'STATES' of 'MARKET' - forms in which market can existProbably all of you have might have heard of 'states' of 'matter', let me remind you once again "state of matter is one of the distinct forms in which matter can exist" but why am I talking about this stuff it's because the Market also has 'states' of 'market' you can define them in the same way " state of the market is one of the distinct forms in which market can exist".
I know many of you can't grasp it now but I can ensure you that by reading the entire article you would surely encounter one of the most striking observations.
As we all know fundamental states of matter are:-
-> Solid
-> Liquid
-> Gas
So what are the fundamental states of the market? let me recap the definition once again "state of the market is one of the distinct forms in which market can exist".
Okay, now I think many of you have figured out the 'states' of 'market', they are the following:-
-> Sideways
-> Downtrend
-> Uptrend
Yes, ' states' of 'market' are the trends cause the market can exist only in any form.
If I wanted to talk about trends I could have simply described trends but that's not the case cause this publication will establish a relation between the 'states' of 'matter' and 'states' of 'market'.
How are 'states' of 'matter' and 'states' of 'market' related?
Let me relate them by their properties-
-> Relation between Solid and Sideways
- Solid
The property of solids is they cannot move freely but vibrate due to strong intermolecular force.
Solid has a stable and definite shape and requires external force when it's to be molded.
- Sideways
The property of a sideways market is that in a sideways market price doesn't move freely but consolidates in a range due to strong calls and put writers who bound the price in a range.
The sideways market is stable and definite and requires an external buying/selling force to break the range in either direction.
-> Relation between Liquid and Downtrend
- Liquid
The liquid being a fluid tends to flow.
The density of liquid a quite high compared to gas hence it requires no external force while flowing downstream but requires a strong force to keep it flowing upwards.
The speed of liquid downstream is always greater than upstream due to gravity in action.
-Downtrend
In a downtrend price also flows down the same as a liquid flowing downstream without any external force.
Usually, the price plunges much faster as compared to the rise in price.
If somehow a rise is witnessed in a downtrend then it fades out quite fast because to keep the price flowing upward a huge buying force as compared to the selling force is required. This is also the case when liquid flows downstream.
-> Relation between Gas and Uptrend
- Gas
The gas being a fluid tends to flow.
The density of the gas is quite low hence it rises naturally but requires external pressure in a downward direction to keep it flowing downwards.
Gas has a very large intermolecular space hence its movement in a particular direction is quite slow and random.
- Uptrend
In an uptrend price naturally rises without any external force.
Usually, the price rises much slow as compared to the fall in price.
The nature of price in an uptrend is much similar to gas, as price movement in an uptrend is slow and random. Random because in an uptrend price gives more jerks as compared to a downtrend.
Phase/Trend Transition:-
Sideways <-> Uptrend (transition from sideways to uptrend market and vice-versa)
- RSI can be used to identify the transition, in a sideways market RSI usually trades in the band of 40 - 60, when RSI crosses above 60 along with breaking the range indicates the beginning of an uptrend.
- We can also term this transition as 'sublimation' cause the solid is changing to gas.
- Same for vice-versa just the term would be changed to ' deposition ' as the gas is changing to solid.
Sideways <-> Downtrend (transition from sideways to downtrend market and vice-versa)
- RSI can be used to identify the transition, in a sideways market RSI usually trades in the band of 40 - 60, when RSI crosses below 40 along with breaking the range indicates the beginning of a downtrend.
- We can also term this transition as 'melting' cause the solid is changing to a liquid.
- Same for vice-versa just the term would be changed to 'freezing' as the liquid is changing to solid.
Uptrend <-> Downtrend (transition from uptrend to downtrend market and vice-versa)
- RSI can be used to identify the transition, when a divergence is witnessed in RSI and price chart this indicates the loss in strength of the internal force i.e. exhausting buying interest but still to confirm we could use 20 EMA if the price breaks below moving average with RSI divergence then it's quite possible a beginning of downtrend so what can we do is book our profits.
- Downtrend is only confirmed when RSI starts trading below 40 but we can't wait till then and let our profits vanish so as soon as you get an indication book your profits.
- We can also term this transition as 'condensation' cause the gas is changing to a liquid.
- Same for vice-versa just the term would be changed to 'vaporization' as the liquid is changing to gas.
In my prior post, I tried to relate "As above so below" harmony of nature with the market and now "States of Matter" with market trends this is all to make everyone know that 'Stocket' science is equally difficult as 'Rocket' science probably more cause here 'emotion' also comes in play which any other science lacks .
Now, answer yourself do you still have a fantasy about 'Rocket' science or 'Stocket' science is enough to fulfill anyone's
fantasy and do you know what's the best part of 'Stocket' science? it's everchanging .
Educationalposts
PIDILITE INDUSTRIES - DESPERATE TIMES !As you can see, PIDILITE INDUSTRIES is at a major support level .
Will it maintain support?
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Case - 1: If the price breaks above R1 - Rs. 2370, then we will see an upside in the stock.
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Case - 2: If the price breaks above S1 - Rs. 2260, then there will be further downside will be expected.
In such a scenario, the price will fall to S2 - Rs. 2175, as denoted by the Harmonic Pattern.
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Follow me for more!
#POLYMED #SHORTTERM #SWING #NSEFlag Pattern on Weekly time Frame.
Breakout was witnessed and it was followed up by a retest which is always a good sign.
An Inverted Head and Shoulder Pattern can also be seen with the right shoulder in progress marching towards the neckline.
MACD structure also looks very positive.
VARDHMAN STEEL is SPECIAL !Market Cap 1,111 Cr.
Promoter holding 60.8 %
Pledged 0%
Dividend Yield 1.25 %
Intrinsic Value 483
Stock P/E 10.4
Industry P/E 18.2
Debt to equity 0.26
ROCE 25.7 %
ROE 19.8 %
OPM 9.74 %
EBIDT growth 3Years 42.9 %
Free Cash Flow 24.2 Cr.
EPS 26.4 vs EPS last year 24.8 vs EPS preceding year 10.9
Vardhman Special Steels is engaged in manufacturing of Billets, Steel bars & Rods and Bright Bars of various categories of special and alloy steels since 1973 which caters to sectors such as Engineering, Automotive, Tractor, Bearing and Allied Industries.
The Co is amongst India’s Leading Steel Bar Producers for Automotive Applications.
The Co. has the capacity to manufacture 2 lakh TPA of steel billets and also 2 lakh TPA of steel rolled products. It has received approval from the Ministry of Environment for expanding its rolled-products capacity from 2 lakh TPA to 2.80 lakh TPA. The Co. invested Rs. 35 crore in capital expenditure in its unit. The most important among them was the modifications made to the Continuous Casting Machine (CCM) which has increased its melting capacity from 2 lakh TPA to 2.60 lakh TPA
The Co. sold 1.7 lakh tonnes in FY22 against 1.5 lakh tonnes in FY21.
The Co. has strong relations with 200+ customers like Toyota, Hero Moto Corp, Caterpillar, Hino Motors, Maruti, Bajaj, and Hyundai, among others. Its top 5 clients contribute about 30% of total revenue and about 70-75% of the contribution coming from passenger vehicles and two-wheelers.The Co also caters to international customers and has a presence in countries like Thailand, Taiwan, Turkey, Russia, Germany and Spain.In FY22, 5% of total sales came from exports.
Pennant breakout in ISMT !!!Before heading towards a trade idea, let me clear you about the pennant chart pattern.
->This pattern is majorly divided into two components 'pole' and 'pennant'.
->This kind of pattern forms when a stock has seen a huge and steep rally which makes a 'pole'
component of the pattern.
-> After the rally, that particular stock goes into a hibernating period, which we call consolidation.
This consolidation phase forms the pennant or flag of the pattern.
->Pennant is generally triangular and is for a short period whereas the flag is rectangular and in for long period.
->In markets, every period has an end when the consolidation phase is over the stock resumes the rally and there is a breakout
from the consolidation or the pattern.
->Target is estimated by the pole size, i.e. the previous rally.
After consolidating for almost 1yr ISMT has given the breakout
from the pennant pattern with thunder volumes which further indicates
the strength of breakout.
This breakout coincides with the monthly breakout of the huge cup and handle pattern.
Strong support for weekly RSI around 40 indicates and also breakout in visible.
FOSECO INDIAMarket Cap 1,284 Cr.
Stock P/E 30.7
Industry PE 27.4
Dividend Yield 1.24 %
ROCE 22.2 %
ROE 16.6 %
OPM 14.5 %
Promoter holding 75.0 %
Pledged percentage 0 %
Free Cash Flow 14.4 Cr.
EPS 65.5 vs 51.2
- Foseco India Limited is engaged in the manufacture of products used in the metallurgical industry which are in the nature of additives and consumables that improve the physical properties and performance of castings.
- Key products and services include Industrial Dry Powders, Coating Products, Resin Products, Ceramic Filters and Exothermic Sleeves.
- It services the needs of Automotive, Railway and Heavy Transport, Construction and Mining, General Engineering and Petro-Chemicals and Power.
-The Co has state of the art manufacturing facilities in Pune and Pondicherry. It also imports products from its group manufacturing locations in other parts of the world. The company operates in a cellular manufacturing structure.
'Shades' of 'Trades' - color of the marketIn this color season let's have an insight into how the market plays 'Holi' with traders with its binary colors.
The above line sounds fascinating but it's not let me elaborate a bit more. Yes, the market plays with colors with traders
but the market uses only binary colors. Many of you may think of white and black as binary colors, but this is not the case here.
The market only uses two primary colors green and red to play with traders but we play with colors only on 'Holi' it seems that markets are very fond of playing with colors so it does probably every trading day it either colors the trader's position page with the green of red.
Though we have only two colors in markets which can be divided into four shades which are the following:-
-> Light Green - symbolizes a small profit
-> Dark Green - symbolizes a big profit ( Trader's Favorite )
-> Light Red - symbolizes a small loss
-> Dark Red - symbolizes a big loss ( Hazardous to account )
In this article let's dive into the depth of these colors and the reason for incurring such colors on your position page.
-->How to get light green color -- Aimed for steady and regular profits .
-> Trader can incur this only if they are consistent and aims for regular profit cause markets aren't trending every day.
-> Discipline is the key to consistency.
I think many of you have heard of the story of sage Vishwamitra who was meditating for a purpose and Menka was used to break the meditation and misguide him from his path. The same is the case of markets if you are in the market to generate regular profits then you must be disciplined as markets have negative behavior of creating illusions to trap the traders just like Menka .
-> I suggest developing a trading system or set of rules on which you are going to take the trade if you want to generate regular and steady profits cause if the system is profitable you will also be profitable. Don't rely on price action on an intraday basis unless you're a champ in the same.
-->How to get dark green color -- Aimed for sporadic and occasional profits.
-> Though everyone wants profits it's not obvious as said earlier markets aren't trending every day.
-> But if you are keen on watching market movements, you could probably catch these sporadic days and generate
big profits.
-> Fear should reside out to ride big profits.
I think why many of us aren't able to ride big profits because of the opulence of loss that has developed fear in our minds due to which we try to book profits early without getting any sign of weakness in our trades. Our mindset says to us "Something is better than nothing".
-> To overcome this fear I suggest backtesting your trades which can help you in gaining self-confidence if anyhow you can develop faith in yourself then fear naturally resides.
-->Reasons to get light red color -- Quite obvious as a part of the game.
-> It's quite obvious if you getting small losses as loss is a part of the trade game.
-> There is nothing to be stressed about or to ponder upon these small losses if it comes along with profits as there is no such trading system or trader which only gives or generates profit.
-> This usually happens when stop-loss is hit and you must be thankful to yourself that you had placed a stop and accept the small loss.
Markets reward traders who admit their errors and change their ways whereas punish traders who are obstinate and won't change.
I think everyone must check the reason for each loss they incur if it's due to the system you are following and the system is profitable in long run then the loss is fine but if it's due to your own mistake, learn from it and rectify the same as quick as possible.
-->Reasons to get dark red color -- Hazardous and may lead to termination.
-> One must avoid these big losses at all costs; otherwise, you may find yourself in a situation where you are unable to pay any costs.
-> Most hazardous and may sometimes lead to the termination of your trading journey.
-> This usually happens due to the stubborn nature of traders where they don't accept that they are wrong or don't have the guts to book their stop losses.
I think why many of us incur big losses because of neglecting the use of system stop-loss. Traders have realized the significance of stop-loss hence they decide on the sl before entering into the trade but what they do is keep sl in mind rather than the system and when the price reaches the sl level they don't have the guts to book the loss due to which small loss turn into a big loss.
This is the reason why everybody should place system stop-loss as a computer doesn't have emotion.
As stated earlier Markets reward traders who admit their errors and change their ways whereas punish traders who are obstinate and won't change. That means that if the trader does not recognize their mistake and book, the sl market will penalize them with a large loss.
I suppose that all of you have got great knowledge of the 'Shades' of 'Trades' and an insight into all outcomes of a trade.
And I think that I was able to explain to you how the market also likes to play with color and now the first line doesn't seem to be fascinating but obvious.
I hope this 'Holi' market colors you all with dark green, and wish you all a 'Happy Holi'.
As 'Above' so 'Below' - the harmony of natureIn this real world, there is various philosophy that tries to explain the "As above, so below" harmony is the great law of nature but none can prove this law hence it's still a hypothesis.
The law of nature works on everything and the stock market is not untouched by nature.
I am not here to give a lecture on this law of nature but to prove how this harmony of nature is preserved in the stock market and to share my research work on 'Stock-et' science which is equally difficult as 'Rocket' science.
Many of you have heard of these famous patterns:-
'Head and Shoulder'
'Cup and Handle'
'Rounding Top/Bottom'
'Flag/Pennant'
'Double Top/Bottom'
Do you all observe some correlation among them?
They all are candlestick patterns that either decide reversal or continuation, if this was your observation then probably you are correct but I wasn't indicating this.
Let me explain to you what kind of relationship I was talking about.
How do we estimate the target of these patterns? To the target level, we first measure the depth of the pattern i.e. how deep it's below the breakout level.
As its depth is below so will the height above.
Now, I think you all can draw how this law of nature is respected here in the candlestick pattern or more precisely in the stock market.
Let’s have an example to be more sound:-
The above chart describes how the CUP pattern works following this law of nature.
The stock after the breakout rallied non-stop to attain the e height of +94% which was the depth of the cup pattern.
After attaining the target or say 'equilibrium' stock witnessed a jerk, not before that.
This proves how the market preserves "As above, so below" harmony, the great law of nature.
Still not convinced then look to another example,
This is the vice-versa of the previously explained example, here stock attains the depth of -17% i.e. ' equilibrium' after forming a Head and Shoulder pattern with a height of shoulder +17%.
This proves how the market preserves "As below, so above" harmony, the great law of nature.
Now let's look at this concept with different dimensions i.e. dimensions of mathematics, physics, and chemistry.
Don’t be afraid I'm not going to talk about 'rocket' science but 'stock-et' science.
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In math, we all have read negative and positive cancels out i.e. (-3+3=0) same in candlestick patterns if the stock has a pattern depth of then the pattern target would be +30% to attain '0' or say 'equilibrium'.
In physics, we all have read that negative charges neutralize the positive charge to attain 'equilibrium' same in the stock market.
In chemistry, we all have read that all chemical changes occur in nature to attain 'equilibrium' i.e. two elements share their electrons to attain 'stability' (H2O, here two hydrogen molecules share their 1 electron with 6 electrons of oxygen to attain equilibrium) this same happens in markets all market movements occur to attain 'stability'.
Generally, people have fantasies about 'Rocket' science but we traders have fantasies about 'Stock-et' science.
Please drop comments on whether you have a fantasy for any of the above science.
Also, let me know how many of you believe that the stock market doesn't work on speculation but has its science
let's call it 'Stock-et' science.
Education About Bearish Rising WedgeHey there!
Lets Learn About bearish rising wedge
A bearish rising wedge is a chart pattern that often appears in the stock market and is seen as a bearish signal. It occurs when the price of a stock moves up and down, forming a wedge-like shape that is inclined upwards.
The pattern is considered bearish because it signals that the stock's upward momentum is losing steam, and that there may be a price decline in the near future. The pattern is formed when the stock's high and low prices move closer together over time, creating the wedge shape.
Investors and traders watch for this pattern as a sign that it may be time to sell their stock, or to short sell the stock, meaning to bet on a price decline. However, it's important to remember that a bearish rising wedge is not a guarantee of a price decline, and it's always wise to consider multiple indicators and factors before making any investment decisions.
Here in my example as we can see s and p 500 is forming bearish market structure and forming lower highs and lower lows.
In conclusion, a bearish rising wedge is a useful tool for investors and traders to keep an eye on, but it's only one of many factors that should be taken into consideration when making investment decisions like I used another indicator to confirm my analysis. So, keep an eye out for this pattern and stay informed, but always remember to do your own research and make informed decisions.
Bye Have a nice day
Adani Enterprises at an important levelAs we can see on the daily time frame Adani enterprises at an important Fibonacci level which is 0.382 we can probably see a reversal from this point. we can enter into a short trade if trend line on the 15 min chart is break also we can achieve big target in this trade but with the proper segment selection and position sizing.
Educational post Rising WedgeA Rising Wedge is a chart pattern in technical analysis that is formed when price moves in a diagonal upwards trend, with both trendlines converging.
This pattern is considered bearish because it signals a potential reversal of the current uptrend. As the pattern progresses, the price movement becomes more and more confined, which often results in a downward breakout.
This downward move signals a potential trend reversal, and traders often view it as a selling opportunity.
If you are not 'INSIDE' you are 'OUTSIDE' In the stock market, if you are not inside, you are outside.
I expect all those reading this article wants to be inside the market.
So, if you want to participate in the market then you must develop a deep insight into
the key market players i.e. your competitors who drive day to day movement of the market.
Key Market Players:-
The following are the three types of market participants.
->Retail - general public also called clients
->High Net Worth Investors - commonly known as HNI clients.
->Proprietary Trading - also called 'Pro' are firms.
->Institutions - referred to as trading organizations.
Let's dive into the details of each of them listed above .
Retail Investors :- They are the general public who invest or trade in the market individually with very
small capital as compared to other participants. They are at the bottom of the market food chain when considered individually
but in recent few years, the retail participants as a whole have seen a significant rise in numbers.
High Net Worth Investors: - They are also an individual but with big sums in their pockets. They have a deeper access to
the markets, inside news, and all. They don't participate in day-to-day trading.
Proprietary Traders :- Also known as 'Pro 'are those firms/banks which also trade in the daily market with the firm's funds.
They are at the middle of the market food chain i.e. above retail but below institutions. Actively participate
in daily market movements.
Institutional Investors :- They are organizations taking part actively in market movements. They are at the top of the market food chain.
They can be further divided into two groups:
->FII (Foreign Institutional Investors): Institutions whose origin is outside India but still they invest in Indian markets. Actively participate
in daily market movements.
->DII (Domestic Institutional Investors): Institutions whose origin is India. They are inactive in the derivatives segment.
Among the participants listed above Retail, Pro & FII are actively involved in the daily market trading and encourage
derivatives segment.
We all have seen everyone in markets talking about FIIs that are bearish/bullish on markets but why?
The above figure is of FII+Pro & Client correlation with nifty, this describes the reason why the positions of FII are significant.
We can draw the following conclusion:-
1. Majority of the time FII is correct to predict the market movement.
2. Clients generally build position against FII and max times have an opposite correlation with market movements.
Now, have a look at how the FII and client positions affect the market movement
The above figure justifies the correlation.
We can draw the following conclusions:-
1. Maximum time FII are net short in nifty whereas clients are net long in nifty.
2. When FII cover their shorts and deploys the longs we see an uptrend but at the same time, the client unwinds long
and deploys shorts which are generally against the trend i.e. client likes to drive in opposite direction.
3. And when FII positions converge with the Client there is previous trend exhaustion and the arrival of a sideways market or
sometimes a new trend.
As of now the index is clearly explained but what about stocks how much significant is FII in stocks?
To answer the above question let's take an example of a very famous stock ITC:-
The above figure says that FII has increased holding in the interval of Jun2022 - Sep2022 from 12.7% to 44.5%
and by the time client has decreased the holding from 44.5% to 14.8%.
Does the change in position affect the stock price of ITC? let's have a look
Now it's clear that FII have ultimate power because when they started to increase their holding in ITC
the price shoot up during this time Public who were holding it for the last 2yrs exited when ITC has just begun to move.
Hope the readers had understood the mightiness of FII and the oppositeness of the Public and also have got a deep insight
about their competitors .
Also, thanks to @biswapatra for requesting me to write an article on this topic. You can also suggest an topic on which you
want to have analysis.
Structural Confluence of Elliot and HarmonicsConfluence doesnt mean some indicators and price action .. confluence conditions can be seen everywhere from structure to entry
The above structure shows you confluence with 2 major concepts in trading world HARMONICS and ELLIOT, shows you the possible areas where you could see confluence of both
The 3rd wave could some times be BAT pattern or DEEP CRAB pattern in impulse, when it comes to elliot correction you will prob'ly see ABCD pattern in formation.
This will give you an idea of how to identify the confluence when you are looking for swing trading
Always keep in mind that there will be internal small patterns within the big pattern do not get confused while doing multi TF analysis thinking which pattern to follow, always follow the higher TF pattern.
Trading is a waste of time Trading is a waste of time - until you do this!
Welcome back for another exciting video, an educational video, and an eye-opening video for a lot of traders, and I have given it a very, very interesting title that is Trading a Waste of Time.
Let's find out in this short video. Recently reading a book called The Best Loser Wins.
It's written by Tom Hoggard , he goes by the name of Trader Tom on YouTube .And I urge you to check him out. There are some things that I have learned from his book and I'd like to share it with you.
The particular data is of 2019 and these brokers are all located in European Union and, by law they are required to post the failure rates , how many clients are losing money in their market in their accounts.
Out of a hundred clients, 89 clients were in a loss. And the situation is same for almost each and every broking houses.
So eventually the brokers are making money, but the clients are not.
Whenever as a beginner or even a seasoned trader, we are looking at these data and we believe that we are not in this statistical data. We are in the winning percentage in the remaining 10%, but it's not like that for the markets. We are just a statistic. Right? And even if you look at the top 10 broking forms in the world, the majority of people are in a loss.
So that really makes us ask this question. Is trading really a waste of time? Are we just wasting our time in trading? And a lot of people, it's a very fine detail and a lot of people might agree with me that, in the initial stages it's really hard to be consistent in making money, right?
And I'll discuss the reason with you because this particular reason is not discussed.
The social media of Twitter, YouTube, it has all created an image where if you're not doubling your money every month, then you are a loser in the market.
But in fact, trading is a very tough profession and it's really hard to make money and initial days protecting your money is one of the biggest tasks in surviving in the market.
Protecting yourself from ruin is one of the biggest achievements in trading.
So whenever we are starting our journey as a trader, where is our focus? What are the questions we are looking for? What are the things we are usually focused on? , we are on the internet looking for strategies, how to do scalping, how to do seing trading, how to use the indicators, the MACD and RSI, and how we can use different types of breakout indicators, right?
These are the focal points of. I remember when I started trading, these are the things I was looking for. A hundred percent strategy, no loss strategy. These are the things that I was looking for initially, but these are usually the wrong answers.
You know, in an area where 90% people are in a loss, then you need to ask yourself that.
Because it has never been easier to trade because you go back 10 to 15 years, it was not easy to trade. You had to call your broker. And now we have an online trading system where we can just buy and sell stocks at an instant, right?
That leads to high liquidity. And high liquidity usually means you can enter and. Very fast and you don't have to pay much for it. And you have all the tools available, especially a tool like Trading View, where you get each and every trading charts, indicators without paying a single penny.
So it has never ever been easier to trade. So why are we all still losing money? We are only creating brokerage for our broking firm.
This takes us to another and final topic is that in the year 2019, one Forex brokerage firm did an analysis of over 25,000 traders.
And over a span of 15 months or 16 months.
So that is a long period of time and over five crore trades were analyzed.
So it was a very big data to analyze and that would give us a clear picture.
So in that analysis it was recorded that out of hundred. , the traders were profitable in 60 of them and they lost money in 40 of them.
So this is a very good data, right? Your win, your hit ratio is very high in the total amount of trades.
So eventually the data is in your favor, but there's a small catch . When the traders are winning, they're winning 40 points.
And when they lose, they lose around 75 points. This is a recipe for disaster. This particular thing created a lot of problems for me in the initial trades during my initial career.
And this might be creating a lot of problems for people who are trading for the past one or two years in this high VIX environment because, you know, on paper, on week to week basis, you are winning And, and suddenly there's one particular day when you lose it all and that is the day when it drags your capital back to square one.
So this is the biggest reason why it's very difficult for people to manage their trades.
Cause it all comes down to how much you win when you win, and how much you lose when you lose.
This brings us to the concept of risk . right in this modern area, uh, where option selling and creating spreads and selling naked options has been a very famous thing to do for the past couple of years. That is what happens whenever you're selling options, you have a probability of one 68%.
That is a one standard deviation, right?
So out of hundred trades you are going to win in 68% of them. But what you do and how you come out of the remaining 30 trades when the situation is not going to go in your favor, that is all going to matter.
And that is the crux of thing that makes your journey as a successful trader.
Our position in the market is very, very small for the market to know that we even exist or not.
If you look at the data, if you just reverse the win and the loss points, even if you're winning only 50% of the times, then also your position is going to be in a net profit.
So that's it for the guys.
That makes this particular question really interesting. Is trading a waste of time?
You're wasting of time, or are you smart enough to realize this thing that the other traders are doing and are in a loss?
And what are you doing to improve this position and to improve your survival In this market.
So that's it for you guys. I hope I have provided some value in this video, and if you found the video helpful, don't forget to follow me @piyushrawtani Trading View. And if you have any queries, feel free to post it in the comments section.
Thank you very much and good night.
'SANTA' of the 'TRADERS'This publication is dedicated to thanking the 'Santa' of the ‘Traders’ i.e. the 'Stock Market'.
The lessons given to us as a gift of the market, not only help us to succeed in the stock market but also helps us throughout life.
This 25th December i.e. Christmas let’s thank our 'Santa' and have a detailed look at 5 Great Gifts of the Stock Market and thank her for these
life-awakening gifts.
-> Discipline: The most important teaching in markets is discipline. As the wording of Jim Rohn states “Discipline is the bridge between goals and accomplishment” stock market develops that bridge.
The market has its way of teaching and punishing, I think all of us had witnessed its punishment whether in form of not keeping stop loss or not following your trade system.
Discipline plays a vital role in an individual’s life. As said by Horace “Rule your mind or it will rule you. ”The disciplined person has the power to rule his mind whereas others lack this ability.
-> Patience: Another gem cultivated by markets in our personality and harvested by us throughout life. One of the familiar names of our school time Benjamin Franklin says “He that can have patience can have what he will.” market first teaches this gem to us and then offer us what we wish.
We all have at least once missed taking the real profit by not waiting till the target is achieved but leaving the trade in midway though it was moving in our direction the reason is we lack patience and the market gives profit only to eligible ones so, either you be eligible or market will make you fit for it by its way.
-> Ability to conquer 3 gateways of hell: According to ‘The Bible’ there are 12 gateways to hell and among them, the most dangerous are Lust, Greed, and Anger.
The market helps its students in conquering those strong emotions. The beginner in the stock market has a strong lust for making money very quickly and greed for making lots of money without that kind of effort and when he fails in his motive anger gets born in his personality from where degradation or hell starts.
Those few people who still have not left the hands of the market get the knowledge to conquer those emotions throughout their journey in markets.
-> Faith in yourself: One of the famous quotes by Ralph Waldo Emerson is “The best lightning rod for your protection is your spine.” market strengthen that spine so that we as its student can withstand any kind of storm in our life.
Taking any trade based on your analysis requires self-belief on the early days people hesitate but later they rely on their analysis because the market has taught them self-belief.
-> Crush your arrogance: Market is popular in crushing the arrogant guy along with this removing any trace of arrogance in his personality. The famous wording says “Close some doors today. Not because of pride, incapacity, or arrogance, but simply because they lead you nowhere.” market as a kind teacher keep a keen eye on her student for arrogance as she knows that as soon as arrogance arises person starts his fall.
All of us had witnessed that whenever we start thinking that we have mastered markets and try to neglect discipline market slaps us badly to awaken us that we are still newbies and still had to learn a lot.
I believe these 5 are the most valuable gifts of the market but if you have any gift of the market much valuable in your life please mention it in the comments.
Finally, Merry Christmas to all my trader mates.
The stock market gives success only to eligible ones so, either you be eligible or the market will make you fit for it in its own way.
EUR USD IS TARGETING 1.07800 RANGE
HELLO EVERYONE ,
OANDA:EURUSD I'm Dhanush I Had Noticed That from Past One Week EUR USD Had Under Gone Into
The Wedge. This Cause a Bullish Brake out Of Target Resistance At 1.07800. So, It Is Good to Place the Short at This Price Range.
If The Breakout Is a Bearish Then It Has Nearest Support At 1.56940. So, It Will Bounce from There.
NOTE: this information is just for education purpose only.
NAUKRI BO !!NSE:NAUKRI
#NAUKRI retested multiple times @ Resistance and ready to BO.
Few more ideas shared are attached, scrolldown to check 👍
👉 From now on, My charts sharing in TradingView will be very very limited due to some TV Rules which are un avoidable,
Hope all my friends understand this and continue your love and support. But you know 🤑🤑 We don’t stop LEarning 🙏
EVEREADY INDUSTRIES - Can it Fly High ?Market Cap 2,818 Cr.
Stock P/E 129
ROCE 14 %
ROE 17.2 %
Promoter holding 43.2 %
Free Cash Flow 122 Cr.
Eveready Industries India Limited is one of the leading manufacturers of dry cell batteries in India and offers products such as batteries, flashlights, lighting solutions, and home appliances.
The company has a legacy of more than 100 years and has become the market leader in the batteries segment, commanding over 50% of India's market share, and holding more than 70% of India's organized flashlights market. It has 65% top-of-mind brand recall value.
The Company will explore countermeasures against the large-scale dumped flashlights from China and is making efforts to improve margins by change of mix in the product portfolio of the lighting segment.
It will also focus to reduce the debt levels and has concurrently refinanced its high-cost debts at lower rates to strategically lower the interest burden.
Company is focusing growth in LED based Luminaires both in the consumer and professional lighting space. Further expansion is being planned to tap electrical hubs for distribution of Luminaires
This call is purely based on the merit of its technical chart.