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GBPUSD appears ready for further downside towards 200-SMAGBPUSD remains on the back foot while justifying a downside break of a 5.5-month-old rising support line and the 100-SMA. Also keeping the Cable bears hopeful are the bearish MACD signals. However, the nearly oversold RSI conditions suggest limited room towards the south, which in turn highlights the 200-SMA level of around 1.2400 as the key support. It’s worth noting that the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the March-July fall, close to 1.2470, acts as an immediate check of the sellers while the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of near 1.2310, also known as the golden ratio, will challenge the sellers past 200-SMA. On the contrary, the GBPUSD pair’s corrective bounce needs validation from the 100-SMA hurdle of 1.2645. Following that, a convergence of the 21-SMA and the previous support line from mid-March, surrounding 1.2700, appears a tough nut to crack for the Cable buyers. In a case where the Pound Sterling remains firmer past 1.2700, the gradual upside toward June’s peak of 1.2848 can’t be ruled out. Overall, GBPUSD appears well set for further downside even if the road towards the south appears bumpy.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY bulls run out of steam around mid-146.00sUSDJPY again flirts with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the October 2022 to January 2023 downturn within a five-month-long bullish channel. Though, the overbought RSI (14) and looming bear cross on the MACD signal pullback of the Yen pair. That said, the tops marked in late June and early July join the 21-DMA to highlight the 144.60-50 zone as a short-term key support. In a case where the risk-barometer pair drops below 144.50, the late July swing high around 142.00 might stop the sellers before challenging them with the 140.00 support confluence comprising 100-DMA and the bottom line of the stated channel. Meanwhile, a daily closing beyond the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of around 146.50 will direct the USDJPY buyers toward the November 2022 peak of around 148.85 and then to the 149.00 round figure. Following that, the 150.00 round figure might test the Yen pair’s upside before highlighting the previous yearly high of around 152.00. To sum up, the USDJPY pair’s pullback appears overdue but the downtrend appears off the table beyond 140.00.
by MTradingGlobal
23-week-old support line challenges AUDUSD bearsAUDUSD bears ran out of steam during the sixth week of the downtrend by positing the slimmest losses since mid-July. Even so, the Aussie pair faded bounce off a downward-sloping support line from early March, not to forget staying beneath a six-week-long descending resistance line. It’s worth noting that the nearly oversold RSI and the impending bull cross on the MACD challenge the pair sellers, suggesting another bounce off the stated multi-week-old support line, close to 0.6450 by the press time. In a case where the bears manage to conquer the 0.6450 support, last November’s bottom of around 0.6270 will be in the spotlight. Following that, the previous yearly low of near 0.6170 could lure the offers. On the flip side, a corrective bounce needs validation from the downward-sloping resistance line from mid-July, close to 0.6435 at the latest. Also acting as the short-term upside AUDUSD hurdle is the 21-DMA of around 0.6505. Should the Aussie bulls manage to keep the reins past 0.6505, the lows marked in late June and early July around 0.6600 will give the final fight to the bulls before giving them control. It should be observed that the double tops marked in June and July surrounding 0.6900 appear a tough nut to crack for the buyers afterward. Overall, AUDUSD remains bearish but the downside room appears limited, which in turn suggests a corrective bounce before the fresh leg towards the south.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD drops within bearish channel with eyes on Jackson HoleEURUSD prepares for the sixth consecutive weekly fall as ECB and Federal Reserve bosses prepare for the annual showdown at the Jackson Hole Symposium. That said, the Euro pair remains pressured within a one-month-old descending trend channel amid downbeat RSI and MACD conditions, which in turn suggest less downside room and highlights the stated channel’s bottom line of around 1.0785 as the key support. In a case where the sellers dominate past 1.0790, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of May-July upside, near 1.0770, will act as the final defense of the buyers, a break of which will direct the prices toward May’s bottom of 1.0635. On the contrary, a fortnight-long falling resistance line, close to 1.0880 at the latest, guards immediate EURUSD recovery within the bearish channel formation. Following that, the mentioned channel’s top line of near 1.0980 and the 200-SMA surrounding 1.1015-20 could test the Euro buyers before giving them a charge. In that case, the monthly high of 1.1065 and the late July peak of 1.1150 may check the upside moves ahead of directing the quote to the yearly top of 1.1275. Overall, EURUSD bears appear running out of steam but the buyers need strong reasons to retake control, which in turn highlights the central bankers’ speeches at the key event for the pair traders to watch.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD forms falling wedge but bulls need more to returnAUDUSD bears take a breather after a five-week downtrend, portraying a falling wedge bullish chart pattern around the yearly low. Adding strength to the hopes of recovery is an upward-sloping RSI line, not overbought, as well as the bullish MACD signals. However, an area comprising multiple lows marked since late May, around 0.6460-70, restricts the short-term upside of the Aussie pair. Following that, a three-month-old horizontal area and the 200-SMA, respectively near 0.6580-6600 and 0.6635, will challenge the buyers before giving them control. On the contrary, a one-week-long rising support line surrounding 0.6390 limits the immediate downside of the AUDUSD pair ahead of the stated wedge’s bottom line, close to 0.6350. In a case where the Aussie pair remains bearish past 0.6350, the November 2022 low near 0.6270 and the previous yearly bottom of around 0.6170 will be in the spotlight. Overall, AUDUSD bears run out of steam and hence suggest a corrective bounce in the pair’s price. However, the downward trend established since mid-July is more likely to prevail unless witnessing strong Aussie data and/or downbeat US statistics, as well as the dovish Fed talks and the risk-on mood.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD eyes further upside, 1.2830 challenges buyersGBPUSD gained buyer’s attention after snapping a four-week downtrend the last week. Adding strength to the upside bias is the Cable pair’s confirmation of the descending triangle bullish chart pattern. However, a clear upside break of the stated triangle’s upper line, close to 1.2740 by the press time, as well as successful trading beyond the 200-SMA hurdle of 1.2830 becomes necessary for the Pound Sterling bulls to retake control. Following that, the late July swing high of around the 1.3000 psychological magnet will act as a buffer during an expected ride towards challenging the yearly top marked the last month near 1.3145. On the contrary, multiple supports around 1.2700 and 1.2650 restrict the short-term downside of the GBPUSD pair. However, the Cable’s bearish bias remains elusive unless witnessing a clear break of the previously stated triangle’s bottom line, close to 1.2625 by the press time. It’s worth noting that the Pound Sterling’s sustained weakness beneath 1.2625 may seek confirmation from the late June swing low of around 1.2590 before targeting May’s bottom of 1.2310. Overall, GBPUSD lures buyers but the upside needs validation from 1.2830.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY portrays bullish consolidation beyond 200-SMAUSDJPY posted a three-week winning streak but ended Thursday on a negative note. That said, a convergence of 50-SMA and a seven-week-old horizontal area surrounding 145.00-145.10 restricts the immediate downside of the Yen pair. Following that, the early-month high of around 143.90 and the 200-SMA level of around 142.15 will act as the final defense of the buyers. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 142.15, as well as breaks the 142.00 round figure, the odds of witnessing a slump towards the 140.00 round figure and then to the late July swing of near 138.00 can’t be ruled out. Alternatively, a corrective bounce in the USDJPY price could challenge the latest multi-month peak of around 146.60 before trying to restore the bull’s confidence by poking the previous support line stretched from July 28, around 146.80. In a case where the Yen buyers remain dominant past 146.80, the 150.00 round figure will be crucial to watch as the key upside hurdle, a break of which could allow the upside to aim for the previous yearly top surrounding 152.00. Overall, the USDJPY buyers are taking a breather but not off the table as the key supports hold.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD remains vulnerable to refresh yearly low past 0.6400A daily closing beneath a nine-month-old rising support line, now resistance around 0.6480, keeps the AUDUSD bears hopeful of witnessing further downside even as the oversold RSI conditions prod the immediate declines. That said, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to February 2023 upside, near 0.6380, checks the bears while the last November’s bottom of around 0.6270 can challenge the Aussie pair’s downside afterward. In a case where the quote remains weak past 0.6270, the previously yearly low marked in October around 0.6170 will be in the spotlight. On the contrary, AUDUSD recovery needs validation from the multi-day-old previous support line, close to 0.6480. Even so, the 10-DMA level surrounding 0.6515 can challenge the buyers before directing them to the lows marked in late June and early July around 0.6600. It’s worth noting that the Aussie pair’s successful trading beyond 0.6600 enables it to aim for the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of near 0.6670 ahead of targeting May’s peak of near 0.6820. Above all, AUDUSD stays on the bear’s radar unless crossing the double tops marked in July close to 0.6900. Overall, AUDUSD is less likely to return to the buyer’s radar any time soon.
by MTradingGlobal
Falling wedge, oversold RSI tease NZDUSD buyers on RBNZ dayNZDUSD bears appear running out of steam after a four-week downtrend as the Kiwi pair portrays a one-month-old falling wedge bullish chart formation at the yearly low amid the oversold RSI (14) line. That said, the 10-DMA surrounding 0.6045 guards immediate recovery of the quote ahead of the key 0.6060 resistance comprising the top line of the stated wedge. In a case where the bulls manage to keep control after crossing the 0.6060 hurdle, June’s high of around 0.6250 and a six-month-long horizontal area near 0.6380-90 can test the upside momentum before the falling wedge’s theoretical target of 0.6535. It’s worth noting that the said 0.6535 level coincides with the yearly peak marked in February and hence becomes the key hurdle for the buyers to watch afterward. On the contrary, the aforementioned wedge’s lower line restricts the immediate downside of the NZDUSD pair around 0.5920, a break of which will defy the bullish chart pattern. However, the 0.5900 round figure and a downward-sloping support line from early March, close to 0.5880, could challenge the bears afterward. In a case where the Kiwi sellers refrain from stepping back past 0.5880, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to February 2023 upside, around 0.5730, will act as the last defense of the buyers before directing the quote to the previous yearly low of near 0.5515. Overall, NZDUSD is likely to witness recovery as the RBNZ managed to lure Kiwi buyers without doing much. However, Fed Minutes will be crucial to watch for clear directions.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD closing in key support ahead of UK employment dataGBPUSD remains on the back foot as the Cable bears attack the bottom line of a six-week-old bullish triangle after staying successfully beneath an ascending support line from early March, now resistance around 1.2830. That said, the bearish MACD signals keep the Cable sellers hopeful. However, the below 50.0 conditions of the RSI (14) line join a convergence of the 100-DMA and bottom of the stated triangle, around 1.2610, quickly followed by the 1.2600 round figure, to challenge the Pound Sterling’s downside. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 1.2600, the odds of witnessing a slump toward the 200-DMA support of around 1.2350 can’t be ruled out. On the contrary, an upside break of the stated triangle confirms the GBPUSD pair’s bullish breakout and theoretically suggests a run-up towards 1.3700. However, the multi-day-old support-turned-resistance around 1.2830 and the late July swing high around the 1.3000 psychological magnet can test the Pound Sterling bulls. Also acting as an upside hurdle is the yearly high of around 1.3145. Overall, GBPUSD bears approach the short-term key support confluence surrounding the 1.2600 round figure as the UK employment data looms. It’s worth noting, however, that the downbeat prints of the British jobs report may allow the bears to keep the reins and prod the 200-DMA support while the road towards the north appears bumpy in case the scheduled data offers a positive surprise.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD sellers tighten grips ahead of a busy weekIn addition to posting the fourth consecutive weekly losses, the EURUSD also ended the week on a negative note while piercing a 10-week-old rising support line, now immediate resistance around 1.0950. Also keeping the Euro sellers hopeful are the bearish MACD signals. However, the RSI (14) line is below 50.0 and suggests bottom-picking, which in turn highlights the monthly low of around 1.0910 as short-term key support. Following that, July’s bottom surrounding 1.0830 and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of May-July upside, near 1.0770, can check the downside moves targeting May’s trough close to 1.0635. Meanwhile, a corrective bounce needs to cross a convergence of the 100-SMA and the 200-SMA to convince the intraday buyers of the EURUSD pair. Even so, a fortnight-old horizontal resistance area surrounding 1.1045-50 could test the bulls before giving them control. Even so, the tops marked during late July may offer breathing space to the buyers near 1.1150. In a case where the Euro pair remains firmer past 1.1150, the odds of witnessing a run-up towards challenging the yearly top marked in July around 1.1275 can’t be ruled out. Overall, EURUSD is on the bear’s radar as traders await more details of EU/US growth and inflation.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD bulls need 1.2870 breakout and strong UK GDPA bullish triangle joins Thursday’s rebound to lure GBPUSD buyers as markets await the first estimates of the UK Q2 GDP. However, fears of recession and the 1.2815-25 resistance confluence restrict Cable prices. That said, a convergence of the 100-SMA and top line of a six-week-old descending triangle together constitute the 1.2800-05 key hurdle for the buyers. Even if the Pound Sterling bulls manage to cross the 1.2805 resistance, the 200-SMA level of near 1.2825 and previous support line stretched from late May, close to 1.2870 will act as the final defenses of the sellers. On the contrary, a softer UK GDP outcome could quickly fetch the GBPUSD price towards the one-week-old horizontal support of around 1.2680. Following that, a broad support zone comprising multiple levels marked since late June, around 1.2620-2590, will be a tough nut to crack for the Cable bears. In a case where the Pound Sterling keeps the reins past 1.2590, the 1.2500 round figure and late May’s swing high near 1.2480 will be buffers during the south run towards May’s low of 1.2308. Overall, GBPUSD teases buyers but they have a tough task on hand to retake control.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD sellers prepare for entry, 1.0930 and US inflation eyedEURUSD bears appear running out of steam during the fourth weekly loss as it grinds near the key support confluence within a five-month-old bullish channel ahead of the US inflation. In doing so, the Euro pair seesaws between a three-week-old falling resistance line and a confluence of the 100-DMA and a rising support line from November 2022, respectively near 1.0970 and 1.0930. It’s worth noting that the MACD and RSI signal the return of the buyers but a clear downside break of 1.0930 could quickly challenge the bullish channel by poking the 1.0760 mark comprising the stated channel’s support line. In a case where the Euro bears ignore oscillators and break the 1.0760 support, May’s low of 1.0688 may act as an intermediate halt before dragging the quote toward the lows marked in February and January of 2023, close to 1.0515 and 1.0480 in that order. On the flip side, a clear upside break of the aforementioned three-week-old descending resistance line, close to 1.0970 at the latest, becomes necessary for the EURUSD bull’s return. Following that, the tops marked in February and April, near 1.1035 and 1.1095 in that order will gain the market’s attention. In a case where the Euro buyers dominate past 1.1095, the yearly high marked in July around 1.1275 and the previously stated bullish channel’s top line, close to 1.1285, should lure the bids. Overall, EURUSD is hitting strong support ahead of the key event that’s likely to underpin the US Dollar pullback, which in turn requires sellers to remain cautious before taking a fresh short position.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold sellers need to break $1,925 support for further downsideGold Price fades bounce off an upward-sloping support line from late February by retreating from the 50-DMA hurdle, around $1,945 by the press time. Adding strength to the downside bias are the bearish MACD signals and a downward-sloping RSI (14), not oversold. With this, the XAUUSD is likely to break the stated support line, around $1,925 by the press time. Following that, a quick fall toward the $1,900 round figure can’t be ruled out. However, a six-month-long horizontal support zone around $1,890 and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of February-May upside, near $1,860 may test the metal’s further downside before challenging the yearly low marked in March around $1,804. On the contrary, a daily closing beyond the 50-DMA hurdle of around $1,945 may allow the Gold buyers to aim for the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of around $1,967. However, an area comprising multiple levels marked since May 19, close to $1,985, will challenge the XAUUSD bulls afterward. In a case where the bullion price rally crosses the $1,985 resistance, the $2,000 round figure may give a final fight to the optimists before giving them control. Overall, the Gold Price remains on the back foot but a clear downside break of $1,925 becomes necessary for the bears to take control.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY pares weekly gains with eyes on sub-140.00 zoneUSDJPY extended a pullback from a five-week-old horizontal resistance by slipping beneath monthly horizontal support and 200-SMA, despite the latest rebound, as markets sensed the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) exit from the loose monetary policy and unimpressive US employment report. Also keeping the Yen sellers hopeful are the bearish MACD signals and downward-sloping RSI (14) line. With this, the bears are all set to challenge the 141.00 round figure comprising the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the June-July downturn. Following that, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of 140.30 and the 140.00 psychological magnet may test the downside move. It’s worth observing that a three-week-old rising support line, close to 139.55 at the latest, acts as the last defense of the buyers. On the flip side, the aforementioned support-turned-resistance zone and the 200-SMA, around 141.85-142.00, challenge the USDJPY buyers before directing them to the five-week-old horizontal hurdle surrounding 144.00. In a case where the Yen pair rises past 144.00, the yearly peak marked in June around 145.10, will be in the spotlight. It should be noted that the quote’s strength past 145.10 could direct bulls toward the 150.00 round figure ahead of highlighting the next year’s top of around 152.00. Overall, the talks of a looming BoJ rate hike or an alteration into the Yield Curve Control (YCC) policy exert downside pressure on the USDJPY pair but the US inflation is on the cards and can help the pair register another positive week. Hence, it's advisable to be cautious while trading the Yen pair.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold bears approach key support ahead of US NFPFailure to cross a nine-week-old horizontal resistance drags the Gold price back an upward-sloping support line from late February, close to $1,920 at the latest. Adding strength to the downside bias is the falling RSI line and bearish MACD signals. However, the RSI line is below 50.0 and suggests bottom-picking, which in turn highlights the stated trend line support. Even if the metal breaks the $1,920 support, the 200-EMA level of around $1,905 and the $1,900, as well as June’s bottom of around $1,895, can challenge the XAUUSD bears. Following that, a slump towards the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of February-May upside, near $1,860, can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, the Gold price recovery needs to cross the late July swing low of around $1,945 to convince the buyers. However, the metal’s further upside remains elusive unless crossing the previously mentioned multi-week-old horizontal hurdle surrounding $1,985. In a case where the XAUUSD buyers manage to keep the reins past $1,985, the $2,000 round figure and March’s high of around $2,010 will act as the final defense of the sellers. Overall, Gold sellers are likely to witness a bumpy road ahead but may continue to occupy the driver’s seat.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD signals further downside on BoE DayA daily closing beneath the 1.2720 support confluence, now resistance, teases the GBPUSD bears as Bank of England (BoE) policymakers brace for another interest rate hike. Apart from a sustained break of the 50-DMA and five-month-old rising trend line, bearish MACD signals and the descending RSI line, not oversold, also keeps the Cable sellers hopeful of revisiting the 100-DMA support of around 1.2570. However, the quote’s further downside past 1.2570 will make the Pound Sterling vulnerable enough to slump toward May’s bottom surrounding the 1.2300 round figure. Though, the early April swing high of near 1.2550 and the 1.2500 threshold can test the downside moves. On the contrary, a dovish hike or a surprise pause in the hawkish cycle could trigger a U-turn and fetch the GBPUSD pair back above the 1.2720 support-turned-resistance confluence comprising the 50-DMA and a multi-day-old ascending trend line. Following that, June’s high of near 1.2850 and the late July peak close to the 1.3000 psychological magnet will be on the Cable buyer’s radar. Should the Pound Sterling remains firmer past 1.3000, the odds of witnessing a fresh yearly high, currently around 1.3145, can’t be ruled out.
by MTradingGlobal
NZDUSD challenges two-month-long bullish trendNZDUSD slides beneath a two-month-old rising support line, extending late July’s downside break of the 200-EMA, as New Zealand released mixed second-quarter (Q2) employment data but the sentiment remains sour on US credit rating downgrade. With this, the Kiwi bears are all set to visit March’s low of around 0.6085. However, the late June swing low of around 0.6050 and the 0.6000 psychological magnet could test the pair sellers as the RSI (14) is below 50.0. If not, then May’s bottom of around 0.5985 will act as the last defense of buyers ahead of highlighting a convergence of the five-month-old descending support line and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to March 2023 upside, near 0.5910. Meanwhile, a daily closing beyond the 200-EMA level of around 0.6225 becomes necessary for the NZDUSD buyers to retake control, at least for the short term. Following that, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of around 0.6300 will be in the spotlight. However, an area comprising multiple levels marked since early February, close to 0.6380-90, quickly followed by July’s high of around 0.6415, should probe the Kiwi pair’s further upside ahead of enabling it to target the yearly top marked in February around 0.6535-40.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD has a long way to go before convincing bullsAUDUSD fades bounce off a three-week low while poking a two-month-old rising support line, now immediate resistance around 0.6730, on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Interest Rate Decision Day. Adding strength to the upside barrier is the 200-DMA hurdle surrounding the said 0.6730 level. Following that, a run-up towards the 50% Fibonacci retracement of February-May downside, near 0.6810, will be quick. However, the double tops around the 0.6900 round figure, close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 0.6890, can challenge the buyers before giving them control. On the contrary, the AUDUSD pullback appears elusive beyond the latest swing low surrounding 0.6620. Even if the Aussie pair drops below 0.6620, a horizontal support zone comprising levels marked since early March, near 0.6560-55, will act as the last defense of the bulls ahead of challenging the yearly bottom of 0.6458. It should be noted that the Aussie pair’s weakness past 0.6458 won’t hesitate to challenge November 2022 trough and the previous yearly low, respectively near 0.6270 and 0.6170. Overall, AUDUSD remains on the bear’s radar despite the week-start rebound and remains a good candidate for “sell the bounce”.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD tests sellers by bouncing off 1.0970 supportEURUSD dropped in the last two consecutive weeks as it fades bounce off a two-month-old rising support line. The recovery previously gained support from the RSI’s rebound from the overbought territory, as well as the looming bull cross on the MACD. However, a convergence of the 50-SMA and a fortnight-long falling resistance line, close to 1.1100-1105 at the latest, restricts the immediate upside. a horizontal area comprising multiple tops marked since July 21, close to 1.1150, also likely to challenge the Euro buyers should they manage to keep the reins past 1.1105. Following that, a run-up towards the yearly top marked during mid-July around 1.1275 can’t be ruled out. On the contrary, fresh selling needs validation from the aforementioned multi-day-old rising support line, close to 1.0970 at the latest. In a case where the EURUSD bears manage to break the 1.0970 support, it can quickly drop to the monthly low of around 1.0835. However, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the May-July upside, near 1.0780, will check the Euro bears afterward, a break of which will direct the price towards May’s low of near 1.0635. Overall, EURUSD signals a corrective bounce but the bullish trend remains elusive unless the quote remains below 50-SMA and immediate trend line confluence, near 1.1100-05.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY breaks immediate support despite BoJ inactionUSDJPY appears well-set to reverse the previous weekly gains as it reverses from a three-week-old descending resistance line surrounding 141.00. Also adding strength to the downside bias could be the pair’s break of a fortnight-old support line’s break, as well as bearish MACD signals. However, the below 50.0 levels of the RSI challenges the Yen pair as US Dollar bulls flex muscles ahead of the Fed’s favorite inflation clue, namely the Core PCE Price Index. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s recovery remains elusive below 141.00 while the 200-SMA and multiple technical levels marked since June 19 and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the June-July downside together constitute the 142.00-10 area as a tough nut to crack for the bulls. On the contrary, USDJPY sellers need validation from the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement near 139.00 to rule further. Should the Yen pair remains bearish past 139.00, tops marked in March and May around 137.70 and the monthly low near 137.25 will act as the final defenses of the major currency pair. If at all the quote drops beneath 137.25, May’s bottom of near 133.50 and the 130.00 threshold will lure the sellers. Overall, USDJPY is likely to add to the weekly gains but US data appears crucial to watch for clear directions.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold buyers still occupy driver’s seat after Fed, eyes on ECB noDespite the Fed-inflicted volatility, the Gold price remains bullish as markets brace for the European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy meeting. That said, successful trading beyond the 50-EMA and 200-EMA, respectively near $1,950 and $1,904, keeps the buyers hopeful. Also acting as short-term support is the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s February-May upside, near $1,935. It’s worth noting that the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level adds strength to the $1,904 support while the $1,900 round figure and June’s low of $1,893 are some extra downside filters that can defend the XAUUSD bulls if they’re on the verge of losing the throne. In a case where the quote remains bearish past $1,893, the odds of witnessing a slump toward the early March swing high of around $1,854 and then to February’s bottom of $1,804 can’t be ruled out. Even so, the Gold buyers need to provide a successful upside break of the 10-week-old horizontal resistance area around $1,985 to tighten their grip. That said, the $2,000 psychological magnet and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of around $2,005 may act as additional resistances to test the XAUUSD bulls before directing them to April’s peak of around $2,050. Following that, the yearly high of around $2,067 will regain the market’s attention. Overall, the Gold Price remains on the bull’s radar unless declining below $1,893.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD portrays bearish triangle on Australia inflation, Fed decAUDUSD fades bounce off 200-EMA, reversing from a one-week-old falling resistance line, as Australian inflation and the Federal Reserve (Fed) Interest Rate Decision decorate the calendar. Given the downbeat oscillators, as well as the Aussie pair’s placement within a two-month-old bearish triangle, the quote stays on the seller’s radar. However, a clear downside break of the stated triangle’s bottom line, close to 0.6690, becomes necessary to convince bears, not to forget the need for a sustained close beneath the 200-EMA level of 0.6730. Following that, the late June low surrounding 0.6595 and the previous monthly bottom of near 0.6485 will gain the market’s attention. In a case where the Aussie pair remains bearish past 0.6485, the theoretical target of the bearish triangle confirmation, near 0.6240, should be logical to expect as the target for the short positions. On the contrary, an upside break of the seven-day-old resistance line, around 0.6790 at the latest, will precede the 0.6800 round figure and the last weekly high of near 0.6850 could test the AUDUSD buyers. However, major attention will be given to the triangle’s top surrounding 0.6900, a break of which won’t hesitate to propel the Aussie pair toward the 0.7000 psychological magnet. Should the quote stays firmer past 0.7000, the mid-February peak of around 0.7030 may check the upside momentum ahead of directing the bulls to the yearly top close to 0.7160. Overall, AUDUSD appears slipping off the bull’s radar but the sellers need validation from the triangle breakdown and the fundamentals.
by MTradingGlobal