shibusd - Shiba inu usd Elliot wave countsShiba is trading at ideal support zone at the starting point of wave cycle, but to confirm low/support in place and bullish reversal,
we need to see a recovery at least back to 0.00001435 area and more strong above 0.00000200 area. (One can go long after these confirmations) on the way down 0.00000450 levels are major support to watchout for.
As per Elliott wave perspective, we have been tracking (A)-(B)-(C) correction from all-time highs and wave (C) is now possibly completed,
as we see a completed five-wave cycle of the lower degree.
Overall wave structure, almost full wave cycle completed and price near major support level.
Waiting for close above 0.00001435 to made higher high and then higher low
Price is taking support at bottom of RK's mass psychological cloud on hourly time frame
Also on daily chart it entered again in RK's mass psychological cloud
Price action formed Morning star candle stick pattern on weekly time frame, but still waiting for follow up.
macd positive in daily time frame
MACD flat after down fall on weekly time frame
histogram breakout on daily time frame
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Elliottwaveideas
MCX Gold Elliott Wave Projection For July 2022Gold has accomplished the final correction wave (Y) of wave ((B)) and has begun to form sub-waves of the corrective wave ((C)).
Currently, the price is at 100 EMA & the lower band of the parallel channel. It appears that the movement of gold is being dominated by bears, as it is making lower lows and lower highs.
If the price breaks down the parallel channel, traders can initiate a short position for the following targets: 50153 – 49600 – 48560 . It should be noted that the breakdown of the parallel channel is also the breakdown of the 100 EMA.
49600 is a pivot zone for gold. If the price sustains below 49600 , traders can expect rapid bearish momentum.
Natural Gas Analysis: Commodity TradingNatural Gas go hand in hand both in international market as well as Indian market. Here we present natural gas Elliott Wave Analysis. It is showing a 5 wave decline as wave A and again will go up for a three wave B, then again come down in a C wave.
You can correlate this chart with MCX Natural gas. Both are the same. Hope it will enlighten your commodity trading.
:) Please like and share our ideas.
:) For any query comment please.
Bajaj Finserv: Elliott Wave Analysis & TipsBajaj Finserv has started it's final bearish, where we have seen a speculative boom downside. After breaking 50 & 200 EMAs , it started falling for wave Z .
Traders can expect the following targets: 14631 - 14449 - 14176 . The Control line will work as a hurdle for intraday traders.
Bajaj Finserv has formed in the descending channel for more than 27 weeks . It has broken the control line's channel also. That indicates bulls are not ready to expect a falling knife.
Measurement of wave ((4)):
Wave ((4)) can accomplish 38.2% of wave ((3)) at 14000 .
Wave ((4)) can complete at the lower band of the parallel channel because the price has created a throw-out action.
Sometimes, prices do not break the low of wave ((Y)) due to less momentum and supply deficiency. And it causes orthodox bottoms.
After the completion of wave (z) of wave (4), the price will march for motive wave (5).If the price sustains above wave (X) at 17480 , Bajaj Finserv will move on for an all-time high.
Note: ending point of the corrective structure is the starting point of an impulsive phase.
I will update further information soon.
Asianpaint can go Down in Wave 5.Above is the view of #ASIANPAINT which can go downward from 3100-3120 range, of smaller blue Fibo 0.786 as one can see in above chart,
Also which can be the area to short the price & start of the 3rd mini wave of minute wave 5 .
Please take in consideration, If the high i.e. 3163 is broke then the counting is Invalid.
Note - View's provided are for Educational purposes only, please do your own Research.
Max Healthcare INS Ltd. Long trade based on EWT and technicalsAs per chart of #MAXHEALTH Wave C is Completed & Expecting a bullish trend, with Target 1- 384, Tr2- 424 . Please take in consideration If the Low is broken i.e. 326 the marking are invalid.
Note - View's provided are for Educational purposes only, please do your own Research.
SILVER MCXSILVER MCX in the near term 70500 - 70600 are the resistance zone for silver mcx, it has possibly completed wave ii in three wave decline, and now possibly wave iii is unfolding. If our wave counts are going correct then above resistance zone silver can show 79000 plus, where wave iii would be equal to wave i.
Currently price is sustaining above RK's stop line and also above RK's cloud along with buy signal in RK's Magic on daily chart, which is a good positive sign itself, if we see price is also above 20DMA and 20WMA, macd is also positive in both daily and weekly time frames, RSI on weekly is uptick, stochastic on daily is supporting same bias.
On the way down immediate supports are pegged at 67050 as a RK's stop line, and major support at 65298 to watch out for upcoming sessions.
Overall wave structure on weekly chart
macd positive in weekly and also above zero line
macd positive crossed in daily chart
RK's indicator also suggesting to go long
Price above 20WMA above mid bollinger in Weekly chart
Price above 20DMA above mid bollinger in daily chart
rsi in weekly uptick
stochastic in daily going positively uptick
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Part [A] Basic of Wave Principle
Elliott Wave background
In the 1930s, R.N Elliott identified the price of the stock trends and reversed a specific pattern. This pattern is repetitive in form and, the patterns have predictive value. He decided to use this pattern (Elliott wave theory) to predict the market. The Elliott wave is not primarily a trading system. It is a detailed description of how the market acts. The Elliott wave is part of technical analysis. Also, the Wave principle is the reassembled form of dow theory.
-Elliott Wave Principle The key To Market Behavior]
Waves in the market?
We all know that price never moves in a straight line. It will neither fall in a straight line nor rise in a straight line.
Price will create highs and lows. And this high and low creates waves. Elliott wave theory is all about counting waves and, we are going to use the Elliott wave to trade the market.
Now, the concept of waves is acceptable for you.
Elliott wave theory is made of 5+3= 8 waves.
Let me show you that structure in both trends.
In bull market ( UP Trend ) :
Figure 1.1 This is the Elliott wave structure in an uptrend. As we discussed, Elliott's wave theory is made up of 5+3=8 waves. Where five waves move with the trend and three waves move against the trend.
In Bear market (downTrend) :
Figure 1.2 This is an example of Elliott wave theory in the Bear market. We can see that five waves move with the trend and, three waves move against the trend.
Take a deep breath, I know you have lots of doubts in your mind. Let me solve some.
1. Elliott wave theory works in any time frame.
2. These 5+3=8 waves will give us a market edge. It will provide strong trends & trend reversals.
3. The accuracy of Elliott wave theory is 84% of you are using the wave principle correctly.
Practical Example of Elliott wave theory :
In the Bull market :
Figure 1.3 This is the TATA MOTORS 4 hour timeframe chart. I used bar charts because It is easy to recognize Elliott's waves in bar Patterns. Well, it works for me to recognize if you feel that you can recognize patterns in another chart, go ahead with bar charts!
In Bear Market:
Figure 1.4 : This is the ITC daily time frame chart. It shows the beautiful Elliott wave structure in the Bear market.
Elliott wave structure :
Now, we all know that Elliott is made of a 5+3= 8 wave structure. So, Let's start getting into it!
To understand the wave principle, we have divided the wave structure (5+3=8) into two Phases which are an Impulse phase/structure & a corrective phase/structure.
Figure 1.5 This picture illustrates Two phases of the Elliott wave principle.
The impulse phase is made up of 5 waves and, the corrective phase is made up of 3 waves.
Figure 1.6: This picture divides the wave principle into two phases.
1. Impulse phase/structure ( which includes five waves and, which moves with the trend you can see in bull market impulse phase is going upward and in a bear market, impulse phase is going down which is directional move.)
&
2. Corrective Phase/structure ( which includes three waves and which moves against the trend, you can see that in bull market corrective phase is going downward and
In bear markets, the corrective phase is going upward, which is a counter-trend move.
Figure 1.7 , Elliott wave has 2 phases. motive/Impulse phase ( directional move ) and corrective phase(counter trend move). We can divide these 2 phases into two types of waves. Impulsive waves and corrective waves.
Let’s zoom in on the impulse phase to understand the underlying structure and wave behavior.
Motive/Impulse Phase :
Important things about the impulse phase
1). Motive/Impulse phase is a Five wave structure that includes wave1,2,3,4 & 5.
2). motive/Impulse phase is a directional move ( moves with the trend.)
3). The Ending point of the impulse phase is the starting point of the corrective phase.
4). motive/Impulse structure is powerful than corrective structure.
5) Impulse phase can divide into two types of waves
i) Impulse waves: 1, 3,5 ( move with Trend of impulse Phase )
ii) Corrective waves: 2,4 ( Moves against the trend of Impulsive Phase)
Let me give you a quick understanding because we are going to cover these waves in-depth,
Impulsive waves are trend-following moves. We can find this type of wave structure in both phases. Impulsive waves create trends.Impulsive waves are (1,3,5,A,C)
Corrective waves are counter-Trend moves. We can find this type of wave structure in both phases. Corrective waves provide pause to continue the trend,
Corrective waves : (2,4,B)
Motive/Impulse Phase in Bull market
Figure 1.8(A) , wave 1,3,5 is an impulsive wave of impulse phase because The trend of impulse phase up and, Impulsive wave are following the trend and heaving upward move.
And
wave 2,4 is the corrective wave of an impulse phase because the trend of the impulse phase is up but, the corrective wave is moving down, which is against the trend.
Motive/Impulse Phase in Bear Market :
Figure 1.8(B), wave 1,3,5 is an impulsive wave of impulse phase because the trend of Motive/impulse phase down and Impulsive wave are following trend and heaving downward move.
And
Wave 2,4 is the corrective wave of an impulse phase because the trend of the Impulse phase is down but, the corrective wave is moving upward, which is against the trend.
Corrective Phase/structure :
Important things about the impulse phase
1). The Corrective Phase is a three-wave structure that includes waves A, B, C.
2). The corrective phase is a counter-trend move ( moves against the trend.)
3). The Ending point of the corrective phase is the starting point of the Impulse phase.
4) correction phase can divide into two types of waves
i) Impulse waves: A, C ( move with Trend of correction Phase )
ii) corrective waves: B ( moves against Trend of correction Phase )
Corrective Phase in a bull market:
Figure 1.9(A ): wave A, C is the impulsive wave of the Correction phase because the trend of the correction phase is down and Impulsive waves are following the trend and heaving downward move.
And
Wave B is the corrective wave of a Correction phase because the trend of the Corrective Phase is down but, the corrective wave is moving upward which is against the trend.
Correction phase in Bear Market :
Figure 1.9(B) : wave A, C is the impulsive wave of the Correction phase because the trend of correction phase Up and Impulsive waves are following the trend and heaving Upward move.
And
Wave B is the corrective wave of a Correction phase because the trend of the Corrective Phase is Up but, the corrective wave is moving down, which is against the trend.
[ Note : here, the correction phase moves against the trend. That's why the market has a Downtrend but, the correction phase is in an uptrend.]
Impulsive wave structure :
1. Impulsive waves are directional moves that are bigger than corrective waves.
2. Impulsive waves create trends.
3. Impulsive waves are subdivided into five waves.
( that means wave 1,3,5, A, C which moves with the trend will have five sub-waves.)
4. Impulsive waves are easy to recognize.
(Impulsive waves can also be called motive waves)
5. Ride of impulsive wave can give us a high probability trade setup with high Rewards
We are going to cover impulsive wave formations in the next part.
(diagonals,extensions,Impulse,Truncation)
Figure 1.10: As we discussed, Impulsive waves subdivide into five waves.
Here wave 1,3,5, A, C has five subwaves which you can see in the chart.
Elliot Wave for Nifty, Bearish Nifty ,End of Monthly Wave 5So , I am publishing this idea on Monthly charts of Nifty 50 , I am new to Elliot Wave Concept still studying and exploring. Your valuable corrections and guidance will make this analysis more useful.
As Per charts ( Monthly Chart ) Nifty 50, Indices are forming waves pattern .
As per Fibonacci Golden Section Rule, which results in a .382/.618 split, Certain wave termination points will often divide wave patterns into the Golden Section or sometimes a .50/.50 split. In an impulse wave, wave 4 (usually its origin or termination point) will often divide the entire wave into the Golden Section or into two equal parts
As per Golden Ratio, in monthly charts of Nifty 50 , Termination point of Wave 4 (i.e 7511 Corona Fall ) is dividing the whole journey of Nifty 50 in 0.382 : 0.618. This is the basis of my conclusion for concluding the end of wave 5.
So if we consider this to be the end of wave 5, there will be pause in the Impulse wave and corrective waves will be seen on the charts.
NSE Asian Paint (EWT): Money printing time
Asian paint has started the impulsive sub-wave 'iii' of wave 5. Price has crossed the high of wave 'i', which is the signal of impulsive behavior of wave 5.
A long position can be initiated after a pullback when price penetrates on wave 'i' to take support. And that cannot be a barrier for long-term investors. They can jump on it.
But if you are a short-term investor or safe trader, you may lose this opportunity due to waiting for a pullback, but this is the only way to manage risk.
But if you want to moderate risk here, you may lose the opportunity due to waiting for a pullback.
Target: 3342 - 3454 - 3505 - 3581
Invalidation: l ow of wave ii
I haven't mentioned sub-waves of wave 'iii' because it hasn't taken shape. I will re-upload this chart soon.
Previous Idea:
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Dollar Index (Review)- WaveTalks: The Bounce from 89.55Heading in the suggested direction & getting a close opportunity at 89.55 in April/May 2021 gave dollar bulls a better grip.
Falling below 88-89 only will trigger the next downside move or it will touch the (a) - (c) trendline & finish (e) wave within the next higher degree wave-4. Thanks
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Last Idea - Dollar Index -Rise & Collapse-Part 1- Feb2021
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HDFC - Wave 5- What it could be unfolding ? - 2390 to 3000+ DoneTarget done at 2900+ for Traditional Chart Patterns. The stock rallied 25% from the bottoms of 2400 since July 2021 in running Wave-5.
What could be unfolding here in wave 5? Are you ready for the next move?
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Last Idea - HDFC- WaveTalks- Pattern, Patience & Penultimate Correction
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HINDALCO: CASE OF ENDING DIAGONALENDING DIAGONAL : This is the most common diagonal that can be found out at the ending of a main trend or main correction. It consists of all the waves 1-2-3-4-5 in a single or multiple zigzags. They can be found placed at 5th wave of an impulse wave or can been seen as a wave ‘C’ of a corrective waves zigzags or flat. After the termination of the ending diagonal, a swift & a sharp reversal takes place which bring the prices back to the level from where the diagonal began.
Trading strategy:
One should go short on current levels keeping SL of 510 & look for the target area of 440/420/400
KOTAK BANK : BullishEvery impulse wave follows some set of rules which we call them as SUTRAS for wave analysis. They are –
1. Wave 2 cannot move beyond the starting level of the wave 1. That means wave 2 never retrace 100 % of the wave 1.
2. Wave 3 is never the shortest one among the wave 1,3 & 5. It does not mean that it has to be the longest one.
3. Wave 4 never intervene into the price territory of the wave 1.
The stock can be considered in its 4th wave & is about to complete the 4th wave very soon. One should go long on current levels with SL of 1826 & look for the targets of 2170-2200 .
Nifty- WaveTalks: E-Wave Pending ( Rising Wedge +Critical level)From the last idea- WaveTalks: Nifty-Can Bulls Bounce Back?- The Irregular Triangle
Few Adjustments done. Wave- D has been changed to 17941 Highs as discussed over the last idea.
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Since Morning @ 8th Oct2021 - How Index unfolded
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It could be part of the corrective structure. D-Wave could be complex correction & possibly may end as Ending diagonal (Rising Wedge) in the last part (strictly valid only below 17950)
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Why 17950- is Critical level???
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Irregular Triangle B-Wave High is 17948 crossing above that level structure invalidates & has to be reviewed again.
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As discussed in the last idea suggested above for reference.
150 + Points in the session so far achieved
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Selling below 17950 - dropped 100 points came to 17840-17850 zone
Suggested Minor Support Zone 17840-17850 - If zone holds then bounce can be expected - got the bounce to 17930+
Keep in mind the critical level - 17950 & E- Wave Pending if 17950 is protected. Thanks