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USDCAD stays on bear’s radar as US inflation, BoC loomsBe it a clear downside break of the 10-week-old ascending trend line or sustained trading below the 200-SMA, not to forget the latest fall below one-week-long rising trend line, USDCAD has it all to keep its place on the bear’s radar. The quote’s further downside, however, hinges on the Bank of Canada (BoC) monetary policy decision and the US Consumer Price Index data, as well as the FOMC Meeting Minutes. That said, the monthly low of around 1.3400 and multiple levels marked near the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s February-March upside, close to 1.3390, could test the Loonie pair sellers. In a case where the bears keep the reins past 1.3390, February’s low of around 1.3260 will be in focus. Meanwhile, USDCAD recovery initially needs to cross the weekly support-turned-resistance of around 1.3500 before poking the 50% Fibonacci retracement hurdle, around 1.3560, to convince intraday buyers. Even so, the previous support line from early February, close to 1.3615-20, could challenge the upside momentum. If at all the Loonie pair manages to cross the 1.3620 hurdle, a convergence of the 200-SMA and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement will act as the final defense for bears near 1.3630. Should the quote remains firmer past 1.3630, backed by price-positive fundamentals, a run-up towards 1.3740 and 1.3800 can’t be ruled out. To sum up, USDCAD is well-set for further downside on a key day for the pair traders.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD signals fresh 2023 low despite recent reboundBe it a clear rejection of a one-month-old bullish channel or sustained trading below the key SMAs, not to forget dovish RBA, AUDUSD has it all to convince bears. That said, the Aussie pair currently recovers towards the stated channel’s top line around 0.6685. Even if the quote crosses the stated upside hurdle, a convergence of the 100-SMA and 200-SMA, close to 0.6700, appears a tough nut to crack for the counter-trend traders. Should the Aussie pair remains firmer past 0.6700, the previous monthly high of near 0.6785 and the aforementioned channel’s top line, close to 0.6820, can act as the last defense of the bears before giving control to the bulls. On the contrary, the 0.6600 round figure lures AUD/USD bears, a break of which could challenge the YTD low surrounding 0.6560. It’s worth noting that the RSI is near the oversold territory and hence suggests limited downside room before portraying the pair’s corrective bounce. However, the quote’s weakness past 0.6560 won’t hesitate to aim for the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) level of its mid-February to early April moves, near the 0.6500 round figure. Overall, AUDUSD is well-set on the bear’s radar for marking further downside unless any fundamental surprises.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY rebound appears unimpressive below 133.80USDJPY reverses the early-month losses by keeping the bounce off a nine-week-old ascending support line. That said, the RSI and MACD oscillators also suggest the gradual building of upside momentum. However, a downward sloping resistance line from early March, around 132.65-70, followed by the 200-SMA level of 133.80, appears short-term key hurdles to challenge the Yen pair buyers before giving them control. Following that, an area comprising multiple levels marked in March, around 135.10-25, could test the north run before signaling the run-up towards the yearly high marked the previous month around 137.90. On the contrary, USDJPY pullback remains elusive until the quote stays beyond a two-month-old ascending support line, close to 130.90 at the latest. Also acting as short-term key support is the 130.00 round figure. It’s worth noting, however, that the Yen pair sellers need validation from the 129.80-60 region before taking control. In that case, the pair can easily challenge the yearly low marked in February at around 128.00. Overall, USDJPY lures buyers but the upside momentum remains elusive below 133.80.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold buyers run out of fuel ahead of US NFPBe it the Doji candlestick just beneath the 10-week-old ascending resistance line or the overbought RSI (14), Gold Price flashes clear signs of bullish exhaustion. The bears, however, need validation from the monthly support line, close to $1,981, as well as the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP). Also acting as the downside filter is February’s high of around $1,960 and the late March swing low of around $1,938. Following that, the metal’s south run towards the 100-DMA and the 200-DMA, respectively near $1,861 and $1,787, can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, Gold price recovery needs a successful break of the aforementioned multi-day-old resistance line, close to $2,035. In a case where the bullion manages to cross the $2,035 hurdle and gains support from downbeat US employment numbers, its run-up towards the previous yearly high surrounding $2,070 can’t be ruled out. Should the quote remains strong past $2,070, the record high marked in 2020 around $2,075 appears the last defense of the bears. Overall, Gold losses bullish momentum ahead of the key event, suggesting a notable pullback in prices should the scheduled US employment numbers trigger the US Dollar run-up.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD eases on the way to refresh 2023 highEURUSD extends the previous day’s pullback from a seven-week-old ascending resistance line as it pares the weekly gains, the third consecutive one. While the overbought RSI joined the stated resistance line to recall sellers, bullish MACD signals and a two-week-old ascending trend line, around 1.0820, challenge the Euro bears. Following that, the 100-SMA and 200-SMA, respectively around 1.0785 and 1.0700 could lure the pair sellers. On the contrary, the aforementioned resistance line near 1.0980 acts as an immediate upside hurdle before directing EURUSD buyers toward the current Year-To-Date high, near 1.1035. In a case where the Euro bulls keep the reins past 1.1035, the January 2022 bottom surrounding 1.1120 will be in focus. During the quote’s advances past 1.1120, tops marked during the late March of the last year can probe the buyers near 1.1185 and 1.1235. Overall, EURUSD is well-set for a fresh yearly top even if the bulls are hesitant of late.
by MTradingGlobal
NZDUSD bulls eyes 0.6400 as RBNZ surprises marketsNZDUSD extends the early March’s bearish consolidation inside a three-week-old ascending trend channel as RBNZ announces the 11th consecutive rate increase. More importantly, the New Zealand central bank pleases the Kiwi bulls to renew the 7-week top by a surprise 0.50% rate hike versus the 0.25% expected. It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI conditions approach overbought territory and hence a horizontal area comprising tops marked during early February, surrounding 0.6390, appears a tough nut to crack for the NZDUSD buyers. Also acting as an upside filter is the late January swing low near 0.6415, a break of which can propel prices towards the YTD high marked in February around 0.6540. Meanwhile, sellers need validation from the previous resistance line stretched from early March, around 0.6305, as well as the 0.6300 round figure, to retake control. Even so, a convergence of the stated channel’s bottom line and the 200-SMA, close to 0.6210, restricts the short-term NZDUSD downside. Also acting as immediate downside support is the 0.6200 round figure. In a case where the Kiwi pair remains bearish past 0.6200, the 0.6150 and 0.6130 levels mark probe the sellers before directing them to the yearly low of around 0.6085. Overall, NZDUSD suggests the continuation of a three-week-old zig-zag run-up unless the US data surprises traders.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD approaches key resistances on RBA dayAUDUSD stays within a three-week-old bullish channel, poking the upside hurdle, on the RBA day. It’s worth noting that the 200-EMA adds strength to the top line of the state channel, around 0.6815-20 by the press time. Given the firmer oscillator, the bulls are likely to keep the reins. However, a clear upside break of the 0.6820 hurdle becomes necessary for the buyers to aim for the last December’s peak surrounding 0.6895, as well as the 0.6900 round figure. Should the quote remains firmer past 0.6900, the mid-February high of around 0.7030 can act as an intermediate halt during the likely run-up towards challenging the year 2023 peak of 0.7157. Meanwhile, a downside break of 0.6665 defies the stated bullish channel and can quickly drag the AUDUSD bears towards challenging the monthly low of near 0.6563. In a case where the Aussie pair remains weak past 0.6560, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s run-up from early November 2022 to February 2023, close to 0.6450, may act as the last defense of the buyers before giving control to the sellers. Overall, RBA’s dovish hike should teases sellers but the Aussie pair’s trading within a bullish chart formation requires the trigger for the AUDUSD bears to retake control, which in turn highlights the 0.6665 support.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD grapples with 1.0930 hurdle ahead of EU, US inflation EURUSD braces for the biggest weekly gains since early January even as it eases from a 2.5-month-old horizontal resistance area surrounding 1.0930 ahead of this week’s top-tier data, namely the Eurozone and US inflation clues. That said, a fortnight-long ascending support line joins firmer oscillators to keep Euro pair buyers hopeful of crossing the critical upside barrier holding the key for the quote’s run-up towards challenging the yearly top surrounding 1.1035. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 1.1035, which is less likely considering the RSI (14) line’s nearly overbought conditions, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of its November 2022 to March 2023 moves, near 1.1200. On the contrary, pullback moves need to break the immediate two-week-old support line, close to 1.0840 at the latest, to lure intraday EURUSD sellers. Even so, a convergence of the 50-DMA and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of November-February upside, near 1.0730, can put a floor under the price. Following that, the 100-DMA, the monthly low and January’s bottom, around 1.0615, 1.0515 and 1.0480 in that order, may act as the last defenses of the pair buyers, a break of which could hand over control to the bears. Overall, EURUSD is on the bull’s radar and is very much capable of refreshing the yearly top. However, it all depends upon today’s inflation data and hence Euro bulls should wait for the actual data before taking any major positions.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD bulls slowly tighten grips on Australia inflation dayFollowing its bounce off YTD low, the AUDUSD pair crossed an important resistance line from early February, now support. The Aussie pair’s further advances, however, remained gradual and portray a 13-day-old bullish channel. That said, the quote picks up bids inside the aforementioned bullish chart formation ahead of Australia’s monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for February. Given the likely easing inflation pressure in the Pacific major’s economy, the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) hurdle of around 0.6740 gains attention ahead of the stated channel’s top line, close to 0.6760. It’s worth noting that the mid-February swing high surrounding 0.6785 acts as the last check for the Aussie pair buyers. Alternatively, a downside break of the 0.6640 support, comprising the lower line of the bullish channel, could quickly drag the AUDUSD price towards the resistance-turned-resistance line from early February, close to 0.6575. It’s worth noting that the Aussie pair’s weakness past 0.6575 can witness a bumpy road as the yearly bottom of 0.6562 and the last October’s peak near 0.6545 may challenge the bears afterward. To sum up, AUDUSD forms a bullish chart pattern and a bumpy road toward the south as traders analyze Australian inflation data.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY drops within falling wedgeUSDJPY struggles to defend the first positive week in five, grinding lower inside a falling wedge bullish chart formation. It should be noted that the bullish MACD signals and upward-sloping RSI (14) line, not overbought, keep buyers hopeful despite the latest weakness of the Yen pair. However, a sustained break of the 50-SMA hurdle surrounding 131.85 becomes necessary for the Yen pair buyers to retake control. Following that, the 200-SMA and the monthly high, respectively near 134.00 and 137.95, could probe the quote’s advances during the run-up to achieve the theoretical target of around 139.85. On the flip side, an ascending support line from mid-January, near 130.60 at the latest, restricts the short-term USDJPY downside, if the Yen pair defies the latest bullish breakout by dropping back below the 131.40 resistance-turned-support. In a case where the pair remains weak past 130.60, the 130.00 round figure and the latest swing low around 129.70 may entertain sellers before challenging them by the stated wedge’s lower line, close to 129.20. It should be noted that the quote’s weakness past 129.20 makes it vulnerable to declining toward the yearly low of 127.21, marked in January. Overall, USDJPY consolidates the monthly losses and is likely to regain the buyer’s confidence in the next month.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD bears flex muscles despite recent reboundGBPUSD confirmed a rising wedge bearish chart pattern on Friday, despite posting another weekly gain and marking an intraday run-up of late. However, the absence of an oversold RSI suggests that the Cable pair could drift lower. That said, the 50-SMA and a two-month-old previous resistance line, respectively near 1.2200 and 1.2170, can restrict the short-term downside of the pair before directing it to the 200-SMA support level surrounding 1.2070. It’s worth noting that the quote’s weakness past 1.2170 makes it vulnerable to visit the multiple supports marked since mid-February around 1.1920-10, a break of which won’t hesitate to approach the theoretical target near 1.1730. Meanwhile, GBPUSD recovery remains elusive unless the quote stays below the stated wedge’s lower line and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s fall between late January and early March, around 1.2300 by the press time. Following that, the monthly high of around 1.2345 could test the Cable pair buyers. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.2345, multiple hurdles could test between 1.2400 and 1.2430 will precede the yearly high of around 1.2450 to challenge the pair’s upside momentum. Overall, GBPUSD is likely to witness further downside but the road toward the south appears long and bumpy.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold has smoother road towards the northGold teased bears earlier in the week by defying the bullish channel but the follow-on bounce off the $1,934-36 zone renewed buying interest in the yellow metal. However, a clear upside break of $2,000 becomes necessary for the XAUUSD buyers for conviction. Also acting as an upside filter is the aforementioned channel’s lower line, close to $2,011 at the latest. Following that, a run-up toward the previous yearly high of around $2,070 can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, a one-week-old horizontal support zone near $1,934-36 puts a floor under the Gold price, a break of which could quickly recall the $1,900 threshold on the chart. However, a convergence of the 200-EMA and six-week-old horizontal region surrounding $1,890-85 appears a tough nut to crack for the bears. Should the bears keep the reins past $1,895, the early-month swing high of near $1,854 can flash on their radars. Overall, the Gold price may keep grinding higher as promising oscillators join the metal’s hesitance in declining.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
2
GBPUSD runs into key resistance as BoE rate hike loomsGBPUSD pokes a 10-month-old descending resistance line as the Cable bulls brace for the Bank of England (BoE) updates. Given the pair’s successful trading above the key DMAs and a clear rebound from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the May-September 2022 downturn, the buyers are likely to overcome the stated trend line resistance, currently around 1.2340. The same, if backed by the hawkish BoE updates, could allow the buyers to cross the multiple hurdles near the 1.2445-50 region. Following that, the May 2022 peak surrounding 1.2665 could gain the market’s attention. On the flip side, the 50-DMA and the 200-DMA restrict short-term GBPUSD downside near 1.2140 and 1.1900 respectively. Also acting as immediate support is the 1.2000 psychological magnet, as well as the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.1775. In a case where the Cable bears keep the reins past 1.1775, joined by the BoE’s disappointment, tops marked in September and October of the last year, around 1.1735 and 1.1645 in that order, could act as intermediate halts during a likely fall towards the 50% Fibonacci retracement level around 1.1500. To sum up, GBPUSD is likely to rise further and has a price-positive technical set-up but the upside momentum needs validation from the BoE.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD bulls approach strong resistance area on Fed dayEURUSD stays firmer for the fourth consecutive week as traders prepare for the key Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting on early Wednesday. The major currency pair’s latest run-up could be linked to a successful break of the 200-SMA. However, a 12-day-old ascending triangle can join the overbought RSI and a horizontal area comprising multiple hurdles marked since late January to challenge the Euro buyers between 1.0790 and 1.0805. In a case where the quote rises past 1.0805, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the February-March downturn, near 1.0835, may act as an extra check towards the north before highlighting the 1.0920-30 resistance zone comprising the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Meanwhile, EURUSD bears could stay off the table unless the quote remains above the stated triangle’s support line, around 1.0700 by the press time. Following that, the 1.0570 and 1.0530 levels may act as intermediate stops during the quote’s likely slump toward the monthly low near 1.0515. In a case where the Euro bears dominate past 1.0515, the YTD low marked in January around 1.0480 may act as the last defense of the buyers, a break of which might direct sellers to the November 2022 low surrounding 1.0290. Overall, EURUSD buyers appear to run up out of steam on a crucial day but the bears need validation from 1.0700 and the Federal Reserve both.
by MTradingGlobal
USDCAD appears well-set for further downside towards 1.3500USDCAD justifies a downside break of a five-week-old ascending trend channel, as well as downbeat RSI and MACD signals, despite marching towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of October-November 2022 downside, near 1.3690 ahead of the Bank of Canada (BoC) Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February. Should the inflation gauge suggests further rate hikes from the BoC, as it reiterated the readiness to resume the rate hike trajectory if needed, the Loonie pair will have a further downside to trace. In that case, a convergence of the 100-DMA and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, close to 1.3500, will be a tough nut to crack for the sellers. Following that, the previous resistance line from October 2022 and the 200-DMA, respectively around 1.3430 and 1.3340, may lure the bears. Alternatively, softer inflation data may trigger the USDCAD pair’s corrective bounce. However, the aforementioned channel’s lower line, close to 1.3800 at the latest, holds the key to the buyer’s entry. Should the quote rises past 1.3800, the monthly peak surrounding 1.3865 and the 2022 peak of 1.3977 may test the bulls ahead of directing them to the stated channel’s top line, near the 1.4000 round figure. To sum up, USDCAD is likely to decline further as the key Canadian inflation data looms. Even if the statistics disappoint the Loonie pair bears, the life of a corrective bounce appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
1
USDJPY bears appear tiring as the Fed week beginsUSDJPY marked the biggest weekly loss since early January despite trading within a one-week-long descending triangle. Apart from the bullish chart formation, sluggish MACD and nearly oversold RSI (14) also challenge the Yen pair sellers. That said, the stated triangle’s bottom line, around 131.40, acts as immediate support for the bears to watch before targeting the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the February-March upside, near 130.15. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 130.15, and also breaks the 130.00 round figure, the odds of witnessing a slump towards the lows marked in February and January, respectively near 128.00 and 127.20, can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, a sustained break of 132.60 offers a bullish chart confirmation, which in turn suggests a theoretical target of 136.50. However, the 200 and 100 SMAs, respectively around 133.80 and 135.30, could test the USDJPY buyers. Following that, the theoretical target of 136.50 and a previous support line from early February, near 137.70, could lure the pair buyers. Overall, USDJPY is likely bracing for recovery but the stated triangle’s resistance line, as well as the key SMAs could challenge the run-up.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold buyers brace for fresh 2023 highHaving successfully bounced off the 200-day EMA, the Gold buyers poke a four-month-old support-turned-resistance line as bulls await final clues for the next week’s Fed meeting. Given the overbought RSI conditions, the metal buyers appear to run out of steam and can keep struggling with the immediate hurdle surrounding $1,930. Even if the quote crosses that previous support line, the year-to-date (YTD) high of near $1,960 can act as an extra filter toward the north. It should be noted, however, that a clear run-up beyond $1,960 enables the bullion buyers to aim for the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion of late September 2022 to February 2023 moves, near $2018. On the flip side, pullback moves could aim for the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of October 2022 to February 2023 upside, near $1,877. Any further downside, though, will need validation from the early March swing high near $1,858, a break which makes the Gold price vulnerable to retesting the 200-EMA support, around $1,810 at the latest. It’s worth noting that a clear break of $1,810 will need validation from November 2022 peak surrounding $1,786 to convince XAUUSD bears. Overall, the Gold price remains firmer but the bulls need a breathing gap before leaping toward the fresh YTD high.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD bears take a break ahead of ECBEURUSD posted the biggest daily slump in six months as Credit Suisse headlines fanned risk aversion on Wednesday. The fall, however, needs validation from the 1.0555-50 support confluence, comprising the 100-DMA and 14-week-old ascending support line, as well as the European Central Bank’s (ECB) Monetary Policy Meeting. That said, a clear break of 1.0550, accompanied by a disappointment from the ECB could quickly drag the major currency pair towards the 200-DMA support of 1.0320. However, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s September 2022 to February 2023 upside, near 1.0460, could act as an intermediate halt during the anticipated slump. On the contrary, recovery moves require hawkish commentary, as well as a rate hike decision, from the ECB to aim for the 50-DMA hurdle surrounding 1.0725. Following that, the mid-February swing high of around 1.0810 could test the EURUSD bulls ahead of directing the run-up towards the previous monthly high, as well as the 2023 peak, of near 1.1035. Overall, EURUSD is on the bear’s radar but the quote’s further downside hinges on the key fundamental events and important support zone break.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD bulls need validation from 0.6770AUDUSD confirmed a falling wedge bullish chart pattern during the early days and is keeping the breakout so far during Wednesday. The RSI (14) line’s gradual rebound from the oversold territory adds strength to the upside bias. However, a convergence of the 100 and 200 DMAs, around 0.6770 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the Aussie buyers to keep the reins. Following that, tops marked during December 2022 and mid-February 2023, respectively around 0.6895 and 0.7030, could act as intermediate halts during the theoretical target of 0.7240. On the contrary, a downside break of the 0.6640 level, comprising the stated wedge’s top line, could negate the bullish bias. Even so, the latest swing low and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of October 2022 to March 2023 upside, close to 0.6560 and 0.6545 in that order, could test the AUDUSD sellers before giving them control. Also acting as a downside filter is the lower line of the aforementioned bullish chart formation, near 0.6515 as we write. Overall, AUDUSD is likely to rise further toward the previous monthly peak. However, the key DMA convergence challenges the buyers as top-tier Aussie data looms, up for publishing on Thursday.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD buyers struggle on UK employment, US inflation dayDespite rising in the last four consecutive days, the GBPUSD bulls take a breather ahead of the key UK jobs report and the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. That said, the three-week-old descending resistance-turned-support-line, around 1.2140 at the latest, restricts the immediate downside of the Cable pair. Following that, the 200-SMA level surrounding 1.2100 precedes the one-week-old ascending trend line and the 100-SMA, respectively near 1.2040 and 1.2000, to challenge probe the Cable pair sellers. Should the quote remains bearish past 1.2000, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since February 17, between 1.1915 and 1.1925, could try to prod the Cable bears. Alternatively, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the GBPUSD pair’s January-March fall, around 1.2200, caps the immediate upside around 1.2100. Following that, a run-up towards the mid-February swing high of around 1.2270 appears safe to expect. It should be noted that the quote’s run-up beyond 1.2270 will be crucial to watch as it holds the key to the pair’s run-up toward the previous monthly peak of 1.2400. Overall, the pre-data anxiety joins nearly overbought RSI conditions to probe GBPUSD buyers. However, the bullish MACD signals and hopes for further US Dollar weakness keep the bulls hopeful.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY attracts bears but 200-SMA is the key supportUSDJPY marked a second consecutive weekly loss, as well as broke an ascending trend channel, as BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda departs after the decade-long workmanship. The bearish break also gains attention as the quote slips beneath the 100-SMA for the first time in more than a month. However, the nearly oversold RSI and 200-SMA, around 133.30 at the latest, challenge the Yen pair’s further downside. Following that, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of February-March advances, near 132.90, acts as the last defense of the buyers before directing sellers towards the 130.00 round figure, as well as the February 10 swing low surrounding 129.80. Meanwhile, USDJPY recovery remains elusive unless the quote remains below the 135.65-70 resistance confluence, including the 100-SMA and the aforementioned channel’s lower line. Should the Yen pair manage to remain firmer past 135.70, the 137.00 could test the bulls before highlighting the monthly high of 137.90, the stated channel’s top line, near 139.10, and the 140.00 psychological magnet. Overall, USDJPY is on the bear’s radar and is likely to decline further but the 200-SMA may test the further downside momentum.
by MTradingGlobal
200-EMA defends Gold buyers on US NFP dayGold stays on the bear’s radar as it reverses the previous weekly gains, the first in five, ahead of the all-important US employment report for February. It’s worth noting, however, that the 200-EMA level surrounding $1,805 puts a floor under the metal price, a break of which could set the ball rolling towards the 50% Fibonacci retracement of November 2022 to February 2023 upside, also comprising the mid-November peak surrounding $1,787. In a case where the quote remains weak past $1,787, late November’s bottom near $1,731 appears the last defense for the bulls. On the flip side, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level close to $1,830 holds the key to Gold’s buyer’s entry. However, a broad nine-week-old horizontal area between $1,857 and $1,865 seems a tough nut to crack for the metal bulls. Should the bullion manages to remain firmer past $1,865, a run-up toward the $1,900 threshold becomes smooth. Following that, the multi-month high marked in February at around $1,960 could gain the buyer's attention. Overall, the Gold price is likely to remain weak amid hawkish Fed expectations and downbeat MACD signals. However, the RSI line teases with the oversold territory and hence the quote’s further downside is likely having a little room towards the south.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD stays bullish unless breaking 1.0540 support confluenceAfter stalling a four-month winning streak in February, EURUSD prints mild gains so far in March. That said, the major currency pair’s latest recovery takes place from the 1.0540 support confluence comprising the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a three-month-old ascending support line. The upside momentum also takes clues from the upward-sloping RSI (14) line and upbeat MACD signals. As a result, the quote is well-set to challenge the last December’s peak surrounding 1.0740. Should the quote manage to remain firmer past 1.0740, which is more likely, the prices could aim for the mid-February top of around 1.0800. However, multiple hurdles could challenge the Euro bulls afterward, if not then the pair’s north-run toward the previous monthly high of near 1.1035 can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, a daily closing below the 1.0540 support confluence could quickly fetch the EURUSD price to January’s bottom of 1.0481 before highlighting the December 07 low near 1.0445. In a case where the pair sellers keep the reins past 1.0445, the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements of its run-up from November 2022 to February 2023, respectively near 1.0380 and 1.0230, could flash on their radar. It’s worth observing that the late October 2022 high near 1.0095 and the 1.000 level are crucial for the Euro bears to watch past 1.0230. Overall, EURUSD remains on the bull’s radar as it stays firmer beyond the key support ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s semi-annual Testimony.
by MTradingGlobal