Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC-Built to Compound, Poised to BreakoutNSE:ABSLAMC
🔹 Fundamental Overview
Business Strength—One of India’s leading asset management companies, part of the Aditya Birla Group; operates across mutual funds, PMS, and AIF segments.
Financial Health – Debt-free balance sheet with excellent profitability and high cash reserves.
Profitability Metrics – ROE around 28%, ROA near 25%, and net margins above 50%, indicating strong operational efficiency.
Growth Trend – Revenue and net profit are both growing at ~20–25% YoY, supported by rising AUM and stable fee income.
Valuation—Trades near 24× P/E and 6–7× P/B; premium valuation justified by brand strength and consistency, but limits margin of safety.
Dividend Policy – Moderate yield (~1.5–1.7%) with regular payouts; good for long-term income seekers.
Key Positives—Strong parentage, scalable business, high ROE, and steady market share gains.
Key Risks—Market-linked revenues, fee compression risk, and competition from passive products and fintechs.
🔹 Technical Overview
Trend Bias—The long-term trend remains bullish, with the price comfortably above the 50-DMA (₹838) and 200-DMA (₹748).
Momentum – RSI around 55–60, neutral to mildly positive; no overbought signs.
Trend Strength – ADX below 20 shows consolidation; potential for trend expansion if volume picks up.
Crucial Support Zone – ₹ 815 – ₹ 830; strong base for accumulation.
Resistance Zone – ₹ 854 – ₹ 860; a breakout above this range may trigger a sustained rally.
Long-Term Projection – 2,500+++ possible over 3–5 years in favorable market conditions.
Risk Control – Maintain stop-loss below ₹ 810 for long positions; trail profits once above ₹ 900.
🔹 Investor Takeaway
Outlook—Fundamentally robust, financially sound, and technically poised for breakout after consolidation.
Strategy—Ideal for gradual accumulation on dips and adding on confirmed breakouts above ₹ 860.
Time Horizon – Best suited for 1–5 year investors seeking stable compounding from a high-quality financial business.
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors.
This is our personal view based on available data and market trends.
Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content.
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Trade Secrets By Pratik
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Community ideas
VBL Looking Bearish??!!!VBL - On Weekly timeframe,
Inverted cup&handle pattern and a breakdown visible!!! (shown below)
On Dailytimeframe,
VBL is travelling inside a Descending channel pattern making highs and lowerhighs...lows and lowerlows...
SL & Target levels shown @ chart!!!
Let's wait & watch!!!
Thank you!!!
Just my view...not a tip nor advice!!!!
PGEL: Suggest Momentum ShiftPG Electroplast Ltd. (PGEL) has recently shown signs of emerging strength after a prolonged phase of consolidation. Over the last two trading sessions, the stock has demonstrated upward momentum, suggesting a possible attempt to break out of its range-bound structure. This observation is supported by several technical factors:
1. Moving Averages & Volume Dynamics
The stock has successfully closed above the 20-day EMA, indicating short-term bullish sentiment.
It is currently trading near the 50-day EMA, although it has not yet closed above this level. The recent price movement has been accompanied by increased trading volume, which may reflect growing market participation.
2. Change of Character (CHOCH)
The break above the 20-day EMA, despite the price not closing above the 50-day EMA, may signal a CHOCH. This is often interpreted by technical analysts as a potential shift in trend direction, particularly from bearish to neutral or bullish.
3. RSI Momentum
The RSI has moved above the 60 level, suggesting strengthening momentum. This level is typically viewed as a transition zone between neutral and bullish conditions.
4. MACD Signal
A bullish crossover on the MACD indicator has occurred on the daily timeframe. This crossover may indicate a potential shift in momentum, especially when supported by price structure and volume.
Breakout Confirmation Level:
A sustained close above ₹597 could be interpreted as a breakout from the consolidation zone. If this level is cleared with volume support, the next potential resistance may lie near ₹712 , based on historical price action. The lower boundary of the recent consolidation zone, around ₹494 , may act as a support level. This area could be monitored for potential retests or invalidation of the breakout attempt.
Disclaimer: This analysis is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Market participants are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Ixigo (W) - At a Crossroad: Bullish Trend vs. Bearish PatternAfter a spectacular run-up, Ixigo (Le Travenues Technology Ltd) has entered a sideways consolidation phase. The current price action presents conflicting technical signals, placing the stock at a critical inflection point where it could either be pausing before another surge or forming a major top.
The Powerful Backdrop
Since April 2025, Ixigo has been in a powerful bull market, delivering an extraordinary gain of approximately 166% in just a few months. Following this rapid ascent, the stock's strong momentum has paused since August 2025, with the price now trading within a well-defined horizontal range.
The Current Dilemma: Two Competing Scenarios
The technical picture offers two distinct and competing interpretations:
1. The Bullish Case (A Healthy Consolidation):
This perspective views the current phase as a normal and healthy pause, where the stock is building energy for its next advance. This argument is supported by:
- Strong Underlying Momentum: Key indicators like the short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) remain in a bullish positive crossover state, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still rising, suggesting the primary uptrend remains intact.
2. The Bearish Warning (A Potential Reversal):
Conversely, there are clear warning signs that the rally could be losing steam:
- Potential Double-Top: A Double-Top pattern , a classic bearish reversal signal, appears to be forming at the upper boundary of the trading range.
- Elevated Volume: Typically in a bullish consolidation, volume tends to decrease. However, volume has remained relatively high during this phase, which at a potential peak, can be a sign of distribution (selling) rather than accumulation.
Conclusion and Key Triggers to Watch
Ixigo is currently in a state of equilibrium, and a breakout from the current range is required for confirmation of the next directional move.
- Bullish Trigger: A decisive close above the range's resistance would invalidate the Double-Top pattern and signal a continuation of the uptrend. This would open a path towards the ₹380 level.
- Bearish Trigger: A decisive close below the range's support would confirm the Double-Top pattern, suggesting the bullish momentum has faded and a correction towards the ₹275 level could be imminent.
Until either of these levels is breached, patience is warranted. The direction of the break from this consolidation will be the key to identifying the stock's next major trend.
SOUTH INDIAN BANK LTD ANALYSISFOR LEARNING PURPOSE
SOUTH INDIAN BANK LTD- The current price of SOUTH INDIAN BANK is 34.26 rupees
I am going to buy this stock because of the reasons as follows-
1. Its making 52W high with some good volume (sign of strength)
2. It got a great buying force and moved up by 440% in 2022-2023 (which shows smart money)
3. It is showing better relative strength as it stood strong in volatile times including last few weeks.
4. The risk and reward is favourable. The good part- The stock is not extended.
5. The stock can be a good turnaround story if it does great in coming time.
6. The stock has got a good catalyst and that is- Mutual Funds and FIIs have increased their stake in this stock.
They have gone aggressive in that.
7. Another good part- The sector is looking bullish. Private Bank sector is getting better and things go well, we can see ATH soon in this sector.
I am expecting more from this in coming weeks
I will buy it with minimum target of 35-40% and then will trail after that.
My SL is at 29.80 rupees
I will be managing my risk.
ICICI Bank – Low-Risk Investment OpportunityFor positional investments , I prefer analyzing the weekly chart to filter out short-term noise and whipsaws.
The price has been consistently respecting the 50-week moving average (50 MA) since 2023 - a strong sign of trend stability.
The stock is currently trading near a demand zone, which also aligns with a previous resistance turned support area.
There’s a confluence of bullish factors - 50 MA support, horizontal demand zone, and a hidden bullish RSI divergence - all pointing to a potential reversal with a favorable risk–reward setup.
Overall, this setup presents a low-risk entry opportunity for medium- to long-term investors looking to ride the broader uptrend.
HINDUNILVR : Inverse Head & Shoulders + Order-Block setup Technical Analysis: Hindustan Unilever Ltd
Timeframe: 30-Minute
Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders with Order Block Confluence
Pattern Insight
The market has created a clear inverse head and shoulders structure —
showing potential trend reversal from a short-term downtrend to an uptrend.
The neckline is acting as dynamic resistance.
Price is consolidating inside a bullish order block, confirming demand presence.
Order Block Zone
The highlighted green zone around ₹2,485–₹2,505 represents an institutional order block.
Price respected this zone on the right shoulder, showing strong accumulation by buyers.
Trade Plan
Entry: CMP
Stop Loss: ₹2,480
Target: ₹2,650
Risk–Reward Ratio: 1:3
USDCHF - TREND REVERSAL CONFIRMEDSymbol - USDCHF
USDCHF is confirming a reversal of its prior downtrend and appears poised to transition into a distribution phase, supported by strength in the US Dollar Index.
The dollar is currently breaking through resistance and may continue its bullish correction within the broader long-term downtrend. Against this backdrop, the Swiss franc is gradually losing momentum.
The currency pair is exhibiting signs of a local trend breakout, with the breach of the ascending triangle’s resistance level reinforcing bullish sentiment. Within this developing distribution phase, the price may attempt to retest recent local highs.
Resistance levels: 0.8071, 0.8132
Support levels: 0.8000
A sustained consolidation above 0.8000 could establish an intermediate base, offering additional support for bullish continuation in the next upward movement.
Long time Breakout Head and Shoulder🧩 Pattern Overview
Left Shoulder: Formed when price fell from around ₹620 to ₹500, then bounced back.
Head: A deeper decline down to around ₹420 before recovering — marking the lowest point of the pattern.
Right Shoulder: A smaller dip to around ₹500 before price rose again.
Neckline: The resistance zone connecting the peaks between the shoulders (around ₹590–₹600).
📈 Current Situation
The price has just broken above the neckline (~₹590) — this confirms a bullish breakout of the inverse H&S pattern.
The breakout candle shows strong buying interest.
🎯 Target Projections
Target 1: ₹745 — conservative, measured from the neckline to head distance projected upward.
Target 2: ₹923 — extended target if momentum sustains.
🧠 Interpretation
The breakout suggests a shift from bearish to bullish trend.
Ideally, watch for a retest of neckline (₹590 zone). If it holds and price bounces, it strengthens the move.
Volume confirmation is key — strong volume on breakout adds reliability.
Only You can make you ProfitableThose who have been in the trading world for some time must have realized by now that Profitable trading isn’t just about charts and indicators, it’s mostly about Yourself.
We may have the cleanest setup, perfect RSI levels, and all your EMAs aligned like planets, and still lose money😢
Because charts do not control your hand on the mouse or keyboard buttons, only you do.
The real problem usually is not the entry or the indicators.
It’s
Impatience,
Overconfidence,
Revengeful trading,
Need more confirmation
before hitting the buy button.
These habits grow over time if not realized and controlled at the very beginning, lead to more and more losses.
Indicators can give you an edge. But they can’t stop you from cutting winners too soon or holding losers too long. You need to first plan and then execute it religiously.
Trading doesn’t test your strategy; it tests your discipline.
And honestly, that’s what makes it both frustrating and fascinating.
What do you think?
Powerful Setup & Art of the Pullback: Supply & Demand Concept📊 Supply & Demand View 📊
When you look closely, supply and demand zones are essentially the fingerprints of institutional activity. Big players rarely dump or buy entire positions in one shot—they stagger their trades, leaving behind identifiable imbalances on the charts. Every time price revisits these zones, it tends to react sharply.
Take Zydus Wellness as a clear example of this dynamic. After an impressive rally to a fresh all-time high, a predictable wave of profit-taking emerged, carving out a new supply zone at the top. This is the moment where sellers stepped in decisively, nudging prices down in a healthy correction. These zones aren’t just lines or boxes on a chart—they mark areas where significant buying or selling has historically occurred, often foreshadowing price reversals.
Now here’s where it gets interesting: price is at strong demand zone, And this isn’t just any support level—this is the very origin of the rally that shattered all previous resistance and propelled the stock to its highs. Areas like this tend to hold clusters of unfilled buy orders, meaning a return to this level often triggers a meaningful bounce as buyers re-enter the fray.
🚀 Classical Chart View 🚀
From a more traditional technical lens, the story remains bullish. The chart highlights a key resistance that had capped price for some time. When this level finally broke, it wasn’t subtle—volume spiked, signaling strong conviction from major market participants.
This is a textbook “resistance becomes support” scenario. The price is now retesting this old barrier. What makes this retest particularly noteworthy is the noticeable drop in selling volume during the pullback. This drying of volume suggests sellers are losing momentum, making it more likely that the pause is temporary rather than a reversal. The convergence of this retested resistance with a high-quality demand zone creates a compelling setup for the next move higher.
✨ Final Takeaway ✨
Both perspectives are telling a consistent story. Supply and demand analysis highlights a prime zone for buyers to re-engage, while classical technical confirm the strength of the underlying trend. The price has already found a foothold at the Best Quality Demand Zone, which could very well act as the springboard for the next leg of the rally. For anyone considering a position, a stop-loss below 430 provides a sensible buffer beneath this structural support.
💡 Risk Management Reminder 💡
Even the cleanest setups aren’t guarantees. Stick to your risk rules, size positions carefully, and maintain a disciplined stop-loss. Remember—the goal is to protect capital, not to perfectly predict the market.
“The art of trading is not about being right all the time, but about losing less when you are wrong.”
🔄 Patience and discipline win more often than bold predictions. 🔄
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as trading advice. I’m not a SEBI-registered analyst.
Poonawalla Fincorp (POONAWALLA)Poonawalla Fincorp Limited (NSE: POONAWALLA), a non-banking financial company (NBFC) under the Cyrus Poonawalla Group, focuses on consumer and MSME lending, including personal loans, vehicle finance, and supply chain financing. As of October 7, 2025, the stock trades around ₹565, up ~8% in the last session and ~76% year-to-date (YTD), significantly outperforming the Sensex's ~4% gain. This momentum stems from robust operational growth, promoter confidence, and technical strength. Below, I'll outline key reasons to consider it, based on recent financials, market analysis, and sentiment. Note: This is not financial advice—always conduct your own due diligence, as NBFC stocks can be volatile due to interest rate sensitivity and credit risks.
Explosive Growth: AUM up 67.7% YoY to ₹47,625 Cr, with 35-40% growth expected in FY26.
Promoter Confidence: ₹1,500 Cr infusion, promoter holding at 62.5%.
Strong Financials: ₹6,200 Cr liquidity, 11% NII growth, low credit costs.
Bullish Technicals: Breakout above ₹480, targets ₹620-₹650, RSI at 73.
Market Edge: Retail credit boom, AI-driven lending, positive X sentiment.
Risks: Profit dip (one-off), rate sensitivity, high valuation. Watch Q2 results (Oct 17).
Charging Up for Wave 3 — Ola’s Motor Just Got Certified!The electric vehicle (EV) space in India is heating up again — and Ola Electric seems to be quietly positioning itself for the next leg of growth. The company’s recent government certification for its in-house ferrite motor marks an important milestone: a domestically designed motor that avoids costly rare-earth materials, potentially boosting margins and cutting import dependence.
This development strengthens Ola’s role in India’s push toward self-reliant, cost-efficient electric mobility, just as the market eyes the next growth phase in EV adoption.
Technically, the stock appears to be cooling off after its first strong impulse. The chart reveals a leading diagonal structure kicking off Wave 1, followed by a Wave 2 correction unfolding as a 5-3-5 zigzag inside a descending channel . Price now hovers near the 0.618 to 0.786 Fibonacci retracement zone (₹51–₹46) — historically a prime setup area before a potential Wave 3 expansion.
The RSI near 43 suggests downside momentum is fading, but the confirmation cue will be a break above 50 , signaling a shift in control to buyers.
In short: fundamentals are recharging while the technical battery is nearly full. Accumulation makes sense only once either
price dips toward ₹46–₹47 (deep retracement pocket), or
A breakout from the descending channel confirms that Wave 3 is ready to drive the next rally.
For now, Ola’s story is less about “if” and more about “when.”
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
ETHUSD: Where Price Could Go?4h tf
ETHUSD has bounced back strongly from around $3,826 after completing an A-B-C wave pattern. Right now, the price is testing resistance near $4,756. It could drop a little to around $4,440 before moving higher again. If the uptrend continues, the next target levels are $4,955, $5,300, and $5,500.
Stay tuned!
Thank you,
@Money_Dictators
BANK NIFTY ANALYSIS: Strong BullishMonthly analysis:
1) Trend identify: HH & HL- Bullish (M trend)
2)Monthly RSI: HH & HL - Bullish signal
RSI brek low but price does not break low- its a bullish ( Failure swing)
Weekly analysis:
1) Channel has broken & RSI is bullish above 50
2) previous week candle is closed above.
Daily analysis:
1) Break I H&S pattern with GAP UP
RSI is shifted from beraish to bullish
Traget Height of neck line (57700)
Open Interest: 56k massive PUT writting & SC on CALL side . and also long buildup CALL side - WE are strong bullish on BK
Lumax Auto Technologies – Fresh Breakout & Retest OpportunityLumax Auto Technologies has given a clean breakout above the 1,200–1,230 resistance zone and is now retesting the breakout on the weekly chart. Structure remains strong with higher highs and higher lows — showing continuation of the uptrend.
MACD is stabilizing after a healthy correction, suggesting momentum could rebuild soon.
📊 Swing Trade Setup
Entry Zone: 1,260–1,280
Stop Loss (SL): 1,215 (Weekly closing basis)
Targets: 🎯 1,400 / 1,500 / 1,600
View: As long as the stock holds above 1,215, trend remains bullish with potential for new highs in the coming weeks.
Sandur Manganese & Iron Ores Ltd : Breakout Sandur Manganese & Iron Ores Ltd is in consolidation since last one year. On Friday 3rd of Oct the stock moved up 15% with huge uptick in the volume.
The RSI reading above 70 also suggest there is momentum in the move.
Sector : Metal, outperforming to Nifty 50 benchmark
Looking at the price chart , the stock holds to the level of 175 can go up to 260 in short to medium term.
CMP : 194
SL 175
T1 : 260
Reward to Risk Ratio : 3
SHYAMMETL -High-Conviction VCP Breakout Setup1. The Setup: Textbook Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP)
SHYAMMETL is setting up for a major breakout after consolidating near its all-time highs. The chart shows a classic Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP), a powerful sign of institutional accumulation and supply exhaustion.
We can clearly observe three stages of contracting volatility:
Contraction 1: Deepest pullback (~34%)
Contraction 2: Shallower pullback (~15%)
Contraction 3: Tightest pullback (~11%)
This progressively tighter base confirms that selling pressure has dried up and the stock is ready for its next major leg up.
2. Key Technical Confirmation
Superior Relative Strength (RS): The Relative Strength line (bottom indicator) is trending strongly higher and is well above the zero line, confirming that this stock is significantly outperforming the broader market (Nifty). Leaders lead out of bases.
Uptrend Intact: The price is trading well above all key moving averages, which are stacked in a bullish configuration (shorter MAs above longer MAs). The long-term trend remains extremely robust.
Volume: Volume has been quiet during the base formation, which is ideal. We expect a large surge of breakout volume to confirm the move.
3. The Trade Plan
Entry Signal: Look for a decisive daily or weekly close above the ₹1,000 psychological and technical resistance level, backed by a significant surge in trading volume.
Stop Loss (Risk Management): Place a tight, objective stop loss just below the low of the final tight contraction range (e.g., around ₹830-840). This defines your maximum risk per share.
Target Expectation: Based on the strength of the VCP and superior relative strength, the expectation is for a sustained move into new All-Time Highs and a large multi-quarter trend extension.
#Disclaimer: This is for educational and observation purposes only and is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Two Precision Setups for a Major Move | Breakout vs. ReboundChart: NSE:NALCO | Daily Timeframe
📈 Executive Summary:
Nalco Ltd. is at a technical crossroads, compressed between a massive 12-month descending trendline and a rock-solid multi-touch support zone. This creates two high-probability, well-defined trading opportunities for both momentum and value traders. The key for both setups will be confirmation with above-average volume.
🔥 Scenario 1: The Mega Breakout (Momentum Play)
This setup capitalizes on a decisive shift in long-term trend dynamics.
The Structure: A dominant Descending Trendline connects the November 2024 high (₹250) with the recent October 2025 high (₹225). This line has contained all major rallies for nearly a year.
The Trigger & Confirmation: A strong, 'big green' daily candle that closes decisively above ₹225. This move must be supported by above-average volume to confirm genuine buying interest and not a false breakout.
The Logic: A breakout from such a long-standing consolidation has the potential to unleash significant pent-up momentum, targeting the previous major high.
🎯 Trading Plan (Breakout):
🎯 Entry: On a daily close above ₹225, confirmed by above-average volume.
⛔ Stop Loss: Low of the breakout candle. This pragmatic level protects against a false breakout and allows for a tight, logical risk definition.
🎯 Target: ₹250 (The origin point of the trendline, acting as a logical and psychological target).
⚖️ Risk-Reward: Highly favorable, estimated above 1:3.
🛡️ Scenario 2: The Support Bounce (Value Play)
This is a classic "buy low, sell high" strategy at a proven demand zone.
The Structure: The ₹199 level is a historic support and resistance zone, tested multiple times since October 2024. It currently acts as a strong support floor.
The Trigger & Confirmation: The price must retrace and hold the ₹199-202 zone and then form a clear bullish reversal candlestick pattern (e.g., Hammer, Bullish Engulfing) with above-average volume on the daily timeframe.
The Logic: Entering at a proven support level with a candlestick confirmation provides a high-probability entry with an excellent risk-to-reward profile.
🎯 Trading Plan (Support Bounce):
🎯 Entry: On the confirmation of the bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., a close above the high of the pattern's candle) in the ₹199-202 zone, with volume confirmation.
⛔ Stop Loss: Low of the identified reversal candlestick pattern. This minimizes risk by invalidating the setup if the support fails immediately.
🎯 Target 1: 1:1 Risk-Reward Level (e.g., if risk is ₹5, target is Entry + ₹5).
🎯 Target 2: ₹225 (The recent swing high and trendline resistance). Once Target 1 is hit, trail the stop loss to lock in profits and ride the move towards ₹225.
Key Levels At a Glance:
All-Out Resistance: ₹225 (The 12-Month Trendline)
Foundational Support: ₹199 (The Multi-Touch Zone)
Breakout Target: ₹250
Support Bounce Target: ₹210-225
Final Note: Both setups require patience and discipline. Wait for the specific trigger and volume confirmation. Do not pre-empt the trade.
Disclaimer: This idea represents a technical analysis perspective and is not financial advice. All trading decisions carry risk. Please perform your own due diligence.
Natural Gas (NG) Weekly Breakout Brewing — 80% Upside Potential!Current Price: $3.090
Technical View (Weekly Timeframe):
Natural Gas has formed a classic falling wedge pattern on the weekly chart - a strong bullish reversal setup. Price action is currently on the verge of breakout , with increasing volume and narrowing range suggesting imminent movement.
🟢 Strong Support Zones:
$3.013 – $2.956
$2.692 – $2.643
🔺 Key Resistance / Upside Targets:
Short-term: $5.125 – $5.630 (Pattern target: $5.625 )
Long-term: $9.35 – $10.00
📈 The pattern breakout target of $5.625 aligns closely with the major resistance zone of $5.125 – $5.630, representing a potential ~80% upside from current levels.
Look for confirmed breakout above the wedge resistance with strong volume for trend continuation.
#NaturalGas | #NG | #FallingWedge | #ChartPatterns | #TechnicalAnalysis | #PriceAction
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Apollo Hospital: Structure Analysis & Trade PlanThe price is currently sitting at ₹7,449.50, making it a high-interest area from a technical perspective.
Market Structure & Chart Pattern Analysis
Chart Pattern (Classic TA): The price is perfectly tracking the lower boundary (support) of a long-term Upward Channel. This is a classic "Buy the Dip" zone in a well-defined bullish trend structure.
Trend: The macro trend remains Bullish, as defined by the sustained movement within the rising channel since early 2025.
Current Location: The touch of the channel support at ₹7,400 - ₹7,450 offers a low-risk, high-reward entry point for a swing trade.
ICT Concepts for Confirmation
Discount Zone: The price is near the lowest quadrant of the recent price action (relative to the August high), placing it in a Discount Array, making it an opportune area to look for institutional buying.
Liquidity Sweep/Confirmation: The highest probability entry would involve waiting for one of the following on a lower timeframe (e.g., 4H/1H):
A slight break below the channel support (a liquidity grab/sweep of Sell-Side Liquidity - SSL below the recent swing lows) followed by an immediate reversal back into the channel.
A clear formation of a Bullish Order Block (final down candle before the expected strong move up) or an unmitigated Fair Value Gap (FVG) at the channel support line.
Market Structure Shift (MSS): Wait for a short-term MSS on a lower timeframe to confirm the buyers are taking control before entering.
Trade Plan
BUY (Anticipating Channel Bounce)
Entry Zone: ₹7,480 - ₹7,500 (Enter near the channel support, ideally with confirmation)
Stop Loss (SL): Below ₹7,300 (This places the SL clearly outside the channel and below the psychological support, invalidating the bullish channel structure).
Risk: ₹150 - ₹200 per share (The difference between current price/entry and SL).
Target 1 (T1): ₹7,900 - ₹8,000 (Channel Midline & psychological resistance).
Target 2 (T2): ₹8,200 - ₹8,400 (Channel Upper Boundary/Resistance).
Risk/Reward: Favorable (R:R is 1:2 to 1:4 depending on entry and target).
AUBANK - Bullish Engulfing + EMA50 Breakout = Power Rally Setup________________________________________
📈 AU Small Finance Bank | Bullish Engulfing + EMA50 Breakout 🚀
🔹 Entry Zone: ₹741.90 – ₹743.70
🔹 Stop Loss: ₹718.20 (Risk ~23 pts)
🔹 Supports: 727.17 / 712.43 / 704.17
🔹 Resistances: 750.17 / 758.43 / 773.17
________________________________________
🔑 Key Highlights
✅ Strong Bullish Candle – Engulfing pattern confirming reversal power
✅ EMA50 Breakout – trend shift signal
✅ Bullish VWAP Alignment – institutional buying confirmation
✅ Bollinger Squeeze-Off → breakout & volatility expansion expected
________________________________________
🎯 STWP Trade View
📊 Momentum indicates short-term bullish rally. A close above ₹750 may trigger an extended upside towards ₹758–773.
⚠️ Supports at ₹727 & ₹712 are important for trade protection.
________________________________________
💡 Learning Note
This setup demonstrates how a Bullish Engulfing pattern combined with EMA breakout + VWAP alignment can act as a multi-signal confirmation for a trend reversal.
________________________________________
⚠️ Disclosure & Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully
The information shared here is meant purely for learning and awareness. It is not a buy or sell recommendation and should not be taken as investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered investment adviser, and all views expressed are based on personal study, chart patterns, and publicly available market data.
Trading—whether in stocks or options—carries risk. Markets can move unexpectedly, and losses can sometimes exceed the money you have invested. Past performance or past setups do not guarantee future results.
If you are a beginner, treat this as a guide to understand how the market works and practice on paper trades before risking real money. If you are experienced, always assess your own risk, position sizing, and strategy suitability before entering trades.
Consult a SEBI-registered financial adviser before making any real trading decision. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge full responsibility for your trades and investments.
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