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Energy Commodities

Crude oil - Sell around 64.00, with a target range of 62.00-60.0Crude Oil Market Analysis: Crude oil has recently begun to move slowly, with the daily chart beginning to decline. This week, we will focus on gains and losses around 60.00. If this level is broken, further downside is possible. We remain bearish on crude oil and continue to sell on rebounds. Every rebound presents an opportunity to sell again. Today, we are focusing on sell opportunities near 64.00. The recently released crude oil inventories are essentially flat, with no significant gap to support buying. Fundamental Analysis: Last week's non-farm payroll data showed a figure of 22,000, compared to expectations of 75,000 and a previous estimate of 79,000. This result is quite disappointing. In short, fewer US jobs, a weaker economy, and therefore a stronger gold price. This week, we will monitor the CPI. Trading Recommendations: Crude oil - Sell around 64.00, with a target range of 62.00-60.00.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by BullMarketKing
Crude oil - Sell around 64.00, target 62.00-60.00Crude Oil Market Analysis: Crude oil is still experiencing a recent correction in daily price action. We should consider continuing to sell on any rebounds. Previous crude oil contracts and inventories haven't changed the trend, and recent data doesn't support it. I predict it will be difficult to reverse the weak selling trend in the short term. Today, we're considering selling around 64.00. Fundamental Analysis: Recent fundamentals haven't significantly stimulated the market. Today, we'll focus on the US non-farm payroll data. Trading Recommendations: Crude oil - Sell around 64.00, target 62.00-60.00
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by BullMarketKing
Crude oil - Sell around 64.50, target 63.00-60.00Crude Oil Market Analysis: The recent daily chart of crude oil has been a fluctuating pattern of rising and falling prices, making us question our own future. Today, we maintain a bearish outlook. Every rebound presents a selling opportunity. We've been selling crude oil for months, and it's been fluctuating for months now, with no signs of a rebound or upward movement. Unless the weekly hurdle of 75 is broken, a significant rally is unlikely. Consider selling if it rebounds to 64.50 today. Fundamental Analysis: Today we will have ADP employment and unemployment benefits data. Trading Recommendation: Crude oil - Sell around 64.50, target 63.00-60.00
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by BullMarketKing
WTI Crude Oil Descending Triangle Pattern WTI is forming a Descending Triangle pattern near recent support. 📊 Technicals : Flat base with lower highs compressing price action. 🔎 Key Levels: Breakdown below support 65 Leads To bearish continuation; bounce above resistance 71 Leads To reversal setup. ⚠ Risk View: Energy fundamentals remain mixed — confirmation with volume is essential. 👉 Tactical takeaway: Wait for a breakout from the triangle before committing directionally.
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by Punit190
USOIL Bearish Reversal & Selling OpportunityUSOIL (WTI Crude Oil) – Bearish Setup Analysis The chart shows a clear bearish structure with multiple confirmations: Trendline Rejection & Break: Price rejected from the upper rejection line and later broke the rising trendline, confirming bearish momentum. FVG (Fair Value Gap) Selling Zone: Price retested the imbalance zone (63.53–63.94), creating a strong selling opportunity. EMA Confluence: Both the 70 EMA and 200 EMA are above the price, acting as dynamic resistance, supporting bearish bias. Market Structure Shift (MSS): Breakdown of higher lows signals shift to bearish structure. Target: Downside continuation expected towards 61.65, the next liquidity and support zone. Stop Loss: Above 63.94 (selling zone invalidation). 📉 Strategy: Look for sell entries around 63.53–63.94 zone, with target at 61.65 and stop loss above 63.94.
TVC:USOILShort
by MR_JOHN144
Natural gas analysis Monthly Time frameNatural gas markets are influenced by a complex interplay of supply, demand, weather, geopolitical events, and technical factors. Below is a concise analysis based on recent trends and data as of August 24, 2025, covering key aspects of the natural gas market Price Trends and Market Dynamics Spot and Futures Prices: The Henry Hub spot price recently fell from $2.92/MMBtu to $2.81/MMBtu, and the September 2025 NYMEX futures contract dropped from $2.828/MMBtu to $2.752/MMBtu. The 12-month futures strip (September 2025–August 2026) averaged $3.501/MMBtu, reflecting a bearish near-term outlook but expectations of tighter balances later. Supply and DemandSupply: U.S. natural gas production has risen, with a 3% increase in marketed production in 2025, particularly from the Permian (2 Bcf/d), Haynesville, and Appalachia (0.9 Bcf/d each). However, production is expected to stabilize in 2026 as associated gas from oil declines. Storage: U.S. storage inventories are projected to reach 3,927 Bcf by October 31, 2025, 174 Bcf above the five-year average, due to higher-than-average injections (20% above the five-year average). This surplus is pressuring prices downward. Demand: Cool weather forecasts for August 2025, potentially the coolest in 50 years, have reduced demand, contributing to bearish price sentiment. However, LNG exports are rebounding, with Freeport LNG operations resuming, providing some support. LNG Exports: Maintenance at U.S. LNG terminals earlier in 2025 reduced exports, but recovery and new contracts (e.g., ConocoPhillips’ 4 Mt/y from Port Arthur LNG Phase 2) signal growing export potential. Technical AnalysisBearish Signals: Technical indicators suggest a "strong sell" for Natural Gas Futures across multiple timeframes (daily, weekly, monthly), driven by a head-and-shoulders pattern with prices breaking below the $3.050 neckline, targeting $2.220–$2.000. Indicators: RSI, MACD, and stochastic oscillators indicate oversold conditions, but negative momentum persists below key resistance levels like $3.100–$3.320. Pivot points and moving averages reinforce bearish trends, with potential support at $2.200. Geopolitical and Structural FactorsEurope: The 2022–2023 Russian supply shock shifted Europe to rely on LNG, increasing price volatility. Market reforms have boosted trading volumes (7,300 bcm in 2024, 15x demand), but derivatives trading by physical players dominates, limiting speculative impacts. Weather Impact: Cooling in the Midwest and Northeast (highs of 60s–80s°F) contrasts with hotter conditions elsewhere (80s–100s°F), driving regional demand differences. Weather models (ECMWF, GFS) forecast continued impacts on heating and cooling degree days, affecting prices. Energy Transition: Natural gas is increasingly vital for electricity generation as coal phases out, linking gas and power markets and amplifying price sensitivity to weather and demand. Forecast and OutlookShort-Term (1–6 Weeks): Bearish due to high storage, weak demand from cool weather, and technical indicators. Prices may test support at $2.220–$2.080, Long-Term: Growing U.S. electricity demand (31% over 15 years) and constrained global supply (e.g., limited OPEC spare capacity) suggest bullish prospects for natural gas as a reliable fuel. Trading ConsiderationsRisks: High volatility, weather-driven demand shifts, and geopolitical uncertainties (e.g., Russia-Ukraine tensions) pose risks. Strategies: Traders may consider short positions targeting $2.80, but oversold conditions suggest caution for potential reversals. Long-term investors might accumulate near support zones ($2.220–$2.080) for 2026 upside. Data Tools: Monitor EIA storage reports, weather forecasts (NatGasWeather.com), and technical indicators (RSI, MACD) for real-time insights. Note: Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research.
FPMARKETS:XNGUSD
by renderwithme
Resistance Breakout Excepted in NATURAL GASNatural Gas has been consolidating just below a key resistance level around ₹247–₹248, with multiple rejection points in recent sessions (marked by red arrows). The current price action shows renewed buying pressure, with candles testing the resistance zone once again. Technical View: The horizontal resistance has acted as a strong supply zone multiple times. A decisive breakout and close above ₹248 could open the path for further upside momentum. Immediate support is placed near ₹244.20, which serves as a stop-loss reference for breakout traders. Trading Perspective: If price sustains above the resistance level with volume confirmation, the breakout could trigger a short-term bullish move toward higher targets. However, failure to hold above this zone may lead to another pullback within the range.
MCX:NATURALGAS1!
by Kapil-Mittal
2
Natural gas: Chart AnalysisLet’s break down the Natural Gas Futures (INR) Weekly Chart step-by-step. This will include chart structure, patterns, demand–supply zones, and precise support/resistance levels based on what I can see on the charts : 🔍Chart OverviewTimeframe: Weekly (1W)Current Price: ₹244.7 (down -5.30%)Price is near an important ascending trendline support (green line) after a strong correction from recent highs. Structure shows earlier breakout above descending trendline (blue) followed by a retest and rejection. 🧭 1. Trend AnalysisLong-Term Trend:From 2022 highs (₹900+), Natural Gas was in a sharp downtrend (blue descending trendline).Downtrend broke in late 2023, initiating a mid-term uptrend within an ascending channel. Short-Term Trend:Since the ₹405.7 high (early 2025), prices are in a correction phase.Price now testing demand zone near ₹244–₹212. 📈 2. Chart Patterns,Ascending Channel: Price has been moving between parallel green lines since late 2023.Breakdown Risk: Price is testing the lower channel line; breakdown could trigger more downside.Head & Shoulders Possibility: The highs around ₹405–₹358 resemble a left shoulder–head–right shoulder formation, with neckline near ₹249–₹244. A confirmed break below could accelerate selling. Supply Zone Rejection: Strong selling emerged from ₹358–₹405, marking it as a supply zone.📍 3. Key Technical LevelsLevel (₹) nType the:Significance 405.7 🔺 Major Supply 2025 high, strong rejection point 358.7 Secondary Supplying- Recent swing high before sell-off 249.6–244.7 ⚠️ Current Zone Channel support & neckline zone 218.0 🛑 Demand Zone Past consolidation & buying interest 212.0 🛑 Strong Support Historical demand zone floor 209.9 🔻 Critical Support If broken, opens path to ₹180–₹160⚖ 4. Demand & Supply ZonesDemand Zones:₹218–₹212 (weekly accumulation area)₹180–₹160 (last major base before rally) Supply Zones:₹358–₹405 (heavy selling area)₹280–₹300 (minor supply if bounce occurs) 5. Possible ScenariosScenario 1 Support Holds:If ₹244–₹212 holds, expect a bounce towards ₹280 and ₹300.A close above ₹300 could re-test ₹358. Scenario 2 – Breakdown:A close below ₹212 could lead to a quick drop towards ₹180–₹160. ⚠ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only, not trading advice. Futures & commodities are highly volatile; manage risk and consult a registered financial advisor.
MCX:NATURALGAS1!
by Global_Growth_Mentor
JSW ENERGY - SwingJSW Energy is transitioning aggressively toward renewables, with investments in solar, wind, energy storage, and green hydrogen. P/E ratio stands at 46.36, indicating a premium valuation compared to the sector average of 32. While growth is underwhelming, the company maintains good asset quality. Debt levels are manageable, and promoter holding remains strong. The stock recently showed consolidation between 510 - 530, with support near ₹500 and strong resistance around 540. Technical indicators suggest a bullish bias, with MACD showing early signs of upward momentum. Traders may consider swing opportunities if the stock breaks above ₹542 with volume confirmation.
NSE:JSWENERGYLong
by CannySunny
Trendline Support Pattern in Natural GasNatural Gas is currently respecting a well-established horizontal trendline support zone around the 264–265 level. As seen in the chart, price has tested this area multiple times, indicating strong demand and buyer interest at this zone. 📉 The recent candles show rejection from the support, suggesting a potential bounce. If this level continues to hold, we may see an upward move toward the 267–270 resistance area. 📌 Trade Idea: Entry: Near 265.3 Stop-loss: Below 262.8 (structure break) Target: 267.1 and above for short-term move 🧠 Watch for confirmation with volume or bullish candlestick formations before entering the trade.
MCX:NATURALGAS1!
by Kapil-Mittal
Natural Gas Technical Breakdown Ahead? Eyes on the 264.90 Mark#Commodity #NaturalGas View: CMP: 271.70 🔹 Resistance Levels: • 270.70 – 273.40 • 275.00 • 284.00 🔹 Support Level: • 264.90 Technical View: Natural Gas seems to be forming a bearish flag pattern on the hourly & 4 hours chart. The price is currently facing resistance at the pink trendline breakdown level. While it's still early for confirmation, a decisive hourly close below 264.90 may validate the pattern and open the door for further downside. If the pattern plays out, a possible target zone around 220 could be in sight. 📌 Note: This is a technical analysis view shared for educational purposes only and not a recommendation to buy/sell. Always consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. #Commodity | #NaturalGas | #MCX | #PriceAction
MCX:NATURALGAS1!Short
by Stocks_Mario
USOIL is taking support at lower levels and making higher highsThe trading signal for USOIL has been triggered. The asset has demonstrated consistent support near the 65.5 price level, exhibiting this pattern of support three times previously, each instance resulting in the formation of a higher high. Currently, USOIL is once again showing support at this crucial level. Therefore, I recommend initiating a bullish or long trade position, with a suggested entry point around the 65.75 mark.
FX:USOILSPOTLong
by rajputnarendrasingh579
1
CRUDEHello & welcome to this analysis USOIL / CRUDE (MCX) after a very sharp rally till the slanting channel have now retraced to very strong support levels as per the ICHIMOKU indicator in daily time frame. One could look for a 4hrs reversal candle confirmation between $64.50 - 63.75 / INR 5625 - 5450 for a resumption of rally till $77 / INR 6900 with resistance on its path at $68.50 & $74 / INR 5825 & INR 6400 Remember enter only after you get a bullish candle confirmation from lower time frame. All the best
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Long
by Dinesh_C_Nagpal
1
Trade Recommendation – BUY WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) – Entry #2✅ Trade Recommendation – BUY WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) – Entry #2 📅 Date: July 3–4, 2025 🕒 Timeframe: 1H 🎯 Trade Setup: Entry Zone: 66.30 – 66.40 USD/barrel (short-term support and EMA20 zone) Stop Loss (SL): 65.60 USD (below MA200 and previous bullish candle base) Take Profit (TP): • Target: 68.40 – 68.50 USD 📊 Technical Analysis: Healthy pullback after a strong bullish breakout — price is currently consolidating around EMA20, potentially forming a new upward leg. Volume surged during the July 2–3 breakout, indicating strong institutional buying interest. Price structure: Clear uptrend with higher highs and higher lows. Bollinger Bands: Price touched the upper band and is now retracing to the mid-band — a common continuation pattern. EMA20 is acting as dynamic support. 🧭 Strategy Notes: Wait for price to retrace into the 66.30 – 66.40 zone with a confirmation signal (e.g. bullish pin bar or engulfing candle). Consider scaling in and holding the position toward the resistance area of 68.40 – 68.50. Cut loss if price breaks below 65.60 and invalidates the current bullish structure. fl me & ytb, winrate 90%! Thank
TVC:USOILLong
by HungDaoGlobalTrading
Trade Setup – BUY WTI Crude Oil (USOIL)✅ Trade Setup – BUY WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) 📅 Date: July 2–3, 2025 🕒 Timeframe: 1H 🎯 Trade Parameters: Buy Zone (Entry): 65.00 – 64.90 USD/barrel Stop Loss (SL): 64.55 USD (below rising trendline and lower Bollinger Band) Take Profit (TP): • TP1: 66.50 USD • TP2: 67.00 USD 📊 Technical Analysis Highlights: Rising trendline from June 24 continues to hold, forming a solid support area around 64.9–65.0. Bollinger Bands are narrowing, indicating potential volatility expansion. Price is consolidating near the mid-band (MA20), often a precursor to bullish breakout. Volume shows signs of accumulation around the trendline, suggesting buying interest at key support. Multiple rejections from 64.90 without breakdown reinforces this level as near-term support. 🧭 Strategy Notes: Enter on price pullback to the 65.00–64.90 zone with confirmation (e.g. bullish pin bar, engulfing pattern, volume spike). Suggested position management: • Take 50% profit at 66.50 • Hold the remaining 50% toward 67.00 if momentum is strong. If price breaks below 64.55 with strong volume, exit the trade to preserve capital. Good luck Everybody! Fl me here and ytb ! Thanks
TVC:USOILLong
by HungDaoGlobalTrading
Natural Gas Futures: Triangle Breakout and New Impulse UnfoldingNatural Gas Futures (MCX) is showing an interesting Elliott Wave structure unfolding. After completing a corrective Y wave near 133.6, prices started a well-defined impulsive advance. The initial advance took shape as a 5-wave structure (yellow degree), completing wave 1 at 261.2, followed by a healthy correction into wave 2 at 156.7. The subsequent rally carved out another 5-wave pattern (green degree), pushing prices toward 407.8, marking a likely completion of wave 3. The corrective wave 4 unfolded as a typical contracting triangle (ABCDE), finding support around 297.3. This triangle structure respected the Elliott guidelines quite well and indicates a potential setup for the next impulsive leg higher. Post-triangle, the initial move up to 359.2 can be counted as wave i of the next larger impulse. The ongoing retracement has pulled back close to 61.8%–78.6% Fibonacci levels, a common zone for wave ii corrections. The RSI continues to print higher lows, supporting the underlying bullish sequence. The invalidation zone is clearly marked around 297.3. As long as price remains above this level, the possibility of an ongoing bullish impulse remains valid, with eventual targets extending much higher toward the 1.618 projection zone near 503. This remains a developing wave count, with structure still unfolding. Monitoring how price reacts around current levels will provide further clues whether the larger bullish sequence resumes or deeper correction emerges. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
MCX:NATURALGAS1!Long
by WaveXplorer
CrudeOil in major resistance area may give breakout*$$CrudeOil is trading near major resistance area with positive news around the world for it. If Iran block Strait of Hormuz then it will give breakout from this area for target of 6655-6722 area & then 6988, 7301, 7500,7750. If Iran problem solved with USA then it may fall also from this resistance area with fast momentum for target of 6033, 5633, 5155, 4733. Please consult your advisor before taking any trade & with proper risk management. Thank You
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
by K_Dyadav
MCX Crude Oil: Complex Correction Complete?Big Picture Structure — Daily Timeframe After peaking at 9996, Crude Oil entered a prolonged complex corrective phase, unfolding as a W-X-Y-X-Z structure, reflecting a Elliott Wave complex correction pattern. Wave W formed via an initial abc decline. Wave X delivered a corrective bounce. Wave Y unfolded into another abc leg down. A second X followed, creating further complexity. Finally, Wave Z completed with a terminating abc decline, bottoming near 4724. With this, the entire larger degree Wave 4 correction appears to have completed, setting the stage for a potential higher-degree advance. Zoom In — 4H Timeframe Analysis Zooming into the rally from 4724, price action unfolds very cleanly: A strong 5-wave impulsive advance has developed. Wave 3 displayed strong extension — a healthy sign of impulsive strength. Wave 5 pushed to a higher high near 6585, completing a likely Wave (1) at smaller degree. Notably, the final leg of this upmove developed with RSI bearish divergence, often an early warning of short-term exhaustion, suggesting a corrective Wave (2) pullback may now be developing. Outlook Ahead With higher degree Wave 4 likely behind us, attention shifts to the ongoing development of the larger degree Wave 5. A corrective Wave (2) pullback may offer attractive entry zones for the next bullish impulsive leg. As long as price maintains structural integrity above the 4724 low, the broader bullish outlook remains intact. Summary Complex W-X-Y-X-Z correction likely complete. New bullish sequence underway. Short-term corrective pullback (Wave 2) anticipated. RSI divergence signals caution for immediate upside, but larger bullish trend remains intact. Chart will be updated as price action evolves. Disclaimer : This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Long
by WaveXplorer
OIL INDIA LTD – Structure Tiring as Crude Starts Firing?What began as a heroic rally from ₹42 to ₹767 in a powerful impulse now finds itself wobbling under its own weight. OIL INDIA LTD’s chart tells a story of exhaustion — both structurally and contextually — just when crude oil is flexing again on the global stage. Amid rising geopolitical tensions and war-like murmurs pushing crude prices higher, the Indian oil sector may be sailing into headwinds. And this isn’t just a macro hunch — the waves themselves are flashing caution. After a Wave 1 climax near ₹767.90, price action has shifted into a corrective mode. I interpret the ongoing structure as a W-X-Y double zigzag , and within it, a key event unfolded: a classic ABC flat correction, beginning in March. The April rally — which at first glance looks like a fresh impulse — is in fact the C leg of that flat. While it did unfold in 5 waves, the fifth wave formed an ending diagonal , complete with overlapping internals and fading momentum. This could be the last gasp . Zooming into the 4H chart, the rise from ₹325 to ₹489 fits neatly into a corrective framework, not an impulsive one. That makes ₹489 a crucial invalidation level . If price stays below it, we likely begin Wave Y of the broader correction — a move that could push OIL INDIA back toward or even below ₹325. However, if price breaches ₹489 and sustains, that’s your early signal that this entire bearish setup is off, and a new bullish sequence may be unfolding instead. The stop-loss is tight, the downside wide. If this count holds, the risk-reward setup is highly favorable. Further analysis continues in the notes below — covering multi-timeframe wave counts, internal structures, and confluences from RSI, volume, and Bollinger Bands.
NSE:OILShort
by WaveXplorer
WTI Crude Oil 4H Chart – Bullish Setup from Demand Zone📈 Current Price: $61.74 🔵 Key Zones & Levels 🔹 Demand Zone (Buy Area): 🟦 $59.48 – $61.39 → Price expected to bounce here → 🔄 Potential reversal zone 🔹 Entry Point: 🎯 $61.39 → Ideal level to enter LONG → Just above demand zone 🔹 Stop Loss: 🛑 Below $59.48 → Exit if price drops here → Protects capital 🔹 Target Point: 🚀 $67.00 → Profit-taking zone → Strong resistance zone nearby: * 66.63 * 66.75 * 67.60 📊 Indicators 📍 EMA (70): 🔴 61.40 → Price trading above = bullish signal → EMA acting as support 📏 Trendline Channel: 🔼 Higher highs & higher lows → Supports uptrend continuation 📌 Trade Plan Summary * Bias: 📈 Bullish * Buy: At 61.39 * Stop: Below 59.48 🛑 * Target: 67.00 🎯 * Risk-Reward: ✔️ Favorable (~1:3) 🔍 What to Watch * ✅ Bullish candles in demand zone * 🔁 Retest of EMA or lower channel * ❌ Avoid if it breaks below $59.48
TVC:USOIL
by Jameshead007
3