Nifty 50 ShortAfter completing the super cycle W5, Nifty entered into what could possibly be a correction (or a bear market?) in text-book style leading diagonal pattern(Wave 1). Currently its either approaching end of Wave 2 or already just completed W2. Expect Wave 3 to be nasty and swift and deep.
Target Date: Likely by mid to end of June
Target correction: 10 to 20%.
Elliottwaveanalyis
Wait for wave (IV) to troll back at 38.2/50% fibo and open long!AUDJPY Analyze- 9 PM (TH)- 01/06/2021
We are in the wave of the second set of non-standard small x of wave x3
OR Wave A of x3
Which the price is forming last wave v of wave A
and in a deeper degree, it is wave (iv) of wave v
Where are we?
x3 - A - v - (iv)
Plan to trade for tomorrow
1. Wait for wave iv to retrace at red resistance horizontal line at 38.2% or 50%
2. Candles have to be able to stand at those lines
3. Ema 5 and 15 cross up
4. MACD and CCI make bullish divergence in the small timeframe
5. Plan how much you want to risk and place an order with the stop loss and take profit which is around 100% of the previous wave (I) and stops loss is a little bit lower than 50% because wave (ii) is already zigzag which means wave (iv) has to be flat/triangle or combination waves; normally it will not retrace more than 50% of the former wave.
One quote for tomorrow
“Never, ever argue with your trading system” - Michael Covel
---Meaning: It will never get you anywhere! And let’s face it, it’s probably not the systems’ fault. If it’s really doing you no good, change it!---
Thanat VIchachai
This is how I plan to trade for tomorrow EURUSDIt can be any of these 3 cases
1. Wave x is correcting to make the triple combination - UP
The price must not come down more than 1.21557 OR
2. Wave (a) - (b)- (c) zigzag is just sub-waves of wave a - Down
The price must confirm at least 1.21557 to form wave b at 61.8% Fibonacci OR
3. Wave 5 is finished - UP
They are changing trend the price will come down in a long term and it has the potential to dive to 1/3 of the previous cycle which is
around 1.17568 and also can retrace to former wave 4 at 1.15926
Result: 2cases.Up 1case.down- if 1.21557 breaks, means downtrend might occur or just wave b of flat to make another uptrend c wave
"Limit your size in any position so that fear does not become the prevailing instinct guiding your judgment"
Wave a (non-standard small x wave ) of wave 5 is awaitingThe price has the potential to come down to 1.22808(50%) or lower and then follow by wave bullish candle to form wave an of wave 5.
You can bid at 1.22808 (50%) or 1.22744(61.8%)
Stop-loss a little bit lower
Target at least previous high 1.23092
Risk reward estimated a little bit more than 3:1
EURCHF: Is it the starting of Stormy 3rd wave ?In this video detailed explanation of applying elliott wave principle has been discussed taking an example of current price structure of a currency pair EURO-SWISS. i.e. EURCHF .
One should go long in the region of 1.07000 - 1.70400 keeping a SL of 1.06618 for the target zone of above the wave 1 highs that is above 1.08710
ITC: Exam time , Pass or FailTrading strategy :
Key level is 210
1. Go long above 210 keeping a mino Stop loss of 203 , for the target area of 240 & later 280.
2. Go short below 210 if it starts rejecting from the zone of 210-220 for the target of 190/175.
3. If it starts taking support near the zone of 175-180 again go long with that recent low as SL & ride till 210 & above 210 follow plan 1.
Tata steel- Careful at the tops @393-395View is valid only below 395 levels- Do not sell if stock not falling below or holding above this level.
Looks all mess upside & choppy moves. Possibly finishing Wave-x (circled) within Wave-Y. Only if Index Nifty moves above 12025 - I will avoid selling else -I am looking for steel to fall in final wave -Y
Targets - 385-387 / Below 385- Target -370 / Below 370 Only- Target -360/ Below 360 (Strictly follow the levels) -343 & Final Target - 300 in next few weeks & months ahead.
BankNifty- Final Leg (Triangle) & Fall Later 22660-21400Plan A (Buy Scenario)
A Possible Triangle Scenario - Expect Upside Push--------"strictly crossing above 22300 & holding above 22300"-----------for target 22550-22600
No Buying if cannot cross & hold above 22300 levels
Plan B (Sell Scenario)
Strictly Sell Valid --------After completing Plan A (Buy Scenario) mentioned above------Once reaches 22550-22600 target upside & fails to cross above 22660 then traders can plan the sell keeping stops above 22660 & target downside as 21400 as mentioned in the last idea mentioned below
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As per the last idea ---------resistance of 22700 approx was held - High was 22757 (shown as "Wave-a" & we got the fall to 22757 to 22035 level
Last Idea
TATA COFFEE : HAVE SOME COFFEE TATA COFFEE : The stock is travelling in a impulsive channel & currently the wave 3 is unfolding. As per the internal structure we can clearly see that, the wave 3 is being extended & look like it has completed its 4th of third wave. So we can expect an upside move in the stock to complete its 3rd wave. One should look buying opportunity if the prices sustain above 114 levels & look for the higher target zone as shown in the chart.
Nifty - Roller Coaster Ride 9700- Done & Out!Disclaimer
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All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, or individual’s trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
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Trading Strategy
Plan A -
Global Markets Positive as of current session -16th June 2020. Tomorrow, Nifty can open gap up above 9900 - Holding above 9900 levels - Targets can be 10000 / 10170-10200 zone
Plan B -
If stops at channel top in 10170-10200 zone or close by levels then get ready if Index starts falling first & you join them later for downside target from the tops of 10170-10200 to 9900 / Below 9900 -9800 / Below 9800 -9700 / Below 9700 for 9550-9600 (Yellow Channel Support)
Plan C -
Breaking of Yellow Channel Shown on downside & below 9550-9600 key zone -Expect Targets 9375-9400 / Below 9375 for 9175-9200 / Below 9150 for 9000 / Below 8950 for 8700 & lower targets.
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Last Stock Idea - ITC
Selling The Tops at 203 Highs
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Last Idea on S&P500 Index
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TradingView Profile Page- To check older ideas
in.tradingview.com
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Thanks for watching this idea & your precious time. Have a wonderful week ahead
Nifty /Gold / USDINR - The Important Juncture Thanks from Bottom of my heart to "Sir John Murphy" for giving us such a wonderful book on Intermarket Analysis - "Profiting from Global Market Relationships"
Special thanks to my friend & follower who wrote - Think beyond Red & Green Colours. I would love to have your comment once again here in this idea as well.
Wish You all a Happy & Colorful Holi
This video idea talks about long term outlook on various asset classes such as
Gold
USDINR
Nifty
& get some clue for these asset classes.
Starting with last stock update - Indusind Bank which was published in Jan 2020 & suggested the fall from 1565 to 1050 - all targets were done & stock touched the channel bottom at 913 lows. Kindly check the idea below
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Indusind Bank - Never miss channel bottoms
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USDINR Ideas
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24th March 2019 Idea - USDINR - The Box Match at 69
10th Jan 2020 Idea - USDINR - The Next Path (Holding 70.35 - Expect 72.25 & 74.50
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Gold Futures
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17th Sep 2018 Idea - Plausible 1350-1375 Zone
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India Nifty
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29th Feb 2020 Idea - Nifty (India -Buy & Hold) - C-Wave or Corona Wave - What Next ?
12th Jan 2020 Idea - Nifty - Stellium Effect - How I cracked the top at 12295
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Thanks for checking the idea. Wishing you all once again a happy holi -
Indusind Bank -Never Miss Channel Bottoms !!! (Fall 1565 to 900)Note -
This is not a suggestion to buy or sell the stock. Kindly consider the risk involved & consult your financial advisor
Disclaimer
-----------------------------
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, or individual’s trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
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Yes, it is risky but trading such channels can be highly lucrative & why not - if you did the selling from the tops of 1565 for 1050 - all targets done.
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14th Jan 2020 - Channel Tops at 1595
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6th March 2020 - Channel Bottoms at 913
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Last Video Idea (Click the link below to watch the video)