Elliott Wave
#Nifty Direction's and levels for July 30th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the market directions for July 30th:
Even though both global and local markets have experienced a correction structurally, it is a moderately bullish market. Today, the market may open with a gap-down start, as indicated by the GIFT Nifty, showing -80 points at 8:00 am.
Structurally, Nifty and Bank Nifty differ. Let's examine each one:
Nifty:
In the previous session, Nifty opened with a gap-up, but there was no continued rally, and it fell drastically mid-market. What's next?
> As per the weekly analysis, it could be in the 4th wave and has already reached the 23% Fibonacci level. If the market finds support around the 38% Fibonacci level today, we can initially expect it to range between the previous high and the 38% Fibonacci level. If it then breaks the previous high, the 5th wave may continue,
> with pullback targets expected to be a minimum of 61% to 78%, which is the usual range market target.
> The alternate view suggests that if the gap-down sustains and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it may turn into a correction. If this happens, we can expect a minimum target level of 50%. After that, if the market breaks this level with minor consolidation, the correction will likely continue. However, if it is sharply rejected, we may also expect a range market, but the probability is lower.
#Banknifty Direction's and levels for July 30th.Bank Nifty:
> As per the weekly analysis, we expect the rally to sustain at the 78% Fibonacci level, and if it does, the rally could continue further. However, yesterday the market sharply rejected the 78% level, indicating an alternate view.
> According to this alternate view, we can initially expect a range market if today's market finds support around the immediate support level. If this happens, we can expect a minor pullback of 38% to 50%. This is our first variation.
> The alternate variation indicates that if the correction shows aggression, we can expect the correction to continue with some minor consolidations.
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 29th.Bank Nifty:
Bank Nifty also saw a strong pullback in the last trading session. If the gap-up sustains, then the pullback will likely continue. My expectation is that, as per the structure, we can't expect much of a retrace even if it rejects either of the resistance levels. This means that if the gap-up sustains, it will continue the rally with some little consolidation. This is our first variation.
Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain or if it rejects either of the resistances sharply, we can expect a 61 to 78% correction in the minor swing, but it should break the 38% Fibonacci level. If it doesn't break it, then it will maintain the bullish bias.
#Nifty directions and levels for July 29th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the market directions for July 29th:
The global market has a moderately bullish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, and our local market mirrors this sentiment. Today, the market may open with a gap-up, as indicated by the GIFT Nifty, showing +130 points at 8:00 am.
Structurally, Nifty and Bank Nifty differ but may both continue their pullbacks today. Let's examine each one:
Nifty:
Nifty experienced a strong rally in the previous session, which could be identified as sub-wave 3. If the market opens with a gap-up, this 3rd wave may continue towards the 24956 to 25067 range. If the market hits one of these resistance levels and then reverses, we can expect a minor correction forming the 4th wave. Typically, the 4th wave is a consolidation phase, potentially leading to a 23 to 38% retracement in the minor swing. This is our primary scenario.
Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, we could complete the 3rd wave immediately, and the decline could be considered the 4th wave. There are no significant changes in the 4th wave levels; it could take a maximum of 23 to 38%. However, if the decline has a solid structure and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it could turn into a correction.
#Nifty August 1st week directions and levels.Good Evening, friends! 🌺🍬
Here are the market directions for the first week of August:
Global and Local Market Overview
Both global and local markets have a moderately bullish sentiment. This trend may continue this week. Last Friday, the global market closed up by 1.5%, so we might start this week on a positive note. Let's look at the details.
Nifty
* Last week, Nifty had big swings and closed around its previous high. On Monday, the market may open with a gap-up, according to Gifty Nifty. If this happens, we can expect the bullish sentiment to continue. Nifty is currently in the 3rd wave, which is a long upward trend. After this wave completes, there may be a small correction of about 23 to 38%. If the rally continues, it will enter the 5th wave, which is usually not as sharp. This is our basic structure.
* Means the 3rd wave might complete around 24,956 or 25,067. If it hits resistance at these levels, the 4th wave may begin, characterized by a small correction. After retracing, if it finds support around the 38% level, the rally may continue into the 5th wave, with targets ranging from 25,143 to 25,377. This is our current view.
* The alternate view is a flat correctional variation. I labelled it based on theory, but I will explain it simply. We said earlier that the 4th wave is a consolidation wave, so it can take a maximum of 38% correction. However, if the 4th wave falls sharply and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it may turn into a deeper correction. If that happens, we can expect a correction of 61 to 78% in the minor swing. This is our alternate view.
#Banknifty August 1st week directions and levels.Bank Nifty
Bank Nifty's structure is a bit different from Nifty. It hasn’t pulled back as much, but the trend is still positive. Bank Nifty is currently in the 5th wave, indicating a bullish move. However, since the 5th wave is usually slower, we expect a less aggressive rally, possibly at a 40 to 50-degree angle. We’re targeting 52,674 for this rally. This is our main view.
Alternatively, if the market faces resistance at the 50 or 61% levels, it may correct further. Initially, the market might move within a range, and a break of this range could lead to more correction.
#BankNifty directions and levels for July 26th.**Bank Nifty:**
>Bank Nifty has a bearish sentiment, but RSI doesn't support that much due to the huge pullbacks. So, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, we can expect a range market between 23% and the previous low. After that, if it breaks down, we can expect correction continuation.
>Alternatively, if the gap-up sustains above the level of 23%, then we can expect a move to the 38% level.
>But Even if it takes a pullback, structurally it could be the 4th wave. So, after that pullback, if it rejects around the 38% Fibonacci level, then we can expect a correction.
#Nifty directions and level for July 26th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the market directions for July 26th:
The global market has a bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones). Our local market has a structurally moderately bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as indicated by the GIFT Nifty, which shows +40 points at 8.00 am.
**Nifty:**
In the previous session, Nifty closed with a pullback, and today it may continue this trend because GIFT Nifty indicates that. However, if you look at the wave count, every swing has a three-wave count. There are many variations with three-wave structures, but here we can take these two variations for simplicity:
1. **Diagonal Variation:**
- In this variation, it shouldn't close the candle above the level of 24,473. If it happens, we can expect a correction.
- This means if the market initially declines sharply or, after the gap-up, if it rejects around the level of 24,473, then it may turn into a correction.
- However, confirmation is expected from the 38% Fibonacci level breakout in the minor swing. If this happens, we can expect a minimum of 50%, 78%, and 24,175.
- If it doesn't break this level, it will continue the moderately bullish sentiment. This is our current variation.
2. **Pullback Continuation:**
- In this variation, we could complete the correction to the first three swings from the start of the correction. So, if the gap-up sustains above the level of 24,473, then we can expect pullback continuation with some consolidations. The targets are a minimum of 24,588 to 24,635. This is our alternate variation.
Bank Nifty View in 15 mins TF - July 8thWave Analysis:
Bank Nifty is trading in a range with a bearish bias. It has completed waves A and B and now appears to have entered wave C, suggesting we might see a sharp one-sided (wave 3 of wave C) move in the coming days.
Based on wave analysis and Fibonacci extension, Bank Nifty can reach the mentioned demand zones. This view will become inactive if it breaches the mentioned levels.
Ichimoku Cloud:
Bank Nifty is trading below the Tenkan-Sen (TS) and Kijun-Sen (KS) in the 1-hour time frame and is standing at the cloud bottom support. If it moves below the cloud, it will turn completely bearish. If the mentioned inactive level breaks, the price will come out of TS and KS, resuming its uptrend.
Disclaimer:
We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on personal opinions and for education purpose only. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Fin Nifty Budget Day Expiry - Wave Counting Fin Nifty spent the last few days moving sideways after a significant fall from 161.8% (24,000). The corrective wave has completed waves A and B, and today, the price almost touched 61.8% (minimum C wave Fibonacci level). However, the C wave often extends further in a flat correction, making it highly likely to hit 100% or more.
Resistance Levels: 23,719, 23,815, 24,000
Support Levels: 23,433, 23,183, 23,005, 22,777
Fin Nifty might reach these mentioned support zones if it continues to trade below 23,719.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Please conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Bank Nifty Short Trade with small SLWhy Shorting Bank Nifty?
Initially we expected Bank Nifty to touch 53500 but wave 5th failed by 150 points. High made 53357.
Bank Nifty is entered downtrend by breaking IChimoku TS KS in 1hour and price action levels.
CMP: 52641
Entry: 52600
Stop Loss: 52985
Target: 51675
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Please conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Reliance set for fresh RallyI am not too optimistic about Reliance in short term, however, I feel that Reliance has made 1-2-1-2 structure, and all set for a fresh rally starting Thursday. It should be a quick rally to cover about 200 points or 5-6 percent, before the budget, post which it should enter sideways zone..
Hourly Chart can show that its resting on 78% retracement, and a clear AbC wave.
Targets -
3275
3350
3450
#Nifty directions and levels for July 24th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the market directions for July 24th:
The global market has a bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones). Our local market, however, maintains a structurally moderately bullish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as indicated by the Gift Nifty, which shows -60 points at 8 am.
Structurally, both Nifty and Bank Nifty are range-bound, so they might continue in this manner today.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty experienced significant movements due to the budget announcement but closed with a solid pullback at the end of the day. Structurally, this indicates potential for further continuation.
It's important to note that The budget announcement of the previous session may affect the market today, so we should trade cautiously. However, I have analyzed my sentiments for Nifty and Bank Nifty, so let's examine them one by one.
Today's sentiments:
Nifty:
If the gap-down sustains and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it may again enter the range market. This is difficult to trade, but my expectation is if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it may reach the 78% with some consolidation. This is our first variation. In this variation, after that correction if it also breaks 78%, the correction may continue further.
Alternatively, if the decline finds support around the 38% Fibonacci level, it’s a sign of a bullish bias. We can expect a pullback continuation if it breaks the minor swing high. Until then, it may consolidate between the minor swing high and the 38% Fibonacci level.
Note:
If the market opens with a gap-up and breaks the minor swing high, the rally will continue. The upside levels remain the same.
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 24th.Bank Nifty:
Bank Nifty also has a range-bound structure, so the next movement is expected only if it breaks out of the range. Until then, it may continue within the current range.
Due to the market closing within the range, precise levels are difficult to determine. However, if it breaks 52,502, it may continue the correction to a minimum of 51,325 to 51,186.
Alternatively, if the gap-down doesn’t sustain and finds support around 51,502, then structurally it may continue within the range, with an expected upside to a minimum of 52,086 and up to the 61% Fibonacci level.
Note:
If the market opens with a gap-up and breaks the minor swing high, the rally will continue. The upside levels remain the same
Strong Wave 5th is happening! -Nifty Wave Analysis in DTFWhere are we standing according to Elliott Wave in Nifty?
Wave Counting:
The impulse that started after the COVID crash is almost near it's completion.
Currently, we are in Wave 5th of the bigger Wave 5th.
Wave 3rd completed in October 2021.
Wave 4 (truncated) completed in March 2023.
The Wave 5th started in March 2023 , and we are in the sub-waves of this final wave. This wave can extend since Wave 3 of Wave 5 was truncated (failed to reach 161.8%).
The targets for Wave 5 of Wave 5 can be:
23897 (127% - minimum)
24608 (161.8%)
25394 (200%)
261.8% (maximum) - rare case
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.






















