop-loss levels to limit potential losses. The Risk/reward ratio ⦿ When you are planning to open a trade, you should analyze beforehand how much money you are risking in that particular trade and what the expected positive outcome is. Here is a useful chart with some examples to understand this concept: ⦿ As you can see from the data above, a trader with a higher RR (risk-reward ratio) and a low win rate can still be profitable. ⦿ Let’s examine this a little more by looking at a profitable example with a 20% success rate, a RR ratio of 1:5, and a capital of $500. In this example, you would have 1 winning trade with a profit of $500. The losses on the other 4 trades would be a total of $400. So the profit would be $100. ⦿ An unprofitable RR ratio would be to risk, for example, $500 with a success rate of 20% and a risk/reward ratio of 1:1. That is, only 1 out of 5 trades would be successful. So you would make $100 in 1 winning trade but in the other 4, you would have lost a total of -$400. ⦿ As a trader, you need to find the perfect balance between how much money you’re willing to risk, the profits you’ll attempt to make, and the losses you’ll accept. This is not an easy task, but it is the foundation of risk management and the Long & Short Position Tools are essential. You can use our 'Long Position' and 'Short Position' drawing tools in the Forecasting and measurement tools to determine this ratio. Stop Loss/Take Profit orders ⦿ Stop Loss and Take Profit work differently depending on whether you are a day trader, swing trader, or long-term trader and the type of asset. ⦿ The most important thing is not to deviate from your strategy as long as you have a good trading strategy. For example, one of the biggest mistakes here is to change your stop loss thinking that the losses will recover... and often they never do. ⦿ The same thing happens with take profits, you may see that the asset is "going to the moon" and you decide to modify your take profit, but the thing about markets is that there are moments of overvaluation and then the price moves sharply against the last trend. ⦿ There is an alternative strategy to this, which is to use exit partials, that is closing half of your position in order to reduce the risk of your losses, or to take some profits during an outstanding run. Also remember that each asset has a different volatility, so while a stop loss of -3% is normal for a swing trading move in one asset, in other more volatile assets the stop loss would be -10%. You do not want to get caught in the middle of a regular price movement. ⦿ Finally, you can use a trailing stop, which essentially secures some profits while still having the potential to capture better performance. Trade with TP, SL, and Trailing Stop Selection of Assets and Time intervals ⦿ Choosing the right assets involves careful consideration of various factors such as accessibility, liquidity, volatility, correlation, and your preference in terms of time zones and expertise. Each asset possesses distinct characteristics and behaviors, and understanding these nuances is vital. It is essential to conduct thorough research and analysis to identify assets that align with your trading strategy and risk appetite. ⦿ Equally important is selecting the appropriate time intervals for your trading. Time intervals refer to the duration of your trades, which can span from short-term intraday trades to long-term investments. Each time interval has its own advantages and disadvantages, depending on your trading style and objectives. ⦿ Shorter time intervals, such as minutes or hours, are often associated with more frequent trades and higher volatility. Traders who prefer these intervals are typically looking to capitalize on short-term price fluctuations and execute quick trades. Conversely, longer time intervals, such as days, weeks, or months, prove more suitable for investors and swing traders aiming to capture broader market trends and significant price movements. ⦿ Take into account factors such as your time availability for trading, risk tolerance, and preferred analysis methods. Technical traders often utilize shorter time intervals, focusing on charts, indicators, and patterns, while fundamental investors may opt for longer intervals to account for macroeconomic trends and company fundamentals. For example, If you are a swing trader with a low knack for volatility, then you can trade in assets such as stocks or Gold and ditch highly volatile assets such as crypto. ⦿ Remember that there is no one-size-fits-all approach, and your choices should align with your trading style, goals, and risk management strategy. Here is a chart of Tesla from the perspective of a day trader, a swing trader, and an investor: Backtesting ⦿ Backtesting plays a crucial role in risk management by enabling traders to assess the effectiveness of their trading strategies using historical market data. It involves the application of predefined rules and indicators to past price data, allowing traders to simulate how their trading strategies would have performed in the past. ⦿ During the backtesting process, traders analyze various performance metrics of their strategies, such as profitability, risk-adjusted returns, drawdowns, and win rates. This analysis helps identify the strengths and weaknesses of the strategies, allowing traders to refine them and make necessary adjustments based on the insights gained from the backtesting results. ⦿ The primary objective of backtesting is to evaluate the profitability and feasibility of a trading strategy before implementing it in live market conditions. By utilizing historical data, traders can gain valuable insights into the potential risks and rewards associated with their strategies, enabling them to manage their risk accordingly. ⦿ However, it's important to note the limitations of backtesting. While historical data provides valuable information, it cannot guarantee future performance, as market conditions are subject to change. Market dynamics, liquidity, and unforeseen events can significantly impact the actual performance of a strategy. ⦿ There are plenty of ways to backtest a strategy. You can run a manual test using Bar Replay to trade historical market events or Paper Trading to trade real examples. Those with coding skills can create a strategy using Pine Script and run automated tests on TradingView. Here is an example of the Moving Averages Crossover strategy using Pine Script: Margin allocation We are not fortune tellers, so we cannot predict how assets will be affected by sudden major events. If the worst happens to us and we have all of our capital in a particular trade, the game is over. There are classic rules such as the maximum allocation percentage of 1% per trade (e.g. in a $20,000 portfolio this means that it cannot be risked +$200 per trade). This can vary depending on your trading strategy, but it will definitely help you manage the risk in your portfolio. Diversification and hedging ⦿ It is very important not to put all your eggs in one basket. Something you learn over the years in the financial markets is that the unexpected can always happen. Yes, you can make +1000% in one particular trade, but then you can lose everything in the next trade. ⦿ One way to avoid the cold sweats of panic is to diversify and hedge. Some stock traders buy commodities that are negatively correlated with stocks, others have a portfolio of +30 stocks from different sectors with bonds and hedge their stocks during downtrends, and others buy an ETF of the S&P 500 and the top 10 market cap cryptos. ⦿ There are unlimited possible combinations when diversifying your portfolio. At the end of the day, the most important thing to understand is that you need to protect your capital, and using the assets available to you a trader can hedge and/or diversify to avoid letting one trade ruin an entire portfolio. Thank you for reading this idea on risk management! We hope it helps new traders plan and prepare for the long run. If you're an expert trader, we hope this was a reminder about the basics. Join the conversation and leave your comments below with your favorite risk management technique! 🙌 - TradingView Team Be sure to follow us on Instagram , YouTube , and Telegram for more valuable content! 💘
Editors' picks
Education
by TradingView
10
#finnifty"Good morning! As of July 31st, there is no significant difference between the last session, but the global market has a neutral sentiment (based on only Dow Jones), and the market nature is bearish. Therefore, it doesn't matter if it opens gap-up or down. If the initial market takes sharp declines, we can expect correction continuation with minor pullbacks. On the other hand, we can expect a rally only if it opens with a gap-up and sustains above the level of fib 38%. If it sustains, our next targets are 61% and 78%. Here, I mentioned a reversal structure (alternate view). If it rejects sharply around the 61% or 78%, we can expect a correction, but use the confirmation signal of (EMA20 and fib level 38%). If it breaks both signals, we can expect a correction. Otherwise, the rally might continue."
Editors' picks
NSE:CNXFINANCE
by Manickamtraders
7
BankNifty:Tale of Triumph and Trials,Bulls or Bears-Which Side?Netflix - Scoop The riveting Netflix web series "Scoop" brought to life a powerful saying from the book **"Behind Bars in Byculla: My Days in Prison" by Jigna Vora**. The line, **"If someone says it’s raining, and another person says it’s dry, it’s not your job to quote them both. Your job is to look out of the window and find out which is true" is a fitting metaphor for our exploration of the BankNifty index.** Here, we don't just parrot what others say, we strive to unravel the truth behind the numbers and the patterns. **The story began at WaveTalks**. On the 25th of July, 2023 we published an enticing TradingView idea focusing on the BankNifty Index and outlined an **Expanded Ending Diagonal** . For the adventurous risk takers, we pointed towards potential targets: - First stop at 46155 - A second milestone at 46263 - The final leap to 46369 The narrative took a thrilling twist on the 27th of July, 2023 . The Index raced towards our 3rd target, pausing just short at 46310. Then, it took a breathtaking nosedive, shocking the bulls with a Niagara-like fall from the highs of **46310 to the lows of 45238**. **Now, traders are left wondering, "What's next?" The markets never sleep, so our story continues...** **On the larger timeframe-4 Hour Chart** We're seeing the formation of a tantalizing pattern - a potential rising wedge once again. **But here's the caveat**: **the Index needs to hold its footing at the crucial psychological level of 45525 to bounce back upwards.** **If we stand firm above 45525**, we're looking at an exciting upward trajectory: - First target at 45790 - Second target at 46300 - Third target at 46500 - **And if we cross beyond 46500**, we're aiming for a final target between **46900-47000+**, coinciding with the completion of the wedge pattern. **Here comes the thrilling climax**. **What happens after reaching a new all-time high?** Brace yourselves as we could see a rerun of the Niagara plunge from the 27th of July, 2023. From the new all-time highs of around 47000, the Index could potentially tumble to 43345, as marked by the menacing black arrow downside. **WaveTalks** wishes everyone a joyful weekend! As we delve into the narrative of BankNifty, we ask you - are you siding with the bulls or the bears? Stay tuned for more, and remember, it's not about echoing what others say, it's about understanding what's unfolding in the market.
Editors' picks
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by WaveTalks
18
KAJARIACER: The Stock You Don't Want to Miss! 📊 Key Details KAJARIACER, a ceramic industry company and part of Nifty 500 index, has been a powerhouse stock in a strong bullish trend until October 2021. The stock's historical monthly chart reveals an astounding 14,405% return from Rs. 8 to Rs. 1365, spanning from 2007 to 2021. After reaching its peak, the stock entered a consolidation phase that persisted from October 2021 until BEFORE yesterday. However, yesterday marks a significant breakthrough for KAJARIACER as it breaks out of the consolidation pattern with substantial volume. The stock opened with a gap up today, and the weekly bullish candle indicates minimal selling pressure and robust buying activity, making it an excellent candidate for a potential buy entry. Disclaimer: This analysis is solely for educational purposes and does not make me a SEBI registered analyst. Like, Comment & Follow I encourage you to like this analysis if you found it helpful and invite you to share your observations in the comments below. Your support, likes, follows, and comments motivate me to consistently share valuable insights with you. 🔍 More Analysis & Trade Setups 🔍 For more technical analysis and trade setups, make sure to follow me on TradingView: in.tradingview.com 🚀🔥 Trade with Confidence 🔥🚀 Remember, success in trading requires discipline and continuous learning. Always keep learning and growing in the market. 💥💰 Trade Wisely, Profit Greatly! 💰💥 Remember, always conduct thorough research and consider risk management before making any trading decisions. Happy trading! 📈🚀🌟
Editors' picks
NSE:KAJARIACERLong
by AfnanTAjuddin
22
ISMT technically has the Ability to give you Plenty!This analysis is purely Technical. Positive: - Annual Revenue rose 19.1%, in the last year to Rs 2,598.2 Crores. Its sector's average revenue growth for the last fiscal year was 9.5%. - Quarterly Revenue rose 12% YoY to Rs 658.7 Crores. Its sector's average revenue growth YoY for the quarter was -0.6%. - Mutual Fund Holding remained the same in the last quarter at 0%. Negative: - Annual Net Profit fell 96.3% in the last year to Rs 87.7 Crores. Its sector's average net profit growth for the last fiscal year was -53.4%. - Quarterly Net profit fell 99.7% YoY to Rs 8.4 Crores. Its sector's average net profit growth YoY for the quarter was -51.2%. Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KFIL) acquired majority stake in the Share Capital of the Company(i.e. 51.25%), making ISMT a subsidiary of KFIL w.e.f March 10, 2022. The Company is the largest integrated manufacturer of precision seamless tubes, tubular components, and steels in the Asia Pacific Region. The Company is mainly engaged in manufacturing of seamless tubes and engineering steels. Apart from tubes, ISMT Limited also manufactures a wide range of value added products for each of these industries. These include items such as bearing rings, gear blanks, shifter sleeves, cages for constant velocity joints, swaged & machined axles, threaded and coupled casings, couplings and a host of similar products. The group companies include ISMT North America, Taneja Aerospace and Aviation Limited (TAAL), Structo Hydraulics AB, Sweden and ISMT Europe, Sweden. ISMT has one of the most modern alloy steel plants in India. The factory, located at Jejuri (within a 100 km radius of ISMT's Tube plants) has a capacity of 190,000 MT per annum. The Company is currently using the de-bottlenecking and modernization process to raise its capacity in the immediate future. It plans to increase the 1,55,000 tpa tube capacity to 2,00,000 tpa. Moreover, the steel capacity of the company which is already manufacturing at the rate of 2,40,000 tpa will be raised to 3,50,000 tpa.
Editors' picks
ILong
by CannySunny
11
BHARAT ELECTRONICS LTDHello & welcome to this analysis Stock continues to be in an uptrend in the higher time frame with resistance in the monthly/weekly time frame near 145. In the lower time frame its forming a wedge like structure with a small triangle. Resistance at 128.50 support at 124. The stock has been a rank outperformer and any dips to monthly / weekly support zones would be an opportunity to buy, as well as investors could continue to do SIP in it from a long term perspective. Happy Investing
Editors' picks
NSE:BEL
by Dinesh_C_Nagpal
5
An Analysis in Harmony Top-Down Approach chart studyHello Friends, Today, we have something special in store as we take a top-down approach to analyze a specific stock - Tata Communications in the world of trading. By employing this multi-time frame method, we'll be diving into various charts, starting from the big picture down to smaller timeframes. Before we begin, please remember that trading carries risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. The analysis we're about to discuss is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Alright, let's kick off our analysis with the big picture - the monthly chart of Tata Communications. Here, we've identified an exciting Elliott wave count - the third wave of the fifth wave. According to Elliott wave theory, markets move in a series of five waves in the direction of the main trend, followed by three waves in a corrective direction. The third wave is well known for its strength and often the longest in a trending market. So, on the monthly chart of Tata Communications, we're witnessing this powerful third wave within the fifth wave, indicating potential significant moves ahead for the stock. Next, we'll move down to the weekly chart to gain more insights. On this timeframe, we observed a thrilling development - the "inverted head and shoulders" pattern. This pattern aligns perfectly with the larger Elliott wave count on the monthly chart, supporting the idea of a trend reversal and a potential new uptrend for Tata Communications. Finally, we'll zoom in even closer to the daily chart. Here, we have another intriguing pattern - a "flag and pole" pattern in the forming stage. This daily pattern further reinforces the notion of an upcoming bullish move for Tata Communications, in line with both the weekly inverted head and shoulders breakout and the monthly Elliott wave count. On daily time frame Flag and pole chart patterns, flag in formation and still breakout is pending By utilizing the top-down approach, we've gained a comprehensive understanding of Tata Communications' potential direction. The monthly Elliott wave count provided us with the big picture, the weekly inverted head and shoulders confirmed the trend reversal, and the daily flag and pole pattern hinted at a continuation of the upward movement for the stock. But remember, trading involves risks, and there are no guarantees. So, it's essential to approach it with caution and use risk management strategies to protect your capital. In conclusion, we've taken a top-down approach to analyze Tata Communications, considering the monthly Elliott wave count, the weekly inverted head and shoulders breakout, and the daily flag and pole pattern in the forming stage. Keep a close eye on these patterns and the stock's price action, and remember to trade wisely and make well-informed decisions. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Thank you for joining us on this exciting trading journey ! Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Editors' picks
NSE:TATACOMMEducation
by RK_Chaarts
23
Peter Lynch's Philosophy of Stock InvestingWho is Peter Lynch? Peter Lynch is a renowned American investor who is best known for his tenure as the manager of the Magellan Fund at Fidelity Investments from 1977 to 1990. Under Peter Lynch's leadership, the Magellan Fund became one of the most successful mutual funds in history. During his tenure, the fund averaged an annual return of around 29% , consistently outperforming the S&P 500 index. In the US, in 1960, individuals allocated 40% of their assets, including their homes, to stocks and mutual funds. By 1980, this figure dropped to 25% and has further decreased to a mere 17% in coming years. Lynch attributed this decline to people's flawed methods and their tendency to lose money when attempting to invest without proper knowledge. Peter Lynch's performance as the manager of the Fidelity Magellan Fund: Average Annual Return: During Peter Lynch's tenure from 1977 to 1990 , the Magellan Fund achieved an average annual return of approximately 29%. This means that, on average, investors in the fund experienced a 29% annual growth in their investment. Cumulative Return: Over the course of Lynch's 13-year management, the Magellan Fund delivered a cumulative return of around 2,700% . This impressive figure indicates the overall growth of the fund's value during that period. Assets Under Management: When Lynch took over the Magellan Fund in 1977, it had approximately $18 million in assets. By the time he retired in 1990, the fund's assets had grown to over $14 billion , a significant increase over the span of just over a decade. Peter Lynch's Investment Philosophy Peter Lynch's investment philosophy is centered around the idea that individual investors can achieve successful results by leveraging their own knowledge , conducting thorough research, and adopting a long-term approach. His books, such as "One Up on Wall Street" and "Beating the Street," provide valuable insights into his investment strategies. 👉 Do Your Own Research: Lynch encourages investors to conduct thorough research and analysis of companies before making investment decisions. He emphasizes the importance of researching companies and understanding their products and services. 👉 Invest in What You Know: According to Lynch, it is crucial to focus on industries and companies that individuals can relate to or understand. He believes that individual investors have an advantage when they invest in businesses they are familiar with or have personal experience in. 👉 Focus on Fundamentals: Lynch places a strong emphasis on the fundamental aspects of a company, such as earnings growth, cash flow, and balance sheet strength. He emphasizes the correlation between a company's earnings and its stock performance over the long term, dismissing the significance of external factors (such as money supply, political events, or economic predictions). 👉 Long-Term Perspective: Lynch advocates for a patient and long-term approach to investing. He suggests that investors should be willing to hold onto their investments for several years to allow for the realization of the company's growth potential. Instead of trying to time the market, regularly invest a fixed amount of money each month. 👉 Ignore Market Noise: Peter Lynch advised people to ignore short-term market fluctuations and to hold onto their stocks during rough market periods. According to him, the key to making money in stocks is to avoid being scared out of them by short-term volatility. 👉 Contrarian Approach: Lynch often looked for investment opportunities in companies that were overlooked or undervalued by the broader market. He believed that being contrarian and investing in companies with strong growth potential before they became widely recognized could lead to significant returns. 👉 Ten Baggers: Lynch is famous for identifying companies with strong growth potential before they become widely recognized. He popularized the concept of "tenbaggers," stocks that increase in value by ten times or more, and emphasizes patient investing and long-term thinking. This term was coined by Lynch in his book “One Up on Wall Street”. Top 10 Investments From 1977 until 1990, the Magellan fund averaged a 29.2% annual return and as of 2003 had the best 20-year return of any mutual fund ever. Lynch found success in a broad range of stocks from different industries. According to Beating the Street, his top 3 profitable picks while running the Magellan fund were: 1. Fannie Mae 2. Ford 3. Philip Morris Peter Lynch's Categorization of Companies ✅ Slow Growers: Slow growers are companies that operate in mature industries with limited prospects for significant expansion. They have stable and mature businesses that generate consistent but slow growth rates. These companies often have a large market share and a well-established customer base . Slow growers are known for their stability and reliability , and they typically provide dividends to their shareholders. They are considered relatively safe investments , particularly for conservative investors who prioritize steady income and capital preservation. ✅ Stalwarts: Stalwarts are large, well-established companies that have a solid track record of consistent performance. They are dominant players in their respective industries and exhibit reliable earnings and cash flows. Stalwarts may not experience rapid growth rates like fast growers, but they have the potential to grow steadily over time. These companies often have strong competitive advantages , such as brand recognition, economies of scale, or established distribution networks. Stalwarts are favoured by investors seeking consistent returns and a lower level of risk compared to more volatile stocks. ✅ Fast Growers: Fast growers are smaller companies that exhibit rapid earnings growth and operate in industries with high growth potential. These companies often operate in emerging sectors or niche markets that offer significant opportunities for expansion. Fast growers prioritize reinvesting their earnings back into the business to fuel further growth and gain market share. While fast growers can provide substantial returns to investors, they also carry higher risks . Their success is contingent upon maintaining a competitive edge, executing growth strategies effectively, and navigating market challenges . Investors interested in fast growers should carefully assess the company's growth prospects, industry dynamics, and management team's ability to sustain growth. ✅ Cyclicals: Cyclicals are companies whose earnings and stock prices are closely tied to the economic cycle. These companies' performance tends to be sensitive to changes in the overall economy , resulting in fluctuating earnings and stock prices. Industries such as automobiles, housing, manufacturing, and consumer discretionary goods often fall into this category. During economic upturns , cyclicals tend to experience increased demand and higher profitability. Conversely, during economic downturns , these companies may face reduced demand and lower profitability. Investing in cyclicals requires careful timing and analysis of the economic conditions. Cyclicals can offer significant opportunities for profit when purchased at the right point in the economic cycle. ✅ Turnarounds: Turnarounds are companies that have experienced a significant decline or financial distress but have the potential for a successful recovery. These companies often undergo management or operational changes to reverse their fortunes. Turnarounds can result from various factors such as poor strategic decisions, operational inefficiencies, or changes in market dynamics. Investing in turnarounds can be highly rewarding but also carries significant risks. Successful turnarounds require a comprehensive analysis of the company's financial health, an understanding of the management's turnaround strategy, and the ability to identify catalysts for positive change. ✅ Asset Plays: Asset plays refer to companies that possess undervalued or underutilized assets , such as real estate, intellectual property, or unused land, which can be unlocked to create value . These companies may not have strong operational businesses but possess valuable assets that can be monetized or utilized in a strategic manner. Investors interested in asset plays should thoroughly assess the value and potential of the company's assets, along with the management's ability to capitalize on them. The success of asset plays relies heavily on effective asset management , strategic partnerships, or the sale of assets to unlock value and generate returns for shareholders. Peter Lynch's investment philosophy revolves around understanding natural advantages, focusing on industries within one's expertise, and simplifying the decision-making process . His approach encourages investors to prioritize knowledge and comprehension of individual companies rather than being swayed by external factors . Lynch's approach highlights the correlation between a company's earnings and its stock performance, undermining the significance of fundamental analysis over external factors. I hope that this article has provided you with valuable insights into the investing world through the lens of Peter Lynch. 🙂 If you found this article helpful, I encourage you to share it with your family and friends because sharing knowledge is a great way to empower others and contribute to the growth of financial literacy. Disclaimer: This is NOT investment advice. This post is meant for educational purposes only. Invest your capital at your own risk.
Editors' picks
SP:SPXEducation
by johntradingwick
5
#Finnifty"Good morning! As of July 10th, the global market is showing a negative start with moderately bearish market sentiment. It might open with a gap-down. If it breaks the immediate support zone after the opening, we can expect the correction to continue. On the other hand, if the initial market experiences a sharp pullback, we can expect a minimum of 38% to 61% Fib pullback. After that, if it sustains, we can expect the pullback to continue. however, if it takes decline then we can expect correction continuation"
Editors' picks
NSE:CNXFINANCE
by Manickamtraders
9
How to get started with tradingNew to Trading? Dive in head-first with our comprehensive guide, drafted especially for beginners! 💼💡 With so many markets and strategies to choose from, it's easy to feel lost. In this post, we'll guide you through the essential steps to get started with trading and set you on the right path. 📚 Educate Yourself Initiate your trading journey by absorbing the essentials. This includes understanding various types of assets, familiarizing yourself with market terminology, discerning different trading strategies, and grasping risk management principles. Utilize a combination of mediums for learning. These could range from books, seminars, and online courses, to YouTube tutorials and our educational section . Get involved in online forums and groups where like-minded individuals share their trading experiences and insights. This can help cement your understanding of trading fundamentals. 💰 Choose Your Market Once you have a basic understanding of trading, the next step is to choose a market to trade in. You have a lot of choices like the stock market, foreign exchange (forex), or the crypto market. Consider what you like, how much volatility you can handle, and what are your financial goals. This is not an easy decision to market as global markets are massive - do your research and find the market that’s perfect for you. 🖥 Practice with a Demo Account Before you start trading with real money, it's a good idea to practice with a demo account. A demo account is a simulated trading account that allows you to practice trading without risking any real money. Use this account to test your trading strategies and get a feel for the market before you start trading with real money. This way, you get to know how to use the platform and how trading works. We at TradingView even have a special feature called Paper trading, made just for practice. Open the Trading Panel and select Paper Trading to get started. 📖 Develop a Trading Plan A trading plan serves as your personal guideline for conducting trades. It outlines your trading approach, your objectives, and risk management, and specifies when to enter or exit a trade. Implementing a trading plan helps in taking better decisions and avoiding emotional trading. 📑 Open a Trading Account Once you've educated yourself and gained some understanding of the mechanics, you need to open a trading account. There are many online brokers that you can use, and you should research them to find the one that best fits your needs. Take into account factors such as fees, platform usability, interface, and the available set of tools and resources. 🕹 Start with a Small Amount Avoid investing your entire life savings at once. Instead, start with a small amount and gradually increase it as you gain experience and develop confidence in your trading abilities. 😎 Choose Your Trading Style There are different trading styles, and each has its own advantages and disadvantages. You can be a day trader, a swing trader, or a position trader. Day trading involves buying and selling within the same day, while swing trading involves holding onto a position for a few days or weeks. Position trading involves holding onto a position for a long time, sometimes months or even years. ✅ Manage Your Risk Proper risk management is crucial in trading due to its inherent uncertainties. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. Implementing stop-loss orders can help limit potential losses, and it is advisable to have a predefined exit strategy in case a trade doesn't unfold as anticipated. 📒 Journal Your Trades Once you start trading, it becomes imperative to consistently monitor your performance. Regularly keeping tabs on your trades, analyzing your performance, and making necessary adjustments to your plan are all vital aspects. Remember that trading involves risk, and you should be prepared to accept losses as part of the process. Getting started with trading can be intimidating, but you can use this guide as a reference to chalk out a plan for you. Remember that trading requires patience, discipline, and constant learning. By consistently educating yourself, honing your trading skills, and diligently monitoring your trades, you can progress towards becoming a profitable trader. Thanks for reading! Hope this was helpful. 🙂 – Team TradingView Be sure to follow us on Twitter , Instagram , and Telegram for more valuable content! 💘
Editors' picks
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TradingView
6
"HCL Technology: Bullish Reversal with Inverted Head & Shoulder"Description: HCL Technologies (HCL Tech) has formed a visually striking bullish head and shoulders pattern on the price chart, indicating a potential upward trend. Traders and investors may find this setup appealing for potential trading opportunities Key Points: - Pattern Type: The pattern observed in HCL Tech's chart is a bullish head and shoulders pattern, which is a reliable trend reversal formation. - Entry Range: Consider entering the trade within the range of 1160 to 1175 for optimal risk management and potential profit capture. - Stop Loss: To safeguard against adverse price movements, set a closing basis stop loss at 1100. - Target Levels: The price targets for this bullish setup are 1360 and 1470, offering significant upside potential. Disclaimer: Please note that trading and investing involve risks, and it's essential to conduct your own analysis and consider market conditions before making any trading decisions.
Editors' picks
NSE:HCLTECHLong
by karuneshBajpai2
10
Silver Bounce Or Break From Support ?Hello mates, sharing the commodity silver futures weekly chart for educational purpose for that as we can see that 70000-68000 zones was a hazardous resistance for it and now we can see that price is trading near that zones so for that I am sharing my trading ideas for it below. IDEA NUMBER ONE-: Price is currently trading with well placed support on this weekly chart and it is trading near too a support by 50 EMA as we can see it gives a bounce two times earlier (mentioned on chart) from 50 EMA so if this time it we can see 75600 levels again, bounce could confirm according to our own setup or time frame too for we can go long. IDEA NUMBER TWO-: If it will breach it's mentioned support zone which is adjoined it's rising support trendline and 50 EMA too so we can make a short in it for the target of 62600 levels. Executions- All above mentioned ideas will be applicable on weekly closing basis only, one can use own setup or time frame according to provided levels if they are agreed that levels are right some how. KINDLY NOTE-: This is not and trade or investment advice. This idea is meant for learning. Invest your capital at your own risk. Regards-: Amit
Editors' picks
MCX:SILVER1!
by AMIT-RAJAN
19