#nifty directions and levels for October 16th.The global markets are still bullish, while our local market is showing a moderately bearish trend. Therefore, there is no clear direction for the short term. Today, the market may open with a slightly positive start. If this happens, we can expect that Friday's pullback may continue further. Let's explain it one by one.
Current View:
If the gap-up sustains, we can expect the pullback to continue, with some consolidation around the resistance levels. For Nifty, the expected target range is 25003 to 25059
Alternate View:
The alternate view indicates that if the market declines initially, or if it rejects around the immediate resistance, we can expect a correction of38% to50%.
> It is important to note that we cannot assume this is a correction even if the market breaks the50% Fibonacci level, as the structure exhibits a bit of a bullish bias. Therefore, we should look for some additional confirmation to predict the correction. If this happens, I will inform you during market hours.
Elliott Wave
#Banknifty directions and levels for October 16th.Current View:
If the gap-up sustains, we can expect the pullback to continue, with some consolidation around the resistance levels. the target range is 52514 to 52642.
Alternate View:
The alternate view indicates that if the market declines initially, or if it rejects around the immediate resistance, we can expect a correction of38% to50%.
> It is important to note that we cannot assume this is a correction even if the market breaks the50% Fibonacci level, as the structure exhibits a bit of a bullish bias. Therefore, we should look for some additional confirmation to predict the correction. If this happens, I will inform you during market hours.
Nifty small upmove possibleNIFTY has clear indication now that wave c of wave B is under formation.
The recent down move has not touched 127% level, so this down move was clearly wave b of wave B.
Now if we use fib extension for target of wave c of wave B, we get cluster around 25422 and 25416 level, where 161.8% extension of wave c and 50% retracement of bigger wave A (which is the maximum target of wave B of Zig-zag).
So we have good buying opportunity here with stoploss below 24545 and target of 25420.
Sonata Software - Bullish OpportunityWe have a bullish opportunity for Sonata Software - positional long:
- Trend seems to be upwards on Monthly and Weekly TFs
- On 1 Day TF, we have price reacting upwards from nearest 1-D Demand Zone
- As per Elliott Wave model, price is forming bullish impulse wave upwards as shown in the chart. Currently, it seems to be forming a good solid 3rd Wave upwards on 1-D TF
- Entry can be done at 620-625ish and Targets can be 650, 688, 700 for immediate swings. If the momentum carries forward, we will revisit for exact target of when 3rd wave completes later.
ITC - Upward Leading DiagonalIt seems ITC has probably formed a base after consuming a good demand zone on 75 Mins TF and as per Dow Theory model, making higher lows and higher highs. As per my primary rationale of Elliott Wave analysis, it is forming a leading diagonal structure for Wave 1 on 75 Mins TF chart as shown hereby. We can confirm this once it consumes some demand at Wave 2 downwards and makes higher highs rally to initiate Wave 3. In case, it doesn't come to Wave 2 at around 420-425, then we may look for how price action and Elliott Wave Model plays out once it crosses 450 upwards breaking a good supply zone of 440-448. If it breaks Gann Square of 9 number - 463 upwards, then it will be confirmed that upward impulse wave has started yet again and may try to establish All-time highs again. But let's go step by step and see how the model and market sentiments work out/align beautifully in future.
Take this as education post for Elliott Wave structure model and play around/perform exercises from your side too on various time frames.
Bank Nifty - Remainder of the weekI know we are all waiting for a bullish trend to take place in both indices. Me too equally :)
As of now, let's quickly understand the wave-count and analysis as per the chart data we have.
(Please note: The timeframe I have taken is of 75 Mins , which means the analysis may be fruitful for remainder of this week and not just for intraday)
- The Wave counts are as showcased hereby. We are in master ABC and then in probably 4th sub-wave completion to start another sub-wave 5th downwards if the swing high of around 48250 is not broken tomorrow/remainder of the week
- In case, the swing high is broken, the wave count changes and 3rd becomes 5th, the 4th becomes 1st.
- But instead of confusing with the alternate counts, let's just say that if price action denotes price stays below 48250, we are still in correction wave downwards and may go down. If price action makes a bullish 15 mins candle and stays above 48250, we may see an impulse wave formation upwards and price may go upwards with small pullbacks
- The week will be an interesting one, let's all study, learn and exercise our skills and leverage TradingView to maximum :)
Bank Nifty - Next 2/3 days - current week - 15 Mins TFConsidering we have uncertain times and the chart's formation is also not providing clear direction of where the market seems to probably trend, we will go step by step and try to decode what market is forming on 15 Mins TF this week.
As of end of market today, we have the following chart formation available. As per Elliott principle, we have 12345 completed from major swing low on 15 Mins TF and now we are in correction mode.
Either of these possibilities exist:
1. We may be in ABC-ABC-ABC formation as per blue path line. 1 leg done, 2 remaining
2. We may have completed the ABC formation and now market needs to give good impulse from tomorrow for 12345 formation as denoted by green path line
We still can't go for proper bearish formation as the major swing lows/demand zones are not yet broken on 15 Mins TF itself.
Let's see how the market behaves tomorrow and accordingly we will revisit our views tomorrow.
Low risk buying in RELIANCEA low-risk high probability buying setup is forming in RELIANCE.
Price is taking support at the cluster of 38.2% retracement, 100% extension of Flat correction, and trendline in red.
If the price enters and sustains in the blue channel, showing bullish pressure, it will provide a good buying opportunity with a stop loss below the recent low.
#nifty directions and levels for October 16th.Good morning, friends. Structurally, it’s a bear market, but there’s no support from global markets yet. However, if the decline forms a strong structure, we can expect the trend to continue. On the other hand, if it reaches a major support level with a gradual structure, we could see a 38% to 78% bounce back in the minor swing. Have a nice day!
#Banknifty directions and levels for October 16th.Good morning, friends. Structurally, it’s a bear market, but there’s no support from global markets yet. However, if the decline forms a strong structure, we can expect the trend to continue. On the other hand, if it reaches a major support level with a gradual structure, we could see a 38% to 78% bounce back in the minor swing. Have a nice day!"
NIFTY going up or down from here?NIFTY is standing at crucial point. Here are two possibilities that will decide further move of NIFTY.
1. If price breaks down to 24548.65 level, it will be confirmed that wave C of Zig-zag has started and this move will go minimum up to 24255.75.
2. If price takes support near 24635 (or just say, reverses from anywhere without touching 24548.65) it will be considered that wave B of Zig-zag is still under formation. In this case NIFTY may show some up move upto 25299, and 25485.85.
Wave watch: Mahindra & Mahindra ltd. Technical Analysis.Mahindra and Mahindra Limited Stock Analysis using Elliott Waves
Today, we're analyzing Mahendra and Mahendra Limited's stock using Elliott Waves. In the larger time frame, we've completed waves one, two, three, and four. Currently, we're possibly in the red fifth wave.
Within the 5th wave, we have sub-divisions: black ((i)), ((ii)), ((iii)), ((iv)), and ((v)). Our analysis suggests:
- Black ((i)), ((ii)), and ((iii)) are complete
- Black ((iv))’s (a) and (b) are completed and now wave (c) is almost near to complete.
Once (c) is complete, that means black wave ((iv)) will end. Generally, wave ((iv)) doesn't cross 50% of wave ((iii))’s length. In 90% of cases, wave ((iv)) doesn't retrace beyond this level.
As black wave ((iv)) concludes, wave ((v)) will likely begin, forming a new high.
Important Notes:
- This analysis is for educational purposes only, not trading advice.
- Elliott Waves involve multiple possibilities; this analysis focuses on one potential scenario.
- Trading or investing solely based on this study involves risk.
- This content is not advisory and doesn't guarantee profits.
Remember: Elliott Wave analysis is a complex tool that requires practice and experience. It's essential to approach it with caution and always consider the potential risks involved in trading.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com/u/RK_Charts/ is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
HDFC Bank / BankNifty - The Giant Cracks & Index Melts 4000 +Disclaimer:
This is for informational purposes only and is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities or products.
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Recap from 25th Sep 2024
Giant Crack Alert: BankNifty’s drop from 54,467 on 26th Sep 2024 to 50,194 by 7th Oct 2024 got its hint from the HDFC idea published on 25th Sep. When a giant like HDFC cracks, imagine the shockwaves across the entire index!
HDFC - Will it take U-Turn from 1800 — Indeed It was giant crack from 1788
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Short Term
Strong Support Zone
50900-51000 - Avoid taking any buy or long positions below 51000 . Safe Traders to Buy if Index crosses above 51356 & holds above. Risky Traders can look for buying opportunities until Index holds above 51000 or drops close to 51000
Minor Resistance
51925 - 52050 is the minor resistance zone so any bounce upside holding 51000 can halt in this zone & crossing above 52100 - It can push towards strong resistance zone 52900-53100
Strong Resistance
52900-53100
Wishing You A Happy & Prosperous Diwali 2024
From WaveTalks
Abhishek
Is VEDL Ready to Soar? Elliott Wave Analysis Suggests YesTechnical Analysis of VEDANTA LTD. (VEDL) Based on Elliott Waves
This analysis is based on Elliott Wave theory and is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice.
Elliott Wave Analysis:
The provided chart of VEDANTA LTD. (VEDL) suggests a bullish trend based on Elliott Wave principles. The analysis identifies a potential impulse wave structure, which typically consists of five waves.
Elliott Wave Analysis Update
We're currently within Wave (3) in blue intermediate degree, with subdivisions marked as Red 1 to 5 Minor degree, Having completed Red 1 to 3, we're nearing the end of Red 4.
Key Takeaways:
1. Post-Red 4 completion, we expect an upward move to complete Red 5, targeting 1.618 Fibonacci extension (measured from Blue Wave (1).
2. Wave 5 (Red) is the final leg of Wave (3) in Blue which is of intermediate degree.
3. Overall, the outlook remains bullish.
Important Principle:
As per Elliott Wave Theory, Wave 4 cannot overlap Wave 1. This means Red 4 cannot enter the territory of Red Wave 1.
Nearest or current Invalidation Level:
If the price enters 471 (Wave 1 high), our labelled view will be negated, and we'll need to reassess the chart.
Expected Outcome:
If the invalidation level holds, our view remains intact, targeting 537 or nearby.
Actionable Insights:
- Monitor Red 4 completion
- Watch for Wave 5 unfolding
- Keep 471 as the critical invalidation level
Right Direction:
The annotation "Right Direction ↑" suggests that the overall trend is expected to be upward.
Invalidation Level:
The level of 424 is identified as an invalidation level. A break below this level would negate the bullish outlook and suggest a potential reversal.
Target:
While a specific target is not provided in the chart, a potential target for wave 3 could be around the 1.618 extension level (537.55) based on the length of wave 1. However, this is a rough estimate and subject to change based on market conditions.
Overall Outlook:
Based on the Elliott Wave analysis, VEDANTA LTD. (VEDL) appears to be in a bullish uptrend. The market is expected to continue rising, with a potential target around the 537.55 level. However, it's crucial to monitor the price action closely and be prepared to adjust the analysis if the market's behavior deviates from the expected pattern.
Remember: Elliott Wave analysis is a complex tool that requires practice and experience. It's essential to approach it with caution and always consider the potential risks involved in trading.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com/u/RK_Charts/ is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
#Banknifty directions and levels for October 16th.Bank Nifty Current View:
Similar to Nifty, if Bank Nifty starts with a gap-down, it may consolidate between the previous high and the downside minor demand zone (51661). This is the basic structure.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market breaks this level solidly or consolidates around the minor demand zone (51661), then the correction is likely to continue towards the 38% Fibonacci level.
#Nifty directions and levels for October 16th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for October 16th.
Market Overview:
The global market is showing a moderately bearish sentiment, while our local market is following a similar trend. We anticipate a neutral to slightly gap-down opening today, with SGX Nifty indicating a negative start of -70 points as of 8 AM.
In the previous session, Nifty saw a minor correction, but Bank Nifty maintained a moderately bullish sentiment. Structurally, Nifty is in a range-bound pattern, while Bank Nifty shows a slightly bullish structure. However, with SGX Nifty indicating a negative start today, if this happens, both indices may move in a range-bound structure. Let's explain this further in the charts.
Nifty Current View:
If the market starts with a gap-down, then the immediate support level (24983) will act as strong support. If the market finds support there, it could take a minimum pullback of 38% to 61% of the minor swing, likely continuing the same range-bound movement. This is the basic structure.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market breaks this level solidly or consolidates at that level, the correction is likely to continue towards 24882.
Technical Analysis - Elliott Waves of SBINThis analysis is based on Elliott Wave theory and is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice.
Key Observations:
Ascending Diagonal Triangle: The price action appears to be forming an ascending diagonal triangle pattern, suggesting a potential bullish breakout.
Wave Structure: The current price movement could be interpreted as an impulse wave, with a strong possibility of a fifth wave extension.
Invalidation Level: The 732.00 level acts as a critical invalidation point. A break below this level would negate the bullish outlook.
Potential Target: A breakout above the triangle's upper boundary could lead to a significant price increase, with a potential projection around the 920.00 level and more
Overall Outlook:
The technical analysis based on Elliott Waves suggests a bullish bias for SBIN. However, it's essential to monitor the price action closely and be prepared to adjust the analysis if the market's behaviour deviates from the expected pattern.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com/u/RK_Charts/ is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
#nifty directions and levels for October 14th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for October 14th.
Market Overview:
There have been no significant changes in the global or local markets. The global market is showing a bullish sentiment, while our local market has a moderately bearish trend. We anticipate a neutral to slightly gap-up opening today, with SGX Nifty indicating a positive +10 points as of 8 AM.
In the previous session, Nifty closed with consolidation, while Bank Nifty experienced a minor correction. However, structurally, both are in a range-bound phase. Trading in a range market can be difficult as we may not see clear movement, direction, or option premium. However, if you’re looking to trade, we can consider a breakout entry, which I'll explain in the charts.
Nifty:
> If the market breaks either above 25,040 or below 24,897, we can enter a breakout trade. Target levels are 25,167 on the upside and 24,810 on the downside.
> It is important to note that after a breakout, if the market experiences gradual movements or rejects the immediate support or resistance level, it is likely to close at the same level as it opened today.
> On the other hand, if the market consolidates around the immediate support or resistance level after the breakout, the direction is likely to continue.
#Banknifty directions and levels for October 14th.Bank Nifty:
Bank Nifty is also in a range-bound market. However, the current view suggests that if the market opens with a gap-up or breaks the immediate resistance, we can expect a move towards 51,520. after that, If it rejects at that level, the range-bound market will likely continue. On the other hand, if it consolidates or breaks through, we can expect a rally continuation.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market opens negatively, we may see a gradual move towards 50,806. If that happens, we can expect a solid bounce back if the market rejects that level. On the other hand, if the decline forms a solid structure and consolidates around the MDZ, the correction is likely to continue.
NIFTY - Elliott Wave Outlook
Timeframe: Weekly
NSE NIFTY began an impulsive move after hitting a low of 15183.4 . Based on the wave count, the price completed wave (5) of wave (3) at 26277.3 and has since started to decline. The price is currently in a wave (4) correction phase. Let’s switch to the daily timeframe for a closer look at the details.
Timeframe: Daily
On the daily chart with a neckline at 24,750 , we’re observing a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern forming. If the price breaks below this neckline, Nifty could drop significantly, potentially reaching the demand zone or surge point of the pattern. However, if the price fails to break this neckline, it indicates weakness in the bearish momentum, signaling a possible reversal
According to the Elliott Wave Principle, if wave 5 is an extended wave, the correction often occurs near sub-wave 2 of the previous impulse, especially if it falls below sub-wave 4. So, 24,570 will be a crucial level for Nifty. We can expect the price to move up by no more than 126% of wave A within the correction. Otherwise, there’s a risk of mistaking wave B for wave 3.
Whatever scenario Nifty chooses, it’s better to let Nifty commit to a clear direction before we commit to the market.
We will update further information soon.