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Elliott Wave

Nifty - Pre Exit Poll Outlook: Bulls Above 22,400 Disclaimer: Trading in financial markets involves substantial risks. Consult your financial advisor before making decisions. This commentary is not a solicitation to buy or sell. WaveTalks - Market Whispers: Can you hear them? ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key Levels to Watch: - Immediate Resistance: 23,000 What Unfolded Last Week: The index retraced 600 points, making a low of 22,417 as expected pause below 23000 in the last idea. Last Idea - Nifty Explosive (Part 3): From 22,000 to 23,000 in Record Time! Future Expectations: If Nifty surpasses the 23,000 mark, it will confirm that the bulls are in charge, reflecting the market optimism seen since early 2014. Nifty has strong support in the 22,400-22,500 zone. Holding above this zone, we expect an upward move towards the 22,775-22,825 target zone. If it holds above 22,825, it can target 23,000. Beyond 23,000, bulls will take charge, potentially driving the index to 23,500 and later 24,500. Note: Strictly no trades below 22,400. From WaveTalks Abhishek
Editors' picks
NSE:NIFTY
by WaveTalks
17
#Banknifty Directions and Levels for May31st.The Banknifty structure differs slightly from Nifty, but the sentiment is the same. The current variation suggests that if the initial market takes a solid pullback and breaks the level of 48938, we can expect it to reach 61%. Notably, the market will continue the rally only if it sustains above the level of 48938. If it doesn't sustain above this price, the range market might continue. Alternatively, if the initial market corrects, the downside 61% Fib level will act as minor support. My personal opinion is that if the market declines initially, it may enter a range market.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Nifty Directions and Levels for May31st.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 31st: The global market continues to show a bearish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market also shows a bearish trend. Today, the market may open with a slight gap-down, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 25 points. Nifty and Banknifty moved in different paths in the last session. What about today? I think it may continue a little bit. OK, let's look at the Nifty chart first. Even though Nifty fell, it had a solid pullback in the last half hour, so even if the market opens with a gap-down, it may try to bounce back initially because the structures suggest that. If this happens, we can expect a range market between the 38% upside resistance and the previous low. if it happens, the second half might enter a correction phase. but This is not necessary, is our first variation. The alternate scenario suggests that if the initial market takes a solid pullback and reaches the 38% Fib level, we can try a breakout entry that may reach the 50% Fib level. If this happens, it could retrace a little bit and continue consolidating further. However, if it breaks 50% after the consolidation, we can expect a rally continuation.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Nifty Directions and levels for May 30th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 30th: The global market continues to show a bearish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market also shows a bearish trend. Today, the market may open with a slight gap-down, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 70 points. But, I'm not sure if this is due to global issues or contract rollover with GiftNifty. Anyway, let's look at the Nifty direction. Nifty has fallen with some minor swings. If the market opens with a gap-down, then the 38% Fibonacci level might act as a strong support. If it finds support there, then we can expect a pullback of 23 to 38% max. It could be a minor retracement, and if it gets rejected there, then the correction will likely continue. On the other hand, if the pullback structure has a solid candle formation, it might break the 38% Fibonacci level(upside). If it breaks, then we can expect 50 to 61% for the next target. If we want to state this more clearly, it may turn into a range between the upcoming low and the 61% Fibonacci level. This sentiment is also applicable for a neutral to gap-up situation because, as I mentioned, I don't know exactly why GiftNifty is showing a negative sentiment. The alternative scenario is if the gap-down sustains and breaks the immediate support with some consolidation or immediately, then the correction will likely continue.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Banknifty Directions and levels for May 30th.BankNifty also has the same sentiment. If the market finds support around the immediate support level, then we can expect a minor pullback that will take a max of 23 to 38%. After that, if it gets rejected there, then the correction will likely continue. On the other hand, if the pullback breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it could turn into a range market between the upcoming low to the 61% Fibonacci level. Alternatively, if the gap-down sustains and breaks the immediate support with some consolidation or immediately, then the correction will likely continue.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Banknifty directions and levels for May 29th.The current variation indicates that if the market breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, we can expect the correction to continue, potentially reaching the next Fibonacci level of 50%. If it finds support there, the 4th sub-wave may complete and start the 5th pullback wave. Alternatively, if the market finds support around the immediate support or if the initial market takes a solid pullback, we can expect a range market to rally continuation.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Nifty directions and levels for May 29th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 29th: The global market continues to show a bearish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market also maintains a moderately bullish trend. Today, the market may open with a gap-down, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 90 points. Today, both Nifty and Bank Nifty have similar structures. First, let's look at Nifty. Nifty has consolidated slightly, but the closing was negative. GiftNifty is also indicating a continuation of the correction. According to the wave structure, the correction over the past two trading days could be a "4th correctional wave," and today’s gap-down might be the final leg of the correction (subwave "C"). After the correction finds support at either 50% or 61%, we can expect a bounce back that could be the 5th wave. Since it's a distribution wave, the movement might have less volume. This is the basic structure. Now, let's look at the current variation. The current variation indicates that if the gap-down sustains and consolidates or breaks the 50% Fibonacci level, it could fall further, potentially reaching 61%. As discussed, if the market finds support at the 61% Fibonacci level after the correction, it may bounce back. For reversal confirmation, you can use EMA20 or a minor swing Fibonacci level 38% breakout. Note: Here is another variation based on the structure. If the correction has a solid formation, it will likely continue. We can also confirm this if the market forms inside bars or pinbar candles, indicating continued correction. Additionally, if the retracement after the correction doesn't break the 38% Fibonacci level, we can expect the correction to continue. Positions should be taken only if it breaks the previous low. The alternate variation suggests that if the market finds support around the immediate support or if the initial market takes a solid pullback, we can expect a range market to rally continuation.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Nifty Directions and levels for May 28th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 28th: The global market is maintaining a bearish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market suggests a moderately bullish trend. We might see a neutral to slightly gap-down start today, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 15 points. In the previous session, Nifty had sharply rejected in the second half, closing at a neutral price. Today, GiftNifty is also indicating a neutral opening. If we take a bias based on the Dow Jones, HDFC Bank, and RIL, they are suggesting a neutral sentiment. So, my expectation is that if Nifty opens neutral or if the initial market takes a pullback, we can expect a range market within the previous day's range. If it breaks either upside or downside after that, then we can follow that trend. In my opinion, if it forms a range, it may continue the rally. Alternatively, if the market takes a correction initially, it could reach the Fibonacci level of 50%, which is a strong support. After that correction, if it finds support there, we can expect a minimum pullback of 38% to 50%. Note: However, if the correction occurs sharply and if it breaks or consolidates around the Fibonacci level of 50%, then the correction will likely continue.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Banknifty Directions and levels for May 28th.Bank Nifty has the same sentiment. Structurally, it's a little correction followed by a long rally. So, if the market opens neutral or if the initial market takes a pullback, we can expect a range market within the previous day's range. After that, if it breaks either upside or downside, then we can follow that trend. Here also, my opinion is bullish. An alternate variation is similar to Nifty. If the market takes a correction initially, it could reach the Fibonacci level of 38%, which is also a strong support. After that correction, if it finds support there, we can expect a minimum pullback of 38% to 50%. Alternatively, if the correction occurs sharply and if it breaks or consolidates around the Fibonacci level of 38%, then the correction will likely continue.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Nifty directions and levels for May 27th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 27th: The global market is maintaining a bearish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market suggests a bullish trend. We might see a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 10 points. First, let's look at the bias: > Whenever consolidation forms after a solid structure, the market may follow that direction. The current structure indicates a bullish sentiment. > The major weightage stocks (HDFCBANK and RIL) both have solid bullish candles, so if this continues, the index may also continue the rally. Nifty has consolidated after a sharp rally, and today, GiftNifty is also indicating a neutral start. This suggests that the consolidation may continue for a bit. However, if the initial market takes a pullback, we can expect the rally to continue. According to the wave structure, it could be a sub-wave 5. This is a distribution wave, so it will reach the level of 23097 with less volume. However, if the pullback candle is a solid, long green candle, we could expect the level of 23197. Alternatively, if the initial market takes a correction, it could continue the correction of the 4th sub-wave, which is a consolidation wave. It may correct to a maximum level of 38%. If it finds support there, we could expect a bounce back.
Editors' picks
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
6
#Banknifty directions and levels for May 27th.Bank Nifty also has the same sentiment, and HDFC Bank has a solid bullish candle. If the market continues this trend, we can expect the rally to continue, potentially reaching a minimum of 49196 to a maximum of 49335 (78%). Alternatively, if the initial market takes a correction, we could wait for an immediate support breakout. If it breaks, the minor demand zone will act as support. If the market finds support there, we can expect a bounce back
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Nifty directions and levels for May 24th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 24th: The global market is showing a bearish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market suggests a super bullish trend. We might see a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 80 points. Nifty has broken its all-time high with a solid structure. Structurally, the rally may continue, but GiftNifty indicates a negative start. If the market opens with a gap-down, we can expect a minor correction of up to 38% to 50%. After that, if it finds support there (38 or 50%), it may continue the bullish trend with some range-bound movement between the previous high and the upcoming low. Alternatively, if the gap-down doesn’t sustain and there is an initial sharp pullback, the rally will likely continue with some minor consolidation.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
Nifty Explosive (Part 3): From 22,000 to 23,000 in Record Time! Disclaimer: Trading in financial markets involves substantial risks. Consult your financial advisor before making decisions. This commentary is not a solicitation to buy or sell. WaveTalks - Market Whispers: Can you hear them? ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Nifty Index Outlook - May 24, 2024 Overview In our last analysis, we emphasized the importance of having both a primary plan (Plan A) and an alternative plan (Plan B). This approach prepares us for achieving similar outcomes through different routes. If Plan A fails, we quickly switch to Plan B. A strong alignment between both plans often predicts significant market movements. Recent Market Movements In our last discussion on the Nifty Index in the "Nifty: Explosive Part 2 - Towards 23,000+" series, we predicted a rally if the Nifty crossed the 22,000 mark. Indeed, Nifty surged nearly 1,000 points in just 10 days, closely aligning with our predictions and nearly touching the 23,000 mark. Last Idea - Nifty : Explosive Part 2 - Towards 23000+ Current Market Outlook Key Levels to Watch: - Immediate Resistance: 23,000 If Nifty surpasses the 23,000 mark, it will confirm that the bulls are in charge, echoing the market optimism that began in early 2014, a period that marked a significant turning point after years of struggle. Future Expectations Looking ahead, the next crucial juncture is whether Nifty can sustain its momentum above the 23,000 level or if it will face resistance. Surpassing 23,000 would be an extremely powerful signal, indicating readiness for a significant breakthrough before the 2024 General Election results are announced. Facing resistance below 23000 mark, a pause & bulls come back before election results are out on 4th June 2024. Conclusion The Nifty Index's performance has closely aligned with our previous analyses, demonstrating strong potential to surpass the 23,000 level. As the market approaches this critical threshold, our dual-plan strategy continues to guide our expectations and strategic decisions, ensuring we're well-prepared for various market scenarios. From WaveTalks Abhishek
Editors' picks
NSE:NIFTY
by WaveTalks
4
#Nifty directions and levels for May 23.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 23rd: The global market is showing a moderately bullish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, and our local market also suggests a similar trend. We might see a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 30 points. Nifty has been maintaining a bullish bias within a consolidation structure. However, GiftNifty indicates a slightly negative start. If the market opens with a gap-down and sustains it, we could see a correction of 23 to 38%. On the other hand, if the market initially takes a sharp pullback, it may continue the rally with a diagonal formation.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Banknifty directions and levels for May 23.BankNifty presents a different scenario from Nifty, with its structure indicating a range-bound market. If the gap-down sustains, we can expect a minimum level of 47,547. If it then faces a sharp rejection, the range is likely to continue. However, if it breaks 47547, it could reach47340 to 47256. Alternatively, if the gap-down doesn't sustain and the market pulls back initially, we can expect a minimum level of 48,083. Following this, if it faces a sharp rejection, the range is likely to continue. If it breaks 48,083, it could move up to 48,166 to 48,259.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Nifty directions and levels for May 22nd.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 22nd: The global market is still maintaining a bullish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment suggests a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing an increase of +30 points. Nifty closed neutral with minor rejection around the 78% Fibonacci level, while GiftNifty indicates a slightly positive start. Given this sentiment, the market may consolidate between the 78% Fibonacci level and yesterday's closing price. If the market breaks the 78% resistance, we can expect the rally to continue. Moreover, if the 78% resistance is breached without any consolidation, it further confirms a rally. Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain or if the market opens with a gap-down, we can expect a minor correction of 38%. Key points to consider: >If the market reaches the 38% level aggressively, it may fall further with little consolidation. >On the other hand, if it takes time to reach the 38% level, then the 38% level will act as strong support, and we can expect a bounce back.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Nifty directions and levels for May 21st.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 21st: The global market is indicating a bullish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also suggests a bullish trend. It might open with a gap-up start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing an increase of +60 points. Nifty has a minor consolidation structure after the sharp rally. GiftNifty indicates a positive start, and the structure also suggests the continuation of the rally. However, there is major resistance at the 78% Fibonacci level. so, If the market breaks or consolidates around this level, we can expect the rally to continue further, potentially reaching 22,636 to 22,684. and The 22,684 level is a supply zone, so if the rally is rejected there, we can expect a correction of 23% to 38% in the minor swing. Alternatively, if the market is rejected around the 78% Fibonacci level or if the gap-up doesn’t sustain, it may retrace 38% in the minor swing. Here we have two scenarios: 1 - There has been a solid rally, so according to the structure, it could undergo a retracement of 23% to 38%. After that, if it finds support at either 23% or 38%, the rally is likely to continue. 2 - According to the wave structure, a 5-3 structure is forming, indicating a zigzag variation. If the market breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it may enter a correction phase. If this happens, you can set your target at 50% and 78%.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders