GBPUSDFX:GBPUSD Back to the liquidity test above after the free fall. The pair lacks bullish conviction amid a stable US dollar and as investors choose to wait for the Bank of England (BoE) Monetary Policy Report Hearing before placing strong bets.
A clear bearish wave is forming on the larger timeframe, on the smaller timeframe the downtrend is formed based on negative fundamentals, which only strengthened after Trump's victory. Therefore, any strong resistance can easily hold the market.
On H4, it is trying to break out of the main range, breaking the main support level. A consolidation is forming inside the channel, if sellers hold the 1.269 - 1.277 zone, we can expect a decline towards the areas of interest in the medium term.
Resistance: 1.282 - 1.277 and 1.269
Support: 1.259 - 1.247 and 1.231
The focus is on the resistance level mentioned above, as the further struggle and movement of the market depends on this important zone at this point. The bearish structure will be broken when the local high at 1.282 i.e. (0.5 fib) is broken and the price consolidates above this zone.
Elliott Wave
#Nifty directions and levels for November 19th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for November 19th.
Market Overview:
There are no significant changes happening. The global market is showing moderately bearish sentiment (based on Dow Jones only), and our local market is also exhibiting a bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as the Nifty is showing a positive increase of 50 points.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty moved in a consolidation pattern. Structurally, we can expect a range-bound market today as well, with a bearish bias. This means that until the minor range is broken, the market will move within this range. If it breaks out, we can expect the next movement based on that. Let’s explain this with the charts.
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty have the same structural sentiment.
Nifty Current View:
The current view suggests that if the market declines initially, then 23,396 will act as support. If the market breaks this level, the correction will continue to a minimum of 23,322. On the other hand, if it doesn’t break this level (23,396), then it could consolidate within the channel. This is our first variation.
Alternate View:
The alternate variation suggests that if the market sustains the gap-up, then 23,583 will act as resistance. If the market consolidates or breaks this level, then the pullback will continue to the next resistance Fibonacci level of 38%. Conversely, if it doesn’t break or rejects this level, we can expect consolidation leading to a correction.
#Banknifty directions and levels for November 19th.Bank Nifty Current View:
The structure is similar to the Nifty sentiment. The current view suggests that if the market declines initially, then 50,045 will act as support. If the market breaks this level, the correction will continue to a minimum of 49,745. On the other hand, if it doesn’t break this level (50,045), then it could consolidate between the level of 50,045 and the 38% upside.
Alternate View:
The alternate variation suggests that if the market sustains the gap-up, then the 38% level will act as resistance. If the market consolidates or breaks this level, then the pullback will continue to the next resistance Fibonacci level of 50%. Conversely, if it doesn’t break or rejects this level, we can expect consolidation leading to a correction.
Update latest gold price today !Hello everyone!
Gold has been in a steady decline since the start of the week, currently sitting at 2561, with strong indications that this downtrend may persist. The key 2550 level is still fiercely contested, keeping traders on edge.
The market remains clouded with apprehension, especially with recent developments in the U.S. following Donald Trump's election as president. This lingering uncertainty may continue to weigh heavily on gold.
At the moment, all attention is focused on the upcoming October Producer Price Index (PPI) report in the U.S. Analysts are forecasting a year-over-year increase of 2.3% for October, a notable jump from September's 1.8%. If both the CPI and PPI show further inflationary pressure, the Federal Reserve could be pushed to raise interest rates, which could apply even more pressure on gold prices. A stronger U.S. dollar would make gold trading and holding costs more expensive, potentially intensifying the sell-off.
Technically speaking, the battle at 2550 is far from over, and there’s a strong likelihood of a brief pullback before continuing the downward trend. This could mean a possible retest of the 2600-2580 resistance zone before resuming its decline. Chart patterns suggest that if the correction unfolds as anticipated—possibly in line with an Elliott wave impulse—the target could be around 2485, a drop of over 1000 pips from the resistance level.
Stay tuned for more developments as this situation unfolds!
Gold -> How Long Will the Adjustment Last? Emphasis on $2,600Hello, dear friends!
Gold (XAU/USD) extended its recovery early this week, reaching the critical $2,600 mark and ending a six-day losing streak after a false breakout and a retest of $2,546. This rally has been fueled by escalating geopolitical tensions as the U.S. authorized Ukraine to use long-range weapons to strike Russia.
However, the market remains under significant pressure. The USD and bond yields continue to rise, while the Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish stance. Economic struggles in Europe are weakening the euro, driving demand for the USD and further weighing on gold.
This week, the gold market is expected to remain subdued with limited major economic data releases. Key areas to watch include U.S. housing data, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, and comments from Federal Reserve officials.
Gold is currently testing the critical resistance zone at $2,600–$2,589. A false breakout here could trigger strong selling, reinforcing bearish momentum. Conversely, a modest pullback followed by a decline to $2,546 would solidify a clearer downtrend. Keep a close watch!
#Nifty directions and levels for November 18th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for November 18th.
Market Overview:
There are no significant changes happening. The global market is showing a moderately bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones only), and our local market is also exhibiting bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, with the Gifty Nifty showing a negative 80 points.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty moved in a consolidation pattern. Structurally, it remains a bearish trend, so if the gap-down sustains, we can expect the continuation of the correction. On the other hand, if it rejects around the immediate support level or opens with a gap-up, we can expect a minimum pullback of 23% to 38%. Let’s look at this in the charts.
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty have the same structural sentiment.
Nifty Current View:
The current view for Nifty indicates that if the initial market takes a pullback around the immediate support level (23,435), we can expect a minimum pullback of 23% to 38%. After that, if it rejects at either the 23% or 38% Fibonacci level, the correction will likely continue. However, if it sustains and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it could reach the 50% and 61% levels. If this happens, the upcoming session could turn into a range market.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market breaks the immediate support level (23,435) solidly or consolidates around the support level, the correction will likely continue to the level of 23,245.
#Banknifty directions and levels for November 18th.Bank Nifty Current View:
The current view for Bank Nifty indicates that if the initial market takes a pullback around the immediate support level (38%), we can expect a minimum pullback of 23% to 38%. After that, if it rejects at either the 23% or 38% Fibonacci level, the correction will likely continue. However, if it sustains and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it could reach the 50% and 61% levels. If this happens, the upcoming session could turn into a range market.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market breaks the immediate support level (38%) solidly or consolidates around the support level, the correction will likely continue to the level of 49,283.
What's happening in ITC?ITC daily chart: After completion of Normal or Trending Impulse, the price falls.
We can see clearly that the first leg of this fall looks like an impulse (shown by red 1-2-3-4-5), which is wave A of Zig-zag.
Then price retraced to 38.2% forming wave B.
Currently, wave C is developing in ITC. The minimum fall for this is 61.8% extension, which is near the 459 level.
Remember that this is a minimum fall for any Zig-zag pattern.
If the price breaks 459 and starts trading below it, the target of 100%, which is near 438.85, will be achieved. (This also fulfills the Rule of Equality).
This analysis is based on Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Nifty 50 Completes Decadal Impulse Wave 5.Nifty has completed Elliott Impulse Wave cycle that began in 2008
And Awaits Correction Waves that should follow for decent future run up..
0.5/0.61/0.78 Fib retracement is Possible, Which Will bring Nifty to 17000 Level..
2025 2026 Crisis is about to Begin..
Mark the Level 24k to 25k
If this zone is Respected, Then This Correction may begin with full throttle taking Nifty to 18k 17k Very soon..
Our previous Idea has seen the 26250 level being tested and respected strongly!
Make your Decisions Consciously after going through previously posted idea linked here.
Gold Takes a Breather.. Retracement or Reversal?Price action between 2600 and 2750 will decide future of Gold, Whether it will continue to remain bullish or Witness a healthy correction.
Below 2750, 2600 will remain a decent possibility.
Sustaining Below 2600 will open Doors to 2400.
See You out of the Range Again
#Nifty directions and levels for November 14th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for November 14th.
Market Overview:
There are no significant changes from the previous session. The global markets are showing a moderately bearish sentiment (mainly based on the Dow Jones), and our local market also indicates a bearish trend. Today, the market may open neutral to slightly gap-down, as SGX Nifty is showing a negative move of 30 points.
In the previous session, the market continued its correction solidly. Structurally, today's correction is expected to continue if it breaks the previous bottom. Otherwise, it may consolidate between the previous bottom and the 38% Fibonacci level. A reversal could be anticipated only if it breaks either the 20-day EMA or the 38% Fibonacci level. Additionally, there are two sub-waves forming—a fourth consolidation wave and a fifth corrective wave—so today’s movement may reflect these structures. Let's illustrate this on the chart.
Nifty Current View:
> The current view of Nifty indicates that if the market undergoes minor consolidation or if it breaks the previous bottom solidly, then the correction is likely to continue toward the levels of 23435 to 23245.
> Notably, if the market corrects, it could be a minor fifth wave; thus, there is a possibility of forming a diagonal pattern. If it forms and subsequently breaks out of the pattern, we can consider that a minor reversal to the upside.
Alternate View:
> On the other hand, the alternate view suggests that if the market initially takes a pullback, we can expect a maximum pullback of 23% to 38%. After that, if it rejects either the 23% or 38% Fibonacci level, then the correction will likely continue.
> However, structurally, it could be a fourth sub-wave, so some consolidation could be possible between the previous low and the Fibonacci level of 38%.
> Notably, structurally, it won’t break the Fibonacci level of 38%; in case it does, we can consider that a minor bullish reversal.
#Banknifty directions and levels for November 14th.Bank Nifty Current View:
The situation is similar to the Nifty structure. If the market undergoes minor consolidation or if it breaks the previous bottom solidly, then the correction will likely continue toward the level of 38% to 49283. Furthermore, a diagonal pattern is also possible; therefore, we can follow the same instructions mentioned in the Nifty sentiment.
Alternate View:
> The alternate view indicates that if the market initially takes a pullback, we can expect a maximum pullback of 38% to 50%. After that, if it rejects the 38% Fibonacci level, then the correction will likely continue.
> The pullback yesterday appeared to be a solid candle, so if the market takes a strong pullback, it could easily break the 38% Fibonacci level. However, if the market breaks the 38%, we could consider that a minor reversal.
Gold next moveThe current fall in GOLD is Zig-zag in nature.
The fall may continue upto 61.8%
However, this is wave A of Zig-zag. Wave B may lead the Gold price up for some extend. But ultimately it will come to 61.8% forming wave C.
This analysis is based on Elliott Wave theory.
This analysis is for educational purpose only.
NIFTY... KEEP INVESTING...Guys... I am sharing my view on the Elliot waves in Nifty.
The bullish pattern is intact.
We are currently in the 3rd primary wave. Of the five intermediate waves in the primary wave 3, nifty is right now in wave (4) correction.
A quick and rapid wave (5) is likely to start at the end of wave 4. Though Nifty is at 200 EMA right now, I feel the strong support zone is around 22700 levels.
I won't be surprised if Nifty can fall around 800 points from here.
Keep investing in parts and add more when Nifty goes below 23000.
The market is always right..! Trade with appropriate stop-loss.
Bank Nifty - Will This Be Wave E towards 52000+ As discussed last .....BankNifty unfolding a triangle & again took support close to 51000 which is most important support zone 50800-51000
Can we get Wave-E upside & achieve 800-1000 points target upside
Strictly -----No Buying ------If Index drops below 51000 ...................
Regards,
WaveTalks
Abhishek
#Nifty directions and levels for November 13th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for November 13th.
Market Overview:
The global market is showing moderately bearish sentiment (based on Dow Jones only), and our local market is exhibiting a bearish sentiment as well. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, based on the Gifty Nifty showing a negative 30 points.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty experienced a solid correction. Structurally, we can expect a further slight correction, and the sub-wave analysis supports this. Currently, on the other hand, we are at the bottom of the range. Additionally, the RSI shows divergence, indicating a probability for a bounce back. Let’s explain this in the chart.
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty have the same structural sentiment.
Current View:
The current view suggests that if the market sustains the gap-down, it could experience a minor bounce back around MDZ. However, this would only be a minor bounce back; after that, if it breaks the previous bottom, then the correction is likely to continue.
Alternate View:
The alternate view indicates that if the market opens with a gap-up, or if the initial market takes a solid pullback and breaks the 20 EMA, it may hold a range-bound sentiment. This means the market could move to the top of the range. Targets are expected to be a minimum of 38% to 78% of the swing.
#Banknifty directions and levels for November 13th.Current View:
The current view suggests that if the market sustains the gap-down, it could experience a minor bounce back around 50,865 or DZ. However, this would only be a minor bounce back; after that, if it breaks the previous bottom, then the correction is likely to continue.
Alternate View:
The alternate view indicates that if the market opens with a gap-up, or if the initial market takes a solid pullback and breaks the 20 EMA, it may hold a range-bound sentiment. This means the market could move to the top of the range. Targets are expected to be a minimum of 38% to 78% of the swing.
NIFTY downside targetsIf we count a single leg for NIFTY, (recent move), we can see Flat Correction.
Wave B is returning from the golden ratio of 61.8%
We will use the Fib extension to find the target of wave C. We can see that the minimum target of 61.8% has already been crossed. Price now moving for the Rule of equality i.e. 100%.
But we can see several Fib clusters near the price range of 23667.40 and 23621.35
So we can expect wave C up to these zones.
This analysis is done using Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
#Banknifty directions and levels for November 12th.Bank Nifty Current View:
It looks similar to the Nifty sentiment. If the market sustains the gap-up, it could reach a minimum of 52,093. This is a major resistance. After that pullback, if it rejects there, then it will close where it started the session. However, if it sustains or breaks this level, then the pullback will continue toward the level of 52,237 to 52,357. This is our first variation.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market declines and breaks the level of 51,736, then it could reach a minimum of 51,483 to 51,395.
#Nifty directions and levels for November 12th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for November 12th.
Market Overview:
There are no significant changes that have happened. The global market is maintaining a bullish sentiment (based on Dow Jones only), while our local market is showing a moderately bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, based on Nifty showing a positive 40 points.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty had a solid pullback, but it didn't sustain, which simply means we are in a range market. Today's structure also indicates a continuation of the range market. Let's take a look at this in the charts.
Nifty Current View:
The current view suggests that if the market sustains the gap-up, it could reach a minimum of 24,288. This is a major resistance. After that pullback, if it rejects there, then it will close where it started the session. However, if it sustains or breaks this level, then the pullback will continue toward the level of 24,367. This is our first variation.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market declines initially, it could reach a minimum of 78% to the MDZ. However, it should break 24,076, then only can we expect these levels.