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Nifty Simple Analysis for 29th November'24Yesterday Nifty opened bullish and immediately fall after 1 hr failed to break 24300 resistance level 4th time in 3 days which shows bears are strong in that area. Nifty took support at 23900 which filled the previous gap created on 25th nov. check on 15 min candle last low was made at 2.15 pm after that no lower low was made which shows bulls are pusing up but not with force unable to break 24000 level. Support : 23876,23600 Resistance: 24125,24300
NSE:NIFTY
by Price_actiontaker14
EURUSD - SHORTI opted to enter for short on this pair. Stop-loss orders have their place, and I trusted my eyes more than my heart. Short Bias for the upcoming week. - --------------- **First Scenario - Short:** First Target: $1.0825 First Target: $1.0805 Entry: $1.0851 Stoploss: $1.0854 **Second Scenario - Long:** Initial Target: $1.089 Entry: $1.0854 Stoploss: $1.0844 - --------------- Take into consideration: Psychological Resistance at $1.086 Psychological Support at $1.08 - --------------- NFA DYOR - --------------- Good Luck! ⚠️ Caution: Just because I've set my buy and sell position Settings or drawn direction lines on my chart doesn't indicate I've opened a position or am obsessed with a particular bias. This is only a forecast; I don't trade when the price reaches my level; I have rules of engagement. Perhaps the most crucial element is 🆘RISK MANAGEMENT🆘.
Short
by irfanp056
Historical Impact of Fed Interest Rates on Dow JonesThe current market cycle looks eerily similar to the 2005 - 2010 era. Dow started going up after the last rate hike in expectation of a rate cut and eventually peaked around the time the cut started i.e. Sep 2007. Very similar behaviour is evident in current cycle where market has been rising since the last rate hike. If the Fed cut is expected in June 2024, then there is still some upmove left, but we are close to the top. P.S.: 1: Numbers mentioned are the rates after the said action. 2: Similar price action was developing in 2015-2020 period, however, it can't be considered as a valid reference on account of COVID crash.
TVC:DJI
by pankajarora232
5
Bank Nifty analysis for 6th FEB'2024Bank nifty traded in a range between 46000 to 45600 today buyers were holding support but no momemtum from buyers end today tried twice to break 46000 but failed! Major support at 45600 if breaks tomorrow seller can take it to 45300 addtion to that banknifty was showing weakness after 2 pm today & traded below trendline support. Buyer can show momentum above 46100 - 46200, Tomorrow may be trend day or wide range day. Support : 45300,45000 Resistance : 46100, 46300 Note : Do your own analysis before making any trade or invesment decesion.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by Price_actiontaker14
2nd Nov ’23 - When NEWS flows, technical analysis goes for spinNifty Weekly Expiry Analysis Between the last expiry and today, Nifty has accumulated 299pts ~ 1.59% points. Most importantly it has broken away from the crucial support of 18880. As it stands Nifty is below the resistance of 19310 - but with the momentum it has gathered, seems like it will get tested this weekly series. Nifty Today’s Analysis Recap from yesterday: “Check out the daily time frame, does that not look bearish to you? Since we had a red candle today also, it seems like the bearish momentum could build up pretty quickly. We have the FOMC interest rate decision at 23.30 today and US FED comments may spook or lift the markets. Definitely, that will spill over to our markets tomorrow. As of now, SPX is in green trading with gains of 0.53%. Until 18880 is not broken, I wish to maintain my neutral stance.” Nifty opens today with a gap up of 138pts ~ 0.73%, rallies to 19175 by 09.40. This was totally sponsored by the FED with its FOMC decision & the commentary that followed. Markets in the US got the feeling that this was going to be the last of the hikes and were overjoyed. We need to get some background on this topic to understand the real impact. Even if the FED says no more hikes, it doesnt mean the rate cuts will begin soon. If the rates are held at this 5.25 to 5.5% for longer - there is nothing bearish like that. So the reaction that is seen now could just be a temporary phenomenon. The longer FED keeps the rates high - the higher the money that will get sucked out of equity. Also, watch the small and medium-scale businesses - they are the first to go under when the cost of borrowing stays high. No, I am not spoiling the bullish party - I am just being practical. Coming back to India, RBI cannot cut rates when the US holds its line. If we do, more money will flow out from India, further depreciating INR. If RBI also holds the rate at this level long enough - our SME universe will also be impacted. On the 1hr TF, Nifty has formed an island today. The 3rd hourly candle was quite RED - but the fall was arrested soon enough. The levels have not changed from yesterday, the first resistance is at 19226 and the 2nd one is at 19310. I am staying neutral till 19226 is not taken out, seems like it could be even done in the forenoon session. Visit my tradingview minds section, for updates during trading hours tomorrow.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
1st Nov ’23 - Some weakness still persisting - Nifty PostmortemNifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “Since we retraced the 38.2% level of 19226 today and the reluctance to go up might be confidence-building for the bears. Also the 23.6% level forms a base for further movements. The issue is that we cannot go outright bearish now, we need further proof of that. Ideally, the 18880 support has to be taken out and that too pretty quickly. Till then I wish to maintain my neutral stance.” There is some weakness still lingering around. Despite positive closing by US markets yesterday - we were reluctant to go green today. If you look at the 5mts chart above - the price action continues its journey from yesterday. By 10.00 we hit 19019, but miraculously we gained back those points. From 12.30 to 13.15 we started falling again breaking the last swing low to 19006. Then from 13.45 to close we fell again to a new swing low of 18973. BankNifty was staying pretty strong due to which a big fall was avoided on Nifty. This also ensured that Nifty50 did not break the 18880 support level below which we had to go short. Check out the daily time frame, does that not look bearish to you? Since we had a red candle today also, it seems like the bearish momentum could build up pretty quickly. We have the FOMC interest rate decision at 23.30 today and US FED comments may spook or lift the markets. Definitely, that will spill over to our markets tomorrow. As of now, SPX is in green trading with gains of 0.53%. Until 18880 is not broken, I wish to maintain my neutral stance.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
Federal Bank: Weekly Flag BOA weekly Flag and Pole Pattern is Visible on the Weekly charts of $NSE:FEDERALBNK. One can create a fresh position on Federal Bank around the CMP of Rs,. 136 or below with a stop loss of Rs. 120 for targets of 151/166/181 Exit the position if the stop loss is triggered on WCB. DO YOU WANT ALL MY RESEARCH FOR FREE THEN DON'T FORGET TO FOLLOW ME. I AM EAGERLY WAITING FOR YOUR COMMENTS ON THE STUDY... Disclaimer: Content shared is for information and education purposes only and should not be treated as investment or trading advice. Please do your own analysis or take independent professional financial advice before making any investments based on your own personal circumstances. Investment in securities are subject to market risks, please carry out your due diligence before investing. And last but not the least, past performance is not indicative of future returns.
BSE:FEDERALBNKLong
by raigvivek
2
Nifty Stuck in range.Nifty is stuck in a range of 16400-15700 since the past 2 weeks. Yesterday it managed to test the top of the range but failed to give any significant breakout giving a chance for bears to take control again. With so many macro economic pressure's mounting it will be interesting so see how Nifty will react. I believe that the range will continue for the month of May, as June onwards US Fed will begin its Quantitative tightening measures which will be the deciding factor in providing us with a clear picture where the nifty will head next.
NSE:NIFTY
by BharatAsani
Gold clears six-week-old hurdle ahead of US inflation dataGold extends a fortnight-long recovery to stay comfortably beyond the 200-SMA and a horizontal area from early January. The run-up joins bullish MACD signals to suggest further upside but the overbought RSI line pushes buyers to remain cautious until witnessing sustained trading above $1,830. In addition to the key hurdle, gold traders should also keep their eyes on the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for January amid Fed’s rate hike concerns. In case of firmer inflation, the US dollar may consolidate the latest losses and weigh on the gold prices, indicating a pullback towards the 200-SMA near $1,815. Following that, the $1,800 threshold and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of December-January upside, near $1,790 may entertain gold sellers ahead of directing them to a monthly support area surrounding $1,780. Alternatively, surprise weakness in the price pressure could help gold buyers to overcome the nearby resistance zone and aim for January’s top around $1,853. Though bulls might struggle around the stated hurdle, if not then November 2021 peak close to $1,877 and the $1,900 round figure should return to the charts.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
1
Will FED crash the market tomorrow ?The last time Fed tapered was December 2013 and the stock market had a quick correction then went on to make new highs. I don’t see why this time should be any different. (2013 chart below) the Fed raises rates, the stock market tanks, hurting the economy. If the Fed doesn’t raise rates, inflation spikes, hurting the economy. So both the scenarios are possible. View: Use this dip to add longs for short term targets of 17500/17800
NSE:NIFTYLong
by chinmaypatnaikk
Nifty BREAKOUT!Nifty Index known as NSE or Nifty50 has or is experiencing a big breakout out if its much-expected consolidation phase. This is a big breakout is big because the market has become resilient to the Federal Reserve's decision to begin taper from November. If the Nifty50 index continues to hold above 17,620 it can well top 18K! Long positions should be made, do not wait. Market Mood Index shows it is in fear trajectory which is a positive note because the market is not overbought as it was 2 weeks ago. Nifty has all the top market movers so it will be a exciting game to watch as even ITC roars! New resistance at 18K because looking at it , the bulls are gonna break all records
NSE:NIFTYLong
by traderwithadream
Markets eye US, Canadian job data The Canadian dollar is steady in Friday trade, after sustaining considerable losses a day earlier. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.2118, up 0.11% on the day. The US dollar was broadly higher on Thursday, as the Fed surprised the markets when it announced that it will begin to scale back its portfolio. The Fed ended its purchase of corporate bonds in 2020, and will now gradually sell these assets. The Fed has taken pains to emphasise that this sale is not a monetary policy action, as it does not affect the purchase of government bonds. The latter is intended to improve economic conditions and keep borrowing costs at ultra-low levels. Still, this most recent move has boosted the US dollar, as it appears to signal a move towards tapering QE and potentially raising interest rates. More Fed members are coming out and publicly urging the Fed to hold a discussion about tapering, and this has investors keeping a sharp eye on inflation and employment figures, which could be instrumental in any Fed decision with regard to tapering. The market will quickly shift focus from the Fed to the US employment report (12:e30 GMT). The consensus stands at 644 thousand, which would be a strong acceleration from the April release of 266 thousand. However, the markets are well aware that recent forecasts for NFP have been wide of the mark, including the April reading, as the consensus was 990 thousand. This week's ADP Employment Report showed a gain of 978 thousand, crushing the estimate of 645 thousand. However, the APDP reading is not a reliable indication of how official nonfarm payrolls will perform. Canada will also release key job data (12:30 GMT), with the market expecting soft numbers. April was dismal, as the economy shed 207.1 thousand jobs. May is expected to show a small decline of 20.0 thousand. The unemployment rate is projected to edge up to 8.2%, down from 8.1% USD/CAD is putting pressure on resistance at 1.2137. This line was tested last week. This is followed by resistance at 1.2195. With the pair moving higher, 1.2025 has some breathing room as support. Below, there is support at 1.1971
by OANDA
New Zealand dollar continues to gain groundThe New Zealand dollar continues to head higher this week. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.7244, up 0.37% on the day. It has been a strong start to the week for the New Zealand dollar, which is up 0.95%. The US dollar is once again struggling against the major currencies. Inflation surged in April, which led to speculation that the Fed might contemplate scaling back QE. This gave the US dollar a brief boost earlier in May, but the market appears to have accepted the Fed line that higher inflation is transitory and any tightening of policy is a while off. The Federal Reserve continues to send out a consistent, clear message to the market that its ultra-accommodative policy will continue and that will maintain current QE levels. With a tighter policy unlikely in the short term, the US dollar has become less attractive to investors. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand holds its policy meeting on Wednesday. New Zealand data has been strong, but there are concerns of reflation as the economy heats up. The central bank is expected to sound dovish, with no changes forecast in policy. Still, given the strength of the economic recovery, investors will be looking for any hints of potential tapering to QE, which would be bullish for the New Zealand dollar. Westpac expects the RBNZ to upwardly revise its economic forecasts for 2021. It also is projecting that inflation will easily surpass 2 per cent this year, but adds that the RBNZ has anticipated this and will view higher inflation as transitory. We have seen this script with the Federal Reserve, which has dismissed a recent surge in inflation as merely temporary. Finally, Westpac does not expect the central bank to hike rates before 2024. NZD/USD is testing resistance at 0.7239. Above, there is resistance at 0.7314. There is support at 0.7120 and 0.7076 .
by OANDA
GBP climbs on strong job data, CPI nextThe British pound touched a 3-month high earlier on Tuesday, when GBP/USD reached a high of 1.4220. In North American trade, the pair is trading at 1.4200, up 0.49% on the day. The pound received a lift from positive UK employment numbers, which were released earlier in the day. The unemployment rate for March dipped to 4.8%, down from 4.9% and a 6-month low. The number of unemployed persons in April fell by 15.1 thousand, outperforming the consensus of a rise of 25.6 thousand. This figure was all the more impressive given the recent lockdown. Wage growth slowed to 4.0%, down from 4.5%, but investors didn't let this get in the way of positive sentiment towards the pound, which pushed into 1.42-territory. The surge in consumer inflation sent the dollar higher last week and has led to speculation that the Fed may have to reexamine its ultra-accommodative monetary policy. Fed member Robert Kaplan broke ranks with Fed Chair Jerome Powell earlier this month and urged the Fed to start to discuss tapering its USD120 billion per month in asset purchases sooner rather than later. Still, the Fed line remains that any inflation surge is temporary and there are no plans to taper QE anytime soon. The Fed has long held that it would allow inflation to temporarily run above its target of 2 per cent. The key question is whether the April CPI numbers are a one-time blip or has inflation risen to a sustainable higher level. The market reaction to the CPI report was sharp, with equities falling and the US dollar gaining strength. Another release which points to higher inflation would again raise speculation that the Fed may have to tighten policy. This would be bullish for the US dollar. GBP/USD is testing resistance at 1.4180, followed by resistance at 1.4262. There are support lines at 1.4003 and 1.3908.
by OANDA
Australian dollar dips as inflation missesThe Australian dollar is down slightly in the Wednesday session. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.7747, down 0.27% on the day. Australian CPI posted a gain of 0.6% in the first quarter of the year, down from 0.9% in Q4 of 2020. The read was certainly respectable, but underperformed, as the estimate stood at 0.9%. Trimmed CPI, which excludes the most volatile items, dropped from 0.4% to 0.3% and missed the forecast of 0.5%. The weak readings have sent the Australian dollar lower. The lower than expected inflation numbers will lessen any pressure that was on the RBA to tighten policy due to stronger economic conditions. Australia has extricated itself in admirable fashion from the downturn due to Covid, although the vaccine rollout has been sluggish. The RBA has been cautious and says that it does not expect GDP or employment to reach pre-pandemic levels until later in the year. Once the economy reaches that level, there is a good chance that the RBA could tighten policy, such as easing QE, as we saw with the Bank of Canada earlier this month. What can we expect from the FOMC meeting later today (18:00 GMT)? Expectations for a dramatic announcement are low, as the Fed does not appear in any hurry to tighten policy, even with a rapidly improving US economy. The market seems to have bought into the Fed's message that even though inflationary pressures are growing, QE will not be reduced for a while yet. In follow-up comments to today's meeting, Fed Chair Powell is likely to wax positive about the economy but simultaneously state that the economy is still in recovery mood and needs the Fed to keep its foot on the pedal. Unless the Fed surprises with a more hawkish rate statement than expected, it should be "business as usual" after the meeting, which means that the US dollar could find itself under pressure from the major currencies. On the upside, 0.7813 has some breathing room in resistance as AUD has lost ground. Above, there is resistance at 0.7887. On the downside, there are support levels at 0.7688 and 0.7627
by OANDA